$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 15 → Sept 19, 2025

🔮 SPY / SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 15 → Sept 19, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🌐 Global central bank ripple: ECB’s Thursday decision sets tone for USD and cross-asset flows into Fed week.
📉 Positioning tight: After CPI/PPI last week, funds are leaning light into Wednesday’s Fed — volatility risk high.
🍏 Mega-cap overhang: Apple supply chain chatter + tech sector leadership in focus post-launch event.
💵 Dollar + oil watch: Stronger dollar and stubborn crude prices remain headline risk for equities.

📊 Key Data & Events (ET)

Tue 9/16
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Aug)

Wed 9/17
⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug)
⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot)
⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference

Thu 9/18
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Sep)
⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Conference Board Leading Economic Index (Aug)

⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #RetailSales #jobs #economy #bonds #Dollar #oil #AAPL #megacaps