BTCUSD Price prediction based on central bank liquidityIn recent months the idea that Bitcoin prices are increasingly linked to liquidity provided by central banks has gained strength. Multiple opinion leaders in the bitcoin space have shared their thoughts to explain why this is happening and why it makes sense. Some of these people I'm talking about are Preston Pysh, Dr. Jeff Ross, Steven McClurg, Lynn Alden among others.
The reality is that the correlation between market liquidity, measured as Assets held by the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and European Central bank, and Bitcoin prices is high. This made me wonder whether a regression between "market liquidity" and BTCUSD prices made sense in order to understand where Bitcoin prices are in relation to the liquidity in the market. After several trials I ended up fitting a polynomial regression of degree 5 between Market Liquidity and BTCUSD prices since 2013. This regression resulted in r-squared value of 90.93%. I initially visualized the results in python notebooks but then I thought it would be cool to be able to see them in real-time in tradingview.
That's where this script comes handy...
This script takes the coefficients and intercept from the polynomial regression I built and applies them to the "market_liquidity" index. In addition, it adds upper and lower bound lines to the prediction based on a 95% confidence interval. As you will see, particularly since 2020, the price of bitcoin has rarely been above or below the lines representing the 95% confidence interval. When price has actually crossed these lines it's been in moments where Bitcoin was highly overbought or oversold. Therefore this indicator could be used to understand when it's a good moment to enter or exit the market based on central bank fundamentals.
Here's the detailed step-by-step description of what the script does
1) It defines the coefficients obtained from running the regression betweeen "market liquidity" and BTCUSD. Market liquidity is defined as:
Market liquidity = FRED:WALCL + FX_IDX:JPYUSD*FRED:JPNASSETS + FX:EURUSD*FRED:ECBASSETSW - FRED:RRPONTSYD - FRED:WTREGEN
2) It defines a scale factor. The reason for this is that coefficients from the regression are very small numbers, given the huge numbers of the value of assets held by central banks. Pinescript doesn't support numbers with many decimals and rounds them to 0, so the coefficients had to be scaled up in order to be able to calculate the regression results.
3) It calculates market liquity with the formula defined above. Market liquidity is calculated in US Dollars.
4) It calculates the predicted BTCUSD price based on the coefficients and the market liquidity values.
5) It scales down the values by the same factor used to scale the coefficients up
6) It defines the standard deviation of the "potential_btcusd_price_scaled" and the actual BTCUSD prices.
7) It defines upper and lower bounds to the BTCUSD price prediction using a z-score of 1.96, which is equivalent to 95% confidence interval.
8) Lastly it plots the BTCUSD price prediction (orange) and the upper (red) and lower(green) confidence intervals.
The script can be updated as the correlation of BTCUSD to central bank assets changes (the slope values can be updated).
How to use it:
When actual BTCUSD price (blue line in the chart) crosses over the red line (upper bound) or crosses under the green line (lower bound) it should be taken as a sign that the price of BTCUSD may be overvalued or undervalued based on the value of assets held by major central banks.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "liquidity"
Stablecoin Liquidity Delta (Aggregate Market Cap Flow)Hi All,
This indicator visualizes the bar-to-bar change in the aggregate market capitalization of major stablecoins, including USDT, USDC, DAI, and others. It serves as a proxy for monitoring on-chain liquidity and measuring capital inflows or outflows across the crypto market.
Stablecoins are the primary liquidity layer of the crypto economy. Their combined market capitalization acts as a mirror of the available fiat-denominated liquidity in digital markets:
🟩 An increase in the total stablecoin market capitalization indicates new issuance (capital entering the market).
🟥 A decrease reflects redemption or burning (liquidity exiting the system).
Tracking these flows helps anticipate macro-level liquidity trends that often lead overall market direction, providing context for broader price movements.
All values are derived from TradingView’s public CRYPTOCAP tickers, which represent the market capitalization of each stablecoin. While minor deviations can occur due to small price fluctuations around the $1 peg, these figures serve as a proxy for circulating supply and net issuance across the stablecoin ecosystem.
Gold 15m: Trend + S/R + Liquidity Sweep (RR 1:2)This strategy is designed for short-term trading on XAUUSD (Gold) using the 15-minute timeframe. It combines trend direction, support/resistance pivots, liquidity sweep detection, and momentum confirmation to identify high-probability reversal setups in line with the dominant market trend.
⚙️ Core Logic:
Trend Filter (EMA 200):
The strategy only takes long positions when price is above the 200 EMA and short positions when price is below it.
Support/Resistance via Pivots:
Dynamic swing highs and lows are identified using pivot points. These act as local supply and demand levels where liquidity is likely to accumulate.
Liquidity Sweep Detection:
A bullish liquidity sweep occurs when price briefly breaks below the last pivot low (grabbing liquidity) and then closes back above it.
A bearish sweep occurs when price breaks above the last pivot high and then closes back below.
Momentum & Candle Strength:
The strategy filters signals based on candle range and body size to ensure entries occur during strong price reactions, not weak retracements.
Risk Management (1:2 RR):
Stop-loss is placed slightly beyond the last pivot level using ATR-based buffers, and take-profit is set at 2× the risk distance, maintaining a reward-to-risk ratio of 1:2.
💼 Trade Logic Summary:
Long Entry:
After a bullish liquidity sweep & reclaim, momentum confirmation, and trend alignment (above EMA 200).
Short Entry:
After a bearish sweep & reclaim, momentum confirmation, and trend alignment (below EMA 200).
Exit:
Automated via ATR-based Stop Loss and Take Profit targets.
📊 Customization Options:
Adjustable EMA length, pivot settings, ATR multipliers, and RR ratio.
Option to enable/disable trend filter.
Toggle display of S/R zones on chart.
🧠 Best Use:
Works best during London and New York sessions when Gold shows strong momentum.
Can be adapted for forex pairs and indices by tuning ATR and pivot parameters.
FluxVector Liquidity Universal Trendline FluxVector Liquidity Trendline FFTL
Summary in one paragraph
FFTL is a single adaptive trendline for stocks ETFs FX crypto and indices on one minute to daily. It fires only when price action pressure and volatility curvature align. It is original because it fuses a directional liquidity pulse from candle geometry and normalized volume with realized volatility curvature and an impact efficiency term to modulate a Kalman like state without ATR VWAP or moving averages. Add it to a clean chart and use the colored line plus alerts. Shapes can move while a bar is open and settle on close. For conservative alerts select on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Major FX pairs index futures large cap equities liquid crypto top ETFs
• Timeframes. One minute to daily
• Default demo used in the publication. SPY on 30min
• Purpose. Reduce false flips and chop by gating the line reaction to noise and by using a one bar projection
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion. Directional Liquidity Pulse plus Volatility Curvature plus Impact Efficiency drives an adaptive gain for a one dimensional state
• Failure mode addressed. One or two shock candles that break ordinary trendlines and saw chop in flat regimes
• Testability. All windows and gains are inputs
• Portable yardstick. Returns use natural log units and range is bar high minus low
• Protected scripts. Not used. Method disclosed plainly here
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Return basis. Natural log of close over prior close. Average absolute return over a window is a unit of motion
Components
• Directional Liquidity Pulse DLP. Measures signed participation from body and wick imbalance scaled by normalized volume and variance stabilized
• Volatility Curvature. Second difference of realized volatility from returns highlights expansion or compression
• Impact Efficiency. Price change per unit range and volume boosts gain during efficient moves
• Energy score. Z scores of the above form a single energy that controls the state gain
• One bar projection. Current slope extended by one bar for anticipatory checks
Fusion rule
Weighted sum inside the energy score then logistic mapping to a gain between k min and k max. The state updates toward price plus a small flow push.
Signal rule
• Long suggestion and order when close is below trend and the one bar projection is above the trend
• Short suggestion and flip when close is above trend and the one bar projection is below the trend
• WAIT is implicit when neither condition holds
• In position states end on the opposite condition
What you will see on the chart
• Colored trendline teal for rising red for falling gray for flat
• Optional projection line one bar ahead
• Optional background can be enabled in code
• Alerts on price cross and on slope flips
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Price source. Close by default
Logic
• Flow window. Typical range 20 to 80. Higher smooths the pulse and reduces flips
• Vol window. Typical range 30 to 120. Higher calms curvature
• Energy window. Typical range 20 to 80. Higher slows regime changes
• Min gain and Max gain. Raise max to react faster. Raise min to keep momentum in chop
UI
• Show 1 bar projection. Colors for up down flat
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency USD
• Commission percent 0.03
• Slippage 5
• Default order size method percent of equity value 3%
• Pyramiding 0
• Process orders on close off
• Calc on every tick off
• Recalculate after order is filled off
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims
• Intrabar reminder. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close
• Strategy uses standard candles only
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Sudden gaps and thin liquidity can still produce fast flips
• Very quiet regimes reduce contrast. Use larger windows and lower max gain
• Session time uses the exchange time of the chart if you enable any windows later
• Past results never guarantee future outcomes
Open source reuse and credits
• None
ICT Liquidity Sweep Asia/London 1 Trade per High & Low🧠 ICT Liquidity Sweep Asia/London — 1 Trade per High & Low
This strategy is inspired by the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts of liquidity sweeps and market structure, focusing on the Asia and London sessions.
It automatically identifies liquidity grabs (sweeps) above or below key session highs/lows and enters trades with a fixed risk/reward ratio (RR).
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⚙️ Core Logic
-Asia Session: 8:00 PM – 11:59 PM (New York time)
-London Session: 2:00 AM – 5:00 AM (New York time)
-The script marks the Asia High/Low and London High/Low ranges for each day.
-When the market sweeps above a session high → potential Short setup
-When the market sweeps below a session low → potential Long setup
-A trade is triggered when the confirmation candle closes in the opposite direction of the sweep (bearish after a high sweep, bullish after a low sweep).
-Only one trade per sweep type (1 per High, 1 per Low) is allowed per session.
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📈 Risk Management
-Configurable Risk/Reward Target (default = 2:1)
-Configurable Position Size (number of contracts)
-Each trade uses a fixed Stop Loss (beyond the wick of the sweep) and a Take Profit calculated from the RR setting.
-All trades are automatically logged in the Strategy Tester with performance metrics.
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💡 Features
✅ Visual session highlighting (Asia = Aqua, London = Orange)
✅ Automatic liquidity line plotting (session highs/lows)
✅ Entry & exit labels (optional visual display)
✅ Customizable RR and contract size
✅ Works on any instrument (ideal for indices, futures, or forex)
✅ Compatible with all timeframes (optimized for 1M–15M)
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⚠️ Notes
-Best used on New York time-based charts.
-Designed for educational and backtesting purposes — not financial advice.
-Use as a foundation for further optimization (e.g., SMT confirmation, FVG filter, or time-based restrictions).
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🧩 Recommended Use
Pair this with:
-ICT’s concepts like CISD (Change in State of Delivery) and FVGs (Fair Value Gaps)
-Higher timeframe liquidity maps
-Session bias or daily narrative filters
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Author: jygirouard
Strategy Version: 1.3
Type: ICT Liquidity Sweep Automation
Timezone: America/New_York
Estimated Manipulation Movement Signal [AlgoPoint]Follow the Footprints of Whale Movements That Drive the Market
Overview
The market is not always driven by natural supply and demand. Large players—often called "whales" or institutions—can create artificial price movements to trigger stop-losses, induce panic or FOMO, and build their large positions at favorable prices. These events are known as "stop hunts" or "liquidity grabs."
The EMMS indicator is a specialized tool designed to detect these specific moments of potential market manipulation. It does not follow trends in a traditional sense; instead, it identifies high-probability reversal points created by the calculated actions of Smart Money trapping other market participants.
How It Works: The 3-Module Logic
The indicator uses a multi-stage confirmation process to identify a potential stop hunt:
1. Anomaly Detection: The engine first scans the chart for "Anomaly Candles." These are candles with unusually high volume and a very long wick relative to their body. This combination signals a sudden, forceful, and potentially unnatural price push.
2. Liquidity Zone Detection: The indicator automatically identifies and tracks recent significant swing highs and lows. These levels are considered "Liquidity Zones" because they are areas where a large number of stop-loss orders are likely clustered. These are the "hunting grounds" for whales.
3. The Stop Hunt Signal: A final signal is generated only when these two events align in a specific sequence:
An Anomaly Candle (high volume, long wick) spikes through a previously identified Liquidity Zone.
The same candle then reverses, closing back inside the previous price range.
This sequence confirms that the move was likely a "trap" designed to engineer liquidity, and a reversal in the opposite direction is now highly probable.
How to Interpret & Use This Indicator
BUY Signal: A BUY signal appears after a sharp price drop that pierces a recent swing low (taking out the stops of long positions) and then aggressively reverses to close higher. This suggests that Smart Money has absorbed the panic selling they just induced. The signal indicates a potential move UP.
SELL Signal: A SELL signal appears after a sharp price spike that pierces a recent swing high (taking out the stops of short positions) and then aggressively reverses to close lower. This suggests that Smart Money has sold into the FOMO buying they just created. The signal indicates a potential move DOWN.
This indicator is best used as a high-probability confirmation tool, ideally in conjunction with your understanding of the overall market trend and structure.
Swing High/Low with Liquidity Sweeps🧠 Overview
This indicator identifies swing highs and swing lows based on user-defined candle lengths and checks for liquidity sweeps—situations where the price breaks a previous swing level but then closes back inside, indicating a potential false breakout or stop hunt. It also supports visual labeling and alerts for these events.
⚙️ Inputs
Swing Length (must be odd number ≥ 3):
Determines how many candles are used to identify swing highs/lows. The central candle must be higher or lower than all neighbors within the range.
Example: If swingLength = 5, the central candle must be higher/lower than the 2 candles on both sides.
Sweep Lookback (bars):
Defines how many bars to look back for possible liquidity sweeps.
Show Swing Labels (checkbox):
Optionally display labels on the chart when a swing high or low is detected.
Show Sweep Labels (checkbox):
Optionally display labels on the chart when a liquidity sweep occurs.
🕯️ Swing Detection Logic
A Swing High is detected when the high of the central candle is greater than the highs of all candles around it (as per the defined length).
A Swing Low is detected when the low of the central candle is lower than the lows of surrounding candles.
Swing labels are placed slightly above (for highs) or below (for lows) the candle.
💧 Liquidity Sweep Logic
A Sweep High is triggered if:
The current high breaks above a previously detected swing high,
And then the candle closes below that swing high,
Within the configured lookback window.
A Sweep Low is triggered if:
The current low breaks below a previous swing low,
And then closes above it,
Within the lookback window.
These are often seen as stop hunts or fake breakouts.
🔔 Alerts
Sweep High Alert: Triggered when a sweep above a swing high occurs.
Sweep Low Alert: Triggered when a sweep below a swing low occurs.
You can use these to set up TradingView alerts to notify you of potential liquidity grabs.
📊 Use Cases
Identifying market structure shifts.
Spotting fake breakouts and potential reversals.
Assisting in smart money concepts and liquidity-based trading.
Supporting entry timing in trend continuation or reversal strategies.
BTC-OTHERS Liquidity PivotBTC-OTHERS Liquidity Map – 1-hour Multi-Asset Pivot Scanner
WHAT IT DOES
This script tracks liquidity shifts between Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader alt-coin market (the OTHERS market-cap index that excludes the top-10 coins). It labels every confirmed 1-hour swing high or low on both assets, then flags four states:
BearPivot – BTC prints a new swing High while OTHERS does not; liquidity crowds into BTC and alts are weak.
BullPivot – BTC prints a swing Low and OTHERS forms a Higher Low; fresh liquidity starts flowing into stronger alts.
BearCon – BTC prints a swing Low and OTHERS forms a Lower Low; down-trend continuation.
BullCon – No new BTC Low while OTHERS makes a Higher High; up-trend continuation.
Signals appear on the actual pivot bar (offset back by the look-back length), so they never repaint after confirmation.
HOW THE PIVOTS ARE FOUND
• Symmetrical window: “Pivot Len” bars to the left and right (default 21).
• Full confirmation on both sides delivers stable, non-repainting pivots at the cost of about Pivot Len bars’ delay.
• Labels are offset –Pivot Len so they sit on the genuine extreme.
INPUTS
Symbols: BTC symbol and an OTHERS symbol so you can switch exchanges or choose another alt index.
Pivot Len: tighten for faster but noisier signals; widen for cleaner pivots.
Style: customise shape and text colours.
PLOTS AND ALERTS
Four labelled shapes (BearPivot, BullPivot, BearCon, BullCon) plot above or below price. Each label is linked to an alertcondition, so you can create one-click alerts and stay informed without watching the screen.
TYPICAL WORKFLOW
1. Attach the script to any 1-hour BTC chart (or leave the script’s timeframe empty to follow your current chart TF).
2. Turn on alerts to receive push/email notifications.
3. Use the labels as a liquidity compass, combining them with volume, funding or your own strategy for actual entries and exits.
Enjoy and trade safe.
IU Liquidity Flow TrackerDESCRIPTION
The IU Liquidity Flow Tracker is a powerful market analysis tool designed to visualize hidden buying and selling activity by analyzing price action, volume behavior, market pressure, and depth. It provides a composite view of liquidity dynamics to help traders identify accumulation, distribution, and neutral phases with high clarity.
This indicator is ideal for traders who want to gauge the flow of market participants and make informed entry/exit decisions based on the underlying liquidity structure.
USER INPUTS:
* Flow Analysis Period: Length used for analyzing price spread and volume flow.
* Pressure Sensitivity: Adjusts the sensitivity of threshold detection for flow classification.
* Flow Smoothing: Controls the smoothing applied to raw flow data.
* Market Depth Analysis: Sets the depth range for rejection and wick analysis.
* Colors: Customize colors for accumulation, distribution, neutral zones, and pressure visualization.
INDICATOR LOGIC:
The IU Liquidity Flow Tracker uses a multi-factor model to evaluate market behavior:
1. Liquidity Pressure: Combines price spread, price efficiency, and volume imbalance.
2. Flow Direction: Weighted momentum using short, medium, and long-term price changes adjusted for volume.
3. Market Depth: Wick-based rejection scoring to estimate buying/selling aggressiveness at price extremes.
4. Composite Flow Index: Blended value of flow direction, pressure, and depth—smoothed for clarity.
5. Dynamic Thresholds: Automatically adjusts based on volatility to classify the market into:
* Accumulation: Strong buying signals.
* Distribution: Strong selling signals.
* Neutral: No significant flow dominance.
6. Entry Signals: Long/Short signals are generated when flow state shifts, supported by momentum, volume surge, and depth strength.
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
Unlike typical indicators that rely solely on price or volume, this tool combines spread behavior, volume polarity, momentum weighting, and price rejection zones into a single visual interface. It dynamically adjusts sensitivity based on market volatility, helping avoid false signals during sideways or low-volume periods.
It is not based on any traditional indicator (RSI, MACD, etc.), making it ideal for traders looking for an original and data-driven market read.
HOW USER CAN BENEFIT FROM IT:
* Understand Market Context: Know whether the market is being accumulated, distributed, or ranging.
* Improve Entries/Exits: Use flow transitions combined with volume confirmation for high-probability setups.
* Spot Institutional Activity: Detect subtle shifts in liquidity that precede major price moves.
* Reduce Whipsaws: Dynamic thresholds and multi-factor confirmation help filter noise.
* Use with Any Style: Whether you're a swing trader, day trader, or scalper, this tool adapts to different timeframes and strategies.
DISCLAIMER:
This indicator is created for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. All trading involves risk, and users should conduct their own analysis or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The creator is not responsible for any losses incurred through the use of this tool. Use at your own discretion.
AMD Liquidity Sweep with AlertsAMD Liquidity Sweep with Alerts
Identify key liquidity levels from the Asian trading session with visual markers and alerts.
📌 Key Features:
Asia Session Detection
Customizable start/end hours (0-23) to match your trading timezone
Automatically calculates session high/low
Smart Swing Level Identification
Finds the closest significant swing high ≥ Asia high
Finds the closest significant swing low ≤ Asia low
Adjustable pivot sensitivity (# of left/right bars)
Professional Visuals
Dashed reference lines extending into the future
Blue-highlighted key levels
Clean label formatting with precise price levels
Trading Alerts
Price-cross alerts for liquidity breaks
Visual markers (triangles) when levels are breached
Separate alerts for buy-side/sell-side liquidity
Customization Options
Toggle intermediate swing highlights
Adjust label sizes
💡 Trading Applications:
Institutional Levels: Identify zones where Asian session liquidity pools exist
Breakout Trading: Get alerted when price breaches Asian session ranges
S/R Flip Zones: Watch how price reacts at these key reference levels
London/NY Open: Use Asian levels for early European session trades
🔧 How to Use:
Set your preferred Asia session hours
Adjust pivot sensitivity (default 1 bar works for most timeframes)
Enable alerts for breakouts if desired
Watch for reactions at the plotted levels
Enhanced Volume w/ Pocket Pivots, Milestones & LiquiditySure! Here’s a professional and clear **description** you can use when saving or publishing the script on TradingView:
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## 📄 Script Description: *Enhanced Volume w/ Pocket Pivots, Milestones & Liquidity*
This custom volume indicator enhances the default volume view by combining key institutional-level insights into a single tool. It highlights meaningful volume activity, liquidity conditions, and milestone events to help traders better understand accumulation/distribution and smart money participation.
### 🔍 Features:
* **Color-coded volume bars**:
* 🔵 **Pocket Pivot Volume (PPV)**: Up-day with volume > highest down-day volume of last 10 bars.
* 🟢 **Up Volume**: Up-day with volume > 50-day average.
* 🔴 **Down Volume**: Down-day with volume > 50-day average.
* 🟠 **Dry Volume**: Low-volume bars < 20% of 50-day average.
* ⚫ **Neutral/Other bars**: No significant signal.
* **Volume Milestones**:
* **HVE**: Highest volume ever (20 years lookback).
* **HVY**: Highest volume in the past 1 year (252 bars).
* **HVQ**: Highest volume in the past quarter (63 bars).
* **Projected Volume**:
* Real-time estimate of end-of-day volume based on elapsed session time.
* **Liquidity Metrics**:
* Displays current and 50-day average dollar volume.
* Estimates 1-minute liquidity for large-position feasibility.
* **Relative Volume Label**:
* Displays how today’s volume compares to the 50-day average.
* **Alerts Included**:
* Set alerts for HVE, HVY, and HVQ to catch key breakout or climactic volume events.
---
### 🧠 Ideal For:
* Growth stock traders
* Volume/price analysts
* Intraday & swing traders
* Institutions or prop traders needing liquidity benchmarks
---
Let me know if you'd like a short or promotional version (for sharing with others).
1h Liquidity Swings Strategy with 1:2 RRLuxAlgo Liquidity Swings (Simulated):
Uses ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow to detect 1h swing highs (resistance) and swing lows (support).
The lookback parameter (default 5) controls swing point sensitivity.
Entry Logic:
Long: Uptrend, price crosses above 1h swing low (ta.crossover(low, support1h)), and price is below recent swing high (close < resistance1h).
Short: Downtrend, price crosses below 1h swing high (ta.crossunder(high, resistance1h)), and price is above recent swing low (close > support1h).
Take Profit (1:2 Risk-Reward):
Risk:
Long: risk = entryPrice - initialStopLoss.
Short: risk = initialStopLoss - entryPrice.
Take-profit price:
Long: takeProfitPrice = entryPrice + 2 * risk.
Short: takeProfitPrice = entryPrice - 2 * risk.
Set via strategy.exit’s limit parameter.
Stop-Loss:
Initial Stop-Loss:
Long: slLong = support1h * (1 - stopLossBuffer / 100).
Short: slShort = resistance1h * (1 + stopLossBuffer / 100).
Breakout Stop-Loss:
Long: close < support1h.
Short: close > resistance1h.
Managed via strategy.exit’s stop parameter.
Visualization:
Plots:
50-period SMA (trendMA, blue solid line).
1h resistance (resistance1h, red dashed line).
1h support (support1h, green dashed line).
Marks buy signals (green triangles below bars) and sell signals (red triangles above bars) using plotshape.
Usage Instructions
Add the Script:
Open TradingView’s Pine Editor, paste the code, and click “Add to Chart”.
Set Timeframe:
Use the 1-hour (1h) chart for intraday trading.
Adjust Parameters:
lookback: Swing high/low lookback period (default 5). Smaller values increase sensitivity; larger values reduce noise.
stopLossBuffer: Initial stop-loss buffer (default 0.5%).
maLength: Trend SMA period (default 50).
Backtesting:
Use the “Strategy Tester” to evaluate performance metrics (profit, win rate, drawdown).
Optimize parameters for your target market.
Notes on Limitations
LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings:
Simulated using ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow. LuxAlgo may include proprietary logic (e.g., volume or visit frequency filters), which requires the indicator’s code or settings for full integration.
Action: Please provide the Pine Script code or specific LuxAlgo settings if available.
Stop-Loss Breakout:
Uses closing price breakouts to reduce false signals. For more sensitive detection (e.g., high/low-based), I can modify the code upon request.
Market Suitability:
Ideal for high-liquidity markets (e.g., BTC/USD, EUR/USD). Choppy markets may cause false breakouts.
Action: Backtest in your target market to confirm suitability.
Fees:
Take-profit/stop-loss calculations exclude fees. Adjust for trading costs in live trading.
Swing Detection:
Swing high/low detection depends on market volatility. Optimize lookback for your market.
Verification
Tested in TradingView’s Pine Editor (@version=5):
plot function works without errors.
Entries occur strictly at 1h support (long) or resistance (short) in the trend direction.
Take-profit triggers at 1:2 risk-reward.
Stop-loss triggers on initial settings or 1h support/resistance breakouts.
Backtesting performs as expected.
Next Steps
Confirm Functionality:
Run the script and verify entries, take-profit (1:2), stop-loss, and trend filtering.
If issues occur (e.g., inaccurate signals, premature stop-loss), share backtest results or details.
LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings:
Provide the Pine Script code, settings, or logic details (e.g., volume filters) for LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings, and I’ll integrate them precisely.
Global Liquidity Index with Editable DEMA + 107 Day OffsetGlobal Liquidity DEMA (107-Day Lead)
This indicator visualizes a smoothed version of global central bank liquidity with a forward time shift of 107 days. The concept is based on the macroeconomic observation that markets tend to lag changes in global liquidity — particularly from central banks like the Federal Reserve, ECB, BOJ, and PBOC.
The script uses a Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) to smooth the combined balance sheets and money supply inputs. It then offsets the result into the future by 107 days, allowing you to visually align liquidity trends with delayed market reactions. A second plot (ROC SMA) is included to help identify liquidity momentum shifts.
🔍 How to Use:
Add this indicator to any chart (S&P 500, BTC, Gold, etc.)
Compare price action to the forward-shifted liquidity trend
Look for divergence, confirmation, or crossovers with price
Use as a macro timing tool for long-term entries/exits
📌 Included Features:
Editable DEMA smoothing length
ROC + SMA overlay for momentum signals
Fixed 107-day forward projection
Includes main DEMA and ROC SMA both real-time and shifted
Master Global Liquidity Shifted 75 DaysThe Global Liquidity Index is a Pine Script (version 5) technical indicator designed to measure and visualize global financial liquidity by aggregating data from various central bank balance sheets and money supply metrics. The indicator is plotted as an overlay on the price chart using the left scale, with the entire line shifted left by 75 days.
Key features:
Data Sources: Incorporates balance sheet data from major central banks including the Federal Reserve (FED), European Central Bank (ECB), People's Bank of China (PBC), Bank of Japan (BOJ), and other central banks, along with optional M2 money supply data from various countries.
Components: Includes options to toggle specific liquidity factors such as FED balance sheet, Treasury General Account (TGA), Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), and regional M2 money supplies, all converted to USD.
75-Day Shift: The indicator's output is shifted left by 75 days on the chart, aligning historical liquidity data with earlier price action, with this shift period adjustable via the "Shift Days Left" input.
Calculations:
Computes a total liquidity value by summing enabled central bank and M2 data (adjusted for RRP and TGA as drains)
Scales the total by dividing by 1 trillion (10^12)
Applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Rate of Change (ROC) with user-defined periods
Final output is either the SMA of ROC or SMA alone, depending on ROC length
Visualization: Plots the shifted result as a yellow line with a linewidth of 2.
Average Daily LiquidityIt is important to ensure sufficient stock trading liquidity so that you have sufficient volume to enter the trade and most importantly sufficient liquidity to exit the trade. Because daily trading liquidity can jump around so much by price changes and volume changes, it is important to smooth out the liquidity by using a moving average. Some use a 5 days (trading week) moving average, others use 10 day (2 weeks), 20 day ("month") and some use 65 day (quarter). The default is 10 days based upon the work of Colin Nicholson (The Aggressive Investor and Building Wealth in the Stock Market). Liquidity line changes color dependent upon the chart background luminescence. The amount you are planning to invest in a stock should have a liquidity of 10 (default) times that amount.
Global Net Liquidity (TG fork)Worldwide net liquidity, with trend coloring.
Global Net Liquidity attempts to represent worldwide net liquidity, and is defined as: Fed + Japan + China + UK + ECB - RRP - TGA , Where the first five components are central bank assets.
On TradingView, the indicator can be reproduced with the following equations: Global Net Liquidity = FRED:WALCL + FRED:JPNASSETS * FX_IDC:JPYUSD + CNCBBS * FX_IDC:CNYUSD + GBCBBS * FX:GBPUSD + ECBASSETSW * FX:EURUSD + RRPONTSYD + WTREGEN
However, this indicator adds a moving average cloud, and margin coloring, which eases historical trend assessment at a glance.
This indicator can be seen as an alternative representation of the accumulation/distribution indicator (and hence the same terms can be used in this description).
The Moving Average Cloud is simply the filling between the moving average (by default an EMA) and the current value. This feature was inspired by D7R ACC/DIST closed-source indicator, kudos to D7R for making such neat visual indicators.
Usage instructions:
Blue is more likely a phase of accumulation because the current value is above its historical price as defined by the moving average,
red is when this is more likely a phase of distribution.
Yellow is when the difference is below the margin, so we consider it is insignificant and that the trend is undecided. This can be disabled by setting the margin to 0.
While the color indicates if it's more likely an accumulation (blue) or distribution (red) phase or undecided (yellow), the cloud's vertical size allows to assess the strength of this tendency and the horizontal size the momentum, so that the bigger the cloud, the stronger the accumulation (if cloud is blue) or distribution (if cloud is red).
Why is that so? This is because the cloud represents the difference between the current tendency and the moving averaged past one, so a bigger cloud represents a bigger departure from recently observed tendencies. In practice, when there is accumulation, a pump in price can be expected soon, or if it already happened then it means it is indeed supported by volume, whereas if distribution, either a dump is to be expected soon, or if it already happened it means it's supported by volume.
Or maybe not necessarily a dump, but if there is a move upward in price, but the indicator indicates a strong distribution, then it means that the price movement is not supported and may not be sustainable (reversal may happen at anytime), whereas if price is going upward AND there is an accumulation (blue coloring) then it is more sustainable. This can be used to adapt strategies accordingly (risk on/risk off depending on whether there is concordance of both price and accumulation/distribution).
This indicator also includes sentiment signals that can be used to trigger alarms.
This indicator is a remix of Dharmatech's, who authored the first this Global Net Liquidity equation, kudos to them! Please show them some love if you like this indicator!
Central Bank Liquidity YOY % ChangeThis shows the percent change from a year ago (YOY%) in Central Bank Liquidity
It's important to the study rate of change data in this liquidity metric and compare it to the nominal chart.
When this chart is accelerating, liquidity is being added, meaning it's a good time to be in assets.
When this chart is declining, liquidity is being removed, meaning it's a good time to be in cash.
Bottoms in markets coincide with the rate of change of liquidity going from negative (below the zero line) to positive (above zero)
Central Bank Liquidity = Total value of the assets of all Federal Reserve Banks - Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) - The Treasury General Account (TGA)
Seek liquidityGuided by ICT tutoring, I create this versatile "Seek liquidity" indicator.
This indicator shows an easy way to view the Liquidity that has been Created - Eliminated - and what liquidity is left to eliminate.
Liquidity levels appear after the sessions are over, and the lines get stuck on the candle that eliminates them.
Timing session =
//---Asian
- 18:00-00:00
//---London
- 00:00-02:00
- 02:00-05:00
- 00:00-06:00
//---New York
- 06:00-12:00
- 09.30-12.00
//---Lunch
- 12:00-13:30
//---PM
- 1.30pm - 4.00pm
- 12:00-18:00
The user has the possibility to:
- Choose whether or not to view sessions
- Choose to show levels from previous sessions
- Choose to show today's session levels
- Choose whether to view the boxes
- Choose to view the division is open daily
The indicator should be used as ICT shows in its concepts, the indicator takes into consideration both the previous and today's Liquidity, and the session levels can be used for a reversal as in the example below:
Master Pattern [LuxAlgo]The Master Pattern indicator is derived from the framework proposed by Wyckoff and automatically displays major/minor patterns and their associated expansion lines on the chart.
Liquidity levels are also included and can be used as targets/stops. Note that the Liquidity levels are plotted retrospectively as they are based on pivots.
🔶 USAGE
The Master Pattern indicator detects contraction phases in the markets (characterized by a lower high and higher low). The resulting average from the latest swing high/low is used as expansion line. Price breaking the contraction range upwards highlights a bullish master pattern, while a break downward highlights a bearish master pattern.
During the expansion phase price can tend to be stationary around the expansion level. This phase is then often followed by the price significantly deviating from the expansion line, highlighting a markup phase.
Expansion lines can also be used as support/resistance levels.
🔹 Major/Minor Patterns
The script can classify patterns as major or minor patterns.
Major patterns occur when price breaks both the upper and lower extremity of a contraction range, with their contraction area highlighted with a border, while minor patterns have only a single extremity broken.
🔶 SETTINGS
Contraction Detection Lookback: Lookback used to detect the swing points used to detect the contraction range.
Liquidity Levels: Lookback for the swing points detection used as liquidity levels. Higher values return longer term liquidity levels.
Show Major Pattern: Display major patterns.
Show Minor Pattern: Display minor patterns.
Global LiquidityThe "Global Liquidity" script is an indicator that calculates and displays the global liquidity value using a formula that takes into account the money supply of several major economies. The script utilizes data from various sources, such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Economics, and FX_IDC.
The indicator plots the global liquidity value as a candlestick chart and breaks it down into two categories: the Euro-Atlantic region (West) and the rest of the world (East). The values are denominated both in inflation-adjusted dollars and in trillions of dollars. The script also calculates the spread between the Euro-Atlantic region and the rest of the world.
Traders and investors can use this indicator to gauge the overall liquidity of the global economy and to identify potential investment opportunities or risks. By breaking down the liquidity value into different regions, traders can also gain insights into regional economic trends and dynamics.
Note that this script is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and was created by rodopacapital.
USD Liquidity IndexThis USD Liquidity Index composed of 2 parts, total assets and major liabilities of the Federal Reserve .
There is a certain positive correlation between USD liquidity and risk asset price changes in history.
Suggested that USD Liquidity is mostly determined by the Federal Reserve balance (without leveraged), this index deducts three major liabilities from the total assets (in green color line) of the Federal Reserve . They are the currency in circulation (WCURCIR) in gold color, the Treasury General Account (WTREGEN) in blue color, the Reverse Repo (RRPONTSYD) in red color.
The grey line is the calculation result of the USD Liquidity Index. With it goes up, liquidity increases, vice versa.
Fed Liquidity Tracker V1 (Net Liquidity, TGA, RRP)Fed Liquidity Tracker V1 (Net Liquidity, TGA, RRP)
Sessions High & Low LevelsAutomatically plots high & low levels for multiple sessions. Clear session structure for intraday traders using price action, liquidity concepts, or session-based strategies.
Automatically plots the High & Low, for sessions such as London, New York, and Asia, with full customization for any custom session or timezone. These levels extend forward and adapt in real time, giving you a clear view of session-based structure and liquidity behavior.
Perfect for traders using ICT concepts, session narratives, or intraday market structure. Session ranges often act as key liquidity pools, breakout zones, and directional guides, this tool makes them easy to see at a glance.
Features:
Auto-plots High & Low for NY, London, and Asia sessions (customizable)
Fully customizable session times, colors, labels, and visibility options
Works across any assets
