Corn Futures (ZCU2025) – Heavy Structure, Heavy Pressure

📉 Corn Futures (ZCU2025) – Heavy Structure, Heavy Pressure

WaverVanir DSS shows continued downside probability in Corn as price compresses below the 0.786–1.272 fib zone and forms a supply rejection cluster near 4.10–4.27.

🧠 Macro Snapshot:
🌽 USDA WASDE (Aug 12) may revise yield upward amid favorable Midwest weather → bearish catalyst

🇧🇷 Brazil exports peaking + weak BRL = added global pressure

💵 Strong USD + elevated carry costs reduce long-side incentive

🏦 Fed tone remains hawkish → commodity bearish bias holding

🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Confirmed BOS → CHoCH → Lower High confirms bearish control

📐 Fibonacci clusters align at:

🔻 TP1: 3750–3640 (1.236–200% ext)

🔻 TP2: 3480–3400 (2.27–2.41 ext + strong low confluence)

🛑 Invalidation above 4110–4140 (structural break + 1.272 retrace buffer)

🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias)
Criteria Details
Entry Zone 3890–3880 (confirmed rejection candle)
TP1 3640 (volume/imbalance cluster)
TP2 3480 (fib confluence)
TP3 3270 (final extension)
Stop-Loss Close above 4110
Risk/Reward Targeting 3.2R at TP2

⚠️ What to Watch
📆 WASDE Aug 12

💬 CFTC Net Positioning (Fri)

🌡️ Weather swings (Corn Belt)

🧮 ZCU25 calendar spreads (ZCU25-ZCZ25)

🚀 The rocket is reserved for when fundamentals flip (e.g., yield shock, China buying). Until then, structure says one thing:

Smart money is hunting liquidity below 3640.

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