📈 ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)
Ticker:
ADBE (Adobe Inc.)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: ~$416.06
• Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
• IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release
• Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
• Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $420
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
💵 Entry Price: $12.65
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%)
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk)
⚠️ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops
💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Ticker:
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: ~$416.06
• Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
• IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release
• Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
• Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $420
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
💵 Entry Price: $12.65
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%)
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk)
⚠️ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops
💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.