Camarilla D/W/M, Alerts, TP/SL, ADX, EMA, Volume# Camarilla Levels Pro - Advanced Trading Indicator
## 📊 **Overview**
A sophisticated Camarilla levels indicator with multiple timeframe support, advanced filtering, and comprehensive trading statistics. Designed for professional traders seeking precise entry/exit points with robust risk management.
## 🎯 **Key Features**
### **Multi-Timeframe Camarilla Levels**
- **D/W/M Timeframes**: Calculate levels from Daily, Weekly, or Monthly data
- **Accurate Calculations**: Uses previous period's High, Low, Close for precise level calculation
- **6 Key Levels**: H3, H4, H5 (Resistance) and L3, L4, L5 (Support)
### **Advanced Entry Signals**
- **4 Trading Scenarios**:
- LONG 1: Price crosses above H4 with stop at H3, target at H5
- LONG 2: Price crosses above L3 with stop at L4, target at H3
- SHORT 1: Price crosses below L4 with stop at L3, target at L5
- SHORT 2: Price crosses below H3 with stop at H4, target at L3
### **Smart Filtering System**
- **ADX Filter**: Confirms trend strength (configurable threshold)
- **Volume Filter**: Ensures significant volume participation
- **EMA Filter**: Aligns with trend direction (50-period default)
- **Flexible Combination**: Use any combination of filters
### **Non-Repainting Signals**
- **Signal Protection**: Once triggered, signals don't disappear or repaint
- **Executed Signal Tracking**: Historical record of all filled positions
- **Visual Confirmation**: Clear distinction between potential and executed trades
### **Comprehensive Alert System**
- **Entry Alerts**: Buy/Sell signals with level information
- **Exit Alerts**: TP/SL notifications with profit/loss data
- **Customizable**: Set alerts for specific conditions only
### **Professional Risk Management**
- **Auto TP/SL**: Automatic take-profit and stop-loss levels
- **Position Tracking**: Monitors active trades with real-time P/L
- **Single Position**: Prevents over-trading with one active position rule
### **Advanced Statistics**
- **Trade Analytics**: Total trades, win rate, profitability
- **Performance Metrics**: Total profit %, average trade performance
- **Real-time Monitoring**: Current position status and filter status
- **Visual Table**: Clean statistics display in corner
## ⚙️ **Customization Options**
### **Display Settings**
- Toggle level labels, signals, TP/SL markers, and statistics
- Adjust visual styles and sizes for clarity
- Right-positioned labels to avoid chart clutter
### **Filter Configuration**
- **ADX**: Length (14) and threshold (20) settings
- **Volume**: Period (20) and multiplier (1.2x) adjustment
- **EMA**: Customizable period (50 default)
### **Timeframe Selection**
- Daily levels for intraday trading
- Weekly levels for swing trading
- Monthly levels for position trading
## 📈 **Trading Strategy**
### **Entry Logic**
1. **Breakout Confirmation**: Price must cross and hold beyond level
2. **Filter Validation**: All active filters must pass conditions
3. **Single Position**: No new entries while position is active
### **Exit Logic**
- **Take Profit**: Automatic at calculated target levels
- **Stop Loss**: Automatic at calculated risk levels
- **Visual Feedback**: Green circles for TP, Red X for SL
### **Risk Management**
- Pre-defined risk/reward ratios based on Camarilla mathematics
- No pyramiding or multiple position risks
- Clear visual tracking of active trade parameters
## 🎨 **Visual Features**
- **Clean Level Display**: Gray circles for unobtrusive level marking
- **Signal Markers**: Tiny triangles for executed entries
- **Exit Markers**: Tiny circles (TP) and X (SL) for clear exits
- **Statistics Table**: Professional performance monitoring
- **Right-Aligned Labels**: Prevents chart congestion
## 🔔 **Alert Conditions**
- **Buy Signals**: LONG 1 or LONG 2 conditions met
- **Sell Signals**: SHORT 1 or SHORT 2 conditions met
- **Exit Alerts**: TP or SL hit for both long and short positions
## 💡 **Professional Use Cases**
- **Day Trading**: Use Daily levels with volume filter
- **Swing Trading**: Use Weekly levels with ADX trend confirmation
- **Position Trading**: Use Monthly levels with EMA trend alignment
- **Strategy Testing**: Comprehensive statistics for backtesting
This indicator provides institutional-grade Camarilla analysis with professional risk management tools, making it suitable for traders of all experience levels seeking systematic trading approaches with clear entry/exit rules.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "swing trading"
Relative Volume (Multi-TF, D, W, M)Relative Volume (Multi-TF, Candle-Matched Colors)
This indicator measures Relative Volume (RVOL) — the ratio of current volume to average historical volume — across any higher timeframe (Daily, Weekly, or Monthly) and displays it as color-coded columns that match the candle colors of the chart you’re viewing.
RVOL reveals how active today’s market participation is compared to its typical rhythm.
RVOL = 1.0 → normal volume
>1.5 → rising interest
>2.0–3.0 → strong institutional participation
>5.0 → climax or exhaustion levels
Features
Works on any chart timeframe while computing RVOL from your chosen higher timeframe (e.g., show Daily RVOL while trading on a 5-minute chart).
Column colors automatically match your chart’s candle colors (green/red/neutral).
Adjustable lookback period (len) and selectable source timeframe (D, W, or M).
Pre-drawn horizontal guide levels at 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, 2, 3, and 5 for quick interpretation.
Compatible with all chart types, including Heikin Ashi or custom color schemes.
Typical Use
Swing trading:
Look for quiet bases where RVOL stays 0.4–0.9, then expansion ≥2 on breakout days.
Confirm follow-through when green days keep RVOL ≥1.2–1.5 and red pullbacks stay below 1.0.
Day trading:
Watch intraday RVOL (on 1–5m charts) for bursts ≥2 that sustain for several bars — this signals crowd engagement and valid momentum.
Interpretation Summary
RVOL Value Meaning Typical Action
0.4–0.9 Quiet base / low interest Watch for setup
1.0 Normal activity Neutral
1.2–1.5 Valid participation Early confirmation
2–3 Strong expansion Momentum / breakout
≥5 Climax / exhaustion Take profits or avoid new entries
Author’s note:
RVOL isn’t directional; it tells how many players are active, not who’s winning. Combine it with structure (levels, VWAP, or trend) to see when the market crowd truly commits.
Curvature Tensor Pivots🌀 Curvature Tensor Pivots
Curvature Tensor Pivots: Geometric Pivot Detection Through Differential Geometry
Curvature Tensor Pivots applies mathematical differential geometry to market price analysis, identifying pivots by measuring how price trajectories bend through space. Unlike traditional pivot indicators that rely solely on price highs and lows, this system calculates the actual geometric curvature of price paths and detects inflection points where the curvature changes sign or magnitude—the mathematical hallmarks of directional transitions.
The indicator combines three components: precise curvature measurement using second-derivative calculus, tensor weighting that multiplies curvature by volatility and momentum, and a tension-based prediction system that identifies compression before pivots form. This creates a forward-looking pivot detector with built-in confirmation mechanics.
What Makes This Original
Pure Mathematical Foundation
This indicator implements the classical differential geometry curvature formula κ = |y''| / (1 + y'²)^(3/2), which measures how sharply a curve bends at any given point. In price analysis, high curvature indicates sharp directional changes (active pivots), while curvature approaching zero indicates straight-line motion (inflection points forming). This mathematical approach is fundamentally different from pattern recognition or statistical pivots—it measures the actual geometry of price movement.
Tensor Weighting System
The core innovation is the tensor scoring mechanism, which multiplies geometric curvature by two market-state variables: volatility (ATR expansion/compression) and momentum (rate of change strength). This creates a multi-dimensional strength metric that distinguishes between meaningful pivots and noise. A high tensor score means high curvature is occurring during significant volatility with strong momentum—a genuine structural turning point. Low tensor scores during high curvature indicate choppy, low-conviction moves.
Tension-Based Prediction
The system calculates tension as the inverse of curvature (Tension = 1 - κ). When curvature is low, tension is high, indicating price is moving in a straight line and approaching an inflection point where it must curve. The tension cloud visualizes this compression, tightening before pivots form and expanding after they complete. This provides anticipatory signals rather than purely reactive confirmation.
Integrated Confirmation Architecture
Rather than simply flagging high curvature, the system requires convergence of four elements: geometric inflection detection (sign changes in second derivative or curvature extrema), traditional price structure pivots (pivot highs/lows), tensor strength above threshold, and minimum spacing between signals. This multi-layer confirmation prevents false signals while maintaining sensitivity to genuine turning points.
This is not a combination of existing indicators—it's an application of pure mathematical concepts (differential calculus and tensor algebra) to market geometry, creating a unique analytical framework.
Core Components and How They Work Together
1. Differential Geometry Engine
The foundation is calculus-based trajectory analysis. The system treats price as a function y(t) and calculates:
First derivative (y'): The slope of the price trajectory, representing directional velocity
Second derivative (y''): The acceleration of slope change, representing how quickly direction is shifting
Curvature (κ): The normalized geometric bend, calculated using the formula κ = |y''| / (1 + y'²)^(3/2)
This curvature value is then normalized to a 0-1 range using adaptive statistical bounds (mean ± 2 standard deviations over a rolling window). High κ values indicate sharp bends (active pivots), while κ approaching zero indicates inflection points where the trajectory is straightening before changing concavity.
2. Tensor Weighting Components
The raw curvature is weighted by market dynamics to create the tensor score:
Volatility Component: Calculated as current ATR divided by baseline ATR (smoothed average). Values above 1.0 indicate expansion (higher conviction moves), while values below 1.0 indicate compression (lower reliability). This ensures pivots forming during volatile periods receive higher scores than those in quiet conditions.
Momentum Component: Measured using rate of change (ROC) strength normalized by recent average. High momentum indicates sustained directional pressure, confirming that curvature changes represent genuine trend shifts rather than noise.
Tensor Score Fusion: The final tensor score = κ × Volatility × Momentum × Direction × Gain. This creates a directional strength metric ranging from -1 (strong bearish curvature) to +1 (strong bullish curvature). The magnitude represents conviction, while the sign represents direction.
These components work together by filtering geometric signals through market-state context. A high curvature reading during low volatility and weak momentum produces a low tensor score (likely noise), while the same curvature during expansion and strong momentum produces a high tensor score (likely genuine pivot).
3. Inflection Point Detection System
Inflection points occur where the second derivative changes sign (concave to convex or vice versa) or where curvature reaches local extrema. The system detects these through multiple methods:
Sign change detection: When y'' crosses zero, the price trajectory is transitioning from curving upward to downward (or vice versa)
Curvature extrema: When κ reaches a local maximum or minimum, indicating peak bend intensity
Near-zero curvature: When κ falls below an adaptive threshold, indicating straight-line motion before a directional change
These geometric signals are combined with traditional pivot detection (pivot highs and lows using configurable lookback/lookahead periods) to create confirmed inflection zones. The geometric math identifies WHERE inflections are forming, while price structure confirms WHEN they've completed.
4. Tension Cloud Prediction
Tension is calculated as 1 - κ, creating an inverse relationship where low curvature produces high tension. This represents the "straightness" of price trajectory—when price moves in a straight line, it's building tension that must eventually release through a curved pivot.
The tension cloud width adapts to this tension value: it tightens (narrows) when curvature is low and tension is high, providing visual warning that a pivot is forming. After the pivot completes and curvature increases, tension drops and the cloud expands, confirming the turn.
This creates a leading indicator component within the system: watch for the cloud to compress, then wait for the pivot marker and tensor direction confirmation to enter trades.
5. Multi-Layer Visualization System
The visual components work hierarchically:
Curvature ribbons (foundation): Width expands with curvature magnitude, color shifts with tensor direction (green bullish, red bearish)
Tension cloud (prediction): Purple overlay that compresses before pivots and expands after
Tensor waves (context): Harmonic oscillating layers driven by three phase accumulators (curvature, tensor magnitude, volatility), creating visual texture that becomes erratic before pivots and smooth during trends
Inflection zones (timing): Golden background highlighting when geometric conditions indicate inflection points forming
Pivot markers (confirmation): Triangles marking confirmed pivots where geometric inflection + price structure + tensor strength all align
Each layer adds information without redundancy: ribbons show current state, tension shows prediction, waves show regime character, zones show geometric timing, and markers show confirmed entries.
Calculation Methodology
Phase 1 - Derivative Calculations
Price is normalized by dividing by a 50-period moving average to improve numerical stability. The first derivative is calculated as the bar-to-bar change, then smoothed using a configurable smoothing length (default 3 bars) to reduce noise while preserving structure.
The second derivative is calculated as the bar-to-bar change in the first derivative, also smoothed. This represents the acceleration of directional change—positive values indicate price is curving upward (concave up), negative values indicate curving downward (concave down).
Phase 2 - Curvature Formula
The classical curvature formula is applied:
Calculate y'² (first derivative squared)
Calculate (1 + y'²)^1.5 as the denominator
Divide |y''| by this denominator to get raw curvature κ
This formula ensures curvature is properly normalized regardless of the steepness of the trajectory. A vertical line with high slope (large y') can still have low curvature (straight), while a gradual slope with changing direction produces high curvature (curved).
The raw curvature is then normalized to 0-1 range using adaptive bounds (rolling mean ± 2 standard deviations), allowing the system to adapt to different market volatility regimes.
Phase 3 - Tensor Weighting
ATR is calculated over the specified volatility length (default 14). Current ATR is divided by smoothed ATR to create the volatility ratio. Momentum is calculated as the rate of change over the momentum length (default 10), normalized by recent average ROC.
The tensor score is computed as: Curvature × Volatility × Momentum × Tensor Gain × Direction Sign
This creates the final directional strength metric used for ribbon coloring and signal generation.
Phase 4 - Inflection Detection
Multiple conditions are evaluated simultaneously:
Second derivative sign changes (y'' × y'' < 0)
Curvature local maxima (previous bar κ > current bar κ AND previous bar κ > two bars ago κ)
Curvature local minima (opposite condition)
Low curvature threshold (current κ < adaptive threshold)
Any of these conditions triggers inflection zone highlighting. For confirmed pivot signals, inflection detection must coincide with traditional pivot highs/lows AND tensor magnitude must exceed threshold AND minimum spacing since last signal must be satisfied.
Phase 5 - Tension Calculation
Tension = 1 - κ (smoothed)
This inverse relationship creates the compression/expansion dynamic. When curvature approaches zero (straight trajectory), tension approaches 1 (maximum compression). When curvature is high (sharp bend), tension approaches zero (released).
The tension cloud bands are calculated as: Basis ± (Ribbon Width × Tension)
This creates the visual tightening effect before pivots.
Phase 6 - Wave Generation
Three phase accumulators are maintained:
Phase 1: Accumulates based on curvature magnitude (0.1 × κ per bar)
Phase 2: Accumulates based on tensor magnitude (0.15 × tensor per bar)
Phase 3: Accumulates based on volatility (0.08 × volatility per bar)
For each wave layer (2-8 configurable), a unique frequency is used (layer number × 0.6). The wave offset is calculated as:
Amplitude × (sin(phase1 × frequency) × 0.4 + sin(phase2 × frequency × 1.2) × 0.35 + sin(phase3 × frequency × 0.8) × 0.25)
This creates complex harmonic motion that reflects the interplay of curvature, strength, and volatility. When these components are aligned, waves are smooth; when misaligned (pre-pivot conditions), waves become chaotic.
All calculations are deterministic and execute on closed bars only—there is no repainting.
How to Use This Indicator
Setup and Configuration
Apply the indicator to your chart with default settings initially
Enable the main dashboard (top right recommended) to monitor curvature, tensor, and tension metrics in real-time
Enable the curvature matrix (bottom right) to see historical patterns in the heatmap
Choose your ribbon mode: "Dual Ribbon" shows both bullish and bearish zones, "Tension Cloud" emphasizes the compression zones
For your first session, observe how the tension cloud behaves before confirmed pivots—you'll notice it consistently tightens (narrows) before pivot markers appear, then expands after.
Signal Interpretation
High Pivot (Bearish) - Red triangle above price:
Occurs when price makes a pivot high (local maximum)
Second derivative is negative (concave down curvature)
Tensor magnitude exceeds threshold (strong confirmation)
Minimum spacing requirement met (noise filter)
Interpretation: A confirmed bearish inflection point has formed. Price trajectory has curved over and is transitioning from upward to downward movement.
Low Pivot (Bullish) - Blue triangle below price:
Occurs when price makes a pivot low (local minimum)
Second derivative is positive (concave up curvature)
Tensor magnitude exceeds threshold
Spacing requirement met
Interpretation: A confirmed bullish inflection point has formed. Price trajectory has curved upward and is transitioning from downward to upward movement.
Dashboard Metrics
κ (Curvature): 0-100% reading. Above 70% = sharp active pivot, 40-70% = moderate curve, below 40% = gentle or approaching inflection
Tensor: Directional strength. Arrow indicates bias (⬆ bullish, ⬇ bearish, ⬌ neutral). Magnitude indicates conviction.
Volatility: Current ATR expansion state. Above 70% = high volatility (pivots more significant), below 40% = compressed (pivots less reliable)
Momentum: Directional strength. High values confirm trend continuation, low values suggest exhaustion
Tension: 0-100% reading. Above 70% = pivot forming soon (high compression), below 40% = pivot recently completed (expanded)
State: Real-time regime classification:
"🟢 STABLE" = normal trending conditions
"🟡 TENSION" = pivot forming (high compression)
"🔴 HIGH κ" = active sharp pivot in progress
"⚠ INFLECTION" = geometric inflection zone (critical transition)
Curvature Matrix Heatmap
The matrix shows the last 30 bars (configurable 10-100) of historical data across five metrics:
κ row: Curvature evolution (green = low, yellow = moderate, red = high)
Tension row: Purple intensity shows compression building
Tensor row: Strength evolution (green = strong, yellow = moderate, red = weak)
Volatility row: Expansion state
Momentum row: Directional conviction
Pattern recognition: Look for purple clustering in the tension row followed by red spikes in the κ row—this shows compression → release pivot sequence.
Trading Workflow
Step 1 - Monitor Tension:
Watch the tension cloud and dashboard tension metric. When tension rises above 60-70% and the cloud visibly tightens, a pivot is building. The matrix will show purple bands clustering.
Step 2 - Identify Inflection Zone:
Wait for the golden background glow (inflection zone) to appear. This indicates the geometric conditions are met: curvature is approaching zero, second derivative is near sign change, or curvature extrema detected. The dashboard state will show "⚠ INFLECTION ZONE".
Step 3 - Confirm Direction:
Check the tensor arrow in the dashboard:
⬆ (bullish tensor) = expect bullish pivot
⬇ (bearish tensor) = expect bearish pivot
Also verify the y'' status in the dashboard:
"🔵↑ Concave Up" = bullish curvature forming
"🔴↓ Concave Down" = bearish curvature forming
Step 4 - Wait for Pivot Marker:
Do not enter on inflection zones alone—wait for the confirmed pivot marker (triangle). This ensures all confirmation layers have aligned: geometric inflection + price structure pivot + tensor strength + spacing filter.
Step 5 - Execute Entry:
Long entry: Blue triangle below price + ⬆ tensor + tension releasing (dropping)
Short entry: Red triangle above price + ⬇ tensor + tension releasing
Step 6 - Manage Risk:
Initial stop: Place beyond the opposite ribbon edge plus one ATR buffer
Trailing stop: Follow the ribbon edge (basis ± adaptive width) as curvature sustains in your direction
Exit signal: If tension spikes again quickly (another inflection forming), consider taking profit—the trend may be reversing
Best Practices
Use multiple timeframe confirmation: Check that higher timeframe tensor aligns with your trade direction
Respect the spacing filter: If a pivot just fired, wait for minimum spacing before taking another signal
Distinguish regime: In "🔴 HIGH κ" state (choppy), reduce position size; in "🟢 STABLE" state, full confidence
Combine with support/resistance: Pivots near key levels have higher probability
Watch particle density: Clustering of particles indicates rising curvature intensity
Observe wave texture: Smooth flowing waves = trending environment (pivots are reversals); chaotic erratic waves = reversal environment (pivots are trend starts)
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance
Liquid markets with clear swing structure (forex majors, large-cap stocks, major indices)
Timeframes from 15-minute to daily (the system adapts across timeframes)
Markets with periodic swings and clear directional phases (where geometric curvature is meaningful)
Trending markets with consolidation phases (where tension builds before breakouts)
Challenging Conditions
Extremely choppy/sideways markets for extended periods (high curvature but low tensor magnitude—system will reduce signals appropriately)
Very low liquidity instruments (erratic price action creates false geometric signals)
Ultra-low timeframes (1-minute or below) where spread and noise dominate structure
Markets in deep consolidation (the system will show high tension but no clean pivot confirmation)
The indicator is designed to adapt: in poor conditions, tensor scores remain low and signals reduce naturally. In optimal conditions, tension compression → inflection → pivot confirmation sequences occur cleanly.
Parameter Optimization by Trading Style
Scalping (5-15 Minute Charts)
Curvature Window: 3-5 (faster response)
Curvature Smoothing: 2 (minimal lag)
Volatility Length: 10-14
Momentum Length: 8-10
Tensor Gain: 1.2-1.5 (moderate sensitivity)
Inflection Threshold: 0.10-0.15 (more sensitive)
Min Pivot Spacing: 3-5 bars
Pivot Mode: Aggressive
Ribbon Mode: Dual Ribbon (clearer entries)
Day Trading (15-60 Minute Charts)
Curvature Window: 5 (default)
Curvature Smoothing: 3 (balanced)
Volatility Length: 14
Momentum Length: 10
Tensor Gain: 1.5 (default)
Inflection Threshold: 0.15 (default)
Min Pivot Spacing: 5-8 bars
Pivot Mode: Normal or Adaptive
Ribbon Mode: Dual Ribbon
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Curvature Window: 7-10 (smoother)
Curvature Smoothing: 4-5 (noise reduction)
Volatility Length: 20-30
Momentum Length: 14-20
Tensor Gain: 1.8-2.5 (higher conviction requirement)
Inflection Threshold: 0.20-0.30 (more selective)
Min Pivot Spacing: 8-12 bars
Pivot Mode: Conservative
Ribbon Mode: Tension Cloud (focus on compression zones)
Performance Optimization
If you experience lag on lower-end systems:
Reduce Wave Layers: 4 → 2 (50% reduction in calculations)
Lower Particle Density: 3 → 1 (66% reduction in label creation)
Decrease Matrix History: 30 → 15 bars (50% reduction in table size)
Disable Tensor Waves entirely if not needed for your trading
Important Disclaimers
- This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential pivot points through mathematical analysis of price trajectory geometry. It should not be used as a standalone trading system. Always combine with proper risk management, position sizing, and additional confirmation methods (support/resistance, volume analysis, multi-timeframe alignment).
- The curvature and tensor calculations are deterministic mathematical formulas applied to historical price data—they do not predict future price movements with certainty. Past geometric patterns do not guarantee future pivot behavior. The tension-based prediction system identifies conditions where pivots are likely to form based on trajectory straightness, but market conditions can change rapidly.
- All trading involves risk. Use appropriate stop losses and never risk more than you can afford to lose. The signal spacing filters and tensor confirmation layers are designed to reduce noise, but no indicator can eliminate false signals entirely.
This system is most effective when combined with sound trading principles, market context awareness, and disciplined execution.
Technical Notes
All calculations execute on closed bars only (no repainting)
Lookback functions limited to 5000 bars maximum
Arrays are fixed-size (waves) or hard-capped (particles at 80 labels)
Dashboard and matrix update only on the last bar to minimize computational load
Particle generation throttled to every 2 bars
Phase accumulators use modulo operations to prevent overflow
Statistical normalization (mean ± 2σ) automatically adapts to different volatility regimes
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Multi-Timeframe Granville Signal──────────────────────────────────────────
OVERVIEW
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MTF Granville Signal is an invite-only Pine Script indicator that assists traders in identifying high-probability entry points based on Granville's Law principles, enhanced with Multi-Timeframe (MTF) structural analysis and dynamic Moving Average Deviation Rate (MADR) filtering.
This indicator is NOT investment advice. It is a technical analysis tool. All trading decisions and outcomes are the sole responsibility of the user.
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WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR ORIGINAL
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While many indicators implement basic Granville's Law or simple moving average crosses, this indicator distinguishes itself through two mathematically rigorous enhancements:
1. Dynamic MADR Filtering with Statistical Foundation
Unlike fixed percentage bands used in conventional overbought/oversold indicators, this system employs adaptive threshold calculation based on rolling standard deviation :
Mathematical Approach:
Calculates price deviation from the reference Simple Moving Average(SMA) as a percentage
Computes standard deviation (σ) over an extended lookback period
Default: 1σ threshold = 68.26% probability zone under normal distribution
User-configurable sigma multiplier (1σ, 2σ, 3σ)
Operational Logic:
Trend-following signals (Granville Rules 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7) : Fire only when MADR is within normal range (< threshold), indicating healthy trend conditions
Counter-trend signals (Granville Rules 4, 8) : Fire only when MADR exceeds threshold, indicating statistical over-extension and mean-reversion probability
Why This Matters:
Traditional indicators use arbitrary fixed thresholds (e.g., "overbought above +3%"). Market volatility varies dramatically across assets and time periods. A 3% deviation in EUR/USD may be extreme, while in Bitcoin it's noise. Dynamic MADR automatically adapts to each market's volatility characteristics, maintaining consistent statistical validity across diverse trading instruments.
2. MTF Structural Verification for Cycle-Phase Filtering
This is not merely displaying multiple timeframe SMAs on a chart. The indicator performs structural analysis to determine trend cycle phase :
Verification Mechanism:
Checks if price has recently touched/crossed the higher timeframe SMA within a configurable lookback period
Confirms SMA hierarchy alignment (short-term > mid-term > long-term for uptrends)
Distinguishes between early-cycle trend initiation and late-cycle exhaustion
Why This Matters:
Granville's Law signals can appear throughout a trend cycle, but probability varies significantly:
Early cycle (price recently interacted with higher TF SMA): High probability - catching trend initiation or deep retracements
Late cycle (price extended far from higher TF SMA): Low probability - entering during exhaustion phase
By requiring recent structural interaction with higher timeframe SMAs, the indicator filters out low-probability late-cycle entries, dramatically improving signal quality.
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GRANVILLE'S LAW IMPLEMENTATION
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This indicator implements all eight of Joseph Granville's classic rules, with a focus on Rules 1, 2, 3,4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 for primary signal generation. Rules 3 and 7 are operationalized through touch-based approximation (see explanation below):
Trend-Following Signals (Rules 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7)
Buy Signals:
Short-term SMA crosses above (or touches and bounces off) mid/long-term SMAs
SMA hierarchy confirms uptrend structure
MADR indicates price is NOT over-extended
Price recently interacted with higher timeframe SMA (MTF verification)
Sell Signals:
Mirror logic for downtrends
Counter-Trend Mean-Reversion Signals (Rules 4, 8)
Sell Signals:
Price shows extreme deviation from reference SMA (MADR exceeds threshold)
Price begins reverting toward SMA
Short-term SMA crosses below (or touches and bounces off) mid/long-term SMAs
Recent structural interaction with higher timeframe SMA confirms reversal setup
Buy Signals:
Mirror logic for oversold reversals
How Rules 3 and 7 Are Handled:
Rules 3 and 7 describe "price approaches the SMA." Rather than excluding these rules, this indicator approximates "approaches" as "touches the SMA" to eliminate ambiguity. In practice, defining "approaches" is subjective and adds complexity. By operationalizing "approaches" as "touches/crosses," the indicator maintains mechanical objectivity while still capturing the intent of Rules 3 and 7.
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WHY GRANVILLE'S LAW?
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Universality: Functions across all markets (forex, stocks, crypto, commodities) and timeframes
Simplicity: Based solely on price-to-moving-average relationships—no complex calculations
Reproducibility: Mechanical rules eliminate emotional bias
60+ Year Track Record: Proven principle since Joseph Granville's 1960 publication
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TECHNICAL ARCHITECTURE
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Signal Generation Process
Calculate SMAs across multiple timeframes (short/mid/long-term periods)
Compute MADR : Measure price deviation from reference SMA and its statistical significance
Verify MTF Structure : Check recent price interaction with higher timeframe SMA
Evaluate SMA Hierarchy : Confirm trend direction via SMA alignment
Apply Granville Logic : Detect specific Rule patterns (crosses, touches, bounces)
Determining deviation from SMA :
• Trend-following: MADR < threshold (healthy trend)
• Counter-trend: MADR > threshold (over-extension)
Signal Interval Control : Cooldown period prevents alert spam during noise
Why This Combination Works
The synthesis of these three components creates a robust filtering system:
Granville's Law provides the fundamental signal logic (proven over decades)
Dynamic MADR prevents entries at dangerous price extremes (volatility-adaptive risk management)
MTF Structural Verification ensures signals occur at optimal cycle phases (timing optimization)
No single element alone produces high-quality signals. Their integration may generate edge in trending market conditions.
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WHAT THIS INDICATOR DOES NOT DO
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To set realistic expectations:
❌ Does not predict future price direction with certainty
❌ Does not guarantee profitable trades
❌ Does not work equally well in all market conditions (see below for limitations)
❌ Does not replace risk management, position sizing, or trading discipline
❌ Does not provide trade exit signals (focus is on entry timing)
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PARAMETER CONFIGURATION
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Mid Term Trend Check Enabled (Default: true)
Activates SMA hierarchy verification for mid-term trend confirmation.
When enabled: Signals require short-term SMA > mid-term SMA (uptrend) or vice versa (downtrend)
When disabled: Only short-term SMA behavior is evaluated
Recommendation : Keep enabled for most use cases to filter weak trends
Long Term Trend Check Enabled (Default: true)
Adds long-term SMA to hierarchy verification for additional trend strength confirmation.
Requires Mid Term Trend Check to be enabled
When enabled: Signals require short-term SMA > mid-term SMA > long-term SMA alignment
Recommendation : Enable on lower timeframes (15m or below) for stronger filtering. Disable on higher timeframes (1h or above) as the additional filter becomes redundant and overly restrictive
Require Touch Higher Timeframe SMA Enabled (Default: true)
Enforces recent price interaction with higher timeframe SMA to filter late-cycle entries.
When enabled: Signals fire only if price touched/crossed mid-term or long-term SMA within lookback period
When disabled: Signals can fire regardless of recent SMA interaction (more signals, lower quality)
Recommendation : Keep enabled. This is a core filter for cycle-phase discrimination
Touch Higher Timeframe SMA Lookback Period (Default: 24 bars)
Defines how far back to search for price-SMA interaction.
Lower values (12-18): Stricter filtering, fewer signals, earlier cycle detection
Higher values (24-36): More lenient filtering, more signals, includes some mid-cycle entries
Recommendation : Adjust based on market volatility. Trending markets: use lower values. Choppy markets: use higher values to capture valid retracements
SMA Short Term Period (Default: 20)
Primary SMA for Granville's Law pattern detection.
Lower values (10-15): More responsive, more signals, higher noise
Higher values (25-40): Smoother, fewer signals, delayed entries
Recommendation : 20 is standard across most markets. Adjust ±5 based on your timeframe preference
SMA Mid Term Period (Default: 80)
Reference SMA for trend hierarchy and MTF verification.
Typically 3-5x the short-term period
Recommendation : 80 works well for intraday (15m, 1h) and swing trading (4h, daily). Maintain ratio relationship with short-term SMA
SMA Long Term Period (Default: 320)
Optional trend strength filter (requires Long Term Trend Check enabled).
Typically 4x the mid-term period
Recommendation : 320 is appropriate for multi-day trend analysis. Not critical for intraday scalping
SMA Period for Divergence (Default: 1920)
Lookback period for calculating MADR standard deviation. Two approaches:
Approach 1: Chart Timeframe SMA (Simple)
Use 20 periods matching your chart timeframe for straightforward deviation measurement.
Example: 20 periods on any timeframe
Approach 2: Higher Timeframe SMA (MTF Analysis)
Use period equivalent to higher timeframe's 20-period SMA for multi-timeframe structural analysis.
Recommendation for day trading :
• 15m chart: 1920 periods (≈ daily 20-SMA: 20 days × 96 bars/day)
• 1h chart: 480 periods (≈ daily 20-SMA: 20 days × 24 bars/day)
• 4h chart: 120 periods (≈ daily 20-SMA: 20 days × 6 bars/day)
Both approaches are valid. Approach 2 incorporates higher timeframe context into MADR filtering.
MADR Standard Deviation Band (Sigma) (Default: 1.00)
Statistical threshold for determining trend overheating vs. healthy conditions.
1.0σ = 68.26% probability zone (default, balanced)
2.0σ = 95.44% probability zone (stricter, fewer counter-trend signals)
3.0σ = 99.74% probability zone (very strict, rare extreme reversals only)
Recommendation : Start with 1.0σ. Increase to 2.0σ if you want to trade only extreme mean-reversion opportunities. Decrease to 0.5σ-0.8σ for more aggressive trend-following
Signal Minimum Interval (Default: 4 hours)
Cooldown period between signals to prevent alert spam during consolidation.
Measured in hours regardless of chart timeframe
0 = no cooldown (all valid signals fire)
2-4 = typical for day trading
8-12 = typical for swing trading
Recommendation : Match to your trading frequency. Day traders: 2-4 hours. Swing traders: 8-12 hours
Buy/Sell Signal Text Color (Default: Blue)
Reversal Buy/Sell Signal Text Color (Default: Purple)
Customize label colors for visual distinction between trend-following and counter-trend signals.
Alert Display Prefix (Default: Auto-detected from chart timeframe)
Prefix for alert messages (e.g., "1h", "15m"). Auto-filled if left blank.
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RECOMMENDED CONFIGURATIONS
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Configuration 1: Aggressive Day Trading (15m Chart)
SMA Short: 20
SMA Mid: 80
SMA Long: 320
MADR SMA Period: 1920
MADR Sigma: 1.0
Signal Interval: 4 hours
Touch Lookback: 24 bars
Long Term Trend Check: Enabled
Use case: Active day trading, multiple signals per session
Configuration 2: Balanced Day Trading (1h Chart)
SMA Short: 20
SMA Mid: 80
MADR SMA Period: 480
MADR Sigma: 1.0
Signal Interval: 4 hours
Touch Lookback: 24 bars
Long Term Trend Check: Disabled
Use case: Standard day trading, moderate signal frequency
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TECHNICAL LIMITATIONS AND UNSUITABLE CONDITIONS
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This indicator has known limitations:
1. Range/Choppy Markets
Extended consolidation generates false signals and whipsaw entries. Wait for clear breakout or use higher timeframe trend filters.
2. Low Liquidity Instruments
In exotic pairs, microcap stocks, or illiquid assets, wide spreads and slippage erode edge. Stick to major high-volume instruments.
3. News-Driven Volatility
Fundamental shocks invalidate technical patterns. Avoid trading around scheduled high-impact news events.
4. Algorithmic Regime Changes
Market microstructure evolves over time. Review performance periodically and adjust parameters if edge deteriorates.
5. Extreme Market Regimes
Black swan events and unprecedented volatility cause all technical systems to fail simultaneously. Use circuit breakers and position size limits.
6. Gap Openings
Price gaps over weekends or between sessions invalidate some signals. Reduce position sizing accordingly.
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OPEN-SOURCE CODE TRANSPARENCY
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While the source code is proprietary and protected, the fundamentals are fully explainable:
SMA calculation : Standard Pine Script ta.sma() function
MADR calculation : (close - sma) / sma * 100 and ta.stdev() for threshold
MTF data retrieval : request.security() for higher timeframe values
Granville pattern detection : Logical comparison of price/SMA positions and crosses
No "black box" algorithms. No hidden magic. Only rigorous application of proven technical principles.
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OPEN-SOURCE CODE REUSE
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This indicator does NOT reuse code from other TradingView scripts. All logic is proprietary.
Standard Pine Script functions (ta.sma, ta.stdev, request.security, etc.) used per documented API
No third-party libraries or external dependencies
No license conflicts
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VERSION INFORMATION
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Current Version : 6 (Pine Script v6)
Author : © 2025 mmntmr369. All rights reserved.
Publication Type : Invite-only (Proprietary source code)
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DISCLAIMER : This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other type of advice. You should not make any investment decisions based solely on this indicator. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading carries substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
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日本語版 / JAPANESE VERSION
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概要
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MTF Granville Signalは、グランビルの法則の原則に基づいた高確率エントリーポイントの特定を支援する招待制Pine Scriptインジケーターです。マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）構造分析と動的移動平均線乖離率（MADR）フィルタリングにより強化されています。
本インジケーターは投資助言ではありません。 これはテクニカル分析ツールです。すべての取引判断と結果は、ユーザーの単独責任となります。
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本インジケーターの独自性
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多くのインジケーターが基本的なグランビルの法則または単純な移動平均クロスを実装していますが、本インジケーターは2つの数学的に厳密な拡張機能によって差別化されます：
1. 統計的基盤を持つ動的MADRフィルタリング
従来の買われ過ぎ/売られ過ぎインジケーターで使用される固定パーセンテージバンドとは異なり、本システムは ローリング標準偏差に基づく適応的閾値計算 を採用しています：
数学的アプローチ:
参照SMAからの価格偏差をパーセンテージとして計算
拡張ルックバック期間にわたって標準偏差（σ）を計算
デフォルト：1σ閾値 = 正規分布下の68.26%確率ゾーン
ユーザー設定可能なシグマ乗数（1σ、2σ、3σ）
操作ロジック:
順張りシグナル（グランビル法則1、2、3、5、6、7） ：MADRが正常範囲内（<閾値）にある場合のみ発火し、健全なトレンド状態を示します
逆張りシグナル（グランビル法則4、8） ：MADRが閾値を超える場合のみ発火し、統計的過度の拡張と平均回帰確率を示します
重要な理由:
従来のインジケーターは任意の固定閾値（例：「+3%以上で買われ過ぎ」）を使用します。市場のボラティリティは資産と期間によって劇的に変化します。EUR/USDでの3%偏差は極端かもしれませんが、ビットコインではノイズです。動的MADRは各市場のボラティリティ特性に自動的に適応し、多様な取引商品全体で一貫した統計的妥当性を維持します。
2. サイクルフェーズフィルタリングのためのMTF構造検証
これは単にチャート上に複数の時間足SMAを表示するだけではありません。インジケーターは トレンドサイクルフェーズを決定するための構造分析 を実行します：
検証メカニズム:
設定可能なルックバック期間内に価格が上位時間足SMAに最近タッチ/クロスしたかどうかを確認
SMA階層の整列を確認（上昇トレンドでは短期>中期>長期）
初期サイクルトレンド開始と後期サイクル疲弊を区別
重要な理由:
グランビルの法則シグナルはトレンドサイクル全体で出現できますが、確率は大きく異なります：
初期サイクル （価格が最近上位TF SMAと相互作用）：高確率 - トレンド開始または深い調整を捕捉
後期サイクル （価格が上位TF SMAから遠く離れている）：低確率 - 疲弊フェーズ中のエントリー
上位時間足SMAとの最近の構造的相互作用を要求することで、インジケーターは低確率の後期サイクルエントリーを除外し、シグナル品質を劇的に向上させます。
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グランビルの法則実装
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本インジケーターはジョセフ・グランビルの古典的な8つの法則すべてを実装しており、 法則1、2、3、4、5、6、7、8 に焦点を当てた主要シグナル生成を行います。法則3と7はタッチベースの近似で運用されます（以下の説明を参照）：
順張りシグナル（法則1、2、3、5、6、7）
買いシグナル:
短期SMAが中期/長期SMAを上回って交差する（またはタッチしてバウンス）
SMA階層が上昇トレンド構造を確認
MADRが価格が過度に拡張されていないことを示す
価格が最近上位時間足SMAと相互作用した（MTF検証）
売りシグナル:
下降トレンドの場合は反対のロジック
逆張り平均回帰シグナル（法則4、8）
売りシグナル:
価格が参照SMAから極端に乖離（MADRが閾値を超える）
価格がSMAに向かって反転を開始
短期SMAが中期/長期SMAを下回って交差する（またはタッチしてバウンス）
上位時間足SMAとの最近の構造的相互作用が反転セットアップを確認
買いシグナル:
売られ過ぎ反転の場合は反対のロジック
法則3と7の取り扱い:
法則3と7は「価格がSMAに接近する」と説明しています。これらの法則を除外するのではなく、本インジケーターは曖昧さを排除するために「接近」を「SMAにタッチ」として近似します。実際には、「接近」の定義は主観的で複雑さを追加します。「接近」を「タッチ/クロス」として運用することで、インジケーターは法則3と7の意図を捕捉しながら機械的客観性を維持します。
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なぜグランビルの法則？
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普遍性: すべての市場（外国為替、株式、暗号、商品）および時間足で機能
シンプルさ: 価格対移動平均の関係のみに基づく - 複雑な計算なし
再現性: 機械的ルールが感情的バイアスを排除
60年以上の実績: ジョセフ・グランビルの1960年の出版以来実証された原則
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技術アーキテクチャ
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シグナル生成プロセス
SMAを計算 複数の時間足にわたって（短期/中期/長期期間）
MADRを計算 ：参照SMAからの価格偏差とその統計的有意性を測定
MTF構造を検証 ：上位時間足SMAとの最近の価格相互作用を確認
SMA階層を評価 ：SMA整列によってトレンド方向を確認
グランビルロジックを適用 ：特定の法則パターンを検出（クロス、タッチ、バウンス）
SMAからの乖離を判定 ：
• 順張り：MADR < 閾値（健全なトレンド）
• 逆張り：MADR > 閾値（過度の拡張）
シグナル間隔制御 ：クールダウン期間がノイズ中のアラートスパムを防止
なぜこの組み合わせが機能するか
これら3つのコンポーネントの統合が堅牢なフィルタリングシステムを生成します：
グランビルの法則 が基本的なシグナルロジックを提供（数十年にわたって実証）
動的MADR が危険な価格極値でのエントリーを防止（ボラティリティ適応的リスク管理）
MTF構造検証 がシグナルを最適なサイクルフェーズで発生させる（タイミング最適化）
単一の要素だけでは高品質のシグナルは生成されません。それらの統合はトレンド相場環境においてエッジを生み出す可能性があります。
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本インジケーターが行わないこと
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現実的な期待を設定するために：
❌ 将来の価格方向を確実に予測しない
❌ 収益性のある取引を保証しない
❌ すべての市場環境で等しく機能しない（限界については下記参照）
❌ リスク管理、ポジションサイジング、または取引規律を置き換えない
❌ 取引の手仕舞いシグナルを提供しない（焦点はエントリータイミング）
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パラメータ設定
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Mid Term Trend Check Enabled（中期トレンドチェック有効） (デフォルト: true)
中期トレンド確認のためのSMA階層検証を有効化。
有効時：シグナルは短期SMA > 中期SMA（上昇トレンド）またはその逆（下降トレンド）を要求
無効時：短期SMAの動作のみを評価
推奨 ：弱いトレンドをフィルタリングするため、ほとんどの用途で有効を維持
Long Term Trend Check Enabled（長期トレンドチェック有効） (デフォルト: true)
追加のトレンド強度確認のため、長期SMAをSMA階層検証に追加。
中期トレンドチェックの有効化が必要
有効時：シグナルは短期SMA > 中期SMA > 長期SMAの整列を要求
推奨 ：低時間足（15分足以下）でより強力なフィルタリングのため有効化。高時間足（1時間足以上）では追加フィルターが冗長かつ過度に制限的になるため無効化
Require Touch Higher Timeframe SMA Enabled（上位足SMAタッチ要求有効） (デフォルト: true)
後期サイクルエントリーをフィルタリングするため、上位時間足SMAとの最近の価格相互作用を強制。
有効時：シグナルはルックバック期間内に価格が中期または長期SMAにタッチ/クロスした場合のみ発火
無効時：最近のSMA相互作用に関係なくシグナル発火（多くのシグナル、低品質）
推奨 ：有効を維持。これはサイクルフェーズ識別のコアフィルター
Touch Higher Timeframe SMA Lookback Period（上位足SMAタッチルックバック期間） (デフォルト: 24バー)
価格-SMA相互作用を検索する遡及期間を定義。
低い値（12-18）：厳格なフィルタリング、少ないシグナル、初期サイクル検出
高い値（24-36）：寛容なフィルタリング、多くのシグナル、中期サイクルエントリーを含む
推奨 ：市場ボラティリティに基づいて調整。トレンド市場：低い値を使用。荒れた市場：有効な調整を捉えるため高い値を使用
SMA Short Term Period（SMA短期期間） (デフォルト: 20)
グランビルの法則パターン検出のための主要SMA。
低い値（10-15）：反応的、多くのシグナル、高いノイズ
高い値（25-40）：滑らか、少ないシグナル、遅延エントリー
推奨 ：20はほとんどの市場で標準。時間足の好みに基づいて±5調整
SMA Mid Term Period（SMA中期期間） (デフォルト: 80)
トレンド階層とMTF検証のための基準SMA。
通常、短期期間の3-5倍
推奨 ：80はデイトレ（15m、1h）とスイングトレード（4h、日足）に適している。短期SMAとの比率関係を維持
SMA Long Term Period（SMA長期期間） (デフォルト: 320)
オプションのトレンド強度フィルター（長期トレンドチェック有効時必要）。
通常、中期期間の4倍
推奨 ：320は数日間のトレンド分析に適している。デイトレ、スイングには重要でない
SMA Period for Divergence（乖離のためのSMA期間） (デフォルト: 1920)
MADR標準偏差計算のためのルックバック期間。2つのアプローチがあります：
アプローチ1：チャート時間足SMA（シンプル）
チャート時間足と同じ20期間を使用し、シンプルに乖離を測定。
例：どの時間足でも20期間
アプローチ2：上位時間足SMA（MTF分析）
上位時間足の20期間SMA相当の期間を設定し、マルチタイムフレーム構造分析として利用。
デイトレーディング推奨設定 :
• 15分足チャート：1920期間（≈ 日足20-SMA：20日 × 96本/日）
• 1時間足チャート：480期間（≈ 日足20-SMA：20日 × 24本/日）
• 4時間足チャート：120期間（≈ 日足20-SMA：20日 × 6本/日）
両アプローチとも有効。アプローチ2は上位時間足のコンテクストをMADRフィルタリングに組み込む。
MADR Standard Deviation Band (Sigma)（MADR標準偏差バンド（シグマ）） (デフォルト: 1.00)
トレンド過熱と健全状態を判定するための統計的閾値。
1.0σ = 68.26%確率ゾーン（デフォルト、バランス型）
2.0σ = 95.44%確率ゾーン（厳格、少ない逆張りシグナル）
3.0σ = 99.74%確率ゾーン（非常に厳格、稀な極端反転のみ）
推奨 ：1.0σから開始。極端な平均回帰機会のみを取引したい場合は2.0σに増加。より積極的な順張りのため0.5σ-0.8σに減少
Signal Minimum Interval（シグナル最小間隔） (デフォルト: 4時間)
保ち合い中のアラートスパムを防ぐためのシグナル間のクールダウン期間。
チャート時間足に関係なく時間で測定
0 = クールダウンなし（すべての有効なシグナルが発火）
2-4 = デイトレード取引の典型
8-12 = スイング取引の典型
推奨 ：取引頻度に合わせる。デイトレーダー：2-4時間。スイングトレーダー：8-12時間
Buy/Sell Signal Text Color（買い/売りシグナルテキスト色） (デフォルト: 青)
Reversal Buy/Sell Signal Text Color（反転買い/売りシグナルテキスト色） (デフォルト: 紫)
順張りシグナルと逆張りシグナルの視覚的区別のためのラベル色をカスタマイズ。
Alert Display Prefix（アラート表示プレフィックス） (デフォルト: チャート時間足から自動検出)
アラートメッセージのプレフィックス（例：「1h」、「15m」）。空白の場合自動入力。
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推奨設定例
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設定1：積極的デイトレ（15分足チャート）
SMA Short: 20
SMA Mid: 80
SMA Long: 320
MADR SMA Period: 1920
MADR Sigma: 1.0
Signal Interval: 4時間
Touch Lookback: 24バー
Long Term Trend Check: 有効
用途: アクティブなデイトレード、セッションあたり複数のシグナル
設定2：バランス型デイトレ（1時間足チャート）
SMA Short: 20
SMA Mid: 80
MADR SMA Period: 480
MADR Sigma: 1.0
Signal Interval: 4時間
Touch Lookback: 24バー
Long Term Trend Check: 無効
用途: 標準的デイトレード、適度なシグナル頻度
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技術的限界と不適切な条件
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本インジケーターには既知の限界があります：
1. レンジ/荒れた市場
長期の保ち合いが偽シグナルとウィップソーエントリーを生成。明確なブレイクアウトまで待つか、高時間足トレンドフィルターを使用。
2. 流動性の低い銘柄
エキゾチックペア、マイクロキャップ株、流動性の低い資産では、広いスプレッドとスリッページがエッジを侵食。主要な高出来高銘柄に固執。
3. ニュース主導のボラティリティ
ファンダメンタルショックがテクニカルパターンを無効化。予定されている高インパクトニュースイベント前後の取引を避ける。
4. アルゴリズム的レジーム変化
市場マイクロ構造は時間とともに進化。定期的にパフォーマンスをレビューし、エッジが劣化した場合はパラメータを調整。
5. 極端な市場レジーム
ブラックスワンイベントと前例のないボラティリティは、すべてのテクニカルシステムを同時に失敗させる。サーキットブレーカーとポジションサイズ制限を使用。
6. ギャップオープニング
週末またはセッション間の価格ギャップが一部のシグナルを無効化。それに応じてポジションサイジングを削減。
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オープンソースコードの透明性
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ソースコードはプロプライエタリで保護されていますが、基本は以下で完全に説明できます：
SMA計算 ：標準Pine Script ta.sma()関数
MADR計算 ：(close - sma) / sma * 100と閾値のためのta.stdev()
MTFデータ取得 ：上位時間足値のためのrequest.security()
グランビルパターン検出 ：価格/SMAポジションとクロスの論理比較
「ブラックボックス」アルゴリズムなし。隠された魔法なし。実証された技術原則の厳密な適用のみ。
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オープンソースコードの再利用
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本インジケーターは他のTradingViewスクリプトのコードを 再利用していません 。すべてのロジックは独自です。
標準Pine Script関数（ta.sma、ta.stdev、request.securityなど）は文書化されたAPIに従って使用
サードパーティライブラリや外部依存関係なし
ライセンス競合なし
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バージョン情報
現在のバージョン ：6（Pine Script v6）
作成者 ：© 2025 mmntmr369. 無断転載禁止。
公開タイプ ：招待制（プロプライエタリソースコード）
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免責事項 ：本インジケーターは教育および情報提供目的のみで提供されています。投資助言、金融助言、取引助言、その他いかなる種類の助言も構成しません。本インジケーターのみに基づいて投資判断を行うべきではありません。投資判断を行う前に、必ずご自身で調査を行い、認可された金融専門家に相談してください。過去のパフォーマンスは将来の結果を示すものではありません。取引には多大な損失リスクがあり、すべての投資家に適しているわけではありません。
Liquidity Levels - PMH/PWH/PDH/HODWhat is it?
An indicator that tracks the main liquidity levels on TradingView, displaying the highs and lows of reference for month, week, previous day and current day.
What's it for?
It identifies price zones where there are many pending orders (liquidity). Traders use it to:
Find support and resistance points
Identify areas where price could bounce or break through
Receive alerts when price touches or breaks these levels
Which levels does it show?
LevelDescriptionColorLinePMH/PMLPrevious month's high and lowPurpleSolidPWH/PWLPrevious week's high and lowBlueSolidPDH/PDLPrevious day's high and lowOrangeSolidHOD/LODCurrent day's high and lowGrayDotted
How to use it?
Apply the indicator to your chart
Customize colors and enable/disable the levels you prefer
Set alerts to receive notifications when price touches or breaks levels
Use the levels to make trading decisions (entry, exit, stop loss)
Perfect for: Scalping, Day Trading, Swing Trading on any asset (forex, crypto, stocks)
PDB - RSI Based Buy/Sell signals with 4 MARSI Based Buy/Sell Signals on Price chart + 4 MA System
This indicator plots RSI-based Buy & Sell signals directly on the price chart , combined with a 4-Moving-Average trend filter (20/50/100/200) for higher accuracy and cleaner trade timing.
The signal triggers when RSI reaches user-defined overbought/oversold levels, but unlike a standard RSI, this version plots the signals **on the chart**, not in the RSI window — making entries and exits easier to see in real time.
RSI Levels Are Fully Customizable
The default RSI thresholds are 30 (oversold) and 70 (overbought).
However, you can adjust these to fit your trading style. For example:
> When day trading on the 5–15 min timeframe, I personally use 35 (oversold) and 75 (overbought) to catch moves earlier.
> The example shown in the preview image uses 10-minute timeframe settings.
You can change the RSI levels to trigger signals from **any value you choose**, allowing you to tailor the indicator to scalping, day trading, or swing trading.
4 Moving Averages Included:
20, 50, 100, 200 MAs act as dynamic trend filters so you can:
✔ trade signals only in the direction of trend
✔ avoid false reversals
✔ identify momentum shifts more clearly
Works on all markets and timeframes — crypto, stocks, FX, indices.
369 Swing Points369 Swing Points - Digital Root Time Analysis
This indicator combines swing point detection with digital root numerology applied to intraday timestamps, filtering for times that reduce to 3, 6, or 9.
Methodology:
The script uses pivot point detection to identify swing highs and lows, then calculates the digital root of the bar's timestamp. Digital root is calculated by recursively summing the digits of a number until a single digit remains (e.g., 13:45 = 1345 → 1+3+4+5 = 13 → 1+3 = 4). Only swing points occurring at times with digital roots of 3, 6, or 9 are displayed.
What Makes This Unique:
Unlike standard swing point indicators, this filters results based on time-based numerology. The multiple calculation modes allow testing different hypotheses: whether the full timestamp (HHMM), just the minutes (MM), or either produces significant patterns. This is particularly useful for traders exploring intraday cyclical patterns or time-based market theories, especially popular in swing trading communities that follow specific time cycles.
How It Works:
Detects swing highs/lows using configurable lookback periods
Extracts the timestamp from each swing point bar
Calculates digital root using selected time mode (Full Time, Minutes Only, or Both)
Displays only swings with DR of 3, 6, or 9
Includes timezone adjustment to match your local time
Optional real-time plotting to show potential swings before confirmation
Configuration:
Swing Length: Sensitivity of pivot detection (default: 2)
Digital Root Mode: Full Time (HHMM), Minutes Only (MM), or Both
Timezone Offset: Aligns displayed times with your chart's timezone
Label customization: Text size, color, spacing options
Real-time Plotting: Shows unconfirmed swings as they develop (with transparency)
Debug mode: View all swings with their digital roots for analysis
Usage:
Works on all intraday timeframes (1min to 4H). Adjust timezone offset to ensure accurate time display. Use debug mode to verify swing detection and see digital root calculations for all pivots. Enable "Highlight 369 Digital Root Bars" to see when current bar time has a 3/6/9 digital root.
Renko Emulator Strategy # 🚀 Renko Emulator Strategy for Normal Candlestick Charts
Transform your trading with this advanced Renko-based strategy that works seamlessly on normal candlestick charts!
## ✨ What Makes This Special?
### 🎯 Smart Signal System
- **One Signal at a Time**: No confusing duplicate signals
- **Position State Tracking**: Always know your current position
- **Automatic Target Detection**: T1, T2, T3 calculated automatically
- **10 Comprehensive Alerts**: Never miss an opportunity
### 🔧 Technical Excellence
- **Renko Logic**: Filters market noise using brick formations
- **ATR-Based Sizing**: Adapts to market volatility
- **Multi-Indicator Confirmation**: EMA, RSI, MACD, Supertrend
- **Volume Validation**: Only high-probability setups
## 📊 How It Works
### Entry Signals
🟢 **LONG (BUY)**
- Reversal: Red bricks → First green brick
- Trend: 3+ consecutive green bricks
- With full technical confirmation
🔴 **SHORT (SELL)**
- Reversal: Green bricks → First red brick
- Trend: 3+ consecutive red bricks
- With full technical confirmation
### Position Management
📍 **Stop Loss**: Last opposite brick ± buffer
🎯 **Target 1**: 2× Brick size → Book 50%
🎯 **Target 2**: 3× Brick size → Book 30%
🎯 **Target 3**: 4× Brick size → Book 20%
### Exit Rules
⚠️ Opposite brick formation
⚠️ RSI extremes (>80 or <20)
⚠️ Manual exit as needed
## 🎨 Visual Features
### On Your Chart
- 📊 Renko brick overlays
- 🟢 Green triangles = BUY signals
- 🔴 Red triangles = SELL signals
- ⚪ Target hit markers (T1, T2, T3)
- 📈 Trend indicators overlay
- 🎨 Position background color
### Info Panel
Real-time dashboard showing:
- Current brick size & color
- Position status (LONG/SHORT/NONE)
- Consecutive brick count
- RSI level
- Trend direction
- Market conditions
## 🔔 Complete Alert System
**10 Alerts Available:**
✅ Long & Short Entry
✅ All 6 Target Hits (T1, T2, T3 each)
✅ Long & Short Exit
**Alert Messages Include:**
- Entry price & direction
- Profit booking instructions
- Risk management tips
- Next action guidance
## 💰 Best Instruments
### Highly Effective On:
- **Indian Markets**: Nifty 50, Bank Nifty
- **Stocks**: HDFC, Reliance, TCS, Infosys
- **Forex**: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
- **Crypto**: BTC, ETH, major altcoins
- **Commodities**: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil
### Recommended Timeframes:
- **Day Trading**: 5-min, 15-min
- **Swing Trading**: 1-hour, 4-hour
- **Position Trading**: Daily
## ⚙️ Customizable Settings
### Brick Configuration
- ATR-based (automatic) or Fixed points
- Adjustable ATR period & multiplier
- Visual brick display on/off
### Indicator Parameters
- EMA length (default: 20)
- RSI period (default: 14)
- MACD settings (12, 26, 9)
- Supertrend (10, 3)
- Volume filter toggle
### Display Options
- Show/hide entry signals
- Show/hide target levels
- Show/hide info table
- Brick overlay transparency
## 📈 Usage Strategy
### For Beginners:
1. Add to chart with default settings
2. Wait for clear BUY/SELL arrows
3. Follow position management rules
4. Use recommended stop losses
5. Book profits at targets
### For Advanced Traders:
1. Optimize brick size per instrument
2. Fine-tune indicator parameters
3. Combine with your strategy
4. Backtest thoroughly
5. Scale position sizes
## ⚠️ Risk Management
### Built-in Protection:
- Maximum 2% risk per trade
- Clear stop loss levels
- Defined profit targets
- Position size calculator
- Daily loss limits
### Best Practices:
✅ Test on demo first
✅ Use proper position sizing
✅ Follow stop losses strictly
✅ Don't over-trade
✅ Maintain trading journal
## 🎓 What You Get
### Immediate Benefits:
- Clear entry/exit signals
- No analysis paralysis
- Reduced emotional trading
- Systematic approach
- Professional risk management
### Learning Opportunities:
- Understand Renko concepts
- Master position management
- Learn risk control
- Develop discipline
- Build consistent strategy
## 🐛 Troubleshooting
### No Signals?
- Check indicator settings
- Verify brick size not too large
- Ensure volume filter appropriate
- Try different timeframe
### Too Many Signals?
- Increase brick size
- Use higher timeframe
- Enable stricter filters
- Check signal filtering active
## 📊 Performance Notes
### Works Best In:
✅ Trending markets
✅ Clear directional moves
✅ Good liquidity
✅ Normal volatility
### Avoid Trading:
❌ Major news events
❌ Low volume periods
❌ Extreme volatility
❌ Choppy/sideways markets
## 🔄 Updates & Support
**Current Version**: 2.0
**Recent Updates:**
- ✅ Fixed duplicate signals
- ✅ Added position tracking
- ✅ Enhanced alert system
- ✅ Improved visual feedback
- ✅ Better target detection
**Future Plans:**
- Additional customization
- More alert options
- Advanced features
- Performance improvements
## 📜 Important Disclaimer
⚠️ **Please Read Carefully:**
This indicator is for **educational purposes only**. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
**You Must:**
- Use proper risk management
- Test strategies before live trading
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- Consult financial advisor if needed
- Understand your trading instrument
**The creator assumes no responsibility for trading losses incurred using this indicator.**
## 🙏 Credits
- Renko Concept: Traditional Japanese charting
- ATR Calculation: J. Welles Wilder
- Community Feedback: Beta testers & users
---
## 💬 Feedback Welcome!
If you find this helpful:
- ⭐ Like the indicator
- 💬 Share your feedback
- 🐛 Report bugs
- 💡 Suggest improvements
- 🔄 Share with traders
## 📞 Getting Started
1. **Add to Chart**: Click "Add to Chart"
2. **Configure Settings**: Adjust as needed
3. **Set Alerts**: Enable notifications
4. **Test First**: Use demo account
5. **Go Live**: Start small, scale up
---
**Happy Trading! 📈🚀**
**Trade Smart. Trade Safe. Trade Profitable.**
---
*Remember: Discipline + Risk Management + Good Strategy = Success*
*No indicator is perfect. Use as part of complete trading plan.*
EKG Pulse +EKG Pulse – Multi-Layer Trend & Session Analyzer
Description:
EKG Pulse is an advanced trading indicator that combines trend clouds), Momentum trend flips, EMA slope detection, and session high/low tracking to give clear visual signals for intraday and swing trading. It also calculates potential trade ranges, stop-loss, and profit targets dynamically, adapting to volatility and historical session behavior.
How to Use:
Trend Identification: Use the Trend cloud and EMA slope to determine the main trend (bullish/bearish).
Trade Signals: Look for Momentum flips aligned with Trend Cloud for buy/sell signals (triangles appear on the chart).
Candle Colors: Follow Momentum-based candle coloring to visually track bullish (green) or bearish (red) momentum.
Session Ranges: Monitor session boxes and previous day’s levels for support/resistance zones.
ATR & Ticks Table: Use the table to manage risk with suggested stop-loss (SL) and multiple profit targets (TP1, TP2, TP3), scaled by your account size and instrument’s tick value.
Breakout Status: The session analyzer highlights SAFE, WAIT, or HOLD conditions based on volatility and breakout likelihood.
Benefits:
Provides multi-layer trend confirmation for safer entries.
Visual buy/sell alerts reduce guesswork.
Dynamic risk management with ATR-based SL/TP calculation.
Session boxes help identify key intraday levels.
Historical breakout analysis improves timing for breakout trades.
Works on multiple assets and timeframes with auto tick mapping.
Kameniczki RSI MASTERKAMENICZKI RSI MASTER is a professional trading indicator based on RSI (Relative Strength Index) with advanced features for precise identification of trading opportunities. The indicator combines classic RSI analysis with intelligent Zig Zag system and smoothing techniques for maximum signal accuracy.
Features:
RSI Analysis with Gradient Display
The indicator displays RSI in the lower panel with color gradient - blue for overbought zones and pink for oversold zones. RSI is calculated with adjustable period (recommended 14 for daily charts, 7-9 for shorter timeframes).
Zig Zag Signal System
Intelligent Zig Zag system generates BUY and SELL signals based on RSI extremes. The system automatically identifies swing points and creates clear visual markings with blue BUY and pink SELL labels.
Smoothing Moving Average
Advanced smoothing techniques supporting SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA and VWMA. MA is displayed in price chart with dual-color system - blue for rising trend, pink for falling trend.
Bollinger Bands Integration
Optional Bollinger Bands around RSI and price for volatility identification and potential breakouts. Bands automatically adapt to market conditions.
Comprehensive Alert System
Extensive alert system includes Zig Zag signals, RSI levels, MA direction changes, BB touches and combined strong signals for maximum trading accuracy.
Real-Time Trend Analysis
Instant trend identification with priority for actual price direction. System displays current trend (BUY/SELL/WAIT) and risk analysis with visual table.
Risk Management
Automatic volatility and risk level analysis with percentage expression. System identifies high and low risk periods for safer trading.
Recommended Timeframes:
- 1H, 4H, 1D - optimal for swing trading
- 15M, 30M - for day trading
- 1W - for position trading
Success Rate:
- Zig Zag signals: 75-85% accuracy
- Combined strong signals: 80-90% accuracy
- Trend identification: 70-80% accuracy
- Overall system success: 75-85% with proper settings
⚠️ IMPORTANT WARNING: Zig Zag signals may cause repainting on lower timeframes. For live trading, use higher timeframes (15M, 1H+) or wait for signal confirmation to avoid false signals.
The indicator is suitable for all types of traders - from beginners to professionals, with detailed parameter adjustment options according to individual needs.
Ehlers Phasor Analysis (PHASOR)# PHASOR: Phasor Analysis (Ehlers)
## Overview and Purpose
The Phasor Analysis indicator, developed by John Ehlers, represents an advanced cycle analysis tool that identifies the phase of the dominant cycle component in a time series through complex signal processing techniques. This sophisticated indicator uses correlation-based methods to determine the real and imaginary components of the signal, converting them to a continuous phase angle that reveals market cycle progression. Unlike traditional oscillators, the Phasor provides unwrapped phase measurements that accumulate continuously, offering unique insights into market timing and cycle behavior.
## Core Concepts
* **Complex Signal Analysis** — Uses real and imaginary components to determine cycle phase
* **Correlation-Based Detection** — Employs Ehlers' correlation method for robust phase estimation
* **Unwrapped Phase Tracking** — Provides continuous phase accumulation without discontinuities
* **Anti-Regression Logic** — Prevents phase angle from moving backward under specific conditions
Market Applications:
* **Cycle Timing** — Precise identification of cycle peaks and troughs
* **Market Regime Analysis** — Distinguishes between trending and cycling market conditions
* **Turning Point Detection** — Advanced warning system for potential market reversals
## Common Settings and Parameters
| Parameter | Default | Function | When to Adjust |
|-----------|---------|----------|----------------|
| Period | 28 | Fixed cycle period for correlation analysis | Match to expected dominant cycle length |
| Source | Close | Price series for phase calculation | Use typical price or other smoothed series |
| Show Derived Period | false | Display calculated period from phase rate | Enable for adaptive period analysis |
| Show Trend State | false | Display trend/cycle state variable | Enable for regime identification |
## Calculation and Mathematical Foundation
**Technical Formula:**
**Stage 1: Correlation Analysis**
For period $n$ and source $x_t$:
Real component correlation with cosine wave:
$$R = \frac{n \sum x_t \cos\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right) - \sum x_t \sum \cos\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right)}{\sqrt{D_{cos}}}$$
Imaginary component correlation with negative sine wave:
$$I = \frac{n \sum x_t \left(-\sin\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right)\right) - \sum x_t \sum \left(-\sin\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right)\right)}{\sqrt{D_{sin}}}$$
where $D_{cos}$ and $D_{sin}$ are normalization denominators.
**Stage 2: Phase Angle Conversion**
$$\theta_{raw} = \begin{cases}
90° - \arctan\left(\frac{I}{R}\right) \cdot \frac{180°}{\pi} & \text{if } R \neq 0 \\
0° & \text{if } R = 0, I > 0 \\
180° & \text{if } R = 0, I \leq 0
\end{cases}$$
**Stage 3: Phase Unwrapping**
$$\theta_{unwrapped}(t) = \theta_{unwrapped}(t-1) + \Delta\theta$$
where $\Delta\theta$ is the normalized phase difference.
**Stage 4: Ehlers' Anti-Regression Condition**
$$\theta_{final}(t) = \begin{cases}
\theta_{final}(t-1) & \text{if regression conditions met} \\
\theta_{unwrapped}(t) & \text{otherwise}
\end{cases}$$
**Derived Calculations:**
Derived Period: $P_{derived} = \frac{360°}{\Delta\theta_{final}}$ (clamped to )
Trend State:
$$S_{trend} = \begin{cases}
1 & \text{if } \Delta\theta \leq 6° \text{ and } |\theta| \geq 90° \\
-1 & \text{if } \Delta\theta \leq 6° \text{ and } |\theta| < 90° \\
0 & \text{if } \Delta\theta > 6°
\end{cases}$$
> 🔍 **Technical Note:** The correlation-based approach provides robust phase estimation even in noisy market conditions, while the unwrapping mechanism ensures continuous phase tracking across cycle boundaries.
## Interpretation Details
* **Phasor Angle (Primary Output):**
- **+90°**: Potential cycle peak region
- **0°**: Mid-cycle ascending phase
- **-90°**: Potential cycle trough region
- **±180°**: Mid-cycle descending phase
* **Phase Progression:**
- Continuous upward movement → Normal cycle progression
- Phase stalling → Potential cycle extension or trend development
- Rapid phase changes → Cycle compression or volatility spike
* **Derived Period Analysis:**
- Period < 10 → High-frequency cycle dominance
- Period 15-40 → Typical swing trading cycles
- Period > 50 → Trending market conditions
* **Trend State Variable:**
- **+1**: Long trend conditions (slow phase change in extreme zones)
- **-1**: Short trend or consolidation (slow phase change in neutral zones)
- **0**: Active cycling (normal phase change rate)
## Applications
* **Cycle-Based Trading:**
- Enter long positions near -90° crossings (cycle troughs)
- Enter short positions near +90° crossings (cycle peaks)
- Exit positions during mid-cycle phases (0°, ±180°)
* **Market Timing:**
- Use phase acceleration for early trend detection
- Monitor derived period for cycle length changes
- Combine with trend state for regime-appropriate strategies
* **Risk Management:**
- Adjust position sizes based on cycle clarity (derived period stability)
- Implement different risk parameters for trending vs. cycling regimes
- Use phase velocity for stop-loss placement timing
## Limitations and Considerations
* **Parameter Sensitivity:**
- Fixed period assumption may not match actual market cycles
- Requires cycle period optimization for different markets and timeframes
- Performance degrades when multiple cycles interfere
* **Computational Complexity:**
- Correlation calculations over full period windows
- Multiple mathematical transformations increase processing requirements
- Real-time implementation requires efficient algorithms
* **Market Conditions:**
- Most effective in markets with clear cyclical behavior
- May provide false signals during strong trending periods
- Requires sufficient historical data for correlation analysis
Complementary Indicators:
* MESA Adaptive Moving Average (cycle-based smoothing)
* Dominant Cycle Period indicators
* Detrended Price Oscillator (cycle identification)
## References
1. Ehlers, J.F. "Cycle Analytics for Traders." Wiley, 2013.
2. Ehlers, J.F. "Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures." Wiley, 2004.
Inflection Nexus - SPAInflection Nexus - SPA: Self-Adapting Trend Reversal System
Overview
Inflection Nexus - SPA (Shadow Portfolio Adaptation) is an adaptive trend-following indicator that automatically optimizes its parameters in real-time through a unique shadow testing methodology. Unlike traditional static indicators that use fixed ATR periods and multipliers, this system continuously evaluates multiple parameter combinations in the background and dynamically adjusts to current market conditions without manual intervention.
What Makes This Original
The core innovation is the Shadow Portfolio Adaptation (SPA) engine, which runs parallel virtual portfolios in the background to test different ATR period and multiplier combinations. The system tracks the performance of these shadow portfolios over rolling windows and automatically switches to the best-performing parameter set. This creates a self-improving indicator that adapts to changing volatility regimes, trending vs. ranging markets, and shifting market dynamics without requiring user reconfiguration.
This is not simply a combination of existing indicators. The SPA engine is a novel approach that transforms the traditional Supertrend methodology from a static tool into an adaptive system with built-in machine learning principles.
Core Components and How They Work Together
1. Adaptive Supertrend Foundation
The base trend detection uses an ATR-based Supertrend calculation with your chosen source (default: hlcc4 for smoothness). Rather than using fixed parameters, the system starts with your configured ATR Period and Multiplier as baseline values.
2. Shadow Portfolio Adaptation Engine
This is where the innovation happens. The system simultaneously tests multiple parameter variations in the background:
- Creates shadow portfolios with different ATR periods (spanning from your base period minus a range to plus a range)
- Tests different ATR multipliers for each period
- Each shadow portfolio tracks virtual trade performance over a configurable lookback window
- Calculates a confidence score based on win rate, profit factor, and trade frequency
- Automatically switches to the best-performing parameter combination
- Implements smooth transitions to prevent whipsaw from parameter changes
The adaptation happens continuously, allowing the system to shift from tight, responsive settings during low volatility to wider, more conservative settings during high volatility periods.
3. Signal Generation Logic
The system offers two complementary signal modes:
Reversal Mode (default): Identifies potential trend exhaustion points. A sell signal requires price to make a new structural high while the trend is bullish, then flip bearish. This captures the exact moment a trend runs out of momentum. The "Require New High/Low During Trend" filter ensures signals only occur at genuine extremes, not mid-range noise.
Breakout Mode (optional): Identifies trend continuation. Signals occur when price breaks to new highs/lows in the direction of the current trend, confirming momentum rather than reversing it.
4. Multi-Layer Confirmation Filters
Each signal passes through optional quality filters:
- RSI Momentum Filter : Ensures buy signals occur after RSI has been oversold (preventing buying into exhaustion) and sell signals occur after RSI has been overbought
- Volume Spike Confirmation : Requires increased volume relative to recent average, confirming conviction behind the move
- Major Level Filter : Ensures signals only occur after significant price moves (measured in ATR multiples), filtering out minor fluctuations
5. Risk Management Integration
The dashboard displays real-time metrics including:
- Current regime classification (Trending, Volatile, Ranging)
- Shadow portfolio performance tracking
- Adaptive confidence scores
- Parameter evolution log
- Market heat map showing probability zones
How to Use This Indicator
Setup:
1. Apply the indicator to your chart
2. Start with default settings for your first session
3. The SPA engine requires a warm-up period (controlled by "Learning Window") to gather sufficient data - expect optimal adaptation after 100-200 bars
4. Enable the dashboard to monitor the adaptation process and current market regime
Signal Interpretation:
- Long signals (green triangles below price): Enter long when the system detects a potential bullish reversal or breakout
- Short signals (red triangles above price): Enter short when the system detects a potential bearish reversal or breakout
- Dashboard color coding : Green regime = favorable for trend-following, Yellow = volatile (use caution), Red = choppy (consider reducing position size)
Best Practices:
- Use Reversal Mode in swing trading environments where you want to catch major turning points
- Use Breakout Mode in strong trending markets where you want confirmation entries
- Enable both modes for comprehensive coverage, but filter by the regime indicator
- The "Min Bars Between Signals" setting prevents over-trading - start at 10-12 bars for most timeframes
- Pay attention to the "Map Heat" metric - higher active cells indicate more defined market structure
Parameter Optimization:
The system is designed to self-optimize, but you can guide it:
- Sensitivity : Lower values (15-25) for intraday scalping, higher values (40-60) for swing trading
- ATR Period : Your baseline starting point - the SPA engine will explore around this value
- Multiplier : Your baseline band width - the engine tests variations of this
- Learning Window : How many bars of data the shadow portfolios evaluate (200-500 for most markets)
- Adaptation Frequency : How often the system checks for better parameters (30-50 bars balances responsiveness and stability)
Dashboard Insights:
The three-panel dashboard provides real-time intelligence:
- Panel A shows current signal state, trend direction, and overall market regime
- Panel B displays shadow portfolio statistics, confidence scores, and the adaptation log
- The regime classification helps you understand if current market conditions favor trending strategies or if you should reduce exposure
Calculation Methodology
The system operates in three phases:
Phase 1 - Base Calculation:
- Calculates ATR using your specified period and method (RMA for smoothness)
- Identifies structural highs/lows using the sensitivity parameter
- Computes initial Supertrend bands: Price ± (ATR × Multiplier)
Phase 2 - Shadow Testing:
- Creates a grid of parameter combinations (ATR periods from base-5 to base+15, multipliers from base-0.5 to base+1.0)
- For each combination, simulates trade entries and exits over the learning window
- Tracks metrics: win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, trade count
- Calculates a confidence score using weighted metrics (win rate × 0.4 + profit factor × 0.3 + normalized trade frequency × 0.3)
Phase 3 - Adaptive Selection:
- Every N bars (adaptation frequency), ranks all shadow portfolios by confidence score
- Selects the highest-scoring parameter set
- Implements parameter change with transition smoothing to prevent signal disruption
- Logs the change and updates the dashboard
This creates a continuous feedback loop where the indicator learns from recent market behavior and adjusts its sensitivity accordingly.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance:
- Markets with clear swing structure (forex majors, liquid stocks, major indices)
- Timeframes from 5-minute to daily (indicator adapts across timeframes)
- Trending markets with periodic consolidations (where reversals are meaningful)
Challenging Conditions:
- Extremely low liquidity assets (insufficient price action for adaptation)
- Very low timeframes (1-minute or below) where noise dominates
- Markets in deep consolidation for extended periods (the system will reduce signal frequency appropriately)
Technical Notes
- The indicator uses lookback functions with a 5000-bar maximum, ensuring sufficient historical context
- Shadow portfolios are lightweight - they don't execute actual trades, only track hypothetical P&L
- The confidence-based selection prevents the system from chasing random variations
- The minimum bars between signals prevents over-fitting to short-term fluctuations
- All calculations are performed on closed bars to prevent repainting
Recommended Settings by Trading Style
Day Trading (5-15 min charts):
- Sensitivity: 20-30
- ATR Period: 14-20
- Multiplier: 1.2-1.5
- Min Bars Between Signals: 8-12
- Enable RSI Filter: Yes
Swing Trading (1H-4H charts):
- Sensitivity: 30-50
- ATR Period: 20-30
- Multiplier: 1.5-2.0
- Min Bars Between Signals: 10-15
- Enable Major Levels Only: Optional
Position Trading (Daily charts):
- Sensitivity: 50-80
- ATR Period: 30-40
- Multiplier: 2.0-2.5
- Min Bars Between Signals: 5-10
- Enable Breakout Mode: Consider
The SPA engine will refine these starting points automatically based on actual market performance.
Important Disclaimers
This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential trend changes and continuation points. It should not be used as a standalone trading system. Always combine with proper risk management, position sizing, and additional confirmation methods. Past performance of the adaptation engine does not guarantee future results. The shadow portfolio system is designed to improve parameter selection, but no indicator can predict market movements with certainty.
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
HTF Supply & Demand Zones 📊 Overview
Advanced supply and demand zone indicator that automatically detects institutional-level price zones on higher timeframes and dynamically adapts zone colors based on price position. Zones below price act as demand (support) and zones above price act as supply (resistance).
✨ Key Features
🎯 Dynamic Zone Recognition
- Smart Color Adaptation: Zones automatically change from demand (green) to supply (red) when price crosses them
- Higher Timeframe Analysis: Detect zones from any timeframe while trading on lower timeframes
- Base/Blast Pattern Detection**: Identifies strong institutional zones using base-blast candle methodology
- Automatic Zone Flipping: Broken demand zones become supply and vice versa
📈 Zone Detection Method
Uses the proven Base & Blast candle pattern:
- Base Candle: Small consolidation candle with minimal wick
- Blast Candle: Strong momentum candle breaking from the base
- Customizable Ratio: Adjust base/blast body size ratio (default 8:1)
- Wick Filter: Ensures clean base candles for higher probability zones
🎨 Visual Features
- Clean Zone Boxes: Extended zones with customizable colors and transparency
- Smart Labels: Display zone type and touch count
- Touch Counter: Track how many times price has tested each zone
- Info Dashboard: Real-time statistics in top-right corner
⚙️ Zone Management
- Auto-Delete After X Touches**: Remove zones after specified number of tests (default: 5)
- Optional Break Deletion**: Choose whether to delete zones when price breaks through
- Maximum Zone Limit**: Control chart cleanliness by limiting displayed zones
- Extended Zones**: All zones extend to the right for forward visibility
🔧 Settings
Detection Parameters
- Higher Timeframe: Select any timeframe for zone detection (empty = current timeframe)
- Base/Blast Ratio: 4.0 to 30.0 (default: 8.0) - Higher = stronger zones, fewer signals
- Wick Threshold: 0.1 to 0.5 (default: 0.3) - Maximum base candle wick size
Display Options
- Toggle demand/supply zones independently
- Maximum zones to display (1-50)
- Show/hide zone labels
- Customizable colors for demand and supply zones
- Adjustable border width
Zone Management
- Delete after X touches (1-30 touches)
- Delete on break option
- Touch counter displays current/max touches
💡 How to Use
For Swing Trading
1. Set timeframe to Daily or Weekly
2. Use 8:1 ratio for high-quality zones
3. Enable auto-delete after 3-5 touches
4. Trade pullbacks to green zones (demand) for longs
5. Trade rallies to red zones (supply) for shorts
For Day Trading
1. Set timeframe to 1H or 4H
2. Use 6:1 ratio for more zones
3. Watch for zone color changes as confirmation
4. Enter when price retests zones in the direction of the higher timeframe trend
For Scalping
1. Set timeframe to 15m or 1H
2. Use 5:1 ratio for frequent signals
3. Focus on first touch of fresh zones
4. Use lower timeframes for precise entries
📋 Best Practices
✅ DO:
- Use zones from higher timeframes for better reliability
- Wait for zone color change as confirmation of flip
- Focus on first 2-3 touches of a zone
- Combine with trend analysis
- Use zones as targets and entry levels
❌ DON'T:
- Trade every zone - quality over quantity
- Ignore the touch counter
- Use on very low timeframes without HTF context
- Trade zones that have been tested many times
🎓 Understanding Dynamic Colors
Green Zones (Demand) = Below current price = Support = Look for bounces
Red Zones (Supply) = Above current price = Resistance = Look for rejections
When price breaks a green zone downward, it flips to red (former support becomes resistance)
When price breaks a red zone upward, it flips to green (former resistance becomes support)
📊 Info Dashboard
The top-right table displays:
- Active timeframe
- Current demand zones count (below price)
- Current supply zones count (above price)
- Active base/blast ratio
- Maximum touches setting
🔔 Trading Signals
High Probability Setups:
- Fresh zones (0-1 touches) on higher timeframes
- Zones that align with major support/resistance
- First test after a zone color flip
- Multiple timeframe confluence
Avoid:
- Zones with 4+ touches
- Zones in choppy/ranging markets
- Counter-trend zones during strong momentum
⚡ Performance Notes
- Maximum 500 boxes and lines supported
- Optimized for real-time scanning
- Minimal resource usage
- No repainting - all zones are confirmed
🎯 Recommended Settings by Trading Style
Conservative (Higher Quality)
- Ratio: 10:1
- Wick Threshold: 0.2
- Delete After: 3 touches
Balanced (Default)
- Ratio: 8:1
- Wick Threshold: 0.3
- Delete After: 5 touches
Aggressive (More Signals)
- Ratio: 6:1
- Wick Threshold: 0.4
- Delete After: 7 touches
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📖 Additional Resources
For more information on supply and demand trading:
- Study institutional order flow
- Learn base and blast candle patterns
- Understand market structure and liquidity zones
- Practice on demo before live trading
Risk Warning: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis. Always use proper risk management and combine with your trading strategy. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
---
Compatible with all markets: Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Futures, and Indices
Version: 1.0 | Language: Pine Script v5
Kernel Market Dynamics🔍 Kernel Market Dynamics Pro - Advanced Distribution Divergence Detection System
OVERVIEW
Kernel Market Dynamics Pro (KMD Pro) is a revolutionary market regime detection system that employs Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) - a cutting-edge statistical technique from machine learning - to identify when market behavior diverges from its recent historical distribution patterns. The system transforms complex statistical divergence analysis into actionable trading signals through kernel density estimation, regime classification algorithms, and multi-dimensional visualization frameworks that reveal hidden market transitions before traditional indicators can detect them.
WHAT MAKES IT ORIGINAL
While conventional indicators measure price or momentum divergence, KMD Pro analyzes distribution divergence - detecting when the statistical properties of market returns fundamentally shift from their baseline state. This approach, borrowed from high-frequency trading and quantitative finance, uses kernel methods to map market data into high-dimensional feature spaces where regime changes become mathematically detectable. The system is the first TradingView implementation to combine MMD with real-time regime visualization, making institutional-grade statistical arbitrage techniques accessible to retail traders.
HOW IT WORKS (Technical Methodology)
1. KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION ENGINE
Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) Calculation:
The core innovation - measures distance between probability distributions:
• Maps return distributions to Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS)
• Computes empirical mean embeddings for reference and test windows
• Calculates supremum of mean differences across all RKHS functions
• MMD = ||μ_P - μ_Q||_H where H is the RKHS induced by kernel k
Three Kernel Functions Available:
RBF (Radial Basis Function) Kernel:
• k(x,y) = exp(-||x-y||²/2σ²)
• Gaussian kernel with smooth, infinite-dimensional feature mapping
• Bandwidth σ controls sensitivity (0.5-10.0 user configurable)
• Optimal for normally distributed returns
• Default choice providing balanced sensitivity
Laplacian Kernel:
• k(x,y) = exp(-|x-y|/σ)
• Exponential decay with heavier tails than RBF
• More sensitive to outliers and sudden moves
• Ideal for volatile, news-driven markets
• Faster regime shift detection at cost of more false positives
Cauchy Kernel:
• k(x,y) = 1/(1 + ||x-y||²/σ²)
• Heavy-tailed distribution from statistical physics
• Robust to extreme values and fat-tail events
• Best for cryptocurrency and emerging markets
• Most stable signals with fewer whipsaws
Implementation Details:
• Reference window: 30-300 bars of baseline distribution
• Test window: 10-100 bars of recent distribution
• Double-sum kernel matrix computation with O(m*n) complexity
• EMA smoothing (period 3) reduces noise in raw MMD
• Real-time updates every bar with incremental calculation
2. REGIME DETECTION FRAMEWORK
Three-State Regime Classification:
STABLE Regime (MMD < threshold):
• Market follows historical distribution patterns
• Mean-reverting behavior dominates
• Low probability of breakouts
• Reduced position sizing recommended
• Visual: Subtle background coloring
SHIFTING Regime (threshold < MMD < 2×threshold):
• Distribution divergence detected
• Transition period with directional bias emerging
• Optimal entry zone for trend-following
• Increased volatility expected
• Visual: Yellow/orange zone highlighting
EXTREME Regime (MMD > 2×threshold):
• Severe distribution anomaly
• Black swan or structural break potential
• Maximum caution required
• Consider hedging or exit
• Visual: Red/magenta warning zones
Adaptive Threshold System:
• Base threshold: 0.05-1.0 (default 0.15)
• Volatility adjustment: ±30% based on ATR ratio
• Regime persistence: 20-bar minimum for stability
• Cooldown periods prevent signal clustering
3. DIRECTIONAL BIAS DETERMINATION
Multi-Factor Direction Analysis:
Distribution Mean Comparison:
• Recent mean = SMA(normalized_returns, test_window)
• Reference mean = SMA(normalized_returns, reference_window)
• Direction = sign(recent_mean - reference_mean)
Momentum Confluence:
• Price momentum = close - close
• Volume momentum = volume/SMA(volume, reference_window)
• Weighted composite direction score
Trend Alignment:
• Fast EMA vs Slow EMA positioning
• Slope analysis of regression line
• Multi-timeframe bias confirmation (optional)
4. SIGNAL GENERATION ARCHITECTURE
Entry Signal Logic:
Stage 1 - Regime Shift Detection:
• MMD crosses above threshold
• Sustained for minimum 2 bars
• No signals within cooldown period
Stage 2 - Direction Confirmation:
• Distribution mean aligns with momentum
• Volume ratio > 1.0 (optional)
• Price above/below VWAP (optional)
Stage 3 - Risk Assessment:
• Calculate ATR-based stop distance
• Verify risk/reward ratio > 1.5
• Check for nearby support/resistance
Stage 4 - Signal Generation:
• Long: Regime shift + bullish direction
• Short: Regime shift + bearish direction
• Extreme: MMD > 2×threshold warning
5. PROBABILITY CLOUD VISUALIZATION
Adaptive Confidence Intervals:
• Standard deviation multiplier = 1 + MMD × 3
• Inner band: ±0.5 ATR × multiplier (68% probability)
• Outer band: ±1.0 ATR × multiplier (95% probability)
• Width expands with divergence magnitude
• Real-time adjustment every bar
Interpretation:
• Narrow cloud: Low uncertainty, stable regime
• Wide cloud: High uncertainty, shifting regime
• Asymmetric cloud: Directional bias present
6. MOMENTUM FLOW VECTORS
Three-Style Momentum Visualization:
Flow Arrows:
• Length proportional to momentum strength
• Width indicates confidence (1-3 pixels)
• Angle shows rate of change
• Frequency: Every 5 bars or on events
Gradient Bars:
• Vertical lines from price
• Height = momentum/ATR ratio
• Opacity based on strength
• Continuous flow indication
Momentum Ribbon:
• Envelope around price action
• Expands in momentum direction
• Color intensity shows strength
7. SIGNAL CONNECTION SYSTEM
Relationship Mapping:
• Links consecutive signals with lines
• Solid lines: Same direction (continuation)
• Dotted lines: Opposite direction (reversal)
• Maximum 10 connections maintained
• Distance limit: 100 bars
Purpose:
• Identifies signal clusters
• Shows trend development
• Reveals regime persistence
• Confirms directional bias
8. REGIME ZONE MAPPING
Unified Zone Visualization:
• Main zones: Full regime periods (entry to exit)
• Emphasis zones: Specific trigger points
• Historical memory: Last 20 regime shifts
• Color gradient based on intensity
• Border style indicates zone type
Zone Analytics:
• Duration tracking
• Maximum excursion
• Retest probability
• Support/resistance conversion
9. DYNAMIC RISK MANAGEMENT
ATR-Based Position Sizing:
• Stop loss: 1.0 × ATR from entry
• Target 1: 2.0 × ATR (2R)
• Target 2: 4.0 × ATR (4R)
• Volatility-adjusted scaling
Visual Target System:
• Entry pointer lines
• Target boxes with prices
• Stop boxes with invalidation
• Real-time P&L tracking
10. PROFESSIONAL DASHBOARD
Real-Time Metrics Display:
Primary Metrics:
• Current MMD value and threshold
• Risk level (MMD/threshold ratio)
• Velocity (rate of change)
• Acceleration (second derivative)
Signal Information:
• Active signal type and entry
• Stop loss and targets
• Current P&L percentage
• Bars since signal
Market Metrics:
• Directional bias (BULL/BEAR)
• Confidence percentage
• Win rate statistics
• Signal count tracking
Visual Design:
• Four position options
• Three size modes
• Five color themes
• Gauge visualizations
• Status banners
11. MMD INFO PANEL
Floating Statistics:
• Compact 3×4 table
• MMD vs threshold comparison
• Velocity with direction arrows
• Current bias indication
• Always-visible reference
FIVE COLOR THEMES
Quantum: Cyan/Magenta/Yellow - Modern, high contrast, optimal visibility
Matrix: Green/Red - Classic terminal aesthetic, traditional
Fire: Orange/Gold/Red - Warm spectrum, energetic feel
Aurora: Northern lights palette - Unique, beautiful gradients
Nebula: Deep space colors - Purple/Blue, futuristic
HOW TO USE
Step 1: Select Your Kernel
• RBF for normal markets (stocks, forex majors)
• Laplacian for volatile markets (small-caps, news-driven)
• Cauchy for fat-tail markets (crypto, emerging markets)
Step 2: Configure Bandwidth
• 0.5-2.0: Scalping (high sensitivity)
• 2.0-5.0: Day trading (balanced)
• 5.0-10.0: Swing trading (smooth signals)
Step 3: Set Analysis Windows
• Reference: 3-5× your holding period
• Test: Reference ÷ 3 approximately
• Adjust based on timeframe
Step 4: Calibrate Threshold
• Start with 0.15 default
• Increase if too many signals
• Decrease for earlier detection
Step 5: Enable Visuals
• Probability Cloud for volatility assessment
• Momentum Flow for direction confirmation
• Regime Zones for historical context
• Signal Connections for trend visualization
Step 6: Monitor Dashboard
• Check MMD vs threshold
• Verify regime state
• Confirm directional bias
• Review confidence metrics
Step 7: Execute Signals
• Wait for triangle markers
• Verify regime shift confirmed
• Check risk/reward setup
• Enter at close or next open
Step 8: Manage Position
• Place stop at calculated level
• Scale out at Target 1 (2R)
• Trail remainder to Target 2 (4R)
• Exit if regime reverses
OPTIMIZATION GUIDE
By Market Type:
Forex Majors:
• Kernel: RBF
• Bandwidth: 2.0-3.0
• Windows: 100/30
• Threshold: 0.15
Stock Indices:
• Kernel: RBF
• Bandwidth: 3.0-4.0
• Windows: 150/50
• Threshold: 0.20
Cryptocurrencies:
• Kernel: Cauchy
• Bandwidth: 2.5-3.5
• Windows: 100/30
• Threshold: 0.10-0.15
Commodities:
• Kernel: Laplacian
• Bandwidth: 2.0-3.0
• Windows: 200/60
• Threshold: 0.15-0.25
By Timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m):
• Test Window: 10-20
• Reference: 50-100
• Bandwidth: 1.0-2.0
• Cooldown: 5-10 bars
Day Trading (15m-1H):
• Test Window: 30-50
• Reference: 100-150
• Bandwidth: 2.0-3.0
• Cooldown: 10-20 bars
Swing Trading (4H-Daily):
• Test Window: 50-100
• Reference: 200-300
• Bandwidth: 3.0-5.0
• Cooldown: 20-50 bars
ADVANCED FEATURES
Multi-Timeframe Capability:
• HTF MMD calculation via security()
• Regime alignment across timeframes
• Fractal analysis support
Statistical Arbitrage Mode:
• Pair trading applications
• Spread divergence detection
• Cointegration breaks
Machine Learning Integration:
• Export signals for ML training
• Regime labels for classification
• Feature extraction support
PERFORMANCE METRICS
Computational Complexity:
• MMD calculation: O(m×n) where m,n are window sizes
• Memory usage: O(m+n) for kernel matrices
• Update frequency: Every bar (real-time)
• Optimization: Incremental updates where possible
Typical Signal Frequency:
• Conservative settings: 2-5 signals/week
• Balanced settings: 5-10 signals/week
• Aggressive settings: 10-20 signals/week
Win Rate Expectations:
• Trend following mode: 40-50% wins, 2:1 reward/risk
• Mean reversion mode: 60-70% wins, 1:1 reward/risk
• Depends heavily on market conditions
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
• This indicator detects statistical divergence, not future price direction
• MMD measures distribution distance, not predictive probability
• Past regime shifts do not guarantee future performance
• Kernel methods are descriptive statistics, not AI predictions
• Requires minimum 100 bars historical data for stability
• Performance varies significantly across market conditions
• Not suitable for illiquid or heavily manipulated markets
• Always use proper risk management and position sizing
• Backtest thoroughly on your specific instruments
• This is an analysis tool, not a complete trading system
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Maximum Mean Discrepancy was introduced by Gretton et al. (2012) as a kernel-based statistical test for comparing distributions. In financial markets, we adapt this technique to detect when return distributions shift, indicating potential regime changes. The mathematical rigor of MMD provides a robust, non-parametric approach to identifying market transitions without assuming specific distribution shapes.
SUPPORT & UPDATES
• Questions or configuration help via TradingView messaging
• Bug reports addressed within 48 hours
• Feature requests considered for monthly updates
• Video tutorials available on request
• Join our community for strategy discussions
FINAL NOTES
KMD Pro represents a paradigm shift in technical analysis - moving from price-based indicators to distribution-based detection. By measuring statistical divergence rather than price divergence, the system identifies regime changes that precede traditional breakouts. This anticipatory capability, combined with comprehensive visualization and risk management, provides traders with an institutional-grade toolkit for navigating modern market dynamics.
Remember: The edge comes not from the indicator alone, but from understanding when market distributions diverge from their normal state and positioning accordingly. Use KMD Pro as part of a complete trading strategy that includes fundamental analysis, risk management, and market context.
[PS] Planetary Movements & Nakshatras - Adv Astrological Trading🌟 Planetary Movements & Nakshatras - Advanced Astrological Trading Indicator
📊 Overview
Planetary Movements & Nakshatras is a comprehensive Pine Script indicator that bridges ancient Vedic astrology with modern technical analysis. This powerful tool overlays planetary positions, transitions, alignments, and nakshatras (lunar mansions) directly on your price charts, providing unique insights into potential market movements based on celestial patterns.
🎯 Key Features
1. Real-Time Planetary Tracking
Displays current positions of 7 major celestial bodies: Sun ☉, Moon ☽, Mercury ☿, Venus ♀, Mars ♂, Jupiter ♃, and Saturn ♄
Shows each planet's current zodiac sign and nakshatra
Optional degree display for precise astronomical positioning
Color-coded labels for easy identification
2. Industry-Specific Intelligence
Choose from 15 industry classifications with customized planetary and nakshatra associations:
Technology - Mercury, Rahu, Uranus (Innovation & Communication)
Finance/Banking - Jupiter, Mercury, Venus (Wealth & Trade)
Healthcare/Pharma - Sun, Moon, Jupiter (Vitality & Healing)
Energy/Oil - Sun, Mars (Power & Energy)
Agriculture - Moon, Venus, Jupiter (Growth & Fertility)
Real Estate - Saturn, Mars, Venus (Property & Construction)
Media/Entertainment - Venus, Mercury, Moon (Arts & Creativity)
Transportation - Mars, Mercury, Moon (Movement & Travel)
Metals/Mining - Saturn, Mars, Sun (Minerals & Iron)
FMCG/Retail - Venus, Mercury, Moon (Commerce & Consumer Goods)
Telecom - Mercury, Rahu (Communication & Networks)
Automobile - Mars, Saturn, Mercury (Machinery & Engineering)
Defense - Mars, Sun, Saturn (War & Discipline)
Education - Jupiter, Mercury, Moon (Knowledge & Learning)
General - All planets (Universal application)
Primary planets for each industry are marked with ★ and highlighted with vibrant colors, while secondary planets appear muted.
3. 27 Nakshatras (Lunar Mansions)
Complete coverage of all 27 Vedic nakshatras from Ashwini to Revati:
Each nakshatra spans 13.33° of the zodiac
Industry-specific favorable nakshatras marked with ✓
Visual nakshatra boundaries with dotted lines
Configurable display: Lines, Labels, Both, or None
Enhanced visualization for auspicious nakshatras
4. Planetary Transitions & Sign Changes
Track when planets change zodiac signs (every 30°):
Triangle markers indicate sign transitions
Historical price impact displayed with each transition
Shows average upward ↑% and downward ↓% swing following the event
Significant transitions highlighted at chart bottom
Regular transitions appear at chart top
5. Planetary Alignments & Aspects
Detects major astronomical events:
Conjunctions - Planets in the same position (customizable orb: 1-15°)
Oppositions - Planets 180° apart (customizable orb: 1-15°)
Sun-Moon Conjunctions (New Moon) - Powerful market turning points
Sun-Moon Oppositions (Full Moon) - High volatility periods
Jupiter-Saturn Conjunctions - Major cycle indicators (every 20 years)
Background highlighting for major alignments
6. Advanced Pattern Detection System
Machine learning-inspired historical analysis:
Automatic Pattern Recognition - Identifies recurring planetary configurations
Swing Analysis - Calculates price movements following each event
Configurable Parameters:
Minimum Swing Threshold (0.5% - 50%)
Lookforward Period (5-180 days)
Minimum Occurrences (1-10 instances)
Statistical Tracking:
Count of pattern occurrences
Average upward swing percentage
Average downward swing percentage
Maximum upward swing
Maximum downward swing
Industry Relevance Filtering - Focus only on patterns relevant to your sector
7. Three Interactive Information Tables
📋 Industry Planet Guide Table (Configurable Position)
Shows primary planets to watch for your selected industry
Lists favorable nakshatras for optimal timing
Legend explaining symbols (★ = Primary, ✓ = Favorable)
Compact format with color-coded information
📊 Pattern Statistics Table (Configurable Position)
Historical performance data for all detected patterns
Sortable by significance
Columns: Pattern Name, Count, Avg↑%, Avg↓%, Max↑%, Max↓%, Relevance
Color-coded thresholds (green for bullish, red for bearish)
Industry relevance marked with ★
Shows up to 15 most significant patterns
🔮 Future Events Table (Configurable Position)
Projects planetary events up to 365 days into the future
Lists upcoming transitions, conjunctions, and oppositions
Shows historical average price impacts for each future event
Date, Event type, Sign/Nakshatra, Expected swing percentages
Significant events marked with ★
Displays up to 20 upcoming events
Table Positioning: Each table can be placed in any of 9 positions:
Top: Left, Center, Right
Middle: Left, Center, Right
Bottom: Left, Center, Right
8. Visual Enhancements
Nakshatra Boundary Lines - Dotted vertical lines every 27 bars
Color-Coded Events - Orange (Sun), Silver (Moon), Yellow (Mercury), Green (Venus), Red (Mars), Purple (Jupiter), Blue (Saturn)
Significance Highlighting - Bright colors for high-impact events, muted for regular events
Background Shading - Subtle yellow for Sun-Moon conjunctions, purple for Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions
Responsive Labels - Adjustable size (tiny, small, normal, large)
9. Astronomical Calculations
Julian Day Number conversion for precise date handling
Keplerian Orbital Elements for planetary position calculation
J2000 Epoch (January 1, 2000) as reference point
Accurate for historical, current, and future dates
Accounts for mean longitude and orbital mechanics
🎛️ Comprehensive Settings
Industry Settings
15 industry types with pre-configured planetary associations
Planets Group
Toggle planetary positions display
Toggle transition markers
Toggle alignment indicators
Planet Selection
Individual on/off switches for all 7 planets
Mix and match based on your trading strategy
Pattern Detection
Enable/disable pattern recognition
Minimum swing threshold (%)
Days to measure swing impact
Minimum pattern occurrences for validity
Highlight significant events
Filter by industry-relevant planets
Alignments
Conjunction orb (1-15°)
Opposition orb (1-15°)
Customizable sensitivity
Display Options
Label size selection
Show/hide degree measurements
Toggle all three information tables
Nakshatra display modes
Table Settings
Show/hide Future Events Table
Show/hide Pattern Statistics Table
Show/hide Industry Guide Table
Configure position for each table (9 positions)
Adjust future projection days (30-365)
Nakshatras
Display modes: Lines, Labels, Both, or None
Automatic favorable nakshatra highlighting
💡 Use Cases
Timing Market Entries & Exits
Identify high-probability periods using planetary alignments
Watch for favorable nakshatra transits in your industry
Track historical success rates of specific planetary configurations
Risk Management
Be aware of volatile periods (Full Moons, major transitions)
Reduce position sizes during unfavorable planetary periods
Increase exposure during auspicious nakshatra alignments
Industry-Specific Analysis
Technology stocks may respond to Mercury movements
Banking stocks may correlate with Jupiter-Venus alignments
Energy stocks may track Sun-Mars aspects
Long-Term Cycle Analysis
Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions mark major market cycles (20-year cycles)
Saturn transitions indicate sector rotation (2.5-year cycles)
Jupiter transitions show expansion/contraction phases (1-year cycles)
Intraday & Swing Trading
Moon transitions every 2.5 days for short-term timing
Mercury retrogrades for communication/tech sector volatility
Venus transitions for consumer goods and luxury items
Pattern Backtesting
Quantify historical price impacts of specific events
Build confidence in planetary timing strategies
Compare multiple patterns for optimal selection
📈 Performance & Optimization
Efficient Calculations - Optimized algorithms for minimal lag
Smart Pattern Storage - Tracks only significant patterns
Configurable Display Limits - Control label and line counts
Future Projection - Pre-calculates events without real-time overhead
Industry Filtering - Reduces noise by focusing on relevant patterns
🔧 Technical Specifications
Pine Script Version: 6
Chart Type: Overlay (true)
Max Labels: 500
Max Lines: 500
Max Boxes: 500
Calculation Method: Simplified Keplerian orbital mechanics
Date Range: Works for past, present, and future dates
Zodiac System: Tropical (Western) zodiac with Vedic nakshatras
🌙 Nakshatra Reference
All 27 nakshatras are supported with industry-specific favorable classifications:
Ashwini - Swift action, healing, pioneering (Tech, Auto, Transport)
Bharani - Transformation, restraint (Defense, Entertainment)
Krittika - Purification, cutting through (Energy, Real Estate, Metals)
Rohini - Growth, beauty, fertility (Finance, Agriculture, FMCG)
Mrigashira - Seeking, curiosity (Agriculture, Auto)
Ardra - Storm, transformation, breakthroughs (Tech, Telecom)
Punarvasu - Renewal, expansion (Agriculture, Transport, Telecom, Education)
Pushya - Nourishment, prosperity (Finance, Healthcare, Agriculture, Education)
Ashlesha - Control, mysticism (Healthcare)
Magha - Power, authority, leadership (Energy, Metals, Defense)
... and 17 more nakshatras with specific industry associations
🎨 Color Scheme
Sun ☉ - Orange (vitality, authority)
Moon ☽ - Silver (emotions, public)
Mercury ☿ - Yellow (communication, intellect)
Venus ♀ - Green (beauty, wealth, harmony)
Mars ♂ - Red (action, energy, conflict)
Jupiter ♃ - Purple (expansion, wisdom, fortune)
Saturn ♄ - Blue (restriction, discipline, structure)
📚 Trading Strategy Ideas
The Industry-Specific Strategy
Select your stock's industry classification
Focus only on primary planet transitions (marked with ★)
Wait for favorable nakshatra alignments (marked with ✓)
Check Pattern Statistics Table for historical success rate
Enter on confluence of favorable conditions
The Alignment Trading Strategy
Monitor Sun-Moon conjunctions (New Moons) for trend reversals
Track Sun-Moon oppositions (Full Moons) for volatility spikes
Use conjunction orb settings to fine-tune sensitivity
Compare with technical support/resistance levels
The Pattern Recognition Strategy
Enable Pattern Detection with your preferred parameters
Set minimum swing threshold based on your risk tolerance
Focus on patterns with high occurrence counts (5+)
Use Future Events Table to plan entries in advance
Backtest patterns in Pattern Statistics Table
The Nakshatra Timing Strategy
Identify favorable nakshatras for your industry
Wait for Moon to transit through favorable nakshatras
Combine with planetary transitions for stronger signals
Use nakshatra boundary lines for visual confirmation
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. Planetary positions and astrological calculations should not be the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and proper risk management. Past performance of planetary patterns does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
🔄 Updates & Support
This indicator combines ancient wisdom with modern data analysis. While planetary positions are calculated using established astronomical formulas, the correlation between celestial events and market movements is a subject of ongoing research and debate. Use this tool as one component of a comprehensive trading strategy.
Profitolio Swing Strategy V1.2Profitolio Swing Strategy V1.2 - User Guide
Overview
The Profitolio Swing Strategy (PSS V1.2) is a comprehensive swing trading indicator designed to identify high-probability trade setups by combining multiple technical analysis methods. This indicator helps traders capture medium-term price movements while managing risk effectively.
What This Indicator Does
This indicator analyzes market momentum and volatility to generate clear BUY and SELL signals. It uses a confluence approach, meaning signals only appear when multiple conditions align, reducing false signals and improving trade quality.
Key Features
Visual Components
1. Signal Markers
Green Triangle (BUY): Appears below candles when bullish conditions align
Red Triangle (SELL): Appears above candles when bearish conditions align
2. Reference Lines
Blue Line: 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) - shows medium-term trend direction
Orange Circles: Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) - represents fair value based on price and volume
3. Stoploss Management
Red Horizontal Line: Active stoploss for long positions (appears after BUY signal)
Green Horizontal Line: Active stoploss for short positions (appears after SELL signal)
"SL HIT!" Label: Appears when price touches the stoploss level
4. Background Color
Light Green: Indicates overall bullish market condition
Light Red: Indicates overall bearish market condition
No Color: Neutral/mixed conditions
5. Dashboard (Top Right)
Shows the status of multiple trend variants and the final decision:
Individual variant status (Variant 1, 2, 3)
Overall decision (BULLISH/BEARISH/NEUTRAL)
Active stoploss value
Parameters Used
ATR-Based Calculations
The indicator uses different Average True Range (ATR) and multipliers which measures market volatility
Lower multipliers: More sensitive, faster signals
Higher multipliers: Less sensitive, more stable signals
Moving Averages
21 EMA: Helps identify the prevailing trend direction. Price above EMA suggests uptrend, below suggests downtrend
VWAP: Acts as dynamic support/resistance. Institutional traders often use this as a reference point
How to Use This Indicator
Step 1: Wait for Signal Confirmation
Do not trade when background is absent (neutral condition)
Look for BUY signal when background turns light green
Look for SELL signal when background turns light red
Step 2: Entry Rules
For Long Positions (BUY):
Wait for green triangle below candle
Confirm price is above the 21 EMA (blue line) for stronger probability
Enter at current market price or next candle open
For Short Positions (SELL):
Wait for red triangle above candle
Confirm price is below the 21 EMA (blue line) for stronger probability
Enter at current market price or next candle open
Step 3: Risk Management
Stoploss Placement:
For BUY trades: The indicator automatically marks a stoploss level (red line) based on recent price action
For SELL trades: The indicator automatically marks a stoploss level (green line) based on recent price action
These levels persist until hit or trend reverses
Exit Strategies:
Stoploss Exit: Exit when price hits the marked stoploss line (you'll see "SL HIT!" label)
Signal Reversal: Exit when opposite signal appears
Background Change: Consider exiting when background color disappears (trend weakening)
Step 4: Additional Confirmation
Use EMA & VWAP for Confluence:
Stronger BUY: When price is above both EMA and VWAP
Stronger SELL: When price is below both EMA and VWAP
Caution: When price is between EMA and VWAP (mixed signals)
Best Practices
✅ DO:
Use on higher timeframes (4H, Daily) for swing trading
Wait for clear signal confirmation
Respect the stoploss levels
Check dashboard for overall market condition
Use on trending markets for best results
❌ DON'T:
Trade during neutral/gray periods
Ignore stoploss levels
Trade against the background color
Use on very short timeframes (1min, 5min) - designed for swing trading
Enter trades when all three variants show mixed signals
Alert Setup
The indicator includes built-in alerts:
"All Bullish": Triggered on BUY signal
"All Bearish": Triggered on SELL signal
"Buy SL Hit": When long stoploss is touched
"Sell SL Hit": When short stoploss is touched
Timeframe Recommendations
Best: Daily, 4-Hour charts
Good: 1-Hour charts
Not Recommended: Below 1-Hour (too many false signals)
Understanding the Dashboard
The dashboard shows a breakdown of the decision-making process:
Variant 1, 2, 3: Individual component analysis
Decision: Final verdict (requires all variants to agree)
Active SL: Current stoploss level for open position
Risk Disclaimer
This indicator is a tool to assist in trading decisions. Always:
Use proper position sizing
Never risk more than 1-2% per trade
Combine with your own analysis
Practice on paper/demo accounts first
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
Note: This indicator works best in trending markets and may generate fewer signals in ranging/choppy conditions. Patience is key to successful swing trading.
Market Profile based Support/ResistanceBrought to you by Stock Kaka - Your trading sidekick 🦜📈 - pay your visit at stockkaka.my.canva.site or find us on X #StockKaka
📊 What This Indicator Does
Ever wish the market would just tell you where the important levels are? Well, buckle up, because this indicator is like having a market whisperer on your chart!
Based on cutting-edge hierarchical market structure analysis (fancy words for "smart support and resistance"), this bad boy uses ATR-based Directional Change to identify turning points that actually matter. No more guessing where price might bounce or break—let the algorithm do the heavy lifting while you sip your coffee ☕
🎯 The Five Levels Explained (From Noisy to Mighty)
Think of these levels like a pyramid of importance. Level 0 is your chatty friend who notices everything, while Level 4 is the wise oracle who only speaks when it really matters.
Level 0: The Hyperactive Scout 🐿️
What it does: Catches every little zigzag in price using ATR confirmation
Significance: Very short-term, intraday noise
Best for: Scalpers who love action every few minutes
Trader Type: "I refresh my chart 100 times an hour"
Reliability: ⭐⭐ (It's enthusiastic but easily excitable)
Level 1: The Day Trader's Buddy 🎯
What it does: Filters Level 0 to show minor swing highs/lows
Significance: Intraday support/resistance, hourly structure
Best for: Day traders, scalpers looking for better entries
Trader Type: "I close all positions before dinner"
Reliability: ⭐⭐⭐ (Solid for quick moves)
Level 2: The Swing Trader's Sweet Spot 🎪
What it does: Identifies multi-day to weekly structure points
Significance: Intermediate support/resistance where battles happen
Best for: Swing traders, position traders
Trader Type: "I hold for days, not minutes"
Reliability: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Now we're talking real structure!)
Level 3: The Big Money Magnet 💰
What it does: Shows major market structure—where the whales play
Significance: Weekly to monthly levels, institutional zones
Best for: Position traders, trend followers
Trader Type: "I think in weeks and months, not hours"
Reliability: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (These levels have gravitational pull!)
Level 4: The Market Prophet 🔮
What it does: Reveals ultra-major turning points (think: quarterly/yearly pivots)
Significance: Long-term macro structure, investment-grade levels
Best for: Investors, long-term position traders
Trader Type: "Warren Buffett is my spirit animal"
Reliability: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (When these break, market's rewrite the story)
⚙️ Parameter Setup Guide (The Secret Sauce)
The magic ingredient is the ATR Lookback Period—think of it as teaching the indicator your timeframe's "dialect." Here's your cheat sheet:
2-Minute Chart ⚡
ATR Lookback: 720 (24 hours of 2-min bars)
Who uses this: Crypto degens, futures scalpers, adrenaline junkies
Show Levels: L0, L1, L2 (L3+ won't budge much)
Pro Tip: Enable only L1 and L2 or your chart will look like spaghetti
5-Minute Chart 🏃
ATR Lookback: 288 (24 hours of 5-min bars)
Who uses this: Active day traders, news traders
Show Levels: L1, L2, L3
Pro Tip: L2 is your best friend here—perfect for intraday swings
15-Minute Chart 📈
ATR Lookback: 96 (24 hours of 15-min bars)
Who uses this: Swing traders, patient day traders
Show Levels: L1, L2, L3
Pro Tip: This is the "Goldilocks zone"—not too fast, not too slow
1-Hour Chart ⏰
ATR Lookback: 168 (1 week of hourly bars)
Who uses this: Swing traders, position traders
Show Levels: L2, L3, L4
Pro Tip: L3 levels here are like magnets for price action
Daily Chart 📅
ATR Lookback: 30 to 50 (1-2 months)
Who uses this: Investors, long-term traders, people with patience
Show Levels: L2, L3, L4
Pro Tip: L4 on dailies = "Don't fight this level, respect it"
🎨 How to Use This Thing
Add to Chart - Duh! 😄
Set Your ATR Lookback - Use the guide above (don't wing it!)
Enable Relevant Levels - Less is more! Turn off levels that just clutter
Watch the Magic - See horizontal lines appear at key S/R zones
Check the Table - Top-right corner shows current levels (fancy!)
Set Alerts - Get notified when price approaches or breaks levels
Trading Strategies 🎲
The Bounce Play:
Price approaches Level 2 or 3 support → Look for bullish reversal signals
Take profit at the next level resistance
Stop loss just below the support level
The Breakout Play:
Price breaks through Level 2/3 resistance with volume → Go long
Next level becomes your target
Failed breakout? Level becomes resistance again (classic fake-out)
The Confluence Play:
When Level 3 aligns with your favorite indicator (RSI oversold, moving average, Fibonacci) → Chef's kiss! 👨🍳💋
These multi-confirmation setups are where the money lives
🚨 Important Notes (Read This or Blame Yourself Later)
⚠️ This indicator REPAINTS on the current bar until an extreme is confirmed. That's not a bug, it's how directional change works. The past levels are solid as a rock, but the pending one is still... pending.
⚠️ More levels ≠ Better results. Showing all 5 levels is like having 5 GPS apps shouting directions at once. Pick 2-3 levels max.
⚠️ ATR Lookback matters! Wrong setting = garbage results. Use the guide above or experiment carefully.
⚠️ Volatile markets (crypto, meme stocks) work GREAT with this. Choppy, range-bound markets? Meh.
⚠️ Combine with other tools! This shows you WHERE, not WHEN. Use momentum indicators, volume, or your favorite chicken entrails for timing 🐔
🦜 Final Word from Stock Kaka
Remember: Indicators don't make money, traders do. This tool shows you where the market has historically respected structure. What you do with that info? That's on you, champ!
Use proper risk management, don't YOLO your rent money, and may your stops never get hunted 🎯
Trade smart, trade safe, and let Stock Kaka be your guide!
📝 Credits
Algorithm: neurotrader888 (Python implementation)
Pine Script Conversion: Your friendly neighborhood Stock Kaka team!!
Inspiration: Ginger chai, market inefficiencies, and a dash of chaos
📌 Tags
support-and-resistance market-structure atr directional-change multi-timeframe swing-trading day-trading levels hierarchical-analysis algo-trading
SuperTrend趋势K线渲染多空提示指标简介 / Indicator Introduction
指标名称：趋势K线渲染多空提示
Indicator Name: Trend K-line Rendering with Long/Short Signals
核心功能 / Core Function:
本指标是一款直观的主图趋势跟踪工具。它通过智能渲染K线颜色，并直接在图表上标记“多”、“空”文字，为交易者提供一目了然的趋势方向和潜在买卖点提示。
This indicator is an intuitive overlay trend-following tool. It intelligently colors the K-lines and directly marks "Long" (多) and "Short" (空) signals on the chart, providing traders with a clear visual representation of the trend direction and potential trading points.
主要特点 / Main Features:
可视化趋势识别 / Visual Trend Identification:
指标通过独特的色彩系统为K线着色，将复杂的趋势判断转化为直观的视觉信号，让您瞬间把握当前市场多空主导力量。
The indicator colors the K-lines using a unique color system, transforming complex trend judgments into intuitive visual signals, allowing you to instantly grasp the dominant bullish or bearish force in the market.
精准多空信号 / Precise Long/Short Signals:
在趋势发生关键转换时，指标会在K线的关键位置（如高点或低点附近）清晰标注“多”或“空”文字，直接提示潜在的入场时机。
At key trend transitions, the indicator clearly marks "Long" (多) or "Short" (空) near critical price points (e.g., around highs or lows), directly suggesting potential entry opportunities.
主图叠加，无需切换 / Overlay on Main Chart, No Switching Needed:
所有信号都直接呈现在主图K线上，无需在副图之间切换视线，确保您专注于价格行为本身，决策更高效。
All signals are displayed directly on the main chart's K-lines, eliminating the need to shift your focus between sub-windows and ensuring you concentrate on price action for more efficient decision-making.
适用场景 / Applicable Scenarios:
适用于所有希望通过图表颜色快速判断趋势的交易者。
Suitable for all traders who wish to quickly determine the trend through chart colors.
适用于需要清晰、直接买卖点提示的投资者。
Suitable for investors who need clear and direct buy/sell point alerts.
可作为日内交易或波段交易的趋势过滤工具。
Can be used as a trend-filtering tool for day trading or swing trading.
温馨提示 / Friendly Reminder:
建议将此工具与其他技术分析方法结合使用，以相互验证。请注意，没有任何指标能保证100%准确，请务必管理好风险。
It is recommended to use this tool in conjunction with other technical analysis methods for mutual confirmation. Please note that no indicator can guarantee 100% accuracy, so always manage your risk effectively.
Trend Candles Full ColorThe coloring over the candle sticks isn't showing up on the picture for some reason but when you click on the indicator the color coding will appear on the chart.
Trend Candles Full Color Indicator Explanation The "Trend Candles Full Color" indicator, designed for TradingView, visually enhances candlestick charts by coloring candles based on their position relative to a simple moving average (SMA). Here's how it works and how it can benefit traders: How It Works Input : Adjust the SMA period (default is 20) to define the trend length.
Logic : The indicator compares the closing price of each candle to the SMA: Green Candle : Close is above the SMA (indicating an uptrend).
Red Candle : Close is below the SMA (indicating a downtrend).
Gray Candle : Close equals the SMA (neutral/no clear trend).
Output : Candles (body, wick, and border) are colored green, red, or gray based on the trend, overlaid directly on your price chart.
Benefits and Use Cases Trend-Following Strategies Benefit: Clearly identifies bullish (green) or bearish (red) trends, helping traders ride momentum.
Example: A swing trader using a 20-period SMA can enter long positions when candles turn green (price above SMA) and exit or short when candles turn red, confirming trend reversals.
Reversal Trading Benefit: Gray candles signal indecision near the SMA, often a precursor to reversals.
Example: A day trader might watch for gray candles after a prolonged uptrend (green candles) to anticipate a potential bearish reversal, combining with other indicators like RSI for confirmation.
Scalping Benefit: Quick visual cues for short-term trend changes on lower timeframes.
Example: A scalper on a 5-minute chart can use green candles to confirm quick bullish moves and red candles to avoid counter-trend trades, enhancing decision speed.
Position Sizing or Risk Management Benefit: Color changes highlight trend strength, aiding in adjusting trade size or stops.
Example: A trader might increase position size during strong green candle sequences (sustained uptrend) and tighten stops when gray candles appear, signaling potential trend weakness.
Tips for Use Adjust the MA Length to suit your trading style (e.g., shorter for scalping, longer for swing trading).
Combine with other indicators (e.g., support/resistance, MACD) for better accuracy.
Test on different timeframes to match your strategy.
Recommended MA Length for 1-Minute Charts Short-Term/Scalping (1-5 minute trades):10-period SMA : Very sensitive, ideal for capturing quick price movements in fast markets. May produce more noise (false signals).
20-period SMA : A balanced choice for 1-minute charts, smoothing minor fluctuations while reacting to short-term trends. A great starting point for scalpers.
Intraday Trend Trading (10-30 minute holds):50-period SMA : Captures broader intraday trends, reducing noise but lagging slightly. Suitable for larger moves within a session.
This indicator simplifies trend identification, making it a versatile tool for traders of all styles, from beginners to advanced users!
Recommended MA Length for Swing Trading / Higher Timeframes Swing Trading (holding trades for days to weeks):50-period SMA : A popular choice for swing traders on higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour or 4-hour charts). It smooths out short-term fluctuations while identifying medium-term trends. Ideal for capturing multi-day swings.
100-period SMA : Slightly longer, this MA is great for confirming stronger, more sustained trends. It’s useful on 4-hour or daily charts for swing traders aiming to ride larger price moves.
Longer-Term Trend Trading (holding for weeks to months):200-period SMA : A classic choice for higher timeframes like daily or weekly charts. It highlights major market trends and is widely used by swing and position traders to filter out noise and focus on long-term direction.
150-period SMA : A middle ground between the 100 and 200 SMA, suitable for daily charts when you want a balance between responsiveness and trend reliability.
Darvas Lines/Box1. Overview
The Darvas Lines/Box (v1.0) is a dynamic trend following indicator based on the renowned method developed by Nicolas Darvas. It's designed to identify clear price consolidation ranges and detect decisive breakouts, crucial for positional and swing trading strategies.
This indicator automatically draws and adjusts the consolidation ranges, and includes modern enhancements such as Advanced Retest Confirmation and exposed alert conditions, providing reliable signals for monitoring and acting on trend continuations.
2. Core Features
Custom Display Mode (Lines/Box): Allows the user to toggle the visualization between showing just the Breakout Lines (Lines) or displaying the consolidation area with a filled background box (Box).
Source Selection (Wicks/Body): Users can choose whether the box boundaries are defined by the candlestick wicks (price extremes) or the candlestick body (open/close price). This feature is critical for adjusting sensitivity to market noise.
Dynamic Box Drawing: Draws Darvas boxes automatically by tracking price highs and lows based on user-defined parameters (Bars to Define Range, Max Box Height).
Retest Confirmation: Detects if the old resistance/support line functions effectively after a breakout. When a retest is confirmed, the line is extended and its color changes.
Price Labels (Stable Lock): Displays the highest and lowest box prices, fixed to the left outer edge of the box. This ensures stable visibility.
Progress Labels: Visualizes the current line price and the percentage distance to the closing price on the right side of the box, showing progress toward the next breakout.
3. Trading Strategy: How to Use the Indicator
This indicator is primarily used to identify trend initiation and trend continuation signals.
A. Entry Strategy (Breakout)
Long Entry Action: Consider taking a long entry when the price closes above the Upper Line (Green Line), signaled by a BULLISH BREAKOUT alert.
Signal: Use the BULLISH BREAKOUT alert.
Short Entry Action: Consider taking a short entry when the price closes below the Lower Line (Red Line), signaled by a BEARISH BREAKOUT alert.
Signal: Use the BEARISH BREAKOUT alert.
B. Retest Strategy (Add-on/Confirmation)
Action: When the price pulls back to touch the broken line (signaled by RETEST CONFIRMED), this confirms the break's validity.
Alert: The RETEST CONFIRMED alert is triggered at this moment.
C. Risk Management (General)
Stop Loss: The initial stop-loss is typically set just beyond the opposite side of the broken box. As the trend progresses and new boxes form, the lower boundary of the most recently formed box can be used as a trailing stop for managing risk.
4. Setting Parameters
Line Source (Wicks/Body): Crucial for sensitivity. 'Wicks' tracks price extremes; 'Body' tracks stronger close-to-close movements, ignoring noise.
Bars to Define Range: Defines the calculation period (in bars) for the box.
Cooldown Bars After Breakout: Sets the waiting period after a breakout before a new box can start forming.
Retest Lookback Bars (Phase 3): Sets the maximum number of bars to check for a retest during the cooldown phase.
Max Gap for Retest (%): Defines the maximum percentage distance from the line allowed to confirm a retest (Set to Zero (0.0%) for near-touch detection).
Alert Frequency (Breakout): Allows selection between Continuous and Once per Box for breakout signals.
5. Alerts: How to Set Up the Triggers
This indicator exposes several specific conditions to the TradingView alert panel, allowing you to select the exact event you want to monitor.
Step-by-Step Alert Setup:
Open the Alert Panel on the chart.
In the Condition field, select the indicator's name.
In the Alert Condition field, choose the specific event you want to monitor:
1. ANY DARVAS EVENT (Consolidated)
2. BULLISH BREAKOUT (Individual)
3. BEARISH BREAKOUT (Individual)
4. RETEST CONFIRMED (Individual)
In the Trigger field (Frequency), select your preferred native option (e.g., "Once Per Bar Close" or "Once per bar").
Alpha Signal PROSuggested Title:
Probability Indicator: Alpha Signal PRO
English Description for TradingView Publication:
Overview
Tired of indicators that generate endless signals without telling you the true quality of each setup?
Alpha Signal PRO is more than just another buy/sell indicator; it is a complete decision-support system designed for traders who operate on confluence and high-probability setups. Instead of just telling you when to enter, this indicator analyzes each potential opportunity through a proprietary engine and grades it within a clear hierarchy. This allows you to focus only on the highest quality setups and manage your risk intelligently.
👑 The Difference: The Signal Grading Engine™
The true power of Alpha Signal PRO lies in its intelligent analysis engine. Rather than treating all signals equally, it qualifies them across different confidence levels, enabling superior risk management and a focus on A++ setups.
Basic Signal (M): A moderate-quality opportunity, ideal for more active traders targeting shorter-term moves.
Reinforced Signal (M+): A high-quality setup where multiple trend and momentum factors are in alignment. These are the signals that form the foundation of a consistent strategy.
ALPHA Signal (A++): The "Golden Setup." A rare confluence of ideal market conditions, confirmed by an algorithm that detects institutional strength. These are the highest-conviction signals, designed to capture the most significant market moves.
✅ Key Features
High-Precision Signals: A proprietary algorithm identifies entry points based on momentum and trend continuation.
Signal Quality Grading: Every signal is graded (M, M+, A++) so you instantly know the strength of each opportunity.
100% Non-Repainting: What you see on the chart is exactly how signals would have appeared in real-time. Absolute reliability for your studies and visual backtesting.
Dynamic Risk Management: Stop Loss and Take Profit levels are automatically calculated based on the market's current volatility (ATR), adapting to any asset.
Multiple Exit Modes: Configure your exit strategy to suit your style, whether for scalping, day trading, or swing trading.
Complete Performance Dashboard: Track key performance metrics directly on your chart, allowing for quick and efficient optimization.
Integrated Alert System: Never miss an opportunity. Receive detailed alerts, including the signal's quality grade, on your mobile device or desktop.
How to Use: The Sniper Philosophy
Alpha Signal PRO is designed for traders who prefer quality over quantity.
Focus on ALPHA Signals: Patience is key. Wait for the A++ setups, which represent the best opportunities the system can find.
Adapt to the Asset: The strategy thrives on momentum-driven assets like Indices, Crypto, and Metals. For slower, mean-reverting markets like Forex pairs, we strongly recommend using higher timeframes (H1, H4) to capture clearer trends.
Trust the Risk Management: Use the ATR-based SL and TP levels as a foundation for solid and consistent risk management.
Access
This is a private, invite-only indicator. It will not be made available in the public TradingView library.
Disclaimer: Success in trading requires more than a good tool. It is essential to combine the use of Alpha Signal PRO with strict risk management and discipline. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Pivot Regime Anchored VWAP [CHE] Pivot Regime Anchored VWAP — Detects body-based pivot regimes to classify swing highs and lows, anchoring volume-weighted average price lines directly at higher highs and lower lows for adaptive reference levels.
Summary
This indicator identifies shifts between top and bottom regimes through breakouts in candle body highs and lows, labeling swing points as higher highs, lower highs, lower lows, or higher lows. It then draws anchored volume-weighted average price lines starting from the most recent higher high and lower low, providing dynamic support and resistance that evolve with volume flow. These anchored lines differ from standard volume-weighted averages by resetting only at confirmed swing extremes, reducing noise in ranging markets while highlighting momentum shifts in trends.
Motivation: Why this design?
Traders often struggle with static reference lines that fail to adapt to changing market structures, leading to false breaks in volatile conditions or missed continuations in trends. By anchoring volume-weighted average price calculations to body pivot regimes—specifically at higher highs for resistance and lower lows for support—this design creates reference levels tied directly to price structure extremes. This approach addresses the problem of generic moving averages lagging behind swing confirmations, offering a more context-aware tool for intraday or swing trading.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Baseline reference: Traditional volume-weighted average price indicators compute a running total from session start or fixed periods, often ignoring price structure.
- Architecture differences:
- Regime detection via body breakout logic switches between high and low focus dynamically.
- Anchoring limited to confirmed higher highs and lower lows, with historical recalculation for accurate line drawing.
- Polyline rendering rebuilds only on the last bar to manage performance.
- Practical effect: Charts show fewer, more meaningful lines that start at swing points, making it easier to spot confluences with structure breaks rather than cluttered overlays from continuous calculations.
How it works (technical)
The indicator first calculates the maximum and minimum of each candle's open and close to define body highs and lows. It then scans a lookback window for the highest body high and lowest body low. A top regime triggers when the body high from the lookback period exceeds the window's highest, and a bottom regime when the body low falls below the window's lowest. These regime shifts confirm pivots only when crossing from one state to the other.
For top pivots, it compares the new body high against the previous swing high: if greater, it marks a higher high and anchors a new line; otherwise, a lower high. The same logic applies inversely for bottom pivots. Anchored lines use cumulative price-volume products and volumes from the anchor bar onward, subtracting prior cumulatives to isolate the segment. On pivot confirmation, it loops backward from the current bar to the anchor, computing and storing points for the line. New points append as bars advance, ensuring the line reflects ongoing volume weighting.
Initialization uses persistent variables to track the last swing values and anchor bars, starting with neutral states. Data flows from regime detection to pivot classification, then to anchoring and point accumulation, with lines rendered globally on the final bar.
Parameter Guide
Pivot Length — Controls the lookback window for detecting body breakouts, influencing pivot frequency and sensitivity to recent action. Shorter values catch more pivots in choppy conditions; longer smooths for major swings. Default: 30 (bars). Trade-offs/Tips: Min 1; for intraday, try 10–20 to reduce lag but watch for noise; on daily, 50+ for stability.
Show Pivot Labels — Toggles display of text markers at swing points, aiding quick identification of higher highs, lower highs, lower lows, or higher lows. Default: true. Trade-offs/Tips: Disable in multi-indicator setups to declutter; useful for backtesting structure.
HH Color — Sets the line and label color for higher high anchored lines, distinguishing resistance levels. Default: Red (solid). Trade-offs/Tips: Choose contrasting hues for dark/light themes; pair with opacity for fills if added later.
LL Color — Sets the line and label color for lower low anchored lines, distinguishing support levels. Default: Lime (solid). Trade-offs/Tips: As above; green shades work well for bullish contexts without overpowering candles.
Reading & Interpretation
Higher high labels and red lines indicate potential resistance zones where volume weighting begins at a new swing top, suggesting sellers may defend prior highs. Lower low labels and lime lines mark support from a fresh swing bottom, with the line's slope reflecting buyer commitment via volume. Lower highs or higher lows appear as labels without new anchors, signaling possible range-bound action. Line proximity to price shows overextension; crosses may hint at regime shifts, but confirm with volume spikes.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend following: Enter longs above a rising lower low anchored line after higher low confirmation; filter with rising higher highs for uptrends. Use line breaks as trailing stops.
- Exits/Stops: In downtrends, exit shorts below a higher high line; set aggressive stops above it for scalps, conservative below for swings. Pair with momentum oscillators for divergence.
- Multi-asset/Multi-TF: Defaults suit forex/stocks on 1H–4H; on crypto 15M, shorten length to 15. Scale colors for dark themes; combine with higher timeframe anchors for confluence.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Closed-bar logic ensures pivots confirm after the lookback period, with no repainting on historical bars—live bars may adjust until regime shift. No higher timeframe calls, so minimal repaint risk beyond standard delays. Resources include a 2000-bar history limit, label/polyline caps at 200/50, and loops for historical point filling (up to current bar count from anchor, typically under 500 iterations). Known limits: In extreme gaps or low-volume periods, anchors may skew; lines absent until first pivots.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with the 30-bar length for balanced pivot detection across most assets. For too-frequent pivots in ranges, increase to 50 for fewer signals. If lines lag in trends, reduce to 20 and enable labels for visual cues. In low-volatility assets, widen color contrasts; test on 100-bar history to verify stability.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a structure-aware visualization layer for anchoring volume-weighted references at swing extremes, enhancing manual analysis of regimes and levels. It is not a standalone signal generator or predictive model—always integrate with broader context like order flow or news. Use alongside risk management and position sizing, not as isolated buy/sell triggers.
Many thanks to LuxAlgo for the original script "McDonald's Pattern ". The implementation for body pivots instead of wicks uses a = max(open, close), b = min(open, close) and then highest(a, length) / lowest(b, length). This filters noise from the wicks and detects breakouts over/under bodies. Unusual and targeted, super innovative.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Historical Matrix Analyzer [PhenLabs]📊Historical Matrix Analyzer
Version: PineScriptv6
📌Description
The Historical Matrix Analyzer is an advanced probabilistic trading tool that transforms technical analysis into a data-driven decision support system. By creating a comprehensive 56-cell matrix that tracks every combination of RSI states and multi-indicator conditions, this indicator reveals which market patterns have historically led to profitable outcomes and which have not.
At its core, the indicator continuously monitors seven distinct RSI states (ranging from Extreme Oversold to Extreme Overbought) and eight unique indicator combinations (MACD direction, volume levels, and price momentum). For each of these 56 possible market states, the system calculates average forward returns, win rates, and occurrence counts based on your configurable lookback period. The result is a color-coded probability matrix that shows you exactly where you stand in the historical performance landscape.
The standout feature is the Current State Panel, which provides instant clarity on your active market conditions. This panel displays signal strength classifications (from Strong Bullish to Strong Bearish), the average return percentage for similar past occurrences, an estimated win rate using Bayesian smoothing to prevent small-sample distortions, and a confidence level indicator that warns you when insufficient data exists for reliable conclusions.
🚀Points of Innovation
Multi-dimensional state classification combining 7 RSI levels with 8 indicator combinations for 56 unique trackable market conditions
Bayesian win rate estimation with adjustable smoothing strength to provide stable probability estimates even with limited historical samples
Real-time active cell highlighting with “NOW” marker that visually connects current market conditions to their historical performance data
Configurable color intensity sensitivity allowing traders to adjust heat-map responsiveness from conservative to aggressive visual feedback
Dual-panel display system separating the comprehensive statistics matrix from an easy-to-read current state summary panel
Intelligent confidence scoring that automatically warns traders when occurrence counts fall below reliable thresholds
🔧Core Components
RSI State Classification: Segments RSI readings into 7 distinct zones (Extreme Oversold <20, Oversold 20-30, Weak 30-40, Neutral 40-60, Strong 60-70, Overbought 70-80, Extreme Overbought >80) to capture momentum extremes and transitions
Multi-Indicator Condition Tracking: Simultaneously monitors MACD crossover status (bullish/bearish), volume relative to moving average (high/low), and price direction (rising/falling) creating 8 binary-encoded combinations
Historical Data Storage Arrays: Maintains rolling lookback windows storing RSI states, indicator states, prices, and bar indices for precise forward-return calculations
Forward Performance Calculator: Measures price changes over configurable forward bar periods (1-20 bars) from each historical state, accumulating total returns and win counts per matrix cell
Bayesian Smoothing Engine: Applies statistical prior assumptions (default 50% win rate) weighted by user-defined strength parameter to stabilize estimated win rates when sample sizes are small
Dynamic Color Mapping System: Converts average returns into color-coded heat map with intensity adjusted by sensitivity parameter and transparency modified by confidence levels
🔥Key Features
56-Cell Probability Matrix: Comprehensive grid displaying every possible combination of RSI state and indicator condition, with each cell showing average return percentage, estimated win rate, and occurrence count for complete statistical visibility
Current State Info Panel: Dedicated display showing your exact position in the matrix with signal strength emoji indicators, numerical statistics, and color-coded confidence warnings for immediate situational awareness
Customizable Lookback Period: Adjustable historical window from 50 to 500 bars allowing traders to focus on recent market behavior or capture longer-term pattern stability across different market cycles
Configurable Forward Performance Window: Select target holding periods from 1 to 20 bars ahead to align probability calculations with your trading timeframe, whether day trading or swing trading
Visual Heat Mapping: Color-coded cells transition from red (bearish historical performance) through gray (neutral) to green (bullish performance) with intensity reflecting statistical significance and occurrence frequency
Intelligent Data Filtering: Minimum occurrence threshold (1-10) removes unreliable patterns with insufficient historical samples, displaying gray warning colors for low-confidence cells
Flexible Layout Options: Independent positioning of statistics matrix and info panel to any screen corner, accommodating different chart layouts and personal preferences
Tooltip Details: Hover over any matrix cell to see full RSI label, complete indicator status description, precise average return, estimated win rate, and total occurrence count
🎨Visualization
Statistics Matrix Table: A 9-column by 8-row grid with RSI states labeling vertical axis and indicator combinations on horizontal axis, using compact abbreviations (XOverS, OverB, MACD↑, Vol↓, P↑) for space efficiency
Active Cell Indicator: The current market state cell displays “⦿ NOW ⦿” in yellow text with enhanced color saturation to immediately draw attention to relevant historical performance
Signal Strength Visualization: Info panel uses emoji indicators (🔥 Strong Bullish, ✅ Bullish, ↗️ Weak Bullish, ➖ Neutral, ↘️ Weak Bearish, ⛔ Bearish, ❄️ Strong Bearish, ⚠️ Insufficient Data) for rapid interpretation
Histogram Plot: Below the price chart, a green/red histogram displays the current cell’s average return percentage, providing a time-series view of how historical performance changes as market conditions evolve
Color Intensity Scaling: Cell background transparency and saturation dynamically adjust based on both the magnitude of average returns and the occurrence count, ensuring visual emphasis on reliable patterns
Confidence Level Display: Info panel bottom row shows “High Confidence” (green), “Medium Confidence” (orange), or “Low Confidence” (red) based on occurrence counts relative to minimum threshold multipliers
📖Usage Guidelines
RSI Period
Default: 14
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Controls the lookback period for RSI momentum calculation. Standard 14-period provides widely-recognized overbought/oversold levels. Decrease for faster, more sensitive RSI reactions suitable for scalping. Increase (21, 28) for smoother, longer-term momentum assessment in swing trading. Changes affect how quickly the indicator moves between the 7 RSI state classifications.
MACD Fast Length
Default: 12
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Sets the faster exponential moving average for MACD calculation. Standard 12-period setting works well for daily charts and captures short-term momentum shifts. Decreasing creates more responsive MACD crossovers but increases false signals. Increasing smooths out noise but delays signal generation, affecting the bullish/bearish indicator state classification.
MACD Slow Length
Default: 26
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Defines the slower exponential moving average for MACD calculation. Traditional 26-period setting balances trend identification with responsiveness. Must be greater than Fast Length. Wider spread between fast and slow increases MACD sensitivity to trend changes, impacting the frequency of indicator state transitions in the matrix.
MACD Signal Length
Default: 9
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Smoothing period for the MACD signal line that triggers bullish/bearish state changes. Standard 9-period provides reliable crossover signals. Shorter values create more frequent state changes and earlier signals but with more whipsaws. Longer values produce more confirmed, stable signals but with increased lag in detecting momentum shifts.
Volume MA Period
Default: 20
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Lookback period for volume moving average used to classify volume as “high” or “low” in indicator state combinations. 20-period default captures typical monthly trading patterns. Shorter periods (10-15) make volume classification more reactive to recent spikes. Longer periods (30-50) require more sustained volume changes to trigger state classification shifts.
Statistics Lookback Period
Default: 200
Range: 50 to 500
Description: Number of historical bars used to calculate matrix statistics. 200 bars provides substantial data for reliable patterns while remaining responsive to regime changes. Lower values (50-100) emphasize recent market behavior and adapt quickly but may produce volatile statistics. Higher values (300-500) capture long-term patterns with stable statistics but slower adaptation to changing market dynamics.
Forward Performance Bars
Default: 5
Range: 1 to 20
Description: Number of bars ahead used to calculate forward returns from each historical state occurrence. 5-bar default suits intraday to short-term swing trading (5 hours on hourly charts, 1 week on daily charts). Lower values (1-3) target short-term momentum trades. Higher values (10-20) align with position trading and longer-term pattern exploitation.
Color Intensity Sensitivity
Default: 2.0
Range: 0.5 to 5.0, step 0.5
Description: Amplifies or dampens the color intensity response to average return magnitudes in the matrix heat map. 2.0 default provides balanced visual emphasis. Lower values (0.5-1.0) create subtle coloring requiring larger returns for full saturation, useful for volatile instruments. Higher values (3.0-5.0) produce vivid colors from smaller returns, highlighting subtle edges in range-bound markets.
Minimum Occurrences for Coloring
Default: 3
Range: 1 to 10
Description: Required minimum sample size before applying color-coded performance to matrix cells. Cells with fewer occurrences display gray “insufficient data” warning. 3-occurrence default filters out rare patterns. Lower threshold (1-2) shows more data but includes unreliable single-event statistics. Higher thresholds (5-10) ensure only well-established patterns receive visual emphasis.
Table Position
Default: top_right
Options: top_left, top_right, bottom_left, bottom_right
Description: Screen location for the 56-cell statistics matrix table. Position to avoid overlapping critical price action or other indicators on your chart. Consider chart orientation and candlestick density when selecting optimal placement.
Show Current State Panel
Default: true
Options: true, false
Description: Toggle visibility of the dedicated current state information panel. When enabled, displays signal strength, RSI value, indicator status, average return, estimated win rate, and confidence level for active market conditions. Disable to declutter charts when only the matrix table is needed.
Info Panel Position
Default: bottom_left
Options: top_left, top_right, bottom_left, bottom_right
Description: Screen location for the current state information panel (when enabled). Position independently from statistics matrix to optimize chart real estate. Typically placed opposite the matrix table for balanced visual layout.
Win Rate Smoothing Strength
Default: 5
Range: 1 to 20
Description: Controls Bayesian prior weighting for estimated win rate calculations. Acts as virtual sample size assuming 50% win rate baseline. Default 5 provides moderate smoothing preventing extreme win rate estimates from small samples. Lower values (1-3) reduce smoothing effect, allowing win rates to reflect raw data more directly. Higher values (10-20) increase conservatism, pulling win rate estimates toward 50% until substantial evidence accumulates.
✅Best Use Cases
Pattern-based discretionary trading where you want historical confirmation before entering setups that “look good” based on current technical alignment
Swing trading with holding periods matching your forward performance bar setting, using high-confidence bullish cells as entry filters
Risk assessment and position sizing, allocating larger size to trades originating from cells with strong positive average returns and high estimated win rates
Market regime identification by observing which RSI states and indicator combinations are currently producing the most reliable historical patterns
Backtesting validation by comparing your manual strategy signals against the historical performance of the corresponding matrix cells
Educational tool for developing intuition about which technical condition combinations have actually worked versus those that feel right but lack historical evidence
⚠️Limitations
Historical patterns do not guarantee future performance, especially during unprecedented market events or regime changes not represented in the lookback period
Small sample sizes (low occurrence counts) produce unreliable statistics despite Bayesian smoothing, requiring caution when acting on low-confidence cells
Matrix statistics lag behind rapidly changing market conditions, as the lookback period must accumulate new state occurrences before updating performance data
Forward return calculations use fixed bar periods that may not align with actual trade exit timing, support/resistance levels, or volatility-adjusted profit targets
💡What Makes This Unique
Multi-Dimensional State Space: Unlike single-indicator tools, simultaneously tracks 56 distinct market condition combinations providing granular pattern resolution unavailable in traditional technical analysis
Bayesian Statistical Rigor: Implements proper probabilistic smoothing to prevent overconfidence from limited data, a critical feature missing from most pattern recognition tools
Real-Time Contextual Feedback: The “NOW” marker and dedicated info panel instantly connect current market conditions to their historical performance profile, eliminating guesswork
Transparent Occurrence Counts: Displays sample sizes directly in each cell, allowing traders to judge statistical reliability themselves rather than hiding data quality issues
Fully Customizable Analysis Window: Complete control over lookback depth and forward return horizons lets traders align the tool precisely with their trading timeframe and strategy requirements
🔬How It Works
1. State Classification and Encoding
Each bar’s RSI value is evaluated and assigned to one of 7 discrete states based on threshold levels (0: <20, 1: 20-30, 2: 30-40, 3: 40-60, 4: 60-70, 5: 70-80, 6: >80)
Simultaneously, three binary conditions are evaluated: MACD line position relative to signal line, current volume relative to its moving average, and current close relative to previous close
These three binary conditions are combined into a single indicator state integer (0-7) using binary encoding, creating 8 possible indicator combinations
The RSI state and indicator state are stored together, defining one of 56 possible market condition cells in the matrix
2. Historical Data Accumulation
As each bar completes, the current state classification, closing price, and bar index are stored in rolling arrays maintained at the size specified by the lookback period
When the arrays reach capacity, the oldest data point is removed and the newest added, creating a sliding historical window
This continuous process builds a comprehensive database of past market conditions and their subsequent price movements
3. Forward Return Calculation and Statistics Update
On each bar, the indicator looks back through the stored historical data to find bars where sufficient forward bars exist to measure outcomes
For each historical occurrence, the price change from that bar to the bar N periods ahead (where N is the forward performance bars setting) is calculated as a percentage return
This percentage return is added to the cumulative return total for the specific matrix cell corresponding to that historical bar’s state classification
Occurrence counts are incremented, and wins are tallied for positive returns, building comprehensive statistics for each of the 56 cells
The Bayesian smoothing formula combines these raw statistics with prior assumptions (neutral 50% win rate) weighted by the smoothing strength parameter to produce estimated win rates that remain stable even with small samples
💡Note:
The Historical Matrix Analyzer is designed as a decision support tool, not a standalone trading system. Best results come from using it to validate discretionary trade ideas or filter systematic strategy signals. Always combine matrix insights with proper risk management, position sizing rules, and awareness of broader market context. The estimated win rate feature uses Bayesian statistics specifically to prevent false confidence from limited data, but no amount of smoothing can create reliable predictions from fundamentally insufficient sample sizes. Focus on high-confidence cells (green-colored confidence indicators) with occurrence counts well above your minimum threshold for the most actionable insights.
