Relative PPP for USDBRL

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This indicator calculates the USDBRL exchange rate using the Relative Purchasing Power Parity method, which considers that the variation in the exchange rate is equal to the variation in inflation in Brazil minus the variation in inflation in the US. It is derived from the Law of One Price, which states that an identical good should have the same price in different markets when adjusted for exchange rates, assuming the absence of arbitrage barriers such as transaction costs or trade restrictions.

The indicator is calculated starting from June 1994, at the launch of the Real Plan, which equalized the value of the Brazilian Real and the US Dollar at that time. This indicator is useful for providing an idea of the long-term trend of the Dollar exchange rate (months or years), acting similarly to a moving average, around which the exchange rate gravitates.

It's useful for analysts who have to forecast the USDBRL in the long term.