Skipper86

95USD crude thesis

Skipper86 Cập nhật   
OANDA:WTICOUSD   West Texas Oil
Crude will probably retest and maybe exceed the 2021 high somewhat but a correction to cool things off seems necessary to bring us back to the green trendline which is sloped identically to previous ascents. The purple trendline which goes back to November 2020 is important and a retest of it seems likely. The red line which is a support/resistance line of previous peaks is also important and retest prone. The confluence of the 3 lines is where the ABC correction will end and the next 5-wave impulse will begin. The target is $95 by February 22, 2022, approximately. This target is the intersection of the time cycle of the previous 3 peaks and their channel line. I don't current have a thesis for what happens after that but I reckon selling is likely to occur.
I don't have a position, but this is my big picture thesis for day trading.
Bình luận:
this has not followed the ABC path but the price target still seems plausible
Bình luận:
we hit 94.66 today upon news that Russia is planning to invade Ukraine, $95 by Feb 22nd seems quite plausible but if we don't hit it, we certainly have gotten very close
Đóng lệnh: đạt mục tiêu:
Price target has been hit 5 days early. Price did not follow the anticipated path and I did not get a chance to enter because the anticipated correction never manifested so I will not claim success on this idea.

Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm

Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.