XAU/USD: Impact of Conflict and FOMC Minutes

12 thg 10, 2023

Gold hit a two-week peak during the Asian session, indicating a continued and robust recovery from a recent low near $1,810. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East strengthened gold's position as a safe-haven asset. The XAU/USD pair remains close to its daily peak, displaying persistent bullish momentum. However, it is trading below the bearish 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), presenting dynamic resistance around $1,880. Technical indicators are trending upwards within negative levels, indicating ongoing buying interest but without confirming a definitive bullish trend. The short-term risk seems tilted towards an upward trajectory, encountering a slight bearish challenge from the 100-day SMA while the 20-day SMA trends firmly upwards. Despite maintaining positive levels, technical indicators lack a clear directional signal. The Momentum indicator shows a bearish divergence, stabilizing below a recent high. Key support and resistance levels are provided. Moreover, recent fluctuations in gold's value are attributed to a weakening US Dollar and declining US Treasury bond yields due to safety demand amid geopolitical events in the Middle East. Expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike have decreased, affecting bond yields. Investors are cautious following the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and ahead of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The CPI is projected to rise by 3.6% YoY. Have a good trading day everyone, greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.