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AUD extends its fall

FX:AUDUSD   Đô la Úc/Đô la Mỹ
Morgan Stanley says Australian credit crunch has begun

  • listweakness in retail sales over the past two months may soon become entrenched
    "crunch time" for Australian households has begun
    "In early June, we expressed the view that the Australian consumer faces a domestic cash flow and credit crunch ... Income growth has not recovered, 'cost of living' inflation is re-accelerating and 'macro-prudential'-related tightening of credit conditions is extending from housing into consumer finance."

RBA is still not ruling out rate cut - WSJ

As per Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) board member Ian Harper sees scope for interest rate cuts if consumption across the economy loses momentum entirely.

Key quotes

The thing that is causing an issue for the RBA is slow growth in wages, which is feeding into slow growth in household income

If you start to lose that momentum, that might be the basis of some sort of policy action

While commenting on the dismal retail sales, Harper said, "It is yet another indication that we are not out of the woods"

Progress in the economic recovery is painfully slow

The level of AUD also remains an inhibitor to growth, even after recent falls

You wouldn't want to be jumping the gun and tightening too quickly

via: fxstreet

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