Yield Curve (1-10yr)

Yield curve of the 1-10 year US Treasury Bonds, with over 60 years of history.

The Yield Curve is the interest rate on the 10 year bond minus the 1 year bond.

When it inverts (crosses under 0) a recession usually follows 6-12 months later.
It's a great leading indicator to identify risk in the macroeconomic environment.

Yield curves can be constructed on varying durations. Using a 1-year as the short-term bond provides a slightly faster response than the 2-year bond; and the 1-year has more historical data on TradingView.