Microsoft (MSFT): A Potential Plunge After a Decade's Rise

On the Microsoft three-day chart MSFT , we've observed that the initial cycle of Wave (5) & I peaked at $430, hitting the 61.8% extension level, and has since declined to $402. We believe that $430 will now act as a strong resistance level.

We anticipate a significant correction for Microsoft, potentially dropping to between $220 and $100. This forecast is based on the end of the first bullish cycle, following a decade of substantial increases in Microsoft's stock price. Such a correction is seen as necessary for sustainable long-term growth

The exact nature of the correction, whether it adopts a Flat or Zigzag pattern, remains to be determined. Flats are more common than Zigzags, hence they are considered more likely, but we are keeping an open mind as we monitor the chart's developments.

We will hold off on positioning ourselves immediately, opting instead to watch how the situation unfolds on the broader chart before identifying potential smaller-scale entry points.