VIRTUAL/USDT — Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Roadmap (1D)

# Virtuals Protocol / USDT (MEXC) — Daily

## Bullish divergence at Wave ⑤ of C into the 0.5–0.786 pocket → building a 1–2 base for upside (targets 6.33 / 9.79 / 19.80)

**Timeframe:** 1D | **Exchange:** MEXC

### Summary

* Daily **A–B–C** correction looks **complete/near-complete**: sub-wave **C** subdivides into **5 down** with price making a **lower low** while momentum makes a **higher low** → **bullish divergence** between **③ and ⑤** at the bottom.
* Price is testing the **retracement box**: **0.5 ≈ 1.0311**, **0.618 ≈ 0.8299**, **0.786 ≈ 0.6093**.
* Base case: this area finalizes **Wave 2** → next is **impulsive Wave 3** up if lows hold.
* **Macro extensions from the chart:** **1.000 = 6.3306**, **1.236 = 9.7859**, **1.618 = 19.8044**.
* **Cycle invalidation:** take out the labeled **Low 0.4110** → 1–2 thesis off.

### Why I’m bullish here

1. **Structure:** Clear **5-down into C** with the **⑤ tag at the low** inside your yellow box → textbook terminal action for a corrective wave.
2. **Momentum:** MACD/oscillator prints **higher low** while price makes a marginal **lower low** from sub-wave **③ → ⑤** → **bullish divergence** right at support.
3. **Location:** Reversal attempt begins **inside the 0.5–0.786 retrace band** (≈ **1.0311 → 0.6093**), the classic **Wave-2** completion zone.

### Trade Plan (scenarios)

**A) Aggressive long (DCA in the pocket)**

* **Zone:** Accumulate across **0.618–0.786 (0.8299–0.6093)** if retested/swept.
* **Risk:** Hard **invalidation below 0.4110** (structural low on the chart).
* **Management:** First relief target back into **0.5–0.382** (**1.0311 → 1.2811**) to pay yourself, then let runners ride.

**B) Conservative confirmation**

* Wait for a **clean 5-up from the low and a shallow 3-down** that holds **above 0.618 (0.8299)**. If it prints, that’s your **1–2** trigger for **Wave 3**.

### Targets

* Step-ups: **1.000 = 6.3306** → **1.236 = 9.7859** → **1.618 = 19.8044** (macro objectives once a daily uptrend is confirmed).
* Near-term reaction levels on the way: **0.382 = 1.2811**, **0.5 = 1.0311**.

### Invalidation & risk

* **Lose 0.4110** with acceptance → **cycle invalid**; stand aside and reassess.
* **Risk per trade ≤ 1–2%**. Place the stop first, size second. If volatility widens, reduce size — don’t expand risk.

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**Disclosure**
Educational analysis only; **not financial advice**. Crypto is highly volatile. **Risk per trade ≤1–2%**.