$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Oct 20 → Oct 24, 2025

🔮 SPY / SPX Scenarios — Week of Oct 20 → Oct 24, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Inflation week: The delayed CPI release on Friday could be the first key data drop since the shutdown began — all eyes on price momentum and Fed expectations.
📉 Jobless Claims live feed: The only consistent macro signal right now — still reporting despite shutdown; any uptick could rattle yields and growth sentiment.
💬 Fed tone matters more: Policymakers continue to speak through the data void; expect market sensitivity to even minor policy hints.
💻 Earnings peak week: Roughly 80+ S&P 500 names report, including several mega-caps — likely to set the tone for SPY and $QQQ.

📊 Key Data & Events (ET)

Mon 10/20
⏰ No major scheduled data

Tue 10/21
⏰ No major scheduled data

Wed 10/22
⏰ No major scheduled data

Thu 10/23
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 18) — only active weekly macro indicator
⏰ 10:00 AM — Existing Home Sales (Sept) (may be delayed due to shutdown)

Fri 10/24
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Consumer Price Index (CPI & Core CPI, Sept) (delayed release expected)

⚠️ Note:
With most official data frozen, Jobless Claims and CPI carry extra weight. Expect sharp intraday swings on any surprise readings or leaks.

⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational / informational only — not financial advice.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #CPI #JoblessClaims #Fed #inflation #bonds #yields #shutdown #earnings #economy #megacaps #datawatch