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GOLD Prices Surge on Fed Speculations and Technical Indicators

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OANDA:XAUUSD   Vàng / Đô la Mỹ
Gold Prices Surge on Fed Speculations and Technical Indicators

Gold prices continue to experience robust demand during Monday's European session, fueled by a combination of factors creating favorable conditions for the precious metal. Investors are exhibiting increased confidence in the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) implementing interest rate cuts starting in March, particularly following the release of unexpectedly soft Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers for December.

Market Dynamics:

The prevailing sentiment among investors is that a decrease in the prices of goods and services at the production level will contribute to easing inflationary pressures. This interpretation indicates a gradual decline in inflation, bringing it closer to the Fed's 2% target. Gold, often considered a hedge against inflation, is consequently attracting investments amid these expectations.

Technical Analysis:

Examining the technical aspect, the gold price aligns with our earlier forecasts, experiencing a rebound within the 61.8% Fibonacci zone. This rebound coincides with the convergence of the 200 moving average and the Dynamic trendline within a Bullish channel. These technical indicators suggest a potential bullish trend.

The Stochastic indicator indicates that the price is ready to exit from an oversold condition, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This aligns with our forecast of a new bullish impulse, with an initial target set at 2068. Further growth is anticipated, possibly approaching the resistance level around 2090.50.

Conclusion:

Gold's current ascent is propelled by a combination of fundamental factors, including expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and a decline in inflation. The technical analysis further supports this upward trajectory, with the rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci zone, convergence of moving averages, and the Stochastic indicator signaling a potential bullish move. As market participants monitor developments, the precious metal appears poised for further gains, providing investors with potential opportunities for both short-term and sustained growth.


Our preference

Long positions 61.8% Fibo Area with targets at 2068.00 & 2090.50 in extension.
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