XAU/USD: Peak Sweep Done, Price Distributing in Premium

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📊 Market Structure
• After a strong bullish leg, Gold formed a clear Liquidity Sweep at the highs around 4,261 USD (Fibo Sell), taking out all liquidity above that zone.
• From that high, price gradually weakened and printed a bearish ChoCH (loss of buying pressure; short-term structure no longer clean).
• Price is currently trading inside the premium zone between 4,190 – 4,241:
– 4,241 = Fibo Sell / liquidity extreme.
– 4,225 – 4,216 = lower premium zone, likely to react before retesting the highs.
– 4,190 = Liquidity Sweep + short-term support: only if price breaks below and retests from underneath will this zone flip into resistance for SELL continuation.

⇒ Current picture: short-term bearish bias, but sells should come from the premium zones (4,216–4,241) or only after a confirmed break of 4,190 — avoid chasing mid-range.

💎 Key Technical Zones
• Fibo Sell Zone: around 4,241.451 → optimal extreme for hunting SELL setups.
• Reaction Levels:
– 4,225.474
– 4,216.171
• Liquidity Sweep Support: 4,190.485 → main short-term support.
• Support / TP Zones:
– 4,163.586
– 4,155.294 (old OB)
– 4,142.755
– 4,116.058 (deeper low – extended target)

🎯 Trading Plan – SELL Priority From Premium

1️⃣ Primary SELL – Fibo Sell 4,241 & Premium 4,225–4,232
Ideal scenario: price retraces into the upper premium zone and prints a clear rejection signal (pin bar / engulfing / rejection volume).

• Entry 1: 4,225 – 4,232 (first scale-in)
• Entry 2: 4,235 – 4,241 (add if price sweeps higher)
• Stop Loss: above 4,250
• TP1: 4,190
• TP2: 4,163
• TP3: 4,155
• TP4: 4,142
• TP5: 4,116

→ Classic “sell the premium” setup: wait for price to return to the swept highs — avoid FOMO in the middle.

2️⃣ SELL Continuation – After Breaking 4,190
Only valid if we get a clear H1 close below 4,190, confirming the Liquidity Sweep zone has been violated and flipped into resistance.

• Condition: H1 close below 4,190 → wait for a retest of 4,190–4,195 from underneath
• Entry: 4,190 – 4,195
• SL: above 4,205
• TP1: 4,163
• TP2: 4,155
• TP3: 4,142
• TP4: 4,116

→ This setup is only for traders who prefer clean continuation after a confirmed break of support.

3️⃣ Countertrend BUY – Only From Deep Zones
• Aggressive: watch for reactions at 4,163 – 4,155. If strong rejection appears, consider a technical BUY retracement toward 4,190 – 4,216 (scalp).
• Conservative: wait for a deep test of 4,116 (stronger demand zone) before searching for BUY setups.

→ This is strictly countertrend; only take it if strong confirmation appears. Otherwise, skip and focus on SELL opportunities in premium zones.

🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is currently “hanging” within premium after a very clean top sweep.
The safest strategy is to let price return to 4,225–4,241 before selling, or wait for a confirmed break of 4,190 to play continuation. Avoid selling directly at 4,190 while it still acts as support.

“Sell the premium, respect the levels – liquidity never lies.” ⚜️

⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 02/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent

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Giao dịch đang hoạt động

XAU/USD – Over 1,200 PIPS Profit, Gold Accumulating for a New Phase ⚜️

Gold prices have recorded over 1,200 PIPS profit from the planned zones.

Initially, gold could not break the 4,190 USD zone and quickly returned to the 4,225 USD zone – the planned Sell zone.
Then, the price broke the 4,190 USD support zone, then retested this area and continued to drop an additional 270 PIPS profit.

Next, gold moved towards the Order Block (OB) zone but the selling pressure weakened. When the price hit the 4,163 USD support zone, strong buying pressure emerged, helping gold surge over 600 PIPS profit.

Currently, the price is fluctuating within the 4,190 – 4,225 USD zone.
If you have profits, take partial profits and move the Stop Loss to the entry point to secure your gains.
If gold breaks the 4,225 USD zone, the next target could be 4,241 USD, and further to 4,300 USD.

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