US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84(5), 1397-1408.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147-180.
Cochrane, J. H. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton University Press.
Cormen, T. H., Leiserson, C. E., Rivest, R. L., & Stein, C. (2009). Introduction to algorithms. MIT Press.
Doz, C., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2011). A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering. Journal of Econometrics, 164(1), 188-205.
Dzeng, R. J., & Lin, Y. C. (2004). Intelligent agents for supporting construction procurement negotiation. Expert Systems with Applications, 27(1), 107-119.
Elliot, A. J., & Maier, M. A. (2014). Color psychology: Effects of perceiving color on psychological functioning in humans. Annual Review of Psychology, 65, 95-120.
Few, S. (2006). Information dashboard design: The effective visual communication of data. O'Reilly Media.
Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. Macmillan.
Foley, J. D., van Dam, A., Feiner, S. K., & Hughes, J. F. (1995). Computer graphics: Principles and practice. Addison-Wesley.
Gordon, M. J. (1962). The investment, financing, and valuation of the corporation. Richard D. Irwin.
Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economics, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
Koenig, E. F. (2002). Using the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy. Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1(6), 1-14.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstfeld, M. (2009). International economics: Theory and policy. Pearson.
Ludvigson, S. C. (2004). Consumer confidence and consumer spending. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(2), 29-50.
Macaulay, F. R. (1938). Some theoretical problems suggested by the movements of interest rates, bond yields and stock prices in the United States since 1856. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Mishkin, F. S. (2012). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Pearson.
Nielsen, J. (1993). Usability engineering. Academic Press.
Norman, D. A. (2013). The design of everyday things: Revised and expanded edition. Basic Books.
OECD (2008). Handbook on constructing composite indicators: Methodology and user guide. OECD Publishing.
Oppenheim, A. V., & Schafer, R. W. (2009). Discrete-time signal processing. Prentice Hall.
Sahm, C. (2019). Direct stimulus payments to individuals. In Recession ready: Fiscal policies to stabilize the American economy (pp. 67-92). The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution.
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caracalla ema long short signal📌 Indicator Name
caracalla ema long short signal
This script generates long and short trading signals using multiple technical indicators: EMAs, MACD, RSI, Stochastic, and volume.
🔧 Indicators Used
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
ema5, ema20, ema60, ema120 — used to determine overall trend direction.
2. Trend Confirmation (MA Alignment)
Bullish alignment: ema5 > ema20 > ema60 > ema120
Bearish alignment: ema5 < ema20 < ema60 < ema120
3. Crossover Signals
Golden Cross: ema5 crosses above ema20
Dead Cross: ema5 crosses below ema20
4. MACD
Standard parameters: 12, 26, 9
MACD Long: MACD line crosses above signal line
MACD Short: MACD line crosses below signal line
5. RSI & Stochastic
RSI(14): checks momentum
Stochastic (%K, %D)
Bullish: RSI > 50 and Stochastic %K crosses above %D
Bearish: RSI < 50 and Stochastic %K crosses below %D
6. Volume Filter
20-period simple average volume
Volume Up: Current volume > 120% of average
Volume Down: Current volume < 80% of average
✅ Signal Logic
📈 Long Signal (longSignal)
Triggered when 3 or more of the following are true:
EMA bullish alignment
Golden cross
MACD bullish crossover
RSI > 50 and Stochastic bullish crossover
High volume
📉 Short Signal (shortSignal)
Triggered when 3 or more of the following are true:
EMA bearish alignment
Dead cross
MACD bearish crossover
RSI < 50 and Stochastic bearish crossover
Low volume
📊 Visual Elements
Long Signal: Green “롱” label below the candle
Short Signal: Red “숏” label above the candle
EMA Lines:
EMA5 (Blue)
EMA20 (Orange)
EMA60 (Green)
EMA120 (Red)
Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter
# Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter
🚀 The Ultimate Currency Strength Analysis Tool for Forex Traders
This sophisticated indicator measures and compares the relative strength of major currencies (EUR, GBP, USD, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD) to help you identify the strongest and weakest currencies in real-time, providing clear trading signals based on currency strength differentials.
## 📊 What This Indicator Does
The Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter analyzes currency relationships across 28+ major forex pairs and 8 currency indices to determine which currencies are gaining or losing strength. Instead of relying on individual pair analysis, this tool gives you a bird's-eye view of the entire forex market, helping you:
Identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time
Find high-probability trading opportunities by pairing strong vs weak currencies
Avoid ranging markets by detecting when currencies have similar strength
Get clear LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL signals for your current trading pair
Optimize your trading strategy based on your preferred timeframe and holding period
## ⚙️ How The Indicator Works
### Dual Calculation Method
The indicator uses a sophisticated dual approach for maximum accuracy:
Pairs-Based Analysis: Calculates currency strength from 28+ major forex pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, etc.)
Index-Based Analysis: Incorporates official currency indices (DXY, EXY, BXY, JXY, CXY, AXY, SXY, ZXY)
Weighted Combination: Blends both methods using smart weighting for enhanced accuracy
### Smart Auto-Optimization System
The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on your chart timeframe and intended holding period:
The system recognizes that scalping requires different sensitivity than swing trading, automatically optimizing lookback periods, analysis timeframes, signal thresholds, and index weights.
### Strength Calculation Process
Fetches price data from multiple timeframes using optimized tuple requests
Calculates percentage change over the specified lookback period
Optionally normalizes by ATR (Average True Range) to account for volatility differences
Combines pair-based and index-based calculations using dynamic weighting
Generates relative strength by comparing base currency vs quote currency
Produces clear trading signals when strength differential exceeds threshold
## 🎯 How To Use The Indicator
### Quick Start
Add the indicator to any forex pair chart
Enable 🧠 Smart Auto-Optimization (recommended for beginners)
Watch for LONG 🚀 signals when the relative strength line is green and above threshold
Watch for SHORT 🐻 signals when the relative strength line is red and below threshold
Avoid trading during NEUTRAL ⚪ periods when currencies have similar strength
Note: This is highly recommended to couple this indicator with fundamental analysis and use it as an extra signal.
### 📋 Parameters Reference
#### 🤖 Smart Settings
🧠 Smart Auto-Optimization: (Default: Enabled) Automatically optimizes all parameters based on chart timeframe and trading style
#### ⚙️ Manual Override
These settings are only active when Smart Auto-Optimization is disabled:
Manual Lookback Period: (Default: 14) Number of periods to analyze for strength calculation
Manual ATR Period: (Default: 14) Period for ATR normalization calculation
Manual Analysis Timeframe: (Default: 240) Higher timeframe for strength analysis
Manual Index Weight: (Default: 0.5) Weight given to currency indices vs pairs (0.0 = pairs only, 1.0 = indices only)
Manual Signal Threshold: (Default: 0.5) Minimum strength differential required for trading signals
#### 📊 Display
Show Signal Markers: (Default: Enabled) Display triangle markers when signals change
Show Info Label: (Default: Enabled) Show comprehensive information label with current analysis
#### 🔍 Analysis
Use ATR Normalization: (Default: Enabled) Normalize strength calculations by volatility for fairer comparison
#### 💰 Currency Indices
💰 Use Currency Indices: (Default: Enabled) Include all 8 currency indices in strength calculation for enhanced accuracy
#### 🎨 Colors
Strong Currency Color: (Default: Green) Color for positive/strong signals
Weak Currency Color: (Default: Red) Color for negative/weak signals
Neutral Color: (Default: Gray) Color for neutral conditions
Strong/Weak Backgrounds: Background colors for clear signal visualization
### 🧠 Smart Optimization Profiles
The indicator automatically selects optimal parameters based on your chart timeframe:
#### ⚡ Scalping Profile (1M-5M Charts)
For positions held for a few minutes:
Lookback: 5 periods (fast/sensitive)
Analysis Timeframe: 15 minutes
Index Weight: 20% (favor pairs for speed)
Signal Threshold: 0.3% (sensitive triggers)
#### 📈 Intraday Profile (10M-1H Charts)
For positions held for a few hours:
Lookback: 12 periods (balanced sensitivity)
Analysis Timeframe: 4 hours
Index Weight: 40% (balanced approach)
Signal Threshold: 0.4% (moderate sensitivity)
#### 📊 Swing Profile (4H-Daily Charts)
For positions held for a few days:
Lookback: 21 periods (stable analysis)
Analysis Timeframe: Daily
Index Weight: 60% (favor indices for stability)
Signal Threshold: 0.5% (conservative triggers)
#### 📆 Position Profile (Weekly+ Charts)
For positions held for a few weeks:
Lookback: 30 periods (long-term view)
Analysis Timeframe: Weekly
Index Weight: 70% (heavily favor indices)
Signal Threshold: 0.6% (very conservative)
### Entry Timing
Wait for clear LONG 🚀 or SHORT 🐻 signals
Avoid trading during NEUTRAL ⚪ periods
Look for signal confirmations on multiple timeframes
### Risk Management
Stronger signals (higher relative strength values) suggest higher probability trades
Use appropriate position sizing based on signal strength
Consider the trading style profile when setting stop losses and take profits
💡 Pro Tip: The indicator works best when combined with your existing technical analysis. Use currency strength to identify which pairs to trade, then use your favorite technical indicators to determine when to enter and exit.
## 🔧 Key Features
28+ Forex Pairs Analysis: Comprehensive coverage of major currency relationships
8 Currency Indices Integration: DXY, EXY, BXY, JXY, CXY, AXY, SXY, ZXY for enhanced accuracy
Smart Auto-Optimization: Automatically adapts to your trading style and timeframe
ATR Normalization: Fair comparison across different currency pairs and volatility levels
Real-Time Signals: Clear LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL signals with visual markers
Performance Optimized: Efficient tuple-based data requests minimize external calls
User-Friendly Interface: Simplified settings with comprehensive tooltips
Multi-Timeframe Support: Works on any timeframe from 1-minute to monthly charts
Transform your forex trading with the power of currency strength analysis! 🚀
Previous VWAP Levels by Riotwolftrading The "Previous VWAP" indicator calculates and displays the previous session's Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) for five timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly).
Each VWAP is plotted as a horizontal line extending to the right edge of the chart, with customizable labels at the right to identify each level. The indicator is designed for traders who want to visualize key price levels from prior periods without cluttering the chart with current VWAPs or additional metrics like standard deviations.
**Functionality**:
- **Calculates Previous VWAPs**: Computes the VWAP for the previous session of each timeframe (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly) based on the input source (default: `hlc3`) and volume.
- **Visual Style** : Uses `line.new` to draw horizontal lines from five bars back to the current bar, ensuring the lines extend to the right edge of the chart. Labels are placed at the right edge using `label.new` for clear identification.
- **Customization** : Allows users to toggle visibility, adjust line styles, widths, colors, and label sizes, and choose between abbreviated or full label text.
- **Minimalist Design**: Focuses solely on previous VWAPs, omitting current VWAPs, rolling VWAPs, and standard deviation bands to keep the chart clean.
**Intended Use**: This indicator is useful for traders who rely on historical VWAP levels as support/resistance or reference points for trading decisions, particularly in strategies involving mean reversion or breakout trading.
---
### Rules and Features
*VWAP Calculation**:
- The VWAP is calculated as the cumulative sum of price (`src`) multiplied by volume (`sumSrcVol`) divided by the cumulative volume (`sumVol`) for each timeframe.
- The "previous VWAP" is the VWAP value from the prior session, captured when a new session begins (e.g., new day, week, month, etc.).
- The indicator uses the `hlc3` (average of high, low, close) as the default source, but users can modify this in the settings.
**Timeframes**:
- **Daily**: Previous day's VWAP.
- **Weekly**: Previous week's VWAP.
- **Monthly**: Previous month's VWAP.
- **Quarterly**: Previous quarter's VWAP (3 months).
- **Yearly**: Previous year's VWAP (12 months).
- New sessions are detected using `ta.change(time(period))` for each timeframe.
**Line Drawing**:
- Lines are drawn using `line.new` from `time ` (five bars back) to the current bar (`time`), ensuring they extend to the right edge of the chart.
- Lines are updated only on the last confirmed bar (`barstate.islast`) to optimize performance and avoid repainting.
- Previous lines are deleted (`line.delete`) to prevent overlapping or clutter.
**Labels**:
- Labels are drawn at the right edge (`x=time`, `xloc=xloc.bar_time`) with `label.new`.
- Users can choose between abbreviated labels (e.g., "pvD" for Previous Daily VWAP) or full labels (e.g., "Prev Daily VWAP").
- Label sizes are customizable (`tiny`, `small`, `normal`, `large`, `huge`).
- Labels are deleted (`label.delete`) on each update to maintain a clean chart.
5. **Customization Options**:
- **Visibility**: Toggle each VWAP (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly) on or off.
- **Colors**: Individual color settings for each VWAP line and label (default colors: Daily=#E12D7B, Weekly=#F67B52, Monthly=#EDCD3B, Quarterly=#3BBC54, Yearly=#2665BD).
- **Line Style**: Choose from `solid`, `dotted`, or `dashed` lines.
- **Line Width**: Adjustable from 1 to 4 pixels.
- **Label Settings**: Enable/disable labels, abbreviate text, and select label size.
- **Source**: Customize the price source (default: `hlc3`).
**Performance Optimization**:
- The indicator only updates lines and labels on the last confirmed bar to minimize computational overhead.
- Uses `var` to initialize variables and avoid unnecessary recalculations.
- Deletes previous lines and labels to prevent chart clutter.
---
### Usage Instructions
1. **Add to Chart**:
- In TradingView, go to the Pine Editor, paste the script, and click "Add to Chart."
- The indicator will overlay on the price chart, showing previous VWAP lines and labels.
2. **Configure Settings**:
- Open the indicator settings to customize:
- Toggle visibility of each VWAP timeframe.
- Adjust colors, line style, and width.
- Enable/disable labels, choose abbreviation, and set label size.
- Modify the source if needed (e.g., use `close` instead of `hlc3`).
3. **Interpretation**:
- **Previous VWAPs**: Act as dynamic support/resistance levels based on the prior session's volume-weighted price.
- **Timeframes**: Use shorter timeframes (Daily, Weekly) for intraday/swing trading, and longer timeframes (Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly) for positional trading.
- **Labels**: Identify each VWAP level at the right edge of the chart for quick reference.
4. **Best Practices**:
- Use on charts with sufficient volume data, as VWAP relies on volume (a warning is triggered if no volume data is available).
- Combine with other indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI) for confirmation in trading strategies.
- Adjust line styles and colors to avoid visual overlap with other chart elements.
---
### Example Use Case
A trader using a 1-hour chart can add the "Previous VWAP" indicator to identify key levels from the prior day, week, or month. For example:
- The Previous Daily VWAP might act as a support level for a bullish trend.
- The Previous Weekly VWAP could serve as a target for a swing trade.
- Labels at the right edge make it easy to identify these levels without cluttering the chart.
This indicator provides a clean, customizable way to visualize previous VWAPs, making it ideal for traders who want historical price context with minimal chart noise. For the complete Pine Script code, refer to the artifact provided in the previous response.
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
1EMA + 1MACD + 1RSI Crypto Strategy AB 092Title: EMA + MACD + RSI Crypto Strategy
Overview:
This is a trend-following and momentum-based crypto trading strategy built for 1H, 4H, and 1D timeframes, combining three proven indicators:
EMA 50 & EMA 200 Crossover – identifies long-term trend direction.
MACD Crossover (12, 26, 9) – confirms momentum shift.
RSI Filter (14) – avoids overbought/oversold traps and refines entries.
Buy Entry Conditions:
EMA 50 > EMA 200 (Golden Cross)
MACD line crosses above signal line
RSI is between 45 and 70
Sell Entry Conditions:
EMA 50 < EMA 200 (Death Cross)
MACD line crosses below signal line
RSI is between 30 and 55
Risk Management:
Configurable Take Profit and Stop Loss percentages via inputs.
Default: 3% TP, 1.5% SL (adjustable based on timeframe and asset volatility).
Best For:
Intraday trades on 1H (BTC, ETH, SOL)
Swing trades on 4H
Position entries on 1D (top 50 altcoins)
This script includes visual Buy/Sell signals, alert conditions, and customizable SL/TP logic — making it a clean, actionable, and reliable strategy for crypto traders.
Dynamic S/R System - Pivot + ChannelDynamic S/R System - Pivot + Channel
A comprehensive Support & Resistance indicator combining dual methodologies for institutional-grade price level analysis
📊 CORE FEATURES
Dual Detection System
• Pivot-Based Levels - Historical turning points with intelligent touch counting
• Dynamic Channel S/R - Trend-aware linear regression boundaries
• Smart Level Management - Auto-merges similar levels, removes weak/outdated ones
Volume Integration
• Multi-timeframe volume analysis using EMA oscillator and spike detection
• Volume confirmation for all breakout signals to filter false moves
• Real-time volume status (Normal/High/Spike) in live information panel
Intelligent Touch Counting
• Automatic level validation through touch frequency analysis
• Strength classification with visual differentiation (colors/thickness)
• Level labels showing exact touch count (S3, R5, etc.)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎨 VISUAL ELEMENTS
Line System
Solid Lines: Pivot-based S/R levels
Dashed Lines: Dynamic channel boundaries
Color Coding:
• 🔵 Blue/🔴 Red: Standard support/resistance
• 🟠 Orange: Strong levels (multiple touches)
• 🟣 Purple: Channel S/R levels
Signal Labels
• "B" - Pivot S/R breakout with volume confirmation
• "CB" - Channel boundary breakout
• "Bull/Bear Wick" - False breakout detection (wick rejections)
Information Panel
Real-time analysis displays:
• Total resistance/support levels detected
• Closest S/R levels to current price
• Volume status and position relative to levels
• Current market position assessment
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ KEY ADVANTAGES
Multi-Method Validation
Combines historical pivot analysis with dynamic trend channels for comprehensive market view
False Breakout Protection
• Volume confirmation requirements
• Wick analysis to identify failed attempts
• Multiple validation criteria before signal generation
Adaptive Level Management
• Automatically updates as new pivots form
• Removes outdated/weak levels
• Maintains clean, relevant level display
Institutional-Grade Analysis
• Touch counting reveals institutional respect levels
• Volume integration shows smart money activity
• Strength classification identifies high-probability zones
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⏰ OPTIMAL USE CASES
Best Timeframes
• Daily - Primary recommendation for swing trading
• 4-Hour - Intraday analysis and entries
• Weekly - Long-term position planning
Ideal Markets
• Crypto pairs (especially ETH/BTC, BTC/USD)
• Forex majors with good volume data
• Large-cap stocks with institutional participation
Trading Applications
• Entry/exit planning around key S/R levels
• Breakout confirmation with volume validation
• Risk management using nearest S/R for stops
• Trend analysis through channel dynamics
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⚙️ CONFIGURATION GUIDELINES
Conservative Setup (Higher Confidence)
Min Pivot Strength: 3-4
Volume Threshold: 25-30%
Max Levels: 6-8
Aggressive Setup (More Signals)
Min Pivot Strength: 2
Volume Threshold: 15-20%
Max Levels: 10-12
🔔 ALERT SYSTEM
Breakout Alerts
• Resistance/Support breaks with volume confirmation
• Channel boundary violations
• Approaching strong S/R levels
Advanced Notifications
• Strong level approaches (within 0.5% of price)
• False breakout detection
• Volume spike confirmations
📈 TRADING STRATEGY GUIDE
Entry Strategy
1. Wait for price to approach identified S/R level
2. Confirm with volume analysis (spike/high volume preferred)
3. Watch for wick formations indicating rejection
4. Enter on confirmed breakout with volume or bounce with rejection
Risk Management
• Use nearest S/R level for stop placement
• Scale position size based on level strength (touch count)
• Monitor volume confirmation for exit signals
Market Context
• Combine with higher timeframe trend analysis
• Consider overall market sentiment and volatility
• Use channel direction for bias confirmation
Transform complex S/R analysis into actionable trading intelligence with institutional-level insights for professional trading decisions.
RSI and MACD Divergence IndicatorThe RSI and MACD Divergence Indicator is a custom Pine Script v6 indicator designed for TradingView that identifies and visualizes divergences between price movements and two technical indicators: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Here's a brief explanation of its functionality:
Divergence Detection: The indicator detects both regular and hidden divergences for RSI, MACD (MACD Line), and Histogram. Regular bullish divergences occur when price makes a lower low but the indicator makes a higher low (suggesting a potential reversal upward), while regular bearish divergences occur when price makes a higher high but the indicator makes a lower high (suggesting a potential reversal downward). Hidden divergences indicate continuation patterns (e.g., higher low in price with a lower low in the indicator for bullish continuation).
Customizable Inputs:
Pivot Bars: Sets the number of bars used to confirm pivot highs and lows (default: 5).
RSI and MACD Parameters: Allows adjustment of RSI length (default: 14) and MACD settings (fast: 12, slow: 26, signal: 9).
Toggle Options: Enables/disables detection of regular and hidden divergences for RSI, MACD, and Histogram individually.
Confirmation: Option to wait for pivot confirmation (default: true), delaying divergence display until the pivot is fully formed.
Show Only Last Divergence: Toggles between showing only the most recent divergence (default: true) or all detected divergences (false), with previous lines and labels cleared when true.
Minimum Divergences: Sets the minimum number of divergence types required at a pivot to display (default: 1, max: 6).
Maximum Pivot Points: Limits the number of historical pivot points to check (default: 10).
Maximum Bars to Check: Restricts analysis to the last specified number of bars (default: 500).
Visualization:
Draws lines connecting the price pivot points where divergences are detected, with customizable colors, widths, and styles (solid, dashed, dotted) for RSI and MACD.
Displays a single label per pivot with vertically stacked text listing all detected divergence types (e.g., "RSI Bull Div\nMACD Bull Div"), using semi-transparent backgrounds (green for bullish, red for bearish) and white text.
Liquidity Zones, EMAs, Market Cipher BAll In One, market cipher b, divergences, ema 12/21/50/200, and liquidity zones
9:45am NIFTY TRADINGTime Frame: 15 Minutes | Reference Candle Time: 9:45 AM IST | Valid Trading Window: 3 Hours
📌 Introduction
This document outlines a structured trading strategy for NIFTY & BANKNIFTY Options based on a 15-minute timeframe with a 9:45 AM IST reference candle. The strategy incorporates technical indicators, probability analysis, and strict trading rules to optimize entries and exits.
📊 Core Features
1. Reference Time Trading System
9:45 AM IST Candle acts as the reference for the day.
All signals (Buy/Sell/Reversal) are generated based on price action relative to this candle.
The valid trading window is 3 hours after the reference candle.
2. Signal Generation Logic
Signal Condition
Buy (B) Price breaks above reference candle high with confirmation
Sell (S) Price breaks below reference candle low with confirmation
Reversal (R) Early trend reversal signal (requires strict confirmation)
3. Probability Analysis System
The strategy calculates Win Probability (%) using 4 components:
Component Weight Calculation
Body Win Probability 30% Based on candle body strength (body % of total range)
Volume Win Probability 30% Current volume vs. average volume strength
Trend Win Probability 40% EMA crossover + RSI momentum alignment
Composite Probability - Weighted average of all 3 components
Probability Color Coding:
🟢 Green (High Probability): ≥70%
🟠 Orange (Medium Probability): 50-69%
🔴 Red (Low Probability): <50%
4. Timeframe Enforcement
Strictly 15-minute charts only (no other timeframes allowed).
System auto-disables signals if the wrong timeframe is selected.
📈 Technical Analysis Components
1. EMA System (Trend Analysis)
Short EMA (9) – Fast trend indicator
Middle EMA (20) – Intermediate trend
Long EMA (50) – Long-term trend confirmation
Rules:
Buy Signal: Price > 9 EMA > 20 EMA > 50 EMA (Bullish trend)
Sell Signal: Price < 9 EMA < 20 EMA < 50 EMA (Bearish trend)
2. Multi-Timeframe RSI (Momentum)
5M, 15M, 1H, 4H, Daily RSI values are compared for divergence/confluence.
Overbought (≥70) / Oversold (≤30) conditions help in reversal signals.
3. Volume Analysis
Volume Strength (%) = (Current Volume / Avg. Volume) × 100
Strong Volume (>120% Avg.) confirms breakout/breakdown.
4. Body Percentage (Candle Strength)
Body % = (Close - Open) / (High - Low) × 100
Strong Bullish Candle: Body > 60%
Strong Bearish Candle: Body < 40%
📊 Visual Elements
1. Information Tables
Reference Data Table (9:45 AM Candle High/Low/Close)
RSI Values Table (5M, 15M, 1H, 4H, Daily)
Signal Legend (Buy/Sell/Reversal indicators)
2. Chart Overlays
Reference Lines (9:45 AM High & Low)
EMA Lines (9, 20, 50)
Signal Labels (B, S, R)
3. Color Coding
High Probability (Green)
Medium Probability (Orange)
Low Probability (Red)
⚠️ Important Usage Guidelines
✅ Best Practices:
Trade only within the 3-hour window (9:45 AM - 12:45 PM IST).
Wait for confirmation (closing above/below reference candle).
Use probability score to filter high-confidence trades.
❌ Avoid:
Trading outside the 15-minute timeframe.
Ignoring volume & RSI divergence.
Overtrading – Stick to 1-2 high-probability setups per day.
🎯 Conclusion
This NIFTY Trading Strategy is optimized for 15-minute charts with a 9:45 AM IST reference candle. It combines EMA trends, RSI momentum, volume analysis, and probability scoring to generate high-confidence signals.
🚀 Key Takeaways:
✔ Reference candle defines the day’s bias.
✔ Probability system filters best trades.
✔ Strict 15M timeframe ensures consistency.
Happy Trading! 📈💰
UngliMulti-Indicator Confluence System
This is a **multi-indicator confluence trading signal system** called "Ungli" that combines RSI, ADX, and MACD to identify high-probability momentum opportunities when used alongside chart pattern and trend line breakouts.
## Core Concept
The script identifies moments when multiple technical indicators align to suggest potential price momentum moves, specifically looking for oversold and overbought conditions with momentum confirmation. Use green and red highlights along with chart patterns and trend line breakouts that signal a breakout for confluence for a likely momentum move.
## Technical Indicators Used
**RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- Default 14-period RSI
- Oversold threshold: < 40
- Overbought threshold: > 60
**ADX (Average Directional Index)**
- Default 14-period ADX with DI+ and DI-
- Threshold: 21
- Looks for ADX below threshold but ticking upward (momentum building)
**MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Fast: 12, Slow: 26, Signal: 9
- Uses MACD line direction as trend filter
## Signal Logic
**Green Background (Bullish Momentum Signal):**
- RSI > 60 (overbought)
- ADX < 21 AND rising
- MACD line trending upward
**Red Background (Bearish Momentum Signal):**
- RSI < 40 (oversold)
- ADX < 21 AND rising
- MACD line trending downward
## Key Strategy Elements
1. **Confluence Approach**: Requires all three indicators to align, reducing false signals
2. **Momentum Filter**: ADX must be building (rising) even if low, indicating emerging trend strength
3. **Trend Confirmation**: MACD direction must match the expected move
4. **Visual Simplicity**: Clean background highlighting without chart clutter
5. **Pattern Integration**: Designed to work with chart patterns and breakout strategies
## Use Case
This indicator is designed for swing trading and breakout strategies, identifying moments when oversold/overbought conditions coincide with building momentum in the expected direction. The ADX filter helps avoid choppy, trendless markets. Best used in conjunction with:
- Support/resistance breakouts
- Chart pattern breakouts (triangles, flags, channels)
- Trend line breaks
- Key level violations
The background highlights serve as confluence confirmation when combined with your chart analysis and breakout setups.
Momentum Reversal StrategyBEST USE IN 15MIN TIME FRAME EURUSD / XAUSUD
1. Strategy Overview
This strategy hunts short-term momentum reversals at key levels during high-liquidity sessions.
Timeframes: 5-minute for entries; 15-minute for trend context
Sessions: London for EUR/USD & GBP/USD; New York for XAU/USD
Pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, XAU/USD
Indicators (3 max):
EMA(20) and EMA(50) (close)
MACD (12, 26, 9) histogram
Optional: RSI(14) (for divergence filter)
2. Entry Rules
Trend Filter (15 min):
Long only if EMA20 > EMA50; short only if EMA20 < EMA50.
Price-Action Zone (5 min):
Identify recent swing high/low within past 20 bars.
Draw horizontal support (for longs) or resistance (for shorts).
Indicator Alignment (5 min):
MACD histogram crossing from negative to positive for longs, positive to negative for shorts.
Candle close beyond EMA20 in direction of trade.
Candle Confirmation:
Bullish engulfing or hammer at support for longs; bearish engulfing or shooting star at resistance for shorts.
Entry Execution:
Place market order on candle close that meets all above.
3. Exit Rules
Stop-Loss (SL):
Long: 1.5× ATR(14) below entry candle low.
Short: 1.5× ATR(14) above entry candle high.
Take-Profit (TP):
Set at 2× SL distance (RR 1:2).
Trailing SL:
After price moves 1× SL in profit, trail SL to breakeven.
Partial Booking:
Close 50% at 1× SL (50% of TP), move SL to entry.
Close remaining at full TP.
4. Trade Management
False Signal Filter: Skip trades when RSI(14) > 70 for longs or < 30 for shorts (avoids overbought/oversold extremes).
One Trade at a Time: No multiple positions on same pair.
Session Cutoff: Close any open trade 15 minutes before session end.
5. Risk Parameters
Risk per Trade: 1% of account equity.
Reward Target: ≥2% (1:2 RR) per trade.
Win-Rate Expectancy: ≥75% based on indicator confluence and price-action confirmation.
HSI1! First 30m Candle Strategy (15m Chart)## HSI1! First 30-Minute Candle Breakout Strategy (15m Chart) — Description
### Overview
This strategy is designed for trading **Hang Seng Index (HSI) Futures** on a 15-minute chart. It uses the price range established during the first 30 minutes of the Hong Kong main session (09:15–09:44:59) to define key breakout levels for a systematic trade entry each day.
### How the Strategy Works
#### 1. Reference Candle Period
- **Aggregation Window:** The strategy monitors the first two 15-minute bars of the session (09:15:00–09:44:59 HKT).
- **Range Capture:** It records the highest and lowest prices (the "reference high/low") during this window.
#### 2. Trade Setup
- After the 09:45 bar completes, the reference range is locked in.
- Throughout the rest of the trading day (within session hours), the strategy looks for breakouts beyond the reference range.
#### 3. Entry Rules
- **Long Entry (Buy):**
- Triggered if price rises to or above the reference high.
- Only entered if the user's settings permit "Buy Only" or "Both".
- **Short Entry (Sell):**
- Triggered if price falls to or below the reference low.
- Only entered if the user's settings permit "Sell Only" or "Both".
- **Single trade per day:**
- Once any trade executes, no additional trades are opened until the next session.
#### 4. Exit Rules
- **Take Profit (TP):**
- Target profit is set to a distance equal to the initial range added above the long entry (or subtracted below the short entry).
- Example: For a 100-point range, a long trade targets entry + 100 points.
- **Stop Loss (SL):**
- Longs are stopped out if price falls back to the session's reference low; shorts are stopped out if price rallies to the reference high.
#### 5. Session Control
- Active only within the regular day session (09:15–12:00 and 13:00–16:00 HKT).
- Trade tracking resets each new trading day.
#### 6. Trade Direction Manual Setting
- A user input allows restriction to "Buy Only", "Sell Only" or "Both" directions, providing discretion over daily bias.
### Example Workflow
| Step | Action |
|---------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| 09:15–09:44 | Aggregate first two 15m candles; record daily high/low |
| After 09:45 | Wait for a breakout (price crossing either the high or the low) |
| Long trade triggered | Enter at the reference high, target is "high + range", SL is at the low |
| Short trade triggered | Enter at the reference low, target is "low - range", SL at the high |
| Trade management | No more trades for the day, regardless of further breakouts |
| End of session (if open) | Trades may be closed per further logic or left to strategy to handle |
### Key Features and Benefits
- **Discipline:** Only one trade per day, minimizing overtrading.
- **Clarity:** Transparent entry/exit rules; no discretionary execution.
- **Flexibility:** User can bias system to buy-only, sell-only, or allow both, depending on trend or personal view.
- **Simple Risk Control:** Pre-defined stop loss and profit target for every trade.
- **Works best in:** Trending, breakout-prone markets with a history of impulsive moves early in the session.
This strategy is ideal for systematic traders looking to capture the Hang Seng's early session momentum, with robust rule-based management and minimal intervention.
SPY, QQQ, VIX Status TableBased on Ripster EMA and 1 hour MTF Clouds, this custom TradingView indicator displays a visual trend status table for SPY, QQQ, and VIX using multiple timeframes and EMA-based logic to be used on any stock ticker.
🔍 Key Features:
✅ Tracks 3 symbols: SPY, QQQ, and VIX
✅ Multiple trend conditions:
10-min (5/12 EMA) Ripster cloud trend
10-min (34/50 EMA) Ripster cloud trend
1-Hour Multi-Timeframe Ripster EMA trend
Daily open/close trend
✅ Color-coded trend strength:
🟩 Green = Bullish
🟥 Red = Bearish
🟨 Yellow = Sideways
✅ TO save screen space, customizations available:
Show/hide individual rows (SPY, QQQ, VIX)
Show/hide any trend column (10m, 1H MTF, Daily)
Change header/background colors and font color
Bold white top row for readability
✅ Auto-updating table appears on your chart, top-right
This tool is great for active traders looking to quickly scan short-term and longer-term momentum in key market instruments without having to go back and forth market charts.
Smart MTF S/R Levels[BullByte]
Smart MTF S/R Levels
Introduction & Motivation
Support and Resistance (S/R) levels are the backbone of technical analysis. However, most traders face two major challenges:
Manual S/R Marking: Drawing S/R levels by hand is time-consuming, subjective, and often inconsistent.
Multi-Timeframe Blind Spots: Key S/R levels from higher or lower timeframes are often missed, leading to surprise reversals or missed opportunities.
Smart MTF S/R Levels was created to solve these problems. It is a fully automated, multi-timeframe, multi-method S/R detection and visualization tool, designed to give traders a complete, objective, and actionable view of the market’s most important price zones.
What Makes This Indicator Unique?
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Simultaneously analyzes up to three user-selected timeframes, ensuring you never miss a critical S/R level from any timeframe.
Multi-Method Confluence: Integrates several respected S/R detection methods—Swings, Pivots, Fibonacci, Order Blocks, and Volume Profile—into a single, unified system.
Zone Clustering: Automatically merges nearby levels into “zones” to reduce clutter and highlight areas of true market consensus.
Confluence Scoring: Each zone is scored by the number of methods and timeframes in agreement, helping you instantly spot the most significant S/R areas.
Reaction Counting: Tracks how many times price has recently interacted with each zone, providing a real-world measure of its importance.
Customizable Dashboard: A real-time, on-chart table summarizes all key S/R zones, their origins, confluence, and proximity to price.
Smart Alerts: Get notified when price approaches high-confluence zones, so you never miss a critical trading opportunity.
Why Should a Trader Use This?
Objectivity: Removes subjectivity from S/R analysis by using algorithmic detection and clustering.
Efficiency: Saves hours of manual charting and reduces analysis fatigue.
Comprehensiveness: Ensures you are always aware of the most relevant S/R zones, regardless of your trading timeframe.
Actionability: The dashboard and alerts make it easy to act on the most important levels, improving trade timing and risk management.
Adaptability: Works for all asset classes (stocks, forex, crypto, futures) and all trading styles (scalping, swing, position).
The Gap This Indicator Fills
Most S/R indicators focus on a single method or timeframe, leading to incomplete analysis. Manual S/R marking is error-prone and inconsistent. This indicator fills the gap by:
Automating S/R detection across multiple timeframes and methods
Objectively scoring and ranking zones by confluence and reaction
Presenting all this information in a clear, actionable dashboard
How Does It Work? (Technical Logic)
1. Level Detection
For each selected timeframe, the script detects S/R levels using:
SW (Swing High/Low): Recent price pivots where reversals occurred.
Pivot: Classic floor trader pivots (P, S1, R1).
Fib (Fibonacci): Key retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786) over the last 50 bars.
Bull OB / Bear OB: Institutional price zones based on bullish/bearish engulfing patterns.
VWAP / POC: Volume Weighted Average Price and Point of Control over the last 50 bars.
2. Level Clustering
Levels within a user-defined % distance are merged into a single “zone.”
Each zone records which methods and timeframes contributed to it.
3. Confluence & Reaction Scoring
Confluence: The number of unique methods/timeframes in agreement for a zone.
Reactions: The number of times price has touched or reversed at the zone in the recent past (user-defined lookback).
4. Filtering & Sorting
Only zones within a user-defined % of the current price are shown (to focus on actionable areas).
Zones can be sorted by confluence, reaction count, or proximity to price.
5. Visualization
Zones: Shaded boxes on the chart (green for support, red for resistance, blue for mixed).
Lines: Mark the exact level of each zone.
Labels: Show level, methods by timeframe (e.g., 15m (3 SW), 30m (1 VWAP)), and (if applicable) Fibonacci ratios.
Dashboard Table: Lists all nearby zones with full details.
6. Alerts
Optional alerts trigger when price approaches a zone with confluence above a user-set threshold.
Inputs & Customization (Explained for All Users)
Show Timeframe 1/2/3: Enable/disable analysis for each timeframe (e.g., 15m, 30m, 1h).
Show Swings/Pivots/Fibonacci/Order Blocks/Volume Profile: Select which S/R methods to include.
Show levels within X% of price: Only display zones near the current price (default: 3%).
How many swing highs/lows to show: Number of recent swings to include (default: 3).
Cluster levels within X%: Merge levels close together into a single zone (default: 0.25%).
Show Top N Zones: Limit the number of zones displayed (default: 8).
Bars to check for reactions: How far back to count price reactions (default: 100).
Sort Zones By: Choose how to rank zones in the dashboard (Confluence, Reactions, Distance).
Alert if Confluence >=: Set the minimum confluence score for alerts (default: 3).
Zone Box Width/Line Length/Label Offset: Control the appearance of zones and labels.
Dashboard Size/Location: Customize the dashboard table.
How to Read the Output
Shaded Boxes: Represent S/R zones. The color indicates type (green = support, red = resistance, blue = mixed).
Lines: Mark the precise level of each zone.
Labels: Show the level, methods by timeframe (e.g., 15m (3 SW), 30m (1 VWAP)), and (if applicable) Fibonacci ratios.
Dashboard Table: Columns include:
Level: Price of the zone
Methods (by TF): Which S/R methods and how many, per timeframe (see abbreviation key below)
Type: Support, Resistance, or Mixed
Confl.: Confluence score (higher = more significant)
React.: Number of recent price reactions
Dist %: Distance from current price (in %)
Abbreviations Used
SW = Swing High/Low (recent price pivots where reversals occurred)
Fib = Fibonacci Level (key retracement levels such as 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786)
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price (price level weighted by volume)
POC = Point of Control (price level with the highest traded volume)
Bull OB = Bullish Order Block (institutional support zone from bullish price action)
Bear OB = Bearish Order Block (institutional resistance zone from bearish price action)
Pivot = Pivot Point (classic floor trader pivots: P, S1, R1)
These abbreviations appear in the dashboard and chart labels for clarity.
Example: How to Read the Dashboard and Labels (from the chart above)
Suppose you are trading BTCUSDT on a 15-minute chart. The dashboard at the top right shows several S/R zones, each with a breakdown of which timeframes and methods contributed to their detection:
Resistance zone at 119257.11:
The dashboard shows:
5m (1 SW), 15m (2 SW), 1h (3 SW)
This means the level 119257.11 was identified as a resistance zone by one swing high (SW) on the 5-minute timeframe, two swing highs on the 15-minute timeframe, and three swing highs on the 1-hour timeframe. The confluence score is 6 (total number of method/timeframe hits), and there has been 1 recent price reaction at this level. This suggests 119257.11 is a strong resistance zone, confirmed by multiple swing highs across all selected timeframes.
Mixed zone at 118767.97:
The dashboard shows:
5m (2 SW), 15m (2 SW)
This means the level 118767.97 was identified by two swing points on both the 5-minute and 15-minute timeframes. The confluence score is 4, and there have been 19 recent price reactions at this level, indicating it is a highly reactive zone.
Support zone at 117411.35:
The dashboard shows:
5m (2 SW), 1h (2 SW)
This means the level 117411.35 was identified as a support zone by two swing lows on the 5-minute timeframe and two swing lows on the 1-hour timeframe. The confluence score is 4, and there have been 2 recent price reactions at this level.
Mixed zone at 118291.45:
The dashboard shows:
15m (1 SW, 1 VWAP), 5m (1 VWAP), 1h (1 VWAP)
This means the level 118291.45 was identified by a swing and VWAP on the 15-minute timeframe, and by VWAP on both the 5-minute and 1-hour timeframes. The confluence score is 4, and there have been 12 recent price reactions at this level.
Support zone at 117103.10:
The dashboard shows:
15m (1 SW), 1h (1 SW)
This means the level 117103.10 was identified by a single swing low on both the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes. The confluence score is 2, and there have been no recent price reactions at this level.
Resistance zone at 117899.33:
The dashboard shows:
5m (1 SW)
This means the level 117899.33 was identified by a single swing high on the 5-minute timeframe. The confluence score is 1, and there have been no recent price reactions at this level.
How to use this:
Zones with higher confluence (more methods and timeframes in agreement) and more recent reactions are generally more significant. For example, the resistance at 119257.11 is much stronger than the resistance at 117899.33, and the mixed zone at 118767.97 has shown the most recent price reactions, making it a key area to watch for potential reversals or breakouts.
Tip:
“SW” stands for Swing High/Low, and “VWAP” stands for Volume Weighted Average Price.
The format 15m (2 SW) means two swing points were detected on the 15-minute timeframe.
Best Practices & Recommendations
Use with Other Tools: This indicator is most powerful when combined with your own price action analysis and risk management.
Adjust Settings: Experiment with timeframes, clustering, and methods to suit your trading style and the asset’s volatility.
Watch for High Confluence: Zones with higher confluence and more reactions are generally more significant.
Limitations
No Future Prediction: The indicator does not predict future price movement; it highlights areas where price is statistically more likely to react.
Not a Standalone System: Should be used as part of a broader trading plan.
Historical Data: Reaction counts are based on historical price action and may not always repeat.
Disclaimer
This indicator is a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management and consult a financial advisor if needed.
FSTO - Fast Slow Trend OscillatorFSTO Indicator: Fast Slow Trend Oscillator
Introduction
The FSTO (Fast Slow Trend Oscillator) is a powerful momentum indicator designed to identify trend direction, strength, and potential reversal points in financial markets. Based on the relationship between short-term and long-term exponential moving averages (EMAs), FSTO provides clear visual signals and actionable alerts to help traders make informed decisions.
Key Features
1. Dual-Line Visualization
FSTO Line: The difference between short-term and long-term EMAs
Signal Line: Smoothed version of the FSTO line for confirmation
2. Comprehensive Trend Analysis
Zero Line: Clearly marks the boundary between bullish and bearish territory
Color Zones:
Green area: Positive momentum (bullish)
Red area: Negative momentum (bearish)
3. Intelligent Alert System
Zero Line Cross Alerts: Signals when trend direction changes
Signal Line Cross Alerts: Identifies entry and exit points
Visual Markers: Triangle indicators highlight important cross events
4. Information Panel
Real-time display of:
Current FSTO value
Trend direction (Bullish/Bearish)
Momentum strength (Strengthening/Weakening)
How It Works
FSTO calculates the difference between two EMAs:
复制
FSTO Line = EMA(close, shortPeriod) - EMA(close, longPeriod)
Signal Line = EMA(FSTO, signalPeriod)
The indicator then:
Identifies when FSTO crosses above/below zero (trend change)
Detects when FSTO crosses above/below its signal line (entry/exit signals)
Visualizes momentum strength through color zones
Provides real-time alerts for key events
Recommended Settings
Market Short EMA Long EMA Signal Line
Stocks 12 26 9
Cryptocurrency 8 21 5
Forex 10 30 7
Commodities 14 28 8
Trading Signals
Bullish Trend: FSTO > 0
Bearish Trend: FSTO < 0
Buy Signal: FSTO crosses above signal line
Sell Signal: FSTO crosses below signal line
Strong Buy: Bullish cross below zero line
Strong Sell: Bearish cross above zero line
How to Use
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart
Configure EMA periods based on your trading style
Set up alerts for key events:
Zero line crosses (trend changes)
Signal line crosses (entry/exit points)
Combine with other indicators for confirmation
Use information panel for quick market assessment
Benefits
Clear visualization of trend direction
Early detection of momentum shifts
Customizable parameters for different markets
Actionable alerts for timely trading decisions
Comprehensive information panel for quick analysis
The FSTO indicator is an essential tool for traders seeking to identify trend direction, momentum strength, and potential reversal points across all timeframes and market conditions.
PnL_EMA_TRACK12_PRO_3.3_full_adjusted# Multi-Ticker Support
Manage up to 12 tickers simultaneously.
- For each symbol, input share quantities, entry prices, and two optional additional entry points (E2, E3) with their own shares and offset percentages.
- Dynamic handling of inputs using arrays for easier maintenance and scalability.
# Average Cost and PnL Calculation
- Computes weighted average entry costs across all position parts (E1 and optionally E2 and E3).
- Calculates real-time Profit & Loss (PnL) both in USD and percentage relative to the current price.
- Color-coded values: green for profit, red for loss — for quick visual feedback.
# Moving Averages as Benchmarks
- Uses daily EMAs (10, 21, 65) and 15-minute SMA 200 as reference levels.
- Calculates percentage deviations of these moving averages from the average entry price.
- Calculates dollar differences based on the total shares held.
# Chart Visualization
- Draws a dashed yellow line for the average cost of each position.
- Optionally draws two additional lines and labels for E2 (blue) and E3 (purple) if activated.
- Lines extend to the right to emphasize current relevance.
- Labels can be positioned left or right, with customizable horizontal offset.
# Interactive Table in Chart
- Positions the info table in any chosen corner or center of the chart (top/right/left/middle, etc.).
- Displays symbol, PnL (dollar and percentage), and deviations to key EMAs and SMA.
- Colors PnL values according to profit or loss for instant clarity.
# User-Friendly Settings
- Flexible font size options for both the table and labels.
- Customizable colors for positive and negative values (default green/red).
- Choice of label position and X-axis offset to fit your chart style.
Max Drawdown (Asset-Based Lookback)Max Drawdown (Long-Term Trading)
🟦 Majors BTC, ETH, BNB, LTC 180 – 365
Captures full correction cycles and recovery patterns (6–12 months).
🟩 Altcoins SOL, ADA, DOT, LINK, AVAX 90 – 180
Alts move faster than majors; 3–6 months catches most large swings.
🟥 Meme coins DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, FLOKI 60 – 120
Volatile with quick trend reversals; 2–4 months captures parabolic runs + drawdowns.
📅 Chart Timeframe:
Use Daily (1D) timeframe for all these.
For extra macro insight, try Weekly (1W) with 52 bars (≈ 1 year).
Compare multiple assets using the same period to assess relative risk.
If you're building a long-term portfolio, combine this with:
200-day SMA or EMA for trend context.
Sharpe Ratio or Sortino Ratio if you're looking for risk-adjusted return metrics.
day trading check indicatorDay Trading Check Indicator
By Trades per Minute · Creator: Trader Malik
Overview
The Day Trading Check Indicator is an on‐chart status panel that gives you a quick “go/no-go” snapshot of four key metrics—MACD, VWAP, Float, and Bearish Sell-Off—directly in TradingView’s top-right corner. It’s designed for fast decision-making during high-velocity intraday sessions, letting you instantly see whether each metric is “bullish” (green) or “bearish” (red), plus live float data.
What It Shows
Column Description
Metric The name of each metric: MACD, VWAP, Float, Bearish Sell-Off
Status/Value A color-coded status (“GREEN”/“RED” or “YES”/“NO”) or the float value formatted in K/M/B
Metrics & Calculations
MACD (1-Minute)
Calculation: Standard MACD using EMA (12) – EMA (26) with a 9-period signal line, all fetched from the 1-minute timeframe via request.security().
Status:
GREEN if MACD ≥ Signal
RED if MACD < Signal
VWAP (Session-Anchored)
Calculation: Built-in session VWAP (ta.vwap(close)) resets each new trading session.
Status:
GREEN if current price ≥ VWAP
RED if current price < VWAP
Float
Calculation: Retrieves syminfo.shares_outstanding_float (total float), then scales it into thousands (K), millions (M), or billions (B), e.g. “12.3 M.”
Display: Always shown as the absolute float value, white on semi-transparent black.
Bearish Sell-Off
Calculation: Checks the last five 1-minute bars for any “high-volume down” candle (volume above its 20-bar SMA and close < open).
Status:
YES if at least one such bar occurred in the past 5 minutes
NO otherwise
Key Features
Dynamic Table: Automatically shows only the metrics you enable via the Display Options group.
Size Selector: Choose Small, Medium, or Large text for easy visibility.
Clean Styling: Distinct header row with custom background, consistent row shading, centered status text, and a subtle gray border.
Lightweight Overlay: No cluttering plots—just a concise status panel in the corner.
Published by Trader Malik / Trades per Minute
Version: Pine Script v5
WVAD with Gap Compensation**Indicator Name:** WVAD with Gap Compensation
**Purpose:** Enhances the classic Williams Vix Fix (WVAD) by incorporating the impact of price gaps (jump ups/downs) in its calculation.
**Key Features:**
1. **Gap Detection:** Automatically identifies significant gaps (default: >0.5% from prior bar's high/low).
2. **Gap Compensation:** Adjusts the WVAD calculation by adding the gap size to the daily price change.
3. **Dynamic Weighting:** Applies a multiplier (1.2x or 1.5x) to the WVAD value on days with medium/large gaps (based on ATR).
4. **Visualization:**
- Plots the enhanced WVAD line (blue) and optionally the original WVAD (gray circles).
- Marks gap events with colored arrows (green ▲ for gap up, red ▼ for gap down) and connects the gap's impact with dashed lines.
- Includes a zero line for reference.
**Use Cases:**
- Gauges the true strength of money flow by accounting for gaps.
- Identifies potential trend shifts around gap events.
- Filters noise by focusing on significant gaps.
**Parameters:**
- `Accumulation Period`: Number of days to sum WVAD (default: 12).
- `Gap Threshold (%)`: Minimum gap size to trigger compensation (default: 0.5%).
- `Show Original WVAD`: Toggles display of the classic WVAD.
**Version:** Pine Script® v6
Active PMI Support/Resistance Levels [EdgeTerminal]The PMI Support & Resistance indicator revolutionizes traditional technical analysis by using Pointwise Mutual Information (PMI) - a statistical measure from information theory - to objectively identify support and resistance levels. Unlike conventional methods that rely on visual pattern recognition, this indicator provides mathematically rigorous, quantifiable evidence of price levels where significant market activity occurs.
- The Mathematical Foundation: Pointwise Mutual Information
Pointwise Mutual Information measures how much more likely two events are to occur together compared to if they were statistically independent. In our context:
Event A: Volume spikes occurring (high trading activity)
Event B: Price being at specific levels
The PMI formula calculates: PMI = log(P(A,B) / (P(A) × P(B)))
Where:
P(A,B) = Probability of volume spikes occurring at specific price levels
P(A) = Probability of volume spikes occurring anywhere
P(B) = Probability of price being at specific levels
High PMI scores indicate that volume spikes and certain price levels co-occur much more frequently than random chance would predict, revealing genuine support and resistance zones.
- Why PMI Outperforms Traditional Methods
Subjective interpretation: What one trader sees as significant, another might ignore
Confirmation bias: Tendency to see patterns that confirm existing beliefs
Inconsistent criteria: No standardized definition of "significant" volume or price action
Static analysis: Doesn't adapt to changing market conditions
No strength measurement: Can't quantify how "strong" a level truly is
PMI Advantages:
✅ Objective & Quantifiable: Mathematical proof of significance, not visual guesswork
✅ Statistical Rigor: Levels backed by information theory and probability
✅ Strength Scoring: PMI scores rank levels by statistical significance
✅ Adaptive: Automatically adjusts to different market volatility regimes
✅ Eliminates Bias: Computer-calculated, removing human interpretation errors
✅ Market Structure Aware: Reveals the underlying order flow concentrations
- How It Works
Data Processing Pipeline:
Volume Analysis: Identifies volume spikes using configurable thresholds
Price Binning: Divides price range into discrete levels for analysis
Co-occurrence Calculation: Measures how often volume spikes happen at each price level
PMI Computation: Calculates statistical significance for each price level
Level Filtering: Shows only levels exceeding minimum PMI thresholds
Dynamic Updates: Refreshes levels periodically while maintaining historical traces
Visual System:
Current Levels: Bright, thick lines with PMI scores - your actionable levels
Historical Traces: Faded previous levels showing market structure evolution
Strength Tiers: Line styles indicate PMI strength (solid/dashed/dotted)
Color Coding: Green for support, red for resistance
Info Table: Real-time display of strongest levels with scores
- Indicator Settings:
Core Parameters
Lookback Period (Default: 200)
Lower (50-100): More responsive to recent price action, catches short-term levels
Higher (300-500): Focuses on major historical levels, more stable but less responsive
Best for: Day trading (100-150), Swing trading (200-300), Position trading (400-500)
Volume Spike Threshold (Default: 1.5)
Lower (1.2-1.4): More sensitive, catches smaller volume increases, more levels detected
Higher (2.0-3.0): Only major volume surges count, fewer but stronger signals
Market dependent: High-volume stocks may need higher thresholds (2.0+), low-volume stocks lower (1.2-1.3)
Price Bins (Default: 50)
Lower (20-30): Broader price zones, less precise but captures wider areas
Higher (70-100): More granular levels, precise but may be overly specific
Volatility dependent: High volatility assets benefit from more bins (70+)
Minimum PMI Score (Default: 0.5)
Lower (0.2-0.4): Shows more levels including weaker ones, comprehensive view
Higher (1.0-2.0): Only statistically strong levels, cleaner chart
Progressive filtering: Start with 0.5, increase if too cluttered
Max Levels to Show (Default: 8)
Fewer (3-5): Clean chart focusing on strongest levels only
More (10-15): Comprehensive view but may clutter chart
Strategy dependent: Scalpers prefer fewer (3-5), swing traders more (8-12)
Historical Tracking Settings
Update Frequency (Default: 20 bars)
Lower (5-10): More frequent updates, captures rapid market changes
Higher (50-100): Less frequent updates, focuses on major structural shifts
Timeframe scaling: 1-minute charts need lower frequency (5-10), daily charts higher (50+)
Show Historical Levels (Default: True)
Enables the "breadcrumb trail" effect showing evolution of support/resistance
Disable for cleaner charts focusing only on current levels
Max Historical Marks (Default: 50)
Lower (20-30): Less memory usage, shorter history
Higher (100-200): Longer historical context but more resource intensive
Fade Strength (Default: 0.8)
Lower (0.5-0.6): Historical levels more visible
Higher (0.9-0.95): Historical levels very subtle
Visual Settings
Support/Resistance Colors: Choose colors that contrast well with your chart theme Line Width: Thicker lines (3-4) for better visibility on busy charts Show PMI Scores: Toggle labels showing statistical strength Label Size: Adjust based on screen resolution and chart zoom level
- Most Effective Usage Strategies
For Day Trading:
Setup: Lookback 100-150, Volume Threshold 1.8-2.2, Update Frequency 10-15
Use PMI levels as bounce/rejection points for scalp entries
Higher PMI scores (>1.5) offer better probability setups
Watch for volume spike confirmations at levels
For Swing Trading:
Setup: Lookback 200-300, Volume Threshold 1.5-2.0, Update Frequency 20-30
Enter on pullbacks to high PMI support levels
Target next resistance level with PMI score >1.0
Hold through minor levels, exit at major PMI levels
For Position Trading:
Setup: Lookback 400-500, Volume Threshold 2.0+, Update Frequency 50+
Focus on PMI scores >2.0 for major structural levels
Use for portfolio entry/exit decisions
Combine with fundamental analysis for timing
- Trading Applications:
Entry Strategies:
PMI Bounce Trades
Price approaches high PMI support level (>1.0)
Wait for volume spike confirmation (orange triangles)
Enter long on bullish price action at the level
Stop loss just below the PMI level
Target: Next PMI resistance level
PMI Breakout Trades
Price consolidates near high PMI level
Volume increases (watch for orange triangles)
Enter on decisive break with volume
Previous resistance becomes new support
Target: Next major PMI level
PMI Rejection Trades
Price approaches PMI resistance with momentum
Watch for rejection signals and volume spikes
Enter short on failure to break through
Stop above the PMI level
Target: Next PMI support level
Risk Management:
Stop Loss Placement
Place stops 0.1-0.5% beyond PMI levels (adjust for volatility)
Higher PMI scores warrant tighter stops
Use ATR-based stops for volatile assets
Position Sizing
Larger positions at PMI levels >2.0 (highest conviction)
Smaller positions at PMI levels 0.5-1.0 (lower conviction)
Scale out at multiple PMI targets
- Key Warning Signs & What to Watch For
Red Flags:
🚨 Very Low PMI Scores (<0.3): Weak statistical significance, avoid trading
🚨 No Volume Confirmation: PMI level without recent volume spikes may be stale
🚨 Overcrowded Levels: Too many levels close together suggests poor parameter tuning
🚨 Outdated Levels: Historical traces are reference only, not tradeable
Optimization Tips:
✅ Regular Recalibration: Adjust parameters monthly based on market regime changes
✅ Volume Context: Always check for recent volume activity at PMI levels
✅ Multiple Timeframes: Confirm PMI levels across different timeframes
✅ Market Conditions: Higher thresholds during high volatility periods
Interpreting PMI Scores
PMI Score Ranges:
0.5-1.0: Moderate statistical significance, proceed with caution
1.0-1.5: Good significance, reliable for most trading strategies
1.5-2.0: Strong significance, high-confidence trade setups
2.0+: Very strong significance, institutional-grade levels
Historical Context: The historical trace system shows how support and resistance evolve over time. When current levels align with multiple historical traces, it indicates persistent market memory at those prices, significantly increasing the level's reliability.
TRIPLE Moving AveragesThis Pine Script indicator plots three customizable moving averages (MAs) along with an optional composite MA (average of all three). It provides visual cues, alerts, and trend confirmation based on MA crossovers and price positioning relative to the MAs.
🔹 Key Features
1. Multiple Moving Average Types
Supports 7 different MA types for each line:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
SMMA / RMA (Smoothed / Regular Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
2. Three Independent MAs
MA1, MA2, MA3 can each be enabled/disabled
Custom lengths (default: 12, 21, 50)
Different price sources (close, open, high, low, etc.)
3. Composite Moving Average (Optional)
Calculates (MA1 + MA2 + MA3) / 3
Acts as a consensus trend filter
4. Visual & Alert Features
✅ Color-Coded Lines (Yellow = Price Above MA, Red = Price Below MA)
✅ Thick Line Width (3) for better visibility
✅ Background Highlights for crossovers/crossunders
✅ Alerts for All Crossover Combinations
🔹 How It Works
📈 MA Crossovers & Trend Signals
Bullish Signal: When a faster MA crosses above a slower MA
Bearish Signal: When a faster MA crosses below a slower MA
Trend Confirmation: All MAs aligned in the same direction (e.g., MA1 > MA2 > MA3 = Strong Uptrend)
🎨 Visual Indicators
Green Background → Bullish crossover detected
Red Background → Bearish crossover detected
Yellow Line → Price is above the MA (bullish)
Red Line → Price is below the MA (bearish)
🔔 Alert Conditions
Alerts are triggered for all possible MA crossover combinations, including:
MA1 crossing MA2
MA1 crossing MA3
MA2 crossing MA3
Any MA crossing the Composite MA
