Z Momentum

9 thg 9, 2023

Overview
This is a Z-Scored Momentum Indicator. It allows you to understand the volatility of a financial instrument. This indicator calculates and displays the momentum of z-score returns expected value which can be used for finding the regime or for trading inefficiencies.

Indicator Purpose:
The primary purpose of the "Z-Score Momentum" indicator is to help traders identify potential trading opportunities by assessing how far the current returns of a financial instrument deviate from their historical mean returns. This analysis can aid in recognizing overbought or oversold conditions, trend strength, and potential reversal points.

Things to note:[\b]
A Z-Score is a measure of how many standard deviations a data point is away from the mean.

EV: Expected Value, which is basically the average outcome.


When the Z-Score Momentum is above 0, there is a positive Z-Score which indicates that the current returns of the financial instrument are above their historical mean returns over the specified return lookback period, which could mean Positive, Momentum, and in a extremely high Z-Score value, like above +2 Standard deviations it could indicate extreme conditions, but keep in mind this doesn't mean price will go down, this is just the EV.

When the Z-Score Momentum is below 0, there is negative Z-Score which indicates that the current returns of the financial instrument are below their historical mean returns which means you could expect negative returns. In extreme Z-Score situations like -2 Standard deviations this could indicate extreme conditions and the negative momentum is coming to an end.

TDLR:
Interpretation:

• Positive Z-Score: When the Z-score is positive and increasing, it suggests that current returns are above their historical mean, indicating potential positive momentum.
  
• Negative Z-Score: Conversely, a negative and decreasing Z-score implies that current returns are below their historical mean, suggesting potential negative momentum.
  
• Extremely High or Low Z-Score: Extremely high (above +2) or low (below -2) Z-scores may indicate extreme market conditions that could be followed by reversals or significant price movements.
  

The lines on the Indicator highlight the Standard deviations of the Z-Score. It shows the Standard deviations 1,2,3 and -1,-2,-3.

16 thg 12, 2023

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