PHM (PulteGroup) – High-Probability Swing Trade Setup

📈 Symbol: PHM (PulteGroup)
⏳ Timeframe: Daily Chart
⚡ Strategy: Swing Trade (2-4 Weeks)
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $114.00 (Daily SMA 20 + Psychological Support)

Stop-Loss (SL): $104.80 (8% below entry, below SMA 50)

Take-Profit (TP): $133.10 (+16.7% upside, Historical Resistance)

Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4 (Controlled Risk, High Reward)

📊 Technical Analysis
✅ Trend:

Strong Uptrend across all timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H).

Higher highs & higher lows confirmed.

✅ Key Support Levels:

$114: Confluence of Daily SMA 20 + 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.

$110: Daily SMA 50 (Institutional accumulation zone).

✅ Indicators:

RSI (14): 69.51 (Neutral, no extreme overbought signal).

MACD: Bullish crossover + Positive histogram expansion.

Volume: Rising on bullish candles (Confirms buying interest).

Key Levels:

Resistance: $120 (Recent High), $133.10 (Final Target).

Strong Support: $104.80 (Technical SL level).

💰 Fundamental Backing
Strong Growth:

+Strong Growth in Net Income (+18.5% YoY).

Stable revenue in a resilient housing market.

Healthy Balance Sheet:

Minimal Debt (Score 10/10, Debt/Equity: 0.17).

Fair Valuation (P/E 8.13 – Undervalued vs. sector).

Catalyst: U.S. Housing Demand + Pro-Housing Policies.

⚡ Trade Execution Plan
1️⃣ Entry: $114.00 (Confirmed Technical Support Zone).
2️⃣ Stop-Loss: $104.80 (Protects against trend reversal).
3️⃣ Take-Profit: Scaled Exit –

TP1: $120.00 (Sell 50% to lock in profits).

TP2: $133.10 (Trailing stop to capture momentum).
4️⃣ Dynamic Management:

Move SL to $110 after reaching $120 (Secures gains).

📌 Why PHM?
Strong Sector: Housing market recovery with sustained demand.

High Liquidity: Avg. Volume ~2.5M shares (No slippage risk).

Technical + Fundamental Alignment:

Uptrend + Strong Fundamentals = High Probability Trade.

⚠️ Risk Management
Max Risk per Trade: 1-2% of capital.

Avoid Key Events: Interest rate reports (Check economic calendar).

🎯 Final Call: BUY PHM at $114, SL $104.80, TP $133.10.

🔔 Follow for More Swing Trade Setups!
👍 Like if You Find This Helpful!

#TradingView #Stocks #PHM #SwingTrading #RealEstate #TechnicalAnalysis

(Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research.)