The Real GBTC Premium (Capriole Investments)The real Grayscale Bitcoin (GBTC) premium / discount.
Charts the premium / discount of GBTC trust versus the Bitcoin spot price.
The GBTC premium / discount is frequently calculated incorrectly as it needs to consider the amount of Bitcoin behind each share of GBTC, which changes over time.
This indicator allows for an estimate of that change through time, a more realistic representation of 1 BTC to 1 BTC within GBTC.
If the chart is red, at a discount = can buy a synthetic Bitcoin (GBTC) at a discount to the underlying asset Bitcoin.
If the chart is green, at a premium = can buy a synthetic Bitcoin (GBTC) at a premium to the underlying asset Bitcoin.
The user should also consider that to-date, GBTC charges an annual fee which depletes the value within the GBTC trust. Grayscale wants to convert GBTC to an ETF, but its applications have so far been rejected by the SEC.
If GBTC is converted to an ETF in the future, we might expect that any GBTC discount shown here will be neutralized; potentially offering an additional return to any holder of GBTC, though this cannot be known for sure until such a conversion occurs.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "bitcoin"
BTC Multi Exchange Perpetual PremiumThis script tracks the premium/discount of Bitcoin perpetual contracts at various exchanges.
The premium/discount is calculated against an index price. The index price is calculated from spot exchange prices and are weighted as follows:
Bitstamp:28,81%
Bittrex:5,5%
Coinbase: 38,07%
Gemini: 7,34%
Kraken: 20,28
The difference between this script and other available scripts, is that exciting script seems to only focus on one exchange. This script is also open source.
Dominance Monitoralways a trader must check the bitcoins Dominance and if its ok can make a deal on AltCoins
this indicator Monitor the BTC.D and check the trend with ATR and give you results
please just check it in 1D timeframe
when the color was white you can easily trade and if the color was red you should be aware the risk and rest or maybe close the deals
BINANCE:EOSUSDT
be our guest
BTC FRACTAL ANN S-R LEVELS (Fixed ANN MACD)
This script is an adaptation of my deep learning system for Bitcoin to fractals.
Fractal codes are not belong to me. Original :
The code for the Deep learning (ANN MACD BTC) work belongs to me. Original:
I didn't get license for this script because the fractal codes don't belong to me.You can use it for any purpose.
This command can be a very helpful guide.You can use that fractals with your indicators for Bitcoin.
You can also combine these levels with ANN - MACD - BTC script.
Scripts about Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) will continue soon !
I hope it will help us to gain insight into technical analysis.
Best regards. Noldo.
BTC 1D Alerts V1This script contains a variety of key indicator for bitcoin all-in-one and they can be activated individually in the menu. These are meant to be used on the 1D chart for Bitcoin.
1457 Day Moving Average: the bottom of the bitcoin price and arguably the rock bottom price target.
Ichimoku Cloud: a common useful indicator for bitcoin support and resistance.
350ma fibs (21 8 5 3 2 and 1.6) : Signify the tops of each logarthmic rise in bitcoin price. They are generally curving higher over the long term. For halvening #3, the predicted market crash would be after hitting the 350ma x3 fib. Also the 350 ma / 111 ma cross signifies bull market top within about 3 days as well. Using the combination of the 350ma fibs and the 350/111 crosses, reasonably identify when market top is about to occur.
50,120,200 ma: Common moving averages that bitcoin retests during bull market runs. Also, the 50/200 golden and death crosses.
1D EMA Superguppy Ribbons: green = bull market, gray is indeterminate, red = bear market. Very high specificity indicator of bull runs, especially for bitcoin. You can change to 3D candle for even more specificity for a bull market start. Use the 1W for even more specificity. 1D Superguppy is recommended for decisionmaking.
1W EMA21: a very good moving average programmed to be shown on both the daily and weekly candle time. Bitcoin commonly corrects to this repeatedly during past bull runs. Acts as support during bull run and resistance during a bear market.
Steps to identifying a bull market:
1. 50/200 golden cross
2. 1D EMA superguppy green
3. 3D EMA superguppy green (if you prefer more certainty than step 2).
4. Hitting the 1W EMA21 and bouncing off during the bull run signifies corrections.
Once a bull market is identified,
Additional recommended buying and selling techniques:
Indicators:
- Fiblines - to determine retracements from peaks (such as all time high or recent highs)
- Stochastic RSI - 1d, 3d, and 1W SRSI are great time to buy, especially the 1W SRSI which comes much less frequently.
- volumen consolidado - for multi exchange volumes compiled into a single line. I prefer buying on the lowest volume days which generally coincide with dips.
- MACD - somewhat dubious utility but many algorithms are programmed to buy or sell based on this.
Check out the Alerts for golden crosses and 350ma Fib crosses which are invaluable for long term buying planning.
I left this open source so that all the formulas can be understood and verified. Much of it hacked together from other sources but all indicators that are fundamental to bitcoin. I apologize in advance for not attributing all the articles and references... but then again I am making no money off of this anyway.
Volumen Consolidado por DIVISAS contra BITCOIN #09/2019Volumen Consolidado de Bitcoin clasificado por divisas. Gracias a este indicador se podrá obtener la dominancia y participación en el mercado de las diferentes divisas o contratos. Actualmente el indicador incluye un aproximado de 40 pares de BTC contra diferentes divisas, en las cuales resaltan:
*USD
*USDT
*USDC
*XBT
*CNY
*KRW
*GBP
*EUR
Este indicador es un criterio utilizado para un indicador que estaré subiendo en proximamente, el cuál sí contará con el volumen total expresado en un solo panel. Es decir, este indicador, solo especifica una parte del indicador general, que será el volumen consolidado total, que este expresará la cantidad total de bitcoins negociados a nivel mundial. El USD es la moneda con la que el "Market Maker", respalda sus fondos para operar el mercado, cosa que sabemos, por lo tanto otras divisas serían solo un metodo de compra para el retailer(cosa que me motivó a la creación del indicador ya que se podría conocer el sentimiento y reacción de los mismos en lo que ocurre en el mercado).
Recordemos que el principal problema de los análisis que toman en cuenta el precio y volumen en bitcoin es que tradingview te da a conocer solo el "volumen del exchange", por lo tanto no obtienes una cifra exacta de los bitcoins comprados y/o vendidos en todos los sitios en los que se negocia, lo que dificulta tener una percepción objetiva de lo que sucede en el mercado, ya que te guiarías por el volumen que te da el exchange dónde operas y no el que es real.
Sin nada más que decir, espero que tome en cuenta este recurso para sus análisis, que será esencial para aquellos que operan con precio y volumen.
Si quiere realizar alguna colaboración y/o donación por mí obra, será muy bien bienvenida y agradecida:
BTC: 1TqvNSQs39pr2mLeDo3swcrkYvkK1YQAN
LTC: LKYYkJQHBvnEaJSatp53pg8C7iKp9Jp45B
ETH: 0x6e0902a16a0a0d6379cd8600c455a7ab335278cc
Global Liquidity Proxy vs BitcoinGlobal Liquidity Proxy vs Bitcoin. Helps to understand the cycles with liquidty.
Spiderlines BTCUSD - daily/weekly📘 Documentation – Daily and Weekly Spider Lines for Bitcoin
🔹 Purpose of the Script
This script draws dynamic “Spider Lines” in the Bitcoin chart.
The lines connect certain historical candles with a reference candle and extend to the right.
These act as guideline levels that can serve as potential support or resistance zones.
🔹 How It Works
The script operates in two modes, depending on the active chart timeframe:
Weekly Mode (timeframe.isweekly)
The reference date is July 1, 2019.
The number of weeks since that date is calculated.
This defines the connection candle (connection_candle).
Several predefined offsets (e.g., +32, +34, +36 …) are added to the reference to determine starting candles.
Lines are drawn from these candles toward the connection candle.
→ Line color: green
Daily Mode (timeframe.isdaily)
Same reference date: July 1, 2019.
The number of days since that date is calculated.
Again, a connection candle is set.
A different set of offsets (e.g., +224, +238, +252 …) defines the starting candles.
Lines are drawn accordingly.
→ Line color: red
🔹 Line Logic
Each line connects:
Start → bar_index at high
End → bar_index at close
Lines are extended indefinitely to the right (extend.right).
Appearance: dashed style, width 2.
🔹 Error Handling
If a calculated candle index does not exist in the chart history (e.g., chart data does not go back far enough),
a label is plotted in the chart showing the message:
"Daily idx out of range: 252"
This way, missing lines can be diagnosed easily.
🔹 Color Convention
Weekly Spider Lines → Green
Daily Spider Lines → Red
🔹 Use Cases
Visualization of historical cyclic line patterns.
Helps in technical chart analysis: spotting potential reaction zones in price movement.
Designed mainly for long-term traders and analysts observing Bitcoin in Daily or Weekly timeframes.
🔹 Limitations
Works only on Daily and Weekly charts.
Requires chart data going back to July 1, 2019.
Based purely on fixed offsets → not a classical indicator like Moving Averages or RSI.
BTC Power Law Valuation BandsBTC Power Law Rainbow
A long-term valuation framework for Bitcoin based on Power Law growth — designed to help identify macro accumulation and distribution zones, aligned with long-term investor behavior.
🔍 What Is a Power Law?
A Power Law is a mathematical relationship where one quantity varies as a power of another. In this model:
Price ≈ a × (Time)^b
It captures the non-linear, exponentially slowing growth of Bitcoin over time. Rather than using linear or cyclical models, this approach aligns with how complex systems, such as networks or monetary adoption curves, often grow — rapidly at first, and then more slowly, but persistently.
🧠 Why Power Law for BTC?
Bitcoin:
Has finite supply and increasing adoption.
Operates as a monetary network , where Metcalfe’s Law and power laws naturally emerge.
Exhibits exponential growth over logarithmic time when viewed on a log-log chart .
This makes it uniquely well-suited for power law modeling.
🌈 How to Use the Valuation Bands
The central white line represents the modeled fair value according to the power law.
Colored bands represent deviations from the model in logarithmic space, acting as macro zones:
🔵 Lower Bands: Deep value / Accumulation zones.
🟡 Mid Bands: Fair value.
🔴 Upper Bands: Euphoria / Risk of macro tops.
📐 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Alignment
Accumulation: Occurs when price consolidates near lower bands — often aligning with institutional positioning.
Markup: As price re-enters or ascends the bands, we often see breakout behavior and trend expansion.
Distribution: When price extends above upper bands, potential for exit liquidity creation and distribution events.
Reversion: Historically, price mean-reverts toward the model — rarely staying outside the bands for long.
This makes the model useful for:
Cycle timing
Long-term DCA strategy zones
Identifying value dislocations
Filtering short-term noise
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only . It is not financial advice. The power law model is a non-predictive, mathematical framework and does not guarantee future price movements .
Always use additional tools, risk management, and your own judgment before making trading or investment decisions.
Mancin Bitcoin CorrelationMancin Bitcoin Correlation
This indicator calculates the correlation coefficient between a selected asset and Bitcoin (default: BYBIT:BTCUSDT) over a specified period, and visualizes it as a line or columns with a dynamic color gradient.
Features:
Correlation values range from -1 (inverse relationship) to +1 (strong direct relationship).
Gradient fill changes intensity based on correlation strength:
Positive correlation uses the “high correlation” color.
Negative correlation uses the “low correlation” color.
Fully customizable:
Colors for positive and negative correlation.
Base transparency.
Gradient strength (sensitivity of transparency to correlation changes).
Correlation length.
Line style and color (Line or Columns).
Use cases:
Track how closely your asset moves with Bitcoin.
Spot moments when the asset starts moving in sync or diverging from BTC.
Useful for pair trading, arbitrage strategies, and assessing BTC’s market influence.
Trend Strength Index [Alpha Extract]The Trend Strength Index leverages Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and Average True Range (ATR) to quantify trend intensity in cryptocurrency markets, particularly Bitcoin. The combination of VWMA and ATR is particularly powerful because VWMA provides a more accurate representation of the market's true average price by weighting periods of higher trading volume more heavily—capturing genuine momentum driven by increased participation rather than treating all price action equally, which is crucial in volatile assets like Bitcoin where volume spikes often signal institutional interest or market shifts.
Meanwhile, ATR normalizes this measurement for volatility, ensuring that trend strength readings remain comparable across different market conditions; without ATR's adjustment, raw price deviations from the mean could appear artificially inflated during high-volatility periods (like during news events or liquidations) or understated in low-volatility sideways markets, leading to misleading signals. Together, they create a volatility-adjusted, volume-sensitive metric that reliably distinguishes between meaningful trend developments and noise.
This indicator measures the normalized distance between price and its volume-weighted mean, providing a clear visualization of trend strength while accounting for market volatility. It helps traders identify periods of strong directional movement versus consolidation, with color-coded gradients for intuitive interpretation.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes price data through these analytical stages:
Volume Weighted Moving Average: Computes a smoothed average weighted by trading volume
Volatility Normalization: Uses ATR to account for market volatility
Distance Measurement: Calculates absolute deviation between current price and VWMA
Strength Normalization: Divides price deviation by ATR for a volatility-adjusted metric
Formula:
VWMA = Volume-Weighted Moving Average of Close over specified length
ATR = Average True Range over specified length
Price Distance = |Close - VWMA|
Trend Strength = Price Distance / ATR
🔶 DETAILS Visual Features:
VWMA Line: Blue line overlay on the price chart representing the volume-weighted mean
Trend Strength Area: Histogram-style area plot with dynamic color gradient (red for weak trends, transitioning through orange and yellow to green for strong trends)
Threshold Line: Horizontal red line at the customizable Trend Enter level
Background Highlight: Subtle green background when trend strength exceeds the enter threshold for strong trend visualization
Alert System: Triggers notifications for strong trend detection
Interpretation:
0-Weak (Red): Minimal trend strength, potential consolidation or ranging market
Mid-Range (Orange/Yellow): Building momentum, watch for breakout potential
At/Above Enter Threshold (Green): Strong trend conditions, potential for continued directional moves
Threshold Crossing: Trend strength crossing above the enter level signals increasing conviction in the current direction
Color Transitions: Gradual shifts from warm (red/orange) to cool (green) tones indicate strengthening trends
🔶 EXAMPLES
Strong Trend Entry: When trend strength crosses above the enter threshold (e.g., 1.2), it identifies the onset of a powerful move where price deviates significantly from the mean.
Example: During a rally, trend strength rising from yellow (around 1.0) to green (1.2+) often precedes sustained upward momentum, providing entry opportunities for trend followers.
Consolidation Detection: Low trend strength values in red shades (below 0.5) highlight periods of low volatility and mean reversion potential.
Example: After a sharp sell-off, persistent red values signal a likely sideways phase, allowing traders to avoid whipsaws and wait for orange/yellow transitions as a precursor to recovery.
Volatility-Adjusted Pullbacks: In volatile markets, the ATR component ensures trend strength remains accurate; a dip back to yellow from green during minor corrections can indicate healthy pullbacks within a strong trend.
Example: Trend strength briefly falling to yellow levels (e.g., 0.8-1.1) after hitting green provides profit-taking signals without invalidating the overall bullish bias if the VWMA holds as support.
Threshold Alert Integration: The alert condition combines strength value with the enter threshold for timely notifications.
Example: Receiving a "Strong Trend Detected" alert when the area plot turns green helps confirm Bitcoin's breakout from consolidation, aligning with increased volume for higher-probability trades.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
Lengths: VWMA length (default 14), ATR length (default 14)
Thresholds: Trend enter (default 1.2, step 0.1), trend exit (default 1.15, for potential future signal enhancements)
Visuals: Automatic color scaling with red at 0, transitioning to green at/above enter threshold
Alert Conditions: Strong trend detection (when strength > enter)
The Trend Strength Index equips traders with a robust, easy-to-interpret tool for gauging trend intensity in volatile markets like Bitcoin. By normalizing price deviations against volatility, it delivers reliable signals for identifying high-momentum opportunities while the gradient coloring and alerts facilitate quick assessments in both trending and choppy conditions.
Copper to Bitcoin RatioRatio: Divides copper price by Bitcoin price (copper / bitcoin). Since copper is in USD per pound and Bitcoin is in USD, the ratio is unitless but reflects copper’s value relative to Bitcoin.
Plotting: The ratio is plotted as a blue line, with an optional 20-period simple moving average (red line) for smoothing.
This can reflect market sentiment (e.g., industrial demand vs. crypto speculation).
Long-Term VWAP Mean Reversion SDCACore Idea:
This indicator is designed to support Strategic Dollar Cost Averaging (SDCA) for Bitcoin using a cumulative VWAP-based mean reversion model. It helps long-term investors identify high-conviction buy zones and overbought conditions using statistical deviation from the cumulative VWAP. This indicator evaluates how much price is stretched from the true market average price, weighted by cumulative volume over time.
Core Concepts and Formulas:
Cumulative VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):
VWAP cumulative = ∑(Price×Volume) / ∑Volume
A long-term anchor that reflects the average dollar cost of all market participants across all candles. This version does not reset daily, unlike intraday VWAP.
VWAP Deviation % :
Deviation% = Price - VWAP cumulative / VWAP cumulative x 100
Shows how far current price has diverged from the long-term fair value.
Z-Score of VWAP Deviation:
Z= (Price−VWAP)−μ / σ (lookback period: default 200)
SDCA Multiplier Mapping:
*Keep in mind in my Z-Score system, -2 represents the overbought level (white horizontal line) and +2 represents oversold (cyan horizontal line) conditions. So the scores on the Y axis and Z-score in the table are reversed.
| Z-Score Range | SDCA Multiplier |
---------------------------------------------
| ≤ -2 | 0.25×
| -1 to +1 | 1.0×
| > +2 | 2.0×
The pink line plots this multiplier. It’s meant to control buy weight at each time step.
How to Use This for SDCA:
-Buy normally when the multiplier is 1.0× (Z-score between -1 and +1)
-Accelerate buying when Z-score is deeply negative (price far below VWAP)
-Slow or pause buying when Z-score is high (price far above VWAP)
-Use the stats panel to track current Z-score, VWAP level, deviation %, and multiplier
-Watch the red/blue backgrounds as visual confirmation of oversold/overbought zones
Inputs:
Z-Score Lookback Length:
Default: 200 but can be adjusted.
Visuals:
Z-Score Line (cyan): shows current standardized deviation from VWAP
Multiplier Line (bright pink): your SDCA intensity signal
Background Zones: cyan = oversold, white = overbought
Horizontal Lines: +2 and -2 standard deviation thresholds
Stats Panel (bottom right): live values for Z-score, multiplier, price, VWAP, and the deviation formula
Suited For:
-Long-term Bitcoin investors
-SDCA Systems
-Mean reversion systems
-Macro-level buy/sell planning
Global M2 YoY % Increase signalThe script produces a signal each time the global M2 increases more than 2.5%. This usually coincides with bitcoin prices pumps, except when it is late in the business cycle or the bitcoin price / halving cycle.
It leverages dylanleclair Global M2 YoY % change, with several modifications:
adding a 10 week lead at the YoY Change plot for better visibility, so that the bitcoin pump moreless coincides with the YoY change.
signal increases > 2.5 in Global M2 at the point at which they occur with a green triangle up.
Global M2 [BizFing]MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ECONOMICS:USM2
This is an indicator designed to show the correlation between the global M2 money supply and Bitcoin.
This indicator basically provides a Global M2 index by summing the M2 money supply data from the United States, South Korea, China, Japan, the EU, and the United Kingdom.
Furthermore, it is configured to allow you to add or remove the M2 data of desired countries within the settings.
I hope this proves to be a small aid in predicting the future price of Bitcoin.
If you have any questions or require any improvements while using it, please feel free to contact me.
Thank you.
BTC Price-Volume Efficiency Z-Score (PVER-Z)Overview:
This PVER-Z Score measures Bitcoin’s price movement efficiency relative to trading volume, normalized using a Z-Score over a long-term 200-day period.
It highlights statistically rare inefficiencies, helping investors spot extreme accumulation and distribution zones for systematic SDCA strategies.
Concept:
- Measures how efficiently price has moved relative to the volume that supported it over a long historical window (Default 200 days) but can be adjustable.
- It compares cumulative price changes vs cumulative volume flow.
- Then normalizes those inefficiencies using Z-Score statistics.
How It Works:
1. Calculates the absolute daily price change divided by volume (price-volume efficiency ratio).
2. Applies EMA smoothing to remove noisy fluctuations.
3. Normalizes the result into a Z-Score to detect statistically significant outliers.
4. Plots dynamic heatmap colors as the efficiency score moves through different deviation zones.
5. Background fills appear when the Z-Score moves beyond ±2 to ±3 SD, signaling rare macro opportunities.
Why is Bitcoin price rising while PVER-Z is falling toward green zone?
1. PVER-Z is not just "price" — it's price change relative to volume. PVER-Z measures how efficient the price movement is relative to volume. It's not "price going up" or "price going down" directly. It's how unusual or inefficient the price versus volume relationship is, compared to its historical average.
2. A rising Bitcoin price + weak efficiency = PVER-Z falls.
If Bitcoin rises but volume is super strong (normal buying volume), no problem, the PVER-Z stays normal. If Bitcoin rises but with very weak volume support, PVER-Z falls.
***Usage Notes***:
- Best used on the daily timeframe or higher.
- When the Z-Score enters the green zone (-2 to -3 SD), it signals a historically rare accumulation zone — favoring long-term buying for SDCA.
- When the Z-Score enters the red zone (+2 to +3 SD), it signals overextended distribution — caution recommended.
- Designed strictly for mean-reversion analysis, no trend-following signals.
- The red zone on a proper Z chart would be -2SD to -3SD and +2SD to +3SD for the green zone. At the time of publishing I do not know how to adjust the values on the indicator itself. The red zone at -2SD is actually +2 Standard Deviations on a Z Score SD Chart. (overbought zone).
- Your green zone at +2SD is actually -2SD Standard Deviations (oversold zone).
- Built manually with no reliance on built-in indicators
- Designed for Bitcoin on the 1D, 3D, or Weekly timeframes. NOT for intraday trading.
- DO NOT SOELY RELY ON THIS INDICATOR FOR YOUR LONG TERM VALUATION. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR FINANICAL ASSETS.
Global M2 Money Supply (USD) GrowthThe Global M2 Growth indicator evaluates the total liquid money supply, including cash, checking deposits, and assets that can be easily converted to cash. It reflects changes in global liquidity by tracking year-on-year (YoY) changes in the Global M2 money supply rather than its absolute value. This approach highlights the velocity of liquidity expansion or contraction, offering a clearer understanding of its correlation with asset performance, such as Bitcoin.
How It Works
When the Global M2 money supply expands, it reflects an increase in available liquidity. This often leads to an influx of capital into higher-yielding and riskier assets like Bitcoin, equities, and commodities. Conversely, when M2 contracts, liquidity tightens, leading to declines in the values of these assets.
An essential insight is that Bitcoin's price is not immediately affected by changes in M2. Research shows a lag of approximately 56-60 days (around two months) between liquidity changes and Bitcoin's price movements. Shifting the liquidity data forward by this period improves the correlation between Global M2 and Bitcoin performance.
How to Use
Track Global M2 YoY Change: Focus on liquidity's yearly change to identify trends. Rapid increases in liquidity often signify favorable conditions for Bitcoin and other risk assets to rise, while contractions often predict price declines or consolidation phases.
Account for the Lag Effect: Incorporate the two-month lag into your analysis to predict Bitcoin's potential moves more accurately. For instance, a recent resurgence in liquidity growth could signal a Bitcoin rally within the next two months.
Use as a Macro Indicator: Monitor liquidity trends alongside other economic indicators and asset performance metrics to build a more comprehensive investment framework.
By tracking these dynamics, traders and investors can better anticipate Bitcoin's trajectory and make informed decisions.
Unleash Bitcoin's Next Move with S&P Divergence!BTC_GO_LONG_SONG
This script works like a special helper that watches two things: Bitcoin (a popular type of digital money) and the S&P 500 (which is like a big basket of important companies' stocks).
Imagine Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are connected by an invisible elastic band.
When they move together: The elastic band stays relaxed.
When they move apart: The elastic band stretches.
This script keeps an eye on how much the elastic band stretches.
If Bitcoin starts to move in a different way than the S&P 500 and the band stretches a lot, the script thinks that Bitcoin might snap back or make a big jump soon.
Here’s how it works:
Volume Check: The script looks at how many people are buying or selling Bitcoin. If a lot more people are trading than usual, it’s like a signal that something big might happen.
Price Movement: It watches how Bitcoin’s price is changing. If Bitcoin breaks away from its usual pattern and moves far from where it was recently, it could be a sign that a big change is coming.
Elastic Band Check: The script checks if Bitcoin is moving differently than the S&P 500. If Bitcoin is doing its own thing while the S&P 500 moves in another direction, it’s like the elastic band is being stretched.
When all these things happen together—high trading volume, unusual price movement, and a stretched elastic band—the script shows a green triangle on the chart.
This triangle is a signal for people who believe Bitcoin might go up (the Bulls) that it could be a good time to think about entering a trade because a breakout might be coming.
This explanation uses the idea of an elastic band to describe the relationship between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, making it easier to understand how this script helps traders spot potential breakout opportunities.
MVRV Z-Score [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the ∑ MVRV Z-Score by AlgoAlpha, a dynamic and sophisticated tool designed for traders seeking to gain an edge in INDEX:BTCUSD analysis. This script employs advanced statistical techniques on Bitcoin On-Chain data to offer a deeper understanding of market conditions, focusing on valuation extremes and momentum trends. Let's explore the features and functionalities that make this tool a valuable addition to your trading arsenal.
Key Features:
🔶 Adjustable Parameters: Customize the Z score lookback length, moving average lookback length, and choose from six moving average types, tailoring the analysis to your trading style.
🔶 Heiken Ashi Compatibility: Incorporate Heiken Ashi plots to visualize market trends, adding a layer of clarity to your technical analysis.
🔶 Divergence Alerts: Detect significant bullish and bearish divergences, allowing for timely identification of potential market reversals.
🔶 Configurable Alerts: Set alerts for overbought, oversold, and divergence conditions, ensuring you never miss an opportunity.
How to Use:
1. ➡️ Parameter Selection: Start by configuring the Z-Score and moving average settings according to your analysis needs. This includes selecting the lookback period and the type of moving average.
2. ➡️ Visualization Options: Choose to enable Heiken Ashi plots for an alternative view of the Z-Score, which can help in identifying trend directions more clearly.
3. ➡️ Monitor for Signals: Keep an eye out for divergence signals and overbought/oversold conditions as potential indicators for entering or exiting trades.
4. ➡️ Alert Setup: Configure alerts based on your selected parameters to receive notifications for important market movements and conditions.
How It Works:
The core of this tool is the Z-Score calculation, which assesses the standard deviation of the current market value from its mean, highlighting overvalued or undervalued market conditions. Here's a brief overview of the script's operational mechanics:
1. 📊 Calculating the Z-Score: The script first calculates the mean over a user-defined lookback period of the MVRV ratio, then it computes the Z-Score to identify deviations from the average.
meanValue = ta.sma(marketValue, zScoreLookback)
zScoreValue = (marketValue - meanValue) / ta.stdev(marketValue, zScoreLookback)
2. 📈 Applying a Moving Average: To smooth the Z-Score data and make trends more discernible, a moving average is applied. Users can choose from several types, such as SMA, EMA, or HMA, based on their preference.
3. 🔄 Heiken Ashi Visualization: For those opting for a more intuitive trend analysis, Heiken Ashi plots can be enabled, transforming the Z-Score data into candlestick charts that simplify trend identification.
4. 🔍 Identifying Divergences: The script is equipped to spot divergences between the market price action and the Z-Score, signaling potential bullish or bearish market reversals.
oscHigherLow = haClose > ta.valuewhen(findPivotLow, haClose , 1) and isInRange(findPivotLow )
priceLowerLow = low < ta.valuewhen(findPivotLow, low , 1)
bullishCondition = enablePlotBullish and priceLowerLow and oscHigherLow and findPivotLow
5. 🚨 Configurable Alerts: Lastly, the script allows for the setting of customizable alerts based on the Z-Score, moving averages, and identified divergences, enabling traders to react promptly to market changes.
The ∑ MVRV Z-Score by AlgoAlpha is an essential tool for traders looking to analyze and interpret market dynamics through a quantitatively rigorous lens. Whether you're focused on identifying market extremes or tracking trend momentum, this script offers the insights needed to support informed trading decisions. 🌟📊💡
IBIT Premium to CoinbaseThe BTC ETF premium indicator for TradingView is a specialized tool designed to measure and visualize the premium or discount of the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), an investment vehicle that holds Bitcoin, relative to the actual price of Bitcoin on the Coinbase exchange. This indicator can be particularly insightful for traders interested in the BTC securities market and those analyzing the demand for Bitcoin as reflected by institutional investment products.
#### Description:
The BTC ETF premium indicator in TradingView leverages an advanced Pine Script algorithm to calculate the premium (or discount) percentage of IBIT compared to the spot price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on Coinbase. The premium is a critical insight that reflects market sentiment and potentially arbitrage opportunities between the trust's share price and the underlying cryptocurrency asset.
Here's how the indicator works:
1. **Calculation Methodology:**
- **Implied Bitcoin Price of IBIT:** We determine the implied price of Bitcoin within IBIT by dividing the IBIT closing price by the known ratio of Bitcoin per share.
- **IBIT Premium to Coinbase:** The percentage premium is then calculated as:
$$\text{IBIT Premium} = \frac{(\text{Implied Bitcoin Price of IBIT } - \text{Actual Bitcoin Price on Coinbase})}{\text{Actual Bitcoin Price on Coinbase}} \times 100$$
- This calculation is performed using the closing prices on a per-minute basis to ensure timely and accurate analysis.
2. **Visualization:** The indicator plots the premium as a step line chart, making it easy to visualize changes over time. A dynamic label accompanies the plot, displaying the implied Bitcoin price, the actual percentage premium or discount, and whether the premium is trending up or down compared to the previous day's value.
3. **Usage Scenario:** Traders can use this indicator to monitor the live premium 24/7 and analyze how it behaves during different market conditions, including when the equity market, where IBIT is traded, is closed.
#### Additional Features:
- **Color-Coding:** The premium is color-coded in green when positive (premium) and in red when negative (discount), aiding quick visual assessment.
- **Zero-Line Reference:** A horizontal line is drawn at zero to easily identify when IBIT is trading at par with the spot price of Bitcoin.
- **Real-Time Label Updates:** The label updates in real time with the latest premium/discount information and includes an arrow to signify the trend direction.
#### Access and Usage:
The indicator can be favorited or added to your TradingView charts. You are also welcome to use the source code as a foundation for further customization to suit your trading strategies.
#### Notes:
Please consider that the IBIT has specific trading hours, and the indicator can show live changes even when its market is closed, which might lead to discrepancies from official static data. For best performance, use this indicator alongside the IBIT candlestick chart on TradingView.
GBTC Premium to CoinbaseThe BTC ETF premium indicator for TradingView is a specialized tool designed to measure and visualize the premium or discount of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), an investment vehicle that holds Bitcoin, relative to the actual price of Bitcoin on the Coinbase exchange. This indicator can be particularly insightful for traders interested in the BTC securities market and those analyzing the demand for Bitcoin as reflected by institutional investment products.
#### Description:
The BTC ETF premium indicator in TradingView leverages an advanced Pine Script algorithm to calculate the premium (or discount) percentage of GBTC compared to the spot price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on Coinbase. The premium is a critical insight that reflects market sentiment and potentially arbitrage opportunities between the trust's share price and the underlying cryptocurrency asset.
Here's how the indicator works:
1. **Calculation Methodology:**
- **Implied Bitcoin Price of GBTC:** We determine the implied price of Bitcoin within GBTC by dividing the GBTC closing price by the known ratio of Bitcoin per share.
- **GBTC Premium to Coinbase:** The percentage premium is then calculated as:
$$\text{GBTC Premium} = \frac{(\text{Implied Bitcoin Price of GBTC} - \text{Actual Bitcoin Price on Coinbase})}{\text{Actual Bitcoin Price on Coinbase}} \times 100$$
- This calculation is performed using the closing prices on a per-minute basis to ensure timely and accurate analysis.
2. **Visualization:** The indicator plots the premium as a step line chart, making it easy to visualize changes over time. A dynamic label accompanies the plot, displaying the implied Bitcoin price, the actual percentage premium or discount, and whether the premium is trending up or down compared to the previous day's value.
3. **Usage Scenario:** Traders can use this indicator to monitor the live premium 24/7 and analyze how it behaves during different market conditions, including when the equity market, where GBTC is traded, is closed.
#### Additional Features:
- **Color-Coding:** The premium is color-coded in green when positive (premium) and in red when negative (discount), aiding quick visual assessment.
- **Zero-Line Reference:** A horizontal line is drawn at zero to easily identify when GBTC is trading at par with the spot price of Bitcoin.
- **Real-Time Label Updates:** The label updates in real time with the latest premium/discount information and includes an arrow to signify the trend direction.
#### Access and Usage:
The indicator can be favorited or added to your TradingView charts. You are also welcome to use the source code as a foundation for further customization to suit your trading strategies.
#### Notes:
Please consider that the GBTC has specific trading hours, and the indicator can show live changes even when its market is closed, which might lead to discrepancies from official static data. For best performance, use this indicator alongside the GBTC candlestick chart on TradingView.
Qu_Trend+
composition
- Consists of a thick trend line and a thin yellow line.
- The largest (green/red) lines indicate rising and falling markets.
- This line represents the 13-candle moving average of Tilson T3.
- The reason for 13 candles is because it best matches the recent market price based on Bitcoin.
- This value cannot be changed, so if you need it, please modify the public code and use it.
- The yellow line is the MA20 line, the ‘Bollinger Band center line’
(UI will show whether this line has been breakout)
- The same algorithm as 20 of the basic moving average (close standard) is applied.
- The algorithm for breakthrough is calculated based on real-time prices, not based on closing prices.
An additional short-term SMA is created, and whether it crosses the SMA is classified as a breakout/resistance.
How to use it
- If the trend line becomes gentle, it may indicate a change in trend when + MA20 is broken.
- While the slope of the trend line is steep, it indicates that the trend is difficult to change.
(If the trend changes at this time, it is likely to move sideways)
- If the trend changes continuously, it is a sideways market.
At this time, watch out for the movement of the end point where the sideways trend ends.
Grospector DCA V.4This is system for DCA with strategy and can trade on trend technique "CDC Action Zone".
We upgrade Grospector DCA V.3 by minimizing unnecessary components and it is not error price predictions.
This has 5 zone Extreme high , high , normal , low , Extreme low. You can dynamic set min - max percent every zone.
Extreme zone is derivative short and long which It change Extreme zone to Normal zone all position will be closed.
Every Zone is splitted 10 channel. and this strategy calculate contribution.
and now can predict price in future.
Idea : Everything has average in its life. For bitcoin use 4 years for halving. I think it will be interesting price.
Default : I set MA is 365*4 days and average it again with 365 days.
Input :
len: This input represents the length of the moving average.
strongLen: This input represents the length of the moving average used to calculate the strong buy and strong sell zone.
shortMulti: This input represents the multiplier * moveing average used to calculate the short zone.
strongSellMulti: This input represents the multiplier used to calculate the strong sell signal.
sellMulti: This input represents the multiplier * moveing average used to calculate the sell zone.
strongBuyMulti: This input represents the multiplier used to calculate the strong sell signal.
longMulti: This input represents the multiplier * moveing average used to calculate the long zone.
*Diff sellMulti and strongBuyMulti which is normal zone.
useDerivative: This input is a boolean flag that determines whether to use the derivative display zone. If set to true, the derivative display zone will be used, otherwise it will be hidden.
zoneSwitch: This input determines where to display the channel signals. A value of 1 will display the signals in all zones, a value of 2 will display the signals in the chart pane, a value of 3 will display the signals in the data window, and a value of 4 will hide the signals.
price: Defines the price source used for the indicator calculations. The user can select from various options, with the default being the closing price.
labelSwitch: Defines whether to display assistive text on the chart. The user can select a boolean value (true/false), with the default being true.
zoneSwitch: Defines which areas of the chart to display assistive zones. The user can select from four options: 1 = all, 2 = chart only, 3 = data only, 4 = none. The default value is 2.
predictFuturePrice: Defines whether to display predicted future prices on the chart. The user can select a boolean value (true/false), with the default being true.
DCA: Defines the dollar amount to use for dollar-cost averaging (DCA) trades. The user can input an integer value, with a default value of 5.
WaitingDCA: Defines the amount of time to wait before executing a DCA trade. The user can input a float value, with a default value of 0.
Invested: Defines the amount of money invested in the asset. The user can input an integer value, with a default value of 0.
strategySwitch: Defines whether to turn on the trading strategy. The user can select a boolean value (true/false), with the default being true.
seperateDayOfMonth: Defines a specific day of the month on which to execute trades. The user can input an integer value from 1-31, with the default being 28.
useReserve: Defines whether to use a reserve amount for trading. The user can select a boolean value (true/false), with the default being true.
useDerivative: Defines whether to use derivative data for the indicator calculations. The user can select a boolean value (true/false), with the default being true.
useHalving: Defines whether to use halving data for the indicator calculations. The user can select a boolean value (true/false), with the default being true.
extendHalfOfHalving: Defines the amount of time to extend the halving date. The user can input an integer value, with the default being 200.
Every Zone: It calculate percent from top to bottom which every zone will be splited 10 step.
To effectively make the DCA plan, I recommend adopting a comprehensive strategy that takes into consideration your mindset as the best indicator of the optimal approach. By leveraging your mindset, the task can be made more manageable and adaptable to any market
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a suitable investment strategy for sound money and growth assets which It is Bitcoin, as it allows for consistent and disciplined investment over time, minimizing the impact of market volatility and potential risks associated with market timing