Top traders' methods: A scenario-based view of the markets

10 thg 12, 2023

The best traders think in scenarios of market events. They know from experience that the market can do "anything," so it is better to be prepared for any eventuality. This approach is part of mental flexibility. It can take several forms.

Flexibility in approaching the market reduces stress

Flexibility in our approach to the market reduces stress - if we are prepared for different scenarios of events it is certainly hard to surprise us isn't it?

A lot of stress comes from the fact that we like to attach ourselves to our analysis and our rationale, and we feel annoyed when the market acts differently.

If you take several options for the development of events and prepare for each of them - you are already taking into account that, for example, one or even several orders will go to cost. With this approach, you are already prepared for the matter.

You also don't succumb to the illusion of your own infallibility and need to be right. Experienced traders know that being right is useless and even harmful, what matters is making money, not being right.

Flexibility can promote better profits.

Flexibility can promote better profits when you think through several possible scenarios and prepare to... make money on each of them.

- If the market falls, I'll do this, enter here and the TP will be here, and if it rises I'll enter at that place and set the TP like this.

You prepare your psyche to act according to what the market will do - just like a hunter waits for the game to come out in one place or another.

The market's subsequent denial of being "right" can take a toll on your self-esteem, and as you already know, this is an unfavorable phenomenon. Therefore, think in open-ended terms - that the market can rise or fall in different scenarios. Think how you will make money on each of them, and don't be attached to any direction, any behavior and any "right." Think how you will make money on possible ups and possible downs, and don't be tied to any direction, any behavior and any "rationale."

Flexibility over the long term

In the long run, you can simulate for yourself many different profit and loss scenarios. Especially simulating, recalculating a series of losses works positively. It is sobering. If you are prepared for the worst that can happen, and you are able to survive it and come out on top - you are on your way to professionalism.

Be prepared for a series of battles and for the fact that even though you will lose some of them, in the end you must win the war.

Tip:
When preparing to enter the market, think about where you will enter, where you will put SL and where you will put TP. Think about the different ways you can manage an open order: what are your choices? Exit because the system gives a signal in the opposite direction? Exit because the market froze instead of moving in your direction? Exit because the indications of the indicators are changing?

Think through the different possibilities of market behavior. Together with them, think through your reactions and your decisions.

If you prepare in advance - the management of the order itself will no longer require thinking, but only the execution of the strategy adopted earlier. Such a situation is more advantageous, because the decision-making process in conditions when there is no pressure is better.

If you think through your reactions and decisions earlier order management will no longer require thinking, but the execution of the strategy adopted earlier. Such a situation is more advantageous because the decision-making process in conditions when there is no mental pressure is better.

Also think about what can knock you out, pull you away from your plan? What kind of distractions? Pets at home, family, phones? Think about how to eliminate these distractions or how to prepare for them when they occur.

Traits of master traders

Trading, systems, psyche is something unique. That is, every trader is different. At a certain level, traders participate in competitions, struggles with other traders.

At the next level they are left alone, especially the best. And the best of the best start struggling with themselves. They are themselves yesterday's benchmark for what they want to achieve today.

Thus, they enter the struggle with themselves, with this most important opponent.
Therefore, think about it and imitate them. Be better today than who you were yesterday. And tomorrow be better than who you are today.

Your new goal, which will lead you to the level of Master: "I will be the best trader I can be."