Calculus Free Trend Strategy for Crypto & Stocks

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Objective:
The Correlation Channel Trading Strategy is designed to identify potential entry points based on the relationship between price movements and a correlation channel. The strategy aims to capture trends within the channel while managing risk effectively.

Parameters:

Length: Determines the period for calculating moving averages and the true range, influencing the sensitivity of the strategy to price movements.
Multiplier: Adjusts the width of the correlation channel, providing flexibility to adapt to different market conditions.

Inputs:

Asset Symbol: Allows users to specify the financial instrument for analysis.
Timeframe: Defines the timeframe for data aggregation, enabling customization based on trading preferences.
Plot Correlation Channel: Optional input to visualize the correlation channel on the price chart.

Methodology:

Data Acquisition: The strategy fetches OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) data for the specified asset and timeframe. In this case we use COINBASE:BTCUSD

Calculation of Correlation Channel: It computes the squared values for OHLC data, calculates the average value (x), and then calculates the square root of x to derive the source value. Additionally, it calculates the True Range as the difference between high and low prices.

Moving Averages: The strategy calculates moving averages (MA) for the source value and the True Range, which form the basis for defining the correlation channel.

Upper and Lower Bands: Using the MA and True Range, the strategy computes upper and lower bands of the correlation channel, with the width determined by the multiplier.

Entry Conditions: Long positions are initiated when the price crosses above the upper band, signaling potential overbought conditions. Short positions are initiated when the price crosses below the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions.

Exit Conditions: Stop-loss mechanisms are incorporated directly into the entry conditions to manage risk. Long positions are exited if the price falls below a predefined stop-loss level, while short positions are exited if the price rises above the stop-loss level.

Strategy Approach: The strategy aims to capitalize on trends within the correlation channel, leveraging systematic entry signals while actively managing risk through stop-loss orders.

Backtest Details : For the purpose of this test I used the entire data available for BTCUSD Coinbase, with 10% of capital allocation and 0.1% comission for entry/exit(0.2% total). Can be also used with other both directly correlated with current settings of BTC or with new ones

Advantages:

Provides a systematic approach to trading based on quantifiable criteria.
Offers flexibility through customizable parameters to adapt to various market conditions.
Integrates risk management through predefined stop-loss mechanisms.

Limitations:

Relies on historical price data and technical indicators, which may not always accurately predict future price movements.
May generate false signals during periods of low volatility or erratic price behavior.
Requires continuous monitoring and adjustment of parameters to maintain effectiveness.

Conclusion:
The Correlation Channel Trading Strategy offers traders a structured framework for identifying potential entry points within a defined price channel. By leveraging moving averages and true range calculations, the strategy aims to capture trends while minimizing risk through stop-loss mechanisms. While no strategy can guarantee success in all market conditions, the Correlation Channel Trading Strategy provides a systematic approach to trading that can enhance decision-making and risk management for traders.

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added time_cond rule inside

17 thg 4

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updated chart

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updated up to may

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updated until june