Robrechtian Long-Medium Breakout Trend SystemRobrechtian Long–Medium-Term Breakout Trend System
A professional, rule-based trend-following strategy designed to capture large, sustained price movements using pure price action and breakouts.
This system follows long-established trend-following philosophy: no prediction, no volatility targeting, and no profit targets. Only disciplined entries, position additions, and exits driven entirely by trend structure.
Core Principles
Breakout-driven entries: Initial positions are taken only when price breaks above/below the 80-day Donchian channel, confirming a long–medium-term trend shift.
Short-term confirmation: Breakouts must also exceed the 20-day channel, reducing false positives.
Trend-direction filter: A 50-day moving average slope filter ensures alignment with the broader trend.
Explosive bar filter: Entries avoid excessively large, single-candle expansions (>2.5× ATR(20)) to prevent chasing exhaustion spikes.
Pyramiding into strength: Additional units are added only when price makes fresh 20-day breakouts in the direction of the trend. No scaling out. No adding on dips.
Exit only on trend violation: Positions are closed exclusively when price breaks the opposite 80-day channel. This preserves unlimited upside while enforcing disciplined exits.
Pure trend philosophy: No volatility targeting, no smoothing, no discretionary overrides, no optimization for short-term performance.
Intended Use
This system is designed primarily for diversified futures portfolios, where diversification across dozens of globally liquid markets creates robustness and stability. However, it may also be used on individual assets for educational and analytical purposes.
The system embraces the core trend-following logic:
Small losses, big winners, and unlimited upside when trends persist.
⚠️ WARNINGS / DISCLAIMERS
⚠️ Warning 1 — This strategy is not optimized for single stocks
The Robrechtian Trend System is designed for multi-asset futures portfolios, not single equities.
Performance on individual tickers may vary greatly due to lack of diversification.
⚠️ Warning 2 — Trend following includes substantial drawdowns
Deep drawdowns are a normal and expected feature of all long-term trend-following systems.
The strategy does not attempt to smooth returns or manage volatility.
If you seek steady, low-volatility equity curves, this system is not suitable.
⚠️ Warning 3 — No volatility targeting or risk smoothing
This system intentionally avoids volatility-based position sizing.
Trades may experience larger fluctuations than systems using risk parity or vol targeting.
⚠️ Warning 4 — Not financial advice
This script is for educational and research purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Use at your own risk.
⚠️ Warning 5 — TradingView backtests have known limitations
TradingView does not simulate:
futures contract roll logic
slippage
real bid/ask spreads
liquidity conditions
limit-up/limit-down behavior
Results may vary from live market execution.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "trend"
Dynamic SMA Trend System [Multi-Stage Risk Engine]Description:
This script implements a robust Trend Following strategy based on a multiple Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossover logic (25, 50, 100, 200). What sets this strategy apart is its advanced "4-Stage Risk Engine" and a smart "High-Water Mark" Re-Entry system, designed to protect profits during parabolic moves while filtering out chop during sideways markets.
How it works:
The strategy operates on three core pillars: Trend Identification, Dynamic Risk Management, and Momentum Re-Entry.
1. Entry Logic (Trend Identification) The script looks for crossovers at different trend stages to capture early reversals as well as established trends:
Short-Term: SMA 25 crosses over SMA 50.
Mid-Term: SMA 50 crosses over SMA 100.
Macro-Trend: SMA 100 crosses over SMA 200.
2. The 4-Stage Risk Engine (Dynamic Stop Loss) Instead of a static Stop Loss, this strategy uses a progressive system that adapts as the price increases:
Stage 1 (Protection): Starts with a fixed Stop Loss (default -10%) to give the trade room to breathe.
Stage 2 (Break-Even): Once the price rises by 12%, the Stop is moved to trailing mode (10% distance), effectively securing a near break-even state.
Stage 3 (Profit Locking): At 25% profit, the trailing stop tightens to 8% to lock in gains.
Stage 4 (Parabolic Mode): At 40% profit, the trailing stop tightens further to 5% to capture the peak of parabolic moves.
3. Dual Exit Mechanism The strategy exits a position if EITHER of the following happens:
Stop Loss Hit: Price falls below the dynamic red line (Risk Engine).
Dead Cross: The trend structure breaks (e.g., SMA 25 crosses under SMA 50), signaling a momentum loss even if the Stop Loss wasn't hit.
4. "High-Water Mark" Re-Entry To avoid "whipsaws" in choppy markets, the script does not re-enter immediately after a stop-out.
It marks the highest price of the previous trade (Green Dotted Line).
A Re-Entry only occurs if the price breaks above this previous high (showing renewed strength) AND the long-term trend is bullish (Price > SMA 200).
Visuals:
SMAs: 25 (Yellow), 50 (Orange), 100 (Blue), 200 (White).
Red Line: Visualizes the dynamic Stop Loss level.
Green Dots: Visualizes the target price needed for a valid re-entry.
Settings: All parameters (SMA lengths, Stop Loss percentages, Staging triggers) are fully customizable in the settings menu to fit different assets (Crypto, Stocks, Forex) and timeframes.
Fractals Trend [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Fractals Trend is a trend-following overlay that leverages fractal swing points to define dynamic support and resistance zones. By storing and averaging recent high and low fractals, it determines trend direction and plots a smooth band that flips depending on market bias—displaying support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends .
🔵 CONCEPTS
Fractal Swings: Fractals are identified using a customizable length. A high fractal forms when the current high is the highest in a range; a low fractal when the current low is the lowest.
Fractal Memory: The indicator keeps a rolling window of recent high and low fractals inside arrays, limited by the user-defined storage quantity.
switch
upperF => FracrtalsUpper.push(high )
lowerF => FracrtalsLower.push(low )
FracrtalsUpper.size() > fCount => FracrtalsUpper.shift()
FracrtalsLower.size() > fCount => FracrtalsLower.shift()
Trend Detection: Price crossing above the average, min/max or median high fractals signals an uptrend; crossing below average, min/max or median low fractals signals a downtrend.
Dynamic Band Plotting: Depending on the trend, the script plots the average of either the upper or lower fractals as a trailing support or resistance line.
Visual Confirmation: Fractal labels appear as triangle markers at highs and lows, providing additional structural context.
🔵 FEATURES
Automatically detects high and low fractals using customizable length.
Stores a defined number of fractals to smooth out noise and reduce false signals.
Flips trend bias dynamically with colored band and smooth transitions.
Plots fractal-based support in bullish trends, resistance in bearish trends.
Triangle markers show real-time fractal highs and lows.
Fully configurable visuals, color themes, and fractal detection logic.
Clean, non-intrusive overlay that works on any market or timeframe.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Use the colored band as a directional filter: green = uptrend (support), orange = downtrend (resistance).
Combine with entry signals or break/retest strategies when price approaches the band.
Use triangle markers to confirm structural swing points.
Adjust Fractals Length to tune sensitivity—shorter values detect quicker shifts, longer values reduce noise.
Change the fractal bands type to adapt trend detection to different market conditions.
Use in conjunction with momentum or volume tools for confluence.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Fractals Trend offers a lightweight, intuitive way to track market bias using price structure alone. Its smart switching logic and clean visuals make it a powerful tool for trend traders seeking structure-based dynamic S/R—without laggy moving averages or overcomplicated signals.
Target Reach & Trend ProjectionTarget Reach & Trend Projection
Overview: The Target Reach & Trend Projection indicator helps traders estimate how long (in candles) it might take for the price to reach a chosen target level, while also providing insight into the current and higher-timeframe trend directions.
Key Features
1. Target Projection: Set your custom Target Price manually.
The indicator calculates the expected number of candles needed to reach that price, based on recent price velocity.
Displays an estimated date and time for when the price could reach your target.
2. Trend Detection (Local): Detects the current market direction using one of two methods:
Linear Trend: Measures direct slope between candles.
Smoothed Trend: Uses a moving average slope for cleaner, less noisy trend estimation.
3. Higher-Timeframe Confirmation: Confirms whether the higher timeframe (e.g., 4H, 1D) trend agrees with the local trend.
Displays “✅ Aligned” when both are in sync and “⚠️ Diverging” when not.
4. On-Chart Information: A dynamic label near the target price line shows:
Target level
Trend method used
Estimated candles to target
Current trend direction
Estimated time of arrival (ETA)
Higher-timeframe trend confirmation
5. Visual Feedback: Background color changes lightly to reflect trend direction (green for bullish, red for bearish).
6. Alerts: Optional alerts for when:
The target price is reached.
Both local and higher-timeframe trends align bullishly or bearishly.
How It Works
The script measures the average price velocity (slope) over a chosen lookback period.
It then divides the distance between the current price and the target by that slope to estimate how many candles it might take to get there.
It projects the estimated time of arrival based on your chart’s current timeframe.
The script also checks a higher timeframe trend (using a moving average) for multi-timeframe confirmation.
🧭 Use Cases
Estimating the time horizon for swing trades or targets.
Confirming momentum direction before entering or exiting positions.
Aligning intraday setups with higher-timeframe trends.
⚠️ Notes
Estimates assume current trend velocity continues — it does not predict future volatility or reversals.
Works best on time-based charts with clear directional movement (e.g., 1H, 4H, 1D).
Major exchages total Open interest & Long/Short OI trends📊 Indicator: Major Exchanges Total OI & Long/Short Trends
This Pine Script™ indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Open Interest (OI) and Long/Short position trends across major cryptocurrency exchanges (Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, HTX, Deribit). It serves as a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market liquidity, participant positioning, and overall market sentiment.
🔑 Key Features and Functionalities
Aggregated Multi-Exchange Open Interest (OI):
Consolidates real-time Open Interest data from user-selected major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Provides a unified view of the total OI, offering insights into the collective market liquidity and the aggregate size of participants' open positions.
Visualized Combined OI Candles:
Presents the aggregated total OI data in a candlestick chart format.
Displays the Open, High, Low, and Close of the combined OI, with color variations indicating increases or decreases from the previous period. This enables intuitive visualization of OI trend shifts.
Estimated Long/Short OI and Visualization:
Calculates and visualizes estimated Long and Short position Open Interest based on the total aggregated OI data.
Estimation Logic:
Employs a sophisticated logic that considers both price changes and OI fluctuations to infer the balance between Long and Short positions. For instance, an increase in both price and OI may suggest an accumulation of Long positions, while a price decrease coupled with an OI increase might indicate growing Short positions.
Initial 50:50 Ratio:
The estimation for Long/Short OI begins with an assumption of a 50:50 ratio at the initial data point available for the selected timeframe. This establishes a neutral baseline, from which subsequent price and OI changes drive the divergence and evolution of the estimated Long/Short balance.
Flexible Visualization Options:
Allows users to display Long/Short OI data in either line or candlestick styles, with customizable color schemes. This flexibility aids in clearly discerning bullish or bearish positioning trends.
💡 Development Background
The development of this indicator stems from the critical importance of Open Interest data in the cryptocurrency derivatives market. Recognizing the limitations of analyzing individual exchange OI in isolation, the primary objective was to integrate data from leading exchanges to offer a holistic perspective on market sentiment and overall positioning dynamics.
The inclusion of the Long/Short position estimation feature is crucial for deciphering the specific directional biases of market participants, which is often not evident from raw OI data alone. This enables a deeper understanding of how positions are being accumulated or liquidated, moving beyond simple OI change analysis.
Furthermore, a key design consideration was to leverage the characteristic where the indicator's data start point dynamically adjusts with the chart's timeframe selection. This allows for the analysis of short-term Long/Short trends on shorter timeframes and long-term trends on longer timeframes. This inherent flexibility empowers traders to conduct analyses across various time scales, aligning with their diverse trading strategies.
🚀 Trading Applications
Leveraging Combined Open Interest (OI):
Trend Confirmation: A sustained increase in total OI signifies growing market interest and capital inflow, potentially confirming the strength of an existing trend. Conversely, decreasing OI may suggest diminishing participant interest or widespread position liquidation.
Validation of Price Extremes: If price forms a new high but OI fails to increase or declines, it could signal a potential trend reversal (divergence). Conversely, a sharp increase in OI during a price decline might indicate a surge in short positions or renewed selling pressure.
Identifying Volatility Triggers: Monitoring rapid shifts in OI during significant news events or market catalysts can help assess immediate market reactions and liquidity changes.
📈Utilizing Long/Short OI Trends
Assessing Market Bias: A sustained dominance or rapid increase in Long OI suggests a prevalent bullish sentiment, which could inform decisions to enter or maintain long positions. The inverse scenario indicates bearish sentiment and potential short entry opportunities.
Anticipating Squeezes: The indicator can help identify scenarios conducive to short or long squeezes. Excessive short positioning followed by a price uptick can trigger a short squeeze, leading to rapid price appreciation. Conversely, an oversupply of long positions preceding a price drop can result in a long squeeze and sharp declines.
Divergence Analysis: Divergences between price action and Long/Short OI estimates can signal potential trend reversals. For example, if price is rising but the increase in Long OI slows down or Short OI begins to grow, it may suggest weakening buying pressure.
🕔Timeframe-Specific Trend Analysis:
Shorter Timeframes (e.g., 1m, 5m, 15m): Ideal for identifying short-term shifts in participant positioning, beneficial for day trading and scalping strategies. Provides insights into immediate market reactions to price movements.
Longer Timeframes (e.g., 1h, 4h, Daily): Valuable for evaluating broader positioning trends and the sustainability or potential reversal of medium-to-long-term trends. Offers a macro perspective on Long/Short dynamics, suitable for swing trading or long-term investment strategies.
This indicator integrates complex market data, provides nuanced Long/Short position estimations, and offers multi-timeframe analytical capabilities, empowering traders to make more informed and strategic decisions.
VWAP Trend
**Overview**
The VWAP Trend indicator is a volume-weighted price analysis tool that visualizes the relationship between price and the anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) over different timeframes. This script is designed to reveal when the market is trending above or below its volume-weighted equilibrium point, providing a clear framework for identifying directional bias, trend strength, and potential reversals.
By combining an anchored VWAP with exponential smoothing and a secondary trend EMA, the indicator helps traders distinguish between short-term price fluctuations and genuine volume-supported directional moves.
**Core Concept**
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) represents the average price of an asset weighted by traded volume. It reflects where the majority of trading activity has taken place within a chosen period, serving as a critical reference level for institutions and professional traders.
This indicator extends the traditional VWAP concept by:
1. Allowing users to **anchor VWAP to different timeframes** (Daily, Weekly, or Monthly).
2. Applying **smoothing** to create a stable reference curve less prone to noise.
3. Overlaying a **trend EMA** to identify whether current price momentum aligns with or diverges from VWAP equilibrium.
The combination of these elements produces a visual representation of price’s relationship to its fair value across time, helping to identify accumulation and distribution phases.
**Calculation Methodology**
1. **Anchored VWAP Calculation:**
The script resets cumulative volume and cumulative volume–price data at the start of each new VWAP session (based on the selected anchor timeframe). It continuously accumulates the product of price and volume, dividing this by total volume to compute the current VWAP value.
2. **Smoothing Process:**
The raw VWAP line is smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of user-defined length, producing a cleaner, more stable trend curve that minimizes intraperiod noise.
3. **Trend Determination:**
An additional EMA is calculated on the closing price. By comparing the position of this EMA to the smoothed VWAP, the indicator determines the prevailing market bias:
* When the trend EMA is above the smoothed VWAP, the market is considered to be in an **uptrend**.
* When the trend EMA is below the smoothed VWAP, the market is classified as a **downtrend**.
**Visual Structure**
The indicator uses color dynamics and chart overlays to make interpretation intuitive:
* **Smoothed VWAP Line:** The main trend reference, colored blue during bullish conditions and orange during bearish conditions.
* **Price Fill Region:** The area between the smoothed VWAP and price is filled with a translucent color matching the current trend, visually representing whether price is trading above or below equilibrium.
* **Trend EMA (implicit):** Although not separately plotted, it drives the color state of the VWAP, ensuring seamless visual transitions between bullish and bearish conditions.
**Inputs and Parameters**
* **VWAP Timeframe:** Choose between Daily, Weekly, or Monthly anchoring. This determines the reset frequency for cumulative volume and price data.
* **VWAP Smoothing Length:** Defines how many periods are used to smooth the VWAP line. Shorter values produce a more reactive line; longer values create smoother, steadier signals.
* **Trend EMA Length:** Sets the period for the trend detection EMA applied to price. Adjust this to calibrate how quickly the indicator reacts to directional changes.
**Interpretation and Use Cases**
* **Trend Confirmation:** When price and the trend EMA both remain above the smoothed VWAP, the market is showing strong bullish control. Conversely, consistent price action below the VWAP suggests sustained bearish sentiment.
* **Fair Value Assessment:** VWAP serves as a dynamic equilibrium level. Price repeatedly reverting to this line indicates consolidation or fair value zones, while strong directional moves away from VWAP highlight momentum phases.
* **Institutional Benchmarking:** Because large market participants often benchmark entries and exits relative to VWAP, this indicator helps align retail analysis with institutional logic.
* **Reversal Detection:** Sudden crossovers of the trend EMA relative to the VWAP can signal potential reversals or shifts in momentum strength.
**Trading Applications**
* **Trend Following:** Use VWAP’s direction and color state to determine trade bias. Long entries are favored when the VWAP turns blue, while short entries align with orange phases.
* **Mean Reversion:** In ranging conditions, traders may look for price deviations far above or below VWAP as potential reversion opportunities.
* **Multi-Timeframe Confluence:** Combine the Daily VWAP Trend with higher anchor periods (e.g., Weekly or Monthly) to confirm larger trend structure.
* **Support and Resistance Mapping:** VWAP often acts as a strong intraday or session-level support/resistance zone. The smoothed version refines this behavior into a cleaner, more reliable reference.
**Originality and Innovation**
The VWAP Trend indicator stands apart from conventional VWAP scripts through several original features:
1. **Anchor Flexibility:** Most VWAP indicators fix the anchor to a specific session (like daily). This version allows switching between Daily, Weekly, and Monthly anchors dynamically, adapting to various trading styles and time horizons.
2. **Volume-Weighted Smoothing:** The use of an EMA smoothing layer over the raw VWAP provides enhanced stability without compromising responsiveness, delivering a more analytically consistent signal.
3. **EMA-Based Trend Comparison:** By introducing a second trend EMA, the indicator creates a comparative framework that merges volume-weighted price analysis with classical momentum tracking — a rare and powerful combination.
4. **Adaptive Visual System:** The color-shifting and shaded fill between VWAP and price are integrated into a single, lightweight structure, giving traders immediate insight into market bias without the clutter of multiple overlapping indicators.
**Advantages**
* Adaptable to any market, timeframe, or trading style.
* Provides both equilibrium (VWAP) and momentum (EMA) perspectives.
* Smooths out noise while retaining the integrity of volume-based price dynamics.
* Enhances situational awareness through intuitive color-coded visualization.
* Ideal for professional, swing, and intraday traders seeking context-driven market direction.
**Summary**
The VWAP Trend indicator is a modern enhancement of the classical VWAP methodology. By merging anchored volume-weighted analysis with smoothed trend detection and visual state feedback, it provides a comprehensive perspective on market equilibrium and directional strength. It is built for traders who seek more than static price references — offering an adaptive, volume-aware framework for identifying market trends, reversals, and fair-value zones with precision and clarity.
Multi Pivot Trend [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The Multi Pivot Trend is an advanced market-structure-driven trend engine that evaluates trend strength by scanning multiple pivot breakouts simultaneously.
Instead of relying on a single swing length, it tracks breakouts across ten increasing pivot lengths — then averages their behavior to produce a smooth, reliable trend reading.
Mitigation logic (close, wick, or HL2 touches) controls how breakouts are confirmed, giving traders institutional-style flexibility similar to BOS/CHoCH validation rules.
This indicator not only colors candles based on trend strength, but also extends trend strength and volatility-scaled projection candles to show where trend pressure may expand next.
Pivot breakout lines and labels mark key changes, making the trend transitions extremely clear.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Market trend strength is reflected by multiple pivot breakouts, not just one.
The indicator analyzes ten pivot structures from smaller to larger swings.
Each bullish or bearish pivot breakout contributes to trend score.
Mitigation options (close / wick / HL2) imitate smart-money breakout confirmation logic.
Trend score is averaged and translated into colors and extension bars.
Neutral regime ≈ weak trend or transition zone (trend compression).
🔵 FEATURES
Multi-Pivot Engine — tracks 10 pivot-based trend signals simultaneously.
Mitigation Modes :
• Close — breakout requires candle close beyond pivot
• Wicks — breakout requires wick violation
• HL2 — breakout confirmed when average (H+L)/2 crosses level
Dynamic Color System :
• Blue → confirmed bullish rotation
• Red → confirmed bearish rotation
• Orange → neutral / transition state
Breakout Visualization — draws pivot breakout lines in real-time.
Trend Labels — prints trend %.
Trend Volatility-Scaled Extension Candles — ATR/trend strength based candle projections show momentum continuation strength.
Gradient Pivot Encoding — higher pivot lengths = deeper structure considered.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Use strong blue/red periods to follow dominant structural trend.
Watch for color transition into orange — possible trend change or consolidation.
Pivot breakout lines help validate structure shifts without clutter.
Wick mitigation catches aggressive liquidity-sweep based breaks.
Close/HL2 mitigation catches cleaner market structure rotations.
Extension bars visualize trend pressure — large extensions = strong push.
Best paired with volume or volatility confirmation tools.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Multi Pivot Trend is a structural trend recognition system that blends multiple pivot breakouts into one clean trend score — with institutional-style mitigation logic and volatility-projected trend extensions.
It gives traders a powerful, visually intuitive way to track momentum, spot trend rotations early, and understand true structural flow beyond simple MA-based approaches.
Use it to stay aligned with the dominant swing direction while avoiding noise and false flips.
Zero Lag Trend Signals (MTF) [Quant Trading] V7Overview
The Zero Lag Trend Signals (MTF) V7 is a comprehensive trend-following strategy that combines Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA) with volatility-based bands to identify high-probability trade entries and exits. This strategy is designed to reduce lag inherent in traditional moving averages while incorporating dynamic risk management through ATR-based stops and multiple exit mechanisms.
This is a longer term horizon strategy that takes limited trades. It is not a high frequency trading and therefore will also have limited data and not > 100 trades.
How It Works
Core Signal Generation:
The strategy uses a Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA) calculated by applying an EMA to price data that has been adjusted for lag:
Calculate lag period: floor((length - 1) / 2)
Apply lag correction: src + (src - src )
Calculate ZLEMA: EMA of lag-corrected price
Volatility bands are created using the highest ATR over a lookback period multiplied by a band multiplier. These bands are added to and subtracted from the ZLEMA line to create upper and lower boundaries.
Trend Detection:
The strategy maintains a trend variable that switches between bullish (1) and bearish (-1):
Long Signal: Triggers when price crosses above ZLEMA + volatility band
Short Signal: Triggers when price crosses below ZLEMA - volatility band
Optional ZLEMA Trend Confirmation:
When enabled, this filter requires ZLEMA to show directional momentum before entry:
Bullish Confirmation: ZLEMA must increase for 4 consecutive bars
Bearish Confirmation: ZLEMA must decrease for 4 consecutive bars
This additional filter helps avoid false signals in choppy or ranging markets.
Risk Management Features:
The strategy includes multiple stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms:
Volatility-Based Stops: Default stop-loss is placed at ZLEMA ± volatility band
ATR-Based Stops: Dynamic stop-loss calculated as entry price ± (ATR × multiplier)
ATR Trailing Stop: Ratcheting stop-loss that follows price but never moves against position
Risk-Reward Profit Target: Take-profit level set as a multiple of stop distance
Break-Even Stop: Moves stop to entry price after reaching specified R:R ratio
Trend-Based Exit: Closes position when price crosses EMA in opposite direction
Performance Tracking:
The strategy includes optional features for monitoring and analyzing trades:
Floating Statistics Table: Displays key metrics including win rate, GOA (Gain on Account), net P&L, and max drawdown
Trade Log Labels: Shows entry/exit prices, P&L, bars held, and exit reason for each closed trade
CSV Export Fields: Outputs trade data for external analysis
Default Strategy Settings
Commission & Slippage:
Commission: 0.1% per trade
Slippage: 3 ticks
Initial Capital: $1,000
Position Size: 100% of equity per trade
Main Calculation Parameters:
Length: 70 (range: 70-7000) - Controls ZLEMA calculation period
Band Multiplier: 1.2 - Adjusts width of volatility bands
Entry Conditions (All Disabled by Default):
Use ZLEMA Trend Confirmation: OFF - Requires ZLEMA directional momentum
Re-Enter on Long Trend: OFF - Allows multiple entries during sustained trends
Short Trades:
Allow Short Trades: OFF - Strategy is long-only by default
Performance Settings (All Disabled by Default):
Use Profit Target: OFF
Profit Target Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.0 (when enabled)
Dynamic TP/SL (All Disabled by Default):
Use ATR-Based Stop-Loss & Take-Profit: OFF
ATR Length: 14
Stop-Loss ATR Multiplier: 1.5
Profit Target ATR Multiplier: 2.5
Use ATR Trailing Stop: OFF
Trailing Stop ATR Multiplier: 1.5
Use Break-Even Stop-Loss: OFF
Move SL to Break-Even After RR: 1.5
Use Trend-Based Take Profit: OFF
EMA Exit Length: 9
Trade Data Display (All Disabled by Default):
Show Floating Stats Table: OFF
Show Trade Log Labels: OFF
Enable CSV Export: OFF
Trade Label Vertical Offset: 0.5
Backtesting Date Range:
Start Date: January 1, 2018
End Date: December 31, 2069
Important Usage Notes
Default Configuration: The strategy operates in its most basic form with default settings - using only ZLEMA crossovers with volatility bands and volatility-based stop-losses. All advanced features must be manually enabled.
Stop-Loss Priority: If multiple stop-loss methods are enabled simultaneously, the strategy will use whichever condition is hit first. ATR-based stops override volatility-based stops when enabled.
Long-Only by Default: Short trading is disabled by default. Enable "Allow Short Trades" to trade both directions.
Performance Monitoring: Enable the floating stats table and trade log labels to visualize strategy performance during backtesting.
Exit Mechanisms: The strategy can exit trades through multiple methods: stop-loss hit, take-profit reached, trend reversal, or trailing stop activation. The trade log identifies which exit method was used.
Re-Entry Logic: When "Re-Enter on Long Trend" is enabled with ZLEMA trend confirmation, the strategy can take multiple long positions during extended uptrends as long as all entry conditions remain valid.
Capital Efficiency: Default setting uses 100% of equity per trade. Adjust "default_qty_value" to manage position sizing based on risk tolerance.
Realistic Backtesting: Strategy includes commission (0.1%) and slippage (3 ticks) to provide realistic performance expectations. These values should be adjusted based on your broker and market conditions.
Recommended Use Cases
Trending Markets: Best suited for markets with clear directional moves where trend-following strategies excel
Medium to Long-Term Trading: The default length of 70 makes this strategy more appropriate for swing trading rather than scalping
Risk-Conscious Traders: Multiple stop-loss options allow traders to customize risk management to their comfort level
Backtesting & Optimization: Comprehensive performance tracking features make this strategy ideal for testing different parameter combinations
Limitations & Considerations
Like all trend-following strategies, performance may suffer in choppy or ranging markets
Default 100% position sizing means full capital exposure per trade - consider reducing for conservative risk management
Higher length values (70+) reduce signal frequency but may improve signal quality
Multiple simultaneous risk management features may create conflicting exit signals
Past performance shown in backtests does not guarantee future results
Customization Tips
For more aggressive trading:
Reduce length parameter (minimum 70)
Decrease band multiplier for tighter bands
Enable short trades
Use lower profit target R:R ratios
For more conservative trading:
Increase length parameter
Enable ZLEMA trend confirmation
Use wider ATR stop-loss multipliers
Enable break-even stop-loss
Reduce position size from 100% default
For optimal choppy market performance:
Enable ZLEMA trend confirmation
Increase band multiplier
Use tighter profit targets
Avoid re-entry on trend continuation
Visual Elements
The strategy plots several elements on the chart:
ZLEMA line (color-coded by trend direction)
Upper and lower volatility bands
Long entry markers (green triangles)
Short entry markers (red triangles, when enabled)
Stop-loss levels (when positions are open)
Take-profit levels (when enabled and positions are open)
Trailing stop lines (when enabled and positions are open)
Optional ZLEMA trend markers (triangles at highs/lows)
Optional trade log labels showing complete trade information
Exit Reason Codes (for CSV Export)
When CSV export is enabled, exit reasons are coded as:
0 = Manual/Other
1 = Trailing Stop-Loss
2 = Profit Target
3 = ATR Stop-Loss
4 = Trend Change
Conclusion
Zero Lag Trend Signals V7 provides a robust framework for trend-following with extensive customization options. The strategy balances simplicity in its core logic with sophisticated risk management features, making it suitable for both beginner and advanced traders. By reducing moving average lag while incorporating volatility-based signals, it aims to capture trends earlier while managing risk through multiple configurable exit mechanisms.
The modular design allows traders to start with basic trend-following and progressively add complexity through ZLEMA confirmation, multiple stop-loss methods, and advanced exit strategies. Comprehensive performance tracking and export capabilities make this strategy an excellent tool for systematic testing and optimization.
Note: This strategy is provided for educational and backtesting purposes. All trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test thoroughly with paper trading before risking real capital, and adjust position sizing and risk parameters according to your risk tolerance and account size.
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TAGS:
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trend following, ZLEMA, zero lag, volatility bands, ATR stops, risk management, swing trading, momentum, trend confirmation, backtesting
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CATEGORY:
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Strategies
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For optimal visualization when publishing:
Use a clean chart with no other indicators overlaid
Select a timeframe that shows multiple trade signals (4H or Daily recommended)
Choose a trending asset (crypto, forex major pairs, or trending stocks work well)
Show at least 6-12 months of data to demonstrate strategy across different market conditions
Enable the floating stats table to display key performance metrics
Ensure all indicator lines (ZLEMA, bands, stops) are clearly visible
Use the default chart type (candlesticks) - avoid Heikin Ashi, Renko, etc.
Make sure symbol information and timeframe are clearly visible
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COMPLIANCE NOTES:
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✅ Open-source publication with complete code visibility
✅ English-only title and description
✅ Detailed explanation of methodology and calculations
✅ Realistic commission (0.1%) and slippage (3 ticks) included
✅ All default parameters clearly documented
✅ Performance limitations and risks disclosed
✅ No unrealistic claims about performance
✅ No guaranteed results promised
✅ Appropriate for public library (original trend-following implementation with ZLEMA)
✅ Educational disclaimers included
✅ All features explained in detail
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Constant Auto Trendlines (Extended Right)📈 Constant Auto Trendlines (Extended Right)
This indicator automatically detects market structure by connecting swing highs and lows with permanent, forward-projecting trendlines.
Unlike standard trendline tools that stop at the last pivot, this version extends each trendline infinitely into the future — helping traders visualize where price may react next.
🔍 How It Works
The script identifies pivot highs and lows using user-defined left/right bar counts.
When a new lower high or higher low appears, the indicator draws a line between the two pivots and extends it forward using extend.right.
Each new confirmed trendline stays fixed, creating a historical map of structure that evolves naturally with market action.
Optional filters:
Min Slope – ignore nearly flat trendlines
Show Latest Only – focus on the most relevant trendline
Alerts – get notified when price crosses the most recent uptrend or downtrend line
🧩 Why It’s Useful
This tool helps traders:
Spot emerging trends early
Identify dynamic support/resistance diagonals
Avoid redrawing trendlines manually
Backtest structure breaks historically
⚙️ Inputs
Pivot Left / Right bars
Min slope threshold
Line color, width, and style
Show only latest line toggle
Alert options
ATR Volatility and Trend AnalysisATR Volatility and Trend Analysis
Unlock the power of the Average True Range (ATR) with the ATR Volatility and Trend Analysis indicator. This comprehensive tool is designed to provide traders with a multi-faceted view of market dynamics, combining volatility analysis, dynamic support and resistance levels, and trend detection into a single, easy-to-use indicator.
How It Works
The ATR Volatility and Trend Analysis indicator is built upon the core concept of the ATR, a classic measure of market volatility. It expands on this by providing several key features:
Dynamic ATR Bands: The indicator plots three sets of upper and lower bands around the price. These bands are calculated by multiplying the current ATR value by user-defined multipliers. They act as dynamic support and resistance levels, widening during volatile periods and contracting during calm markets.
Volatility Breakout Signals: Identify potential breakouts with precision. The indicator generates a signal when the current ATR value surges above its own moving average by a specified threshold, indicating a significant increase in volatility that could lead to a strong price move.
Trend Detection: The indicator determines the market trend by analyzing both price action and ATR behavior. A bullish trend is signaled when the price is above its moving average and volatility is increasing. Conversely, a bearish trend is signaled when the price is below its moving average and volatility is increasing.
How to Use the ATR Multi-Band Indicator
Identify Support and Resistance: Use the ATR bands as key levels. Price approaching the outer bands may indicate overbought or oversold conditions, while a break of the bands can signal a strong continuation.
Confirm Breakouts: Look for a volatility breakout signal to confirm the strength behind a price move. A breakout from a consolidation range accompanied by a volatility signal is a strong indicator of a new trend.
Trade with the Trend: Use the background coloring and trend signals to align your trades with the dominant market direction. Enter long positions during confirmed bullish trends and short positions during bearish trends.
Set Up Alerts: The indicator includes alerts for band crosses, trend changes, and volatility breakouts, ensuring you never miss a potential trading opportunity.
What makes it different?
While many indicators use ATR, the ATR Volatility and Trend Analysis tool is unique in its integration of multiple ATR-based concepts into a single, cohesive system. It doesn't just show volatility; it interprets it in the context of price action to deliver actionable trend and breakout signals, making it a complete solution for ATR-based analysis.
Disclaimer
This indicator is designed as a technical analysis tool and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and proper risk management.
Past performance does not guarantee future results, and traders should thoroughly test any strategy before implementing it with real capital.
Market Sentiment Trend Gauge [LevelUp]Market Sentiment Trend Gauge simplifies technical analysis by mathematically combining momentum, trend direction, volatility position, and comparison against a market benchmark, into a single trend score from -100 to +100. Displayed in a separate pane below your chart, it resolves conflicting signals from RSI, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and market correlations, providing clear insights into trend direction, strength, and relative performance.
THE PROBLEM MARKET SENTIMENT TREND GAUGE (MSTG) SOLVES
Traditional indicators often produce conflicting signals, such as RSI showing overbought while prices rise or moving averages indicating an uptrend despite market underperformance. MSTG creates a weighted composite score to answer: "What's the overall bias for this asset?"
KEY COMPONENTS AND WEIGHTINGS
The trend score combines
▪ Momentum (25%): Normalized 14-period RSI, capped at ±100.
▪ Trend Direction (35%): 10/21-period EMA relationships,
▪ Volatility Position (20%): Price position, 20-period Bollinger Bands, capped at ±100.
▪ Market Comparison (20%): Daily performance vs. SPY benchmark, capped at ±100.
Final score = Weighted sum, smoothed with 5-period EMA.
INTERPRETING THE MSTG CHART
Trend Score Ranges and Colors
▪ Bright Green (>+30): Strong bullish; ideal for long entries.
▪ Light Green (+10 to +30): Weak bullish; cautiously favorable.
▪ Gray (-10 to +10): Neutral; avoid directional trades.
▪ Light Red (-10 to -30): Weak bearish; exercise caution.
▪ Bright Red (<-30): Strong bearish; high-risk for longs, consider shorts.
Reference Lines
▪ Zero Line (Gray): Separates bullish/bearish; crossovers signal trend changes.
▪ ±30 Lines (Dotted, Green/Red): Thresholds for strong trends.
▪ ±60 Lines (Dashed, Green/Red): Extreme strength zones (not overbought/oversold); manage risk (tighten stops, partial profits) but trends may persist.
Background Colors
▪ Green Tint (>+20): Bullish environment; favorable for longs.
▪ Red Tint (<-20): Bearish environment; caution for longs.
▪ Light Gray Tint (-20 to +20): Neutral/range-bound; wait for signals.
Extreme Readings vs. Traditional Signals
MSTG ±60 indicates maximum alignment of all factors, not reversals (unlike RSI >70/<30). Use for risk management, not automatic exits. Strong trends can sustain extremes; breakdowns occur below +30 or above -30.
INFORMATION TABLE INTERPRETATION
Trend Score Symbols
▲▲ >+30 strong bullish
▲ +10 to +30
● -10 to +10 neutral
▼ -30 to -10
▼▼ <-30 strong bearish
Colors: Green (positive), White (neutral), Red (negative).
Momentum Score
+40 to +100 strong bullish
0 to +40 moderate bullish
-40 to 0 moderate bearish
-100 to -40 strong bearish
Market vs. Stock
▪ Green: Stock outperforming market
▪ Red: Stock underperforming market
Example Interpretations:
-0.45% / +1.23% (Green): Market down, stock up = Strong relative strength
+2.10% / +1.50% (Red): Both rising, but stock lagging = Relative weakness
-1.20% / -0.80% (Green): Both falling, but stock declining less = Defensive strength
UNDERSTANDING EXTREME READINGS VS TRADITIONAL OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD
⚠️ Critical distinctions
Traditional Overbought/Oversold Signals:
▪ Single indicator (like RSI >70 or <30) showing momentum excess
▪ Often suggests immediate reversal or pullback expected
▪ Based on "price moved too far, too fast" concept
MSTG Extreme Readings (±60):
▪ Composite alignment of 4 different factors (momentum, trend, volatility, relative strength)
▪ Indicates maximum strength in current direction
▪ NOT a reversal signal - means "all systems extremely bullish/bearish"
Key Differences:
▪ RSI >70: "Price got ahead of itself, expect pullback"
▪ MSTG >+60: "Everything is extremely bullish right now"
▪ Strong trends can maintain extreme MSTG readings during major moves
▪ Breakdowns happen when MSTG falls below +30, not at +60
Proper Usage of Extreme Readings:
▪ Risk Management: Tighten stops, take partial profits
▪ Position Sizing: Reduce new position sizes at extremes
▪ Trend Continuation: Watch for sustained extreme readings in strong markets
▪ Exit Signals: Look for breakdown below +30, not reversal from +60
TRADING WITH MSTG
Quick Assessment
1. Check trend symbol for direction.
2. Confirm momentum strength.
3. Note relative performance color.
Examples:
▲▲ 55.2 (Green), Momentum +28.4, Outperforming: Strong buy setup.
▼ -18.6 (Red), Momentum -43.2, Underperforming: Defensive positioning.
Entry Conditions
▪ Long: stock outperforming market
- Score >+30 (bright green)
- Sustained green background
- ▲▲ symbol,
▪ Short: stock underperforming market
- Score <-30 (bright red)
- Sustained red background
- ▼▼ symbol
Avoid Trading When:
▪ Gray zone (-10 to +10).
▪ Rapid color changes or frequent zero-line crosses (choppy market).
▪ Gray background (range-bound).
Risk Management:
▪ Stop Loss: Exit on zero-line crossover against position.
▪ Take Profit: Partial at ±60 for risk control.
▪ Position Sizing: Larger when signals align; smaller in extremes or mixed conditions.
KEY ADVANTAGES
▪ Unified View: Weighted composite reduces noise and conflicts.
▪ Visual Clarity: 5-color system with gradients for rapid recognition.
▪ Market Context: Relative strength vs. SPY identifies leaders/laggards.
▪ Flexibility: Works across timeframes (1-min to weekly); customizable table.
▪ Noise Reduction: EMA smoothing minimizes false signals.
EXAMPLES
Strong Bull: Trend Score 71.9, Momentum Score 76.9
Neutral: Trend Score 0.1, Momentum Score -9.2
Strong Bear: Trend Score -51.7, Momentum Score -51.5
PERFORMANCE AND LIMITATIONS
Strengths: Trend identification, noise reduction, relative performance versus market.
Limitations: Lags at turning points, less effective in extreme volatility or non-trending markets.
Recommendations: View on multiple timeframes, combine with price action and fundamentals.
Pivot Trend Flow [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Pivot Trend Flow turns raw swing points into a clean, adaptive trend band. It averages recent pivot highs and lows to form two dynamic reference levels; when price crosses above the averaged highs, trend flips bullish and a green band is drawn; when it crosses below the averaged lows, trend flips bearish and a red band is drawn. During an uptrend the script highlights breakouts of previous pivot highs with ▲ labels, and during a downtrend it flags breakdowns of previous pivot lows with ▼ labels—making structure shifts and continuation signals obvious.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Pivot-Based Averages : Recent pivot highs/lows are collected and averaged to create smoothed upper/lower reference levels.
if not na(ph)
phArray.push(ph)
if not na(pl)
plArray.push(pl)
if phArray.size() > avgWindow
upper := phArray.avg()
phArray.shift()
if plArray.size() > avgWindow
lower := plArray.avg()
plArray.shift()
Trend State via Crosses : Close above the averaged-highs ⇒ bullish trend; close below the averaged-lows ⇒ bearish trend.
Trend Band : A colored band (green/red) is plotted and optionally filled to visualize the active regime around price.
Structure Triggers :
In bull mode the tool watches for prior pivot-high breakouts (▲).
In bear mode it watches for prior pivot-low breakdowns (▼).
🔵 FEATURES
Adaptive Trend Detection from averaged pivot highs/lows.
Clear Visuals : Green band in uptrends, red band in downtrends; optional fill for quick read.
Breakout/Breakdown Labels :
▲ marks breaks of previous pivot highs in uptrends
▼ marks breaks of previous pivot lows in downtrends
Minimal Clutter : Uses compact lines and labels that extend only on confirmation.
Customizable Colors & Fill for trend states and band styling.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Pivot Length : Sets how swing points are detected. Smaller = more reactive; larger = smoother.
Avg Window (pivots) : How many recent pivot highs/lows are averaged. Increase to stabilize the band; decrease for agility.
Read the Band :
Green band active ⇒ prioritize longs, pullback buys toward the band.
Red band active ⇒ prioritize shorts, pullback sells toward the band.
Trade the Triggers :
In bull mode, ▲ on a prior pivot-high break can confirm continuation.
In bear mode, ▼ on a prior pivot-low break can confirm continuation.
Combine with Context : Use HTF trend, S/R, or volume for confluence and to filter signals.
Fill Color Toggle : Enable/disable band fill to match your chart style.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Pivot Trend Flow converts swing structure into an actionable, low-lag trend framework. By blending averaged pivots with clean breakout/breakdown labels, it clarifies trend direction, timing, and continuation spots—ideal as a core bias tool or a confirmation layer in any trading system.
Specter Trend Cloud [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
Specter Trend Cloud is a flexible moving-average–based trend tool that builds a colored “cloud” around market direction and highlights key retest opportunities. Using two adaptive MAs (short vs. long), offset by ATR for volatility adjustment, it shades the background with a gradient cloud that switches color on trend flips. When price pulls back to retest the short MA during an active trend, the script plots diamond markers and extends dotted levels from that retest price. If price later breaks through that level, the extension is terminated—giving traders a clean visual of valid vs. invalid retests.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Multi-MA Core Engine:
Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, or VWMA as the base. The indicator tracks both a short-term MA (Length) and a longer twin (2 × Length).
Volatility-Adjusted Offset:
Both MAs are shifted by ATR(200) depending on trend direction—pulling them down in uptrends, up in downtrends—so the cloud reflects realistic breathing room instead of razor-thin bands.
Gradient Trend Cloud:
Between the two shifted MAs, the script fills a shaded region:
• Aqua cloud = bullish trend
• Orange cloud = bearish trend
Gradient intensity increases toward the active edge, providing a visual sense of strength.
Trend Flip Logic:
A flip occurs whenever the short MA crosses above or below the long MA. The cloud instantly changes color and begins tracking the new regime.
Retest Detection:
During an ongoing trend (no flip), if price retests the short MA within a 5-bar “cooldown,” the tool:
• Marks the retest with diamond shapes below/above the bar.
• Draws a dotted horizontal line from the retest price, extending into the future.
Automatic Level Termination:
If price later closes through that dotted level, the line disappears—keeping only active, respected retest levels on your chart.
⯁ HOW IT WORKS (UNDER THE HOOD)
MA Calculations:
ma1 = MA(src, Length), ma2 = MA(src, 2 × Length).
Trend = ma1 > ma2 (bull) or ma1 < ma2 (bear).
ATR shift offsets both ma1 and ma2 by ±ATR depending on trend.
Cloud Fill:
Plots ma1 and ma2 (invisible for long MA). Uses fill() with semi-transparent aqua/orange gradient between the two.
Retest Logic:
• Bullish retest: ta.crossover(low, ma1) while trend = bull.
• Bearish retest: ta.crossunder(high, ma1) while trend = bear.
Only valid if at least 5 bars have passed since last retest.
When triggered, it stores bar index and price, draws diamonds, and extends a dotted line.
Level Clearing:
If current high > retest upper line (bearish case) or low < retest lower line (bullish case), that line is deleted (stops extending).
⯁ USAGE
Use the cloud color as the higher-level trend bias (aqua = long, orange = short).
Look for diamonds + dotted lines as pullback/retest zones where trend continuation may launch.
If a retest level holds and price rebounds, it strengthens confidence in the trend.
If a retest level is broken, treat it as a warning of weakening trend or possible reversal.
Experiment with MA Type (SMA vs. EMA, etc.) to align sensitivity with your asset or timeframe.
Adjust Length for faster flips on low timeframes or smoother signals on higher ones.
⯁ CONCLUSION
Specter Trend Cloud combines trend detection, volatility-adjusted shading, and retest visualization into a single tool. The gradient cloud provides instant clarity on direction, while diamonds and dotted retest levels give you tactical entry/retest zones that self-clean when invalidated. It’s a versatile trend-following and confirmation layer, adaptable across multiple assets and styles.
Phantom Trend IndicatorOverview
The Phantom Trend Indicator (PTI) is a streamlined tool for identifying trend direction and strength. It blends zigzag-based trend detection with a volume profile to display a histogram showing price distance from the Point of Control (POC). Six distinct colors highlight trend states, with background highlights for extreme price zones. Ideal for stocks, forex, crypto, and futures across any timeframe.
Features:
Trend Detection: Uses zigzag fractals to identify uptrends and downtrends.
Histogram Colors: Six colors for trend strength (low, high, extreme for up/down trends) or neutral (gray).
Dynamic Levels: Plots POC, Value Area Low (VAL), and High (VAH) via volume profile.
Background Colors: Highlights overbought (above VAH) or oversold (below VAL) zones.
Alerts: Signals new trends.
How It Works:
Trends: Zigzag fractals define trend ranges, with price position setting histogram colors (low, high, or extreme).
Histogram: Shows price deviation from POC.
Background: Colors extreme zones outside VAL/VAH.
This indicator builds on traditional trend detectors and volume profiles by integrating them into a single, cohesive tool. Unlike standard momentum indicators that rely on moving averages, PTI uses zigzag fractals for more responsive trend identification, reducing lag in volatile markets. Compared to basic volume profile scripts, it adds trend-based color coding and background alerts for extremes, providing clearer visual cues for overbought/oversold conditions. The six distinct colors indicate trend strength, and customizable thresholds allow fine-tuning for different assets and timeframes, enhancing adaptability. Traders benefit from combined momentum and liquidity insights, helping spot reversals or continuations more reliably—making PTI a valuable, standalone addition for both novice and experienced users.
Settings
Trend Detector: Toggle alerts, adjust zigzag sensitivity, and set thresholds for low-to-high and extreme color transitions.
Dynamic Levels: Configure volume profile period, multiplier, accuracy, value area percent, and ATR-based channel width.
Visuals: Customize POC, VAL, VAH, and area fill colors.
Read Histogram: Uptrend colors show early, strong, or overextended moves; downtrend colors indicate early, weakening, or oversold conditions; gray for consolidation.
Background: Monitor for overbought/oversold color-coded signals.
Tune: Adjust zigzag or period settings for your timeframe/asset.
Tips
Shorten period for intraday, extend for swing trading.
Pair with other indicators for confirmation.
Notes:
Requires sufficient chart data for volume profile.
Test settings for low-volatility assets.
For informational use only, not financial advice. Test thoroughly, and happy trading!
VWAP Trend Strategy (Intraday) [KedarArc Quant]Description:
An intraday strategy that anchors to VWAP and only trades when a local EMA trend gate and a volume participation gate are both open. It offers two entry templates—Cross and Cross-and-Retest—with an optional Momentum Exception for impulsive moves. Exits combine a TrendBreak (structure flips) with an ATR emergency stop (risk cap).
Updates will be published under this script.
Why this merits a new script
This is not a simple “VWAP + EMA + ATR” overlay. The components are sequenced as gates and branches that *change the trade set* in ways a visual mashup cannot:
1. Trend Gate first (EMA fast vs. slow on the entry timeframe)
Counter-trend VWAP crosses are suppressed. Many VWAP scripts fire on every cross; here, no entry logic even evaluates unless the trend gate is open.
2. Participation Gate second (Volume SMA × multiplier)
This gate filters thin liquidity moves around VWAP. Without it, the same visuals would produce materially more false triggers.
3. Branching entries with structure awareness
* Cross: Immediate VWAP cross in the trend direction.
* Cross-and-Retest: Requires a revisit to VWAP vicinity within a lookback window (recent low near VWAP for longs; recent high for shorts). This explicitly removes first-touch fakeouts that a plain cross takes.
* Momentum Exception (optional): A quantified body% + volume condition can bypass the retest when flow is impulsive—intentional risk-timing, not “just another indicator.”
4. Dual exits that reference both anchor and structure
* TrendBreak: Close only when price loses VWAP and EMA alignment flips.
* ATR stop: Placed at entry to cap tail risk.
These exits complement the entry structure rather than being generic stop/target add-ons.
What it does
* Trades the session’s fair value anchor (VWAP), but only with local-trend agreement (EMA fast vs. slow) and sufficient participation (volume filter).
* Lets you pick Cross or Cross-and-Retest entries; optionally allow a fast Momentum Exception when candles expand with volume.
* Manages positions with a structure exit (TrendBreak) and an emergency ATR stop from entry.
How it works (concepts & calculations)
* VWAP (session anchor):
Standard VWAP of the active session; entries reference the cross and the retest proximity to VWAP.
* Trend gate:
Long context only if `EMA(fast) > EMA(slow)`; short only if `EMA(fast) < EMA(slow)`.
A *gate*, not a trigger—entries aren’t considered unless this is true.
* Participation (volume) gate:
Require `volume > SMA(volume, volLen) × volMult`.
Screens out low-participation wiggles around VWAP.
Entries:
* Cross: Price crosses VWAP in the trend direction while volume gate is open.
* Cross-and-Retest: After crossing, price revisits VWAP vicinity within `lookback` (recent *low near VWAP* for longs; recent *high near VWAP* for shorts).
* Momentum Exception (optional): If body% (|close−open| / range) and volume exceed thresholds, enter without waiting for the retest.
Exits:
* TrendBreak (structure):
* Longs close when `price < VWAP` and `EMA(fast) < EMA(slow)` (mirror for shorts).
* ATR stop (risk):
* From entry: `stop = entry ± ATR(atrLen) × atrMult`.
How to use it ?
1. Select market & timeframe: Intraday on liquid symbols (equities, futures, crypto).
2. Pick entry mode:
* Start with Cross-and-Retest for fewer, more selective signals.
* Enable Momentum Exception if strong moves leave without retesting.
3. Tune guards:
* Raise `volMult` to ignore thin periods; lower it for more activity.
* Adjust `lookback` if retests come late/early on your symbol.
4. Risk:
* `atrLen` and `atrMult` set the emergency stop distance.
5. Read results per session: Optional panel (if enabled) summarizes Net-R, Win%, and PF for today’s session to evaluate
behavior regime by regime.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trading involves risk, and users should exercise caution and use proper risk management when applying this strategy.
Gott's Copernican Trend PredictorThe Gott's Copernican Trend Predictor predicts trend duration using the Copernican Principle - Based on astrophysicist Richard Gott's temporal prediction method.
I had the idea to create this indicator after reading the book The Doomsday Calculation by William Poundstone.
Background & Theory
This indicator implements J. Richard Gott III's Copernican Principle - a statistical method that famously predicted the fall of the Berlin Wall and the duration of Broadway shows with remarkable accuracy.
The Copernican Principle Explained
Named after Copernicus who showed that Earth is not at the center of the universe, this principle assumes that you are not observing something at a special moment in time. When you observe a trend at any random point, you're statistically more likely to be seeing it during the "middle portion" of its lifetime rather than at its very beginning or end.
The Mathematics
Gott's formula provides a 95% confidence interval for how much longer a trend will continue:
Minimum remaining duration = Current Age ÷ 39
Maximum remaining duration = Current Age × 39
The factor of 39 comes from statistical analysis where:
There's only a 2.5% chance you're observing in the first 1/40th of the trend's life
There's only a 2.5% chance you're observing in the last 1/40th of the trend's life
This gives us 95% confidence that the trend will last between Age/39 and Age×39
How It Works
Trend Detection
The indicator uses dual moving averages (default: 50 & 200 period) to identify trend changes:
Bullish Cross: Fast MA crosses above Slow MA → Uptrend begins
Bearish Cross: Fast MA crosses below Slow MA → Downtrend begins
Real-Time Predictions
Once a trend is detected, the indicator continuously calculates:
Trend Age: How long the current trend has been active
Gott's 95% CI: Statistical range for remaining trend duration
Projected End Dates: Calendar dates when the trend might end
How to Use
Setup
Add the indicator to any timeframe (works on minutes, hours, days, weeks)
Customize MA periods and type (SMA, EMA, WMA)
Choose table position and font size for optimal viewing
Interpretation
Example: If a trend is 100 hours old:
Minimum duration: 100 ÷ 39 = ~3 more hours
Maximum duration: 100 × 39 = ~3,900 more hours
95% confidence: The trend will end between these times
This indicator might be useful for swing traders, trend followers, and quantitative analysts.
Coca-Cola example:
Coca-Cola's chart shows an uptrend spanning 810 weeks, approximately 15.5 years. According to Gott's Copernican Principle, this trend age generates a 95% confidence interval predicting the trend will continue for a minimum of 20 weeks and a maximum of 31,590 weeks.
On the other hand, a shorter trend age produces a proportionally smaller minimum duration and different risk profile in terms of statistical continuation probability. For this reason, more recent trends (and more recent companies) are likely to remain in trend for shorter.
