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AlphaTrend Strategy-Dexter

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📌 AlphaTrend Strategy – Brief Description

The AlphaTrend Strategy uses ATR with RSI/MFI filters to build a dynamic trend line.

Buy when AlphaTrend crosses above its past value (trend up).

Sell when AlphaTrend crosses below its past value (trend down).

Works as a trend-following system, but can whipsaw in sideways markets.

📊 Backtest Summary (Nifty 50, 10-min TF)

Period: Aug 19, 2024 – Sep 11, 2025

Metric Value
Total P&L ₹5,595.65 (+0.56%)
Total Trades 230
Win Rate 42.61%
Profit Factor 1.40
Max Equity Drawdown ₹1,704.15 (0.17%)
Sharpe Ratio -1.80 ❌
Sortino Ratio -0.87 ❌
⚠️ Observations & Risks

Profit Factor > 1 → profitable but thin edge.

Negative Sharpe & Sortino → risk-adjusted performance is poor (high volatility, low consistency).

Low Win Rate (42%) → depends heavily on a few big winners.

No Stop Loss / Take Profit → exposes account to streaks of losses.

Works better in trending markets, fails in choppy/sideways conditions.

✅ Caution: The system makes money on paper, but the risk profile is weak. Use strict money management and additional filters (higher timeframe trend or volume confirmation) before considering it live.

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