without_worries

S&P 500 - summer rally sunset

Giá xuống
without_worries Cập nhật   
TVC:SPX   Chỉ số S&P 500
Throughout the summer price action has enjoyed support from a well established support line since the correction in March. That trend line was broken yesterday and buyers were quick to catch the drop, which I suspect will continue in the days ahead.

The facts:

1) Price action remains in a uptrend. Market structure remains intact as long as higher lows are produced. A breakdown of 3200 would be the alarm that tells us the structure is broken.

2) Price action has moved to the bearish half of the Bollinger Band.

3) There is a notable 2-year bearish divergence formation on the monthly chart (below) between price action and RSI. Very bearish.

Can price action continue higher? For sure. Is it probable? No. Would I buy? Not if you were throwing money at me.


Monthly chart - bearish divergence

Bình luận:
Are you Robinhood trader? Do you see the dip? Are you tempted to spend spend spend?
Please don't. Switch off the phone/computer - just walk away!
Bình luận:
At close on Friday Stochastic RSI crossed below 80 (orange circle) - look left - nothing every good happened following this cross down.

The monthly bearish divergence above is now match by a weekly bearish divergence in the chart below. Divergencies everywhere! Might be time to get a lifejacket whilst there's still time.

Giao dịch đang hoạt động:
Not since March has 5 consecutive daily candles closed under the 21-day Moving average. The power of looking left is the ultimate leading indicator. Ideally we'll see support become resistance with a rise in price action, but it is not necessary, just as was the case in February.

Bình luận:
Next target 3060 following the head & shoulders break down.

Bình luận:
Double top bearish divergence becomes evident on the 3-day chart. That's good enough for me. Can we get a bounce off previous resistance? Sure. Is it likely? Who knows. What do I know? I'm in profit and I'm claiming it!

Bình luận:
Obviously we're seeing a melt up at the moment. Be careful around 3720, we're approaching a trend with lots of confluence.

Bình luận:
Bearish divergence on price action at the moment. Be careful.

Bình luận:
Be careful - Price action at major trend line support / resistance.

Bình luận:
The monthly chart is printing an incredibly bullish signal at the moment. Hard to believe. So what's happening?

Price action has broken through resistance and now appears to be back-testing as support. If that support is confirmed at the month end - we're going to see fireworks.

Everyone is expecting a crash - is it possible the very opposite could happen? I'm starting to wonder!

Bình luận:
Price action breaks through resistance - a melt up now seems probable.

Bình luận:
S & P 500 will rocket tomorrow is the day closes on this candle.


BTC
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy

Weblink: www.patreon.com/withoutworries

Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm

Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.