Gold on the Brink: Major Price Shift Expected – Will It Surge?

Theo Adlercon333
Key Observations:
4HR Channel:

The price is operating within a larger ascending channel on the 4HR timeframe. This channel is guiding the overall bullish momentum seen in the price action.

Weekly Flag:
The upper trendline of the weekly flag intersects with the current price movement, suggesting that this is a significant resistance level. The price is showing a potential reversal as it interacts with this upper boundary.

15M Channels:
Ascending Channel at the top of the 4HR channel: This smaller ascending channel within the larger 4HR channel might suggest a short-term bullish continuation, but it's also positioned at a critical resistance level, indicating a possible exhaustion point.
Descending Channel: Indicates a corrective phase within the overall uptrend. The price broke out of this descending channel, which led to the recent upward momentum, aligning with the weekly trend.

Potential Scenarios:

Bullish Continuation:
If the price manages to break above the ascending channel at the top of the 4HR channel, it could signal a strong bullish continuation. The price may retest the upper trendline of the weekly flag before further advancing.

Bearish Reversal:
Given the significant resistance from the weekly flag’s upper trendline and the upper boundary of the 4HR channel, a rejection here could lead to a decline. This might trigger a correction back down towards the lower liquidity zones (LQZ) marked on the chart.

Considerations:
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
The 15M LQZ around 2,485-2,477 is crucial. A break below these levels might confirm a bearish reversal, while a bounce could suggest accumulation before another upward push.

Mass Psychology:
As price approaches the upper resistance levels, watch for potential signs of exhaustion or overbought conditions, which could reflect a shift in trader sentiment, leading to a reversal.
Strategic Approach:

Risk vs. Reduced Risk Entry:
If looking to enter a trade, consider the possibility of a reduced risk entry on a corrective pullback to the lower 15M LQZ if the price respects these levels. Alternatively, if the price breaks above the ascending channel, a riskier entry might be taken on the breakout, with stops placed just below the channel's boundary.

Multi-Touch Confirmation:
Watch for a third touch or more on either the upper resistance or lower support levels to confirm a potential reversal or breakout, as per the rule of three discussed in your uploaded materials​​​.

This setup requires careful monitoring, especially at critical support/resistance levels, to determine the next directional move with confidence.
1hrchartAscending ChannelDescending ChannelFLAGGoldgoldtradingstrategyMultiple Time Frame AnalysismultitimeframeanalysisParallel ChannelstrategyTrend LinesXAUUSD
Adlercon333
This page is designed to:

Help you better understand your personal risk tolerance
Guide you through emotionally charged decisions
Improve your overall trading confidence and performance

Bài đăng liên quan

Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm