Indicators: Better Volume Indicator & InstrumentVolumeBetter Volume Indicator
-----------------------------------------
This is a direct port of a famous indicator from Tradestation platform.
BVI improves on your typical volume histogram by coloring the bars based on 5 criteria:
* Volume Climax Up – high volume, high range, up bars (red)
* Volume Climax Down – high volume, high range, down bars (white)
* High Volume Churn – high volume, low range bars (green, barcolor= blue)
* Low Volume – low volume bars (yellow)
* Volume Climax plus High Volume Churn – both the above conditions (magenta)
When there are no volume signals the default histogram bar coloring is cyan.
Bars can also be colored to match volume color. Enable "Change BarColors?" in the options page.
Volume Climax Up bars are typically seen at:
* The start of up trends
* The end of up trends, and
* Pullbacks during down trends.
Volume Climax Down bars are typically seen at:
* The start of down trends
* The end of down trends, and
* Pullbacks during up trends.
High Volume Churn bars are typically seen at:
* The end of up trends
* The end of down trends, and
* Profit taking mid-trend.
Low Volume bars are typically seen at:
* The end of up trends
* The end of down trends, and
* Pullbacks mid-trend.
More info:
emini-watch.com
Instrument Volume
-----------------------------------------
This is a simple script that allows you to plot volume for any instrument.
Very handy when you want to compare volumes. Just add multiple instances and select the symbol you want via Options page.
This script also gets close/open for the selected symbol. If you are itching to get started on Pinescripting (scripting language used at TV), I suggest trying out the following, using this script as the template:
- Show RSI for any instrument
(hint: "close" for the selected symbol is already in script. Do a "plot(rsi(c, 14))")
- MACD / CCI / ....
- Plot the difference (not correlation). This may be of interest in some instruments.
For ex. BTC in BTCE exchange mostly lags BITSTAMP.
Hope this piques your interest in Pine. Feel free to post in the Pinescript room if you have any queries.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "pullback"
SMA Reversal Sequential MTFSMA Reversal Sequential MTF (Multi-Timeframe)OverviewThe SMA Reversal Sequential MTF is a professional-grade price action tool designed to detect qualitative trend shifts and structural breakouts across multiple timeframes simultaneously. Unlike standard crossover indicators, this script analyzes the "curvature" of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to identify when the market's average momentum has genuinely rotated.1. Core Logic: SMA Slope CurvatureThe script detects a trend reversal when the SMA (20-period by default) changes its trajectory from a "V-shape" (bottoming out) or an "Inverted V-shape" (topping out).The Reversal Algorithm:Bullish Reversal: Occurs when the SMA value at a specific historical offset is higher than the intermediate offset, but the intermediate offset is lower than the most recent value.Bearish Reversal: Occurs when the SMA value at a specific historical offset is lower than the intermediate offset, but the intermediate offset is higher than the most recent value.By using an OFFSET parameter, the script filters out minor price noise, ensuring that only significant rotations in the moving average are labeled.2. Structural Breakout Detection (MSB)Once a reversal is confirmed, the script automatically identifies the Market Structure of that specific timeframe by looking back at the highest high or lowest low within a defined period (LOOKBK).How Breakouts Work:Level Anchoring: When a reversal is detected, the script "locks in" the highest/lowest price of that swing.Confirmation: A "BREAK" signal and a horizontal line are generated only when a candle closes beyond this structural level.Visual Persistence: The break-line is extended to the right, providing a clear visual reference for support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).3. Advanced Multi-Timeframe (MTF) IntegrationMonitor up to 6 timeframes (5M, 15M, 1H, 4H, 1D, 1W) on a single chart.Auto-Filtering (hideLowerTF): To maintain chart clarity, the script can automatically hide timeframe data that is lower than your current chart (e.g., if you are on a 1H chart, 5M and 15M labels are hidden).Non-Repainting: Built using barmerge.gaps_on and confirmed candle logic, ensuring that historical signals remain accurate and do not disappear or move after the fact.4. Dual Preset ModesSwitch between two specialized trading styles with a single click in the settings:PresetParameters (SMA / Offset / Lookback)Ideal ForStandard (Default)20 / 6 / 20Trend following, swing trading, and major pullbacks.Short-Term5 / 4 / 7Scalping, fast day trading, and sensitive structure shifts.5. Visual Interface FeaturesTimeframe Labels: Clearly indicates which timeframe has rotated (e.g., "1H", "15M").Dynamic BREAK Labels: Labels follow the price action with a customizable right-side offset, ensuring they never overlap with the candles.Memory Management: Uses Pine Script Arrays to manage objects, ensuring the script runs smoothly without hitting the platform's drawing limits.6. How to Trade with This ScriptConfluence Trading: Wait for a "BREAK" on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H) and then look for a matching "REVERSAL" on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M) to refine your entry.Trailing Stops: Use the structural breakout lines as logical levels for stop-loss placement or profit-taking targets.Technical SpecificationsLanguage: Pine Script v5Overlay: YesAlerts: Compatible with standard alert functions.
このインジケーターは、**「トレンドの質的な転換」と「構造的な重要水準の打破（ブレイク）」**を、マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）で同時に監視する総合的なプライスアクションツールです。1. コア・コンセプト：SMA Reversal通常の移動平均線クロスオーバーとは異なり、このスクリプトは**SMA（単純移動平均線）の「曲率（カーブ）」**に着目します。判定アルゴリズムSMAが「下落から上昇」または「上昇から下落」へ変化する瞬間を、特定のオフセット（間隔）を用いて検知します。上昇転換（V字回復）: NYSE:SMA > SMA $ かつ NYSE:SMA < SMA $下落転換（逆V字）: NYSE:SMA < SMA $ かつ NYSE:SMA > SMA $これにより、価格の一時的なノイズに惑わされず、移動平均線という「相場の平均的な意思」が明確に方向を変えたタイミングを捉えます。2. 構造的ブレイクアウトの検知転換が確認された際、スクリプトはその時点から遡って過去LOOKBK期間内の最高値・最安値を特定します。これが「構造的なレジスタンス・サポート」として機能します。ブレイクの定義水準の固定: 転換が発生した瞬間の高値・安値を、その時間足の「重要ライン」として記憶します。確定足での判定: 終値がそのラインを明確に上抜いた（または下抜いた）時、チャート上に "BREAK" ラベルと水平線を表示します。3. マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）機能このインジケーターの最大の強みは、1つのチャート上に最大6つの時間足（5M, 15M, 1H, 4H, 1D, 1W）の状態を重ねて表示できる点です。自動フィルタリング: hideLowerTF 設定により、5分足チャートを見ている時は全時間足を表示し、日足チャートを見ている時は日足と週足のみを表示するといった、視認性の自動最適化が行われます。非リペイント処理: barmerge.gaps_on を使用した request.security 処理により、過去の検証データにおいて「未来の情報を参照して描画する」リペイント現象を防いでいます。4. 2つのプリセット設定ユーザーは相場の性質に合わせて、設定画面のチェックボックス一つで計算ロジックを切り替えられます。設定名SMA期間 / オフセット / 参照期間特徴標準 (規定値)20 / 6 / 20中長期的なトレンド転換を捉える。押し目買い・戻り売りに最適。短期 (Short)5 / 4 / 7スキャルピングや短期デイトレ用。微細な構造の変化を素早く察知。5. 視覚的インターフェースの説明転換ラベル (5M, 1H等): その時間足でSMAの転換が確定したポイント。常に「最新の1つ」のみが表示されるため、チャートが煩雑になりません。BREAKラベル & ライン: 構造が破壊された価格水準。ラインは右側に延長され、現在の価格との距離感がひと目で分かります。右オフセット: ブレイクラベルを現在価格より右側に配置することで、ローソク足とラベルが重なるのを防ぎます。6. 推奨される活用法上位足のBREAKを待つ: 例えば、1時間足で "1H BREAK" が出ている方向にのみ、5分足や15分足でエントリーを仕掛ける「環境認識」のツールとして非常に強力です。損切りの目安: 表示されたブレイクラインの反対側に価格が戻ってきた場合、構造が否定されたと判断し、迅速な撤退の根拠にできます。技術仕様（開発者向け）言語: Pine Script v5描画制限: 常に最新のオブジェクト（ライン・ラベル）のみを保持するように配列（Array）でメモリ管理を行っており、TradingViewの描画制限エラーを回避しています。計算コスト: request.security を効率的に呼び出しているため、複数の時間足を表示しても動作は軽快です。
Zero-Lag ATR Trend [BackQuant]Zero-Lag ATR Trend
Overview
Zero-Lag ATR Trend is a volatility-adaptive trend-following overlay designed to identify directional market regimes with minimal delay while preserving structural clarity. The indicator combines a zero-lag moving average framework with a zero-lag volatility model to produce a trailing trend line that reacts quickly to meaningful price changes without becoming unstable or overly sensitive.
Unlike conventional ATR-based trend tools that rely on lagging averages and delayed volatility estimates, this indicator applies zero-lag logic to both the trend centerline and the volatility calculation. The result is a trend structure that aligns more closely with real-time price action while still maintaining the discipline required for trend continuation trading.
Core design philosophy
The core idea behind Zero-Lag ATR Trend is simple:
Reduce signal delay without sacrificing trend integrity.
Adapt dynamically to changing volatility regimes.
Provide a single, clean structure that defines trend direction, continuation, and invalidation.
Instead of stacking multiple indicators, the script builds a complete trend framework from two tightly integrated components: a zero-lag trend spine and a zero-lag ATR trailing mechanism.
Zero-lag trend spine
The trend spine is constructed using a zero-lag moving average (ZLMA). This is achieved by applying a corrective step to a traditional moving average, effectively compensating for smoothing delay.
Conceptually, the process works as follows:
A base moving average is calculated from the selected price source.
That moving average is then passed through a zero-lag correction.
The correction pulls the line closer to current price without introducing noise.
This produces a trend line that reacts faster than standard EMA, SMA, or HMA signals, particularly during early trend acceleration phases. Multiple moving-average types can be used inside the zero-lag framework, allowing traders to fine-tune responsiveness based on asset behavior and timeframe.
Zero-lag volatility model
Volatility is measured using True Range, but instead of applying classic ATR smoothing, the indicator uses a zero-lag smoothing pass on the True Range itself.
This approach offers several advantages:
Volatility expands more quickly during impulse moves.
Volatility contracts faster during consolidations.
Band width adjusts in near real-time to changing conditions.
The smoothed zero-lag ATR is multiplied by a user-defined factor to create adaptive upper and lower boundaries around the trend spine. These boundaries define how much counter-movement price is allowed before the trend structure is invalidated.
Volatility-aware trailing structure
The trailing output is the defining feature of the indicator. It behaves as a one-directional trailing structure:
In bullish conditions, the trailing line can only move upward.
In bearish conditions, the trailing line can only move downward.
Minor pullbacks inside the volatility envelope do not flip the trend.
This logic prevents the indicator from reacting to shallow retracements and focuses instead on structural trend changes. Because the trailing behavior is volatility-scaled, the indicator remains stable during high volatility while still responding promptly during regime shifts.
Trend flips and regime transitions
Trend direction is determined by changes in the trailing structure itself rather than raw price crosses. A trend flip occurs only when price movement is strong enough, relative to current volatility, to force the trailing line to reverse direction.
This means:
Bullish flips represent genuine transitions into upward regimes.
Bearish flips represent genuine transitions into downward regimes.
Sideways noise is largely filtered out.
As a result, the indicator is well suited for identifying medium-to-long trend phases rather than short-term oscillations.
Visual structure and chart clarity
The visual design is intentionally minimal and functional:
The main trailing line is color-coded by trend direction.
An optional ribbon or cloud reinforces directional bias.
Optional candle coloring aligns price bars with the active trend.
These elements allow traders to assess trend state instantly without interpreting multiple signals or overlays.
How to use for trend following
Trend bias
Maintain a bullish bias while price holds above the trailing line.
Maintain a bearish bias while price holds below the trailing line.
Entries
Trend flips can be used as initial directional entries.
Pullbacks toward the trailing line often act as continuation opportunities.
Momentum confirmation can be layered on top for additional confluence.
Trend management
The trailing line naturally functions as a dynamic stop reference.
As long as price respects the trailing structure, the trend remains valid.
A flip in direction signals a full regime transition rather than a minor correction.
Why zero-lag matters for trend trading
Traditional trend indicators often react late, especially during fast expansions, resulting in delayed entries and early exits. By reducing lag in both the trend calculation and the volatility model, Zero-Lag ATR Trend aims to capture a larger portion of directional moves while maintaining consistency and discipline.
This makes it particularly effective for momentum-based trend following, breakout continuation strategies, and traders who prioritize staying aligned with dominant market structure rather than predicting reversals.
Summary
Zero-Lag ATR Trend is a complete trend-following framework built around responsiveness, adaptability, and clarity. Its zero-lag architecture allows it to respond earlier to meaningful price changes, while its volatility-aware trailing logic ensures that trends are only invalidated when structure truly breaks. The result is a clean, intuitive tool that supports disciplined trend participation across assets and timeframes.
Dow Theory Cockpit1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
Dow Theory Cockpit [Final Fixed V15]1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
[CT] Adaptive Trend Pressure (Percentile) Adaptive Trend Pressure (Percentile) is a centered, percentile-based trend and momentum pressure gauge designed to show you whether price is behaving more like it is pushing into the upper end of its recent distribution or slipping toward the lower end. Instead of using a fixed lookback oscillator formula, it builds an adaptive “range” from percentile bands that constantly adjust to the market’s recent behavior. That makes the reading more context-aware than many traditional oscillators, because the indicator is measuring where current price sits relative to an evolving statistical envelope rather than a static high/low window. The output is a pressure value that naturally expands when price action is persistently pressing toward the upper percentile band and contracts or turns negative when price is leaning toward the lower percentile band, which helps you read both direction and the quality of participation behind that direction.
The core engine starts by modeling a dynamic band around price using a volatility component. Volatility is measured with standard deviation over a short window, then scaled by a multiplier, and that volatility-adjusted value is added to and subtracted from the selected source to create an upper and lower “series.” Those two series are then run through a percentile calculation over the chosen trend length and sensitivity setting. The indicator finds the upper percentile of the upper series and the lower percentile of the lower series, creating an adaptive envelope that reflects both price location and recent volatility conditions. Once those percentile boundaries are established, the script converts the current source into a normalized oscillator by measuring how far it is between the lower and upper percentiles. That produces a bounded 0–100 reading that rises when price is persistently positioned near the top of the envelope and falls when price is positioned near the bottom, and it avoids distortions by protecting against division by extremely small ranges.
To make the output easier to trade, the indicator converts the 0–100 oscillator into a centered pressure line by subtracting 50. This creates a clean zero-line framework where positive pressure means the market is behaving with an upper-distribution bias and negative pressure means the market is behaving with a lower-distribution bias. The zero line becomes the primary regime divider and is intentionally simple to interpret in real time. When pressure stays above zero, you are generally seeing conditions consistent with bullish control, and when it stays below zero, you are generally seeing conditions consistent with bearish control. Because it is centered, you can also quickly judge the intensity of pressure by how far the histogram extends away from zero, which helps separate shallow drift from meaningful push.
A signal line is included and is computed as an EMA of the centered pressure value. This line is meant to smooth out the raw fluctuations and give you a second reference for timing and confirmation. When pressure is above the signal line, momentum is improving relative to its recent baseline, and when pressure is below the signal line, momentum is weakening. Crosses of pressure through the signal can be used as earlier timing cues, while the zero-line framework can be used as the higher-level bias filter. In practice, many traders will treat sustained pressure above zero as the directional environment and then use the signal relationship to help choose entries on pullbacks or to recognize when momentum is fading.
The indicator also includes optional zone guides that frame where “higher pressure” and “lower pressure” tend to become more meaningful. These zones are centered values, so the default upper zone corresponds to the same concept as an oscillator reading above roughly 75 on a 0–100 scale, and the default lower zone corresponds to roughly 25 on a 0–100 scale. When pressure pushes into the upper zone, it suggests the market is not only bullish-biased but doing so with stronger persistence, and when pressure pushes into the lower zone, it suggests stronger bearish persistence. The zone fill is a visual context rather than a standalone signal, and it is best used to identify when momentum is extended, when a trend is accelerating, or when mean-reversion risk may start rising, depending on your style.
By default, the plot is a histogram so you can read pressure as a “push” above or below zero. The histogram coloring can be enabled to make positive bars appear green and negative bars appear red, which reinforces the centered framework and keeps your attention on regime and intensity. If you prefer a cleaner look, you can switch to a line display while keeping the same calculations underneath. There is also an optional setting to color the actual price bars to match the histogram direction, which makes the bias visible on the main chart at a glance. When enabled, candles will adopt the bullish color when pressure is at or above zero and the bearish color when pressure is below zero, giving you a consistent visual alignment between the oscillator’s pressure state and the price action you are trading.
This tool is best used as a trend context and momentum pressure filter rather than a single, one-off trigger. In uptrends, you will often see pressure hold above zero with brief dips that fail to sustain below, and those dips commonly align with pullbacks that resolve back into the trend. In downtrends, pressure commonly holds below zero with brief rallies that fail to sustain above. The most important information is usually not the first cross, but whether the indicator can stay on the correct side of zero and how confidently it can push toward or into the upper or lower zone. When combined with your existing structure work, it can help you decide when to press trades in the direction of momentum and when to reduce risk as pressure fades or flips regime.
OTM Adaptive Kalman CloudOTM • Adaptive Kalman Cloud — User Guide
OTM • Adaptive Kalman Cloud is a trend + momentum visual tool built around two Adaptive Kalman filters (Fast & Slow). It prints a directional cloud that reacts quickly when the market shifts, but stays smooth enough to keep you out of chop.
What it shows
Fast Kalman = short-term direction / impulse
Slow Kalman = trend baseline / structure bias
Cloud = the “state” of the market (trend vs reversal vs chop)
How to read it
Bullish state
Cloud is bull color
Fast is above Slow (or Fast slope is rising if using slope mode)
Best trades: pullbacks into the cloud + continuation
Bearish state
Cloud is bear color
Fast is below Slow (or Fast slope is falling)
Best trades: pullbacks into the cloud + continuation
Transition / reversal
Cloud flips color after Fast/Slow relationship changes
Treat first flip as warning, confirmation comes from structure/liquidity (your SMC tool)
Settings that matter (don’t overcomplicate it)
1) Lengths
Fast (8–13): quicker signals, more noise
Slow (21–55): cleaner bias, fewer flips
Typical: 8 / 21 (fast scalps) or 13 / 34 (cleaner trend)
2) Color Mode
Fast>Slow: best for trend bias (simple + reliable)
Fast Slope: more responsive, can flip earlier in chop
3) Timeframe + Wait for Close
Set a higher TF (ex: 1H) to use it as bias
Turn on Wait for timeframe closes to stop HTF repaint-style flicker
4) Cloud Thickness
Thickness Mult is visual only (makes the cloud easier to see)
Doesn’t change the Kalman calculation—just visibility
5) Spread (Visual Helper)
Spread is visual only to separate lines when volatility is low
Use ATR spread for most markets
Best way to use it (simple rules)
Only trade in the cloud direction
Entries: wait for price to pull back into/near the cloud, then continue
Exits: when cloud flips against you OR momentum dies and structure breaks
Combine with your SMC: use the cloud as bias, SMC as entry trigger
Recommended presets
Gold / BTC (5m–15m)
Fast 8, Slow 21
Color mode: Fast>Slow
Thickness: 1.6–2.2
Spread: ATR, 14, amount 0.10–0.25 depending on volatility
Gridbot Ping Pong🏓 Gridbot Ping Pong is a dynamic grid bot indicator that generates buy and sell signals as price oscillates between automatically calculated support and resistance levels. The grid adapts to trending markets through adjustable tilt and anchor parameters, which control the grid slope and shift resistance respectively. Entry signals trigger when price touches grid levels, while take profit and stop signals manage position exits. Unlike traditional grid bots that require horizontal ranges, this indicator maintains its oscillation zone as price trends by tilting and shifting the grid structure to follow momentum. The grid bot approach aims to accumulate gains through frequent touches across multiple grid levels rather than seeking large directional moves. Like a ping pong ball in motion, price oscillates between grid levels — each touch generates a signal.
⚡ THEORY & CONCEPTS ⚡
Grid trading is a systematic approach that places buy and sell orders at predetermined price intervals, creating a grid of orders above and below a set price level. In ranging markets, this method capitalizes on natural price oscillations by buying at lower grid levels and selling at higher ones. Each completed round trip between levels represents a captured opportunity, and the frequency of these oscillations determines the grid's effectiveness. Traditional grid bots excel when price remains within the defined range, methodically accumulating gains as price bounces between levels.
However, traditional grid structures face significant challenges when markets begin to trend. Fixed horizontal levels that performed well during consolidation become liabilities during directional moves. An uptrend leaves buy orders unfilled while sell orders trigger prematurely, and a downtrend creates the opposite problem. Extended trends can result in accumulated positions at increasingly unfavorable prices, with no mechanism to adapt to the new market reality. The static nature of traditional grids assumes markets will return to the mean, yet sustained breakouts regularly invalidate this assumption.
Gridbot Ping Pong addresses these limitations through dynamic grid adaptation. The tilt parameter angles the grid in the direction of the prevailing trend, aligning support and resistance levels with market momentum rather than fighting against it. The anchor parameter creates buffer zones beyond the outer grid boundaries, requiring price to demonstrate conviction before triggering a grid shift. When price breaks through these buffers, the entire grid recenters to the new price level. This combination of tilting grids and controlled shifting allows the indicator to maintain grid trading mechanics while acknowledging that markets trend.
The grid adapts through a downtrend and early reversal. Entry signals (▲▼), take profit signals (△▽), and grid shifts demonstrate the ping pong sequence as price oscillates between levels.
The grid structure consists of five levels: two potential support levels below, a center base price, and two potential resistance levels above. These levels are calculated as percentage intervals from a dynamic base price, with the spacing parameter determining the distance between each level. Trend direction is derived from consecutive grid shifts, where multiple shifts in the same direction confirm momentum. The grid restricts entries to the trend direction — buy signals in uptrends, sell signals in downtrends — while counter-trend signals convert to exits when appropriate.
Full market cycle demonstrating grid adaptation through rally, reversal, decline, and recovery. Buy signals dominate during uptrends, sell signals during downtrends, with take profits at boundaries throughout. Two stop signals mark the trend reversals.
Tilt
The tilt mechanic introduces slope to the grid structure based on trend direction and momentum. When consecutive shifts occur in the same direction, the tilt increases, creating a steeper grid that tracks with the trend. As the trend progresses, support levels rise with it — buy signals trigger on pullbacks to these rising levels rather than static levels abandoned by price. Similarly, resistance levels fall during downtrends, keeping sell signals relevant to current price action. If the trend reverses and shifts occur in the opposite direction, the tilt resets and begins building in the new direction. The tilt strength parameter controls how aggressively the grid slopes, with higher values producing steeper angles. Negative tilt values invert this relationship, angling the grid against the prevailing momentum rather than with it. This counter-trend configuration positions support levels lower during uptrends and resistance levels higher during downtrends, favoring mean reversion entries that anticipate pullbacks rather than continuation.
Negative tilt applied during an uptrend. Despite the bullish price action from late November through December, the grids slope downward, positioning buy signals at deeper support levels. Take profit signals appear at resistance as price reaches the upper grid boundaries before pulling back. The counter-trend configuration captures oscillations within the rising market rather than chasing momentum.
Anchor
The anchor mechanic provides resistance to grid shifting. Buffer zones extend beyond the outer grid boundaries, requiring price to demonstrate conviction before triggering a shift. Higher anchor values create larger buffers, requiring more significant price movement. As consecutive shifts confirm a trend, the pro-trend buffer shrinks, allowing the grid to follow momentum with increasing ease. This lets the indicator commit to established trends while resisting premature shifts during consolidations. Tilt and anchor work in complementary tension: tilt rewards momentum by angling the grid, while anchor resists excessive shifting by requiring price conviction to recenter. When price breaks through these buffers, the entire grid recenters to the new price level and play continues on a fresh table.
Steady uptrend with minimal tilt. The flat grid segments demonstrate that shifting alone keeps the grid aligned with price action. Buy signals (▲) and take profit signals (▽) alternate as price bounces between levels, accumulating gains through repetition across the entire move.
Sustained uptrend from June through September. The grid follows the trend with increasing ease as consecutive shifts reduce the pro-trend buffer. The October consolidation eventually triggers a downward shift and stop signal, but the system adapts to the renewed uptrend in November with fresh entry signals.
Signal Generation
The indicator generates three signal types. Entry signals (▲▼) trigger when price reaches a grid level in the direction of the trend, initiating a new position. Take profit signals (△▽) trigger when price reaches a grid level against the trend direction while a position is held, capturing gains as the rally continues. Stop signals (⦿) trigger when a grid shift occurs while holding a position adverse to the new shift direction. The ball goes off the table.
Trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The grid follows the downtrend through November with consecutive sell signals. A stop signal (⦿) triggers at the bottom as the grid shifts adversely against the held position. The system resets and adapts to the emerging uptrend in December, generating fresh buy signals as the new direction establishes.
Trigger Options
The signal trigger determines what price data the indicator uses to detect grid touches, balancing responsiveness against confirmation.
Auto : The default setting, using wick-based detection for pro-trend signals and close-based detection for counter-trend signals. This balances responsiveness when entering with the trend against confirmation when signaling against it.
Wick Touch : Generates signals in real-time when the high or low touches a grid level, providing the fastest response to price interaction.
Wick Reverse : Requires the wick to cross through the grid level from the previous bar, confirming the touch before signaling.
SWMA : Uses a Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average as the trigger source, generating signals only when the smoothed price crosses grid levels.
Close : Uses the bar's closing price as the trigger source, providing confirmed signals after each bar completes.
Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) trigger during a trend reversal. The smoothed price line filters intrabar noise, generating signals only when the SWMA crosses grid levels rather than reacting to wick touches. The grid follows the downtrend through November, resets at the bottom, and adapts to the emerging uptrend in December.
Signal Safeguards
The indicator includes built-in protections to reduce overtrading and mitigate risk, keeping the ball in play longer:
Boundary Protection : New entries are blocked at the outermost grid levels where breakout risk is highest. Exits remain permitted at these boundaries.
Signal Spacing : Signals maintain one-level separation from the most recent signal, preventing clusters of entries at similar prices.
Trend Alignment : When conflicting conditions arise, signals align with the prevailing trend direction rather than fighting momentum.
Automatic Profit Taking : Counter-trend interactions convert to take profit signals when a position is held, capturing gains rather than reversing exposure.
Adverse Shift Stops : When the grid shifts against a held position, a stop signal triggers to exit before further adverse movement.
Cautious Breakout Entries : On the first shift in a new direction, entries are restricted to favorable grid levels until the trend confirms through consecutive shifts.
Shift Resistance : Counter-trend shifts always require full buffer conviction, while pro-trend shifts become easier only after the trend is confirmed.
🛠️ CONFIGURATION & SETTINGS 🛠️
Core Parameters
SPACING (%) : Sets the percentage distance between grid levels. Higher values create wider grids with more room between signals, lower values create tighter grids with more frequent signal opportunities.
TRIGGER : Selects the price source for signal detection. See Trigger Options above.
TILT : Controls the grid slope factor in the trend direction.
ANCHOR : Controls resistance to grid shifting.
Visual Settings
GRIDS : Sets the colors for support (lower) and resistance (upper) grid levels.
FILL : Sets the gradient fill colors between the price line and outer grid boundaries.
SWMA : Sets the color of the Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average line.
🏓 PLAYING GRIDBOT PING PONG 🏓
⚪The objective is not to predict where price will go, but to be present at each level when it arrives.
⚪Each touch at a boundary counts. Gains accumulate through repetition, not single swings.
⚪The rally continues until it doesn't. When the ball goes off the table, the game resets.
⚪The grid creates boundaries where price bounces back and forth. The table is set — the ball does the work.
⚪Price oscillates between defined levels. The grid is the table. Everything else is just ping pong.
Tennis is a form of ping pong. In fact, tennis is ping pong played while standing on the table. In fact, all racquet games are nothing but derivatives of ping pong. — George Carlin
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️
The Gridbot Ping Pong indicator is a visual analysis tool designed to illustrate grid trading concepts and serve as a framework for understanding grid bot mechanics. While the indicator generates entry, exit, and stop signals, no guarantee is made regarding the profitability of these signals. Like all technical indicators, the grid levels and signals generated by this tool may appear to align with favorable trading opportunities in hindsight. However, these signals are not intended as standalone recommendations for trading decisions. This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes, complementing other tools and methods of market analysis.
🧠 BEYOND THE CODE 🧠
Gridbot Ping Pong is part of the Grid Bot Series, building on the concepts introduced in the Grid Bot Simulator , Grid Bot Auto , and Grid Bot Parabolic indicators. While those tools established the foundation for grid-based analysis, this indicator introduces dynamic tilt and anchor mechanics that adapt to trending market conditions.
This indicator shares the same educational philosophy as the Fibonacci Time-Price Zones and the Fibonacci Geometry Series - providing frameworks for understanding market concepts through visualization and experimentation rather than black-box signals.
The Gridbot Ping Pong indicator, like other xxattaxx indicators , is designed to encourage both education and community engagement. Feedback and insights are invaluable to refining and enhancing this tool. We look forward to the creative applications, observations, and discussions this indicator inspires within the trading community.
ORB Fusion🎯 CORE INNOVATION: INSTITUTIONAL ORB FRAMEWORK WITH FAILED BREAKOUT INTELLIGENCE
ORB Fusion represents a complete institutional-grade Opening Range Breakout system combining classic Market Profile concepts (Initial Balance, day type classification) with modern algorithmic breakout detection, failed breakout reversal logic, and comprehensive statistical tracking. Rather than simply drawing lines at opening range extremes, this system implements the full trading methodology used by professional floor traders and market makers—including the critical concept that failed breakouts are often higher-probability setups than successful breakouts .
The Opening Range Hypothesis:
The first 30-60 minutes of trading establishes the day's value area —the price range where the majority of participants agree on fair value. This range is formed during peak information flow (overnight news digestion, gap reactions, early institutional positioning). Breakouts from this range signal directional conviction; failures to hold breakouts signal trapped participants and create exploitable reversals.
Why Opening Range Matters:
1. Information Aggregation : Opening range reflects overnight news, pre-market sentiment, and early institutional orders. It's the market's initial "consensus" on value.
2. Liquidity Concentration : Stop losses cluster just outside opening range. Breakouts trigger these stops, creating momentum. Failed breakouts trap traders, forcing reversals.
3. Statistical Persistence : Markets exhibit range expansion tendency —when price accepts above/below opening range with volume, it often extends 1.0-2.0x the opening range size before mean reversion.
4. Institutional Behavior : Large players (market makers, institutions) use opening range as reference for the day's trading plan. They fade extremes in rotation days and follow breakouts in trend days.
Historical Context:
Opening Range Breakout methodology originated in commodity futures pits (1970s-80s) where floor traders noticed consistent patterns: the first 30-60 minutes established a "fair value zone," and directional moves occurred when this zone was violated with conviction. J. Peter Steidlmayer formalized this observation in Market Profile theory, introducing the "Initial Balance" concept—the first hour (two 30-minute periods) defining market structure.
📊 OPENING RANGE CONSTRUCTION
Four ORB Timeframe Options:
1. 5-Minute ORB (0930-0935 ET):
Captures immediate market direction during "opening drive"—the explosive first few minutes when overnight orders hit the tape.
Use Case:
• Scalping strategies
• High-frequency breakout trading
• Extremely liquid instruments (ES, NQ, SPY)
Characteristics:
• Very tight range (often 0.2-0.5% of price)
• Early breakouts common (7 of 10 days break within first hour)
• Higher false breakout rate (50-60%)
• Requires sub-minute chart monitoring
Psychology: Captures panic buyers/sellers reacting to overnight news. Range is small because sample size is minimal—only 5 minutes of price discovery. Early breakouts often fail because they're driven by retail FOMO rather than institutional conviction.
2. 15-Minute ORB (0930-0945 ET):
Balances responsiveness with statistical validity. Captures opening drive plus initial reaction to that drive.
Use Case:
• Day trading strategies
• Balanced scalping/swing hybrid
• Most liquid instruments
Characteristics:
• Moderate range (0.4-0.8% of price typically)
• Breakout rate ~60% of days
• False breakout rate ~40-45%
• Good balance of opportunity and reliability
Psychology: Includes opening panic AND the first retest/consolidation. Sophisticated traders (institutions, algos) start expressing directional bias. This is the "Goldilocks" timeframe—not too reactive, not too slow.
3. 30-Minute ORB (0930-1000 ET):
Classic ORB timeframe. Default for most professional implementations.
Use Case:
• Standard intraday trading
• Position sizing for full-day trades
• All liquid instruments (equities, indices, futures)
Characteristics:
• Substantial range (0.6-1.2% of price)
• Breakout rate ~55% of days
• False breakout rate ~35-40%
• Statistical sweet spot for extensions
Psychology: Full opening auction + first institutional repositioning complete. By 10:00 AM ET, headlines are digested, early stops are hit, and "real" directional players reveal themselves. This is when institutional programs typically finish their opening positioning.
Statistical Advantage: 30-minute ORB shows highest correlation with daily range. When price breaks and holds outside 30m ORB, probability of reaching 1.0x extension (doubling the opening range) exceeds 60% historically.
4. 60-Minute ORB (0930-1030 ET) - Initial Balance:
Steidlmayer's "Initial Balance"—the foundation of Market Profile theory.
Use Case:
• Swing trading entries
• Day type classification
• Low-frequency institutional setups
Characteristics:
• Wide range (0.8-1.5% of price)
• Breakout rate ~45% of days
• False breakout rate ~25-30% (lowest)
• Best for trend day identification
Psychology: Full first hour captures A-period (0930-1000) and B-period (1000-1030). By 10:30 AM ET, all early positioning is complete. Market has "voted" on value. Subsequent price action confirms (trend day) or rejects (rotation day) this value assessment.
Initial Balance Theory:
IB represents the market's accepted value area . When price extends significantly beyond IB (>1.5x IB range), it signals a Trend Day —strong directional conviction. When price remains within 1.0x IB, it signals a Rotation Day —mean reversion environment. This classification completely changes trading strategy.
🔬 LTF PRECISION TECHNOLOGY
The Chart Timeframe Problem:
Traditional ORB indicators calculate range using the chart's current timeframe. This creates critical inaccuracies:
Example:
• You're on a 5-minute chart
• ORB period is 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET)
• Indicator sees only 6 bars (30min ÷ 5min/bar = 6 bars)
• If any 5-minute bar has extreme wick, entire ORB is distorted
The Problem Amplifies:
• On 15-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 2 bars sampled
• On 30-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 1 bar sampled
• Opening spike or single large wick defines entire range (invalid)
Solution: Lower Timeframe (LTF) Precision:
ORB Fusion uses `request.security_lower_tf()` to sample 1-minute bars regardless of chart timeframe:
```
For 30-minute ORB on 15-minute chart:
- Traditional method: Uses 2 bars (15min × 2 = 30min)
- LTF Precision: Requests thirty 1-minute bars, calculates true high/low
```
Why This Matters:
Scenario: ES futures, 15-minute chart, 30-minute ORB
• Traditional ORB: High = 5850.00, Low = 5842.00 (range = 8 points)
• LTF Precision ORB: High = 5848.50, Low = 5843.25 (range = 5.25 points)
Difference: 2.75 points distortion from single 15-minute wick hitting 5850.00 at 9:31 AM then immediately reversing. LTF precision filters this out by seeing it was a fleeting wick, not a sustained high.
Impact on Extensions:
With inflated range (8 points vs 5.25 points):
• 1.5x extension projects +12 points instead of +7.875 points
• Difference: 4.125 points (nearly $200 per ES contract)
• Breakout signals trigger late; extension targets unreachable
Implementation:
```pinescript
getLtfHighLow() =>
float ha = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", high)
float la = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", low)
```
Function returns arrays of 1-minute high/low values, then finds true maximum and minimum across all samples.
When LTF Precision Activates:
Only when chart timeframe exceeds ORB session window:
• 5-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF used (chart TF > session bars needed)
• 1-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF not needed (direct sampling sufficient)
Recommendation: Always enable LTF Precision unless you're on 1-minute charts. The computational overhead is negligible, and accuracy improvement is substantial.
⚖️ INITIAL BALANCE (IB) FRAMEWORK
Steidlmayer's Market Profile Innovation:
J. Peter Steidlmayer developed Market Profile in the 1980s for the Chicago Board of Trade. His key insight: market structure is best understood through time-at-price (value area) rather than just price-over-time (traditional charts).
Initial Balance Definition:
IB is the price range established during the first hour of trading, subdivided into:
• A-Period : First 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET for US equities)
• B-Period : Second 30 minutes (1000-1030 ET)
A-Period vs B-Period Comparison:
The relationship between A and B periods forecasts the day:
B-Period Expansion (Bullish):
• B-period high > A-period high
• B-period low ≥ A-period low
• Interpretation: Buyers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bullish continuation likely
• Strategy: Buy pullbacks to A-period high (now support)
B-Period Expansion (Bearish):
• B-period low < A-period low
• B-period high ≤ A-period high
• Interpretation: Sellers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bearish continuation likely
• Strategy: Sell rallies to A-period low (now resistance)
B-Period Contraction:
• B-period stays within A-period range
• Interpretation: Market indecisive, digesting A-period information
• Implication: Rotation day likely, stay range-bound
• Strategy: Fade extremes, sell high/buy low within IB
IB Extensions:
Professional traders use IB as a ruler to project price targets:
Extension Levels:
• 0.5x IB : Initial probe outside value (minor target)
• 1.0x IB : Full extension (major target for normal days)
• 1.5x IB : Trend day threshold (classifies as trending)
• 2.0x IB : Strong trend day (rare, ~10-15% of days)
Calculation:
```
IB Range = IB High - IB Low
Bull Extension 1.0x = IB High + (IB Range × 1.0)
Bear Extension 1.0x = IB Low - (IB Range × 1.0)
```
Example:
ES futures:
• IB High: 5850.00
• IB Low: 5842.00
• IB Range: 8.00 points
Extensions:
• 1.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 8 = 5858.00
• 1.5x Bull Target: 5850 + 12 = 5862.00
• 2.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 16 = 5866.00
If price reaches 5862.00 (1.5x), day is classified as Trend Day —strategy shifts from mean reversion to trend following.
📈 DAY TYPE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Four Day Types (Market Profile Framework):
1. TREND DAY:
Definition: Price extends ≥1.5x IB range in one direction and stays there.
Characteristics:
• Opens and never returns to IB
• Persistent directional movement
• Volume increases as day progresses (conviction building)
• News-driven or strong institutional flow
Frequency: ~20-25% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Follow the trend, trail stops, let winners run
• DON'T: Fade extremes, take early profits
• Key: Add to position on pullbacks to previous extension level
• Risk: Getting chopped in false trend (see Failed Breakout section)
Example: FOMC decision, payroll report, earnings surprise—anything creating one-sided conviction.
2. NORMAL DAY:
Definition: Price extends 0.5-1.5x IB, tests both sides, returns to IB.
Characteristics:
• Two-sided trading
• Extensions occur but don't persist
• Volume balanced throughout day
• Most common day type
Frequency: ~45-50% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Take profits at extension levels, expect reversals
• DON'T: Hold for massive moves
• Key: Treat each extension as a profit-taking opportunity
• Risk: Holding too long when momentum shifts
Example: Typical day with no major catalysts—market balancing supply and demand.
3. ROTATION DAY:
Definition: Price stays within IB all day, rotating between high and low.
Characteristics:
• Never accepts outside IB
• Multiple tests of IB high/low
• Decreasing volume (no conviction)
• Classic range-bound action
Frequency: ~25-30% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Fade extremes (sell IB high, buy IB low)
• DON'T: Chase breakouts
• Key: Enter at extremes with tight stops just outside IB
• Risk: Breakout finally occurs after multiple failures
Example: [/b> Pre-holiday trading, summer doldrums, consolidation after big move.
4. DEVELOPING:
Definition: Day type not yet determined (early in session).
Usage: Classification before 12:00 PM ET when IB extension pattern unclear.
ORB Fusion's Classification Algorithm:
```pinescript
if close > ibHigh:
ibExtension = (close - ibHigh) / ibRange
direction = "BULLISH"
else if close < ibLow:
ibExtension = (ibLow - close) / ibRange
direction = "BEARISH"
if ibExtension >= 1.5:
dayType = "TREND DAY"
else if ibExtension >= 0.5:
dayType = "NORMAL DAY"
else if close within IB:
dayType = "ROTATION DAY"
```
Why Classification Matters:
Same setup (bullish ORB breakout) has opposite implications:
• Trend Day : Hold for 2.0x extension, trail stops aggressively
• Normal Day : Take profits at 1.0x extension, watch for reversal
• Rotation Day : Fade the breakout immediately (likely false)
Knowing day type prevents catastrophic errors like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
🚀 BREAKOUT DETECTION & CONFIRMATION
Three Confirmation Methods:
1. Close Beyond Level (Recommended):
Logic: Candle must close above ORB high (bull) or below ORB low (bear).
Why:
• Filters out wicks (temporary liquidity grabs)
• Ensures sustained acceptance above/below range
• Reduces false breakout rate by ~20-30%
Example:
• ORB High: 5850.00
• Bar high touches 5850.50 (wick above)
• Bar closes at 5848.00 (inside range)
• Result: NO breakout signal
vs.
• Bar high touches 5850.50
• Bar closes at 5851.00 (outside range)
• Result: BREAKOUT signal confirmed
Trade-off: Slightly delayed entry (wait for close) but much higher reliability.
2. Wick Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Any touch of ORB high/low triggers breakout.
Why:
• Earliest possible entry
• Captures aggressive momentum moves
Risk:
• High false breakout rate (60-70%)
• Stop runs trigger signals
• Requires very tight stops (difficult to manage)
Use Case: Scalping with 1-2 point profit targets where any penetration = trade.
3. Body Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Candle body (close vs open) must be entirely outside range.
Why:
• Strictest confirmation
• Ensures directional conviction (not just momentum)
• Lowest false breakout rate
Example: Trade-off: [/b> Very conservative—misses some valid breakouts but rarely triggers on false ones.
Volume Confirmation Layer:
All confirmation methods can require volume validation:
Volume Multiplier Logic: Rationale: [/b> True breakouts are driven by institutional activity (large size). Volume spike confirms real conviction vs. stop-run manipulation.
Statistical Impact: [/b>
• Breakouts with volume confirmation: ~65% success rate
• Breakouts without volume: ~45% success rate
• Difference: 20 percentage points edge
Implementation Note: [/b>
Volume confirmation adds complexity—you'll miss breakouts that work but lack volume. However, when targeting 1.5x+ extensions (ambitious goals), volume confirmation becomes critical because those moves require sustained institutional participation.
Recommended Settings by Strategy: [/b>
Scalping (1-2 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: OFF
• Rationale: Quick in/out doesn't need perfection
Intraday Swing (5-10 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x multiplier)
• Rationale: Balance reliability and opportunity
Position Trading (full-day holds): [/b>
• Method: Body
• Volume: ON (2.0x multiplier)
• Rationale: Must be certain—large stops require high win rate
🔥 FAILED BREAKOUT SYSTEM
The Core Insight: [/b>
Failed breakouts are often more profitable [/b> than successful breakouts because they create trapped traders with predictable behavior.
Failed Breakout Definition: [/b>
A breakout that:
1. Initially penetrates ORB level with confirmation
2. Attracts participants (volume spike, momentum)
3. Fails to extend (stalls or immediately reverses)
4. Returns inside ORB range within N bars
Psychology of Failure: [/b>
When breakout fails:
• Breakout buyers are trapped [/b>: Bought at ORB high, now underwater
• Early longs reduce: Take profit, fearful of reversal
• Shorts smell blood: See failed breakout as reversal signal
• Result: Cascade of selling as trapped bulls exit + new shorts enter
Mirror image for failed bearish breakouts (trapped shorts cover + new longs enter).
Failure Detection Parameters: [/b>
1. Failure Confirmation Bars (default: 3): [/b>
How many bars after breakout to confirm failure?
Logic: Settings: [/b>
• 2 bars: Aggressive failure detection (more signals, more false failures)
• 3 bars Balanced (default)
• 5-10 bars: Conservative (wait for clear reversal)
Why This Matters:
Too few bars: You call "failed breakout" when price is just consolidating before next leg.
Too many bars: You miss the reversal entry (price already back in range).
2. Failure Buffer (default: 0.1 ATR): [/b>
How far inside ORB must price return to confirm failure?
Formula: Why Buffer Matters: clear rejection [/b> (not just hovering at level).
Settings: [/b>
• 0.0 ATR: No buffer, immediate failure signal
• 0.1 ATR: Small buffer (default) - filters noise
• [b>0.2-0.3 ATR: Large buffer - only dramatic failures count
Example: Reversal Entry System: [/b>
When failure confirmed, system generates complete reversal trade:
For Failed Bull Breakout (Short Reversal): [/b>
Entry: [/b> Current close when failure confirmed
Stop Loss: [/b> Extreme high since breakout + 0.10 ATR padding
Target 1: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 0.5)
Target 2: Target 3: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 1.5)
Example:
• ORB High: 5850, ORB Low: 5842, Range: 8 points
• Breakout to 5853, fails, reverses to 5848 (entry)
• Stop: 5853 + 1 = 5854 (6 point risk)
• T1: 5850 - 4 = 5846 (-2 points, 1:3 R:R)
• T2: 5850 - 8 = 5842 (-6 points, 1:1 R:R)
• T3: 5850 - 12 = 5838 (-10 points, 1.67:1 R:R)
[b>Why These Targets? [/b>
• T1 (0.5x ORB below high): Trapped bulls start panic
• T2 (1.0x ORB = ORB Mid): Major retracement, momentum fully reversed
• T3 (1.5x ORB): Reversal extended, now targeting opposite side
Historical Performance: [/b>
Failed breakout reversals in ORB Fusion's tracking system show:
• Win Rate: 65-75% (significantly higher than initial breakouts)
• Average Winner: 1.2x ORB range
• Average Loser: 0.5x ORB range (protected by stop at extreme)
• Expectancy: Strongly positive even with <70% win rate
Why Failed Breakouts Outperform: [/b>
1. Information Advantage: You now know what price did (failed to extend). Initial breakout trades are speculative; reversal trades are reactive to confirmed failure.
2. Trapped Participant Pressure: Every trapped bull becomes a seller. This creates sustained pressure.
3. Stop Loss Clarity: Extreme high is obvious stop (just beyond recent high). Breakout trades have ambiguous stops (ORB mid? Recent low? Too wide or too tight).
4. Mean Reversion Edge: Failed breakouts return to value (ORB mid). Initial breakouts try to escape value (harder to sustain).
Critical Insight: [/b>
"The best trade is often the one that trapped everyone else."
Failed breakouts create asymmetric opportunity because you're trading against [/b> trapped participants rather than with [/b> them. When you see a failed breakout signal, you're seeing real-time evidence that the market rejected directional conviction—that's exploitable.
📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSION SYSTEM
Six Extension Levels: [/b>
Extensions project how far price will travel after ORB breakout. Based on Fibonacci ratios + empirical market behavior.
1. 1.272x (27.2% Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.272)
Psychology: [/b> Initial probe beyond ORB. Early momentum + trapped shorts (on bull side) covering.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~75-80% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• First resistance/support after breakout
• Partial profit target (take 30-50% off)
• Watch for rejection here (could signal failure in progress)
Why 1.272? [/b> Related to harmonic patterns (1.272 is √1.618). Empirically, markets often stall at 25-30% extension before deciding whether to continue or fail.
2. 1.5x (50% Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.5)
Psychology: [/b> Breakout gaining conviction. Requires sustained buying/selling (not just momentum spike).
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~60-65% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Major partial profit (take 50-70% off)
• Move stops to breakeven
• Trail remaining position
Why 1.5x? [/b> Classic halfway point to 2.0x. Markets often consolidate here before final push. If day type is "Normal," this is likely the high/low for the day.
3. 1.618x (Golden Ratio Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.618)
Psychology: [/b> Strong directional day. Institutional conviction + retail FOMO.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~45-50% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Final partial profit (close 80-90%)
• Trail remainder with wide stop (allow breathing room)
Why 1.618? [/b> Fibonacci golden ratio. Appears consistently in market geometry. When price reaches 1.618x extension, move is "mature" and reversal risk increases.
4. 2.0x (100% Extension): [/b>
Formula: ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.0)
Psychology: [/b> Trend day confirmed. Opening range completely duplicated.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~30-35% after confirmed breakout
Trading: Why 2.0x? [/b> Psychological level—range doubled. Also corresponds to typical daily ATR in many instruments (opening range ~ 0.5 ATR, daily range ~ 1.0 ATR).
5. 2.618x (Super Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.618)
Psychology: [/b> Parabolic move. News-driven or squeeze.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~10-15% after confirmed breakout
[b>Trading: Why 2.618? [/b> Fibonacci ratio (1.618²). Rare to reach—when it does, move is extreme. Often precedes multi-day consolidation or reversal.
6. 3.0x (Extreme Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 2.0)
Psychology: [/b> Market melt-up/crash. Only in extreme events.
[b>Probability of Reach: [/b> <5% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Close immediately if reached
• These are outlier events (black swans, flash crashes, squeeze-outs)
• Holding for more is greed—take windfall profit
Why 3.0x? [/b> Triple opening range. So rare it's statistical noise. When it happens, it's headline news.
Visual Example:
ES futures, ORB 5842-5850 (8 point range), Bullish breakout:
• ORB High : 5850.00 (entry zone)
• 1.272x : 5850 + 2.18 = 5852.18 (first resistance)
• 1.5x : 5850 + 4.00 = 5854.00 (major target)
• 1.618x : 5850 + 4.94 = 5854.94 (strong target)
• 2.0x : 5850 + 8.00 = 5858.00 (trend day)
• 2.618x : 5850 + 12.94 = 5862.94 (extreme)
• 3.0x : 5850 + 16.00 = 5866.00 (parabolic)
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Optimal scaling out at extensions:
• Breakout entry at 5850.50
• 30% off at 1.272x (5852.18) → +1.68 points
• 40% off at 1.5x (5854.00) → +3.50 points
• 20% off at 1.618x (5854.94) → +4.44 points
• 10% off at 2.0x (5858.00) → +7.50 points
[b>Average Exit: Conclusion: [/b> Scaling out at extensions produces 40% higher expectancy than holding for home runs.
📊 GAP ANALYSIS & FILL PSYCHOLOGY
[b>Gap Definition: [/b>
Price discontinuity between previous close and current open:
• Gap Up : Open > Previous Close + noise threshold (0.1 ATR)
• Gap Down : Open < Previous Close - noise threshold
Why Gaps Matter: [/b>
Gaps represent unfilled orders [/b>. When market gaps up, all limit buy orders between yesterday's close and today's open are never filled. Those buyers are "left behind." Psychology: they wait for price to return ("fill the gap") so they can enter. This creates magnetic pull [/b> toward gap level.
Gap Fill Statistics (Empirical): [/b>
• Gaps <0.5% [/b>: 85-90% fill within same day
• Gaps 0.5-1.0% [/b>: 70-75% fill within same day, 90%+ within week
• Gaps >1.0% [/b>: 50-60% fill within same day (major news often prevents fill)
Gap Fill Strategy: [/b>
Setup 1: Gap-and-Go
Gap opens, extends away from gap (doesn't fill).
• ORB confirms direction away from gap
• Trade WITH ORB breakout direction
• Expectation: Gap won't fill today (momentum too strong)
Setup 2: Gap-Fill Fade
Gap opens, but fails to extend. Price drifts back toward gap.
• ORB breakout TOWARD gap (not away)
• Trade toward gap fill level
• Target: Previous close (gap fill complete)
Setup 3: Gap-Fill Rejection
Gap fills (touches previous close) then rejects.
• ORB breakout AWAY from gap after fill
• Trade away from gap direction
• Thesis: Gap filled (orders executed), now resume original direction
[b>Example: Scenario A (Gap-and-Go):
• ORB breaks upward to $454 (away from gap)
• Trade: LONG breakout, expect continued rally
• Gap becomes support ($452)
Scenario B (Gap-Fill):
• ORB breaks downward through $452.50 (toward gap)
• Trade: SHORT toward gap fill at $450.00
• Target: $450.00 (gap filled), close position
Scenario C (Gap-Fill Rejection):
• Price drifts to $450.00 (gap filled) early in session
• ORB establishes $450-$451 after gap fill
• ORB breaks upward to $451.50
• Trade: LONG breakout (gap is filled, now resume rally)
ORB Fusion Integration: [/b>
Dashboard shows:
• Gap type (Up/Down/None)
• Gap size (percentage)
• Gap fill status (Filled ✓ / Open)
This informs setup confidence:
• ORB breakout AWAY from unfilled gap: +10% confidence (gap becomes support/resistance)
• ORB breakout TOWARD unfilled gap: -10% confidence (gap fill may override ORB)
[b>📈 VWAP & INSTITUTIONAL BIAS [/b>
[b>Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): [/b>
Average price weighted by volume at each price level. Represents true "average" cost for the day.
[b>Calculation: Institutional Benchmark [/b>: Institutions (mutual funds, pension funds) use VWAP as performance benchmark. If they buy above VWAP, they underperformed; below VWAP, they outperformed.
2. [b>Algorithmic Target [/b>: Many algos are programmed to buy below VWAP and sell above VWAP to achieve "fair" execution.
3. [b>Support/Resistance [/b>: VWAP acts as dynamic support (price above) or resistance (price below).
[b>VWAP Bands (Standard Deviations): [/b>
• [b>1σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 1 standard deviation
- Contains ~68% of volume
- Normal trading range
- Bounces common
• [b>2σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 2 standard deviations
- Contains ~95% of volume
- Extreme extension
- Mean reversion likely
ORB + VWAP Confluence: [/b>
Highest-probability setups occur when ORB and VWAP align:
Bullish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout upward (bullish signal)
• Price above VWAP (institutional buying)
• Confidence boost: +15%
Bearish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout downward (bearish signal)
• Price below VWAP (institutional selling)
• Confidence boost: +15%
[b>Divergence Warning:
• ORB breakout upward BUT price below VWAP
• Conflict: Breakout says "buy," VWAP says "sell"
• Confidence penalty: -10%
• Interpretation: Retail buying but institutions not participating (lower quality breakout)
📊 MOMENTUM CONTEXT SYSTEM
[b>Innovation: Candle Coloring by Position
Rather than fixed support/resistance lines, ORB Fusion colors candles based on their [b>relationship to ORB :
[b>Three Zones: [/b>
1. Inside ORB (Blue Boxes): [/b>
[b>Calculation:
• Darker blue: Near extremes of ORB (potential breakout imminent)
• Lighter blue: Near ORB mid (consolidation)
[b>Trading: [/b> Coiled spring—await breakout.
[b>2. Above ORB (Green Boxes):
[b>Calculation: 3. Below ORB (Red Boxes):
Mirror of above ORB logic.
[b>Special Contexts: [/b>
[b>Breakout Bar (Darkest Green/Red): [/b>
The specific bar where breakout occurs gets maximum color intensity regardless of distance. This highlights the pivotal moment.
[b>Failed Breakout Bar (Orange/Warning): [/b>
When failed breakout is confirmed, that bar gets orange/warning color. Visual alert: "reversal opportunity here."
[b>Near Extension (Cyan/Magenta Tint): [/b>
When price is within 0.5 ATR of an extension level, candle gets tinted cyan (bull) or magenta (bear). Indicates "target approaching—prepare to take profit."
[b>Why Visual Context? [/b>
Traditional indicators show lines. ORB Fusion shows [b>context-aware momentum [/b>. Glance at chart:
• Lots of blue? Consolidation day (fade extremes).
• Progressive green? Trend day (follow).
• Green then orange? Failed breakout (reversal setup).
This visual language communicates market state instantly—no interpretation needed.
🎯 TRADE SETUP GENERATION & GRADING [/b>
[b>Algorithmic Setup Detection: [/b>
ORB Fusion continuously evaluates market state and generates current best trade setup with:
• Action (LONG / SHORT / FADE HIGH / FADE LOW / WAIT)
• Entry price
• Stop loss
• Three targets
• Risk:Reward ratio
• Confidence score (0-100)
• Grade (A+ to D)
[b>Setup Types: [/b>
[b>1. ORB LONG (Bullish Breakout): [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bullish ORB breakout confirmed
• Not failed
[b>Parameters:
• Entry: Current close
• Stop: ORB mid (protects against failure)
• T1: ORB High + 0.5x range (1.5x extension)
• T2: ORB High + 1.0x range (2.0x extension)
• T3: ORB High + 1.618x range (2.618x extension)
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bearish breakout occurred
• Failed (returned inside ORB)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: Close when failure confirmed
• Stop: Extreme low since breakout + 0.10 ATR
• T1: ORB Low + 0.5x range
• T2: ORB Low + 1.0x range (ORB mid)
• T3: ORB Low + 1.5x range
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger:
• Inside ORB
• Close > ORB mid (near high)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: ORB High (limit order)
• Stop: ORB High + 0.2x range
• T1: ORB Mid
• T2: ORB Low
[b>Confidence Scoring: [/b>
Base: 40 points (lower base—range fading is lower probability than breakout/reversal)
[b>Use Case: [/b> Rotation days. Not recommended on normal/trend days.
[b>6. FADE LOW (Range Trade):
Mirror of FADE HIGH.
[b>7. WAIT:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• ORB not complete yet OR
• No clear setup (price in no-man's-land)
[b>Action: [/b> Observe, don't trade.
[b>Confidence: [/b> 0 points
[b>Grading System:
```
Confidence → Grade
85-100 → A+
75-84 → A
65-74 → B+
55-64 → B
45-54 → C
0-44 → D
```
[b>Grade Interpretation: [/b>
• [b>A+ / A: High probability setup. Take these trades.
• [b>B+ / B [/b>: Decent setup. Trade if fits system rules.
• [b>C [/b>: Marginal setup. Only if very experienced.
• [b>D [/b>: Poor setup or no setup. Don't trade.
[b>Example Scenario: [/b>
ES futures:
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 point range)
• Bullish breakout to 5851 confirmed
• Volume: 2.0x average (confirmed)
• VWAP: 5845 (price above VWAP ✓)
• Day type: Developing (too early, no bonus)
• Gap: None
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Action: LONG
• Entry: 5851
• Stop: 5846 (ORB mid, -5 point risk)
• T1: 5854 (+3 points, 1:0.6 R:R)
• T2: 5858 (+7 points, 1:1.4 R:R)
• T3: 5862.94 (+11.94 points, 1:2.4 R:R)
[b>Confidence: LONG with 55% confidence.
Interpretation: Solid setup, not perfect. Trade it if your system allows B-grade signals.
[b>📊 STATISTICS TRACKING & PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS [/b>
[b>Real-Time Performance Metrics: [/b>
ORB Fusion tracks comprehensive statistics over user-defined lookback (default 50 days):
[b>Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Bull Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
• [b>Bear Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
[b>Win Definition: [/b> Breakout reaches ≥1.0x extension (doubles the opening range) before end of day.
[b>Example: [/b>
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 points)
• Bull breakout at 5851
• Reaches 5858 (1.0x extension) by close
• Result: WIN
[b>Failed Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Total Failed Breakouts [/b>: Count of breakouts that failed
• [b>Reversal Wins [/b>: Count where reversal trade reached target
• [b>Failed Reversal Win Rate [/b>: Wins / Total Failed
[b>Win Definition for Reversals: [/b>
• Failed bull → reversal short reaches ORB mid
• Failed bear → reversal long reaches ORB mid
[b>Extension Tracking: [/b>
• [b>Average Extension Reached [/b>: Mean of maximum extension achieved across all breakout days
• [b>Max Extension Overall [/b>: Largest extension ever achieved in lookback period
[b>Example: 🎨 THREE DISPLAY MODES
[b>Design Philosophy: [/b>
Not all traders need all features. Beginners want simplicity. Professionals want everything. ORB Fusion adapts.
[b>SIMPLE MODE: [/b>
[b>Shows: [/b>
• Primary ORB levels (High, Mid, Low)
• ORB box
• Breakout signals (triangles)
• Failed breakout signals (crosses)
• Basic dashboard (ORB status, breakout status, setup)
• VWAP
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• ORB extensions beyond basic levels
• Gap analysis visuals
• Statistics dashboard
• Momentum candle coloring
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Traders who want clean chart
• Focus on core ORB concept only
• Mobile trading (less screen space)
[b>STANDARD MODE:
[b>Shows Everything in Simple Plus: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels (high, low, mid)
• IB extensions
• ORB extensions (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x)
• Gap analysis and fill targets
• VWAP bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Momentum candle coloring
• Context section in dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Advanced extensions (2.618x, 3.0x)
• Detailed statistics dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Most traders
• Balance between information and clarity
• Covers 90% of use cases
[b>ADVANCED MODE:
[b>Shows Everything:
• All session ORBs
• All IB levels and extensions
• All ORB extensions (including 2.618x and 3.0x)
• Full gap analysis
• VWAP with both 1σ and 2σ bands
• Momentum candle coloring
• Complete statistics dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
• All context metrics
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Professional traders
• System developers
• Those who want maximum information density
[b>Switching Modes: [/b>
Single dropdown input: "Display Mode" → Simple / Standard / Advanced
Entire indicator adapts instantly. No need to toggle 20 individual settings.
📖 NARRATIVE DASHBOARD
[b>Innovation: Plain-English Market State [/b>
Most indicators show data. ORB Fusion explains what the data [b>means [/b>.
[b>Narrative Components: [/b>
[b>1. Phase: [/b>
• "📍 Building ORB..." (during ORB session)
• "📊 Trading Phase" (after ORB complete)
• "⏳ Pre-Market" (before ORB session)
[b>2. Status (Current Observation): [/b>
• "⚠️ Failed breakout - reversal likely"
• "🚀 Bullish momentum in play"
• "📉 Bearish momentum in play"
• "⚖️ Consolidating in range"
• "👀 Monitoring for setup"
[b>3. Next Level:
Tells you what to watch for:
• "🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00" (next extension target)
• "Watch ORB levels" (inside range, await breakout)
[b>4. Setup: [/b>
Current trade setup + grade:
• "LONG " (bullish breakout, A-grade)
• "🔥 SHORT REVERSAL " (failed bull breakout, A+-grade)
• "WAIT " (no setup)
[b>5. Reason: [/b>
Why this setup exists:
• "ORB Bullish Breakout"
• "Failed Bear Breakout - High Probability Reversal"
• "Range Fade - Near High"
[b>6. Tip (Market Insight):
Contextual advice:
• "🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops" (day type is trending)
• "🔄 ROTATION - Fade extremes" (day type is rotating)
• "📊 Gap unfilled - magnet level" (gap creates target)
• "📈 Normal conditions" (no special context)
[b>Example Narrative:
```
📖 ORB Narrative
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Phase | 📊 Trading Phase
Status | 🚀 Bullish momentum in play
Next | 🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00
📈 Setup | LONG
Reason | ORB Bullish Breakout
💡 Tip | 🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops
```
[b>Glance Interpretation: [/b>
"We're in trading phase. Bullish breakout happened (momentum in play). Next target is 1.5x extension at 5854. Current setup is LONG with A-grade. It's a trend day, so trail stops (don't take early profits)."
Complete market state communicated in 6 lines. No interpretation needed.
[b>Why This Matters:
Beginner traders struggle with "So what?" question. Indicators show lines and signals, but what does it mean [/b>? Narrative dashboard bridges this gap.
Professional traders benefit too—rapid context assessment during fast-moving markets. No time to analyze; glance at narrative, get action plan.
🔔 INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
[b>Four Alert Types: [/b>
[b>1. Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> ORB breakout confirmed (bull or bear)
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🚀 ORB BULLISH BREAKOUT
Price: 5851.00
Volume Confirmed
Grade: A
```
[b>Frequency: [/b> Once per bar (prevents spam)
[b>2. Failed Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Breakout fails, reversal setup generated
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🔥 FAILED BULLISH BREAKOUT!
HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT REVERSAL
Entry: 5848.00
Stop: 5854.00
T1: 5846.00
T2: 5842.00
Historical Win Rate: 73%
```
[b>Why Comprehensive? [/b> Failed breakout alerts include complete trade plan. You can execute immediately from alert—no need to check chart.
[b>3. Extension Alert:
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price reaches extension level for first time
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🎯 Bull Extension 1.5x reached @ 5854.00
```
[b>Use: [/b> Profit-taking reminder. When extension hit, consider scaling out.
[b>4. IB Break Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price breaks above IB high or below IB low
[b>Message: [/b>
```
📊 IB HIGH BROKEN - Potential Trend Day
```
[b>Use: [/b> Day type classification. IB break suggests trend day developing—adjust strategy to trend-following mode.
[b>Alert Management: [/b>
Each alert type can be enabled/disabled independently. Prevents notification overload.
[b>Cooldown Logic: [/b>
Alerts won't fire if same alert type triggered within last bar. Prevents:
• "Breakout" alert every tick during choppy breakout
• Multiple "extension" alerts if price oscillates at level
Ensures: One clean alert per event.
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
[b>Opening Range Settings: [/b>
• [b>ORB Timeframe [/b> (5/15/30/60 min): Duration of opening range window
- 30 min recommended for most traders
• [b>Use RTH Only [/b> (ON/OFF): Only trade during regular trading hours
- ON recommended (avoids thin overnight markets)
• [b>Use LTF Precision [/b> (ON/OFF): Sample 1-minute bars for accuracy
- ON recommended (critical for charts >1 minute)
• [b>Precision TF [/b> (1/5 min): Timeframe for LTF sampling
- 1 min recommended (most accurate)
[b>Session ORBs: [/b>
• [b>Show Asian/London/NY ORB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display multi-session ranges
- OFF in Simple mode
- ON in Standard/Advanced if trading 24hr markets
• [b>Session Windows [/b>: Time ranges for each session ORB
- Defaults align with major session opens
[b>Initial Balance: [/b>
• [b>Show IB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display Initial Balance levels
- ON recommended for day type classification
• [b>IB Session Window [/b> (0930-1030): First hour of trading
- Default is standard for US equities
• [b>Show IB Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project IB extension targets
- ON recommended (identifies trend days)
• [b>IB Extensions 1-4 [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x): Extension multipliers
- Defaults are Market Profile standard
[b>ORB Extensions: [/b>
• [b>Show Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project ORB extension targets
- ON recommended (defines profit targets)
• [b>Enable Individual Extensions [/b> (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x)
- Enable 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x minimum
- Disable 2.618x and 3.0x unless trading very volatile instruments
[b>Breakout Detection:
• [b>Confirmation Method [/b> (Close/Wick/Body):
- Close recommended (best balance)
- Wick for scalping
- Body for conservative
• [b>Require Volume Confirmation [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (increases reliability)
• [b>Volume Multiplier [/b> (1.0-3.0):
- 1.5x recommended
- Lower for thin instruments
- Higher for heavy volume instruments
[b>Failed Breakout System: [/b>
• [b>Enable Failed Breakouts [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON strongly recommended (highest edge)
• [b>Bars to Confirm Failure [/b> (2-10):
- 3 bars recommended
- 2 for aggressive (more signals, more false failures)
- 5+ for conservative (fewer signals, higher quality)
• [b>Failure Buffer [/b> (0.0-0.5 ATR):
- 0.1 ATR recommended
- Filters noise during consolidation near ORB level
• [b>Show Reversal Targets [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (visualizes trade plan)
• [b>Reversal Target Mults [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x):
- Defaults are tested values
- Adjust based on average daily range
[b>Gap Analysis:
• [b>Show Gap Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON if trading instruments that gap frequently
- OFF for 24hr markets (forex, crypto—no gaps)
• [b>Gap Fill Target [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON to visualize previous close (gap fill level)
[b>VWAP:
• [b>Show VWAP [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (key institutional level)
• [b>Show VWAP Bands [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON in Standard/Advanced
- OFF in Simple
• [b>Band Multipliers (1.0σ, 2.0σ):
- Defaults are standard
- 1σ = normal range, 2σ = extreme
[b>Day Type: [/b>
• [b>Show Day Type Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (critical for strategy adaptation)
• [b>Trend Day Threshold [/b> (1.0-2.5 IB mult):
- 1.5x recommended
- When price extends >1.5x IB, classifies as Trend Day
[b>Enhanced Visuals:
• [b>Show Momentum Candles [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for visual context
- OFF if chart gets too colorful
• [b>Show Gradient Zone Fills [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for professional look
- OFF for minimalist chart
• [b>Label Display Mode [/b> (All/Adaptive/Minimal):
- Adaptive recommended (shows nearby labels only)
- All for information density
- Minimal for clean chart
• [b>Label Proximity [/b> (1.0-5.0 ATR):
- 3.0 ATR recommended
- Labels beyond this distance are hidden (Adaptive mode)
[b>🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL [/b>
[b>Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Understand ORB concepts and dashboard interpretation
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Display Mode: STANDARD
• ORB Timeframe: 30 minutes
• Enable ALL features (IB, extensions, failed breakouts, VWAP, gap analysis)
• Enable statistics tracking
[b>Actions: [/b>
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe ORB formation every day (9:30-10:00 AM ET for US markets)
• Note when ORB breakouts occur and if they extend
• Note when breakouts fail and reversals happen
• Watch day type classification evolve during session
• Track statistics—which setups are working?
[b>Key Learning: [/b>
• How often do breakouts reach 1.5x extension? (typically 50-60% of confirmed breakouts)
• How often do breakouts fail? (typically 30-40%)
• Which setup grade (A/B/C) actually performs best? (should see A-grade outperforming)
• What day type produces best results? (trend days favor breakouts, rotation days favor fades)
[b>Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
[b>ORB Timeframe Selection:
• Run 5 days with 15-minute ORB
• Run 5 days with 30-minute ORB
• Compare: Which captures better breakouts on your instrument?
• Typically: 30-minute optimal for most, 15-minute for very liquid (ES, SPY)
[b>Volume Confirmation Testing:
• Run 5 days WITH volume confirmation
• Run 5 days WITHOUT volume confirmation
• Compare: Does volume confirmation increase win rate?
• If win rate improves by >5%: Keep volume confirmation ON
• If no improvement: Turn OFF (avoid missing valid breakouts)
[b>Failed Breakout Bars:
[b>Goal: [/b> Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
[b>Setup Selection Rules: [/b>
Define which setups you'll trade:
• [b>Conservative: [/b> Only A+ and A grades
• [b>Balanced: [/b> A+, A, B+ grades
• [b>Aggressive: [/b> All grades B and above
Test each approach for 5-10 trades, compare results.
[b>Position Sizing by Grade: [/b>
Consider risk-weighting by setup quality:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B+ grade: 50% position size
• B grade: 25% position size
Example: If max risk is $1000/trade:
• A+ setup: Risk $1000
• A setup: Risk $750
• B+ setup: Risk $500
This matches bet sizing to edge.
[b>Day Type Adaptation: [/b>
Create rules for different day types:
Trend Days:
• Take ALL breakout signals (A/B/C grades)
• Hold for 2.0x extension minimum
• Trail stops aggressively (1.0 ATR trail)
• DON'T fade—reversals unlikely
Rotation Days:
• ONLY take failed breakout reversals
• Ignore initial breakout signals (likely to fail)
• Take profits quickly (0.5x extension)
• Focus on fade setups (Fade High/Fade Low)
Normal Days:
• Take A/A+ breakout signals only
• Take ALL failed breakout reversals (high probability)
• Target 1.0-1.5x extensions
• Partial profit-taking at extensions
Time-of-Day Rules: [/b>
Breakouts at different times have different probabilities:
10:00-10:30 AM (Early Breakout):
• ORB just completed
• Fresh breakout
• Probability: Moderate (50-55% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Conservative position sizing
10:30-12:00 PM (Mid-Morning):
• Momentum established
• Volume still healthy
• Probability: High (60-65% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Standard position sizing
12:00-2:00 PM (Lunch Doldrums):
• Volume dries up
• Whipsaw risk increases
• Probability: Low (40-45% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Avoid new entries OR reduce size 50%
2:00-4:00 PM (Afternoon Session):
• Late-day positioning
• EOD squeezes possible
• Probability: Moderate-High (55-60%)
• Strategy: Watch for IB break—if trending all day, follow
[b>Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
[b>Setup: [/b>
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ and A grade setups
• Follow stop loss and targets religiously
[b>Execution: [/b>
• Execute from alerts OR from dashboard setup box
• Entry: Close of signal bar OR next bar market order
• Stop: Use exact stop from setup (don't widen)
• Targets: Scale out at T1/T2/T3 as indicated
[b>Tracking: [/b>
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, Outcome, Day Type
• Calculate: Win rate, Average R-multiple, Max consecutive losses
• Compare to paper trading results (should be within 15%)
[b>Red Flags: [/b>
• Win rate <45%: System not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
• Major divergence from paper trading: Execution issues (slippage, late entries, emotional exits)
• Max consecutive losses >8: Hitting rough patch OR market regime changed
[b>Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
[b>Goal: [/b> Gradually increase to full position size
[b>Progression: [/b>
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
[b>Milestones Required to Scale Up: [/b>
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥48%
• Profit factor ≥1.2
• Max drawdown <20%
• Emotional control (no revenge trading, no FOMO)
[b>Advanced Techniques:
[b>Multi-Timeframe ORB: Assumes first 30-60 minutes establish value. Violation: Market opens after major news, price discovery continues for hours (opening range meaningless).
2. [b>Volume Indicates Conviction: ES, NQ, RTY, SPY, QQQ—high liquidity, clean ORB formation, reliable extensions
• [b>Large-Cap Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap, >5M daily volume)
• [b>Liquid Futures: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), 6E (EUR/USD), ZB (bonds)—24hr markets benefit from session ORBs
• [b>Major Forex Pairs: [/b> EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY—London/NY session ORBs work well
[b>Performs Poorly On: [/b>
• [b>Illiquid Stocks: <$1M daily volume, wide spreads, gappy price action
• [b>Penny Stocks: [/b> Manipulated, pump-and-dump, no real price discovery
• [b>Low-Volume ETFs: Exotic sector ETFs, leveraged products with thin volume
• [b>Crypto on Sketchy Exchanges: Wash trading, spoofing invalidates volume analysis
• [b>Earnings Days: [/b> ORB completes before earnings release, then completely resets (useless)
• Binary Event Days: FDA approvals, court rulings—discontinuous price action
[b>Known Weaknesses: [/b>
• [b>Slow Starts: ORB doesn't complete until 10:00 AM (30-min ORB). Early morning traders have no signals for 30 minutes. Consider using 15-minute ORB if this is problematic.
• [b>Failure Detection Lag: [/b> Failed breakout requires 3+ bars to confirm. By the time system signals reversal, price may have already moved significantly back inside range. Manual traders watching in real-time can enter earlier.
• [b>Extension Overshoot: [/b> System projects extensions mathematically (1.5x, 2.0x, etc.). Actual moves may stop short (1.3x) or overshoot (2.2x). Extensions are targets, not magnets.
• [b>Day Type Misclassification: [/b> Early in session, day type is "Developing." By the time it's classified definitively (often 11:00 AM+), half the day is over. Strategy adjustments happen late.
• [b>Gap Assumptions: [/b> System assumes gaps want to fill. Strong trend days never fill gaps (gap becomes support/resistance forever). Blindly trading toward gaps can backfire on trend days.
• [b>Volume Data Quality: Forex doesn't have centralized volume (uses tick volume as proxy—less reliable). Crypto volume is often fake (wash trading). Volume confirmation less effective on these instruments.
• [b>Multi-Session Complexity: [/b> When using Asian/London/NY ORBs simultaneously, chart becomes cluttered. Requires discipline to focus on relevant session for current time.
[b>Risk Factors: [/b>
• [b>Opening Gaps: Large gaps (>2%) can create distorted ORBs. Opening range might be unusually wide or narrow, making extensions unreliable.
• [b>Low Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX <12, opening ranges can be tiny (0.2-0.3%). Extensions are equally tiny. Profit targets don't justify commission/slippage.
• [b>High Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX >30, opening ranges are huge (2-3%+). Extensions project unrealistic targets. Failed breakouts happen faster (volatility whipsaw).
• [b>Algorithm Dominance:[/b> In heavily algorithmic markets (ES during overnight session), ORB levels can be manipulated—algos pin price to ORB high/low intentionally. Breakouts become stop-runs rather than genuine directional moves.
[b>⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE[/b>
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Opening Range Breakout strategies, while based on sound market structure principles, do not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
The ORB Fusion indicator implements professional trading concepts including Opening Range theory, Market Profile Initial Balance analysis, Fibonacci extensions, and failed breakout reversal logic. These methodologies have theoretical foundations but past performance—whether backtested or live—is not indicative of future results.
Opening Range theory assumes the first 30-60 minutes of trading establish a meaningful value area and that breakouts from this range signal directional conviction. This assumption may not hold during:
• Major news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings surprises)
• Market structure changes (circuit breakers, trading halts)
• Low liquidity periods (holidays, early closures)
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Failed breakout detection relies on patterns of trapped participant behavior. While historically these patterns have shown statistical edges, market conditions change. Institutional algorithms, changing market structure, or regime shifts can reduce or eliminate edges that existed historically.
Initial Balance classification (trend day vs rotation day vs normal day) is a heuristic framework, not a deterministic prediction. Day type can change mid-session. Early classification may prove incorrect as the day develops.
Extension projections (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, etc.) are probabilistic targets derived from Fibonacci ratios and empirical market behavior. They are not "support and resistance levels" that price must reach or respect. Markets can stop short of extensions, overshoot them, or ignore them entirely.
Volume confirmation assumes high volume indicates institutional participation and conviction. In algorithmic markets, volume can be artificially high (HFT activity) or artificially low (dark pools, internalization). Volume is a proxy, not a guarantee of conviction.
LTF precision sampling improves ORB accuracy by using 1-minute bars but introduces additional data dependencies. If 1-minute data is unavailable, inaccurate, or delayed, ORB calculations will be incorrect.
The grading system (A+/A/B+/B/C/D) and confidence scores aggregate multiple factors (volume, VWAP, day type, IB expansion, gap context) into a single assessment. This is a mechanical calculation, not artificial intelligence. The system cannot adapt to unprecedented market conditions or events outside its programmed logic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, and rejected orders not present in indicator calculations. ORB Fusion generates signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay. Opening range forms during highest volatility (first 30 minutes)—spreads widen, slippage increases. Execution quality significantly impacts realized results.
Statistics tracking (win rates, extension levels reached, day type distribution) is based on historical bars in your lookback window. If lookback is small (<50 bars) or market regime changed, statistics may not represent future probabilities.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively (100+ trades minimum) before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing (5-10% of intended size) for 50+ trades to validate execution quality matches expectations.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every single trade without exception. Understand that most retail traders lose money—sophisticated indicators do not change this fundamental reality. They systematize analysis but cannot eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or fitness for any purpose. Users assume full responsibility for all trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
[b>CLOSING STATEMENT[/b>
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
Opening Range Breakout is not a trick. It's a framework. The first 30-60 minutes reveal where participants believe value lies. Breakouts signal directional conviction. Failures signal trapped participants. Extensions define profit targets. Day types dictate strategy. Failed breakouts create the highest-probability reversals.
ORB Fusion doesn't predict the future—it identifies [b>structure[/b>, detects [b>breakouts[/b>, recognizes [b>failures[/b>, and generates [b>probabilistic trade plans[/b> with defined risk and reward.
The edge is not in the opening range itself. The edge is in recognizing when the market respects structure (follow breakouts) versus when it violates structure (fade breakouts). The edge is in detecting failures faster than discretionary traders. The edge is in systematic classification that prevents catastrophic errors—like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
Most indicators draw lines. ORB Fusion implements a complete institutional trading methodology: Opening Range theory, Market Profile classification, failed breakout intelligence, Fibonacci projections, volume confirmation, gap psychology, and real-time performance tracking.
Whether you're a beginner learning market structure or a professional seeking systematic ORB implementation, this system provides the framework.
"The market's first word is its opening range. Everything after is commentary." — ORB Fusion
LL-HL PivotThis indicator scans for the bullish structure known as a Higher Low (HL) across multiple lengths simultaneously, automatically selects the most suitable pattern, and plots it on the chart.
Below is a detailed explanation of how it works.
1. Basic Calculation Method (Definition of LL and HL)
This indicator is built on TradingView’s ta.pivotlow function.
Detecting Pivot Lows
For a given length, a Pivot Low is identified as the lowest point among the candles within the specified range to the left and right.
LL and HL Determination
LL (Lowest Low): The most recent Pivot Low is treated as the previous low.
HL (Higher Low): When a new Pivot Low forms above the previous LL, it is recognized as an HL, and the setup is considered “complete.”
Identifying the Pivot Line
During the LL–HL structure, the highest high between them is identified and used as the breakout level (Pivot Line / resistance), where a horizontal line is drawn.
2. Multi-Length Scanning
Unlike standard indicators that use only one length (e.g., Length = 5), this indicator evaluates a full range of lengths.
Min Length to Max Length
Example: Min = 2, Max = 10
Internally, it functions as if nine separate indicators (Length 2, 3, 4 … 10) are running simultaneously.
This allows the indicator to capture:
Small waves (short-term pullbacks)
Larger waves (broader structural moves)
3. Priority Mode System
Because multiple lengths are calculated at the same time, different LL–HL patterns may appear simultaneously.Priority Mode determines which setup is selected and displayed.
A. Lowest LH
Selects the pattern with the lowest pivot line (intermediate high).
Advantages:
Produces the lowest possible entry price
B. Longest Length
Selects the pattern with the longest length.
Advantages:
Focuses on larger structures and broader waves
Filters out noise
C. Shortest Length
Selects the pattern with the shortest length.
Advantages:
Reacts quickly to small moves
Useful for scalping or fast trend-following
Captures very short-term pullbacks
4. Additional Behavior and Features
Real-Time Invalidation
If price breaks below the confirmed HL, the structure is immediately considered invalid.
All previously drawn lines and labels are removed instantly, preventing outdated structures from remaining on the chart.
Pivot Line Extension
As long as the HL remains intact, the Pivot Line (breakout level) continues extending to the right.
Alerts
An alert can be triggered the moment price breaks above the Pivot Line on a closing basis.
Pivots + MAs ISRSPivots + MAs ISRS is a complete market-structure tool designed for traders who want clear institutional levels combined with trend confirmation from moving averages and Fibonacci zones.
This indicator helps you identify breakouts, pullbacks, and reversal points with much higher accuracy.
It combines the best of three worlds:
🔹 1. Advanced Pivot Points (Standard TV Engine)
Includes every major professional pivot type:
Traditional
Fibonacci
Woodie
Classic
DM
Camarilla
You can choose pivot anchors such as:
Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly, and extended periods (2, 3, 5, and 10 years).
✔ Fully customizable colors
✔ Show/hide each level individually
✔ Dynamic labels (left or right)
✔ Works with intraday + extended sessions
🔹 2. Built-in Moving Averages
The indicator includes:
3 EMAs to measure trend direction and momentum
A 5-period SMA for micro-structure and scalping precision
Great for identifying confluences between trend direction + pivot levels.
🔹 3. FiboISRS Zones
Fibonacci-based zones designed to enhance price-reaction detection:
Retracement levels
Liquidity zones
Confluences with EMAs + Pivot Points
Perfect for spotting high-probability reversal areas.
🎯 What This Indicator Helps You Do
✔ See active institutional levels on any timeframe
✔ Detect real breakouts (not fakeouts) using Pivots + MAs
✔ Identify clean pullbacks into key zones
✔ Spot reactions at S1/S2/S3 or R1/R2/R3
✔ Keep your chart clean with minimal noise
Works extremely well on:
Crypto with solid liquidity
Major indices (SPX, NASDAQ, Dow)
Forex
Gold and commodities
🧠 Pro Tip
The highest-probability setups occur when price touches:
👉 A Pivot Level
👉 An EMA (20, 50, or 200)
👉 A FiboISRS zone
When these three overlap, the market often reacts strongly.
⚡ Creator
Indicator created by Ismael Robles (ISRS) to bring a clean, institutional-grade structure to everyday traders.
ArithmaReg Candles [NeuraAlgo]ArithmaReg Candles
ArimaReg Candles provide a quantitative approach toward the visualization of price by rebuilding each candle using an adaptive regression model. This indicator eliminates much of the noise and micro-spikes and consolidates irregular volatility of raw OHLC data, which typically characterizes candles, into a much cleaner and more stable representation that better reflects the true directional intent of the market.
The algorithm applies a dynamic state-space filter to track the equilibrium price, truePrice, while suppressing high-frequency fluctuations. Noise in the price is extracted by comparing the raw close to the filtered state and removed from the candle body and wick structure through controlled adjustment logic. Finally, a volatility-based spread model rebuilds the candle's range to maintain realistic price geometry.
The direction of trends is given by comparing the truePrice against a smoothing baseline, permitting ArithmaReg Candles to underline the bullish and bearish phases with more clarity and much-reduced distortion. This yields a chart where transitions within trends, pullbacks, and momentum shifts are much easier to comprehend than their representation via traditional candles.
ArithmaReg Candles are designed for traders who require consistent, noise-filtered price structure-ideal for trend analysis, breakout validation, and precision entries. The indicator itself does not generate any signals; it only refines the visual environment so that your existing tools and decision models become more reliable.
How It Works
Micro-Price Extraction
A weighted micro-price is calculated to represent the bar's internal structure and reduce intrabar irregularities.
Adaptive Regression Filter
The state-based regression engine continuously updates price equilibrium, adjusting its confidence level. This gives the filter the ability to remain responsive during strong movements yet be stable during noisy periods.
Noise Removal & Candle Reconstruction
The difference between raw price and truePrice is considered noise. This noise is subtracted from OHLC values, and a volatility-scaled spread restores realistic wick and body proportions. What results is a candle that depicts true directional flow.
Trend Classification
A smoothed trend baseline is computed from the filtered price, and candle color is determined by whether the market is positioned above or below this equilibrium trend.
How to Use It
Identify True Trend Direction
Candles follow the cleaned price path so that you can differentiate valid trend shifts from temporary spikes or wick-driven traps.
Improve Existing Strategies
These candles will complement your existing indicators, be they Supertrend, moving averages, volume tools, or momentum oscillators, by giving you a more sound price basis.
Spot Clean Breakouts & Pullbacks
Reduced noise makes breakout structure, swing highs/lows, and retracements significantly clearer. This is particularly useful in fast markets like crypto and Forex.
Improve Entry & Exit Timing
By highlighting the underlying flow of price, ArithmaReg Candles help traders avoid false signals and pinpoint spots where the price momentum is actually changing.
Adaptable to All Timeframes & Assets
The filter is self-adjusting, so it performs consistently on scalping timeframes, intraday charts, swing setups, and all asset classes. Summary ArithmaReg Candles create a mathematically refined view of market structure by removing noise and reconstructing candles through adaptive regression. The result is a more refined, stable price representation that improves trend recognition and decision-making and enables professional-grade technical analysis.
Filter Bar1. Indicator Name
Filter Bar
2. One-line Introduction
A trend-aware bar coloring system that visualizes market direction and strength through adaptive transparency based on regression scoring.
3. General Overview
Filter Bar+ is a minimalist but powerful trend visualization tool that colors chart bars according to market direction and momentum strength.
It analyzes the linear regression trend alignment over a specified lookback period and uses a pairwise comparison algorithm to determine whether the market is in a bullish, bearish, or neutral state.
The result is a "trend score" that gets normalized to reflect trend intensity (0~1).
Bar colors are then dynamically updated using the specified bullish or bearish base colors, where higher intensity results in more opaque (darker) bars, and weaker trends lead to lighter, faded tones.
If no strong trend is detected, bars are shown in gray, signaling indecision or neutrality.
The strength of this indicator lies in its simplicity—it doesn’t draw lines, waves, or shapes, but overlays insight directly onto the chart through smart color cues.
It’s particularly effective as a background filter for price action traders, scalpers, and anyone who prefers clean charts but still wants embedded directional context.
4. Key Advantages
🎨 Adaptive Bar Coloring
Bar color opacity increases with trend strength, offering instant visual confirmation without clutter.
📊 Quantified Trend Direction
Uses a regression-based scoring system to reliably detect uptrends, downtrends, or sideways markets.
⚖️ Customizable Sensitivity
Parameters like lookback period and tolerance percentage give users full control over signal responsiveness.
🧼 Clean Chart Presentation
No lines, shapes, or overlays—just color-coded bars that blend into your existing chart setup.
🚀 Lightweight & Fast
Minimal computational load ensures it works smoothly even on lower-end devices or multiple chart setups.
🔒 Secure Internal Logic
Algorithm is neatly encapsulated and optimized, with no critical logic exposed.
📘 Indicator User Guide
📌 Basic Concept
Filter Bar+ evaluates trend direction and strength using a pairwise comparison of linear regression values.
The result determines whether the market is bullish, bearish, or neutral, and adjusts bar colors accordingly.
It visually amplifies the current market state without drawing any indicators on the chart.
⚙️ Settings Explained
Lookback Period: Number of bars used to compare regression values
Range Tolerance (%): Minimum score required to label a trend as bullish or bearish
Regression Source: Data input used for regression (default: close)
Linear Regression Length: Period for generating the base regression line
Bull/Bear Base Colors: Choose colors to represent bullish or bearish bars
📈 Buy Timing Example
Bars are green (or user-set bullish color) and becoming more vivid
Indicates a strengthening bullish trend; helpful when used alongside breakout confirmation or support zones
📉 Sell Timing Example
Bars turn red (or your custom bearish color) with increasing opacity
Signals growing bearish pressure; acts as confirmation during short setups or breakdowns
🧪 Recommended Use Cases
Combine with volume, RSI, or price action setups for direction filtering
Ideal for clean chart strategies where visual simplicity is preferred
Use as a confirmation layer to reduce noise in sideways markets
🔒 Precautions
This is a visual filter, not a signal generator—use alongside other strategies for entries/exits
In choppy markets, bars may flicker between colors—adjust sensitivity as needed
Works best when you already have a directional thesis and want to validate it visually
Always test settings for your asset/timeframe before applying in live trades
Gann Levels (Auto) by RRR📌 Gann Levels (Auto) — Intraday, Swing & Elliott Wave Precision Tool
Gann Levels (Auto) is a high-accuracy price-reaction indicator designed for intraday scalpers, swing traders, and Elliott Wave traders who want clean, auto-updating support and resistance levels without manually drawing anything.
The indicator automatically detects the latest swing high & swing low and plots the 8 Gann Octave Levels between them. These levels act as a complete price map—showing equilibrium, structure, trend continuation zones, and reversal points with extreme precision.
🔥 Why This Indicator Stands Out
✔ Fully automatic swing detection
Levels update as structure evolves — no manual adjustments.
✔ All Gann Octave levels
Plots 1/8 through 8/8 including the critical 4/8 midpoint.
✔ Intraday-optimized
Exceptional on 1m, 3m, 5m, and 15m charts.
✔ Ultra-clean support & resistance
Levels act as reliable barriers and breakout zones.
⭐ MOST IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR INTRADAY
4/8 – Midpoint (Major Decision Pivot)
Strongest Gann level.
Controls trend or reversal for the session.
Breakout → Trend Day
Rejection → Reversal Day
8/8 & 0/8 – Extreme Structure Edges
Most likely zones for intraday reversals.
Perfect for scalp entries when combined with volume exhaustion.
🎯 How to Trade ELLIOTT WAVE Using Gann Levels
This indicator is exceptionally powerful when combined with Elliott Wave Theory.
Here is how to use it wave-by-wave:
🔵 Wave 2 → Identify Bottom Using 0/8 or 1/8 Levels
Wave 2 typically retraces deep but remains above key structure.
Gann confirmation:
Price stops at 0/8 or 1/8 zone
Rejection wick + low volume breakdown attempt
Bullish intent starts forming
This gives a perfect Wave 3 entry zone.
🔴 Wave 3 → Breakout Above 4/8 Midpoint
Wave 3 is the strongest impulsive wave.
The 4/8 level works like a force-field.
Wave 3 confirmation:
Price breaks and retests 4/8
Strong volume
No deep pullbacks after break
This is one of the most reliable Elliott + Gann trades.
🟡 Wave 4 → Uses 3/8 or 5/8 as Support/Resistance
Wave 4 is corrective and shallow compared to Wave 2.
Gann alignment:
Wave 4 often consolidates between 3/8 and 5/8
Levels act like range boundaries
Avoid trading inside chop; wait for breakout
This gives perfect continuation entries for Wave 5.
🟣 Wave 5 → Ends Near 7/8 or 8/8 Extreme Zone
Wave 5 usually ends in overbought territory.
Gann confirmation:
Price hits 7/8 or 8/8
Momentum weakens
Divergence builds (RSI/MACD optional)
Last push = exhaustion
This is where reversals or major pullbacks begin.
💥 BONUS: Corrective Waves (A-B-C)
Wave A:
Often rejects from 4/8 or 5/8.
Wave B:
Typically trapped between 3/8–5/8.
Wave C:
Usually ends around 0/8 (for bullish trend)
or 8/8 (for bearish trend).
These zones give ultra-high confidence entries.
⚙️ Who This Indicator Is Perfect For
Elliott Wave traders
Intraday scalpers
Swing traders
Price action & structure traders
Traders who want automatic support-resistance levels
Traders who want clean, non-cluttered levels
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only.
Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
TraderDemircan Auto Fibonacci RetracementDescription:
What This Indicator Does:This indicator automatically identifies significant swing high and swing low points within a customizable lookback period and draws comprehensive Fibonacci retracement and extension levels between them. Unlike the manual Fibonacci tool that requires you to constantly redraw levels as price action evolves, this automated version continuously updates the Fibonacci grid based on the most recent major swing points, ensuring you always have current and relevant support/resistance zones displayed on your chart.Key Features:
Automatic Swing Detection: Continuously scans the specified lookback period to find the most significant high and low points, eliminating manual drawing errors
Comprehensive Level Coverage: Plots 16 Fibonacci levels including 7 retracement levels (0.0 to 1.0) and 9 extension levels (1.115 to 3.618)
Top-Down Methodology: Draws from swing high to swing low (right-to-left), following the traditional Fibonacci retracement convention where 100% is at the top
Dual Labeling System: Shows both exact price values and Fibonacci percentages for easy reference
Complete Customization: Individual toggle controls and color selection for each of the 16 levels
Flexible Display Options: Adjust line thickness (1-5), style (solid/dashed/dotted), and extension direction (left/right/both)
Visual Swing Markers: Red diamond at the swing high (starting point) and green diamond at the swing low (ending point)
Optional Trend Line: Connects the two swing points to visualize the overall price movement direction
How It Works:The indicator employs a sophisticated swing point detection algorithm that operates in two stages:Stage 1 - Find the Swing Low (Support Base):
Scans the entire lookback period to identify the lowest low, which becomes the anchor point (0.0 level in traditional retracement terms, though displayed at the bottom of the grid).Stage 2 - Find the Swing High (Resistance Peak):
After identifying the swing low, searches for the highest high that occurred after that low point, establishing the swing range. This creates a valid price movement range for Fibonacci analysis.Fibonacci Calculation Method:
The indicator uses the top-down approach where:
1.0 Level = Swing High (100% retracement, the top)
0.0 Level = Swing Low (0% retracement, the bottom)
Retracement Levels (0.236 to 0.786) = Potential support zones during pullbacks from the high
Extension Levels (1.115 to 3.618) = Potential target zones below the swing low
Formula: Price = SwingHigh - (SwingHigh - SwingLow) × FibonacciLevelThis ensures that 0.0 is at the bottom and extensions (>1.0) plot below the swing low, following standard Fibonacci retracement convention.Fibonacci Levels Explained:Retracement Levels (0.0 - 1.0):
0.0 (Gray): Swing low - the base support level
0.236 (Red): Shallow retracement, first minor support
0.382 (Orange): Moderate retracement, commonly watched support
0.5 (Purple): Psychological midpoint, significant support/resistance
0.618 (Blue - Golden Ratio): The most important retracement level, high-probability reversal zone
0.786 (Cyan): Deep retracement, last defense before full reversal
1.0 (Gray): Swing high - the initial resistance level
Extension Levels (1.115 - 3.618):
1.115 (Green): First extension, minimal downside target
1.272 (Light Green): Minor extension, common profit target
1.414 (Yellow-Green): Square root of 2, mathematical significance
1.618 (Gold - Golden Extension): Primary downside target, most watched extension level
2.0 (Orange-Red): 200% extension, psychological round number
2.382 (Pink): Secondary extension target
2.618 (Purple): Deep extension, major target zone
3.272 (Deep Purple): Extreme extension level
3.618 (Blue): Maximum extension, rare but powerful target
How to Use:For Retracement Trading (Buying Pullbacks in Uptrends):
Wait for price to make a significant move up from swing low to swing high
When price starts pulling back, watch for reactions at key Fibonacci levels
Most common entry zones: 0.382, 0.5, and especially 0.618 (golden ratio)
Enter long positions when price shows reversal signals (candlestick patterns, volume increase) at these levels
Place stop loss below the next Fibonacci level
Target: Return to swing high or higher extension levels
For Extension Trading (Profit Targets):
After price breaks below the swing low (0.0 level), use extensions as profit targets
First target: 1.272 (conservative)
Primary target: 1.618 (golden extension - most commonly reached)
Extended target: 2.618 (for strong trends)
Extreme target: 3.618 (only in powerful trending moves)
For Counter-Trend Trading (Fading Extremes):
When price reaches deep retracements (0.786 or below), look for exhaustion signals
Watch for divergences between price and momentum indicators at these levels
Enter reversal trades with tight stops below the swing low
Target: 0.5 or 0.382 levels on the bounce
For Trend Continuation:
In strong uptrends, shallow retracements (0.236 to 0.382) often hold
Use these as low-risk entry points to join the existing trend
Failure to hold 0.5 suggests weakening momentum
Breaking below 0.618 often indicates trend reversal, not just retracement
Multi-Timeframe Strategy:
Use daily timeframe Fibonacci for major support/resistance zones
Use 4H or 1H Fibonacci for precise entry timing within those zones
Confluence between multiple timeframe Fibonacci levels creates high-probability zones
Example: Daily 0.618 level aligning with 4H 0.5 level = strong support
Settings Guide:Lookback Period (10-500):
Short (20-50): Captures recent swings, more frequent updates, suited for day trading
Medium (50-150): Balanced approach, good for swing trading (default: 100)
Long (150-500): Identifies major market structure, suited for position trading
Higher values = more stable levels but slower to adapt to new trends
Pivot Sensitivity (1-20):
Controls how many candles are required to confirm a swing point
Low (1-5): More sensitive, identifies minor swings (default: 5)
High (10-20): Less sensitive, only major swings qualify
Use higher sensitivity on lower timeframes to filter noise
Individual Level Toggles:
Enable only the levels you actively trade to reduce chart clutter
Common minimalist setup: Show only 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 1.0, 1.618, 2.618
Comprehensive setup: Enable all levels for maximum information
Visual Customization:
Line Thickness: Thicker lines (3-5) for presentation, thinner (1-2) for trading
Line Style: Solid for primary levels (0.5, 0.618, 1.618), dashed/dotted for secondary
Price Labels: Essential for knowing exact entry/exit prices
Percent Labels: Helpful for quickly identifying which Fibonacci level you're looking at
Extension Direction: Extend right for forward-looking analysis, left for historical context
What Makes This Original:While Fibonacci indicators are common on TradingView, this script's originality comes from:
Intelligent Two-Stage Detection: Unlike simple high/low finders, this uses a sequential approach (find low first, then find the high that occurred after it), ensuring logical price flow representation
Comprehensive Level Set: Includes 16 levels spanning from retracement to extreme extensions, more than most Fibonacci tools
Top-Down Methodology: Properly implements the traditional Fibonacci retracement convention (high to low) rather than the reverse
Automatic Range Validation: Only draws Fibonacci when both swing points are valid and in the correct temporal order
Dual Extension Options: Separate controls for extending lines left (historical context) and right (forward projection)
Smart Label Positioning: Places percentage labels on the left and price labels on the right for clarity
Visual Swing Confirmation: Diamond markers at swing points help users understand why levels are positioned where they are
Important Considerations:
Historical Nature: Fibonacci retracements are based on past price swings; they don't predict future moves, only suggest potential support/resistance
Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Fibonacci levels work partly because many traders watch them, creating actual support/resistance at those levels
Not All Levels Hold: In strong trends, price may slice through multiple Fibonacci levels without pausing
Context Matters: Fibonacci works best when aligned with other support/resistance (previous highs/lows, moving averages, trendlines)
Volume Confirmation: The most reliable Fibonacci reversals occur with volume spikes at key levels
Dynamic Updates: The levels will redraw as new swing highs/lows form, so don't rely solely on static screenshots
Best Practices:
Don't Trade Blindly: Fibonacci levels are zones, not exact prices. Look for confirmation (candlestick patterns, indicators, volume)
Combine with Price Action: Watch for pin bars, engulfing candles, or doji at key Fibonacci levels
Use Stop Losses: Place stops beyond the next Fibonacci level to give trades room but limit risk
Scale In/Out: Consider entering partial positions at 0.5 and adding more at 0.618 rather than all-in at one level
Check Multiple Timeframes: Daily Fibonacci + 4H Fibonacci convergence = high-probability zone
Respect the 0.618: This golden ratio level is historically the most reliable for reversals
Extensions Need Strong Trends: Don't expect extensions to be hit unless there's clear momentum beyond the swing low
Optimal Timeframes:
Scalping (1-5 minutes): Lookback 20-30, watch 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 only
Day Trading (15m-1H): Lookback 50-100, all retracement levels important
Swing Trading (4H-Daily): Lookback 100-200, focus on 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, and extensions
Position Trading (Daily-Weekly): Lookback 200-500, all levels relevant for long-term planning
Common Fibonacci Trading Mistakes to Avoid:
Wrong Swing Selection: Choosing insignificant swings produces meaningless levels
Premature Entry: Entering as soon as price touches a Fibonacci level without confirmation
Ignoring Trend: Fighting the main trend by buying deep retracements in downtrends
Over-Reliance: Using Fibonacci in isolation without confirming with other technical factors
Static Analysis: Not updating your Fibonacci as market structure evolves
Arbitrary Lookback: Using the same lookback period for all assets and timeframes
Integration with Other Tools:Fibonacci + Moving Averages:
When 0.618 level aligns with 50 or 200 EMA, confluence creates stronger support
Price bouncing from both Fibonacci and MA simultaneously = high-probability trade
Fibonacci + RSI/Stochastic:
Oversold indicators at 0.618 or deeper retracements = strong buy signal
Overbought indicators at swing high (1.0) = potential reversal warning
Fibonacci + Volume Profile:
High-volume nodes aligning with Fibonacci levels create robust support/resistance
Low-volume areas near Fibonacci levels may see rapid price movement through them
Fibonacci + Trendlines:
Fibonacci retracement level + ascending trendline = double support
Breaking both simultaneously confirms trend change
Technical Notes:
Uses ta.lowest() and ta.highest() for efficient swing detection across the lookback period
Implements dynamic line and label arrays for clean redraws without memory leaks
All calculations update in real-time as new bars form
Extension options allow customization without modifying core code
Format.mintick ensures price labels match the symbol's minimum price increment
Tooltip on swing markers shows exact price values for precision
Stochastic RSI - WT Confluence Signal Detectors (TraderDemircan)Description
What This Indicator Does:
This indicator combines two powerful momentum oscillators—WaveTrend and Stochastic RSI—to identify high-probability trading signals through confluence. Instead of relying on a single indicator that may generate false signals, this tool only triggers buy/sell alerts when both oscillators simultaneously confirm extreme market conditions and trend reversals. This confluence approach significantly reduces noise and helps traders focus on the most reliable setups.
Key Features:
Dual-Oscillator Confluence: Generates signals only when both WaveTrend crossovers and Stochastic RSI extreme levels align
Normalized Scale Display: Both oscillators are plotted on a unified -100 to +100 scale for easy visual comparison
Visual Signal Confirmation: Clear intersection points marked with colored circles, plus optional candle coloring at crossover moments
Customizable Thresholds: Adjust overbought/oversold levels for both oscillators to match your trading style and asset volatility
Clean Visual Presentation: Optional area fill showing WaveTrend momentum difference, making divergences easier to spot
How It Works:
The indicator operates on a confluence principle where multiple conditions must align:
For BUY Signals (Green):
WaveTrend 1 crosses above WaveTrend 2 (bullish crossover)
WaveTrend is in oversold territory (below -53 or -60)
Stochastic RSI K-line is below 20 (oversold)
For SELL Signals (Red):
WaveTrend 1 crosses below WaveTrend 2 (bearish crossover)
WaveTrend is in overbought territory (above 53 or 60)
Stochastic RSI K-line is above 80 (overbought)
WaveTrend Component:
Uses the hlc3 price (average of high, low, close) to calculate a channel index that identifies market momentum waves. The two WaveTrend lines (WT1 and WT2) act similarly to MACD, where crossovers indicate momentum shifts. The oscillator ranges from approximately -100 to +100, with extreme values suggesting potential reversals.
Stochastic RSI Component:
Applies stochastic calculations to RSI values rather than raw price, creating a more sensitive momentum indicator. Values above 80 indicate overbought conditions (potential selling opportunity), while values below 20 indicate oversold conditions (potential buying opportunity). The indicator includes both K-line (faster) and D-line (slower, smoothed) for additional confirmation.
Normalization Technology:
To enable direct visual comparison, the Stochastic RSI (normally 0-100 scale) is normalized to match WaveTrend's -100 to +100 scale. This allows traders to see both oscillators' movements in relation to the same reference levels, making divergences and convergences more apparent.
How to Use:
For Trend Traders:
Wait for confluence signals in the direction of the larger trend
Use buy signals in uptrends as entry points during pullbacks
Use sell signals in downtrends as entry points during bounces
For Reversal Traders:
Focus on confluence signals at major support/resistance levels
Look for divergences between price and oscillators before confluence signals
Consider stronger signals when both oscillators reach extreme levels (WT beyond ±60, Stoch beyond 20/80)
For Scalpers:
Lower the WaveTrend Channel Length (default 10) to 5-7 for more frequent signals
Tighten overbought/oversold thresholds slightly (e.g., WT: ±50, Stoch: 30/70)
Use on lower timeframes (5m, 15m) with strict stop losses
Settings Guide:
WaveTrend Parameters:
Channel Length (10): Controls sensitivity. Lower = more signals but more noise. Higher = fewer but more reliable signals
Average Length (21): Smoothing period for WT2. Higher values reduce whipsaws
Overbought Levels (60/53): Two-tier system. Breaching 60 indicates strong overbought, 53 is moderate
Oversold Levels (-60/-53): Mirror of overbought levels for downside extremes
Stochastic RSI Parameters:
K-Smooth (3): Smoothing for the K-line. Higher = smoother but delayed
D-Smooth (3): Additional smoothing for the D-line signal
RSI Period (14): Standard RSI calculation period
Stoch Period (14): Stochastic calculation lookback
Oversold (20) / Overbought (80): Classic thresholds for extreme conditions
Visual Options:
Show WT Difference Area: Displays the momentum difference between WT1 and WT2 as a blue shaded area
Show WT Intersection Points: Marks crossover points with colored circles (red for bearish, green for bullish)
Color Candles at Intersection: Changes candle colors at crossover moments (blue for bearish, yellow for bullish)
Show Stoch Over Signals: Displays when Stochastic RSI breaches extreme levels
What Makes This Original:
While WaveTrend and Stochastic RSI are established indicators, this script's originality lies in:
Confluence Logic: The specific combination requiring simultaneous confirmation from both oscillators in extreme zones, not just simple crossovers
Normalization Approach: Displaying both oscillators on the same -100 to +100 scale for direct visual comparison, which is not standard
Multi-Tier Overbought/Oversold: Using two levels (60/53) instead of one, allowing for nuanced signal strength assessment
Integrated Visual System: Combining area fills, intersection markers, and candle coloring in a coordinated display that shows momentum flow at a glance
Important Considerations:
This is a momentum-based oscillator system, which performs best in ranging or trending markets with clear swings
In strong trending markets, the oscillator may remain in extreme zones for extended periods (remain overbought during strong uptrends, oversold during strong downtrends)
Confluence signals are intentionally rare to maintain quality—expect fewer signals than with single-indicator systems
Always combine with price action analysis, support/resistance levels, and proper risk management
Not recommended for extremely low volatility or thin markets where oscillators may produce erratic readings
Best Timeframes:
Intraday: 15m, 1H (with tighter parameters)
Swing Trading: 4H, Daily (with default parameters)
Position Trading: Daily, Weekly (with extended Channel Length 15-20)
Typical Use Cases:
Identifying exhaustion points in trending markets
Timing entries during pullbacks in established trends
Spotting potential reversal zones at key price levels
Filtering out weak momentum signals during consolidation
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel [BOSWaves]Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel - Adaptive Mean Reversion with Dynamic Equilibrium Geometry
Overview
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel introduces an advanced equilibrium-mapping framework that blends statistical mean reversion with adaptive trend geometry. Traditional channels and regression bands react linearly to volatility, often failing to capture the natural rhythm of price equilibrium. This model evolves that concept through a dynamic reversion engine, where equilibrium adapts continuously to volatility, trend slope, and structural bias - forming a living channel that bends, expands, and contracts in real time.
The result is a smooth, equilibrium-driven representation of market balance - not just trend direction. Instead of static bands or abrupt slope shifts, traders see fluid, volatility-aware motion that mirrors the natural pull-and-release dynamic of market behavior. Each channel visualizes the probabilistic boundaries of fair value, showing where price tends to revert and where it accelerates away from its statistical mean.
Unlike conventional envelopes or Bollinger-type constructs, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck framework is volatility-reactive and equilibrium-sensitive, providing traders with a contextual map of where price is likely to stabilize, extend, or exhaust.
Theoretical Foundation
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel is inspired by stochastic mean-reversion processes - mathematical models used to describe systems that oscillate around a drifting equilibrium. While linear regression channels assume constant variance, financial markets operate under variable volatility and shifting equilibrium points. The OU process accounts for this by treating price as a mean-seeking motion governed by volatility and trend persistence.
At its core are three interacting components:
Equilibrium Mean (μ) : Represents the evolving balance point of price, adjusting to directional bias and volatility.
Reversion Rate (θ) : Defines how strongly price is pulled back toward equilibrium after deviation, capturing the self-correcting nature of market structure.
Volatility Coefficient (σ) : Controls how far and how quickly price can diverge from equilibrium before mean reversion pressure increases.
By embedding this stochastic model inside a volatility-adjusted framework, the system accurately scales across different markets and conditions - maintaining meaningful equilibrium geometry across crypto, forex, indices, or commodities. This design gives traders a mathematically grounded yet visually intuitive interpretation of dynamic balance in live market motion.
How It Works
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel is constructed through a structured multi-stage process that merges stochastic logic with volatility mechanics:
Equilibrium Estimation Core : The indicator begins by identifying the evolving mean using adaptive smoothing influenced by trend direction and volatility. This becomes the live centerline - the statistical anchor around which price naturally oscillates.
Volatility Normalization Layer : ATR or rolling deviation is used to calculate volatility intensity. The output scales the channel width dynamically, ensuring that boundaries reflect current variance rather than static thresholds.
Directional Bias Engine : EMA slope and trend confirmation logic determine whether equilibrium should tilt upward or downward. This creates asymmetrical channel motion that bends with the prevailing trend rather than staying horizontal.
Channel Boundary Construction : Upper and lower bands are plotted at volatility-proportional distances from the mean. These envelopes form the “statistical pressure zones” that indicate where mean reversion or acceleration may occur.
Signal and Lifecycle Control : Channel breaches, mean crossovers, and slope flips mark statistically significant events - exhaustion, continuation, or rebalancing. Older equilibrium zones gradually fade, ensuring a clear, context-aware visual field.
Through these layers, the channel forms a continuously updating equilibrium corridor that adapts in real time - breathing with the market’s volatility and rhythm.
Interpretation
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel reframes how traders interpret balance and momentum. Instead of viewing price as directional movement alone, it visualizes the constant tension between trending force and equilibrium pull.
Uptrend Phases : The equilibrium mean tilts upward, with price oscillating around or slightly above the midline. Upper band touches signal momentum extension; lower touches reflect healthy reversion.
Downtrend Phases : The mean slopes downward, with upper-band interactions marking resistance zones and lower bands acting as reversion boundaries.
Equilibrium Transitions : Flat mean sections indicate balance or distribution phases. Breaks from these neutral zones often precede directional expansion.
Overextension Events : When price closes beyond an outer boundary, it marks statistically significant disequilibrium - an early warning of exhaustion or volatility reset.
Visually, the OU channel translates volatility and equilibrium into structured geometry, giving traders a statistical lens on trend quality, reversion probability, and volatility stress points.
Strategy Integration
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel integrates seamlessly into both mean-reversion and trend-continuation systems:
Trend Alignment : Use mean slope direction to confirm higher-timeframe bias before entering continuation setups.
Reversion Entries : Target rejections from outer bands when supported by volume or divergence, capturing snapbacks toward equilibrium.
Volatility Breakout Mapping : Monitor boundary expansions to identify transition from compression to expansion phases.
Liquidity Zone Confirmation : Combine with BOS or order-block indicators to validate structural zones against equilibrium positioning.
Momentum Filtering : Align with oscillators or volume profiles to isolate equilibrium-based pullbacks with statistical context.
Technical Implementation Details
Core Engine : Stochastic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for continuous mean recalibration.
Volatility Framework : ATR- and deviation-based scaling for dynamic channel expansion.
Directional Logic : EMA-slope driven bias for adaptive mean tilt.
Channel Composition : Independent upper and lower envelopes with smoothing and transparency control.
Signal Structure : Alerts for mean crossovers and boundary breaches.
Performance Profile : Lightweight, multi-timeframe compatible implementation optimized for real-time responsiveness.
Optimal Application Parameters
Timeframe Guidance:
1 - 5 min : Reactive equilibrium tracking for short-term scalping and microstructure analysis.
15 - 60 min : Medium-range setups for volatility-phase transitions and intraday structure.
4H - Daily : Macro equilibrium mapping for identifying exhaustion, distribution, or reaccumulation zones.
Suggested Configuration:
Mean Length : 20 - 50
Volatility Multiplier : 1.5× - 2.5×
Reversion Sensitivity : 0.4 - 0.8
Smoothing : 2 - 5
Parameter tuning should reflect asset liquidity, volatility, and desired reversion frequency.
Performance Characteristics
High Effectiveness:
Trending environments with cyclical pullbacks and volatility oscillation.
Markets exhibiting consistent equilibrium-return behavior (indices, majors, high-cap crypto).
Reduced Effectiveness:
Low-volatility consolidations with minimal variance.
Random walk markets lacking definable equilibrium anchors.
Integration Guidelines
Confluence Framework : Pair with BOSWaves structural tools or momentum oscillators for context validation.
Directional Control : Follow mean slope alignment for directional conviction before acting on channel extremes.
Risk Calibration : Use outer band violations for controlled contrarian entries or trailing stop management.
Multi-Timeframe Synergy : Derive macro equilibrium zones on higher timeframes and refine entries on lower levels.
Disclaimer
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Trend Channel is a professional-grade equilibrium and volatility framework. It is not predictive or profit-assured; performance depends on parameter calibration, volatility regime, and disciplined execution. BOSWaves recommends using it as part of a comprehensive analytical stack combining structure, liquidity, and momentum context.
Bollinger Bands with 4 Moving AveragesCombines Bollinger Bands (BB) with up to four optional Moving Averages (MA) to read volatility, trend direction, and dynamic support–resistance in one overlay.
How It Works
BB: basis = MA(length, type) with standard deviation mult. upper = basis + dev, lower = basis − dev.
MA1–MA4: additional averages you can toggle (default only MA4/200 enabled).
Key Features
Flexible basis MA type for BB: SMA / EMA / RMA (Wilder) / WMA / VWMA.
Four optional MAs with independent length, color, and width (defaults: 7, 25, 99, 200; only 200 on by default).
Offset to shift BB for visual testing.
Overlay on price with shaded band between Upper–Lower.
Inputs & Defaults
BB Length = 20, StdDev = 2.0, Source = close.
Basis MA Type = SMA.
MA4 active (200), MA1–MA3 off (7/25/99 ready).
Offset = 0.
Practical Use
Use BB for volatility context: squeeze → potential breakout; expansion → strong trend.
Treat Basis / Upper / Lower as dynamic levels:
Pullbacks to Basis often become decision zones in trends.
Upper/Lower touches = relative extremes.
Add MA4(200) for primary bias; enable MA1–MA3 for finer timing.
Typical behavior:
Price > MA200 and rising basis → bullish bias; watch pullbacks to basis/MA25-like zones.
Price < MA200 and falling basis → bearish bias; watch rejections at basis/MAs.
Common Signals (not financial advice)
Breakout + BB expansion confirms momentum.
Squeeze + basis break can preface volatility expansion.
Confluence: Lower touch + fast MA in uptrends → mean-reversion setups; inverse for downtrends.
Notes
MA1–MA4 are SMA in the code; BB basis follows the selected MA type.
Test across timeframes; tune length and mult to the asset.
Disclaimer
Visual tool only. Combine with risk management, multi-timeframe confirmation, and a tested plan.
Day Trader Trend & Triggers + Mini-Meter — v6**Day Trader Trend & Triggers — Intraday**
A fast, intraday trend and entry tool designed for **1m–15m charts**. It identifies **strong up/down trends** using:
* **MA ribbon:** EMA9 > EMA21 > EMA50 (or inverse) for directional bias.
* **Momentum:** RSI(50-line) and MACD histogram flips.
* **Volume & VWAP:** only confirms when volume expands above SMA(20) and price is above/below VWAP.
* **Higher-TF bias filter (optional):** e.g., align 1m/5m signals with the 15m trend.
When all align, the background highlights and the mini-meter shows UP/DOWN.
It also plots **entries**:
* **Pullbacks** to EMA21/EMA50 with a MACD re-cross,
* **Breakouts** of recent highs/lows on strong volume.
Built-in **alerts** for trend flips, pullbacks, and breakouts let you trade hands-off.
Best used on **5m for active day trades**, with 1m/3m for scalping and 15m for cleaner intraday swings.
Day Trader Trend & Triggers — v6**Day Trader Trend & Triggers — Intraday**
A fast, intraday trend and entry tool designed for **1m–15m charts**. It identifies **strong up/down trends** using:
* **MA ribbon:** EMA9 > EMA21 > EMA50 (or inverse) for directional bias.
* **Momentum:** RSI(50-line) and MACD histogram flips.
* **Volume & VWAP:** only confirms when volume expands above SMA(20) and price is above/below VWAP.
* **Higher-TF bias filter (optional):** e.g., align 1m/5m signals with the 15m trend.
When all align, the background highlights and the mini-meter shows UP/DOWN.
It also plots **entries**:
* **Pullbacks** to EMA21/EMA50 with a MACD re-cross,
* **Breakouts** of recent highs/lows on strong volume.
Built-in **alerts** for trend flips, pullbacks, and breakouts let you trade hands-off.
Best used on **5m for active day trades**, with 1m/3m for scalping and 15m for cleaner intraday swings.
Deadband Hysteresis Supertrend [BackQuant]Deadband Hysteresis Supertrend
A two-stage trend tool that first filters price with a deadband baseline, then runs a Supertrend around that baseline with optional flip hysteresis and ATR-based adverse exits.
What this is
A hybrid of two ideas:
Deadband Hysteresis Baseline that only advances when price pulls far enough from the baseline to matter. This suppresses micro noise and gives you a stable centerline.
Supertrend bands wrapped around that baseline instead of raw price. Flips are further gated by an extra margin so side changes are more deliberate.
The goal is fewer whipsaws in chop and clearer regime identification during trends.
How it works (high level)
Deadband step — compute a per-bar “deadband” size from one of four modes: ATR, Percent of price, Ticks, or Points. If price deviates from the baseline by more than this amount, move the baseline forward by a fraction of the excess. If not, hold the line.
Centered Supertrend — build upper and lower bands around the baseline using ATR and a user factor. Track the usual trailing logic that tightens a band while price moves in its favor.
Flip hysteresis — require price to exceed the active band by an extra flip offset × ATR before switching sides. This adds stickiness at the boundary.
Adverse exit — once a side is taken, trigger an exit if price moves against the entry by K × ATR .
If you would like to check out the filter by itself:
What it plots
DBHF baseline (optional) as a smooth centerline.
DBHF Supertrend as the active trailing band.
Candle coloring by trend side for quick read.
Signal markers 𝕃 and 𝕊 at flips plus ✖ on adverse exits.
Inputs that matter
Price Source — series being filtered. Close is typical. HL2 or HLC3 can be steadier.
Deadband mode — ATR, Percent, Ticks, or Points. This defines the “it’s big enough to matter” zone.
ATR Length / Mult (DBHF) — only used when mode = ATR. Larger values widen the do-nothing zone.
Percent / Ticks / Points — alternatives to ATR; pick what fits your market’s convention.
Enter Mult — scales the deadband you must clear before the baseline moves. Increase to filter more noise.
Response — fraction of the excess applied to baseline movement. Higher responds faster; lower is smoother.
Supertrend ATR Period & Factor — traditional band size controls; higher factor widens and flips less often.
Flip Offset ATR — extra ATR buffer required to flip. Useful in choppy regimes.
Adverse Stop K·ATR — per-trade danger brake that forces an exit if price moves K×ATR against entry.
UI — toggle baseline, supertrend, signals, and bar painting; choose long and short colors.
How to read it
Green regime — candles painted long and the Supertrend running below price. Pullbacks toward the baseline that fail to breach the opposite band often resume higher.
Red regime — candles painted short and the Supertrend running above price. Rallies that cannot reclaim the band may roll over.
Frequent side swaps — reduce sensitivity by increasing Enter Mult, using ATR mode, raising the Supertrend factor, or adding Flip Offset ATR.
Use cases
Bias filter — allow entries only in the direction of the current side. Use your preferred triggers inside that bias.
Trailing logic — treat the active band as a dynamic stop. If the side flips or an adverse K·ATR exit prints, reduce or close exposure.
Regime map — on higher timeframes, the combination baseline + band produces a clean up vs down template for allocation decisions.
Tuning guidance
Fast markets — ATR deadband, modest Enter Mult (0.8–1.2), response 0.2–0.35, Supertrend factor 1.7–2.2, small Flip Offset (0.2–0.5 ATR).
Choppy ranges — widen deadband or raise Enter Mult, lower response, and add more Flip Offset so flips require stronger evidence.
Slow trends — longer ATR periods and higher Supertrend factor to keep you on side longer; use a conservative adverse K.
Included alerts
DBHF ST Long — side flips to long.
DBHF ST Short — side flips to short.
Adverse Exit Long / Short — K·ATR stop triggers against the current side.
Strengths
Deadbanded baseline reduces micro whipsaws before Supertrend logic even begins.
Flip hysteresis adds a second layer of confirmation at the boundary.
Optional adverse ATR stop provides a uniform risk cut across assets and regimes.
Clear visuals and minimal parameters to adjust for symbol behavior.
Putting it together
Think of this tool as two decisions layered into one view. The deadband baseline answers “does this move even count,” then the Supertrend wrapped around that baseline answers “if it counts, which side should I be on and where do I flip.” When both parts agree you tend to stay on the correct side of a trend for longer, and when they disagree you get an early warning that conditions are changing.
When the baseline bends and price cannot reclaim the opposite band , momentum is usually continuing. Pullbacks into the baseline that stall before the far band often resolve in trend.
When the baseline flattens and the bands compress , expect indecision. Use the Flip Offset ATR to avoid reacting to the first feint. Wait for a clean band breach with follow through.
When an adverse K·ATR exit prints while the side has not flipped , treat it as a risk event rather than a full regime change. Many users cut size, re-enter only if the side reasserts, and let the next flip confirm a new trend.
Final thoughts
Deadband Hysteresis Supertrend is best read as a regime lens. The baseline defines your tolerance for noise, the bands define your trailing structure, and the flip offset plus adverse ATR stop define how forgiving or strict you want to be at the boundary. On strong trends it helps you hold through shallow shakeouts. In choppy conditions it encourages patience until price does something meaningful. Start with settings that reflect the cadence of your market, observe how often flips occur, then nudge the deadband and flip offset until the tool spends most of its time describing the move you care about rather than the noise in between.
Trend Score with Dynamic Stop Loss HTF
How the Trend Score System Works
This indicator uses a Trend Score (TS) to measure price momentum over time. It tracks whether price is breaking higher or lower, then sums these moves into a cumulative score to define trend direction.
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1. Trend Score (+1 / -1 Mechanism)
On each new bar:
• +1 point: if the current bar breaks the previous bar’s high.
• −1 point: if the current bar breaks the previous bar’s low.
• If both happen in the same bar, they cancel each other out.
• If neither happens, the score does not change.
This creates a simple running measure of bullish vs bearish pressure.
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2. Cumulative Trend Score
The Trend Score is cumulative, meaning each new +1 or -1 is added to the total score, building a continuous count.
• Rising scores = buyers are consistently pushing price to higher highs.
• Falling scores = sellers are consistently pushing price to lower lows.
This smooths out noise and helps identify persistent momentum rather than single-bar spikes.
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3. Trend Flip Trigger (default = 3)
A trend flip occurs when the cumulative Trend Score changes by 3 points (default setting) in the opposite direction of the current trend.
• Bullish Flip:
• Cumulative TS rises 3 points from its most recent low pivot.
• Marks a potential start of a new uptrend.
• A bullish stop-loss (SL) is set at the most recent swing low.
• Bearish Flip:
• Cumulative TS falls 3 points from its most recent high pivot.
• Marks a potential start of a new downtrend.
• A bearish SL is set at the most recent swing high.
Example:
• TS is at -2, then climbs to +1.
• That’s a +3 change, triggering a bullish flip.
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4. Visual Summary
• Green background: Active bullish trend.
• Red background: Active bearish trend.
• ▲ Triangle Up: A bullish flip occurred this bar.
• Stop Loss Line: Shows the structural low used for risk management.
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Why This Matters
The Trend Score measures trend pressure simply and objectively:
• +1 / -1 mechanics track real price behavior (breakouts of highs and lows).
• Cumulative changes of 3 points act like a momentum filter, ignoring small reversals.
• This helps you see true regime shifts on higher timeframes, which is especially useful for swing trades and investing decisions.
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Key Takeaways
• Only flips after meaningful swings: prevents overreacting to single-bar noise.
• SL shows invalidation point: helps you know where a trend thesis fails.
• Works best on Daily or Weekly charts: for smoother, more reliable signals. Using Trend Score for Long-Term Investing
This indicator is designed to support decision-making for higher timeframe investing, such as swing trades, multi-month positions, or even multi-year holds.
It helps you:
• Identify major bullish regimes.
• Decide when to add to winning positions (DCA up).
• Know when to pause buying or consider trimming during weak periods.
• Stay disciplined while holding long-term winners.
Important Note:
These are suggestions for context. Always combine them with your own analysis, portfolio allocation rules, and risk tolerance.
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1. Start With the Higher Timeframe
• Use Weekly charts for a broad investing view.
• Use Daily charts only for fine-tuning entry points or deciding when to add.
• A Bullish Flip on Weekly suggests the market may be entering a major uptrend.
• If Weekly is bullish and Daily also turns bullish, it’s extra confirmation of strength.
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2. Building a Position with DCA
Goal: Grow your position gradually during strong bullish regimes while staying aware of risk.
A. Initial Buy
• Start with a small initial allocation when a Bullish Flip appears on Weekly or Daily.
• This is just a starter position to get exposure while the new trend develops.
B. Adding Through Strength (DCA Up)
• Consider adding during pullbacks, as long as price stays above the active SL line.
• Each add should be smaller or equal to your first buy.
• Spread out adds over time or price levels, instead of going all-in at once.
C. Pause Buying When:
• Price approaches or touches the SL level (trend invalidation).
• A Bearish Flip appears on Weekly or Daily — this signals potential weakness.
• Your total position size reaches your maximum allocation limit for that asset.
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3. Holding Winners
When a position grows in profit:
• Stay in the trend as long as the Weekly regime remains bullish.
• The indicator’s green background acts as a reminder to hold, not panic sell.
• Use the SL bubble to monitor where the trend could potentially break.
• Avoid selling just because of small pullbacks — focus on big-picture trend health.
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4. Taking Partial Profits
While this tool is designed to help hold long-term winners, there may be times to lighten risk:
• After large, rapid moves far above the SL, consider trimming a small portion of your position.
• When MFE (Maximum Favorable Excursion) in the table reaches unusually high levels, it may signal overextension.
• If the Weekly chart turns Neutral or Bearish, you can gradually reduce exposure while waiting for the next Bullish Flip.
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5. Using the Stop Loss Line for Awareness
The Dynamic SL line represents a structural level that, if broken, may suggest the bullish trend is weakening.
How to think about it:
• Above SL: Market remains structurally healthy — continue holding or adding gradually.
• Close to SL: Pause adds. Be cautious and consider tightening your risk.
• Below SL: Treat this as a potential signal to reassess your position, especially if the break is confirmed on Weekly.
The SL is not a hard stop — it’s a visual guide to help you manage expectations.
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6. Example Use Case
Imagine you are investing in a growth stock:
• Weekly Bullish Flip: You open a small starter position.
• Price pulls back slightly but stays above SL: You add a second, smaller tranche.
• Trend continues up for months: You hold and stop adding once your desired allocation is reached.
• Price doubles: You trim 10–20% to lock some profits, but continue holding the majority.
• Price later dips below SL: You slow down, reassess, and decide whether to reduce exposure.
This keeps you:
• Participating in major uptrends.
• Avoiding overcommitment during weak phases.
• Making adjustments gradually, not emotionally.
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7. Suggested Workflow
1. Check Weekly chart → is it Bullish?
2. If yes, review Daily chart to fine-tune entry or adds.
3. Build exposure gradually while Weekly remains bullish.
4. Watch SL bubbles as awareness points for risk management.
5. Use partial trims during big rallies, but avoid exiting entirely too soon.
6. Reassess if Weekly turns Neutral or Bearish.
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Key Takeaways
• Use this as a compass, not a command system.
• Weekly flips = big picture direction.
• Daily flips = timing and precision.
• Add gradually (DCA) while above SL, pause near SL, reassess below SL.
• Hold winners as long as Weekly remains bullish.
Elite MA Trend Overlay [9/21/50/200 + VWAP + HMA]🔍 What It Is:
The Elite MA Trend Overlay is a professional-grade moving average system built for day traders, scalpers, and swing traders who need clear, visual trend confirmation and precise entry zones across all timeframes.
This overlay combines 5 industry-proven tools into one compact indicator for sniper-level decision making:
EMA 9 – Entry momentum
EMA 21 – Microstructure guide
EMA 50 – Trend bias filter
EMA 200 – Institutional macro direction
VWAP – Intraday fair value (used by pros)
Hull MA (HMA) – Early shift detector
It also features auto-detected trend zones using color-coded background shading to help you instantly know if the market is in a bullish or bearish regime.
🧠 How It Works:
The script dynamically plots the short-term to long-term moving averages to reflect real-time market structure. When all EMAs are aligned in one direction, a colored background highlights the dominant trend:
✅ Green background = Bullish trend (9 > 21 > 50 > 200)
🔻 Red background = Bearish trend (9 < 21 < 50 < 200)
The VWAP line acts as a magnet and decision zone—traders use it for intraday entries or exits. The Hull Moving Average adapts quickly to price shifts, making it perfect for spotting early reversals before the EMAs cross.
🎯 Why It Helps Traders Succeed:
This indicator:
Removes guesswork: Know instantly if you’re in a strong trend or chop zone.
Filters bad trades: Avoid entering against structure or into volatility traps.
Improves timing: Use pullbacks to EMAs or Hull MA flips for sniper entries.
Works across timeframes: From scalping 1-minute to swing trading daily charts.
Whether you're trading gold, forex, stocks, or crypto — this overlay gives you clean, professional structure that keeps you disciplined and sharp.
⚙️ Features:
On/off toggles for VWAP & Hull MA
Minimalist, clutter-free plotting
Auto background color zones
Supports Pine Script v6 (latest version)
👑 Recommended Use:
Confirm trend with background + EMA alignment
Enter on pullbacks to EMA 21 or 50
Use Hull MA or RSI for early reversal detection
Exit at VWAP reversion or trend exhaustion
💬 “Structure is everything. Trade with the flow, not against it.”
