Where we're going we don't need... inflation

9 thg 11, 2022

The date was Oct 21st, 2015.

No I can't tell the future, and neither can movie makers.

What I can tell is the market is aware the next CPI print will come in much lower which is estimated at 7.8.

My estimate in the above chart I have coming in lower at 7.4.

Sit Rep going into tomorrows print.

In my previous ideas and comments I said after the rally we would test the 50D again.
If that failed a test of 20D would come soon after.


This sets the market up for this CPI print.

WARNING!!
10Y auction today at 1pm. Yesterdays 1PM Auction of 3Y ended yesterdays rally.
Expect larger distributions in both directions as market makers jokey for position.

What does it mean?
Expect more indecision over the next 48 hours as bond auctions thru Thursday and more volatility may surface in bitcoin.

Event vol from elections will likely remain high into CPI tomorrow.

Skew for the first time yesterday pulled up from its steep dive.

9 thg 11, 2022

Ghi chú

My hidden clues on CPI


1985 CPI 3-4% YOY
2015 CPI 0% YOY

9 thg 11, 2022

Ghi chú

As anticipated. 1pm bond auction triggered a sell in equities.

Precisely On Schedule McFly.

10 thg 11, 2022

Ghi chú

7.7 - good enough for over a 3% increase in indexes.

*Dabs*

10 thg 11, 2022

Ghi chú

Reminder of the 30Y Bond Auction today.
Take profile if you were a buyer into CPI.
Rug could pull us down very much like the last CPI reversed negative to positive.
Never be over confident in either direction right now.