[ADOL_]SIGNAL BASIC
Title: SIGNAL BASIC (ADOL Signal Basic)
★ indicator description)
MW: Large Wave upper line
SW: Large Wave bottom line
fast long: same as abs, fast long signal
slow long: same as signal v1.0, stability-based delayed long signal
slow short: same as signal v1.0, delayed short signal based on stability
slow branch point: same as signal v1.0, long short transition point
Signal line, top line, bottom line: change the optimal value
Whipsaw Indicator: Reference 128 (adjusted to 5 minutes = 32, 15 minutes = 128, 1 hour bar = 32)
Oversold, Overbought: Background display of oversold and overbought in the current section
Support line: Support line based on inflection
Large Wave: Used as support / resistance
※ Signal Plus additional function:
fast short, super long, super short, resistance wire, small wave, internal adjustment function
However, the basic logic of the core long shot is the same.
★ Basic Signal Rule Guide)
time)
-"Signal recommendation time frame: 5-15 minute bar = single hit, 1 hour bar (or more) = swing"
-"After confirming the signal closing price, it is possible to enter, before closing, but in an aggressive position"
wave)
-"General rule (slow signal standard): Long-minute-short-minute-long-minute-short // Long, branch point (minute), short appear regularly
-"Special rule: Cross appearance of long shots without divergence = swept or strong trend."
enter)
-"Long/Short'Basic Use': Enter after checking basic signal.
In the overbought/oversold section, the entry of the opposite position signal is approached as a rebalancing strategy.
Stop loss)
-Sonjeolga moves against the flow of the candle and catches it at the starting end of the wave."
clearing)
-"Branch point'basic use': Use as a liquidation (recommended) spot when a branch point appears after entering long/short positions.
Application 1)
A fork indicates the possibility that the direction of the trend can change.
Therefore, the location of the fork can be near the (short-term) high/low."
Application 2)
★ Part of the trading method) Trend line synthesis strategy
-Necessary basic skills: Practice drawing a trend line, the trend and wave of reading the trend
1. Draw up and down trend lines.
2. Signals that occur before/after the trend line act strongly.
example)
Request for permission: Write Google form
타이틀 : SIGNAL BASIC (아돌 시그널 베이직)
★ 지표 설명)
MW : 큰형 상단선
SW : 큰형 하단선
fast 롱 : abs와 동일, 빠른 롱시그널
slow롱 : 시그널v1.0과 동일, 안정성 기반의 지연된 롱시그널
slow숏 : 시그널v1.0과 동일, 안정성 기반의 지연된 숏시그널
slow분기점 : 시그널v1.0과 동일, 롱숏의 전환 분기점
시그널선, 상단선, 하단선 : 최적값 변경
휩쏘인디케이터 : 기본값128 (5분봉 = 384, 15분봉 = 128, 1시간봉 = 32로 조절)
과매도, 과매수 : 현구간 과매도, 과매수 배경표기
지지선 : 캔들변곡 기반의 지지선
큰형 웨이브 : 지지/저항으로 활용
※ 시그널 플러스 대비 제한된 기능 :
fast숏, 슈퍼롱, 슈퍼숏, 저항선, 작은형 웨이브, 세팅조절 기능
그러나 핵심적인 롱숏의 기본로직은 동일
★ 기본 시그널 규칙 가이드)
시간)
- "시그널 추천 타임프레임 : 5-15분봉 = 단타, 1시간봉(이상) = 스윙"
- "시그널 종가확인후 진입, 종가전 진입 가능하지만 공격적 포지션"
파동)
- "일반규칙(slow시그널 기준) : 롱-분-숏-분-롱-분-숏 // 롱,분기점(분),숏이 규칙적으로 등장
- "특수규칙 : 분기점없이 롱숏의 교차출현 = 휩쏘나 강한추세를 뜻합니다."
진입)
- "롱/숏 '기본활용' : 기본적인 시그널 확인후 진입합니다.
과매수/과매도 구간에서 반대포지션 시그널의 진입은 리벨런싱 전략으로 접근합니다.
손절)
- 손절가는 캔들의 흐름을 거슬러 눌림목, 파동의 시작끝점에 잡습니다."
청산)
- "분기점 '기본활용' : 롱/숏 포지션 진입 후 분기점 출현시 청산(추천)자리로 활용.
응용1)
분기점은 추세방향이 바뀔 수 있는 가능성을 의미합니다.
따라서, 분기점 위치는 (단기)고점/저점 부근이 될 수 있습니다."
응용2)
★ 매매법 일부) 추세선 합성 전략
- 필요한 기본기 : 추세선 긋기 작도 연습, 추세읽기의 추세와 파동
1. 상승,하락 추세선을 그리십시오.
2. 추세선 전/후에 발생하는 시그널은 강력하게 작용합니다.
예시)
예시2)
예시3)
권한요청 : 구글폼 작성
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "wave"
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Relative Vigor IndexLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introuced Relative Vigor Index in his "Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures" chapter 6 on 2004.
Function
Relative Vigor Index (RVI) uses concepts dating back over three decades and also uses modern filter and digital signal processing theory to realize those concepts as a practical and useful indicator. The RVI merges the old concepts with the new technologies. The basic idea of the RVI is that prices tend to close higher than
they open in up markets and tend to close lower than they open in down markets. The vigor of the move is thus established by where the prices reside at the end of the day. To normalize the index to the daily trading range, the change in price is divided by the maximum range of prices for the day.
The RVI is an oscillator, and we are therefore only concerned with the cycle modes of the market in its use. The sharpest rate of change for a cycle is at its midpoint. Therefore, in the ascending part of the cycle we would expect the difference between the close and open to be at a maximum. This is like a derivative in calculus, where the derivative of a sinewave produces a negative cosine wave. The derivative is therefore a waveform that leads the original sinewave by a quarter cycle. Also, from calculus, integration of a sinewave over a half-cycle period results in another sinewave delayed by a quarter cycle. Summing over a half cycle is basically the same as mathematically integrating, with the result that the waveshape of the sum is delayed by a quarter wavelength relative to the input. The net result of taking the differences and summing produces an oscillator output in phase with the cyclic component of the price. It is also possible to generate a leading function if the summation window is less than a half wavelength of the Dominant Cycle. If a cycle measurement is not available, you can sum the RVI components over a fixed default period. A nominal value of 8 is suggested because this is approximately half the period of most cycles of interest.
Key Signal
RVI ---> Relative Vigor Index fast line
Trigger ---> Relative Vigor Index slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation of original work, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book. If you had read his works, then you will be quite familiar with my code style.
Remarks
The 27th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
ApexBull Momentum OscillatorOfficial ApexBull Momentum Oscillator
Description:
An oscillator that gauges long term momentum to keep you in the trades. It utilizes moving averages and other momentum gauging indicators and price action to ensure that you stay in your trades.
Elliott Wavers found this to be extremely useful to identify waves. This oscillator will not only help you identify waves better as it will highly accurately predict when it begins and ends but will simply keep you in trades so you dont take profits too soon. Can be used to gauge waves on any time frame and works best in combination with our ApexBull Trend Trading Indicator (Conservative and Aggressive versions).
If you would like to try out my indicator please send me a direct message here.
MPI - Medic's Pulse Indicator v6MPI - Medic's Pulse Indicator has been formed over years and thousands of trades. Its completely customized for me, MedicWill. I have analyzed my best trading as well as the worst trades and compiled a system to keep my head clear and not get distracted by market swings. This started as v1 with my good friend OhHeyMatty working on his Bart indicator. I then customized the base and wrote the accompanying scripts which all work in conjunction. I believe the patterns and safety built in can help any traders psychologically to not get caught in market manipulation. But as anything else, I fear misuse will just reinforce bad ideas. Be careful.
As a 20 year paramedic I feel I have found the pulse of the market so I built the MPI around keeping me clear headed and in touch with the markets. Everything is termed in medical terminology because that's the world I come from. When I look at a trade-able chart and a patients EKG, I see many similarities and patterns. I believe the system will work on anything that is trad-able, but I have only personally tested on BTC/USD pairs and optimized for 2 hr setting. Do not confused being optimized for 2 hour as the only use-able time frame. All time frames under and over 2hr are important, but the 2hr is the official signaler if other time frames agree. Seeing the patterns and using them together is the key.
I did not know how to code, I did not know script. I know how to find the best of people (and indicators) and put them together to create something very powerful. I tweaked it for my needs and make it optimized for myself. Ive been doing that my whole life.
This lead me to trying to find coders who could write what Im doing, Ive yet to find a coder that can do it, especially on Pine which I guess is shit ;).
There is no hesitation releasing the indicator as I know without the Medic Pulse Strategy, you will be creating your own way. The tools are here, and they are free. Figure it out, I did. If not, come talk to me. Show me how you figured out the MPI pulse and please come share your success with me. Its what I'm here for and would make me very happy to see the success spread.
I have no interest in selling indicators. I'm here to help the community. I've dedicated my life to helping others and this is just another extension of my commitment. As a paramedic, my scope of help is restricted to the people that get in my ambulance. Here I have the ability to spread help on much bigger scale.
My hesitation is in releasing a powerful tool without explaining how to use it. This is the secret sauce. So although my scripts will be free, its based on the years of trading and using the MPI showed me if used correctly can be very amazing, but just as anything else in life, if not used properly the results will not be as expected.
I have never back tested it besides just manually because Ive yet to find a coder that can put into code what I am doing and looking at.
So I just did it myself. Its my very first indicator and I am so excited to see what the future brings. What I have noticed is there is a difference between traders and coders. Trading is more of an art form than a science. I've been painting this art my whole life and never realized it. Hanging out with OhHeyMatty helped me understand the mechanic behind what I was seeing.
My assumption will be the first mistake traders will make is not referencing multiple times frames and getting stuck in a view they they WANT to see. I urge caution about letting your bias influence your views.
The MPI works best when you are not in a trade, and dont care which way the market goes. As professionals we do not care which way the market moves, we just know exactly what we will do no matter what it does.
This is KEY. The MPI does not target exits because the MPI reads the market, it does not dictate the market. You can use the same common targets, MA's etc, that everyone uses. If unsure, use those as everyone targets them. Over time your trust in the MPI will grow.
The beauty of the MPI is it will not take you out of a winning trade and NEVER caps gains. You position sizing and management will be key to your success. This is a big key. We ride the waves for as long as they let us, but we know when to jump off and catch the next wave.
We are wavenostic.
I like the idea of releasing the script for people and letting them create their own vision with it. I have no doubt there is someone out there that will see things differently and even might find a better way to use the MPI than I have found. This is very exciting.
If you find any benefits from the MPI and create your trading using it, please contact me and let me know!
Im so curious, and I know with all the powerful minds in this space, there is plenty of room for growth.
I dont need to talk about my gains or percentages. Working amazing for me does NOT mean it will or you.
But remember, that does NOT mean you CANT do way better than me. Its up to you. Do it.
Indicators designed to work together:
Medic's Pulse Indicator - Indicator v6 (MPI-v6)
Medic's Pulse Indicator - Pulse v6 (MPI-v6)
Medic's Pulse Indicator - RS (MPI-RS)
Medic's Pulse Indicator - WaveTrend (MPI-WaveTrend)
A very special and heart felt thanks goes out to my good friend and part of the fam, OhHeyMatty.
Matty shares my love for others and desire to spread as much good as possible. We know one of the ways we are strongest is helping people interpret markets. So please enjoy and best wishes!
And a heartfelt thanks goes to rapper and inspiration, Nipsey Hustle.
if you think that is just rap, I encourage you to listen to the words. Nipsey will always be someone special that inspires me on the deepest level. Same with 2Pac, Biggie and all the true OG's. Listen to the words before you tell me its just rap. You might be surprised, to the level of being overwhelmed with inspiration. Or you might just think its some thugs singing about money. The choice is yours.
Everything is what you make it. You decide. The world is what you make it. Make is amazing. Cheers!
VuManChu Filtered OverlayVuManChu Filtered Overlay is a price-overlay signal tool inspired by VuManChu Cipher B.
Instead of plotting the full oscillator in a separate pane, this script focuses on generating clean long/short signals directly on the chart, combining WaveTrend, Money Flow–style momentum, and an adjustable overbought/oversold threshold.
Under the hood, the script builds a smoothed “Inertia Wave” using a normalized (close–open)/(high–low) money-flow proxy and a long SMA. This is used together with a classic WaveTrend (wt1 / wt2) calculation. Signals are only triggered when:
WaveTrend lines cross (wt1 vs wt2),
The cross direction matches the expected bias
Bull: cross up from below, WaveTrend below zero
Bear: cross down from above, WaveTrend above zero
The custom money-flow curve (rsiMFI) confirms direction
Bull: rsiMFI > 0
Bear: rsiMFI < 0
The WaveTrend line is beyond a user-defined OS/OB magnitude (Wavetrendtrigger), so only meaningful extremes are considered.
The “VuManChu WaveTrend OS/OB threshold (+/-)” input lets you control how aggressive the signals are:
Lower values (e.g. 5–10) → more frequent, more sensitive signals
Higher values (e.g. 40–60) → fewer signa
ls, focused on strong exhaustion moves
Bullish and bearish opportunities are plotted as green and red dots on the candles, and corresponding alerts are fired:
🟢 Optimized VuManChu LONG signal detected on timeframe: X
🔴 Optimized VuManChu SHORT signal detected on timeframe: X
This script is meant as a filter / confirmation layer, not a standalone system. For best results, combine it with your own trend, volume, or higher-timeframe context. This is not financial advice and should be used for educational and experimental purposes only.
Demand/Supply Oscillator_immyDemand/Supply Oscillator, probably the only D/S oscillator on TV which doesn't draw the lines on the chart but to show you the actual reasons behind the price moves.
Concept Overview
A demand/supply oscillator would aim to look for the hidden spots/order which institutes place in small quantities to not to upset the trend and suddenly place one big order to liquidate the retailers and make a final big move.
The lite color candles in histogram shows the hidden demand/supply which is the reason behind the sudden price pullback, even for short period of time.
Measure demand and supply based on volume, price movement, or candle structure
Identify price waves or impulses (e.g., using fractals, zigzag, or swing high/low logic)
Detect hidden demand/supply (e.g., low volume pullbacks or absorption zones)
Plotted on histogram boxes to visualize strength and direction of each wave
What “Hidden Demand” Means?
Hidden demand refers to buying pressure that isn’t immediately obvious from price action — in other words, buyers are active “behind the scenes” even though the price doesn’t yet show strong upward movement.
What Hidden supply Means?
refers to selling pressure that isn’t obvious yet on the price chart. It means smart money (big players) are quietly selling or distributing positions, even though the price might not be dropping sharply yet.
It usually appears when:
The price is pulling back slightly (down candle),
But volume or an oscillator (like RSI, MACD, or OBV) shows bullish strength (e.g., higher low or positive divergence).
That suggests smart money is accumulating (buying quietly) while the public may think it’s just a normal dip.
💹 Price Reaction — Up or Down?
If there is hidden demand, it’s generally a bullish signal → meaning price is likely to go up afterward.
However, on that exact candle, the price may still be down or neutral, because:
Hidden demand is “hidden” — buyers are absorbing supply quietly.
The move up usually comes after the hidden demand signal, not necessarily on the same candle.
📊 Example
Suppose:
Price makes a slightly lower low,
But RSI makes a higher low → this is bullish (hidden) divergence, or “hidden demand.”
➡️ Interpretation:
Smart buyers are stepping in → next few candles likely move up.
The current candle might still be red or show a small body — that’s okay. The key is the shift in underlying strength.
🧭 Quick Summary
Term Meaning Candle Effect Expected Move After
Hidden Demand Buyers active below surface Candle may still go down or stay flat
Hidden Supply Sellers active behind the scenes Price likely to rise soon
🛠️ Key Components
Best results with Price/Action e.g. Use swing high/low or zigzag to segment price into waves.
Optionally apply fractal logic for more refined wave detection
Combine with other indicators (e.g., RSI, OBV) for confirmation
Include zone strength metrics (e.g., “Power Number” as seen in some indicators)
Demand/Supply Calculation
Demand: Strong bullish candles, increasing volume, breakout zones
Supply: Strong bearish candles, volume spikes on down moves
Hidden Demand/Supply: Pullbacks with low volume or absorption candles
Histogram Visualization
Use plot() or plotshape() to draw histogram bars
Color-code bars: e.g., green for demand, red for supply, lite colors for hidden zones
Add alerts for wave transitions or hidden zone detection
How It Works
Demand/Supply: Detected when price moves strongly with volume spikes.
Hidden Zones: Detected when price moves but volume is low (potential absorption).
Histogram Values:
+2: Strong Demand
+1: Hidden Demand
-1: Hidden Supply
-2: Strong Supply
0: Neutral
Feature Demand (Visible) Hidden Demand
Visibility Clearly seen on price charts Subtle, often masked in consolidation
Participants Retail + Institutional Primarily Institutional
Price Behavior Sharp rallies from zone Sideways movement, low volatility
Tools to Identify Candlestick patterns, support zones Volume profile, order flow, price clusters
Risk/Reward Moderate (widely known) High (less crowded, early entry potential)
Ehlers Phasor Analysis (PHASOR)# PHASOR: Phasor Analysis (Ehlers)
## Overview and Purpose
The Phasor Analysis indicator, developed by John Ehlers, represents an advanced cycle analysis tool that identifies the phase of the dominant cycle component in a time series through complex signal processing techniques. This sophisticated indicator uses correlation-based methods to determine the real and imaginary components of the signal, converting them to a continuous phase angle that reveals market cycle progression. Unlike traditional oscillators, the Phasor provides unwrapped phase measurements that accumulate continuously, offering unique insights into market timing and cycle behavior.
## Core Concepts
* **Complex Signal Analysis** — Uses real and imaginary components to determine cycle phase
* **Correlation-Based Detection** — Employs Ehlers' correlation method for robust phase estimation
* **Unwrapped Phase Tracking** — Provides continuous phase accumulation without discontinuities
* **Anti-Regression Logic** — Prevents phase angle from moving backward under specific conditions
Market Applications:
* **Cycle Timing** — Precise identification of cycle peaks and troughs
* **Market Regime Analysis** — Distinguishes between trending and cycling market conditions
* **Turning Point Detection** — Advanced warning system for potential market reversals
## Common Settings and Parameters
| Parameter | Default | Function | When to Adjust |
|-----------|---------|----------|----------------|
| Period | 28 | Fixed cycle period for correlation analysis | Match to expected dominant cycle length |
| Source | Close | Price series for phase calculation | Use typical price or other smoothed series |
| Show Derived Period | false | Display calculated period from phase rate | Enable for adaptive period analysis |
| Show Trend State | false | Display trend/cycle state variable | Enable for regime identification |
## Calculation and Mathematical Foundation
**Technical Formula:**
**Stage 1: Correlation Analysis**
For period $n$ and source $x_t$:
Real component correlation with cosine wave:
$$R = \frac{n \sum x_t \cos\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right) - \sum x_t \sum \cos\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right)}{\sqrt{D_{cos}}}$$
Imaginary component correlation with negative sine wave:
$$I = \frac{n \sum x_t \left(-\sin\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right)\right) - \sum x_t \sum \left(-\sin\left(\frac{2\pi t}{n}\right)\right)}{\sqrt{D_{sin}}}$$
where $D_{cos}$ and $D_{sin}$ are normalization denominators.
**Stage 2: Phase Angle Conversion**
$$\theta_{raw} = \begin{cases}
90° - \arctan\left(\frac{I}{R}\right) \cdot \frac{180°}{\pi} & \text{if } R \neq 0 \\
0° & \text{if } R = 0, I > 0 \\
180° & \text{if } R = 0, I \leq 0
\end{cases}$$
**Stage 3: Phase Unwrapping**
$$\theta_{unwrapped}(t) = \theta_{unwrapped}(t-1) + \Delta\theta$$
where $\Delta\theta$ is the normalized phase difference.
**Stage 4: Ehlers' Anti-Regression Condition**
$$\theta_{final}(t) = \begin{cases}
\theta_{final}(t-1) & \text{if regression conditions met} \\
\theta_{unwrapped}(t) & \text{otherwise}
\end{cases}$$
**Derived Calculations:**
Derived Period: $P_{derived} = \frac{360°}{\Delta\theta_{final}}$ (clamped to )
Trend State:
$$S_{trend} = \begin{cases}
1 & \text{if } \Delta\theta \leq 6° \text{ and } |\theta| \geq 90° \\
-1 & \text{if } \Delta\theta \leq 6° \text{ and } |\theta| < 90° \\
0 & \text{if } \Delta\theta > 6°
\end{cases}$$
> 🔍 **Technical Note:** The correlation-based approach provides robust phase estimation even in noisy market conditions, while the unwrapping mechanism ensures continuous phase tracking across cycle boundaries.
## Interpretation Details
* **Phasor Angle (Primary Output):**
- **+90°**: Potential cycle peak region
- **0°**: Mid-cycle ascending phase
- **-90°**: Potential cycle trough region
- **±180°**: Mid-cycle descending phase
* **Phase Progression:**
- Continuous upward movement → Normal cycle progression
- Phase stalling → Potential cycle extension or trend development
- Rapid phase changes → Cycle compression or volatility spike
* **Derived Period Analysis:**
- Period < 10 → High-frequency cycle dominance
- Period 15-40 → Typical swing trading cycles
- Period > 50 → Trending market conditions
* **Trend State Variable:**
- **+1**: Long trend conditions (slow phase change in extreme zones)
- **-1**: Short trend or consolidation (slow phase change in neutral zones)
- **0**: Active cycling (normal phase change rate)
## Applications
* **Cycle-Based Trading:**
- Enter long positions near -90° crossings (cycle troughs)
- Enter short positions near +90° crossings (cycle peaks)
- Exit positions during mid-cycle phases (0°, ±180°)
* **Market Timing:**
- Use phase acceleration for early trend detection
- Monitor derived period for cycle length changes
- Combine with trend state for regime-appropriate strategies
* **Risk Management:**
- Adjust position sizes based on cycle clarity (derived period stability)
- Implement different risk parameters for trending vs. cycling regimes
- Use phase velocity for stop-loss placement timing
## Limitations and Considerations
* **Parameter Sensitivity:**
- Fixed period assumption may not match actual market cycles
- Requires cycle period optimization for different markets and timeframes
- Performance degrades when multiple cycles interfere
* **Computational Complexity:**
- Correlation calculations over full period windows
- Multiple mathematical transformations increase processing requirements
- Real-time implementation requires efficient algorithms
* **Market Conditions:**
- Most effective in markets with clear cyclical behavior
- May provide false signals during strong trending periods
- Requires sufficient historical data for correlation analysis
Complementary Indicators:
* MESA Adaptive Moving Average (cycle-based smoothing)
* Dominant Cycle Period indicators
* Detrended Price Oscillator (cycle identification)
## References
1. Ehlers, J.F. "Cycle Analytics for Traders." Wiley, 2013.
2. Ehlers, J.F. "Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures." Wiley, 2004.
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Institutional Analyst Board
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Jul 19
📊 Institutional Analyst Board – Smart Money Confluence Scanner for XAUUSD, Forex, Crypto
🔍 Overview
The Institutional Analyst Board is a complete multi-timeframe smart money toolkit designed for traders who demand clarity, confluence, and precision. It brings together institutional-grade metrics—Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Liquidity Sweeps, MACD/RSI bias, VWAP positioning, and Break of Structure (BoS)—into a single powerful visual dashboard.
This indicator is especially optimized for Gold (XAUUSD) but is also compatible with Crypto and Forex assets.
🧠 Key Features
✅ Multi-Timeframe Dashboard (5M / 15M / 1H)
✅ Order Block Detection with dynamic zones that extend until broken
✅ Fair Value Gap Detection with clear zone shading and border distinction
✅ MACD + RSI Confluence for momentum and bias alignment
✅ VWAP Positioning to identify premium/discount zones
✅ Liquidity Sweeps (internal/external range breaks)
✅ Killzone Highlighting (Asia / London / New York)
✅ Break of Structure (BoS) with advanced confluence filters
✅ Gold Bias Flags across timeframes (BUY / SELL / NEUTRAL)
✅ Dynamic Price Watermark with real-time data
✅ Fully customizable colors, transparencies, and text labels
🧠 How It Works
The Board uses institutional logic to analyze the chart in real time:
Metric Purpose
OB Zones Highlight potential smart money footprints where price is likely to react.
FVG Zones Identify imbalance areas between buyers and sellers—ideal for mean reversion entries.
MACD/RSI Confirm momentum direction and relative strength confluence.
VWAP Determine whether price is trading at a premium or discount.
Liquidity Sweeps Detect manipulative moves before major reversals.
BoS Mark potential trend reversals, filtered by institutional confluence.
Each signal is computed across 3 timeframes and visualized in a clean board that updates live. You’ll also see labels, alerts, and session overlays for maximum clarity.
📌 Ideal Use Case
This tool is perfect for:
Funded Challenge Traders (FTMO, MyForexFunds, etc.)
Gold scalpers and intraday traders
Crypto price action traders using BTC, ETH, SOL, etc.
Smart Money Concept (SMC) and ICT followers
⚙️ Customization Options
Toggle each module (OB, FVG, VWAP, MACD/RSI, etc.)
Set transparency and color for each zone type
Adjust Killzone timing (Asia, London, NY)
Control board position (Top/Bottom) and metric visibility
📈 Compatible Assets
✅ XAUUSD (optimized)
✅ Forex majors/minors
✅ Crypto pairs (BTC, ETH, SOL, etc.)
✅ Indices (GER40, NASDAQ, SPX with minor adaptation)
🛠️ Requirements
Use on TradingView v5
Set chart time to UTC+0 or UTC+3 for optimal Killzone accuracy
For crypto, redefine Killzone hours if needed (24/7 market)
🧠 Pro Tip
Pair this indicator with volume profile tools, CVD/Delta Flow, or Footprint overlays to build high-confidence trade setups with clear institutional confluence.
Reversal Point Dynamics⇋ Reversal Point Dynamics (RPD)
This is not an indicator; it is a complete system for deconstructing the mechanics of a market reversal. Reversal Point Dynamics (RPD) moves far beyond simplistic pattern recognition, venturing into a deep analysis of the underlying forces that cause trends to exhaust, pause, and turn. It is engineered from the ground up to identify high-probability reversal points by quantifying the confluence of market dynamics in real-time.
Where other tools provide a static signal, RPD delivers a dynamic probability. It understands that a true market turning point is not a single event, but a cascade of failing momentum, structural breakdown, and a shift in market order. RPD's core engine meticulously analyzes each of these dynamic components—the market's underlying state, its velocity and acceleration, its degree of chaos (entropy), and its structural framework. These forces are synthesized into a single, unified Probability Score, offering you an unprecedented, transparent view into the conviction behind every potential reversal.
This is not a "black box" system. It is an open-architecture engine designed to empower the discerning trader. Featuring real-time signal projection, an integrated Fibonacci R2R Target Engine, and a comprehensive dashboard that acts as your Dynamics Control Center , RPD gives you a complete, holistic view of the market's state.
The Theoretical Core: Deconstructing Market Dynamics
RPD's analytical power is born from the intelligent synthesis of multiple, distinct theoretical models. Each pillar of the engine analyzes a different facet of market behavior. The convergence of these analyses—the "Singularity" event referenced in the dashboard—is what generates the final, high-conviction probability score.
1. Pillar One: Quantum State Analysis (QSA)
This is the foundational analysis of the market's current state within its recent context. Instead of treating price as a random walk, QSA quantizes it into a finite number of discrete "states."
Formulaic Concept: The engine establishes a price range using the highest high and lowest low over the Adaptive Analysis Period. This range is then divided into a user-defined number of Analysis Levels. The current price is mapped to one of these states (e.g., in a 9-level system, State 0 is the absolute low, and State 8 is the absolute high).
Analytical Edge: This acts as a powerful foundational filter. The engine will only begin searching for reversal signals when the market has reached a statistically stretched, extreme state (e.g., State 0 or 8). The Edge Sensitivity input allows you to control exactly how close to this extreme edge the price must be, ensuring you are trading from points of maximum potential exhaustion.
2. Pillar Two: Price State Roc (PSR) - The Dynamics of Momentum
This pillar analyzes the kinetic forces of the market: its velocity and acceleration. It understands that it’s not just where the price is, but how it got there that matters.
Formulaic Concept: The psr function calculates two derivatives of price.
Velocity: (price - price ). This measures the speed and direction of the current move.
Acceleration: (velocity - velocity ). This measures the rate of change in that speed. A negative acceleration (deceleration) during a strong rally is a critical pre-reversal warning, indicating momentum is fading even as price may be pushing higher.
Analytical Edge: The engine specifically hunts for exhaustion patterns where momentum is clearly decelerating as price reaches an extreme state. This is the mechanical signature of a weakening trend.
3. Pillar Three: Market Entropy Analysis - The Dynamics of Order & Chaos
This is RPD's chaos filter, a concept borrowed from information theory. Entropy measures the degree of randomness or disorder in the market's price action.
Formulaic Concept: The calculateEntropy function analyzes recent price changes. A market moving directionally and smoothly has low entropy (high order). A market chopping back and forth without direction has high entropy (high chaos). The value is normalized between 0 and 1.
Analytical Edge: The most reliable trades occur in low-entropy, ordered environments. RPD uses the Entropy Threshold to disqualify signals that attempt to form in chaotic, unpredictable conditions, providing a powerful shield against whipsaw markets.
4. Pillar Four: The Synthesis Engine & Probability Calculation
This is where all the dynamic forces converge. The final probability score is a weighted calculation that heavily rewards confluence.
Formulaic Concept: The calculateProbability function intelligently assembles the final score:
A Base Score is established from trend strength and entropy.
An Entropy Score adds points for low entropy (order) and subtracts for high entropy (chaos).
A significant Divergence Bonus is awarded for a classic momentum divergence.
RSI & Volume Bonuses are added if momentum oscillators are in extreme territory or a volume spike confirms institutional interest.
MTF & Adaptive Bonuses add further weight for alignment with higher timeframe structure.
Analytical Edge: A signal backed by multiple dynamic forces (e.g., extreme state + decelerating momentum + low entropy + volume spike) will receive an exponentially higher probability score. This is the very essence of analyzing reversal point dynamics.
The Command Center: Mastering the Inputs
Every input is a precise lever of control, allowing you to fine-tune the RPD engine to your exact trading style, market, and timeframe.
🧠 Core Algorithm
Predictive Mode (Early Detection):
What It Is: Enables the engine to search for potential reversals on the current, unclosed bar.
How It Works: Analyzes intra-bar acceleration and state to identify developing exhaustion. These signals are marked with a ' ? ' and are tentative.
How To Use It: Enable for scalping or very aggressive day trading to get the earliest possible indication. Disable for swing trading or a more conservative approach that waits for full bar confirmation.
Live Signal Mode (Current Bar):
What It Is: A highly aggressive mode that plots tentative signals with a ' ! ' on the live bar based on projected price and momentum. These signals repaint intra-bar.
How It Works: Uses a linear regression projection of the close to anticipate a reversal.
How To Use It: For advanced users who use intra-bar dynamics for execution and understand the nature of repainting signals.
Adaptive Analysis Period:
What It Is: The main lookback period for the QSA, PSR, and Entropy calculations. This is the engine's "memory."
How It Works: A shorter period makes the engine highly sensitive to local price swings. A longer period makes it focus only on major, significant market structure.
How To Use It: Scalping (1-5m): 15-25. Day Trading (15m-1H): 25-40. Swing Trading (4H+): 40-60.
Fractal Strength (Bars):
What It Is: Defines the strength of the pivot detection used for confirming reversal events.
How It Works: A value of '2' requires a candle's high/low to be more extreme than the two bars to its left and right.
How To Use It: '2' is a robust standard. Increase to '3' for an even stricter definition of a structural pivot, which will result in fewer signals.
MTF Multiplier:
What It Is: Integrates pivot data from a higher timeframe for confluence.
How It Works: A multiplier of '4' on a 15-minute chart will pull pivot data from the 1-hour chart (15 * 4 = 60m).
How To Use It: Set to a multiple that corresponds to your preferred higher timeframe for contextual analysis.
🎯 Signal Settings
Min Probability %:
What It Is: Your master quality filter. A signal is only plotted if its score exceeds this threshold.
How It Works: Directly filters the output of the final probability calculation.
How To Use It: High-Quality (80-95): For A+ setups only. Balanced (65-75): For day trading. Aggressive (50-60): For scalping.
Min Signal Distance (Bars):
What It Is: A noise filter that prevents signals from clustering in choppy conditions.
How It Works: Enforces a "cooldown" period of N bars after a signal.
How To Use It: Increase in ranging markets to focus on major swings. Decrease on lower timeframes.
Entropy Threshold:
What It Is: Your "chaos shield." Sets the maximum allowable market randomness for a signal.
How It Works: If calculated entropy is above this value, the signal is invalidated.
How To Use It: Lower values (0.1-0.5): Extremely strict. Higher values (0.7-1.0): More lenient. 0.85 is a good balance.
Adaptive Entropy & Aggressive Mode:
What It Is: Toggles for dynamically adjusting the engine's core parameters.
How It Works: Adaptive Entropy can slightly lower the required probability in strong trends. Aggressive Mode uses more lenient settings across the board.
How To Use It: Keep Adaptive on. Use Aggressive Mode sparingly, primarily for scalping highly volatile assets.
📊 State Analysis
Analysis Levels:
What It Is: The number of discrete "states" for the QSA.
How It Works: More levels create a finer-grained analysis of price location.
How To Use It: 6-7 levels are ideal. Increasing to 9 can provide more precision on very volatile assets.
Edge Sensitivity:
What It Is: Defines how close to the absolute top/bottom of the range price must be.
How It Works: '0' means price must be in the absolute highest/lowest state. '3' allows a signal within the top/bottom 3 states.
How To Use It: '3' provides a good balance. Lower it to '1' or '0' if you only want to trade extreme exhaustion.
The Dashboard: Your Dynamics Control Center
The dashboard provides a transparent, real-time view into the engine's brain. Use it to understand the context behind every signal and to gauge the current market environment at a glance.
🎯 UNIFIED PROB SCORE
TOTAL SCORE: The highest probability score (either Peak or Valley) the engine is currently calculating. This is your main at-a-glance conviction metric. The "Singularity" header refers to the event where market dynamics align—the event RPD is built to detect.
Quality: A human-readable interpretation of the Total Score. "EXCEPTIONAL" (🌟) is a rare, A+ confluence event. "STRONG" (💪) is a high-quality, tradable setup.
📊 ORDER FLOW & COMPONENT ANALYSIS
Volume Spike: Shows if the current volume is significantly higher than average (YES/NO). A 'YES' adds major confirmation.
Peak/Valley Conf: This breaks down the probability score into its directional components, showing you the separate confidence levels for a potential top (Peak) versus a bottom (Valley).
🌌 MARKET STRUCTURE
HTF Trend: Shows the direction of the underlying trend based on a Supertrend calculation.
Entropy: The current market chaos reading. "🔥 LOW" is an ideal, ordered state for trading. "😴 HIGH" is a warning of choppy, unpredictable conditions.
🔮 FIB & R2R ZONE (Large Dashboard)
This section gives you the status of the Fibonacci Target Engine. It shows if an Active Channel (entry zone) or Stop Zone (invalidation zone) is active and displays the precise price levels for the static entry, target, and stop calculated at the time of the signal.
🛡️ FILTERS & PREDICTIVES (Large Dashboard)
This panel provides a status check on all the bonus filters. It shows the current RSI Status, whether a Divergence is present, and if a Live Pending signal is forming.
The Visual Interface: A Symphony of Data
Every visual element is designed for instant, intuitive interpretation of market dynamics.
Signal Markers: These are the primary outputs of the engine.
▼/▲ b: A fully confirmed signal that has passed all filters.
? b: A tentative signal generated in Predictive Mode, indicating developing dynamics.
◈ b: This diamond icon replaces the standard triangle when the signal is confirmed by a strong momentum divergence, highlighting it as a superior setup where dynamics are misaligned with price.
Harmonic Wave: The flowing, colored wave around the price.
What It Represents: The market's "flow dynamic" and volatility.
How to Interpret It: Expanding waves show increasing volatility. The color is tied to the "Quantum Color" in your theme, representing the underlying energy field of the market.
Entropy Particles: The small dots appearing above/below price.
What They Represent: A direct visualization of the "order dynamic."
How to Interpret Them: Their presence signifies a low-entropy, ordered state ideal for trading. Their color indicates the direction of momentum (PSR velocity). Their absence means the market is too chaotic (high entropy).
The Fibonacci Target Engine: The dynamic R2R system appearing post-signal.
Static Fib Levels: Colored horizontal lines representing the market's "structural dynamic."
The Green "Active Channel" Box: Your zone of consideration. An area to manage a potential entry.
Development Philosophy
Reversal Point Dynamics was engineered to answer a fundamental question: can we objectively measure the forces behind a market turn? It is a synthesis of concepts from market microstructure, statistics, and information theory. The objective was never to create a "perfect" system, but to build a robust decision-support tool that provides a measurable, statistical edge by focusing on the principle of confluence.
By demanding that multiple, independent market dynamics align simultaneously, RPD filters out the vast majority of market noise. It is designed for the trader who thinks in terms of probability and risk management, not in terms of certainties. It is a tool to help you discount the obvious and bet on the unexpected alignment of market forces.
"Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected."
— George Soros
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
SCE GANN PredictionsThis is a script designed to give an insight on price direction from being above or below a GANN Value.
What Are GANN Waves?
The SCE GANN Predictions indicator is inspired by the work of W.D. Gann, a renowned trader who believed that price movements follow geometric and mathematical patterns. GANN waves use past price behavior—specifically momentum or "velocity"—to forecast where prices might head next.
How Does the Indicator Work?
Calculating Velocity
The script starts by measuring the "velocity" of price movement over a user-defined lookback period (denoted as n). This velocity is the average difference between the close and open prices over n bars. Think of it as the market’s speed in a given direction.
Predicting the Future Price
Using this velocity, the indicator estimates a future price after a specific time horizon—calculated as n + n*2 bars into the future (e.g., if n = 15, it predicts 45 bars ahead). It scales the velocity by a ratio (Gr) to determine the "end price." This is the raw GANN prediction.
Optimizing the Ratio (Gr)
The key to a good prediction is finding the right Gr. The script tests a range of Gr values (from Gr_min to Gr_max, stepping by Gr_step) and evaluates each one by calculating the sum of squared errors (SSE) between the predicted prices and the actual historical close prices. The Gr with the lowest SSE is deemed "optimal" and used for the final prediction.
Smoothing with an SMA
The raw GANN prediction is then smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) over the lookback period (n). This SMA is plotted on your chart, serving as a dynamic trend line. The plot’s color changes based on the current price: teal if the close is above the SMA (bullish), and red if below (bearish).
Visuals
This example shows how the value explains price strength and changes color. When the price is above the line, and it’s green, we’re showing an up trend. The opposite is when the price is below the line, and it’s red, showing a down trend.
We can see that there may be moments where price drops under the value for just that one bar.
In scenarios with sideways price action, even though the price crosses, there is no follow through. This is a shortcoming of the overall concept.
Customizable Inputs
Timeframe: Choose the timeframe for analysis (default is 2 minutes).
Show GANN Wave: Toggle the GANN SMA plot on or off (default is true).
Lookback Period (Gn): Set the number of bars for velocity and SMA calculations (default is 15).
Min Ratio (Gr_min): The lower bound for the Gr optimization (default is 0.05).
Max Ratio (Gr_max): The upper bound for Gr (default is 0.2).
Step for Gr (Gr_step): The increment for testing Gr values (default is 0.01).
How to Use SCE GANN Predictions
Trend Direction
The colored SMA provides a quick visual cue. Teal suggests an uptrend, while red hints at a downtrend. Use this to align your trades with the broader momentum.
Crossover Signals
Watch for the close price crossing the GANN SMA. A move above could signal a buy opportunity, while a drop below might indicate a sell. Combine this with other indicators for confirmation.
Fine-Tuning
Experiment with the lookback period (Gn) and Gr range to optimize for your market. Shorter lookbacks might suit fast-moving assets, while longer ones could work for slower trends.
Like any technical tool, SCE GANN Predictions isn’t a crystal ball. It’s based on historical data and mathematical assumptions, so it won’t always be spot-on.
Dragon Harmonic Pattern [TradingFinder] Dragon Detector🔵 Introduction
The Dragon Harmonic Pattern is one of the technical analysis tools that assists traders in identifying Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ). Resembling an "M" or "W" shape, this pattern is recognized in financial markets as a method for predicting bullish and bearish trends. By leveraging precise Fibonacci ratios and measuring price movements, traders can use this pattern to forecast market trends with high accuracy.
The Dragon Harmonic Pattern is built on the XABCD structure, where each point plays a significant role in shaping and forecasting price movements. Point X marks the beginning of the trend, representing the initial price movement. Point A indicates the first retracement, usually falling within the 0.380 to 0.620 range of the XA wave.
Next, point B signals the second retracement, which lies within 0.200 to 0.400 of the AB wave. Point C, acting as the hump of the pattern, is generally located within 0.800 to 1.100 of the XA wave. Finally, point D represents the endpoint of the pattern and the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where the primary price reversal occurs.
In bullish scenarios, the Dragon Pattern indicates a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend, where prices move upward from point D. Conversely, in bearish scenarios, prices decline after reaching point D. Accurate identification of this pattern through Fibonacci ratio analysis and PRZ examination can significantly increase the success rate of trades, enabling traders to adjust their strategies based on key market levels such as 0.618 or 1.100.
Due to its high accuracy in identifying Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ) and its alignment with Fibonacci ratios, the Dragon Harmonic Pattern is considered one of the most popular tools in technical analysis. Traders can use this pattern to pinpoint entry and exit points with greater confidence while minimizing trading risks.
Bullish :
Bearish :
🔵 How to Use
The Dragon Harmonic Pattern indicator helps traders identify bullish and bearish patterns in the market, allowing them to capitalize on available trading opportunities. By analyzing Fibonacci ratios and the XABCD structure, the indicator highlights Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ).
🟣 Bullish Dragon Pattern
In the Bullish Dragon Pattern, the price transitions from a downtrend to an uptrend after reaching point D. At this stage, points X, A, B, C, and D must be carefully identified.
Fibonacci ratios for these points are as follows: Point A should fall within 0.380 to 0.620 of the XA wave, point B within 0.200 to 0.400 of the AB wave, and point C within 0.800 to 1.100 of the XA wave.
When the price reaches point D, traders should look for bullish signals such as reversal candlesticks or increased trading volume to enter a buy position. The take-profit level can be set near the previous price high or based on the 1.272 Fibonacci ratio of the XA wave, while the stop-loss should be placed slightly below point D.
🟣 Bearish Dragon Pattern
In the Bearish Dragon Pattern, the price shifts from an uptrend to a downtrend after reaching point D. In this pattern, points X, A, B, C, and D must also be identified. Fibonacci ratios for these points are as follows: Point A should fall within 0.380 to 0.620 of the XA wave, point B within 0.200 to 0.400 of the AB wave, and point C within 0.800 to 1.100 of the XA wave.
Upon reaching point D, bearish signals such as reversal candlesticks or decreasing trading volume indicate the opportunity to enter a sell position. The take-profit level can be set near the previous price low or based on the 1.272 Fibonacci ratio of the XA wave, while the stop-loss should be placed slightly above point D.
By combining the Dragon Harmonic Pattern indicator with precise Fibonacci ratio analysis, traders can identify key opportunities while minimizing risks and improving their decision-making in both bullish and bearish market conditions.
🔵 Setting
🟣 Logical Setting
ZigZag Pivot Period : You can adjust the period so that the harmonic patterns are adjusted according to the pivot period you want. This factor is the most important parameter in pattern recognition.
Show Valid Forma t: If this parameter is on "On" mode, only patterns will be displayed that they have exact format and no noise can be seen in them. If "Off" is, the patterns displayed that maybe are noisy and do not exactly correspond to the original pattern.
Show Formation Last Pivot Confirm : if Turned on, you can see this ability of patterns when their last pivot is formed. If this feature is off, it will see the patterns as soon as they are formed. The advantage of this option being clear is less formation of fielded patterns, and it is accompanied by the latest pattern seeing and a sharp reduction in reward to risk.
Period of Formation Last Pivot : Using this parameter you can determine that the last pivot is based on Pivot period.
🟣 Genaral Setting
Show : Enter "On" to display the template and "Off" to not display the template.
Color : Enter the desired color to draw the pattern in this parameter.
LineWidth : You can enter the number 1 or numbers higher than one to adjust the thickness of the drawing lines. This number must be an integer and increases with increasing thickness.
LabelSize : You can adjust the size of the labels by using the "size.auto", "size.tiny", "size.smal", "size.normal", "size.large" or "size.huge" entries.
🟣 Alert Setting
Alert : On / Off
Message Frequency : This string parameter defines the announcement frequency. Choices include: "All" (activates the alert every time the function is called), "Once Per Bar" (activates the alert only on the first call within the bar), and "Once Per Bar Close" (the alert is activated only by a call at the last script execution of the real-time bar upon closing). The default setting is "Once per Bar".
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : The date, hour, and minute you receive in alert messages can be based on any time zone you choose. For example, if you want New York time, you should enter "UTC-4". This input is set to the time zone "UTC" by default.
🔵 Conclusion
The Dragon Harmonic Pattern is an advanced and practical technical analysis tool that aids traders in accurately predicting bullish and bearish trends by identifying Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ) and utilizing Fibonacci ratios. Built on the XABCD structure, this pattern stands out for its flexibility and precision in identifying price movements, making it a valuable resource among technical analysts. One of its key advantages is its compatibility with other technical tools such as trendlines, support and resistance levels, and Fibonacci retracements.
By using the Dragon Harmonic Pattern indicator, traders can accurately determine entry and exit points for their trades. The indicator analyzes key Fibonacci ratios—0.380 to 0.620, 0.200 to 0.400, and 0.800 to 1.100—to identify critical levels such as price highs and lows, offering precise trading strategies. In bullish scenarios, traders can profit from rising prices, while in bearish scenarios, they can capitalize on price declines.
In conclusion, the Dragon Harmonic Pattern is a highly reliable tool for identifying trading opportunities with exceptional accuracy. However, for optimal results, it is recommended to combine this pattern with other analytical tools and thoroughly assess market conditions. By utilizing this indicator, traders can reduce their trading risks while achieving higher profitability and confidence in their trading strategies.
Quick scan for cycles🙏🏻
The followup for
As I told before, ML based algorading is all about detecting any kind of non-randomness & exploiting it (cuz allegedly u cant trade randomness), and cycles are legit patterns that can be leveraged
But bro would u really apply Fourier / Wavelets / 'whatever else heavy' on every update of thousands of datasets, esp in real time on HFT / nearly HFT data? That's why this metric. It works much faster & eats hell of a less electicity, will do initial rough filtering of time series that might contain any kind of cyclic behaviour. And then, only on these filtered datasets u gonna put Periodograms / Autocorrelograms and see what's going there for real. Better to do it 10x times less a day on 10x less datasets, right?
I ended up with 2 methods / formulas, I called em 'type 0' and 'type 1':
- type 0: takes sum of abs deviations from drift line, scales it by max abs deviation from the same drift line;
- type 1: takes sum of abs deviations from drift line, scales it by range of non-abs deviations from the same drift line.
Finnaly I've chosen type 0 , both logically (sum of abs dev divided by max abs dev makes more sense) and experimentally. About that actually, here are both formulas put on sine waves with uniform noise:
^^ generated sine wave with uniform noise
^^ both formulas on that wave
^^ both formulas on real data
As you can see type 0 is less affected by noise and shows higher values on synthetic data, but I decided to put type 1 inside as well, in case my analysis was not complete and on real data type 1 can actually be better since it has a lil higher info gain / info content (still not sure). But I can assure u that out of all other ways I've designed & tested for quite a time I tell you, these 2 are really the only ones who got there.
Now about dem thresholds and how to use it.
Both type 0 and type 1 can be modelled with Beta distribution, and based on it and on some obvious & tho non mainstream statistical modelling techniques, I got these thresholds, so these are not optimized overfitted values, but natural ones. Each type has 3 thresholds (from lowest to highest):
- typical value (turned off by default). aka basis ;
- typical deviation from typical value, aka deviation ;
- maximum modelled deviation from typical value (idk whow to call it properly for now, this is my own R&D), aka extension .
So when the metric is above one of these thresholds (which one is up to you, you'll read about it in a sec), it means that there might be a strong enough periodic signal inside the data, and the data got to be put through proper spectral analysis tools to confirm / deny it.
If you look at the pictures above again, you'll see gray signal, that's uniform noise. Take a look at it and see where does it sit comparing to the thresholds. Now you just undertand that picking up a threshold is all about the amount of false positives you care to withstand.
If you take basis as threshold, you'll get tons of false positives (that's why it's even turned off by default), but you'll almost never miss a true positive. If you take deviation as threshold, it's gonna be kinda balanced approach. If you take extension as threshold, you gonna miss some cycles, and gonna get only the strongest ones.
More true positives -> more false positives, less false positives -> less true positives, can't go around that mane
Just to be clear again, I am not completely sure yet, but I def lean towards type 0 as metric, and deviation as threshold.
Live Long and Prosper
P.S.: That was actually the main R&D of the last month, that script I've released earlier came out as derivative.
P.S.: These 2 are the first R&Ds made completely in " art-space", St. Petersburg. Come and see me, say wassup🤘🏻
Next Candle Predictor with Auto HedgingThe "Next Candle Predictor with Auto Hedging" is a Pine Script indicator designed for use on TradingView. It combines predictive analysis and basic hedging techniques to assist traders in making informed decisions. Here's a detailed explanation suitable for public sharing on TradingView:
Overview
This script predicts the closing price of the next candle based on the current candle's open and close prices. It also includes an auto hedging feature that suggests potential hedging levels to mitigate risk based on the predicted price movement. The indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to enhance their trading strategies with predictive analytics.
Key Features
Next Candle Prediction:
The indicator analyzes the current candle's data (open and close prices) to predict whether the next candle will close higher or lower.
If the current candle is bullish (close > open), it predicts a higher close for the next candle. Conversely, if the candle is bearish, it predicts a lower close.
Auto Hedging:
The script calculates a hedging level based on the predicted close price.
If the predicted close indicates a bullish move, the hedge level is set slightly below the predicted close, suggesting where a trader might consider placing a hedge. If the prediction indicates a bearish move, the hedge level is set above the predicted close.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The script includes a basic implementation of identifying significant price movements, akin to Elliott Wave analysis, by detecting peaks and troughs over a specified number of bars (wave length).
This can help traders identify potential trend reversals or continuations.
How It Works
Input Parameters: Users can customize the waveLength parameter, which determines how many bars back the script looks to identify significant highs and lows.
Peak and Trough Detection: The script identifies the highest high and lowest low within the specified wave length, plotting these points on the chart for visual reference.
Prediction Logic: The predicted close is calculated based on the current candle's behavior, allowing traders to anticipate price movements.
Hedging Level Calculation: The script dynamically calculates a hedging level based on the predicted close, providing a visual cue for potential risk management strategies.
Visual Representation
The indicator plots:
Elliott Wave Highs: Marked in green.
Elliott Wave Lows: Marked in red.
Predicted Close: Shown as a blue step line.
Hedge Level: Displayed as an orange step line.
Benefits
Enhanced Decision-Making: By providing predictions and potential hedging levels, traders can make more informed decisions about entering or exiting positions.
Risk Management: The auto hedging feature helps traders manage risk by suggesting levels where they might place hedges against adverse price movements.
Customizable: The script allows for user-defined parameters, making it adaptable to different trading strategies and market conditions.
Conclusion
The "Next Candle Predictor with Auto Hedging" indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to enhance their trading strategies with predictive analytics and risk management techniques. By utilizing this indicator, traders can gain insights into potential price movements and make more informed trading decisions.
Feel free to explore the script, customize it to fit your trading style, and engage with the TradingView community for further insights and improvements!
Related
All Harmonic Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws and sends alerts for all of the harmonic patterns in my public library as they occur. The patterns included are as follows:
• Bearish 5-0
• Bullish 5-0
• Bearish ABCD
• Bullish ABCD
• Bearish Alternate Bat
• Bullish Alternate Bat
• Bearish Bat
• Bullish Bat
• Bearish Butterfly
• Bullish Butterfly
• Bearish Cassiopeia A
• Bullish Cassiopeia A
• Bearish Cassiopeia B
• Bullish Cassiopeia B
• Bearish Cassiopeia C
• Bullish Cassiopeia C
• Bearish Crab
• Bullish Crab
• Bearish Deep Crab
• Bullish Deep Crab
• Bearish Cypher
• Bullish Cypher
• Bearish Gartley
• Bullish Gartley
• Bearish Shark
• Bullish Shark
• Bearish Three-Drive
• Bullish Three-Drive
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Measurement Tolerances
Tolerance refers to the allowable variation or deviation from a specific value or dimension. It is the range within which a particular measurement is considered to be acceptable or accurate. I have applied this concept in my pattern detection logic and have set default tolerances where applicable, as perfect patterns are, needless to say, very rare.
Chart Patterns
Generally speaking price charts are nothing more than a series of swing highs and swing lows. When demand outweighs supply over a period of time prices swing higher and when supply outweighs demand over a period of time prices swing lower. These swing highs and swing lows can form patterns that offer insight into the prevailing supply and demand dynamics at play at the relevant moment in time.
‘Let us assume… that you the reader, are not a member of that mysterious inner circle known to the boardrooms as “the insiders”… But it is fairly certain that there are not nearly so many “insiders” as amateur trader supposes and… It is even more certain that insiders can be wrong… Any success they have, however, can be accomplished only by buying and selling… hey can do neither without altering the delicate poise of supply and demand that governs prices. Whatever they do is sooner or later reflected on the charts where you… can detect it. Or detect, at least, the way in which the supply-demand equation is being affected… So, you do not need to be an insider to ride with them frequently… prices move in trends. Some of those trends are straight, some are curved; some are brief and some are long and continued… produced in a series of action and reaction waves of great uniformity. Sooner or later, these trends change direction; they may reverse (as from up to down), or they may be interrupted by some sort of sideways movement and then, after a time, proceed again in their former direction… when a price trend is in the process of reversal… a characteristic area or pattern takes shape on the chart, which becomes recognisable as a reversal formation… Needless to say, the first and most important task of the technical chart analyst is to learn to know the important reversal formations and to judge what they may signify in terms of trading opportunities’ (Edwards & Magee, 1948).
This is as true today as it was when Edwards and Magee were writing in the first half of the last Century, study your patterns and make judgements for yourself about what their implications truly are on the markets and timeframes you are interested in trading.
Over the years, traders have come to discover a multitude of chart and candlestick patterns that are supposed to pertain information on future price movements. However, it is never so clear cut in practice and patterns that where once considered to be reversal patterns are now considered to be continuation patterns and vice versa. Bullish patterns can have bearish implications and bearish patterns can have bullish implications. As such, I would highly encourage you to do your own backtesting.
There is no denying that chart patterns exist, but their implications will vary from market to market and timeframe to timeframe. So it is down to you as an individual to study them and make decisions about how they may be used in a strategic sense.
Harmonic Patterns
The concept of harmonic patterns in trading was first introduced by H.M. Gartley in his book "Profits in the Stock Market", published in 1935. Gartley observed that markets have a tendency to move in repetitive patterns, and he identified several specific patterns that he believed could be used to predict future price movements. The bullish and bearish Gartley patterns are the oldest recognized harmonic patterns in trading and all the other harmonic patterns are modifications of the original Gartley patterns. Gartley patterns are fundamentally composed of 5 points, or 4 waves.
Since then, many other traders and analysts have built upon Gartley's work and developed their own variations of harmonic patterns. One such contributor is Larry Pesavento, who developed his own methods for measuring harmonic patterns using Fibonacci ratios. Pesavento has written several books on the subject of harmonic patterns and Fibonacci ratios in trading. Another notable contributor to harmonic patterns is Scott Carney, who developed his own approach to harmonic trading in the late 1990s and also popularised the use of Fibonacci ratios to measure harmonic patterns. Carney expanded on Gartley's work and also introduced several new harmonic patterns, such as the Shark pattern and the 5-0 pattern.
█ INPUTS
• Change pattern and label colours
• Show or hide patterns individually
• Adjust pattern tolerances
• Set or remove alerts for individual patterns
█ NOTES
You can test the patterns with your own strategies manually by applying the indicator to your chart while in bar replay mode and playing through the history. You could also automate this process with PineScript by using the conditions from my swing and pattern libraries as entry conditions in the strategy tester or your own custom made strategy screener.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
█ SOURCES
Edwards, R., & Magee, J. (1948) Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (10th edn). Reprint, Boca Raton, Florida: Taylor and Francis Group, CRC Press: 2013.
Empirical Kaspa Power Law Full Model v3.1🔶 First we need to understand what Power Laws are.
Power laws are mathematical relationships where one quantity varies as a power of another. They are prevalent in both natural and social systems, describing phenomena such as earthquake magnitudes, word frequencies, and wealth distributions. In a power-law relationship, a change in one quantity results in a proportional change in another, typically following a consistent and predictable mathematical pattern.
🔶 Why Do Power Laws work for Bitcoin and Kaspa?
Power laws work for Bitcoin and Kaspa due to the underlying principles of network dynamics and growth patterns that these cryptocurrencies exhibit. Here's how:
1. Network Growth and User Adoption:
Both Bitcoin and Kaspa grow as more users join their networks. The value of these networks often increases in a manner consistent with Metcalfe’s Law, which states that the value of a network is proportional to the square of its number of users. This relationship is a form of a power law, where network effects lead to exponential growth as more users participate.
2. Mining and Hash Rate:
The mining difficulty and hash rate in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Kaspa adjust based on network activity. As more miners join, the difficulty increases to maintain a stable rate of block production. This self-adjusting mechanism creates feedback loops that can be described by power laws, ensuring the stability and security of the network over time.
3. Price Behavior:
Astrophysicist Giovanni Santostasi discovered that Bitcoin’s price follows a power-law distribution over time. This means that despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s long-term price behavior is predictable and adheres to specific mathematical patterns. Santostasi's model provides a framework for understanding Bitcoin’s price movements and forecasting future trends. He also discovered that Kaspa might be following a power-law aswell but it might be to early to tell because Kaspa hasn't been around for too long(2years).
4. Resource Allocation and System Stability:
As the price of Bitcoin or Kaspa increases, more resources are allocated to mining, leading to more sophisticated mining operations. This iterative process of investment and technological advancement follows a power-law pattern, driving the growth and stability of the network.
In summary, the application of power laws to Bitcoin and Kaspa offers a structured framework for understanding their price movements, network growth, and overall stability. These principles provide valuable predictive tools for long-term forecasting, helping to explain the dynamic behavior of these cryptocurrencies.
🔶 What does it look like on a chart?
Here is the Kaspa power law plotted on the KaspaUSD chart. Notice that the y-axis is in logarithmic scale. Unfortunately, TradingView does not allow the x-axis to be in logarithmic scale, which would otherwise make the power law appear as a straight line.
🔶 All the features of the Empirical Kaspa Power Law Full Model
This indicator includes a variety of scripts and tools, meticulously designed and developed to navigate the Kaspa market effectively.
🔹 Power Law & Deviation bands
The decision to use the lower two bands, marking an area between -40% to -50% below the power law, is based on historical analysis. Historically, this range has proven to be a great buying opportunity. In the case of Bitcoin, the bottom typically lies around -60% from the power law. However, for Kaspa, the bottom appears to be less distant from the power law. This discrepancy can be attributed to the differing supply dynamics of the two. Bitcoin undergoes a halving event approximately every four years, significantly reducing the rate at which new coins are introduced into circulation. This cyclical halving can lead to larger price fluctuations and a greater deviation from the power law. In contrast, Kaspa employs a more gradual reduction in its emission rate, with a 5% decrease each month. This consistent and incremental reduction helps Kaspa's price follow the power law more closely, resulting in less pronounced deviations. Consequently, the bottom for Kaspa tends to be closer to the power law, typically around -40% to -50%, rather than the -60% observed with Bitcoin.
The top two deviation bands are fitted to a few bubble data points, which are honestly not very reliable compared to the bottom bands that are based on a larger number of data points. When examining Bitcoin, we see that the bottoms are quite predictable due to the availability of thousands of data points, making it easier to identify patterns and trends.
However, predicting the tops is significantly more challenging because we lack a substantial amount of data for the peaks. This limited data makes it difficult to draw reliable conclusions about the upper deviation bands. As a result, while the bottom bands offer a robust framework for analysis, the top bands should be approached with caution due to their lesser reliability.
🔹 Alternating Sine wave
In observing the price behavior of Kaspa, an intriguing pattern emerges: it tends to follow a roughly four-month cycle. This cycle appears to alternate between smaller and larger waves. To capture this pattern, the sine wave in our indicator is designed to follow the power law, with both the top and bottom of the wave adjusting according to it.
Here's a simple explanation of how this works:
1. Four-Month Cycle: Empirically, Kaspa’s price seems to oscillate over approximately 120 days. This cycle includes periods of growth and decline, repeating every four months. Within these cycles, we observe alternating phases one smaller and one larger in amplitude.
2. Power Law Influence: The sine wave component of our indicator is not arbitrary; it follows a power law that predicts the general price trend of Kaspa. The power law essentially provides a baseline that reflects the longer-term price trajectory.
3. Diminishing Returns and Smoothing: To model diminishing returns, we adjust the amplitude of the sine wave over time, making it smaller as the cycle progresses. This helps to capture the natural tendency for price movements to become less volatile over longer periods. Additionally, the bottom of the sine wave adheres to the power law, ensuring it remains consistent with the overall trend.
🔹 Sine wave Cycle Start & End
Color transitions play a crucial role in visualizing different phases of the four-month cycle.
Based on empirical data, Kaspa experiences approximately 60 days of downward price action following each cycle peak, a period we refer to as the bear phase. This phase is followed by the bull phase, which also lasts around 60 days. To indicate the cycle peak, we have added a colored warning on the sine wave.
Cycle Start (Purple): The sine wave starts with a purple color, marking the beginning of a new cycle. This bull phase often represents a potential bottom or accumulation zone where prices are lower and stable, offering a strategic point for entering the market.
Cycle Top (Red): As the cycle progresses, the sine wave transitions through colors until it reaches red. This red phase indicates the top of the cycle, where the price is likely peaking. It's a critical area for investors to consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) out of Kaspa, as it signifies a period of potential overvaluation and heightened risk.
These color transitions provide a visual guide to the market's cyclical nature, helping investors identify optimal entry and exit points. By following the sine wave's color changes, you can better time your investments, entering at the start of the cycle and considering exits as the cycle tops out.
🔹 Colored Deviation from the Power Law Bubbles
In trading, having a clear visual signal can significantly enhance decision-making, especially when dealing with complex models like power laws. This inspired the creation of the "deviation bubbles" in my indicator, which provides an intuitive, color-coded visual queue to help me, and other traders, better grasp market deviations and make timely trading decisions.
Here's a breakdown of how the deviation bubbles work:
1. Power Law Reference: The core of the indicator calculates a theoretical price level (the power law price) for Kaspa.
2. Deviation Calculation: For each day, the indicator computes the percentage deviation of the actual closing price from this power law price. This tells how much the market price diverges from the theoretically expected level.
3. Color-Coding Based on Deviation:
The deviation is categorized into various ranges (e.g., ≥ 100%, 90-100%, 80-90%, etc.).
Each range is assigned a distinct color, from red for extreme positive deviations to blue for extreme negative deviations.
This gradient helps in quickly identifying significant market deviations.
By integrating these bubbles into the chart, the indicator offers a simple yet powerful visual tool, aiding in recognizing critical market conditions without the need to delve into complex calculations manually. This approach not only enhances the ease of trading but also helps in overcoming the hesitation often faced when pulling the trigger on trades.
🔹 Projected Power Law Bands
Extends the current power law bands into the future using the same formula that defines the current power law.
Visual Representation: Dotted lines on the chart indicate the projected power law price and deviation bands.
Limitations: TradingView restricts how far these projections can extend, typically up to a reasonable future period.
These projected bands help anticipate future price movements, aiding in more informed trading decisions.
🔹 Projected Sine Wave
This projection continues to calculate the phase and amplitude, adjusting for diminishing returns and cycle transitions. It also estimates the future power law price, ensuring the projection reflects potential market dynamics.
Visual Representation: The projected sine wave is shown with dotted blue lines, providing a clear visual of the expected trend, aiding traders in their decision-making process.
Limitations: Again, TradingView restricts how far these projections can extend, typically up to a reasonable future period.
🔶 Why are all these different scripts made into one indicator?
As a trader and crypto analyst, I needed specific tools and customizations that no other indicator offered. Being a visual person, I rely heavily on visual triggers such as colors and patterns to make trading decisions. Initially, I developed this indicator for my personal use to enhance my market analysis with these visual cues. However, after sharing my insights, other traders expressed interest in using it. In response, I expanded the functionality and added various options to cater to a broader range of users.
This comprehensive indicator integrates multiple features into one tool, providing a powerful and flexible solution for analyzing market trends and making informed trading decisions. The use of colors and visual elements helps in quickly identifying key signals and market phases. The customizable options allow you to fine-tune the indicator to suit your specific needs, making it a versatile tool for both novice and experienced traders.
🔶 Usage & Settings:
This indicator is best used on the Daily chart for KASUSD - crypto because it uses a power law formula based on days.
🔹 Using the Indicator for 4-Month Cycles:
For traders interested in playing the 4-month cycles, this indicator provides a straightforward strategy. When the bubbles turn purple or the sine wave shows the purple start color, it signals a good time to dollar-cost average (DCA) into the market. Conversely, when the bubbles turn red or the cycle top is near, indicated by a red color, it’s time to DCA out of the Kaspa market. This visual approach helps traders make timely decisions based on color-coded signals, simplifying the trading process.
Historically, it was nearly impossible to accurately time all the 4-month cycle tops because they alternate each time. Without the combination of multiple scripts in this indicator, identifying these cyclical patterns and their respective peaks was extremely challenging. This integrated tool now provides a clear and reliable method for detecting these critical points, enhancing trading effectiveness.
🔹 Combining the visual queues for market extremes
The chart above illustrates the alignment of visual cues indicating market extremes. Notably, these visual cues—marked by red and purple boxes—historically pinpoint areas of extreme value or opportunities. When red aligns with red and purple aligns with purple, these zones have consistently indicated significant market extremes.
Understanding and recognizing these patterns provides a strategic advantage. By identifying these visual triggers, traders can plan and execute informed trades with greater confidence whenever similar scenarios unfold in the future.
Kaspa is perhaps one of the most cyclical and predictable cryptocurrencies in the market. Given its consistent behavior, traders might wonder why they would trade anything else. As long as there are no signs indicating a change in Kaspa's cyclical nature, there is no reason to make significant alterations to our predictions. This makes Kaspa an attractive option for traders seeking reliable and repeatable trading opportunities.
🔹 Settings & customization:
As a visually-oriented trader, it is essential to customize the appearance of indicators to effectively navigate the Kaspa market. The Indicator offers extensive customization options, allowing users to modify the colors of various elements to suit their preferences. For example, users can adjust the colors of the deviation bubbles, deviation bands, sine wave, and power law to enhance visual clarity and focus on specific data points. This level of personalization not only enhances the overall user experience but also ensures that the visual representation aligns with unique trading strategies, making it easier to interpret complex market data.
Additionally, users can change the power law inputs and other parameters as shown in the image. For instance, the Power Law Intercept and Power Law Slope can be manually adjusted, allowing traders to update these values. This flexibility is crucial as the future power law for Kaspa may evolve/change.
🔶 Limitations
Like any technical analysis tool, the Empirical Kaspa Power Law Full Model indicator has limitations. It's based on historical data, which may not always accurately predict future market movements.
🔶 Credits
I want to thank Dr. Giovanni Santostasi · Professor of physics and Mathematics.
He was one of the first who applied the concept of the power law to Bitcoin's price movements, which has been instrumental in providing insights into the long-term growth and potential future value of Bitcoin. Giovanni also offers coding classes on his Discord, which I attended. He personally taught me how to code specific things in Pine Editor and Python, sparking my interest in developing my own indicator.
Additionally, I would like to extend my gratitude to the following individuals for their invaluable contributions in terms of ideas, theories, formulas, testing, and guidance:
Forgowork, PlanC, Miko Genno, Chancellor, SavingFace, Kaspapero, JJ Venema.
[GYTS-Pro] Flux Composer🧬 Flux Composer (Professional Edition)
🌸 Confluence indicator in GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸
The Flux Composer is a powerful tool in the GYTS suite that is designed to aggregate signals from multiple Signal Providers, apply advanced decaying functions, and offer customisable and advanced confluence mechanisms. This allows making informed decisions by considering the strength and agreement ("when all stars align") of various input signals.
🌸 --------- TABLE OF CONTENTS --------- 🌸
1️⃣ Main Highlights
2️⃣ Flux Composer’s Features
Multi Signal Provider support
Advanced decaying functions
Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Actionable trading experience
Filtering options
User-friendly experience
Upgrades compared to Community Edition
3️⃣ User Guide
Selecting Signal Providers
Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Understanding the Flux
Tuning the decaying functions
Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
Choosing sensitivity
Utilising the filtering options
Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
4️⃣ Limitations
🌸 ------ 1️⃣ --- MAIN HIGHLIGHTS --- 1️⃣ ------ 🌸
- Signal aggregation : Combines signals from multiple different 📡 Signal Providers, each of which can be tuned and adjusted independently.
- Decaying function : Utilises advanced decaying functions to model the diminishing effect of signals over time, ensuring that recent signals have more weight. In addition to the decaying effect, the "quality" of the original signals (e.g. a "strong" GDM from WaveTrend 4D ) are accounted for as well.
- Flux confluence mechanism : The aggregation of all decaying functions form the "Flux", which is the core signal measurement of the Flux Composer. Multiple mechanisms are available for creating the Flux and effectively using it for actionable trading signals.
- Visualisation : Provides detailed visualisation options to help users understand and tune the contributions of individual Signal Providers and their decaying functions.
- Backtesting : The 🧬 Flux Composer is a core component of the TradingView suite of the 🌸 GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸. It connects multiple 📡 Signal Providers, such as the WaveTrend 4D, and processes their signals to produce a unified "Flux". This Flux can then be used by the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" for backtesting and trade automation.
🌸 ------ 2️⃣ --- FLUX COMPOSER'S FEATURES --- 2️⃣ ------ 🌸
Let's delve into more details...
💮 1. Multi Signal Provider support
Using the name of the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" as an analogy: Imagine a symphony where each instrument plays its own unique part, contributing to the overall harmony. The Flux Composer operates similarly, integrating multiple Signal Providers to create a comprehensive and robust trading signal -- the "Flux". Currently, it supports up to four streams from the WaveTrend 4D's ’s Gradient Divergence Measure (GDM) and another four streams from the Quantile Median Cross (QMC). These can be either four "Professional Edition" Signal Providers or eight "Community Editions".
Note that the GDM includes 2 different continuous signals and the QMC 3 different continuous signals (from different frequencies). This means that the Community Edition can handle 2*2 + 2*3 = 10 different continuous signals and the Professional Edition as much as 20.
As GYTS evolves, more Signal Providers will be added; at the moment of releasing the Flux Composer, only WaveTrend 4D is publicly available.
💮 2. Advanced decaying functions
A trading signal can be relevant today, less relevant tomorrow, and irrelevant in a week's time. In other words, its relevance diminishes, or decays , over time. The Flux Composer utilises decaying functions that ensure that recent signals carry more weight, while older signals fade away. This is crucial for accurate signal processing. The intensity and decay settings allow for precise control, allowing emphasising certain signals based on their strength and relevance over time. On top of that, unlike binary signals ("buy now"), the Flux Composer utilises the actual values from the Signal Providers, differentiating between the exact quality of signals, and thus offering a detailed representation of the trading landscape. We will illustrate this in a further section.
💮 3. Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Another core component of the Flux Composer is the ability of intelligently combining the decaying functions. It offers four sophisticated confluence mechanisms: Amplitude Compression, Accentuated Amplitude Compression, Trigonometric, and GYTSynthesis. Each mechanism has its unique way of processing the Flux, tailored to different trading needs. For instance, the Amplitude Compression method scales the Flux based on recent values, much like the Stochastic Oscillator, while the Trigonometric method uses smooth functions to reduce outliers’ impact. The GYTSynthesis is a proprietary method, striking a balance between signal strength and discriminative power.
We'll discuss this in more detail in the User Guide section.
💮 4. Actionable trading experience
While the mathematical abilities might seem overwhelming, the goal of the Flux Composer is to transform complex signal data into actionable trading signals. When the Flux reaches certain thresholds, it generates clear bullish or bearish signals, making it easy for traders to interpret. The inclusion of upper and lower thresholds (UT and LT) helps in identifying strong signals visually and should be a familiar behaviour similar to how many other indicators operate. Furthermore, the Flux Composer can plot trading signals directly on the oscillator, showing triangle shapes for buy or sell signals. This visual aid is complemented by the possibility to setup TradingView alerts.
💮 5. Filtering options
The Professional Edition also offers filtering options to possibly further improve the quality of Flux signals. Signal streams can be divided into “Signal Flux” and “Filter Flux.” The Filter Flux acts as a gatekeeper, ensuring that only signals meeting the Filter's criteria (which consist of similar UT/LT thresholds) are considered for trading. This dual-layer approach enhances the reliability of trading signals, reducing the chances of false positives.
💮 6. User-friendly experience
GYTS is all about sophisticated, robust methods but also "elegance". One of the interpretations of the latter, is that the users' experience is very important. Despite the Flux Composer's mathematical underpinnings, it offers intuitive settings that with omprehensive tooltips to help with a smooth setup process. For those looking to fine-tune their signals, the Flux Composer allows the visualisation of individual decaying functions. This feature helps users understand the impact of each setting and make informed adjustments. Additionally, the background of the chart can be coloured to indicate the trading direction suggested by the Filter Flux, providing an at-a-glance overview of market conditions.
💮 7. Upgrades compared to Community Edition
Number of signal streams -- At the moment of writing, the Professional Edition works with 4x GDM and 4x QMC signal streams from WaveTrend 4D Signal Provider , while Community Edition (CE) Flux Composer (FC) only works with 2x GDM and 2x QMC signal streams.
Flux confluence mechanism -- CE includes the Amplitude Compression and Trigonometric confluence mechanisms, while the Pro Edition also includes the Accentuated Amplitude Compression and the GYTSynthesis mechanisms.
Signal streams as filters -- The Pro Edition can use Signal Providers as filters.
🌸 ------ 3️⃣ --- USER GUIDE --- 3️⃣ ------ 🌸
💮 1. Selecting Signal Providers
The Flux Composer’s foundation lies in its Signal Providers. When starting with the Flux Composer, using a single Signal Provider can already provide significant value due to the nature of decaying functions. For instance, the WaveTrend 4D signal provider includes up to 5 signal types (GDM and QMC in different frequencies) in a single direction (long/short). Moreover, the various confluence mechanisms that enhance the resulting Flux result in improved discrimination between weak and strong signals. This approach is akin to ensemble learning in machine learning, where multiple models are combined to improve predictive performance.
While using a single Signal Provider is beneficial, the true power of the Flux Composer is realised with multiple Signal Providers. Here are two general approaches to selecting Signal Providers:
Diverse Behaviours
Use Signal Providers with different behaviours, such as WaveTrend 4D on various assets/timeframes or entirely different Signal Providers. This approach leverages diversification to achieve robustness, rooted in the principle that varied sources enhance the overall signal quality. To explain this with an analogy, this strategy aligns with the theory of diversification in portfolio management, where combining uncorrelated assets reduces overall risk. Similarly, combining uncorrelated signals can mitigate the risk of signal failure. A practical example can be integrating a mean-reversion signal with a trend-following signal -- these can balance each other out, providing more stable outputs over different market conditions.
Enhancing a Single Provider
If you consider a particular Signal Provider highly effective, you could improve its robustness by using multiple instances with slight variations. These variations could include different sources (e.g., close, HL2, HLC3), data providers (same asset across different brokers/exchanges), or parameter adjustments. This method mirrors Monte Carlo simulations, often used in risk management and derivative pricing, which involve running many simulations with varied inputs to estimate the probability of different outcomes. By applying similar principles, the strategy becomes less susceptible to overfitting, ensuring the signals are not overly dependent on specific data conditions.
💮 2. Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Moving on to practicalities: how do you connect Signal Providers with the Flux Composer? You may have noticed that when you open the drawdown of a data source in a TradingView indicator (with "open", "high", "low", etc.), you also see names from other indicators on your chart. We call these "streams", and the Signal Providers are designed such that they output this stream in a way that the Flux Composer can interpret it. Thus, to connect a Signal Provider with the Flux Composer, you should first have that Signal Provider on your chart. Obviously you should set it up an a way that it seems to provide good signals. After that, in the Data Stream dropdown in the Flux Composer, you can select the stream that is outputted by your Signal Provider. This will always be with a prefix of "🔗 STREAM" (after the Signal Provider's indicator name). See the chart below.
There is one important nuance: when you have multiple (similar) Signal Providers on your chart, it may be hard to select the correct data stream in the Flux Composer as the names of the streams keep repeating when you use identical indicators. So be sure to be attentive as you might end up using the same signals multiple times.
Also, the Signal Providers have an "Indicator name" parameter (and another parameter to repeat this name) that is handy to use when you have multiple Signal Providers on your screen. It is handy to give names that describe the unique settings of that Signal Provider so you can better differentiate what you are looking at on your screen.
💮 3. Understanding the Flux
Let's understand how the Signal Provider's signals are processed. In the chart below, you see we have one Signal Provider (WaveTrend 4D) connected to the Flux Composer and that it gives a bearish QMC signal. The Flux Composer converts this into a decaying function. You can show these functions per Signal Provider when the option "Show decaying function of Signal Provider" is enabled (as it is in the chart).
In our opinion, of crucial importance is the ability to process the quality of signals, rather than just any signal. In mathematical terms, we are interested in continuous signals as these provide a spectrum of values. These signals can reflect varying degrees of market sentiment or trend strength, offering richer information than binary signals, which offer only two states (e.g., buy/sell). Especially in the context of the Flux Composer, where you aggregate multiple signals, it makes a big difference whether you combine 10 weak signals or 10 strong signals. To illustrate this principle, look at the chart below where there are 4 signals of different strengths. As you can see, each of the signals affects the Flux with different intensities.
💮 4. Tuning the decaying functions
As previously mentioned, the decaying functions are a way to give more importance to recent signals while allowing older ones to fade away gradually. This mimics the natural way we assess information, giving more weight to recent events. The decaying functions in the Flux Composer are highly customisable while remaining easy to use. You can adjust the initial intensity , which sets the starting strength of a signal, and the decay rate, which determines how quickly this signal diminishes over time. Let's look at specific examples.
If we add 3 Flux Composers on the chart, connect the same Signal Provider, keep all settings the same with one exception, we get the chart below. Here we have changed the "intensity" parameter of the specific signal. As you can see, the decaying functions are different. The intensity determines the initial strength of the decayed function. Adjusting the intensity allows you to emphasise certain signal types based on their perceived reliability or importance.
Let's now keep the intensity the same ("normal"), but change the "decay" parameter. As you can see in the image below, the decay controls how quickly the signal’s strength diminishes over time. By adjusting the decay, you can model the longevity of the signal’s impact. A faster decay means the signal loses its influence quickly, while a slower decay means it remains relevant for a longer period.
So how do multiple signals interact? You can see this as a simple "stacking of decaying functions" (although there is more to it, see next section). In the chart below we different strenghts of signals and different decay rates to illustrate how the Flux is constructed.
Hopefully this helps with developing some intuition how signals are converted to decaying functions, how you can control them, and how the Flux is constructed. When tuning these parameters, use the visualisation options to see how individual decaying functions contribute to the overall Flux. This helps in understanding and refining the parameters to achieve the desired trading signal behaviour.
💮 5. Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
While we mentioned that the Flux is a "stacking of individual decaying functions", in the back-end, that is not exactly that simple. Like previously mentioned, for GYTS, "elegance" is very important. One of the interpretations is "user friendliness" and the Flux confluence mechanism is one of the essential developments for this characteristic. The Flux confluence mechanism is critical in synthesising the aggregated signals into the Flux. The choice of mechanism affects how the signals are combined and the resulting trading signals. The Professional Edition offers four distinct mechanisms, each with its strengths.
The Amplitude Compression mechanism is intuitive, scaling the Flux based on recent values, intuitively not unlike the method of the well-known Stochastic Oscillator. The Accentuated Amplitude Compression method takes this a step further, giving more weight to strong Flux values. The Trigonometric mechanism smooths the Flux and reduces the impact of outliers, providing a balanced approach. Finally, the GYTSynthesis mechanism, a proprietary approach, balances signal strength and discriminative power, making it easier to tune and generalise.
It's difficult to convey the workings of the Flux confluence mechanism in a chart, but let's take the opportunity to show how the Flux would look like when connecting both one WaveTrend 4D Signal Provider signals to four Flux Composers with default settings, except the Flux confluence mechanism:
You may notice subtle differences between the four methods. They react differently to different values and their overall shape is slightly be different. The Amplitude Compression is more "pointy" and GYTSynthesis doesn't react to low values. There are many nuances, especially in combination with tuning the sensitivity and upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters.
💮 6. Choosing sensitivity
Speaking of the sensitivity , this parameters fine-tunes how responsive the Flux is to the input signals. Higher sensitivity results in more pronounced responses, leading to more frequent trading signals. Lower sensitivity makes the Flux less responsive, resulting in fewer but potentially more reliable signals.
You might think that changing the upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters would be equivalent, but that's not the case. The sensitivity In case of the Amplitude Compression mechanisms, changing the sensitivity would change the relative Flux shape over time, and with the Trigonometric and GYTSynthesis mechanisms, the Flux shape itself (independent of time) would change. In other words, these are all good parameters for tuning.
💮 7. Utilising the filtering options
When choosing the signal stream of a Signal Provider, you can also change the default "Signal" category of that Signal Provider to a "Filter". In the example below, two Signal Providers are connected; the second is set as a filter. You can see that a second row of a Flux is shown in the Flux Composer (this visualisation can be disabled), corresponding with the signals of the second Signal Provider.
Logically, only when the Filter Flux gives a signal in a certain direction, signals from the regular Signal Flux are registered. Generally speaking, for this use case it is handy to set the thresholds for the Filter Flux low and possibly to decrease the decay rate so that the filtering is active for a long enough time.
💮 8. Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
Lastly, the Signal Flux gives buy and sell signals when it crosses the upper/lower thresholds (UT/LT), when the filter allows it (if enabled). This can be visualised with the triangles as you may have seen in the charts in the previous sections. For people using TradingView's alerts -- these would work too out of the box. And finally, for backtesting and possibly trade automation, we will have the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" that connects with the Flux Composer.
🌸 ------ 4️⃣ --- LIMITATIONS --- 4️⃣ ------ 🌸
Only 🌸 GYTS 📡 Signal Providers are supported, as there is a specific method to pass continuous (non-binary) data in the data stream
At the moment of release, only the WaveTrend 4D Signal Provider is available. Other Signal Providers will be gradually released.
[GYTS-CE] Flux Composer🧬 Flux Composer (Community Edition)
🌸 Confluence indicator in GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸
The Flux Composer is a powerful tool in the GYTS suite that is designed to aggregate signals from multiple Signal Providers, apply customisable decaying functions, and offer customisable and advanced confluence mechanisms. This allows making informed decisions by considering the strength and agreement ("when all stars align") of various input signals.
🌸 --------- TABLE OF CONTENTS --------- 🌸
1️⃣ Main Highlights
2️⃣ Flux Composer’s Features
Multi Signal Provider support
Advanced decaying functions
Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Actionable trading experience
User-friendly experience
3️⃣ User Guide
Selecting Signal Providers
Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Understanding the Flux
Tuning the decaying functions
Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
Choosing sensitivity
Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
4️⃣ Limitations
🌸 ------ 1️⃣ --- MAIN HIGHLIGHTS --- 1️⃣ ------ 🌸
- Signal aggregation : Combines signals from multiple different 📡 Signal Providers, each of which can be tuned and adjusted independently.
- Decaying function : Utilises advanced decaying functions to model the diminishing effect of signals over time, ensuring that recent signals have more weight. In addition to the decaying effect, the "quality" of the original signals (e.g. a "strong" GDM from WaveTrend 4D with GDM ) are accounted for as well.
- Flux confluence mechanism : The aggregation of all decaying functions form the "Flux", which is the core signal measurement of the Flux Composer. Multiple mechanisms are available for creating the Flux and effectively using it for actionable trading signals.
- Visualisation : Provides detailed visualisation options to help users understand and tune the contributions of individual Signal Providers and their decaying functions.
- Backtesting : The 🧬 Flux Composer is a core component of the TradingView suite of the 🌸 GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸. It connects multiple 📡 Signal Providers, such as the WaveTrend 4D, and processes their signals to produce a unified "Flux". This Flux can then be used by the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" for backtesting and trade automation.
🌸 ------ 2️⃣ --- FLUX COMPOSER'S FEATURES --- 2️⃣ ------ 🌸
Let's delve into more details...
💮 1. Multi Signal Provider support
Using the name of the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" as an analogy: Imagine a symphony where each instrument plays its own unique part, contributing to the overall harmony. The Flux Composer operates similarly, integrating multiple Signal Providers to create a comprehensive and robust trading signal -- the "Flux". Currently, it supports up to two streams from the WaveTrend 4D’s Gradient Divergence Measure (GDM) and another two streams from the WaveTrend 4D's Quantile Median Cross (QMC) .
Note that the GDM includes 2 different continuous signals and the QMC 3 different continuous signals (from different frequencies). This means that the Community Edition can handle 2*2 + 2*3 = 10 different continuous signals.
As GYTS evolves, more Signal Providers will be added; at the moment of releasing the Flux Composer, only WaveTrend 4D with GDM and with QMC are publicly available.
💮 2. Advanced decaying functions
A trading signal can be relevant today, less relevant tomorrow, and irrelevant in a week's time. In other words, its relevance diminishes, or decays , over time. The Flux Composer utilises decaying functions that ensure that recent signals carry more weight, while older signals fade away. This is crucial for accurate signal processing. The intensity and decay settings allow for precise control, allowing emphasising certain signals based on their strength and relevance over time. On top of that, unlike binary signals ("buy now"), the Flux Composer utilises the actual values from the Signal Providers, differentiating between the exact quality of signals, and thus offering a detailed representation of the trading landscape. We will illustrate this in a further section.
💮 3. Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Another core component of the Flux Composer is the ability of intelligently combining the decaying functions. It offers two sophisticated confluence mechanisms: Amplitude Compression and Trigonometric. Each mechanism has its unique way of processing the Flux, tailored to different trading needs. The Amplitude Compression method scales the Flux based on recent values, much like the Stochastic Oscillator, while the Trigonometric method uses smooth functions to reduce outliers’ impact We'll discuss this in more detail in the User Guide section.
💮 4. Actionable trading experience
While the mathematical abilities might seem overwhelming, the goal of the Flux Composer is to transform complex signal data into actionable trading signals. When the Flux reaches certain thresholds, it generates clear bullish or bearish signals, making it easy for traders to interpret. The inclusion of upper and lower thresholds (UT and LT) helps in identifying strong signals visually and should be a familiar behaviour similar to how many other indicators operate. Furthermore, the Flux Composer can plot trading signals directly on the oscillator, showing triangle shapes for buy or sell signals. This visual aid is complemented by the possibility to setup TradingView alerts.
💮 5. User-friendly experience
GYTS is all about sophisticated, robust methods but also "elegance". One of the interpretations of the latter, is that the users' experience is very important. Despite the Flux Composer's mathematical underpinnings, it offers intuitive settings that with omprehensive tooltips to help with a smooth setup process. For those looking to fine-tune their signals, the Flux Composer allows the visualisation of individual decaying functions. This feature helps users understand the impact of each setting and make informed adjustments.
🌸 ------ 3️⃣ --- USER GUIDE --- 3️⃣ ------ 🌸
💮 1. Selecting Signal Providers
The Flux Composer’s foundation lies in its Signal Providers. When starting with the Flux Composer, using a single Signal Provider can already provide significant value due to the nature of decaying functions. For instance, the WaveTrend 4D signal provider includes up to two GDM and three QMC signals in a single direction (long/short). Moreover, the various confluence mechanisms that enhance the resulting Flux result in improved discrimination between weak and strong signals. This approach is akin to ensemble learning in machine learning, where multiple models are combined to improve predictive performance.
While using a single Signal Provider is beneficial, the true power of the Flux Composer is realised with multiple Signal Providers. Here are two general approaches to selecting Signal Providers:
Diverse Behaviours
Use Signal Providers with different behaviours, such as WaveTrend 4D on various assets/timeframes or entirely different Signal Providers. This approach leverages diversification to achieve robustness, rooted in the principle that varied sources enhance the overall signal quality. To explain this with an analogy, this strategy aligns with the theory of diversification in portfolio management, where combining uncorrelated assets reduces overall risk. Similarly, combining uncorrelated signals can mitigate the risk of signal failure. A practical example can be integrating a mean-reversion signal with a trend-following signal -- these can balance each other out, providing more stable outputs over different market conditions.
Enhancing a Single Provider
If you consider a particular Signal Provider highly effective, you could improve its robustness by using multiple instances with slight variations. These variations could include different sources (e.g., close, HL2, HLC3), data providers (same asset across different brokers/exchanges), or parameter adjustments. This method mirrors Monte Carlo simulations, often used in risk management and derivative pricing, which involve running many simulations with varied inputs to estimate the probability of different outcomes. By applying similar principles, the strategy becomes less susceptible to overfitting, ensuring the signals are not overly dependent on specific data conditions.
💮 2. Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Moving on to practicalities: how do you connect Signal Providers with the Flux Composer? You may have noticed that when you open the drawdown of a data source in a TradingView indicator (with "open", "high", "low", etc.), you also see names from other indicators on your chart. We call these "streams", and the Signal Providers are designed such that they output this stream in a way that the Flux Composer can interpret it. Thus, to connect a Signal Provider with the Flux Composer, you should first have that Signal Provider on your chart. Obviously you should set it up an a way that it seems to provide good signals. After that, in the Data Stream dropdown in the Flux Composer, you can select the stream that is outputted by your Signal Provider. This will always be with a prefix of "🔗 STREAM" (after the Signal Provider's indicator name). See the chart below.
There is one important nuance: when you have multiple (similar) Signal Providers on your chart, it may be hard to select the correct data stream in the Flux Composer as the names of the streams keep repeating when you use identical indicators. So be sure to be attentive as you might end up using the same signals multiple times.
Also, the Signal Providers have an "Indicator name" parameter (and another parameter to repeat this name) that is handy to use when you have multiple Signal Providers on your screen. It is handy to give names that describe the unique settings of that Signal Provider so you can better differentiate what you are looking at on your screen.
💮 3. Understanding the Flux
Let's understand how the Signal Provider's signals are processed. In the chart below, you see we have one Signal Provider (WaveTrend 4D) connected to the Flux Composer and that it gives a bearish QMC signal. The Flux Composer converts this into a decaying function. You can show these functions per Signal Provider when the option "Show decaying function of Signal Provider" is enabled (as it is in the chart).
In our opinion, of crucial importance is the ability to process the quality of signals, rather than just any signal. In mathematical terms, we are interested in continuous signals as these provide a spectrum of values. These signals can reflect varying degrees of market sentiment or trend strength, offering richer information than binary signals, which offer only two states (e.g., buy/sell). Especially in the context of the Flux Composer, where you aggregate multiple signals, it makes a big difference whether you combine 10 weak signals or 10 strong signals. To illustrate this principle, look at the chart below where there are 4 signals of different strengths. As you can see, each of the signals affects the Flux with different intensities.
💮 4. Tuning the decaying functions
As previously mentioned, the decaying functions are a way to give more importance to recent signals while allowing older ones to fade away gradually. This mimics the natural way we assess information, giving more weight to recent events. The decaying functions in the Flux Composer are highly customisable while remaining easy to use. You can adjust the initial intensity , which sets the starting strength of a signal, and the decay rate, which determines how quickly this signal diminishes over time. Let's look at specific examples.
If we add 3 Flux Composers on the chart, connect the same Signal Provider, keep all settings the same with one exception, we get the chart below. Here we have changed the "intensity" parameter of the specific signal. As you can see, the decaying functions are different. The intensity determines the initial strength of the decayed function. Adjusting the intensity allows you to emphasise certain signal types based on their perceived reliability or importance.
Let's now keep the intensity the same ("normal"), but change the "decay" parameter. As you can see in the image below, the decay controls how quickly the signal’s strength diminishes over time. By adjusting the decay, you can model the longevity of the signal’s impact. A faster decay means the signal loses its influence quickly, while a slower decay means it remains relevant for a longer period.
So how do multiple signals interact? You can see this as a simple "stacking of decaying functions" (although there is more to it, see next section). In the chart below we use different "intensity" and "decay" parameters to discuss how the Flux is created.
Hopefully this helps with developing some intuition how signals are converted to decaying functions, how you can control them, and how the Flux is constructed. When tuning these parameters, use the visualisation options to see how individual decaying functions contribute to the overall Flux. This helps in understanding and refining the parameters to achieve the desired trading signal behaviour.
💮 5. Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
While we mentioned that the Flux is a "stacking of individual decaying functions", in the back-end, that is not exactly that simple. Like previously mentioned, for GYTS, "elegance" is very important. One of the interpretations is "user friendliness" and the Flux confluence mechanism is one of the essential developments for this characteristic. The Flux confluence mechanism is critical in synthesising the aggregated signals into the Flux. The choice of mechanism affects how the signals are combined and the resulting trading signals. The Community Edition offers two distinct mechanisms, each with its strengths.
The Amplitude Compression mechanism is intuitive, scaling the Flux based on recent values, intuitively not unlike the method of the well-known Stochastic Oscillator. On the other hand, the Trigonometric mechanism smooths the Flux and reduces the impact of outliers, providing a balanced approach. It's difficult to convey the workings of the Flux confluence mechanism in a chart, but let's take the opportunity to show how the Flux would look like when connecting both GDM and QMC signals to two Flux Composers with default settings, except the Flux confluence mechanism:
You can notice that the upper Flux Converter (FC) triggered two signals while the other FC triggered only one. There are more nuances, especially in combination with tuning the sensitivity and upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters.
💮 6. Choosing sensitivity
Speaking of the sensitivity , this parameters fine-tunes how responsive the Flux is to the input signals. Higher sensitivity results in more pronounced responses, leading to more frequent trading signals. Lower sensitivity makes the Flux less responsive, resulting in fewer but potentially more reliable signals.
You might think that changing the upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters would be equivalent, but that's not the case. The sensitivity In case of the Amplitude Compression mechanism, changing the sensitivity would change the relative Flux shape over time, and with the Trigonometric mechanism, the Flux shape itself (independent of time) would change. In other words, these are all good parameters for tuning.
💮 8. Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
Lastly, the Signal Flux gives buy and sell signals when it crosses the upper/lower thresholds (UT/LT) This can be visualised with the triangles as you may have seen in the charts in the previous sections. For people using TradingView's alerts -- these would work out of the box. And finally, for backtesting and possibly trade automation, we will have the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" that connects with the Flux Composer.
🌸 ------ 4️⃣ --- LIMITATIONS --- 4️⃣ ------ 🌸
Only 🌸 GYTS 📡 Signal Providers are supported, as there is a specific method to pass continuous (non-binary) data in the data stream
At the moment of release, only WaveTrend 4D with GDM and with QMC are available. Other Signal Providers will be gradually released.
DB MACD TTM SQZ HistogramDB MACD TTM SQZ Histogram
What does the indicator do?
The DB MACD TTM SQZ Histogram combines the MACD with the TTM Squeeze into a single histogram. Traders may use the "Multiplier" settings to weight MACD vs. TTM SQZ. The MACD will default have a multiplier value of 2 vs. 1 for TTM SQZ. The reasoning behind the default 2:1 multiplier is to allow the faster MACD to have a strong hand in the histogram. In addition to the histogram, the indicator will display a red dot when a BB/KC squeeze (TTM SQZ) is present. The TTM SQZ uses a length of 20, BB m-factor of 2, and KC m-factor of 1.5 to match the "Mastering the Trade" squeeze. The histogram is calculated by taking the MACD histogram and the TTM SQZ histogram and first standardizing them into reasonable decimal percentages. Once standardized, each decimal percentage is then multiplied by the individual multiplier. Finally, the two values are summed into the combined histogram value. The end result is a standardized weighted combination of the MACD (faster) with the TTM SQZ (slower) histogram.
How should this indicator be used?
The DB ETHUSD MMA Indicator should be combined with other indicators as a secondary visual indicator or market buy/sell periods. The indicator is not meant to replace the MACD or TTM SQZ. Analyzing the MACD and TTM SQZ wave patterns individually is extremely useful. The indicator allows the trader to quickly obtain a combined analysis of the two indicators with a predetermined preference (multiplier) towards one vs. the other.
In other words, the indicator is very helpful when the MACD and TTM SQZ are conflicting in providing market direction. Those familiar with MACD or TTM SQZ histograms recognize there are four periods in the full cycle; growing below zero line, growing above zero line, falling above zero line, and falling below zero line. Typically a trader would look for buying opportunities when the cycle is showing "growing below zero line." and sell when the price reaches the "falling above zero line." The qualification of the wave pattern of the four periods must be reviewed before trades. If the wave is choppy, then alternative timeframes should be reviewed. Think of wake on a lake or ocean waves. Choppy is unpredictable but smooth waves are more predictable.
The red dot on the zero line would indicate that a squeeze is present in the current timeframe, building pressure. The red dot does not indicate a pressure release of up or down. Instead, it simply means the spring is being compressed. When a squeeze is present, pressure builds and may release in either direction. You can combine this indicator with BB and KC on the plot with BB (20 len, 2 m-factor) and KC (20 len, 1.5 m-factor). You can review the BB/KC outer bands to see possible breakout resistance or support when a squeeze is on. If the price is outside the BB/KC outer banks, move to a higher timeframe.
Does the indicator include any alerts?
Not Yet. Perhaps in the Future (If Desired)
Enjoy!
MME NimblrTA Setup v1.0Hi All,
This is a Candlestick template script to be used for identifying momentum and waves.
There are only 2 types of candles - Momentum Candles ( MC - Body height >= 50%) and Indecision Candles ( IC ).
ICs are further separated as Tiny Beast based on NimblrTAs, Candle height ratio compared to certain % Open price of the day. The % varies based on TF of the chart.
Green and Red are MCs .
IC is colored white
Tiny Beast based on Candle height is colored blue.
Tiny Beast based on Candle height + Body Height is marked $.
This setup is used to identify Waves (ascending waves, descending waves, binets, reverse binets etc) - Per Line chart, Zig Zag .
Intraday EMA setup - 5, 13, 34 is used for EMA alignment
Investment EMA setup - 5, 21, 55 is used for EMA alignment.
PSAR 0.01 setting is normally used for trailing / to check ascending or descending wave at high level.
PSAR 0.005 is additionally added to check for follow-up of move. So when PSAR 0.01 is broken, expect PSAR 0.005 to be broken. That can be a scalping target or confirmation of capturing the right trend.
This setup is used for Intraday as well as Investments. The settings have been defaulted for Intraday setup.
Honey CypherHoney Cypher Aims to do 4 things
Momentum
Trend Strength
Overbought and oversold zones
Being the most beautiful indicator you ever see
Momentum
The big yellow honey waves primary use is to see the momentum of the market, they can be used in a similar way you would use a MACD or Chaikin Money Flow
On this image you see the honey waves being plotted to the 30 minute timeframe while on the 5 minute chart to have an understanding of longer time momentum in the chart.
Trend Strength
Most tools of the indicator can be used for that but the yellow and purple slope strength lines are made specificaly for this. When you see them curl down you know trend is strengthening towards the downside.
The candle color is based on the amount of Honey waves sloping in one direction. This might be the best tool in the indicator to find Trend Strength. Bright yellow candles mean strong bears while the bright blue candles mean strong bulls.
Overbought and oversold zones
By analysing the waves on a chart you start to learn how big waves can get before a reversal or consolidation period arrives.
You can become profitable with the indicator. But to be honest, my primary focus in making this indicator was find ways to visualise alot of data in a clear and beautiful way.
You should use the indicator with some out of the box ideas instead of just trusting the signals.
examples:
Find a head and shoulders pattern on the top of a huge honey wave.
Find a bottom small wave while the others honey waves are in the opposite direction for entering a pullback.
Use the honey for direction but the yellow and purple slope line crosses for entrys.
Comment your own strategys, I made this open source to be able to get community feedback.
The Honey Cypher waves are calculated in a similar way as the MACD histogram. I've combined MACD formula with some of the lazybear formula. It looks for the distance between 2 moving averages to find trend strength. After that the end results get's smoothed out. It is very satisfying to change that as you can see the honey waves create a melting like motion on each change of smoothing.
Below a preview of the honey cypher moving average lines, all lines have a length that is based on the fibonacci number sequence. Honey cypher measures the distance between for example length 5-8 averages.
I hope this inspires coders to create very beautiful scripts.
MktCurves‴ | Market Curves‴What does it do?
Imagin being able to watch the money flow between markets and figure out when it's time to make your own move. This is what this my proposal and this is what the Market Curves (MktCurves) indicator is all about!
You are able to see the money flowing into Core Commodities, T-Bonds (2, 5, 10, 20 and 30 years), High Yield Corporate Bonds, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and Dollar.
Don't let the big guys get you off guard, know their moves and move with them.
How does it work?
By analysing the current curve data it is possible to notice that one or more of the curves start an up trend while others move sideway or a down trend, this is how you can have a guess where the smart money is moving from and to.
Curves available:
. Core Commodities
. T-Bond 2 Years
. T-Bond 5 Years
. T-Bond 10 Years
. T-Bond 20 Years
. T-Bond 30 years
. High Yield Corporate Bonds
. Gold
. Silver
. Bitcoin
. Dollar
What's my filling?
I'm still testing this indicator for only a week and so far still trying to understand its signs. I'm using it in conjunction with Volume Wave (VolWave) and Price Spread Wave (PSWave).
What does it do?
This indicator allows you to identify possible asset top and bottom reversals by having a prior Volatility acting among the price movement with a sequential positive (top reversal) or negative (bottom reversal) waves.
How does it work?
Everytime the wave starts showing a curved top movement (ascending price movment) or a curved bottom movement (descending price movment), it might be signing that a price reversal is on its way. It is possible to adjust the wave shape by increasing/decreasing its gradient value analysis, but it's so easy to use that most of the times no reconfiguration is needed, just add it and let it guide you.
Important to mention that the positive wave band, histogram bars and moving average line are calculate totally separete from the the negative wave.
What's my filling?
It definitely gives me a great insight into the smart money moves, which gives me the confidence to make my own moves.
To have access to this indicator,
Please DM me.
Don't contact me in the comment area.
MFI Pro By CryptoScriptsWelcome to the MFI Pro! This indicator uses the Money Flow Index and overlays two EMAs along with different 'under' levels for the buy triggers. It uses the 14 EMA2 length for the white line and the 5 EMA3 length for the waves. The red shaded 'sell' signal is triggered whenever the MFI climbs above the 80 level and the green shaded 'buy' signal is triggered whenever the MFI dips below the 30 level. A couple ways to use this indicator is wait until the MFI crosses above the 14 EMA for buy signals or below it for sell signals. You can also wait for the waves to cross above or below the 50 line (if it crosses above the 50, buy, if below then sell). Another way to use it is wait until the EMA3 wave crosses above the EMA2 white line for buy signal or if it crosses below the white line for a sell signal. You can also adjust the settings of the overbought and oversold levels which will change your buy/sell signals or change the length of the waves to your liking.
As you can see, there are various ways to use this indicator so please test it out and find what works best for you :) Let me know if you have any questions and thanks for following!
Pragmatic risk managementINTRO
The indicator is calculating multiple moving averages on the value of price change %. It then combines the normalized (via arctan function) values into a single normalized value (via simple average).
The total error from the center of gravity and the angle in which the error is accumulating represented by 4 waves:
BLUE = Good for chance for price to go up
GREEN = Good chance for price to continue going up
ORANGE = Good chance for price to go down
RED = Good chance for price to continue going down
A full cycle of ORANGE\RED\BLUE\GREEN colors will ideally lead to the exact same cycle, if not, try to understand why.
NOTICE-
This indicator is calculating large time-windows so It can be heavy on your device. Tested on PC browser only.
My visual setup:
1. Add two indicators on-top of each other and merge their scales (It will help out later).
2. Zoom out price chart to see the maximum possible data.
3. Set different colors for both indicators for simple visual seperation.
4. Choose 2 different values, one as high as possible and one as low as possible.
(Possible - the indicator remains effective at distinguishing the cycle).
Manual calibration:
0. Select a fixed chart resolution (2H resolution minimum recommended).
1. Change the "mul2" parameter in ranges between 4-15 .
2. Observe the "Turning points" of price movement. (Typically when RED\GREEN are about to switch.)
2. Perform a segmentation of time slices and find cycles. No need to be exact!
3. Draw a square on price movement at place and color as the dominant wave currently inside the indicator.
This procedure should lead to a full price segmentation with easier anchoring.
