Greatest crash in history about to unfold...
Could be right; could be wrong. Is it worth the risk?
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My best guess is we will see an initial downside fall toward SPY 330 moving in a 4-6 day down/up cycle, within a larger 4-6 week down/up cycle.
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Based on the daily movement, it could become an ideal choppy put buying environment where one could buy weekly puts at every rip, and close at every bottom. If this theory is correct, then we should see a sudden drop out of nowhere yet again today.
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Further refining on the idea, it seems that 3-6 week puts might be best to play this out as the chopping around seems to be able to last many days, if not weeks.
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Looks like it could be a very slow bear market, with lots of massive rallies. Will be extremely difficult to trade unfortunately.
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The next 4-week down cycle may have started.
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FB just lost 1.5 years of gains and SPOT lost 4 years of gains in 5 minutes. Incredible.
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10 year bond yields broke out to pandemic highs today. This is a warning of FED failure.
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FB and NFLX have almost "instantly" returned to their 200WMA. Incredible. If this is a reversion to that "mean" then we are about to witness something spectacular and unprecedented in the weeks ahead. Many stocks are still way above the 200WMA.
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All the garbage from the first wave was bought up. Now perhaps we see a 3-4 weeks downtrend for the next phase of "returning to fundamental value"
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I think we are about halfway through this initial drop. Should end around March 10th, perhaps with the FED money printer doing something drastic once again at their meeting on March 15th.