Lorentzian Classification - Advanced Trading DashboardLorentzian Classification - Relativistic Market Analysis
A Journey from Theory to Trading Reality
What began as fascination with Einstein's relativity and Lorentzian geometry has evolved into a practical trading tool that bridges theoretical physics and market dynamics. This indicator represents months of wrestling with complex mathematical concepts, debugging intricate algorithms, and transforming abstract theory into actionable trading signals.
The Theoretical Foundation
Lorentzian Distance in Market Space
Traditional Euclidean distance treats all feature differences equally, but markets don't behave uniformly. Lorentzian distance, borrowed from spacetime geometry, provides a more nuanced similarity measure:
d(x,y) = Σ ln(1 + |xi - yi|)
This logarithmic formulation naturally handles:
Scale invariance: Large price moves don't overwhelm small but significant patterns
Outlier robustness: Extreme values are dampened rather than dominating
Non-linear relationships: Captures market behavior better than linear metrics
K-Nearest Neighbors with Relativistic Weighting
The algorithm searches historical market states for patterns similar to current conditions. Each neighbor receives weight inversely proportional to its Lorentzian distance:
w = 1 / (1 + distance)
This creates a "gravitational" effect where closer patterns have stronger influence on predictions.
The Implementation Challenge
Creating meaningful market features required extensive experimentation:
Price Features: Multi-timeframe momentum (1, 2, 3, 5, 8 bar lookbacks) Volume Features: Relative volume analysis against 20-period average
Volatility Features: ATR and Bollinger Band width normalization Momentum Features: RSI deviation from neutral and MACD/price ratio
Each feature undergoes min-max normalization to ensure equal weighting in distance calculations.
The Prediction Mechanism
For each current market state:
Feature Vector Construction: 12-dimensional representation of market conditions
Historical Search: Scan lookback period for similar patterns using Lorentzian distance
Neighbor Selection: Identify K nearest historical matches
Outcome Analysis: Examine what happened N bars after each match
Weighted Prediction: Combine outcomes using distance-based weights
Confidence Calculation: Measure agreement between neighbors
Technical Hurdles Overcome
Array Management: Complex indexing to prevent look-ahead bias
Distance Calculations: Optimizing nested loops for performance
Memory Constraints: Balancing lookback depth with computational limits
Signal Filtering: Preventing clustering of identical signals
Advanced Dashboard System
Main Control Panel
The primary dashboard provides real-time market intelligence:
Signal Status: Current prediction with confidence percentage
Neighbor Analysis: How many historical patterns match current conditions
Market Regime: Trend strength, volatility, and volume analysis
Temporal Context: Real-time updates with timestamp
Performance Analytics
Comprehensive tracking system monitors:
Win Rate: Percentage of successful predictions
Signal Count: Total predictions generated
Streak Analysis: Current winning/losing sequence
Drawdown Monitoring: Maximum equity decline
Sharpe Approximation: Risk-adjusted performance estimate
Risk Assessment Panel
Multi-dimensional risk analysis:
RSI Positioning: Overbought/oversold conditions
ATR Percentage: Current volatility relative to price
Bollinger Position: Price location within volatility bands
MACD Alignment: Momentum confirmation
Confidence Heatmap
Visual representation of prediction reliability:
Historical Confidence: Last 10 periods of prediction certainty
Strength Analysis: Magnitude of prediction values over time
Pattern Recognition: Color-coded confidence levels for quick assessment
Input Parameters Deep Dive
Core Algorithm Settings
K Nearest Neighbors (1-20): More neighbors create smoother but less responsive signals. Optimal range 5-8 for most markets.
Historical Lookback (50-500): Deeper history improves pattern recognition but reduces adaptability. 100-200 bars optimal for most timeframes.
Feature Window (5-30): Longer windows capture more context but reduce sensitivity. Match to your trading timeframe.
Feature Selection
Price Changes: Essential for momentum and reversal detection Volume Profile: Critical for institutional activity recognition Volatility Measures: Key for regime change detection Momentum Indicators: Vital for trend confirmation
Signal Generation
Prediction Horizon (1-20): How far ahead to predict. Shorter horizons for scalping, longer for swing trading.
Signal Threshold (0.5-0.9): Confidence required for signal generation. Higher values reduce false signals but may miss opportunities.
Smoothing (1-10): EMA applied to raw predictions. More smoothing reduces noise but increases lag.
Visual Design Philosophy
Color Themes
Professional: Corporate blue/red for institutional environments Neon: Cyberpunk cyan/magenta for modern aesthetics
Matrix: Green/red hacker-inspired palette Classic: Traditional trading colors
Information Hierarchy
The dashboard system prioritizes information by importance:
Primary Signals: Largest, most prominent display
Confidence Metrics: Secondary but clearly visible
Supporting Data: Detailed but unobtrusive
Historical Context: Available but not distracting
Trading Applications
Signal Interpretation
Long Signals: Prediction > threshold with high confidence
Look for volume confirmation
- Check trend alignment
- Verify support levels
Short Signals: Prediction < -threshold with high confidence
Confirm with resistance levels
- Check for distribution patterns
- Verify momentum divergence
- Market Regime Adaptation
Trending Markets: Higher confidence in directional signals
Ranging Markets: Focus on reversal signals at extremes
Volatile Markets: Require higher confidence thresholds
Low Volume: Reduce position sizes, increase caution
Risk Management Integration
Confidence-Based Sizing: Larger positions for higher confidence signals
Regime-Aware Stops: Wider stops in volatile regimes
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Align signals across timeframes
Volume Confirmation: Require volume support for major signals
Originality and Innovation
This indicator represents genuine innovation in several areas:
Mathematical Approach
First application of Lorentzian geometry to market pattern recognition. Unlike Euclidean-based systems, this naturally handles market non-linearities.
Feature Engineering
Sophisticated multi-dimensional feature space combining price, volume, volatility, and momentum in normalized form.
Visualization System
Professional-grade dashboard system providing comprehensive market intelligence in intuitive format.
Performance Tracking
Real-time performance analytics typically found only in institutional trading systems.
Development Journey
Creating this indicator involved overcoming numerous technical challenges:
Mathematical Complexity: Translating theoretical concepts into practical code
Performance Optimization: Balancing accuracy with computational efficiency
User Interface Design: Making complex data accessible and actionable
Signal Quality: Filtering noise while maintaining responsiveness
The result is a tool that brings institutional-grade analytics to individual traders while maintaining the theoretical rigor of its mathematical foundation.
Best Practices
- Parameter Optimization
- Start with default settings and adjust based on:
Market Characteristics: Volatile vs. stable
Trading Timeframe: Scalping vs. swing trading
Risk Tolerance: Conservative vs. aggressive
Signal Confirmation
Never trade on Lorentzian signals alone:
Price Action: Confirm with support/resistance
Volume: Verify with volume analysis
Multiple Timeframes: Check higher timeframe alignment
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Scale with confidence levels
Stop Losses: Adapt to market volatility
Profit Targets: Based on historical performance
Maximum Risk: Never exceed 2-3% per trade
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee profitable trading results. The Lorentzian classification system reveals market patterns but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Market dynamics are inherently uncertain, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This tool should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, not as a standalone solution.
Bringing the elegance of relativistic geometry to market analysis through sophisticated pattern recognition and intuitive visualization.
Thank you for sharing the idea. You're more than a follower, you're a leader!
@vasanthgautham1221
Trade with precision. Trade with insight.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "12月4号是什么星座"
MACD Crossover with Price Action and AlertsThe MACD should use the default parameters (12, 26, 9) for fast EMA, slow EMA, and signal EMA, respectively, applied to the Close price. Instead of simple MACD crossovers, the indicator should analyze price action in relation to the MACD histogram to generate signals. Specifically: 1. BUY signal: Generate a buy signal (an up arrow displayed below the low of the signal bar in green color) when the MACD histogram crosses above zero AND the price action shows a bullish engulfing pattern (the current candle's body completely engulfs the previous candle's body). 2. SELL signal: Generate a sell signal (a down arrow displayed above the high of the signal bar in red color) when the MACD histogram crosses below zero AND the price action shows a bearish engulfing pattern (the current candle's body completely engulfs the previous candle's body). The arrows should be non-repainting, meaning that once an arrow is plotted on a bar, it should not disappear or change position as the chart updates. The indicator should also plot the MACD line, signal line, and histogram using their default calculations. The MACD line should be blue, the signal line should be orange, and the histogram should be displayed using green bars for positive values and red bars for negative values. The indicator should also have customizable inputs for the MACD fast EMA period, slow EMA period, signal EMA period and engulfing pattern check enabled/disabled. If engulfing pattern check disabled, the indicator will generate signals based only on MACD histogram crossing zero.
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
Akram, Q. F. (2009). Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar. Energy Economics, 31(6), 838-851.
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics, 131(1-2), 359-403.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16-24.
Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
Dow, C. H. (1901). Scientific stock speculation. The Magazine of Wall Street.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012). Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
Harvey, C. R. (1988). The real term structure and consumption growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(2), 305-333.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Magdon-Ismail, M., & Atiya, A. F. (2004). Maximum drawdown. Risk, 17(10), 99-102.
Nickerson, R. S. (1998). Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Review of General Psychology, 2(2), 175-220.
Pagan, A. R., & Sossounov, K. A. (2003). A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 23-46.
Pan, J., & Poteshman, A. M. (2006). The information in option volume for future stock prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 871-908.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House.
Whaley, R. E. (2009). Understanding the VIX. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(3), 98-105.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
Zarowin, P. (1990). Size, seasonality, and stock market overreaction. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25(1), 113-125.
Zweig, M. E. (1986). Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books.
Dual Pwma Trends [ZORO_47]Key Features:
Dual PWMA System: Combines a fast and slow Parabolic Weighted Moving Average to identify momentum shifts and trend changes with precision.
Dynamic Color Coding: The indicator lines change color to reflect market conditions—green for bullish crossovers (potential buy signals) and red for bearish crossunders (potential sell signals), making it easy to interpret at a glance.
Customizable Parameters: Adjust the fast and slow PWMA lengths, power settings, and source data to tailor the indicator to your trading style and timeframe.
Clean Visualization: Plotted with bold, clear lines (3px width) for optimal visibility on any chart, ensuring you never miss a signal.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates two PWMAs using the imported ZOROLIBRARY by ZORO_47. When the fast PWMA crosses above the slow PWMA, both lines turn green, signaling a potential bullish trend. Conversely, when the fast PWMA crosses below the slow PWMA, the lines turn red, indicating a potential bearish trend. The color persists until the next crossover or crossunder, providing a seamless visual cue for trend direction.
Ideal For:
Trend Traders: Identify trend reversals and continuations with clear crossover signals.
Swing Traders: Use on higher timeframes to capture significant price moves.
Day Traders: Fine-tune settings for faster signals on intraday charts.
Settings:
Fast Length/Power: Control the sensitivity of the fast PWMA (default: 12/2).
Slow Length/Power: Adjust the smoother, slower PWMA (default: 21/1).
Source: Choose your preferred data input (default: close price).
Day of Week and HTF Period SeparatorDay of Week & HTF Period Separator
A minimalist Pine Script indicator that adds clear, time-based separators and labels to intraday charts for better structure and analysis.
Key Features
• Day Labels
• Displays abbreviated weekday names (MON, TUE, WED, etc.) at a user-defined hour
• Custom text color and position
• Limits display to the most recent 28 days for a clean view
• Time Separators
• Daily: Vertical line at 00:00 each trading day
• 4-Hour: Lines at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00
• Hourly: Divisions at every hour for detailed timing
• Customization
• Individual color picker for each separator type
• Choose line style: Solid, Dashed or Dotted
• Enable or disable any separator or label independently
• Smart limits to avoid clutter on extended history
• Smart Behavior
• Active only on intraday timeframes
• Projects upcoming separators into the future for planning
• Automatically caps historical plotting for performance
• Lines extend across full visible price range
Perfect for traders who need distinct session breaks, precise time-based zoning and an organized chart layout.
Inputs
• Show Day Labels (true/false)
• Label Hour (0–23)
• Day Label Color
• Show Daily Separators (true/false)
• Show 4H Separators (true/false)
• Show 1H Separators (true/false)
• Daily Line Color, Style
• 4H Line Color, Style
• Hourly Line Color, Style
• Max Days to Display
Enhance your intraday analysis with clean, customizable time markers. 👁
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)The Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) is an advanced technical indicator designed to significantly reduce the lag inherent in traditional moving averages while maintaining signal quality. Developed by Patrick Mulloy in 1994 as an extension of his DEMA concept, TEMA employs a sophisticated triple-stage calculation process to provide exceptionally responsive market signals.
TEMA's mathematical approach goes beyond standard smoothing techniques by using a triple-cascade architecture with optimized coefficients. This makes it particularly valuable for traders who need earlier identification of trend changes without sacrificing reliability. Since its introduction, TEMA has become a key component in many algorithmic trading systems and professional trading platforms.
▶️ **Core Concepts**
Triple-stage lag reduction: TEMA uses a three-level EMA calculation with optimized coefficients (3, -3, 1) to dramatically minimize the delay in signal generation
Enhanced responsiveness: Provides significantly faster reaction to price changes than standard EMA or even DEMA, while maintaining reasonable smoothness
Strategic signal processing: Employs mathematical techniques to extract the underlying trend while filtering random price fluctuations
Timeframe effectiveness: Performs well across multiple timeframes, though particularly valued in short to medium-term trading
TEMA achieves its enhanced responsiveness through an innovative triple-cascade architecture that strategically combines three levels of exponential moving averages. This approach effectively removes the lag component inherent in EMA calculations while preserving the essential smoothing benefits.
▶️ **Common Settings and Parameters**
Length: Default: 12 | Controls sensitivity/smoothness | When to Adjust: Increase in choppy markets, decrease in strongly trending markets
Source: Default: Close | Data point used for calculation | When to Adjust: Change to HL2/HLC3 for more balanced price representation
Corrected: Default: false | Adjusts internal EMA smoothing factors for potentially faster response | When to Adjust: Set to true for a modified TEMA that may react quicker to price changes. false uses standard TEMA calculation
Visualization: Default: Line | Display format on charts | When to Adjust: Use filled cloud to see divergence from price more clearly
Pro Tip: For optimal trade signals, many professional traders use two TEMAs (e.g., 8 and 21 periods) and look for crossovers, which often provide earlier signals than traditional moving average pairs.
▶️ **Calculation and Mathematical Foundation**
Simplified explanation:
TEMA calculates three levels of EMAs, then combines them using a special formula that amplifies recent price action while reducing lag. This triple-processing approach effectively eliminates much of the delay found in traditional moving averages.
Technical formula:
TEMA = 3 × EMA₁ - 3 × EMA₂ + EMA₃
Where:
EMA₁ = EMA(source, α₁)
EMA₂ = EMA(EMA₁, α₂)
EMA₃ = EMA(EMA₂, α₃)
The smoothing factors (α₁, α₂, α₃) are determined as follows:
Let α_base = 2/(length + 1)
α₁ = α_base
If corrected is false:
α₂ = α_base
α₃ = α_base
If corrected is true:
Let r = (1/α_base)^(1/3)
α₂ = α_base * r
α₃ = α_base * r * r = α_base * r²
The corrected = true option implements a variation that uses progressively smaller alpha values for the subsequent EMA calculations. This approach aims to optimize the filter's frequency response and phase lag.
Alpha Calculation for corrected = true:
α₁ (alpha_base) = 2/(length + 1)
r = (1/α₁)^(1/3) (cube root relationship)
α₂ = α₁ * r = α₁^(2/3)
α₃ = α₂ * r = α₁^(1/3)
Mathematical Rationale for Corrected Alphas:
1. Frequency Response Balance:
The standard TEMA (where α₁ = α₂ = α₃) can lead to an uneven frequency response, potentially over-smoothing high frequencies or creating resonance artifacts. The geometric progression of alphas (α₁ > α₁^(2/3) > α₁^(1/3)) in the corrected version aims to create a more balanced filter cascade. Each stage contributes more proportionally to the overall frequency response.
2. Phase Lag Optimization:
The cube root relationship between the alphas is designed to minimize cumulative phase lag while maintaining smoothing effectiveness. Each subsequent EMA stage has a progressively smaller impact on phase distortion.
3. Mathematical Stability:
The geometric progression (α₁, α₁^(2/3), α₁^(1/3)) can enhance numerical stability due to constant ratios between consecutive alphas. This helps prevent the accumulation of rounding errors and maintains consistent convergence properties.
Practical Impact of corrected = true:
This modification aims to achieve:
Potentially better lag reduction for a similar level of smoothing
A more uniform frequency response across different market cycles
Reduced overshoot or undershoot in trending conditions
Improved signal-to-noise ratio preservation
Essentially, the cube root relationship in the corrected TEMA attempts to optimize the trade-off between responsiveness and smoothness that can be a challenge with uniform alpha values.
🔍 Technical Note: Advanced implementations apply compensation techniques to all three EMA stages, ensuring TEMA values are valid from the first bar without requiring a warm-up period. This compensation corrects initialization bias and prevents calculation errors from compounding through the cascade.
▶️ **Interpretation Details**
TEMA excels at identifying trend changes significantly earlier than traditional moving averages, making it valuable for both entry and exit signals:
When price crosses above TEMA, it often signals the beginning of an uptrend
When price crosses below TEMA, it often signals the beginning of a downtrend
The slope of TEMA provides insight into trend strength and momentum
TEMA crossovers with price tend to occur earlier than with standard EMAs
When multiple-period TEMAs cross each other, they confirm significant trend shifts
TEMA works exceptionally well as a dynamic support/resistance level in trending markets
For optimal results, traders often use TEMA in combination with momentum indicators or volume analysis to confirm signals and reduce false positives.
▶️ **Limitations and Considerations**
Market conditions: The high responsiveness can generate false signals during highly choppy, sideways markets
Overshooting: More aggressive lag reduction leads to more pronounced overshooting during sharp reversals
Parameter sensitivity: Changes in length have more dramatic effects than in simpler moving averages
Calculation complexity: Triple cascaded EMAs make behavior less predictable and more resource-intensive
Complementary tools: Should be used with confirmation tools like RSI, MACD or volume indicators
▶️ **References**
Mulloy, P. (1994). "Smoothing Data with Less Lag," Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities .
Mulloy, P. (1995). "Comparing Digital Filters," Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities .
muraThis indicator is based on moving averages over a certain period using Fibonacci numbers. Pivot points are provided for active trading, which help to trade from the levels.
The indicator takes into account the trend direction, identifies key levels and possible targets.
You can also easily set up notifications for trend changes and receive them in the tradingview app or as an audio signal on your computer. This will help you not to miss anything in the market.
The moving averages with a uniquely recognized trend. 6 moving averages create 3 important trends. The first trend is local from your time frame, the second is global from your time frame and the third trend is predicated for tracking the global trend on an older time frame.
I have identified ways to trade my indicator:
- On a 4-hour time frame you can open trades in one direction with a change in the global trend. That is, if the red trend changes to green, it is time to open longs and vice versa.
- The global trend works best when paired with the local trend. That is, if the global trend is green, we wait until the local trend becomes green and then open longs, as well as in the opposite direction.
- Opening positions when the local trend changes towards the global trend also works well on a 12 hour time frame.
This indicator can be used on any timeframes from 1 minute to 1 year. You can also select levels for trading:
- intraday
- intra-week
- within a month
Note:
- Before you start trading, I strongly recommend you to do your own analysis on your own time frame or pairs
- Recommended for use with additional technical analysis tools
Enhanced Cycle IndicatorEnhanced Cycle Indicator Guide
DISCLAIMER
"This PineScript indicator evolved from a foundational algorithm designed to visualize cycle-based center average differentials. The original concept has been significantly enhanced and optimized through collaborative refinement with AI, resulting in improved functionality, performance, and visualization capabilities while maintaining the core mathematical principles of the original design"
Overview
The Enhanced Cycle Indicator is designed to identify market cycles with minimal lag while ensuring the cycle lows and highs correspond closely with actual price bottoms and tops. This indicator transforms price data into observable cycles that help you identify when a market is likely to change direction.
Core Principles
Cycle Detection: Identifies natural market rhythms using multiple timeframes
Dynamic Adaptation: Adjusts to changing market conditions for consistent performance
Precise Signals: Provides clear entry and exit points aligned with actual market turns
Reduced Lag: Uses advanced calculations to minimize delay in cycle identification
How To Use
1. Main Cycle Interpretation
Green Histogram Bars: Bullish cycle phase (upward momentum)
Red Histogram Bars: Bearish cycle phase (downward momentum)
Cycle Extremes: When the histogram reaches extreme values (+80/-80), the market is likely approaching a turning point
Zero Line: Crossovers often indicate a shift in the underlying market direction
2. Trading Signals
Green Triangle Up (bottom of chart): Strong bullish signal - ideal for entries or covering shorts
Red Triangle Down (top of chart): Strong bearish signal - ideal for exits or short entries
Diamond Shapes: Indicate divergence between price and cycle - early warning of potential reversals
Small Circles: Minor cycle turning points - useful for fine-tuning entries/exits
3. Optimal Signal Conditions
Bullish Signals Work Best When:
The cycle is deeply oversold (below -60)
RSI is below 40 or turning up
Price is near a significant low
Multiple confirmation bars have occurred
Bearish Signals Work Best When:
The cycle is heavily overbought (above +60)
RSI is above 60 or turning down
Price is near a significant high
Multiple confirmation bars have occurred
4. Parameter Adjustments
For Shorter Timeframes: Reduce cycle periods and smoothing factor for faster response
For Daily/Weekly Charts: Increase cycle periods and smoothing for smoother signals
For Volatile Markets: Reduce cycle responsiveness to filter noise
For Trending Markets: Increase signal confirmation requirement to avoid false signals
Recommended Settings
Default (All-Purpose)
Main Cycle: 50
Half Cycle: 25
Quarter Cycle: 12
Smoothing Factor: 0.5
RSI Filter: Enabled
Signal Confirmation: 2 bars
Faster Response (Day Trading)
Main Cycle: 30
Half Cycle: 15
Quarter Cycle: 8
Smoothing Factor: 0.3
Cycle Responsiveness: 1.2
Signal Confirmation: 1 bar
Smoother Signals (Swing Trading)
Main Cycle: 80
Half Cycle: 40
Quarter Cycle: 20
Smoothing Factor: 0.7
Cycle Responsiveness: 0.8
Signal Confirmation: 3 bars
Advanced Features
Adaptive Period
When enabled, the indicator automatically adjusts cycle periods based on recent price volatility. This is particularly useful in markets that alternate between trending and ranging behaviors.
Momentum Filter
Enhances cycle signals by incorporating price momentum, making signals more responsive during strong trends and less prone to whipsaws during consolidations.
RSI Filter
Adds an additional confirmation layer using RSI, helping to filter out lower-quality signals and improve overall accuracy.
Divergence Detection
Identifies situations where price makes a new high/low but the cycle doesn't confirm, often preceding significant market reversals.
Best Practices
Use the indicator in conjunction with support/resistance levels
Look for signal clusters across multiple timeframes
Reduce position size when signals appear far from cycle extremes
Pay special attention to signals that coincide with divergences
Customize cycle periods to match the natural rhythm of your traded instrument
Troubleshooting
Too Many Signals: Increase signal confirmation bars or reduce cycle responsiveness
Missing Major Turns: Decrease smoothing factor or increase cycle responsiveness
Signals Too Late: Decrease cycle periods and smoothing factor
False Signals: Enable RSI filter and increase signal confirmation requirement
Canuck Trading IndicatorOverview
The Canuck Trading Indicator is a versatile, overlay-based technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trading opportunities across various timeframes and market conditions. By combining multiple technical indicators—such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, EMAs, VWAP, MACD, Stochastic RSI, ADX, HMA, and candlestick patterns—the indicator provides clear visual signals for bullish and bearish entries, breakouts, long-term trends, and options strategies like cash-secured puts, straddles/strangles, iron condors, and short squeezes. It also incorporates 20-day and 200-day SMAs to detect Golden/Death Crosses and price positioning relative to these moving averages. A dynamic table displays key metrics, and customizable alerts help traders stay informed of market conditions.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Adaptability: Automatically adjusts parameters (e.g., ATR multiplier, ADX period, HMA length) based on the chart's timeframe (minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly) for optimal performance.
Comprehensive Signal Generation: Identifies short-term entries, breakouts, long-term bullish trends, and options strategies using a combination of momentum, trend, volatility, and candlestick patterns.
Candlestick Pattern Detection: Recognizes bullish/bearish engulfing, hammer, shooting star, doji, and strong candles for precise entry/exit signals.
Moving Average Analysis: Plots 20-day and 200-day SMAs, detects Golden/Death Crosses, and evaluates price position relative to these averages.
Dynamic Table: Displays real-time metrics, including zone status (bullish, bearish, neutral), RSI, MACD, Stochastic RSI, short/long-term trends, candlestick patterns, ADX, ROC, VWAP slope, and MA positioning.
Customizable Alerts: Over 20 alert conditions for entries, exits, overbought/oversold warnings, and MA crosses, with actionable messages including ticker, price, and suggested strategies.
Visual Clarity: Uses distinct shapes, colors, and sizes to plot signals (e.g., green triangles for bullish entries, red triangles for bearish entries) and overlays key levels like EMA, VWAP, Bollinger Bands, support/resistance, and HMA.
Options Strategy Signals: Suggests opportunities for selling cash-secured puts, straddles/strangles, iron condors, and capitalizing on short squeezes.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to any TradingView chart by selecting "Canuck Trading Indicator" from the Pine Script library.
Interpret Signals:
Bullish Signals: Green triangles (short-term entry), lime diamonds (breakout), blue circles (long-term entry).
Bearish Signals: Red triangles (short-term entry), maroon diamonds (breakout).
Options Strategies: Purple squares (cash-secured puts), yellow circles (straddles/strangles), orange crosses (iron condors), white arrows (short squeezes).
Exits: X-cross shapes in corresponding colors indicate exit signals.
Monitor: Gray circles suggest holding cash or monitoring for setups.
Review Table: Check the top-right table for real-time metrics, including zone status, RSI, MACD, trends, and MA positioning.
Set Alerts: Configure alerts for specific signals (e.g., "Short-Term Bullish Entry" or "Golden Cross") to receive notifications via TradingView.
Adjust Inputs: Customize input parameters (e.g., RSI period, EMA length, ATR period) to suit your trading style or market conditions.
Input Parameters
The indicator offers a wide range of customizable inputs to fine-tune its behavior:
RSI Period (default: 14): Length for RSI calculation.
RSI Bullish Low/High (default: 35/70): RSI thresholds for bullish signals.
RSI Bearish High (default: 65): RSI threshold for bearish signals.
EMA Period (default: 15): Main EMA length (15 for day trading, 50 for swing).
Short/Long EMA Length (default: 3/20): For momentum oscillator.
T3 Smoothing Length (default: 5): Smooths momentum signals.
Long-Term EMA/RSI Length (default: 20/15): For long-term trend analysis.
Support/Resistance Lookback (default: 5): Periods for support/resistance levels.
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal (default: 12/26/9): MACD parameters.
Bollinger Bands Period/StdDev (default: 15/2): BB settings.
Stochastic RSI Period/Smoothing (default: 14/3/3): Stochastic RSI settings.
Uptrend/Short-Term/Long-Term Lookback (default: 2/2/5): Candles for trend detection.
ATR Period (default: 14): For volatility and price targets.
VWAP Sensitivity (default: 0.1%): Threshold for VWAP-based signals.
Volume Oscillator Period (default: 14): For volume surge detection.
Pattern Detection Threshold (default: 0.3%): Sensitivity for candlestick patterns.
ROC Period (default: 3): Rate of change for momentum.
VWAP Slope Period (default: 5): For VWAP trend analysis.
TradingView Publishing Compliance
Originality: The Canuck Trading Indicator is an original script, combining multiple technical indicators and custom logic to provide unique trading signals. It does not replicate existing public scripts.
No Guaranteed Profits: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and does not guarantee profits. Trading involves risks, and users should conduct their own research and risk management.
Clear Instructions: The description and usage guide are detailed and accessible, ensuring users understand how to apply the indicator effectively.
No External Dependencies: The script uses only built-in Pine Script functions (e.g., ta.rsi, ta.ema, ta.vwap) and requires no external libraries or data sources.
Performance: The script is optimized for performance, using efficient calculations and adaptive parameters to minimize lag on various timeframes.
Visual Clarity: Signals are plotted with distinct shapes and colors, and the table provides a concise summary of market conditions, enhancing usability.
Limitations and Risks
Market Conditions: The indicator may generate false signals in choppy or low-liquidity markets. Always confirm signals with additional analysis.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Performance varies by timeframe; test settings on your preferred chart (e.g., 5-minute for day trading, daily for swing trading).
Risk Management: Use stop-losses and position sizing to manage risk, as suggested in alert messages (e.g., "Stop -20%").
Options Trading: Options strategies (e.g., straddles, iron condors) carry unique risks; consult a financial advisor before trading.
Feedback and Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please leave a comment on the TradingView script page or contact the author via TradingView. Your feedback helps improve the indicator for the community.
Disclaimer
The Canuck Trading Indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Combo RSI + MACD + ADX MTF (Avec Alertes)✅ Recommended Title:
Multi-Signal Oscillator: ADX Trend + DI + RSI + MACD (MTF, Cross Alerts)
✅ Detailed Description
📝 Overview
This indicator combines advanced technical analysis tools to identify trend direction, capture reversals, and filter false signals.
It includes:
ADX (Multi-TimeFrame) for trend and trend strength detection.
DI+ / DI- for directional bias.
RSI + ZLSMA for oscillation analysis and divergence detection.
Zero-Lag Normalized MACD for momentum and entry timing.
⚙️ Visual Components
✅ Green/Red Background: Displays overall trend based on Multi-TimeFrame ADX.
✅ DI+ / DI- Lines: Green and red curves showing directional bias.
✅ Normalized RSI: Blue oscillator with orange ZLSMA smoothing.
✅ Zero-Lag MACD: Violet or fuchsia/orange oscillator depending on the version.
✅ Crossover Points: Colored circles marking buy and sell signals.
✅ ADX Strength Dots: Small black dots when ADX exceeds the strength threshold.
🚨 Included Alert System
✅ RSI / ZLSMA Crossovers (Buy / Sell).
✅ MACD / Signal Line Crossovers (Buy / Sell).
✅ DI+ / DI- Crossovers (Buy / Sell).
✅ Double Confirmation DI+ / RSI or DI+ / MACD.
✅ Double Confirmation DI- / RSI or DI- / MACD.
✅ Trend Change Alerts via Background Color.
✅ ADX Strength Alerts (Above Threshold).
🛠️ Suggested Configuration Examples
1. Short-Term Reversal Detection:
RSI Length: 7 to 14
ZLSMA Length: 7 to 14
MACD Fast/Slow: 5 / 13
ADX MTF Period: 5 to 15
ADX Threshold: 15 to 20
2. Long-Term Trend Following:
RSI Length: 21 to 30
ZLSMA Length: 21 to 30
MACD Fast/Slow: 12 / 26
ADX MTF Period: 30 to 50
ADX Threshold: 20 to 25
3. Scalping / Day Trading:
RSI Length: 5 to 9
ZLSMA Length: 5 to 9
MACD Fast/Slow: 3 / 7
ADX MTF Period: 5 to 10
ADX Threshold: 10 to 15
🎯 Why Use This Tool?
Filters false signals using ADX-based background coloring.
Provides multi-source alerting (RSI, MACD, ADX).
Helps identify true market strength zones.
Works on all markets: Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices.
The ICT Ultimate Grid | MarketMaverisk GroupThe ICT Ultimate Grid | MarketMaverisk Group
This script is a fully customizable checklist based on ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. It helps traders validate entry conditions across three timeframes:
LTP (Long-Term), ITP (Intermediate-Term), and STP (Short-Term).
⸻
✅ Purpose & Utility:
Instead of generating simple buy/sell signals, this tool assists traders in making structured, confirmation-based decisions. It presents a visual checklist with 11 customizable columns—each can be individually toggled for each timeframe and displays ✅ or ❌ confirmation status.
⸻
🧠 Confirmation Structure:
The checklist covers the following core elements from the ICT methodology:
• ERL⇔IRL and IRL⇔ERL (presented as special confirmations below the table)
• DOL – Drow On liqudity Level
• PD – permium or discuant
• SMT – Smart Money Trap / Inter-market Divergence
• CSD – Change in State of dlivery
• MSS – Market Structure Shift
• MMXM – Market maker (buy or sell) model
• FVG – Fair Value Gap
• OB – Order Block
• BRK.B – breker Block
Each item can be enabled or disabled for LTP, ITP, and STP individually.
⸻
📊 Visual Design:
• Clean, compact table displayed in the top-right corner of the chart.
• Clear color scheme (✅ Green = Confirmed, ❌ Red = Not Confirmed, Grey = Hidden/Disabled).
• Timeframes are stacked row-wise (LTP, ITP, STP).
• Inputs allow fine-grained control over what elements are shown in each timeframe.
• Additional rows are used to confirm:
• HTF Key Level
• Direction: Reversal ↩️ or Continuation 🔂
• Bias: Bullish 🔼 or Bearish 🔽
⸻
📈 Use Case:
This tool is ideal for traders who follow:
• ICT-based trading approaches
• Market structure + Liquidity analysis
• Day trading, scalping, or swing setups
• Confirmation-based entries after higher-timeframe alignment
⸻
⚙️ Recommended Timeframe Settings:
• LTP = D1 or 4H
• ITP = 1H or 15min
• STP = 5min or 3min or 1min
• Session time: Best used between 02:00 and 05:00 on london killzone & 08:00 and 12:00 on New york killzone in New York timezone (UTC -5)
(you can customize this in strategy version)
⸻
🛠 Technical Note:
This version is an indicator and does not generate signals or alerts by itself. For full automation, a strategy version is also available upon request.
⸻
Let me know if you’d like me to also write a “strategy description” or help you prepare the public chart layout 📊 to make your publish clean and attractivE
Candle Eraser (New York Time, Dropdown)If you want to focus on first 3 hours of Asia, London> and New York, inspired by Stacey Burke Trading 12 Candle Window Concept
- Set your time to UTC-4 New York
Solar Cycle (SOLAR)SOLAR: SOLAR CYCLE
🔍 OVERVIEW AND PURPOSE
The Solar Cycle indicator is an astronomical calculator that provides precise values representing the seasonal position of the Sun throughout the year. This indicator maps the Sun's position in the ecliptic to a normalized value ranging from -1.0 (winter solstice) through 0.0 (equinoxes) to +1.0 (summer solstice), creating a continuous cycle that represents the seasonal progression throughout the year.
The implementation uses high-precision astronomical formulas that include orbital elements and perturbation terms to accurately calculate the Sun's position. By converting chart timestamps to Julian dates and applying standard astronomical algorithms, this indicator achieves significantly greater accuracy than simplified seasonal approximations. This makes it valuable for traders exploring seasonal patterns, agricultural commodities trading, and natural cycle-based trading strategies.
🧩 CORE CONCEPTS
Seasonal cycle integration: Maps the annual solar cycle (365.242 days) to a continuous wave
Continuous phase representation: Provides a normalized -1.0 to +1.0 value
Astronomical precision: Uses perturbation terms and high-precision constants for accurate solar position
Key points detection: Identifies solstices (±1.0) and equinoxes (0.0) automatically
The Solar Cycle indicator differs from traditional seasonal analysis tools by incorporating precise astronomical calculations rather than using simple calendar-based approximations. This approach allows traders to identify exact seasonal turning points and transitions with high accuracy.
⚙️ COMMON SETTINGS AND PARAMETERS
Pro Tip: While the indicator itself doesn't have adjustable parameters, it's most effective when used on higher timeframes (daily or weekly charts) to visualize seasonal patterns. Consider combining it with commodity price data to analyze seasonal correlations.
🧮 CALCULATION AND MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION
Simplified explanation:
The Solar Cycle indicator calculates the Sun's ecliptic longitude and transforms it into a sine wave that peaks at the summer solstice and troughs at the winter solstice, with equinoxes at the zero crossings.
Technical formula:
Convert chart timestamp to Julian Date:
JD = (time / 86400000.0) + 2440587.5
Calculate Time T in Julian centuries since J2000.0:
T = (JD - 2451545.0) / 36525.0
Calculate the Sun's mean longitude (L0) and mean anomaly (M), including perturbation terms:
L0 = (280.46646 + 36000.76983T + 0.0003032T²) % 360
M = (357.52911 + 35999.05029T - 0.0001537T² - 0.00000025T³) % 360
Calculate the equation of center (C):
C = (1.914602 - 0.004817T - 0.000014*T²)sin(M) +
(0.019993 - 0.000101T)sin(2M) +
0.000289sin(3M)
Calculate the Sun's true longitude and convert to seasonal value:
λ = L0 + C
seasonal = sin(λ)
🔍 Technical Note: The implementation includes terms for the equation of center to account for the Earth's elliptical orbit. This provides more accurate timing of solstices and equinoxes compared to simple harmonic approximations.
📈 INTERPRETATION DETAILS
The Solar Cycle indicator provides several analytical perspectives:
Summer Solstice (+1.0): Maximum solar elevation, longest day
Winter Solstice (-1.0): Minimum solar elevation, shortest day
Vernal Equinox (0.0 crossing up): Day and night equal length, spring begins
Autumnal Equinox (0.0 crossing down): Day and night equal length, autumn begins
Transition rates: Steepest near equinoxes, flattest near solstices
Cycle alignment: Market cycles that align with seasonal patterns may show stronger trends
Confirmation points: Solstices and equinoxes often mark important seasonal turning points
⚠️ LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Geographic relevance: Solar cycle timing is most relevant for temperate latitudes
Market specificity: Seasonal effects vary significantly across different markets
Timeframe compatibility: Most effective for longer-term analysis (weekly/monthly)
Complementary tool: Should be used alongside price action and other indicators
Lead/lag effects: Market reactions to seasonal changes may precede or follow astronomical events
Statistical significance: Seasonal patterns should be verified across multiple years
Global markets: Consider opposite seasonality in Southern Hemisphere markets
📚 REFERENCES
Meeus, J. (1998). Astronomical Algorithms (2nd ed.). Willmann-Bell.
Hirshleifer, D., & Shumway, T. (2003). Good day sunshine: Stock returns and the weather. Journal of Finance, 58(3), 1009-1032.
Hong, H., & Yu, J. (2009). Gone fishin': Seasonality in trading activity and asset prices. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(4), 672-702.
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween indicator, 'Sell in May and go away': Another puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
TASC 2025.06 Cybernetic Oscillator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Cybernetic Oscillator introduced by John F. Ehlers in his article "The Cybernetic Oscillator For More Flexibility, Making A Better Oscillator" from the June 2025 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips . It cascades two-pole highpass and lowpass filters, then scales the result by its root mean square (RMS) to create a flexible normalized oscillator that responds to a customizable frequency range for different trading styles.
█ CONCEPTS
Oscillators are indicators widely used by technical traders. These indicators swing above and below a center value, emphasizing cyclic movements within a frequency range. In his article, Ehlers explains that all oscillators share a common characteristic: their calculations involve computing differences . The reliance on differences is what causes these indicators to oscillate about a central point.
The difference between two data points in a series acts as a highpass filter — it allows high frequencies (short wavelengths) to pass through while significantly attenuating low frequencies (long wavelengths). Ehlers demonstrates that a simple difference calculation attenuates lower-frequency cycles at a rate of 6 dB per octave. However, the difference also significantly amplifies cycles near the shortest observable wavelength, making the result appear noisier than the original series. To mitigate the effects of noise in a differenced series, oscillators typically smooth the series with a lowpass filter, such as a moving average.
Ehlers highlights an underlying issue with smoothing differenced data to create oscillators. He postulates that market data statistically follows a pink spectrum , where the amplitudes of cyclic components in the data are approximately directly proportional to the underlying periods. Specifically, he suggests that cyclic amplitude increases by 6 dB per octave of wavelength.
Because some conventional oscillators, such as RSI, use differencing calculations that attenuate cycles by only 6 dB per octave, and market cycles increase in amplitude by 6 dB per octave, such calculations do not have a tangible net effect on larger wavelengths in the analyzed data. The influence of larger wavelengths can be especially problematic when using these oscillators for mean reversion or swing signals. For instance, an expected reversion to the mean might be erroneous because oscillator's mean might significantly deviate from its center over time.
To address the issues with conventional oscillator responses, Ehlers created a new indicator dubbed the Cybernetic Oscillator. It uses a simple combination of highpass and lowpass filters to emphasize a specific range of frequencies in the market data, then normalizes the result based on RMS. The process is as follows:
Apply a two-pole highpass filter to the data. This filter's critical period defines the longest wavelength in the oscillator's passband.
Apply a two-pole SuperSmoother (lowpass filter) to the highpass-filtered data. This filter's critical period defines the shortest wavelength in the passband.
Scale the resulting waveform by its RMS. If the filtered waveform follows a normal distribution, the scaled result represents amplitude in standard deviations.
The oscillator's two-pole filters attenuate cycles outside the desired frequency range by 12 dB per octave. This rate outweighs the apparent rate of amplitude increase for successively longer market cycles (6 dB per octave). Therefore, the Cybernetic Oscillator provides a more robust isolation of cyclic content than conventional oscillators. Best of all, traders can set the periods of the highpass and lowpass filters separately, enabling fine-tuning of the frequency range for different trading styles.
█ USAGE
The "Highpass period" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab specifies the longest wavelength in the oscillator's passband, and the "Lowpass period" input defines the shortest wavelength. The oscillator becomes more responsive to rapid movements with a smaller lowpass period. Conversely, it becomes more sensitive to trends with a larger highpass period. Ehlers recommends setting the smallest period to a value above 8 to avoid aliasing. The highpass period must not be smaller than the lowpass period. Otherwise, it causes a runtime error.
The "RMS length" input determines the number of bars in the RMS calculation that the indicator uses to normalize the filtered result.
This indicator also features two distinct display styles, which users can toggle with the "Display style" input. With the "Trend" style enabled, the indicator plots the oscillator with one of two colors based on whether its value is above or below zero. With the "Threshold" style enabled, it plots the oscillator as a gray line and highlights overbought and oversold areas based on the user-specified threshold.
Below, we show two instances of the script with different settings on an equities chart. The first uses the "Threshold" style with default settings to pass cycles between 20 and 30 bars for mean reversion signals. The second uses a larger highpass period of 250 bars and the "Trend" style to visualize trends based on cycles spanning less than one year:
Market Breadth Toolkit [LuxAlgo]The Market Breadth Toolkit allows traders to use up to 6 different market breadth measures on two different exchanges, for a total of 12 different views of the market.
This toolkit includes divergence detection and allows setting custom fixed levels for traders who want to experiment with them.
🔶 USAGE
The main idea behind Breadth is to measure the number of advancing and declining issues and/or volume by exchange to have an idea of the underlying strength of the whole exchange.
On the other hand, thrusts represent big impulses in the breadth, as it is described by technicians to be the start of a new bullish trend.
By default, the Toolkit is set to "Breadth Thrust Zweig", with divergences enabled.
We will now explain all the different breadth measures available in the toolkit.
🔹 Deemer Breakaway Momentum
The "Breakaway Momentum" is a concept related to market breadth introduced by legendary technical analyst Walter Deemer.
As stated on his website:
We coined the term "breakaway momentum" in the 1970's to describe this REALLY powerful upward momentum
and:
We now know that the stock market generates breakaway momentum when the 10-day total advances on the NYSE are greater than 1.97 times the 10-day total NYSE declines OR the 20-day total advances on the NYSE are greater than 1.72 times the 20-day total NYSE declines.
As we can see in the chart above, which shows both methods, momentum is identified when the ratio of advancing issues to declining issues is greater than 1.97 for the 10-day average or 1.72 for the 20-day average.
🔹 Zweig Breadth Tools
Legendary trader and author Marting Zweig, best known as the author of "Winning on Wall Street" and the creator of the Put/Call Ratio.
In this toolkit, we feature two of his other tools:
Breadth Thrust: Number of Advancing / (Number of Advancing + Number of Declining Stocks)
Market Thrust: (Number of Advancing × Advancing Volume) — (Number of Declining Stocks × Declining Volume)
As we can see on the above chart, the Breadth Thrust printed a new signal on April 24, 2025, which is a bullish signal on the daily chart that can last several months, considering the previous signals.
On the right side, we have the Market Thrust as the delta between advancing minus declining volume weighted.
🔹 Whaley Measures
Wayne Whaley received the 2010 Charles Dow Award from the CMT Association, as stated on their website: "In 1994, the CMT Association established the Charles H. Dow Award to recognize outstanding research in technical analysis."
We include two of the tools from this paper:
Advance Decline Thrust: Number of Advancing / (Number of Advancing + Number of Declining Stocks)
Up/Down Volume Thrust Advancing Volume / (Advancing Volume + Declining Volume)
The chart above shows Thrust signals at extreme readings as described in the paper.
🔹 Divergences
The divergence detector is enabled by default, traders can disable it and fine-tune the detection length in the settings panel.
🔹 Fixed Levels
Traders can adjust the Thrust detection thresholds in the settings panel.
In the image above, we can see the Deemer Breakaway Momentum 10 with the original threshold (below) and with the 3.0 threshold (above).
🔶 SETTINGS
Breadth: Choose between 6 different breadth thrust measurement methods.
Data: Choose between NYSE or NASDAQ exchanges.
Divergences: Enable/Disable divergences and select the length detection.
🔹 Levels
Use Fixed Levels: Enable/Disable Fixed Levels.
Top Level: Select the top-level threshold.
Bottom Level: Select bottom level threshold.
Levels Style: Choose between dashed, dotted, or solid style.
🔹 Style
Breadth: Select breadth colors
Divergence: Select divergence colors
Kernel Regression Bands SuiteMulti-Kernel Regression Bands
A versatile indicator that applies kernel regression smoothing to price data, then dynamically calculates upper and lower bands using a wide variety of deviation methods. This tool is designed to help traders identify trend direction, volatility, and potential reversal zones with customizable visual styles.
Key Features
Multiple Kernel Types: Choose from 17+ kernel regression styles (Gaussian, Laplace, Epanechnikov, etc.) for smoothing.
Flexible Band Calculation: Select from 12+ deviation types including Standard Deviation, Mean/Median Absolute Deviation, Exponential, True Range, Hull, Parabolic SAR, Quantile, and more.
Adaptive Bands: Bands are calculated around the kernel regression line, with a user-defined multiplier.
Signal Logic: Trend state is determined by crossovers/crossunders of price and bands, coloring the regression line and band fills accordingly.
Custom Color Modes: Six unique color palettes for visual clarity and personal preference.
Highly Customizable Inputs: Adjust kernel type, lookback, deviation method, band source, and more.
How to Use
Trend Identification: The regression line changes color based on the detected trend (up/down)
Volatility Zones: Bands expand/contract with volatility, helping spot breakouts or mean-reversion opportunities.
Visual Styling: Use color modes to match your chart theme or highlight specific market states.
Credits:
Kernel regression logic adapted from:
ChartPrime | Multi-Kernel-Regression-ChartPrime (Link in the script)
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Use at your own risk.
Heikin Ashi + MACD Momentum FilterThe Heikin Ashi + MACD Momentum Filter is designed for short-term and swing traders, combining the trend-smoothing capabilities of manually calculated Heikin Ashi candles with the momentum confirmation of the MACD histogram to generate reliable buy and sell signals. This indicator aligns trend direction with momentum shifts to minimize false signals, making it ideal for trading trending markets on timeframes like 5-minute to 1-hour charts.
How It Works
The indicator uses two technical components to produce signals:
Heikin Ashi for Trend Detection:
Heikin Ashi candles are manually calculated to smooth price action, with the close as the average of OHLC values and the open as the average of the previous Heikin Ashi open and close. These values are further smoothed over a default 5-period moving average. A bullish trend is confirmed when the smoothed Heikin Ashi close is above its open (plotted in green), and a bearish trend when the close is below the open (plotted in red). This smoothing reduces noise, helping traders stay in the direction of the prevailing trend.
MACD Histogram for Momentum Confirmation:
The MACD, calculated with standard settings (fast=12, slow=26, signal=9), produces a histogram. A buy signal requires the histogram to cross above a threshold (default: 0.0), indicating bullish momentum, while a sell signal requires a cross below, indicating bearish momentum. This ensures trades are taken when momentum supports the trend.
Signal Generation
Signals are generated using the previous bar’s values to prevent repainting:
Buy Signal: The MACD histogram crosses above the threshold, and the Heikin Ashi confirms a bullish trend. Displayed as a green upward triangle below the bar.
Sell Signal: The MACD histogram crosses below the threshold, and the Heikin Ashi confirms a bearish trend. Displayed as a red downward triangle above the bar.
Dynamic Portfolio TrackerDynamic Portfolio Tracker
The Dynamic Portfolio Tracker is a visual tool for actively managing and monitoring a multi-asset portfolio directly on TradingView. It allows users to input up to 15 custom assets (with a default setup for 5), define how much of each asset they hold, and assign a target allocation percentage to each. The script then calculates live market prices, total portfolio value, current vs. target weightings, and provides clear, color-coded instructions on whether to buy, sell, or hold each asset. It displays all this data in an on-chart table, showing both the dollar amount and the quantity to adjust for each asset, helping users keep their portfolio aligned with their strategy in real time.
How to Use the Inputs (What Each Field Means)
1. Portfolio Assets (Tickers)
Fields: Asset 1 Ticker, Asset 2 Ticker, …, Asset 15 Ticker
What it does: Lets you select which assets (crypto, stocks, etc.) you want to track. These are live symbols pulled from TradingView.
2. Asset Quantities
Fields: Asset 1 Amount, Asset 2 Amount, …, Asset 15 Amount
What it means: How much of each asset you currently hold. For example:
• 0.03 BTC
• 2.1 ETH
Why it’s needed: The script multiplies this by the live price to calculate the current dollar value of each asset in your portfolio.
3. Target %
Fields: Asset 1 Implied %, Asset 2 Implied %, …, Asset 15 Implied %
What it means: Your desired allocation for each asset. For example:
• 40% BTC
• 20% ETH
• 10% SOL, etc.
Important: These must total 100% or less across all assets. The script checks this and shows an error if the total exceeds 100%.
The Dynamic Portfolio Tracker displays two powerful on-chart tables:
1. Main Table — Per Asset Breakdown
This table shows detailed, real-time information for each asset in your portfolio. Each row represents a different asset, and each column has a specific meaning:
Column What It Means
Asset = The symbol of the asset (e.g., BTCUSD, ETHUSD), auto-stripped from the exchange name.
Price = The current market price of the asset, pulled live from TradingView.
Quantity = How much of that asset you currently hold, entered manually in the inputs.
Target % = The percentage of your total portfolio you want this asset to represent.
Actual % = What percentage of your portfolio it currently makes up (based on price × quantity).
Target Value = How much (in $) this asset should be worth in your portfolio.
Actual Value = How much (in $) this asset is currently worth.
Instruction = Whether to Buy, Sell, or Hold to match your target allocation.
Value Change = The dollar amount you’d need to buy/sell to rebalance this asset.
Units to Trade = The number of asset units to buy/sell to reach the target value.
2. Portfolio Summary Table — Portfolio Totals
This smaller table appears in the top-right corner and summarizes your entire portfolio at a glance:
Target % = Total of all your assigned target allocations (should equal 100%).
Actual % = Actual portfolio composition (always 100% unless your capital is zero).
Target Value = Total value your portfolio should be based on your target percentages.
Actual Value = Current live total value of your portfolio.
If there’s a discrepancy between Target Value and Actual Value, the difference is shown in each row of the main table, so you can adjust individual assets accordingly.
Privacy First: Hide Sensitive Financial Data
A unique feature of this tool is the ability to hide sensitive financial data, such as:
• Target Value
• Actual Value
• Total Portfolio Value
You can turn these off using toggle settings, and they’ll be replaced with a crossed-out eye icon (👁️🗨️) — just like on modern crypto exchanges. This feature makes the script safe for streaming, screenshots, or sharing publicly while protecting your privacy.
But more importantly:
Feelings are the enemy of good investing.
Seeing the value of your portfolio fluctuate can trigger fear or greed. By hiding your dollar values, you’re not just securing your data — you’re reducing the temptation to react emotionally.
It’s just numbers. Systems over Feelings.
Table Automatically Adapts to Your Asset Count
The Dynamic Portfolio Tracker is designed to scale with your portfolio. Simply choose how many assets you want to track (up to 15), and the table will automatically resize to fit exactly that number — no wasted space or empty rows.
• Select 1 to 15 assets using the “Number of Assets” input
• The table expands or contracts dynamically to show only those rows
• All calculations, summaries, and layout elements adjust accordingly in real time
This keeps the interface clean, focused, and perfectly tailored to your setup — whether you’re tracking 3 coins or managing a full portfolio of 12+ tokens.
Customize Your Table to Match Your Style
The Dynamic Portfolio Tracker offers a full suite of visual customization options, allowing you to tailor the table to your charting style or stream layout. You can:
• Choose text colors for labels, values, and headers
• Set background colors for the full table and header row — or turn them off completely for a clean, transparent look
• Control border and frame settings, including color, thickness, or disabling them entirely
• Pick custom colors for Buy and Sell signals in the rebalance column
• Adjust table font size from tiny to large to match your resolution or preferences
Special Thanks
This tool wouldn’t exist without the knowledge and inspiration gained through The Real World. A sincere thank you to the Investing Master, the Guides, and Professor Adam — your frameworks and lessons brought clarity, discipline, and structure to this build.
And of course, glory to L4 — where real men are made.
Time-based LiquidityThis indicator automatically marks important time-based liquidity levels on your chart, helping you stay aware of where major price reactions may occur and the market is forced to show its hand.
Key Features:
Previous Month’s, Week’s, and Day’s Highs and Lows: Displays PMH/PML, PWH/PWL, and PDH/PDL — key reference points where liquidity often accumulates.
Intraday Session Highs and Lows: Divides the trading day into quarters (00:00–06:00, 06:00–12:00, etc. following Day’s Quarterly Theory) and tracks session highs and lows dynamically across these periods.
Current Session 90-Minute Quarters: Splits the active session into 90-minute intervals to highlight short-term liquidity structures and potential reaction zones.
Level Alerts: Tracks when each liquidity level is reached and enables customizable alerts so you don’t miss important price movements.
Use Case:
This tool provides an organized, time-based framework for identifying where liquidity is likely to concentrate across different timeframes and intraday cycles. Use these levels for forming bias, planning entries, exits, or anticipating price reactions at key points in the market structure.
Customization Options:
Enable/disable liquidity levels to display (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Sessions, Session Quarters)
Customize the appearance of each level (color, style, line width)
Enable or disable tracking and alerts for level interactions
Dynamic Trade Signal Validator (DTSV)The Dynamic Trade Signal Validator (DTSV) is designed to filter false trade signals while generating reliable, frequent trade opportunities. False signals, which lead to unprofitable trades, often occur in choppy or low-momentum markets. The DTSV combines Hull Moving Average (HMA) crossovers, Average True Range (ATR) breakout confirmation, and MACD histogram momentum filtering to ensure signals align with trend, volatility, and momentum, making it ideal for day trading or swing trading across assets like stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies.
How It Works
The DTSV uses three components to validate trade signals, balancing frequency and reliability:
HMA Crossover for Trend Direction:
Two HMAs (default: 9-period fast, 21-period slow) detect trend changes. A buy signal triggers when the fast HMA crosses above the slow HMA (bullish), and a sell signal when it crosses below (bearish). HMAs reduce lag compared to traditional MAs, enabling more responsive trend detection.
ATR Breakout Confirmation:
The 14-period ATR ensures significant price movement by requiring the bar’s range (high minus low) to exceed the ATR multiplied by 1.0 (adjustable). This confirms volatility, reducing false signals in stagnant markets.
MACD Histogram Momentum Filter:
The MACD (default: 12, 26, 9) histogram confirms momentum. Buy signals require a positive histogram (bullish momentum), and sell signals need a negative histogram (bearish momentum), ensuring directional strength.
Signal Generation
Buy signals (green triangles below bars) occur when a bullish HMA crossover, ATR breakout, and positive MACD histogram align. Sell signals (red triangles above bars) require a bearish crossover, ATR breakout, and negative histogram. This triple confirmation minimizes false trades while maintaining frequent signals.
LANZ Strategy 4.0🔷 LANZ Strategy 4.0 — Trend Impulse Detection with Risk Management
LANZ Strategy 4.0 is a multi-indicator trend strategy designed for short to medium-term trading on any asset or timeframe. It combines Parabolic SAR, Supertrend, ADX, and time zone highlighting to detect and confirm trend impulses, while managing entries with dynamic Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels.
🧠 Core Components:
Parabolic SAR: Identifies short-term trend reversals.
Supertrend: Highlights trend continuation zones.
ADX Filter: Ensures trend strength by filtering entries when ADX exceeds a defined threshold.
Impulse Detection Logic: Detects and confirms movement impulses with a counter, only generating trade signals on confirmed sequences.
Risk Management: Calculates dynamic SL/TP with a default risk-reward ratio of 1:2, minimum SL of 4 pts, and maximum of 12 pts.
📊 Visual Features:
Trend lines from Supertrend and SAR.
Colored background zones for different sessions (Asia, NY).
Labels and lines for entry, SL, and TP.
Movement number labels help visualize impulse progression.
Alerts when a new impulse is confirmed.
⚙️ How It Works:
The strategy waits for a confirmed impulse (i.e., change in SAR + Supertrend + ADX filter).
Once a valid impulse is confirmed:
A trade signal (BUY/SELL) is shown.
SL and TP levels are calculated and drawn.
The script monitors live price to determine if SL or TP is hit.
Impulse counter advances to label movement progression.
🔔 Alerts:
You will receive an alert each time a new valid impulse is confirmed, indicating a potential trading opportunity.
📝 Notes:
Script is intended for discretionary or assisted trading, not automated execution.
Works best during active sessions with visible trend direction.
You can adjust ATR period, multiplier, SL padding, and impulse thresholds.
Credits:
Developed by LANZ combines established technical indicators and original impulse-count logic.
BTC Markup/Markdown Zones by Koenigsegg📈 BTC Markup/Markdown Zones
A handcrafted indicator designed to mark Bitcoin's most critical High Time Frame (HTF) structure shifts. This tool overlays true institutional-level Markup and Markdown Zones, selected manually after deep market review. Whether you're testing strategies or actively trading, this tool gives you the bigger picture at all times.
🔍 Key Features:
✅ HTF Markup & Markdown Zones
Every zone is manually selected — no indicators, no repainting. Just raw market history and real structure.
✅ Two Display Modes
• Background Zones — soft overlays with low opacity for visual context — with the option to increase opacity manually if desired.
• Start Candle Highlight — sharply highlighted candle marking the final pivot before a macro reversal.
✅ Custom Color Controls (Style Tab)
All visual styling lives in the Style tab, with clearly labeled fields:
• Markup Zone
• Markdown Zone
• Start Candle Highlight Markup
• Start Candle Highlight Markdown
✅ Minimal Input Section
Just one toggle: display mode. Everything else is kept clean and intuitive.
🧠 Purpose:
This script is made for any timeframe:
• Zoom into lower timeframes to know whether you're trading inside a Markup or Markdown
• Use it during strategy testing for true structural awareness
📅 Handpicked Macro Turning Points:
Each zone originates from a manually confirmed candle — the last meaningful candle before a shift in control between bulls and bears:
• FRI 19 AUG 2011 12PM – MARK DOWN
• THU 20 OCT 2011 12AM – MARK UP
• WED 10 APR 2013 12PM – MARK DOWN
• FRI 12 APR 2013 12PM – MARK UP
• SAT 30 NOV 2013 12AM – MARK DOWN
• WED 14 JAN 2015 12PM – MARK UP
• SUN 17 DEC 2017 12PM – MARK DOWN
• SAT 15 DEC 2018 12PM – MARK UP
• WED 14 APR 2021 4AM – MARK DOWN
• TUE 22 JUN 2021 12PM – MARK UP
• WED 10 NOV 2021 12PM – MARK DOWN
• MON 21 NOV 2022 8PM – MARK UP
• THU 14 MAR 2024 4AM – MARK DOWN
• MON 5 AUG 2024 12PM – MARK UP
• MON 20 JAN 2025 4AM – MARK DOWN
💡 Zones are manually updated by me after each new confirmed Markup or Markdown.
🧬 Fractal Structure for MTF Systems
Price is fractal — meaning the same principles of structure repeat across all timeframes. In Version 2, this tool evolves by introducing manually selected sub-zones inside each High Time Frame (HTF) Markup or Markdown. These sub-zones reflect Medium Timeframe (MTF) structure shifts, offering precision for traders who operate on both intraday and swing levels.
This makes the indicator ideal for low timeframe (LTF) Markup/Markdown awareness — whether you're managing 15m entries or building multi-timeframe confluence systems.
No auto-zones. No guesswork. Just clean, intentional structure division within the broader trend, handpicked for maximum clarity and edge.
💡 Pro Tip:
When price is inside a Markup Zone, shorting becomes riskier — you're trading against a macro bullish structure.
When inside a Markdown Zone, longing becomes riskier — you're fighting against confirmed bearish momentum.
Use this tool to stay aligned with the broader move, especially when zoomed into smaller timeframes or managing entries/exits during intraday setups.
📈 Markup Phase – Bullish Sentiment
Definition: A period where price makes higher highs and higher lows — the uptrend is in full force.
Why sentiment is bullish:
- Institutions and smart money are already positioned long.
- Public/institutional demand drives prices up.
- Momentum is supported by positive news, breakouts, and FOMO.
- Higher highs confirm buyers are in control.
📉 Markdown Phase – Bearish Sentiment
Definition: A period where price makes lower lows and lower highs — clear downtrend.
Why sentiment is bearish:
- Distribution has already occurred, and supply outweighs demand.
- Smart money is short or sidelined, waiting for deeper prices.
- Panic selling or trend-following traders add downside momentum.
- Lower lows confirm sellers are in control.
❌ Trading Against the Trend — Consequences:
-Reduced Probability of Success
-You’re fighting the dominant flow. Most participants are pushing in the opposite direction.
-Drawdowns & Stop-Outs
-Countertrend trades often get wicked or flushed before any meaningful move, especially without structure-based entries.
-Low Risk-Reward Ratio
-Trends offer sustained moves. Countertrend trades may have small take-profit zones or chop.
-Mental Drain & Doubt
-Fighting momentum causes anxiety, second-guessing, and emotional reactions.
-Missed Opportunities
-Focusing on fighting the trend makes you blind to the high-probability setups with the trend.
-Increased Transaction Costs
-More stop-outs and re-entries mean more fees, more friction.
-FOMO from Watching the Trend Run
-Entering countertrend means you might watch the trend explode without you.
-Confirmation Bias & Stubbornness
-Countertrend traders often look for reasons to justify staying in the wrong direction — leading to bigger losses.
🧠 Summary
In markup = bulls dominate → you swim with the current.
In markdown = bears dominate → going long is like pushing a rock uphill.
Trading with the trend is not just safer, it's smarter. The edge lives in momentum — not ego.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and analytical use only. It is not financial advice and should not be relied on for decision-making without personal analysis.
This is not a predictive tool. No indicator can forecast upcoming price movements.
What you see here is based purely on past market behavior — specifically, historical tops and bottoms that marked the start of confirmed reversals.
This script does not know where the next reversal begins, nor can it determine where a new Markup or Markdown starts or ends. It is designed to provide context, not prediction.
Always trade with responsibility and perform your own due diligence.
ETF Builder & Backtest System [TradeDots]Create, analyze, and monitor your own custom “ETF-like” portfolio directly on TradingView. This script merges up to 10 different assets with user-defined weightings into a single composite chart, allowing you to see how your personalized portfolio would have performed historically. It is an original tool designed to help traders and investors quickly gauge risk and return profiles without leaving the TradingView platform.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Custom Portfolio Construction
Multiple Assets : Combine up to 10 different stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, or other symbols.
User-Defined Weights : Allocate each asset a percentage weight (e.g., 15% in AAPL, 10% in MSFT, etc.).
Single Composite Value : The script calculates a weighted “ETF-style” price, effectively simulating a merged portfolio curve on your chart.
2. Performance Tracking & Return Analysis
Automatic History Capture : The indicator records each asset’s starting price when it first appears in your chosen date range.
Rolling Updates : As time progresses, all asset prices are continually evaluated and the portfolio value is updated in real time.
Buy & Hold Returns : See how each asset—and the overall portfolio—performed from the “start” date to the most recent bar.
Annualized Return : Automatically calculates CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) to help visualize performance over varying timescales.
3. Table & Visual Output
Performance Table : A comprehensive table displays individual asset returns, annualized returns, and portfolio totals.
Normalized Chart Plot : The composite ETF value is scaled to 100 at the start date, making it easy to compare relative growth or decline.
Optional Time Filter : You can define a specific date range (Start/End Dates) to focus on a particular period or to limit historical data.
⚙️ KEY FEATURES
1. Flexible Asset Selection
Choose any symbols from multiple asset classes. The script will only run calculations when data is available—no need to worry about missing quotes.
2. Dynamic Table Reporting
Start Price for each asset
Percentage Weight in the portfolio
Total Return (%) and Annualized Return (%)
3. Simple Backtesting Logic
This script takes a straightforward Buy & Hold perspective. Once the start date is reached, the portfolio remains static until the end date, so you can quickly assess hypothetical growth.
4. Plot Customization
Toggle the main “ETF” plot on/off.
Alter the visual style for tables and text.
Adjust the time filter to limit or extend your performance measurement window.
🚀 HOW TO USE IT
1. Add the Script
Search for “ETF Builder & Backtest System ” in the Indicators & Strategies tab or manually add it to your chart after saving it in your Pine Editor.
2. Configure Inputs
Enable Time Filter : Choose whether to restrict the analysis to a particular date range.
Start & End Date : Define the period you want to measure performance over (e.g., from 2019-12-31 to 2025-01-01).
Assets & Weights : Enter each symbol and specify a percentage weight (up to 10 assets).
Display Options : Pick where you want the Table to appear and choose background/text colors.
3. Interpret the Table & Plots
Asset Rows : Each asset’s ticker, weighting, start price, and performance metrics.
ETF Total Row : Summarizes total weighting, composite starting value, and overall returns.
Normalized Plot : Tracks growth/decline of the combined portfolio, starting at 100 on the chart.
4. Refine Your Strategy
Compare how different weights or a new mix of assets would have performed over the same period.
Assess if certain assets contribute disproportionately to your returns or volatility.
Use the results to guide allocations in your real trading or paper trading accounts.
❗️LIMITATIONS
1. Buy & Hold Only
This script does not handle rebalancing or partial divestments. Once the portfolio starts, weights remain fixed throughout the chosen timeframe.
2. No Reinvestment Tracking
Dividends or other distributions are not factored into performance.
3. Data Availability
If historical data for a particular asset is unavailable on TradingView, related results may display as “N/A.”
4. Market Regimes & Volatility
Past performance does not guarantee similar future behavior. Markets can change rapidly, which may render historical backtests less predictive over time.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading and investing carry significant risk and can result in financial loss. The “ETF Builder & Backtest System ” is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Always conduct your own research.
Use proper risk management and position sizing.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This script is an original creation by TradeDots, published under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Use this indicator as part of a broader trading or investment approach—consider fundamental and technical factors, overall market context, and personal risk tolerance. No trading tool can assure profits; exercise caution and responsibility in all financial decisions.
