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EMP Probabilistic [CHE]Part 1 — For Traders (Practical Overview, no formulas) What this tool does EMP Probabilistic \ turns raw price action into a clean, probability-aware map. It builds two adaptive bands around the session open of a higher timeframe you choose (called the S-timeframe) and highlights a robust median threshold. At a glance you know: Where price has recently tended to stay, Whether current momentum sits above or below the median, and A live Long vs. Short probability based on recent outcomes. Why it improves decisions Objective context in any regime: The nonparametric band comes straight from recent market behavior, without assuming a particular distribution. Volatility-aware risk lens: The parametric band adapts to current volatility, helping you judge stretch and room for continuation or snap-back. No lookahead: All stats update only after an S-bar is finished. That means the panel reflects information you truly had at that time. How to read the chart Orange band = empirical, distribution-free range derived from recent session returns (nonparametric). Teal band = volatility-scaled range around the session open (parametric). Median dots: green when close is above the median threshold, red when below. Info panel: shows the active S-timeframe, window sizes, live coverage for both bands, the internal width parameter and volatility estimate, plus a one-line summary. Probability label: “Long XX% • Short YY%” — a simple read on the recent balance of up vs. down S-bars. How to use it (quick start) 1. Choose S-timeframe with Auto, Multiplier, or Manual. “Auto” scales your chart TF up to a sensible higher step. 2. Set alpha to control how tight the inner band should be. A typical value gives you a comfortable center zone without cutting off healthy trends. 3. Trade the context: Trend-following: Prefer longs when price holds above the median; prefer shorts when it stays below. Mean-reversion: Fade moves near the outer edges during ranges; look for reversion back toward the median. Breakout filter: Require closes that push and hold beyond the volatility band for momentum plays; avoid noise when price chops inside the middle of the orange band. Risk management made practical Size positions relative to the teal band width to keep risk consistent across instruments and regimes. For stops, many traders set them just beyond the opposite orange bound or use a fraction of the teal band. Watch the panel’s coverage readouts and Brier score; when they deteriorate, the market may be shifting — reduce size or demand stronger confirmation. Suggested presets Scalping (Crypto/FX): Auto S-TF, alpha around a fifth, calibration window near two hundred, RS volatility, metrics window near two hundred. Intraday Futures: Multiplier 3–5× your chart TF; similar alpha and window sizes; RS volatility is a solid default. Swing/Equities: S-TF at least daily; test both RS and GK volatility modes; keep windows on the larger side for stability. What makes it different Two complementary lenses: a distribution-free read of recent behavior and a volatility-scaled read for risk and stretch. Self-calibrating width: the parametric band quietly nudges its internal multiplier so actual coverage tracks your target. Clean UX: grouped inputs, tooltips, an info panel that tells you what’s going on, and a simple median bias you can act on. Repainting & timing The logic updates only when the S-bar closes. On lower-timeframe charts you’ll see intrabar flips of the dot color — that’s just live price moving around. For strict signals, confirm on S-bar close. Friendly note (not financial advice) Use this as a context engine. It won’t predict the future, but it will keep you on the right side of probability and volatility more often, which is exactly where consistency starts. Part 2 — Under the Hood (Conceptual, no formulas) Data and timeframe design The script works on a higher S-timeframe you select. It fetches the open, high, low, close, and time of that S-bar. Internally, it only updates its rolling windows after an S-bar has finished. It then pushes the previous S-bar’s statistics into its arrays. That design removes lookahead and keeps the metrics out-of-sample relative to the current S-bar. Nonparametric band (distribution-free) The orange band comes from the empirical distribution of recent session-level close-minus-open moves. The script keeps a rolling window, sorts a safe copy, and reads three key points: a lower bound, a median, and an upper bound. Because it’s based purely on observed outcomes, it adapts naturally to skew, fat tails, and regime shifts without assuming any particular shape. The orange range shows “where price has tended to live” lately on the chosen S-timeframe. Parametric band (volatility-scaled) The teal band models log-space variability around the session open using one of two well-known OHLC volatility estimators: Rogers–Satchell or Garman–Klass. Each estimator contributes a per-bar variance figure; the script averages these across the rolling window to form a current volatility scale. It then builds a symmetric band around the session open in price space. This gives you a volatility-aware notion of stretch that complements the distribution-free orange band. Self-calibration of band width The teal band has an internal width multiplier. After each completed S-bar the script checks whether the realized move stayed inside that band. If the band was too tight, the multiplier is nudged upward; if it was too loose, it’s eased downward. A simple learning rate governs how quickly it adapts. Over time this keeps the realized inside-coverage close to the target implied by your alpha setting, without you having to hand-tune anything. Long/Short probability and calibration quality The Long vs. Short probability is a transparent statistic: it’s just the recent fraction of up sessions in the rolling window. It is not a complex model — and that’s the point. You get an honest, intuitive read on directional tendency. To monitor how well this simple probability lines up with reality, the script tracks a Brier-style score over a separate metrics window. Lower is better: it means your recent probability read has matched outcomes more closely. Coverage tracking for both bands The panel reports coverage for the orange band (nonparametric) and the teal band (parametric). These are rolling averages of how often recent S-bar moves landed inside each band. Watching these two numbers tells you whether market behavior still aligns with the recent distribution and with the current volatility model. Why it doesn’t repaint Because the arrays update only when an S-bar closes and only push the previous bar’s stats, the panel and metrics reflect information you had at the time. Intrabar visuals can change while a bar is forming — that’s expected — but the decision framework itself is anchored to completed S-bars. Performance and practicality The heaviest step is sorting a copy of the window for the nonparametric band. With typical window sizes this stays responsive on TradingView. The volatility estimators and rolling averages are lightweight. Inputs are grouped with clear tooltips so you can tune without hunting. Limitations and good practice In thin or gappy markets the bands can jump; consider a larger window or a higher S-timeframe. During violent regime shifts, shorten the window and increase the learning rate slightly so the teal band catches up faster — but don’t overdo it, or you’ll chase noise. The Long/Short probability is intentionally simple; it’s a context indicator, not a standalone signal factory. Combine it with structure, volume, or your execution rules. Takeaway Under the hood, the script blends empirical behavior and volatility scaling, then self-calibrates so the teal band’s real-world coverage stays near your target. You get clarity, consistency, and a dashboard that tells you when its own assumptions are holding up — exactly what you need to trade with confidence. Disclaimer The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context. Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved. By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk. Best regards and happy trading Chervolino
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi chervolino
ASX Historical Price Projection [360 Days Auto]The ASX Price Projection indicator is a forecasting tool that projects future price movement based on historical price action and user-defined parameters. Inspired by the cyclical nature of markets, this tool helps traders visualize how price could behave in the future — not with certainty, but as a modeled possibility based on past behavior patterns. What It Does: This tool replicates the price action from a chosen historical period and projects it into the future, optionally applying a drift factor (growth or contraction). This projection is visualized directly on the chart, helping traders anticipate potential future price paths based on recognizable past behavior. How It Works: The indicator automatically uses the most recent 360 bars of historical data as the projection template. This is fixed and not user-selectable. The selected price segment is replicated and extended into the future to simulate a possible price path. A Drift Factor (Growth Multiplier) can be applied to simulate bullish (positive) or bearish (negative) price drift. An Area Width parameter defines how wide the projection zone appears around the forecast line, helping to visualize uncertainty or price range tolerance. The projected path and its surrounding band are plotted forward from the current bar. Why It’s Unique: This script offers a simple yet powerful way to model potential future price action based on automatic historical pattern detection: No manual selection required — the last 360 bars are always used. The Drift Factor allows scenario testing for growth or decline. Area Width gives a realistic band around the projected path. Designed for visual modeling and hypothetical exploration — not predictive accuracy. How to Use: Load the indicator on any chart. The system automatically pulls the last 360 bars to generate the projection. Adjust the Drift Factor to simulate optimistic or pessimistic market scenarios. Set the Area Width to control the visual range around the projected line. Use the forecast to explore how price might evolve under similar conditions.
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi Salah1996
1
Sessions Highs & Lows with MTF Zones [AlgoRich] Sessions Highs & Lows with MTF Zones — Description for Publication What it does This indicator marks and works with intra-session extremes and repeating liquidity zones: Three configurable sessions (Asia / London / NY) with user-defined hours and colors. It shades the background during each session in your time zone (default UTC-3). Session High/Low: while a session is open, it continuously updates its High/Low; when the session closes, it places labels at the exact bars where those extremes occurred (using the session name). Equal Highs / Equal Lows (EQH / EQL) detection based on pivots and an ATR tolerance threshold. When two highs (or lows) are detected as “nearly equal,” it draws a line between them and tags EQH/EQL, highlighting potential liquidity/reaction areas. How it works (under the hood) The internal function f_sesion() checks whether a bar belongs to a session, whether it’s the start or end, and stores the session hi/lo and their bar_index. When the session ends, it creates the high/low labels. Pivots are computed with ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow using pivotLength. “Equality” between two extremes is decided by: |Extreme1 − Extreme2| ≤ ATR(confluenceAtrLength) × threshold. If Wait For Confirmation is enabled, the pivot must be fully formed (fewer signals, more robust). If disabled, it confirms with only 1 bar to the right (faster, more sensitive). Parameters General UTC Zone: string like UTC-3 to evaluate session times correctly. Session 1 / 2 / 3 Session name (e.g., Asia, London, NY). Hours (format HHMM-HHMM, 24h). Background shading ON/OFF and background color. Label colors for the session’s High and Low. Settings Pivot Length: left/right bars to form a pivot. ATR Length: ATR period used for the equality tolerance. Threshold (0–1): ATR multiplier to decide whether two extremes are “equal” (e.g., 0.10 = difference ≤ 0.1 × ATR). Wait For Confirmation: true = fully confirmed pivots; false = quicker confirmation (more anticipation, more noise). Reading & suggested use Session High/Low often act as liquidity references and potential resistance/support for the following session. EQH/EQL can point to resting liquidity (areas prone to sweeps or breaks). Use it as a map: combine these references with your plan (e.g., London/NY ORB, VWAP, order blocks).
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi AlgoRichPRO
eksOr - Charm + Vanna Window (Monthly OPEX)What This Does This indicator highlights the monthly “Charm + Vanna window” around standard monthly options expiration (the 3rd Friday, i.e., monthly OPEX). It’s a time-based overlay that shades either: Pre-OPEX: from the first calendar day of the month through the day before OPEX, or Post-OPEX: from OPEX (3rd Friday) through month-end. Use it to quickly see periods when index/stock flows are often influenced by charm (delta change from time decay) and vanna (delta change from IV moves), which can impact intramonth behavior. How It Works Automatically computes the third Friday each month (monthly OPEX) in your chosen timezone. Lets you nudge the default window with Start/End calendar-day offsets (±10) to match your playbook. Optionally draws vertical dotted lines and S/E labels on the bars where the window starts/ends. Shows a compact table (top-right) with the current mode and the Start/End dates of the active month. Triggers alerts on the exact bars where the window STARTS and ENDS. Inputs Window Mode: Pre-OPEX (start → OPEX-1) or Post-OPEX (OPEX → month end) Timezone: Select from common exchanges/regions Start/End Offsets: Shift boundaries by calendar days (e.g., start +2, end −1) Style: Toggle shading, transparency, color, and start/end lines/labels Why it’s useful Many traders track the pre-OPEX build-up and post-OPEX reset for potential flow-driven behavior. This tool doesn’t predict direction; it frames time so you can align other signals (price, breadth, vol, dealer positioning, etc.) within a consistent monthly structure. Notes & limitations This is not a signal or guarantee of charm/vanna effects—just a calendar window commonly associated with them. OPEX logic uses the standard 3rd Friday (monthly equity/index options). It does not account for special exchange holidays or instrument-specific settlement quirks. For best results, combine with your own vol/positioning dashboards (IV, skew, gamma exposure, open interest changes, etc.). Tips Use Pre-OPEX mode to visualize potential decay/roll dynamics into OPEX. Use Post-OPEX mode to frame potential position resets into month-end. Adjust offsets to match how your market/instrument tends to behave (e.g., start earlier if flows show up sooner).
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi eksOr
Moving Averages with Alerts: 9, 21, 51, 100, 144, 200--- This indicator plots six configurable moving averages (MA) with options for EMA, SMA, RCI, HMA, and Pivô Boss types. It highlights key crossover points, especially monitoring the 9-period MA for crosses with others. Users can enable alerts for these crossovers, as well as set custom alerts between any two selected MAs. Additionally, the indicator marks the important crossovers of the 51 and 200 MAs on the chart with an “X”. This helps traders identify trend changes and potential entry or exit points efficiently. ---
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi P2Coin
Price Level Highlighter [ldlwtrades]This indicator is a minimalist and highly effective tool designed for traders who incorporate institutional concepts into their analysis. It automates the identification of key psychological price levels and adds a unique, dynamic layer of information to help you focus on the most relevant area of the market. Inspired by core principles of market structure and liquidity, it serves as a powerful visual guide for anticipating potential support and resistance. The core idea is simple: specific price points, particularly those ending in round numbers or common increments, often act as magnets or barriers for price. While many indicators simply plot static lines, this tool goes further by intelligently highlighting the single most significant level in real-time. This dynamic feature allows you to quickly pinpoint where the market is currently engaged, offering a clear reference point for your trading decisions. It reduces chart clutter and enhances your focus on the immediate price action. Features Customizable Price Range: Easily define a specific Start Price and End Price to focus the indicator on the most relevant area of your chart, preventing unnecessary clutter. Adjustable Increment: Change the interval of the lines to suit your trading style, from high-frequency increments (e.g., 10 points) for scalping to wider intervals (e.g., 50 or 100 points) for swing trading. Intelligent Highlighting: A key feature that automatically identifies and highlights the single horizontal line closest to the current market price with a distinct color and thickness. This gives you an immediate visual cue for the most relevant price level. Highly Customizabile: Adjust the line color, style, and width for both the main lines and the highlighted line to fit your personal chart aesthetic. Usage Apply the indicator to your chart. In the settings, input your desired price range (Start Price and End Price) to match the market you are trading. Set the Price Increment to your preferred density. Monitor the chart for the highlighted line. This is your active price level and a key area of interest. Combine this tool with other confirmation signals (e.g., order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity pools) to build higher-probability trade setups. Best Practices Pairing: This tool is effective across all markets, including stocks, forex, indices, and crypto. It is particularly useful for volatile markets where price moves rapidly between psychological levels. Mindful Analysis: Use the highlighted level as a reference point for your analysis, not as a standalone signal. A break above or below this level can signify a shift in market control. Backtesting: Always backtest the indicator on your preferred market and timeframe to understand how it performs under different conditions.
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi ldlwtrades
CointégrationThis Pine Script v6 indicator approximates cointegration between ES and NQ futures by calculating a dynamic beta (hedge ratio) using manual covariance and variance on closing prices over a user-defined lookback period. It computes a mean-reverting spread as ES - (beta * NQ), then normalizes it into a Z-score for divergence detection. The script plots the Z-score with customizable thresholds and triggers alerts for potential trades, like long ES/short NQ when Z-score drops below -2. Add it to an ES1! or NQ1! chart for visualization, but backtest thoroughly as it's not a full statistical test.
Chỉ báo Pine Script®
bởi Grogusama