NVDA Weekly Call Alert — AI Recovery + Institutional Flow

🧭 Overview

Ticker: NVDA
Current Price (Entry): $187.50
Trend: Bullish (Analyst + AI recovery)
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (7D)
Strike: $187.50 (ATM, Delta 0.521)
Position Size: 4% of portfolio

📊 AI & Technical Forecast

Katy AI Target: Recovery sequence $185 → $190, timing for momentum reversal

Analyst Price Target: $250

PCR / Flow Intel: 0.33 → bullish institutional positioning

RSI: 80.9 → overbought, expect short-term dip before upward move

VIX: 19.84 → favorable volatility entry before expansion

Insights:

Friday entry captures weekend theta premium

Light weekly volume (0.6x) → monitor for institutional confirmation

Dip to $185.50 may provide optimal entry for maximum upside

🎯 Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Direction CALL
Strike $187.50
Entry $7.50
Target 1 $12.00 (+60%)
Target 2 $15.00 (+100%)
Stop Loss $4.50 (–40%)
Expiry 2025-11-21
Position Size 4% portfolio
Confidence 60%
⚡ Key Advantages

ATM call → balanced risk/reward vs OTM alternatives

Tight stop aligns with AI critical support at $184.44

Institutional bullish flow + AI recovery pattern → asymmetric reward potential

Timing advantage: Monday-Tuesday momentum reversal

🚨 Risk Notes

Low AI confidence (50%) → disciplined sizing required

Overbought RSI → short-term upside may be capped

Rising VIX → daily premium decay risk, consider scaling entry

Avoid holding past Wednesday if Target 1 isn’t reached

Summary

NVDA presents a medium-conviction weekly call leveraging AI recovery trajectory, institutional flow, and analyst support. Ideal for disciplined traders seeking timed momentum entry into a 7-day horizon.