Stablecoin Supply Ratio [Alpha Extract]

Stablecoin Supply Ratio Indicator

The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) indicator compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to the aggregate supply of major stablecoins, offering insights into relative purchasing power and liquidity. This tool helps traders:

✔ Assess Bitcoin's buying power relative to the available stablecoin liquidity.
✔ Detect periods of capital inflow or outflow from stablecoins.
✔ Identify market sentiment shifts based on stablecoin reserves.

🔶 CALCULATION

The indicator aggregates the supply of key stablecoins and compares it to Bitcoin's market cap:

Stablecoin Aggregation
• Inputs:
USDT, USDC, DAI, USDD (daily closing values).
BUSD Market Cap (Glassnode data).

• Total Stablecoin Supply:
Sum of the listed stablecoins' market caps.

Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR)
• Formula:
SSR = Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Stablecoin Supply

• Normalized SSR:
Normalized by dividing SSR by its 200-day SMA.

Bollinger Bands
• Bands are applied to the normalized SSR using a configurable moving average type and 2 standard deviations.

Example Calculation:

ssr = btcmc / stablecoin_liq
ratio = ssr / ta.sma(ssr, 200)
basis = ta.sma(ratio, 200)
dev = 2 * ta.stdev(ratio, 200)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev

🔶 DETAILS

Visual Features:
• Normalized SSR:
Plotted as a light green line.

• Upper Band:
Red line indicating SSR overbought zone.

• Lower Band:
Green line signaling SSR oversold zone.

Interpretation:
• High SSR: Indicates stablecoin reserves are low relative to Bitcoin's market cap, reducing stablecoin buying power.
• Low SSR: Suggests high stablecoin liquidity relative to Bitcoin's market cap, increasing potential buying pressure.
• Band Crosses: Movements beyond the upper or lower bands may signal sentiment extremes.

🔶 EXAMPLES

Market insights include:
• Capital Outflows: SSR rising into the upper band may reflect decreasing stablecoin reserves, potentially signaling a liquidity drain.


• Capital Inflows: SSR dropping near the lower band could indicate growing stablecoin reserves, potentially fueling Bitcoin demand.


🔶 SETTINGS

Customization Options:
• MA Type: Choose between SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA, and VWMA for band calculation.
• Period: Adjust the 200-day smoothing period.
• Deviation Multiplier: Modify the standard deviation multiplier (default: 2).

The Stablecoin Supply Ratio indicator is a valuable tool for traders monitoring liquidity dynamics and stablecoin trends to anticipate Bitcoin market moves and capital flows.