LNL Keltner CandlesLNL Keltner Candles
This indicator plots mean reversion (reversal) arrows with custom painted candles based on the price touch or close above or below keltner channel limits (upper & lower bands). This study was created primarily for swing trading & higher time frames such as daily and weekly. Lower time frames might result in more false signals.
Mean Reversal Arrows:
1. Reversal Arrow Up - If the price drops below the lower band extremes, reversal up is the trigger for a bullish mean reversion.
2. Reversal Arrow Down - Once the price reach the higher band extremes, reversal down is the trigger for a bearish mean reversion.
The Concept of Mean Reversion:
There are just two types of moves in any market: The market is either expanding from the mean or retracing back to the mean. These reversions & epxansions are happening across all types of markets. The goal of this study is to catch the powerful mean reversion from extremes back to the mean. Once the candles light up green / red, it is time to look for the reversal (purple) arrow which triggers the mean reversion setup. Mean reversion is not about catching the next big swing turn to new highs or lows. It is all about the base hits = the mean. So the target here is always the average price. The idea here is to catch the average market ebbs & flows, not the next home run.
What Do I Mean by Mean?
Mean is usually the average price from the last 20-30 bars. Basically something like a 20 MA or Keltner Channel or Bollinger Band midline are really good visual representators of the mean (average price).
Hope it helps.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "bands"
Fibonacci Breakout Target LevelsFibonacci Extension
Fibonacci Extension is a powerful technical analysis tool that traders use to predict where the market might find support and resistance. It is based on the Fibonacci sequence and uses levels that are found by extending the 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100% Fibonacci ratios from a swing high or low. These levels can be used to find possible areas of support and resistance, and traders often use them to figure out when to get into or get out of a trade.
What does this indicator do?
This indicator gets five levels of the Fibonacci Extension and uses it for both the low and the high. The default lookback period is 10 days, and it checks for the highest and lowest price in that period. Then it calculates the extension levels and plots them, and it also adds a line that shows you the current breakout target levels.
How to use?
The primary use intended for this indicator is to be used to determine possible breakout target levels. Let's say you are trading a range and a breakout happens. You can use this indicator to determine possible take-profit zones and possible support and resistance zones.
Features:
Change the lookback period for the Fibonacci Extension levels.
Disable the Fibonacci Bands if you just want to see the FIB levels.
You can also change the 5 levels and add different Fibonacci numbers.
In this image, you can see how you can use this indicator to determine take-profit levels. The Fibonacci Extensions will determine potential support and resistance levels, which could be good places to exit your long or short positions.
Click VWAP Anchored with Standard Devation BandsSimply use it by clicking on your chart on the places you find important to determine whether you entries or exits look strong or weak.
Volume Weighted Exponential Moving Average Suite (VWEMA)This is a volume weighted exponential moving average (EMA) script that allows users to customize various parameters to fit their specific needs.
The script includes four different EMA styles: EMA, DEMA, TEMA, and EHMA. Users can choose which style they would like to use by selecting it in the input field. The script also allows users to customize the length of the EMA, with options for both a maximum and minimum length. Users can also choose to use a manual length or to use the dominant cycle within a range as the length.
In addition to these options, the script also includes the ability to turn on or off volume weighting and a daily reset feature that resets the EMA every day. There is also an option to turn on deviation bands, which show the standard deviation of the selected EMA.
Overall, this script offers a wide range of customization options to help users find the best EMA settings for their needs. It is an advanced tool that can be very helpful for traders looking to optimize their EMA strategy.
Cumulative length instead of cycle length
Double EMA Volume Weighted
Triple EMA Volume Weighted
EHMA Volume Weighted
Higher time frame
Deviation Bands
Nadaraya-Watson non repainting [LPWN]// ENGLISH
The problem of the wonderfuls Nadaraya-Watson indicators is that they repainting, @jdehorty made an aproximation of the Nadaraya-Watson Estimator using raational Quadratic Kernel so i used this indicator as inspiration i just added the Upper and lower band using ATR with this we get an aproximation of Nadaraya-Watson Envelope without repainting
Settings:
Bandwidth. This is the number of bars that the indicator will use as a lookback window.
Relative Weighting Parameter. The alpha parameter for the Rational Quadratic Kernel function. This is a hyperparameter that controls the smoothness of the curve. A lower value of alpha will result in a smoother, more stretched-out curve, while a lower value will result in a more wiggly curve with a tighter fit to the data. As this parameter approaches 0, the longer time frames will exert more influence on the estimation, and as it approaches infinity, the curve will become identical to the one produced by the Gaussian Kernel.
Color Smoothing. Toggles the mechanism for coloring the estimation plot between rate of change and cross over modes.
ATR Period. Period to calculate the ATR (upper and lower bands)
Multiplier. Separation of the bands
// SPANISH
El problema de los maravillosos indicadores de Nadaraya-Watson es que repintan, @jdehorty hizo una aproximación delNadaraya-Watson Estimator usando un Kernel cuadrático racional, así que usé este indicador como inspiración y solo agregamos la banda superior e inferior usando ATR con esto obtenemos una aproximación de Nadaraya-Watson Envelope sin volver a pintar
Configuración:
Banda ancha. Este es el número de barras que el indicador utilizará como ventana retrospectiva.
Parámetro de ponderación relativa. El parámetro alfa para la función Rational Quadratic Kernel. Este es un hiperparámetro que controla la suavidad de la curva. Un valor más bajo de alfa dará como resultado una curva más suave y estirada, mientras que un valor más bajo dará como resultado una curva más ondulada con un ajuste más ajustado a los datos. A medida que este parámetro se acerque a 0, los marcos de tiempo más largos ejercerán más influencia en la estimación y, a medida que se acerque al infinito, la curva será idéntica a la que produce el Gaussian Kernel.
Suavizado de color. Alterna el mecanismo para colorear el gráfico de estimación entre la tasa de cambio y los modos cruzados.
Período ATR. Periodo para calcular el ATR (bandas superior e inferior)
Multiplicador. Separación de las bandas
Range Detector Indicator [Misu]█ This indicator shows an upper and lower band based on Highs and Lows.
Depending on this, the indicator interprets a ranging market, an uptrend or a downtrend.
█ Usages:
The purpose of this indicator is to identify when the price is ranging.
It's also used to identify changes in trends, breaking points, and trend reversals.
But it can also be used to show resistance or support levels.
█ Features:
> Price Action Change Alerts
> Price Action Change Labels
> Color Bars
> Show Bands
█ Parameters:
Deviation: A parameter used to calculate pivots.
Depth: A parameter used to calculate pivots.
Activate Range Detection: Check the box to activate range detection.
Band% Offset: A factor that is used to vary the bands offset.
DB KCBB%D WavesDB KCBB%D Waves
What does the indicator do?
The indicator plots the percent difference between the low and high prices against a combined Kelpler Channel Bollinger Bands for the current timeframe. The low percent difference and the high percent difference each have their own waves plotted. A mirror mode default allows both waves to be visualized in a mirrored plot that clearly shows when outer bands are present and when they swap. Each percent difference band is displayed with a 1 bar lookback to visualize local tops/bottoms.
The overall trend is displayed using two sets of green/red colors on the percent difference waves so that each wave is recognizable, but the overall price trend is visible. A fast 3 SMA is taken of each percent difference wave to obtain the overall trend and then averaged together. The trend is then calculated based on direction from the previous bar period.
How should this indicator be used?
By default, the indicator will display in a mirror mode which will display both the low and high percent change waves mirrored to allow for the most pattern recognition possible. You will notice the percent difference waves swap from inner to outer, showing the overall market direction for that timeframe. When each percent difference wave interacts with the zero line, it indicates either buys or sells opportunities depending on which band is on the inside. When the inner wave crosses zero, special attention should be paid to the outer wave to know if it's a significant move. Likewise, when the outer wave peaks, it can indicate buy or sell opportunities depending on which wave is on the outside.
A zero line and other lines are displayed from the highest of the high percent difference wave over a long period of time. The lines can measure movement and possible oversold/overbought locations or large volatility. You can also use the lines for crossing points for either wave as alerts to know when to buy or sell zones are happening.
When individual percent difference waves are designed to be reviewed without mirroring, the mirror checkbox can be unchecked in the settings. Doing so will display both the high and low percent difference waves separately. Using this display, you can more cleanly review how each wave interacts with various line levels.
For those who desire to only have half of the mirror or one set of waves inverted against each other, check the "mirrored" and the "mirrored flipped" checkboxes in the settings. Doing so will display the top half of the mirror indicator, which is the low percent difference wave with the high percent difference wave inverted.
The indicator will also change the background color of its own pane to indicate possible buy/sell periods (work in progress).
Does the indicator include any alerts?
Yes, they are a work in progress but starting out with this release, we have:
NOTE: This is an initial release version of this indicator. Please do not use these alerts with bots yet, as they will repaint in real-time.
NOTE: A later release may happen that will delay firing the events until 1/2 of the current bar time has passed.
NOTE: As with any indicator watch your upper timeframe waves first before zooming into lower.
DB KCBB%D Buy Zone Alert
DB KCBB%D MEDIUM Buy Alert
DB KCBB%D STRONG Buy Alert
DB KCBB%D Sell Alert
DB KCBB%D STRONG Sell Alert
DB KCBB%D Trend Up Alert
DB KCBB%D Trend Down Alert
Use at your own risk and do your own diligence.
Enjoy!
Variety-Filtered, Squeeze Moving Averages [Loxx]Variety-Filtered, Squeeze Moving Averages is a chop zone indicator that identifies when price is below a specific volatility threshold calculated as the difference between a fast and slow moving average and filtered using ATR- or Pips-based threshold. This indicator can be use as both an entry and exit indicator. It identifies both chop zones and breakouts/breakdowns
How to use
When the candles turn white and the threshold bands appear on the chart, this is indicative of low volatility
When price exits the threshold bands, price will usually explode up or down giving a long or short signal. This acts as a sort of squeeze momentum.
Included:
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts, 4 types of alerts: Squeeze started, Squeeze ended, long, and short
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
35+ Loxx's Moving Averages
God Number Channel v2(GNC v2)GNC got a little update:
1) Logic changed a bit.
I tried to calculate MAs based on the power(high - low of previous bars).You can see it the M-variables, as new statements were added in calculation section of MAs. I don't really know if I did right, because I didn't go too much in Pine Script. I just wanted to make a Bollinger-bands-like bands, which could predict the levels at which might reverse, using legendary fibonacci and Tesla's harmonic number 432. It's might sound as a joke, but as you can see, it works pretty good.
2) Customization :
No need to change Fibonacci ratios in code. Now you can do it in the GNC settings. Also MAs' names were made obvious, just check it out. Time of million similar "MA n1" has passed :)
3) Trade-entry advices :
I didn't tell you exactly the trade-entry advices, as I haven't explored this script fully yet :) But you probably understood something intuitively, when added GNC on the chart. Now I made things way more obvious:
1. Zones between Fib ratios show you how aware you should be of price movements. Basically, here are the rules, but you probably understand them already:
1.1 Red zone(RZ) : high awareness, very likly for price to be reversed, but if there is a clear trend and you know, than it might be a time for price to shoot up/down.
1.2 Orange zone(OZ) : medium awareness, not so obvious, as price might go between boundaries of OZ and continue the trend movement if such followed before entering the OZ. If price go below lower boundary of OZ and the next bar opens below this boundary, it might be a signal for SHORY, BUT(!) please consider confirmation of any sort to be more sure. Think of going beyond the upper boundary by analogy.
1.3 Green Zone(GZ) : if the price hits any boundary of green zone, it is usually a good oppurtunity to open a position against the movement(hit lower boundary -> open LONG, hit upper boundary -> open SHORT).
1.4 Middle Zone(Harmonic Zone)(MZ) : same rules from Green Zone.
IMPORTANT RECCOMENDATION : Use trend indicator to trend all signals from zones to follow the trend, 'cause counter-trending with this thing without stop loss might very quickly wipe you out , might if you will counter-trend strategy with GNC, I will be glad if you share it with the community :)
Reccomendation for better entries :
1) if the price hits the lower(or high) boundaries(LB or HB) zone after zone(hit LB or HB of RZ, then of OZ, then of GZ), it is a very good signal to either LONG, if price was hitting LBs , or SHORT, if hitting HBs .
2) Consider NOT to place trades when in MZ, as price in this zone gets tricky often enough. By the way, if you dont the see the harmonic MAs(which go with plot(ma1+(0.432*avg1)) ), then set the transparency of zone to 20% or a bit more and then it will be ok.
I will continue to develop the GNC and any help or feedback from you, guys, will be very helpful for me, so you welcome for any of those, but please be precise in your critics.
Thank you for using my stuff, hope you found it usefull. Good luck :)
Rollin' pseudo-Bollinger Bands 5 linear regression curves and new highs/lows mixed together from the basis for this indicator. Using slightly different logic an upper boundary and lower boundary are formed. Then the boundary's are built upon to show price channels within the band using variations of fib levels and the distance between the initial boundary's. Dots plotted show the inverse of the close price relative to either the upper or lower boundary depending on where the close is relative to the center of the band. This shows the market's tendency for symmetry which is useful when looking for reversals etc. If it's too cluttered feel free to turn off some things in the options and keep what you feel is helpful.
TL WavesI created this indicator inspired by the miyuki waves indicator by eto_miyuki. In my indicator we have 17 types of moving averages which can be selected in the settings.
It is a trend indicator, the base of the wave is a moving average and 4 Average True Range (ATR) Bands derived from the baseline are formed.
There are also 3 moving averages in a guppy style, these 3 moving averages can also be configured.
The moving average options are:
SMA ---> Simple
WMA ---> Weighted
VWMA ---> Volume Weighted
EMA ---> Exponential
DEMA ---> Double EMA
ALMA ---> Arnaud Legoux
HMA ---> Hull MA
SMMA ---> Smoothed
LSMA ---> Least Squares
KAMA ---> Kaufman Adaptive
TEMA ---> Triple EMA
ZLEMA ---> Zero Lag
FRAMA ---> Fractal Adaptive
VIDYA ---> Variable Index Dynamic Average
JMA ---> Jurik Moving Average
T3 ---> Tillson
TRIMA ---> Triangular
All settings are available for changing inputs.
wnG - VWAP MOD Modified version of VWAP :
Classic VWAP with 6 levels based on the Average True Range to identify the distance and distribution of the prices around the VWAP.
There are 2 calcul methodologies for the bands
- Last 24 Hours Average True Range
- Progressive Average True Range starting from 00:00
As prices tend to move around the VWAP level, favor LONG positions in the GREEN ZONE (and SHORT in the RED ZONE).
How to use it :
Avoid taking long position when price is in the RED ZONE
Avoid taking short position when price is in the GREEN ZONE
==> Adjust the settings depending on your timeframe and asset
Rudy's BB with MartingaleMy first strategy script that uses Bollinger Bands and Martingale to increase contract size after negative profit.
[MAD] FibchannelsThis is an indicator that gives you bands around the Fibonacci levels High/Low of the asset.
There are 3 time frames available so you can use the hourly, daily and weekly at the same time.
You can change the bands via selectable inputs to suit your own preferences.
you can as example combine with RSI or MACD to find a entry
Weighted Standard Deviation BandsLinearly weighted standard deviations over linearly weighted mean.
The rationale of the study can be deduced from my latest publications where I go deeper into explaining the benefits of linear weighting, but in short, I can remind that by using linear weighting we are able to increase the information gain by communicating the sequential nature of time series to the calculations via linear weighting.
Note, that multiplier parameters can take both negative and positive values resulting in ability to have, for example, 1st and 6th weighted standard deviations higher than the weighted mean.
Despite the modification of the classic standard deviation formula, I assume that mathematical qualities of standard deviation will hold due to the fact we can alternately weight the window itself, and then apply the classic standard deviation over the weighted window. In both cases, the results will be the same.
Aight that was too formal, but your short strangles should be happy
Here is it, for you
RSI_OTT - TP/SLWhile creating this strategy, I was inspired by "ott(by Anıl Özekşi)" and "RSI + Bollinger Double Strategy(by ChartArt)".
Basically, the strategy uses ott bands instead of bollinger bands in the "RSI+Bollinger Double Strategy".
User can select take profit, stop loss, position direction(long, short or both) and the other ott parameters via interface.
[RS]Bollinger Bands Breakout Candles V0EXPERIMENTAL: a experiment using bollingers and directional momentum, Breakout detector.
Specter Trend Cloud [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
Specter Trend Cloud is a flexible moving-average–based trend tool that builds a colored “cloud” around market direction and highlights key retest opportunities. Using two adaptive MAs (short vs. long), offset by ATR for volatility adjustment, it shades the background with a gradient cloud that switches color on trend flips. When price pulls back to retest the short MA during an active trend, the script plots diamond markers and extends dotted levels from that retest price. If price later breaks through that level, the extension is terminated—giving traders a clean visual of valid vs. invalid retests.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Multi-MA Core Engine:
Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, or VWMA as the base. The indicator tracks both a short-term MA (Length) and a longer twin (2 × Length).
Volatility-Adjusted Offset:
Both MAs are shifted by ATR(200) depending on trend direction—pulling them down in uptrends, up in downtrends—so the cloud reflects realistic breathing room instead of razor-thin bands.
Gradient Trend Cloud:
Between the two shifted MAs, the script fills a shaded region:
• Aqua cloud = bullish trend
• Orange cloud = bearish trend
Gradient intensity increases toward the active edge, providing a visual sense of strength.
Trend Flip Logic:
A flip occurs whenever the short MA crosses above or below the long MA. The cloud instantly changes color and begins tracking the new regime.
Retest Detection:
During an ongoing trend (no flip), if price retests the short MA within a 5-bar “cooldown,” the tool:
• Marks the retest with diamond shapes below/above the bar.
• Draws a dotted horizontal line from the retest price, extending into the future.
Automatic Level Termination:
If price later closes through that dotted level, the line disappears—keeping only active, respected retest levels on your chart.
⯁ HOW IT WORKS (UNDER THE HOOD)
MA Calculations:
ma1 = MA(src, Length), ma2 = MA(src, 2 × Length).
Trend = ma1 > ma2 (bull) or ma1 < ma2 (bear).
ATR shift offsets both ma1 and ma2 by ±ATR depending on trend.
Cloud Fill:
Plots ma1 and ma2 (invisible for long MA). Uses fill() with semi-transparent aqua/orange gradient between the two.
Retest Logic:
• Bullish retest: ta.crossover(low, ma1) while trend = bull.
• Bearish retest: ta.crossunder(high, ma1) while trend = bear.
Only valid if at least 5 bars have passed since last retest.
When triggered, it stores bar index and price, draws diamonds, and extends a dotted line.
Level Clearing:
If current high > retest upper line (bearish case) or low < retest lower line (bullish case), that line is deleted (stops extending).
⯁ USAGE
Use the cloud color as the higher-level trend bias (aqua = long, orange = short).
Look for diamonds + dotted lines as pullback/retest zones where trend continuation may launch.
If a retest level holds and price rebounds, it strengthens confidence in the trend.
If a retest level is broken, treat it as a warning of weakening trend or possible reversal.
Experiment with MA Type (SMA vs. EMA, etc.) to align sensitivity with your asset or timeframe.
Adjust Length for faster flips on low timeframes or smoother signals on higher ones.
⯁ CONCLUSION
Specter Trend Cloud combines trend detection, volatility-adjusted shading, and retest visualization into a single tool. The gradient cloud provides instant clarity on direction, while diamonds and dotted retest levels give you tactical entry/retest zones that self-clean when invalidated. It’s a versatile trend-following and confirmation layer, adaptable across multiple assets and styles.
EMA Envelope + SMA + Purple DotThis indicator combines three tools into one:
📈 EMA Envelope with wedge and range contraction signals to highlight volatility squeezes.
🔵 SMA with optional smoothing (SMA/EMA/WMA/SMMA/VWMA) and optional Bollinger Bands.
🟣 Purple Dot “PowerBars” that mark strong momentum bars when price ROC (%) and volume exceed user-defined thresholds.
It also includes:
Background highlighting of contraction zones (bullish/bearish/neutral colors).
A summary table showing PowerBar count and return (%) over custom lookback periods.
Flexible display settings (table position, dark/light theme, highlight toggle).
Designed for traders who want to track momentum bursts, volatility contraction, and trend strength all in one tool.
ATR-limited Donchian ChannelThe ATR-limited Donchian Channel is a modified version of the classic Donchian Channel that adapts more quickly to changing market conditions.
While a traditional Donchian Channel is based only on the highest high and lowest low over a given lookback period, this version introduces an ATR-based constraint that prevents the channel lines from extending too far away from price. This makes the channel more responsive and reduces lag compared to the standard Donchian Channel.
How it works
The upper band is based on the highest high of the last N candles, but it cannot exceed a maximum distance of ATR × Factor above the current median price (midpoint of high and low).
The lower band is based on the lowest low of the last N candles, but it cannot drop more than ATR × Factor below the median price.
If the Donchian Channel would normally extend further than this ATR-limited boundary, the line is capped and marked in blue .
Otherwise, the upper band is drawn in red and the lower band in green .
A middle line is also plotted as the average of the modified upper and lower bands.
An optional offset allows you to shift the channel backward or forward in time for easier visual alignment.
Why use this version?
Faster reaction: By constraining the channel with ATR, the indicator adapts quicker to volatility changes and avoids long periods of overextended levels.
Noise control: ATR filtering prevents extreme spikes or outlier highs/lows from stretching the channel unnecessarily.
Visual clarity: Color-coding highlights when ATR filtering is active, making it easy to distinguish capped vs. natural Donchian levels.
Typical use cases
Trend-following breakout systems, but with volatility-aware limits.
Identifying dynamic support and resistance zones that adjust to market conditions.
Filtering false breakouts by monitoring when the Donchian channel is capped by ATR.
✅ This indicator is designed for traders who want the structure of a Donchian Channel but with an adaptive, volatility-sensitive adjustment that makes it react faster and more reliably than the classic version.
Turtle Trading System IndicatorKey Features & Components
Donchian Channels
The core of the indicator is the Donchian Channel, represented by the upper and lower blue bands.
Upper Channel: The highest price over a user-defined period.
Lower Channel: The lowest price over the same period.
Middle Line: The midpoint between the upper and lower channels.
These channels are used to identify potential breakouts, which form the basis for trade entries.
Trading Signals
The script automatically generates clear, non-repainting signals for potential trades:
Long Entry (Green ▲): A green upward-facing triangle appears below the candle when the closing price breaks above the upper Donchian channel, signaling the start of a potential uptrend.
Short Entry (Red ▼): A red downward-facing triangle appears above the candle when the closing price breaks below the lower Donchian channel, signaling the start of a potential downtrend.
Long Exit (Green X): A green cross appears above the candle when the price crosses below the middle line, suggesting the uptrend is weakening.
Short Exit (Orange X): An orange cross appears below the candle when the price crosses above the middle line, suggesting the downtrend is losing momentum.
Integrated Risk Management
A crucial element of the Turtle strategy is disciplined risk management, which is built into this indicator.
Volatility-Based Position Sizing
You can enable position sizing that adapts to market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR). When an entry signal occurs, a label appears showing a calculated position size unit. The formula aims to normalize risk, meaning you would trade smaller sizes in volatile markets and larger sizes in calmer markets. The formula used is:
Volatility Unit=
100
Risk %
×
4×ATR
Close Price
Dynamic Stop Loss
Upon a long or short entry, a stop-loss level is plotted on the chart as red circles. This level is calculated based on the ATR, automatically adjusting to the market's current volatility to provide a data-driven exit point for managing losses. It is calculated as:
Long Stop: Close Price - 1.8 * ATR
Short Stop: Close Price + 1.8 * ATR
On-Chart Information Panel
A convenient table is displayed in the bottom-right corner of the chart, showing the current ATR value and the calculated Position Size unit for quick and easy reference.
Customizable Settings
You can tailor the indicator to your specific strategy and risk tolerance:
Donchian Channel Period: Sets the lookback period for the channels. The default is 20. Shorter periods will be more sensitive and generate more signals.
ATR Period: Sets the lookback period for the Average True Range calculation, affecting both position size and stop-loss levels. The default is 14.
Risk Percentage: The percentage of equity you wish to risk per trade. This directly influences the position size calculation.
Use Volatility Position Sizing: A simple checkbox to turn the ATR-based position sizing on or off.
SD Median NUPL-Z🧠 Overview
SD Median NUPL-Z is a trend-following indicator that leverages a normalized version of Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric, filtered through a median-based volatility band. Unlike traditional NUPL which is often used to spot extremes, this indicator is designed to identify sustained directional trends — entering only when both on-chain momentum and price structure align.
🧩 Key Features
Z-Scored NUPL Trend Engine: Normalizes NUPL using rolling mean and standard deviation to create a smoothed trend signal.
Price Structure Filter: Implements a median-based price band to avoid false entries during short-term volatility.
Custom Thresholds: User-defined thresholds determine when the trend signal is strong enough to justify a long or short directional bias.
Directional Candle Coloring: Reinforces current trend regime visually with aqua (bullish) and red (bearish) plots and candles.
Optimized for BTC: Uses Bitcoin’s Market Cap and Realized Cap to construct the NUPL input.
🔍 How It Works
On-Chain Core: NUPL is calculated as the percentage of unrealized profit in the market: (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap * 100.
Z-Score Transformation: The raw NUPL value is normalized using a rolling average and standard deviation over a set window (default 134 days), producing the NUPL-Z series.
Median-Based Price Filter: A rolling 50th percentile (median) of price is used alongside its own standard deviation to create upper and lower bounds.
These bounds define a "volatility corridor" around price; the trend signal is only acted upon if price confirms by staying outside these bands.
Signal Logic:
A Long signal is triggered when NUPL-Z rises above the long threshold and price is not below the lower band.
A Short signal is triggered when NUPL-Z falls below the short threshold.
State Variable (CD): Tracks the current market regime, used to control plotting and color changes.
🔁 Use Cases & Applications
Momentum-Based Trend Following: Helps traders align with directional moves backed by both on-chain sentiment and supportive price structure.
Filtered Entry Timing: Reduces premature or noise-based entries by requiring price confirmation before committing to NUPL-based signals.
Best Suited for BTC: This tool is designed specifically around Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics and is not intended for altcoins or low-volume assets.
✅ Conclusion
SD Median NUPL-Z repurposes a traditionally cyclical valuation tool into a modern trend-following signal by combining statistical normalization with dynamic price structure filtering. It offers a more robust way to participate in high-conviction directional trends, reducing the likelihood of entering during short-lived counter moves.
⚠️ Disclaimer
The content provided by this indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes financial or investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. Always backtest and apply risk management suited to your strategy.
OBV by readCrypto
-------------------------------------
OBV is used as a leading indicator to predict stock price movements by measuring changes in trading volume.
Reflecting the cumulative value of trading volume,
- When the price rises, if the trading volume increases, OBV rises,
- When the price falls, if the trading volume decreases, OBV falls.
Therefore, the movement of the OBV indicator must be checked along with the price movement, and it has the disadvantage of being unreliable for coins (tokens) with low trading volume.
---------------------------------------
(First interpretation method)
By adding a signal line for the OBV indicator,
- If the OBV indicator moves above the signal line, it is likely to show an upward trend,
- If the OBV indicator moves beyond the signal line, it is likely to show a downward trend.
This interpretation method is difficult to use in actual trading strategies because the OBV indicator often moves up and down repeatedly based on the signal line.
Therefore, it is recommended to use this interpretation method as reference when analyzing charts.
-------------------------------
(Second interpretation method)
Draw support and resistance lines based on the high and low points of the OBV indicator
- If the OBV indicator breaks through the previous high point, it is likely to show an upward trend,
- If the OBV indicator breaks through the previous low point, it is likely to show a downward trend.
This interpretation method is a bit more reliable than the first interpretation method, but it has the disadvantage of having to consider support and resistance lines separately based on the high and low points.
-
To compensate for this, a High line for the high point and a Low line for the low point were added.
- If the OBV indicator shows an upward breakout of each line (Low, HL2, High), the price is likely to rise,
- If the OBV indicator shows a downward breakout of each line (Low, HL2, High), the price is likely to fall.
-
Also, the Low and High lines can be interpreted like Bollinger Bands.
That is, if the Low and High lines show a contraction, the price is likely to move sideways, and if they show an expansion, the price is likely to show a trend.
Therefore, if the High line breaks upward in a contracted state,
- It is likely to show an upward trend,
- If the Low line breaks downward, it is likely to show a downward trend.
In an expanded state, you should focus on finding the point to realize profits rather than conducting new transactions.
--------------------------------
It is not easy to interpret the change in actual transaction volume and use it to create a trading strategy.
In particular, it is more difficult in the coin market where multiple exchanges are linked to show movements for one coin (token).
Therefore, the coin market is actively conducting transactions without referring to trading volume at all by following trends.
However, I think that if you interpret the change in trading volume and use it to find a trading point, it can help you find a more accurate trading point.
In that sense, I think that an indicator that adds the High and Low lines of the OBV indicator can be used as meaningful reference material.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------
OBV는 거래량의 변화를 측정하여 주가 움직임을 예측하는 선행 지표로 활용됩니다.
거래량의 누적값을 반영하여
- 가격이 상승할 때 거래량이 증가면 OBV가 상승하고,
- 가격이 하락할 때 거래량이 줄면 OBV가 하락하게 됩니다.
따라서, 가격의 움직임과 함께 OBV 지표의 움직임을 확인하여야 하고 거래량이 적은 코인(토큰)에서는 신뢰성이 떨어지는 단점도 가지고 있습니다.
---------------------------------------
(첫번째 해석 방법)
OBV 지표에 대한 Signal선을 추가하여
- OBV 지표가 Signal선 이상에서 이동하게 되면 상승세를 보일 가능성이 높고,
- OBV 지표가 Signal선 이항에서 이동하게 되면 하락세를 보일 가능성이 높습니다.
이러한 해석 방법은 Signal선을 기준으로 OBV 지표가 반복적으로 위아래로 움직임을 보이는 경우가 많기 때문에 실제 거래 전략에 활용되기가 어려운 면이 있습니다.
따라서, 이러한 해설 방법은 차트 분석을 할 때 참고 자료로 활용하는 것이 좋습니다.
-------------------------------
(두번째 해석 방법)
OBV 지표의 고점과 저점을 기준하여 지지와 저항선을 그려
- OBV 지표가 이전 고점을 상향 돌파하면 상승세를 보일 가능성이 높고,
- OBV 지표가 이전 저점을 하향 돌파하면 하락세를 보일 가능성이 높습니다.
이러한 해석 방법은 첫번째 해석 방법보다 좀 더 신뢰성이 있는 방법이지만, 고점과 저점을 기준으로 지지와 저항선을 나누어 생각해야 하는 단점이 있습니다.
-
이를 보완하고자 고점에 대한 High선과 저점에 대한 Low선을 추가하였습니다.
- OBV 지표가 각 선(Low, HL2, High)을 상향 돌파하는 모습을 보이면 가격이 상승할 가능성이 높고,
- OBV 지표가 각 선(Low, HL2, High)을 하향 돌파하는 모습을 보이면 가격이 하락할 가능성이 높습니다.
-
또한, Low선과 High선을 볼린저밴드와 같이 해석할 수 있습니다.
즉, Low선과 High선이 수축하는 모습을 보이면 가격은 횡보할 가능성이 높고, 확장하는 모습을 보이면 가격은 추세를 나타낼 가능성이 높습니다.
따라서, 수축한 상태에서
- High선을 상향 돌파하게 되면 상승세를 나타낼 가능성이 높고,
- Low선을 하향 돌파하게 되면 하락세를 나타낼 가능성이 높습니다.
확장된 상태에서는 신규 거래를 진행하기 보다 수익 실현할 시점을 찾는데 집중해야 합니다.
--------------------------------
실제 거래량의 변화를 해석하여 거래 전략을 만드는데 활용하기가 쉽지 않습니다.
특히, 하나의 코인(토큰)에 대해서 여러 개의 거래소가 연동되어 움직임을 나타내는 코인 시장에서는 더욱 어려움이 있습니다.
따라서, 코인 시장은 추세 추종으로 아예 거래량을 참고하지 않고 거래를 진행하는 방법이 활성화되어 있기도 합니다.
하지만, 거래량의 변화를 해석하여 거래 시점을 찾는데 활용한다면 보다 정확한 거래 시점을 찾는데 도움을 받을 수 있다고 생각합니다.
그러한 의미에서 OBV 지표의 High선과 Low선을 추가한 지표가 의미 있는 참고 자료로 활용될 수 있다고 생각합니다.
-------------------------------------------------------------------