BTC HASHRATE DROP: OnchainWhy is the drop of hashrate important?
Drop of hashrate usually occurs because some miners in the mining network stop for working. There are several possible reasons for this. Such as new anti-mining regulations in some countries or a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin, which makes mining no longer affordable for some miners. So they turn off their devices
This reduces the supply of bitcoin in the market and according to the law of supply and demand can eventually lead to an increase in the price of bitcoin.
This oscillator is designed to detect hashrate drop. for this, we use the data of glassnode . Maroon color indicates decrease in hashrate and Red color indicates excessive hash rate drop. As can be seen on the chart, usually after this drop, we see an increase in the price of bitcoin
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "bitcoin"
BTC NVM Ratio - Onchain AnalysisIt is an onchain oscillator and is designed to operate at weekly timeframes and is only for Bitcoin.
Network Value to Metcalfe Ratio (NVM Ratio) is defined as the ratio of the log of market capitalization divided by the log of the square of daily active addresses in the specified window.
This oscillator evaluates bitcoin price according to the Metcalfe Ratio to shows whether the current value of Bitcoin is higher or lower than the real price
I made this comparison using a moving average of 100. The areas that are red in the weekly timeframe indicate that bitcoin is Overvalued. and The areas that are blue in the weekly timeframe indicate that bitcoin is undervalued.
Anchored BTCIntroduce
When looking at altcoins and bitcoins together and seeing coupling and decoupling, we add a bitcoin chart in the "Compare" tab.
We checked where the coupling occurs in "Auto" mode, but if we move the chart, the overlapped position will change.
So I created the “Anchored BTC” indicator, which made the Bitcoin chart immovable.
How to use
First, add a bitcoin chart in the "Compare" tab and compare it with the altcoin chart.
And add the "Correlation Coefficient" built-in indicator to find the part where the correlation coefficient is 0.8 or higher.(it means finding well coupled part)
Among them, set the swing high or swing low part to Time1 and Time2.
Check if it looks the same as the existing BTC chart and you are done.
소개
알트코인과 비트코인을 함께 보며 커플링과 디커플링을 볼 때 우리는 비교 탭에서 비트코인 차트를 추가하여 봅니다.
"오토" 모드로 어느 부분에서 커플링이 일어나는지 체크했는데 차트를 옮기면 겹쳐놓아졌던 위치가 달라지게됩니다.
그래서 "Anchored BTC" 지표를 만들어, 비트코인 차트가 움직이지 못하게 만들었습니다.
사용법
우선 비교탭에서 비트코인차트를 추가하여 알트코인 차트와 비교해봅니다.
그리고 "상관계수" 빌트인 지표를 추가하여 상관계수가 0.8이상인 부분을 찾습니다.(커플링한 부분을 찾는겁니다)
이 중에서 스윙하이나 스윙로우인 부분을 Time1, Time2로 맞춰줍니다.
기존의 BTC차트와 동일하게 보여지는지 확인하면 끝납니다.
HYE Combo Market [Strategy] (Vwap Mean Reversion + Trend Hunter)In this strategy, I used a combination of trend hunter and vwap mean reversion strategies that I published before.
Trend Hunter Strategy:
Mean Reversion Vwap Strategy:
The results are quite impressive, especially for bitcoin.
While the hodl return for bitcoin was 13419%, the strategy's return in the same period was about 5 times (65000%) of this.
s3.tradingview.com
In this combo strategy, I made some changes to the original settings of the strategies used together and added some more new features.
Trend Hunter Strategy Settings: (Original / Combo)
- Slow Tenkansen Period : 9 / 9
- Slow Kijunsen Period : 26 / 13
- Fast Tenkansen Period : 5 / 3
- Fast Kijunsen Period : 13 / 7
- BB Length : 20 / 20
- BB Stdev : 2 / 2
- TSV Length : 13 / 20
- TSV Ema Length : 7 / 7
* I also added a "vidya moving average" to be used as a confirmation tool to open a long position. (Candle close must be above the vidya line.)
Vwap Mean Reversion Strategy Settings: (Original / Combo)
- Small Vwap : 2 / 8
- Big Vwap : 5 / 10
- Percent Below to Buy : 3 / 2
- RSI Period : 2 / 2
- RSI Ema Period : 5 / 5
- Maximum RSI Level for Buy : 30
* I also added a "mean vwap line" to be used for exits in this part of the strategy. In the original version, when small vwap crossovers big vwap, we close the position, but in this strategy we will wait for the close above the mean vwap.
TIPS AND WARNINGS
1-) The standard settings of this combo strategy is designed and tested with daily timeframe. For lower timeframes, you should change the strategy settings and find the best value for yourself.
2-) Only the mean vwap line is displayed on the graph. For a detailed view, you can delete the "//" marks from the plot codes in the strategy code.
3-) This is a strategy for educational and experimental purposes. It cannot be considered as investment advice. You should be careful and make your own risk assessment when opening real market trades using this strategy.
________________________________________________________
Bu stratejide, daha önce yayınladığım trend avcısı ve vwap ortalamaya geri dönüş stratejilerinin bir kombinasyonunu kullandım.
Sonuçlar özellikle bitcoin için oldukça etkileyici.
Bitcoin için hodl getirisi %13419 iken, stratejinin aynı dönemdeki getirisi bunun yaklaşık 5 katı (%65000) idi.
Bu kombo stratejide, birlikte kullanılan stratejilerin orijinal ayarlarında bazı değişiklikler yaptım ve bazı yeni özellikler ekledim.
Trend Avcısı Strateji Ayarları: (Orijinal / Combo)
- Yavaş Tenkansen Periyodu : 9 / 9
- Yavaş Kijunsen Periyodu : 26 / 13
- Hızlı Tenkansen Periyodu : 5 / 3
- Hızlı Kijunsen Periyodu : 13 / 7
- BB Uzunluğu : 20 / 20
- BB Standart Sapması : 2 / 2
- TSV Uzunluğu : 13 / 20
- TSV Ema Uzunluğu : 7 / 7
* Ayrıca long pozisyon açmak için onay aracı olarak kullanılmak üzere "vidya hareketli ortalama" ekledim. (Mum kapanışı vidya çizgisinin üzerinde olmalıdır.)
Vwap Ortalamaya Dönüş Stratejisi Ayarları: (Orijinal / Combo)
- Küçük Vwap : 2 / 8
- Büyük Vwap : 5 / 10
- Alış İçin Gerekli Fark Oranı : 3 / 2
- RSI Periyodu : 2 / 2
- RSI Ema Periyodu: 5 / 5
- Alış için gerekli maksimum RSI seviyesi : 30
* Stratejinin bu bölümünde pozisyondan çıkışlar için kullanılacak bir "ortalama vwap çizgisi" de ekledim. Orijinal versiyonda, küçük vwap, büyük vwap'ı yukarı kestiğinde pozisyonu kapatıyoruz, ancak bu stratejide, ortalama vwap'ın üzerindeki kapanışı bekleyeceğiz.
İPUÇLARI VE UYARILAR
1-) Bu birleşik stratejinin standart ayarları, günlük zaman dilimi ile tasarlanmış ve test edilmiştir. Daha düşük zaman dilimleri için strateji ayarlarını değiştirmeli ve kendiniz için en iyi değeri bulmalısınız.
2-) Grafikte sadece ortalama vwap çizgisi görüntülenir. Ayrıntılı bir görünüm için strateji kodundaki "plot" ile başlayan satırlarda grafikte görünmesini istediğiniz özelliğin önündeki "//" işaretlerini silebilirsiniz.
3-) Eğitim ve deneysel amaçlı bir stratejidir. Yatırım tavsiyesi olarak değerlendirilemez. Bu stratejiyi kullanarak gerçek piyasa işlem açarken dikkatli olmalı ve kendi risk değerlendirmenizi yapmalısınız.
CMT's ProGo indicator v.2This was inspired by William's ProGo, which is an oscillator with a fast line based on today's open minus close compared to a slow line derived from yesterday's open minus close. These are tied to the 14 day SMA in both cases. William's hypothesis is that smart money makes its decisions based on what's happening now and dumb money makes their decisions slower. My hypothesis is that smart money reacts faster and in a more straightforward manner based on current price action while dumb money takes even longer than WIlliam's factored due to overthinking things. To reflect this, I've tied the pro line to the 1 SMA and the amateur line to the 21 SMA then changed the formula for the amateur line to open divided by close. That's a really cute story and all, but let's throw out all of the smart money/dumb money stuff and strap our boots to reality.
How to use:
1.) What we're looking at in the end is an examination of the relationship between price action and the 21 SMA. Since we're exploring rate of change and momentum, divergences should be relevant, right? And divergences are relevant in this indicator. These divergences are pretty good and tend to work in harmony with the trend, though can signal reversal points.
2.) This is not a real time oscillator. It involves three levels of derivation. Sometimes it'll provide leading signals and sometimes it'll show lagging signals because we're comparing the present against the past through a filter.
3.) I've noticed that this oscillator can be used to generate angled trend lines in some cases before they become evident through price action. This is interesting. What you'll do is slap some trend lines onto the oscillator, copy those then paste them onto the price action chart, copy them a few times to create a channel and see what's what. Horizontal support and resistance on the oscillator seems to translate into future price action S/R as well. THAT's interesting.
4.) On lower time frames, this indicator will do a pretty good job of letting you know whether you're in a bearish or bullish trend.
5.) Because of how the oscillator is formulated, it only recognizes Bitcoin as either bullish or ranging on higher time frames and will only ever register bearish on lower time frames. I don't think this will ever change, but if it does register BTC as bearish on higher time frames, I'd be real worried about Bitcoin.
6.) You'll notice that over time, volatility in the oscillator increases. Neat, huh? Yeah, it'll increase as market cap does. Take care and have fun with that.
v2.0 Improvements:
Divergences have been added.
compare returnsIt could be very useful to analyze market with events in the market instead of only looking at the isolated chart. This indicator helps you to compare returns of chart symbol with any other symbol in the same timeframe.
For example, in crypto market coins move with the Bitcoin and BTC is driver of the market, so it could be useful to compare returns of a coin with the Bitcoin. There is a compare feature in tradingview, but it only compare from the beginning of the chart, not showing historical difference between returns which can reveals statistical opportunities or money flow in the market or between markets.
This indicator take two parameters including base symbol and period:
base symbol is the one which you need comparison with and period sets the period of comparison.
For instance, with base symbol: BTCUSDT and period: 15, return of BTCUSDT from 15 previous candles is compared with the chart in 15 previous candles (on same timeframe).
It could be helpful if you use this indicator to compare these pairs:
- altcoins return with BTCUSDT return
- stocks with their market index or industry index.
- market indices: crypto total market cap with SP500 and GOLD
please leave comment for me and this indicator to share your idea with me.
thanks,
hadi jamshidi
Rounded Levels [Intromoto]Thanks BitcoinJesus-Not-Roger-Ver
This script shows rounded prices above and below price as potential support and resistance.
Users can change the metrics of the levels: width, color, step size, and style.
Users will have to manually change the step number if trading assets with a significant difference in valuation
Thanks
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
BTC Volume Contango IndexBased on my previous script "BTC Contango Index" which was inspired by a Twitter post by Byzantine General:
This is a script that shows the contango between spot and futures volumes of Bitcoin to identify overbought and oversold conditions. When a market is in contango, the volume of a futures contract is higher than the spot volume. Conversely, when a market is in backwardation, the volume of the futures contract is lower than the spot volume.
The aggregate daily volumes on top exchanges are taken to obtain Total Spot Volume and Total Futures Volume. The script then plots (Total Futures Volume/Total Spot Volume) - 1 to illustrate the percent difference (contango) between spot and futures volumes of Bitcoin. This data by itself is useful, but because aggregate futures volumes are so much larger than spot volumes, no negative values are produced. To correct for this, the Z-score of contango is taken. The Z-score (z) of a data item x measures the distance (in standard deviations StdDev) and direction of the item from its mean (U):
Z-score = (x - U) / StDev
A value of zero indicates that the data item x is equal to the mean U, while positive or negative values show that the data item is above or below the mean (x Values of +2 and -2 show that the data item is two standard deviations above or below the chosen mean, respectively, and over 95.5% of all data items are contained within these two horizontal references). We substitute x with volume contango C, the mean U with simple moving average ( SMA ) of n periods (50), and StdDev with the standard deviation of closing contango for n periods (50), so the above formula becomes: Z-score = (C - SMA (50)) / StdDev(C,50).
When in contango, Bitcoin may be overbought.
When in backwardation, Bitcoin may be oversold.
The current bar calculation will always look incorrect due to TV plotting the Z-score before the bar closes.
BTC Contango IndexInspired by a Twitter post by Byzantine General:
This is a script that shows the contango between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin to identify overbought and oversold conditions. Contango and backwardation are terms used to define the structure of the forward curve. When a market is in contango, the forward price of a futures contract is higher than the spot price. Conversely, when a market is in backwardation, the forward price of the futures contract is lower than the spot price.
The aggregate prices on top exchanges are taken and then averaged to obtain a Spot Average and a Futures Average. The script then plots (Futures Average/Spot Average) - 1 to illustrate the percent difference (contango) between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin.
When in contango, Bitcoin may be overbought.
When in backwardation, Bitcoin may be oversold.
StonkBTC - autoswitch secondary series for scalpersSince the drop in March of 2020, the U.S. ETF , SPY, has been correlated with bitcoin's moves, especially during the NY session.
This tool is meant to help traders who want to take advantage of that without having to switch the secondary series between BTCUSD and (generally) SPY when changing the ticker they are viewing.
How this works:
The indicator will automatically switch between bitcoin or equity index depending on what ticker your current chart is. Ideally this tool would be very simple to use.
Options:
Show/hide a 'track price' line
Index choice of SP500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000. Further selection by ETF, futures, and CFD
Varied bitcoin price sources
Notes:
You will need a separate subscription to TradingView to view realtime CME futures data (if not, it will be delayed by 10 minutes). Because of this, the default option chosen is the CFD for the most complete chart when viewing bitcoin.
NY Core Trading Session: 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET
www.nyse.com
Stock to Flow Model with Standard Deviation BandsThis Study takes the Stock to Flow Model for Bitcoin as presented by 100trillionUSD and smoothes it using an SMA. Then it calculates the close's standard deviation from it and displays the 2-Sigma Bands.
The stock to flow model seems to be one of the best predictions of Bitcoins price.
The standard deviation bands are supposed to show situations in which Bitcoin is significantly over- or under-bought.
Mayer Multiple [ChuckBanger]The Mayer Multiple is calculated by dividing the current price by 200-day moving average so you have to use daily charts fort it to work properly. This script is design to be a help for deciding when to buy Bitcoin and when it is time to sell your HODL position. This script uses moving average for optimal sell and buy points. In time of writing the average Mayer Multiple is 1.47 for the history of Bitcoin.
COT Commercial Positions (Updated)
This script aims to look at the markets from a manufacturer's point of view.
Producers or large enterprises gradually sell their goods as the price increases.
Because both the amount of product and position in their hands is too high, otherwise they can not find buyers, and they have to make a safe profit.
Therefore, I have shown short positions in green and long positions in red.
Blue is the net position formed by subtracting long positions from short positions.
This script is created with the latest Quandl data number codes.
Please let me know if you see a missing or a code update.
I recommend using it in a weekly (1W) time frame.
CAUTION : Since Bitcoin producer positions are very sparse, speculative long positions have been preferred in Bitcoin.
If you're looking for Bitcoin,
select Bitcoin from the menu.
Regards.
Power Law S/RBerger's article on the Power Law Model for Bitcoin is a compelling read and gives the best evidence so far of the diminishing case for retracing below $3000, of a slowing market on a log-log plot, and reducing but continued volatility.
After seeing it acts as support routinely in the last 10 years, I put together a quick little script that plots his midline curve for Bitcoin. You can change the intercept and slope but will need to do your own calculations for other curves.
I hope you all like it.
Mayer MultiplerThe ‘Mayer Multiple’ is one of the most popular metrics and derives from the current price divided by the 200-day moving average (200-MA). The average value is 1.39, and historically, when it becomes equal to or greater than 2.4 it will retrace to under 1.5.
Simulations performed by Trace Mayer determined that in the past, the best long-term results were achieved by accumulating Bitcoin whenever the Mayer Multiple was below 2.4.
Since the simulations were based on historical data, they are purely educational and should not be the basis of any financial decision.
Credit:
bitcoinist.com
mayermultiple.info
10/20 MA Cross-Over with Heikin-Ashi Signals by SchobbejakThe 10/20 MA Heikin-Ashi Strategy is the best I know. It's easy, it's elegant, it's effective.
It's particularly effective in markets that trend on the daily. You may lose some money when markets are choppy, but your loss will be more than compensated when you're aboard during the big moves at the beginning of a trend or after retraces. There's that, and you nearly eliminate the risk of losing your profit in the long run.
The results are good throughout most assets, and at their best when an asset is making new all-time highs.
It uses two simple moving averages: the 10 MA (blue), and the 20 MA (red), together with heikin-ashi candles. Now here's the great thing. This script does not change your regular candles into heikin-ashi ones, which would have been annoying; instead, it subtly prints either a blue dot or a red square around your normal candles, indicating a heikin-ashi change from red to green, or from green to red, respectively. This way, you get both regular and heikin ashi "candles" on your chart.
Here's how to use it.
Go LONG in case of ALL of the below:
1) A blue dot appeared under the last daily candle (meaning the heikin-ashi is now "green").
2) The blue MA-line is above the red MA-line.
3) Price has recently breached the blue MA-line upwards, and is now above.
COVER when one or more of the above is no longer the case. This is very important. You want to keep your profit.
Go SHORT in case of ALL of the below:
1) A red square appeared above the last daily candle (meaning the heikin-ashi is now "red").
2) The red MA-line is above the blue MA-line.
3) Price has recently breached the blue MA-line downwards, and is now below.
Again, COVER when one or more of the above is no longer the case. This is what gives you your edge.
It's that easy.
Now, why did I make the signal blue, and not green? Because blue looks much better with red than green does. It's my firm believe one does not become rich using ugly charts.
Good luck trading.
--You may tip me using bitcoin: bc1q9pc95v4kxh6rdxl737jg0j02dcxu23n5z78hq9 . Much appreciated!--
HLC3This is a script I wrote years ago. Some people prefer a line instead of candles, the standard tradingview line is too simple, so I copied the line from bitcoinity.org. I added heiken ashi colors to it as well. If you don't want that you can configure that in the options, you get a yellow line instead. You can also configure the source there, you do not have to use hlc3.
BITFINEX BTCUSD shorts vs longsA simple script to get an RSI of BTCUSD SHORTS and LONGS on Bitfinex.
(Forked from an open sourced script)
[Prod] SuperTrend with Stoploss+TrendZones - 1HHere, i'm using a SuperTrend (difference of moving averages) crossover strategy hybrid with stop-loss and trend-following to look at backtesting for the BCHUSD pair on the coinbase (GDAX) exchange.
Included in this script I've got some optimized parameters that seem to make a decent profit over ~35+ trades. The one thing that's bothering me here is that I get OCCASIONAL repaint issues with back-testing, but I can't figure out why for the life of me, because i'm using V3 in the start of the script. If someone could point out the mistake I may be making here , I feel like this could be a serious strategy to use against the BCHUSD pair on coinbase or other exchanges (with tuning of course).
I based this script off of with lots of modifications.
Trend LengthScript tries to capture the length of trends. It calculates an SMA and then determines the slope of the SMA using a simple momentum function. From there it counts bars from when the slope changed directions last. The lime green line is the count from when the slope changed. The yellow line is the average time of a trend. The white line is "trying" to capture the length of a full healthy pip running trend. Pick and SMA you like and then run through many currencies. I find that trends tend to be the same length. Not surprising as the markets are extremely correlated to each other. The trick is to find the most active pair for action. To do that look up my Pairs Range script.
Comments are welcome.
Retail Sentiment Indicator - Multi-Asset CFD & Fear/Greed IndexRetail Sentiment Indicator - Multi-Asset CFD & Fear/Greed Index
Overview
The Retail Sentiment Indicator provides real-time sentiment data for major financial instruments including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. This indicator displays retail trader positioning and market sentiment using CFD data and fear/greed indices.
Methodology and Scale Calculation
This indicator operates on a **-50 to +50 scale** with zero representing perfect market equilibrium.
Scale Interpretation:
- **Zero (0)**: Market balance - exactly 50% of investors buying, 50% selling
- **Positive values**: Majority buying pressure
- Example: If 63% of investors are buying, the indicator shows +13 (63 - 50 = +13)
- **Negative values**: Majority selling pressure
- Example: If 92% of investors are selling, the indicator shows -42 (50 - 92 = -42)
BTC Fear & Greed Index Scaling:
The original `BTC FEAR&GREED` index is natively scaled from 0-100 by its creator. In our indicator, this data has been rescaled to also fit the -50 to +50 range for consistency with other sentiment data sources.
This unified scaling approach allows for direct comparison across all instruments and data sources within the indicator.
-Important Data Source Selection-
Bitcoin (BTC) Data Sources
When viewing Bitcoin charts, the indicator offers **two different data sources**:
1. **Default Auto-Mode**: `BTCUSD Retail CFD` - Retail CFD traders sentiment data (automatically loaded).
2. **Manual Selection**: `BTC FEAR&GREED` - Fear & Greed Index from website: alternative dot me
**To access BTC Fear & Greed Index**: Input settings -> disable checkbox "Auto-load Sentiment Data" -> manually select "BTC FEAR&GREED" from the dropdown menu.
US Stock Market Data Sources
For US stocks and indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones), there are **two data source options**:
1. **Default Auto-Mode**: Individual retail CFD sentiment data for each instrument
2. **Manual Selection**: `SNN FEAR&GREED` - SNN's Fear & Greed Index covering the overall US market sentiment. SNN was used as the name to avoid any potential trademark infringement.
**To access SNN Fear & Greed Index**: When viewing US market charts, disable in input settings checkbox "Auto-load Sentiment Data" and manually select "SNN FEAR&GREED" from the dropdown menu.
This distinction allows traders to choose between **instrument-specific retail sentiment** (auto-mode) or **broader market sentiment indices** (manual selection).
Features
- **Auto-Detection**: Automatically loads sentiment data based on the current chart symbol
- **Manual Selection**: Choose from 40+ supported instruments when auto-detection is unavailable
- **Multiple Data Sources**: Combines retail CFD sentiment with Fear & Greed indices
- **Visual Zones**: Clear greed/fear zones with color-coded backgrounds
- **Real-time Updates**: Live sentiment data from merged data sources
Supported Instruments
Major Indices
- S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones 30, DAX
Forex Pairs
- Major pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, USDCAD
- Cross pairs: EURJPY, GBPJPY, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, and 20+ others
Commodities
- Precious metals: Gold (XAUUSD), Silver (XAGUSD)
- Energy: WTI Oil
- Agricultural: Wheat, Coffee
- Industrial: Copper
Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin (BTC) sentiment data
- BTC & SNN Fear & Greed indices
How to Use
1. **Auto Mode** (Default): Enable "Auto-load Sentiment Data" to automatically display sentiment for the current chart symbol
2. **Manual Mode**: Disable auto-load and select from the dropdown menu for specific instruments
3. **Interpretation**:
- Values above 0 (green) indicate retail greed/bullish sentiment
- Values below 0 (red) indicate retail fear/bearish sentiment
- Fear & Greed indices use 0-100 scale (50 is neutral)
Data Sources
This indicator uses curated sentiment data from retail CFD providers and established fear/greed indices. Data is updated regularly and sourced from reputable financial data providers.
Trading Strategy & Market Philosophy
Contrarian Trading Approach
The primary purpose of this indicator is based on the fundamental market principle that **the majority of retail investors are often wrong**, and markets typically move opposite to the positions held by the majority of market participants.
Key Strategy Guidelines:
- **Contrarian Signal**: When the majority of users are positioned on one side of the market, there is statistically greater market advantage in taking positions in the opposite direction
- **Trend Exhaustion Signal**: An interesting observed phenomenon occurs when, during a long-lasting trend where the majority of investors have consistently been on the wrong side, the Sentiment indicator suddenly shows that the majority has flipped and opened positions in the direction of that long-running trend. This is often a signal of fuel exhaustion for further movement in that direction
Interpretation Examples
- High greed readings (majority bullish) → Consider bearish opportunities
- High fear readings (majority bearish) → Consider bullish opportunities
- Sudden sentiment flip during established trends → Potential trend reversal signal
Technical Notes
- Built with PineScript v6
- Dynamic symbol detection with fallback options
- Optimized for performance with minimal resource usage
- Color-coded visualization with customizable zones
Data Sources & Expansion
Acknowledgments
We extend our gratitude to **TradingView** for enabling the use of custom data feeds based on GitHub repositories, making this comprehensive sentiment analysis possible.
Data Expansion Opportunities
As the operator of this indicator, I am **open to suggestions for new data sources** that could be integrated and published. If you have ideas for additional instruments or sentiment data:
How to Submit Suggestions:
1. Send a **private message** with your proposal
2. Include: **instrument/data type**, **source**, and **brief description**
3. If technically feasible, we will work to import and publish the data
Data Infrastructure Status
Current Data Upload Process:
Please note that sentiment data uploads may occasionally experience minor interruptions. However, this should not pose significant issues as sentiment data typically changes gradually rather than rapidly.
Infrastructure Development:
We are actively working on establishing permanent cloud-based infrastructure to ensure continuous, automated data collection and upload processes. This will provide more reliable and consistent data availability in the future.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Sentiment data should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy and not as the sole basis for trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The contrarian approach described is a market theory and may not always produce profitable results.
BTC Macro Composite Global liquidity Index -OffsetThis indicator is based on the thesis that Bitcoin price movements are heavily influenced by macro liquidity trends. It calculates a weighted composite index based on the following components:
• Global Liquidity (41%): Sum of central bank balance sheets (Fed , ECB , BoJ , and PBoC ), adjusted to USD.
• Investor Risk Appetite (22%): Derived from the Copper/Gold ratio, inverse VIX (as a risk-on signal), and the spread between High Yield and Investment Grade bonds (HY vs IG OAS).
• Gold Sensitivity (15–20%): Combines the XAUUSD price with BTC/Gold ratio to reflect the historical influence of gold on Bitcoin pricing.
Each component is normalized and then offset forward by 90 days to attempt predictive alignment with Bitcoin’s price.
The goal is to identify macro inflection points with high predictive value for BTC. It is not a trading signal generator but rather a macro trend context indicator.
❗ Important: This script should be used with caution. It does not account for geopolitical shocks, regulatory events, or internal BTC market structure (e.g., miner behavior, on-chain metrics).
💡 How to use:
• Use on the 1D timeframe.
• Look for divergences between BTC price and the macro index.
• Apply in confluence with other technical or fundamental frameworks.
🔍 Originality:
While similar components exist in macro dashboards, this script combines them uniquely using time-forward offsets and custom weighting specifically tailored for BTC behavior.
