Symbol: XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation
Timeframe: Weekly/4-Hour (Long-Term Structural Swing Trade)
Setup: Major Trend Continuation (Buy Limit)
Trade Thesis: Structural Retest & Fundamental Tailwinds
This XOM setup is a high-conviction long idea driven by a potent blend of macroeconomic factors and strong technical structure confirmed on the weekly chart. We are not chasing the recent high but patiently waiting for the optimal entry.
1. Fundamental Confirmation (The Catalyst):
The recent U.S. sanctions against major Russian oil entities have significantly tightened global supply, acting as a massive, direct fundamental catalyst for crude oil prices (WTI). This tailwind strongly supports XOM's earnings and drives capital rotation into the entire Energy sector.
2. The Structural Confluence (The Optimal Entry Zone):
The price has executed a significant, validated breakout from a multi-week consolidation. We are targeting a highly defensive entry point where multiple support zones align:
Horizontal Support: The zone around $112.50 was the major overhead resistance. Price retesting broken resistance is a high-probability setup for continuation.
Dynamic Support: This zone also coincides with the major multi-year uptrend line visible on the weekly chart. This confluence creates a low-risk, high-reward entry point.
The Mandate: Defining the Rules of Engagement
Our strategy is to use a Buy Limit Order to ensure we only enter the trade at the optimal price, strictly maximizing the Risk/Reward ratio.
Component: Price Rationale (Structural Discipline)
Action: BUY LIMIT Waiting for the necessary structural pullback to the defined support zone.
Entry Price:$112.50 The precise structural retest zone (The Optimal Entry).
Stop Loss: $109.50 Placed below the dynamic multi-year trendline and structural pivot low. The price point where the bullish thesis is structurally invalidated.
Take Profit 1 (De-Risk) $118.00 First major horizontal resistance. This move secures initial profit and allows us to move the SL to break-even (risk-free trade).
Take Profit 2 (Full Potential) $125.00 Targeting the ultimate structural swing high confirmed by the weekly chart.
Projected Risk/Reward ≈1:4.1 We only execute when the R:R is overwhelmingly in our favor.
Status: Order set and awaiting fill. Strict adherence to the SL is paramount.
Disclaimer: This is an educational analysis and not financial advice.
Timeframe: Weekly/4-Hour (Long-Term Structural Swing Trade)
Setup: Major Trend Continuation (Buy Limit)
Trade Thesis: Structural Retest & Fundamental Tailwinds
This XOM setup is a high-conviction long idea driven by a potent blend of macroeconomic factors and strong technical structure confirmed on the weekly chart. We are not chasing the recent high but patiently waiting for the optimal entry.
1. Fundamental Confirmation (The Catalyst):
The recent U.S. sanctions against major Russian oil entities have significantly tightened global supply, acting as a massive, direct fundamental catalyst for crude oil prices (WTI). This tailwind strongly supports XOM's earnings and drives capital rotation into the entire Energy sector.
2. The Structural Confluence (The Optimal Entry Zone):
The price has executed a significant, validated breakout from a multi-week consolidation. We are targeting a highly defensive entry point where multiple support zones align:
Horizontal Support: The zone around $112.50 was the major overhead resistance. Price retesting broken resistance is a high-probability setup for continuation.
Dynamic Support: This zone also coincides with the major multi-year uptrend line visible on the weekly chart. This confluence creates a low-risk, high-reward entry point.
The Mandate: Defining the Rules of Engagement
Our strategy is to use a Buy Limit Order to ensure we only enter the trade at the optimal price, strictly maximizing the Risk/Reward ratio.
Component: Price Rationale (Structural Discipline)
Action: BUY LIMIT Waiting for the necessary structural pullback to the defined support zone.
Entry Price:$112.50 The precise structural retest zone (The Optimal Entry).
Stop Loss: $109.50 Placed below the dynamic multi-year trendline and structural pivot low. The price point where the bullish thesis is structurally invalidated.
Take Profit 1 (De-Risk) $118.00 First major horizontal resistance. This move secures initial profit and allows us to move the SL to break-even (risk-free trade).
Take Profit 2 (Full Potential) $125.00 Targeting the ultimate structural swing high confirmed by the weekly chart.
Projected Risk/Reward ≈1:4.1 We only execute when the R:R is overwhelmingly in our favor.
Status: Order set and awaiting fill. Strict adherence to the SL is paramount.
Disclaimer: This is an educational analysis and not financial advice.
We operate at the Nexus. We execute the Sovereign Mandate.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.
We operate at the Nexus. We execute the Sovereign Mandate.
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.