The System

THE SYSTEM — Intraday Market Regime & Decision Framework

Overview THE SYSTEM is a closed-source market regime and decision-support framework designed for intraday use, specifically optimized for futures markets. The purpose of the system is not continuous signal generation, but the clear separation of tradable and non-tradable market environments, as well as the statistical reduction of decision-making errors.

Applied Elements and Methodology THE SYSTEM is built upon classical technical indicator families (trend, momentum, and volatility-based calculations); however, it does not use them as standalone indicators or for direct signal generation. The roles of these indicators are functionally separated and organized into a hierarchical decision architecture. These individual elements would not provide a trading signal on their own.

Architecture Overview The operation of the system is based on four mutually validating logical layers:

1. Market Regime Classification The system continuously classifies the market into one of the following states: Trending, Transitional, or Range/Chop. This classification is based on a combination of volatility, momentum, and structure-based measurements. In a Range/Chop state, signal generation is hard-blocked, and the system prohibits trading.

2. Directional Bias Engine (MTF / HTF Validation) Short-term movements are compared against higher-timeframe trend and structural analysis. The system excludes setups that run counter to the dominant direction, reducing the number of counter-trend and false breakout entries. HTF / MTF parameters are user-adjustable; any modifications are at the user's own risk.

3. Momentum & Volatility Filter Signals can only be activated if the current impulse energy exceeds an adaptive threshold and the volatility environment is statistically suitable for intraday trading. This module filters out low-participation moves, exhausted impulses, and noise-driven price fluctuations.

4. Price Action Validation Layer The system also analyzes the internal structure of candles: body-to-wick ratios, closing positions within the range, and impulse continuity. A signal is generated only if the movement is structurally consistent.

Why is it not an Indicator Mashup? THE SYSTEM does not combine indicator values; it builds chains of conditions. A signal can only arise if the market environment is tradable, the direction aligns with the higher timeframe structure, the momentum and volatility are appropriate, and the price action structure is valid. If any layer fails, the system provides no signal. This logic cannot be reproduced by simply merging indicators.

Visual Context Logic The background color is the system's primary decision filter:

🟢 Green – Bullish environment (long-only focus).

🔴 Red – Bearish environment (short-only focus).

⚪ Neutral – Transitional zone; both trend and reversal signals may appear.

⚫ Gray – Range / Chop state; signaling is prohibited.

Technical Characteristics of Signals Long, Short, Early Exit, and Trailing Stop signals may appear intra-bar, but they only become final upon the closing of the candle. The system does not repaint on a closed candle. A yellow signal warns of momentum exhaustion but is non-deterministic and does not appear in all cases.

Optimized Usage

Recommended Timeframe: 5 minutes. Reliability may decrease on lower timeframes due to market noise.

Typical Instruments: Index futures (NQ, ES, YM, RTY), Commodities (Gold, WTI Oil, Copper, Henry Hub Gas), and Crypto (BTC Futures / Perpetuals).

Why is it invite only? The added value is not the existence of the indicators used, but their functional separation, the hierarchical decision logic, and the framework that actively filters out statistically unfavorable trades. The system's goal is not more trades, but fewer, higher-quality decisions.

Disclaimer THE SYSTEM is not an automated strategy but a discretionary decision-support tool. Risk management, position sizing, and trade management are the sole responsibility of the user. Past results do not guarantee future performance.