need to take a hard look at your risk assets that hold long term debt, 10 year t bills currently consolidating, about to sell off and have a come-to-jesus moment, equities will reprice, 2-4 taper tantrums on the way before we hit 2024. We break above this down channel and hold, that 3 decade clamp on bonds will be un done, stocks watershed off the backside of their spike up.
There's only so much stock a company can buy back to keep it's multiple elevated. The larger what ifs in the near term are if Europe recovers & reopens faster, and mid term if inflation becomes more distorted based on perception, like...what if the price action of goods is just too good not compete for sometime, 2-3 years of gouging, then labor pricing piles on, then we could hyper-inflate, stag-flate if labor decidedly doesn't give a rats ass about getting back to shit jobs, driving up demand for the underbelly services, you get the picture.
Technology is supposedly a main thesis to why rates have been low for so long. We're about to punch holes into that theory as semi conductors run short everywhere. If tech-drievn economy is so damn smart why are we f cked on that front? Rates going higher.
There's only so much stock a company can buy back to keep it's multiple elevated. The larger what ifs in the near term are if Europe recovers & reopens faster, and mid term if inflation becomes more distorted based on perception, like...what if the price action of goods is just too good not compete for sometime, 2-3 years of gouging, then labor pricing piles on, then we could hyper-inflate, stag-flate if labor decidedly doesn't give a rats ass about getting back to shit jobs, driving up demand for the underbelly services, you get the picture.
Technology is supposedly a main thesis to why rates have been low for so long. We're about to punch holes into that theory as semi conductors run short everywhere. If tech-drievn economy is so damn smart why are we f cked on that front? Rates going higher.
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Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.