FIRST AND FORMATION CRUCIAL LEVELS ON NIFTY AND OBSERVATION :-NIFTY SUPPORT ZONE IS FROM 14238-14267 :-PATTERN IS A BULLISH FLAG :-TODAY LOW IS ALSO THE LEVEL OF 100-EMA (1-LOOK AT THE CHART)
OBSERVATION:- -NIFTY IF WATCHED CLOSELY IS TRADING IN A BULLISH FLAG PATTERN -WHICH INDICATES THAT BOUNCE IS EXPECTED FROM CURRENT LEVELS -TODAY ALSO THE INDEX BOUNCED FROM THE LOWER TRENDLINE AND TOUCHED ITS 100-EMA AND BOUNCED -"BUT" AT THE SAME TIME THE INDEX IS CREATING A LOWER LOW AND LOWER HIGH FORMATION -THE BOUNCE IS GETTER WEAKER AND SMALLER EACH TIME(2-WATCH FOR SWING LEVELS IN YELLOW) -IF MY VIEW IS RIGHT THEN NIFTY SHOULD NOT CROSS ABOVE 14650-14725 -IF DOES THEN THE BULLISH FLAG IS STILL VALID
TECHNICAL TRIVIA:- -THERE ARE TWO TYPES OF PATTERNS A)CONTINUATION PATTERNS:-RECTANGLE/FLAG B)TREND REVERSAL PATTERNS:-DOULBE TOP/DOUBLE BOTTOM -THERE ARE MANY MORE BUT WE WILL STICK TO FLAG FOR NOW -SINCE FLAG IS A CONTINUATION PATTERN THE PREVAILING TREND SHOULD CONTINUE -IN THIS SCENARIO IT IS A BULLISH FLAG AS PREVAILING TREND IS BULLISH ONE -BUT SOMETIMES MARKET FACTORS IN THE FUNDAMENTALS TOO -SO PATTERNS DO FAIL -MORE OFTEN FAILED PATTERN IS "HEAD AND SHOULDERS" -FAILED PATTERNS USUALLY END UP GIVING HUGE SWINGS ON THE OPPOSITE SIDE -HERE IN NIFTY LONG-TERM CHART PATTERN IS BULLISH AND WILL REMAIN BULLISH UNITL A BREAK BELOW PREVIOUS HIGH OF 12430 -NOT EXPECTING SUCH A SHARP FALL -SO IN NIFTY SINCE WE HAVEN''T SEEN A FAILED PATTERN YET I AM USING THIS AS AN EXAMPLE TO EXPLAIN MY POINT -THOSE KEEN TO LEARN FOLLOW MY FURTHER POST
CONDITIONS:- -A DAILY CHART CLOSE IS REQUIRED BELOW 14230 -ON SAFER SIDE WE WILL ALSO CONSIDER THE 100-EMA -A CLOSE BELOW BOTH WILL BE IDEAL FOR BEARISH MARKET -ATTACHING AN EXAMPLE OF WHAT HAPPENED WHEN NIFTY CLOSED BELOW 14200 ON THE DOWNSIDE
NOTE:- -LEARN AND OBSERVE FIRST BEFORE TAKING TRADES -I AM A PROFESSIONAL TRADER AND TECHNICAL ANALYST -MY VIEWS MAY DIFFER FROM OTHER COLLEGUES OF MINE ON TRADINGVIEW -THIS IS AN EDUCATIONAL IDEA NOT A TRADE
"50 LIKES I WILL PUBLISH A IDEA WITH VIDEO" "HAPPY TRADING" "STAY SAFE"
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-NIFTY HURDLE ON THE UPSIDE REMAINS THE VACCINE NEWS IS FACTORED BY NOW -AS DISCUSSED BEFORE THE BOUNCE IS GETTING SMALLER AND WEAKER -INDEX NEEDS TO BREAK ABOVE 14700 TO COME OUT OF THE PATTERN -EXPECT SHORT COVERING ONLY ABOVE 14725
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LOOK AT THE CHART OF NIFTY IN 5 MINS FINAL BATTLE TO SAVE THE BOTTOM IS ON ONE SIDE FINALLY WILL GIVE UP
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14295 till now
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LIKE EXPLAINED EARILER A CLOSE BELOW THE LEVELS OF 14240 IS REQUIRED FOR FURTHER DOWNSIDE A TRAP WAS SET ON EXPIRY WHICH RESULTED IN SHORT-COVERING WILL CARRY SHORTS IF NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 14200 AND ITS 100-EMA TILL THEN CHECK MY UPDATES
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ADDED NIFTY LONG@14400 BAJFINSV LONGS@9930 BAJFIN LONGS@4675 PLEASE TRACK DO NOT TRADE THIS IS NOT A TRADE ADVICE
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