TLT Roadmap Dec 2023

3 thg 12, 2023

Yields are likely in early stages of significant multi-month retrace lower into summer 2024

14 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

Good start

31 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

Early stage

19 thg 2, 2024

Ghi chú

More pulling back ahead

6 thg 4, 2024

Ghi chú

Should start turning up

16 thg 6, 2024

Ghi chú

Very good price action following the expected path

1 thg 8, 2024

Ghi chú

I made a mistake with the instrument here, instead of TLT should have used IEF as 10 yr yields will fall faster than 30 yr yields

4 thg 8, 2024

Ghi chú

It is highly likely that this upswing starting Oct 2023 extends into Oct 2025. Obviously no straight line but some correction starting Aug into Oct 2024

5 thg 8, 2024

Ghi chú

Entertaining to say the least

21 thg 10, 2024

Ghi chú

Market participants are fully imposing the Trump trade across asset markets. This most likely will form a triangle (currently D wave forming to the downside) before new highs in yields/lows in bonds

28 thg 10, 2024

Ghi chú

Bonds setting initial low on that decline likely this week

15 thg 11, 2024

Ghi chú

JP was a bit hesitant yesterday which is incrementally hawkish (as was Logan). I was very confident that this will happen once DJT wins. More cuts will further destabilize yields

17 thg 11, 2024

Ghi chú

Probably quick rally this week

25 thg 11, 2024

Ghi chú

Market was already sniffing the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Sec as an outspoken deficit hawk

16 thg 3

Ghi chú

Should be heading higher into summer June/July. Bessent has massive debt to rollover