The Possible 2 Scenarios for Crypto Today. Tell me your thoughts

If we look carefully the chart, we will see a huge crash in 2018, 58%. Then, the great final 768% pump came before the end of the bull run. Now, we have a very similar event, where we see a 50% crash. We haven't got one like this before, so maybe we are about to see the final part of the bull run, the very great one before the final crash.

I was specting BTC into the 30-38k range.

Or maybe not... What do you think?

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My mistake: 2017 +50% dump*