Gold–Bitcoin Correlation (Offset Model) by KManus88This indicator analyzes the correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using a time-offset model adjustable by the user.
The goal is to detect cyclical leads or lags between both assets, highlighting how capital flows into Gold may precede or follow movements in the crypto market.
Key Features:
Dynamic correlation calculation between Gold and Bitcoin.
Adjustable offset in days (default: 107) to fine-tune the temporal shift.
Automatic labels and on-chart visualization.
Compatible with multiple timeframes and logarithmic scales.
Interpretation:
Positive correlation suggests synchronized trends between both assets.
Negative correlation signals divergence or rotation of liquidity.
The time-offset parameter helps estimate when a shift in Gold could later reflect in Bitcoin.
Recommended use:
For macro-financial and global liquidity cycle analysis.
As a complementary tool in cross-asset momentum strategies.
© 2025 – Developed by KManus88 | Inspired by monetary correlation studies and global liquidity cycles.
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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Fair Value Lead-Lag Model [BackQuant]Fair Value Lead-Lag Model
A cross-asset model that estimates where price "should" be relative to a chosen reference series, then tracks the deviation as a normalized oscillator. It helps you answer two questions: 1) is the asset rich or cheap vs its driver, and 2) is the driver leading or lagging price over the next N bars.
Concept in one paragraph
Many assets co-move with a macro or sector driver. Think BTC vs DXY, gold vs real yields, a stock vs its sector ETF. This tool builds a rolling fair value of the charted asset from a reference series and shows how far price is above or below that fair value in standard deviation units. You can shift the reference forward or backward to test who leads whom, then use the deviation and its bands to structure mean-reversion or trend-following ideas.
What the model does
Reference mapping : Pulls a reference symbol at a chosen timeframe, with an optional lead or lag in bars to test causality.
Fair value engine : Converts the reference into a synthetic fair value of the chart using one of four methods:
Ratio : price/ref with a rolling average ratio. Good when the relationship is proportional.
Spread : price minus ref with a rolling average spread. Good when the relationship is additive.
Z-Score : normalizes both series, aligns on standardized units, then re-projects to price space. Good when scale drifts.
Beta-Adjusted : rolling regression style. Uses covariance and variance to compute beta, then builds a fair value = mean(price) + beta * (ref − mean(ref)).
Deviation and bands : Computes a z-scored deviation of price vs fair value and plots sigma bands (±1, ±2, ±3) around the fair value line on the chart.
Correlation context : Shows rolling correlation so you can judge if deviations are meaningful or just noise when co-movement is weak.
Visuals :
Fair value line on price chart with sigma envelopes.
Deviation as a column oscillator and optional line.
Threshold shading beyond user-set upper and lower levels.
Summary table with reference, deviation, status, correlation, and method.
Why this is useful
Mean reversion framework : When correlation is healthy and deviation stretches beyond your sigma threshold, probability favors reversion toward fair value. This is classic pairs logic adapted to a driver and a target.
Trend confirmation : If price rides the fair value line and deviation stays modest while correlation is positive, it supports trend persistence. Pullbacks to negative deviation in an uptrend can be buyable.
Lead-lag discovery : Shift the reference forward by +N bars. If correlation improves, the reference tends to lead. Shift backward for the reverse. Use the best setting for planning early entries or hedges.
Regime detection : Large persistent deviations with falling correlation hint at regime change. The relationship you relied on may be breaking down, so reduce confidence or switch methods.
How to use it step by step
Pick a sensible reference : Choose a macro, index, currency, or sector driver that logically explains the asset’s moves. Example: gold with DXY, a semiconductor stock with SOXX.
Test lead-lag : Nudge Lead/Lag Periods to small positive values like +1 to +5 to see if the reference leads. If correlation improves, keep that offset. If correlation worsens, try a small negative value or zero.
Select a method :
Start with Beta-Adjusted when the relationship is approximately linear with drift.
Use Ratio if the assets usually move in proportional terms.
Use Spread when they trade around a level difference.
Use Z-Score when scales wander or volatility regimes shift.
Tune windows :
Rolling Window controls how quickly fair value adapts. Shorter equals faster but noisier.
Normalization Period controls how deviations are standardized. Longer equals stabler sigma sizing.
Correlation Length controls how co-movement is measured. Keep it near the fair value window.
Trade the edges :
Mean reversion idea : Wait for deviation beyond your Upper or Lower Threshold with positive correlation. Fade back toward fair value. Exit at the fair value line or the next inner sigma band.
Trend idea : In an uptrend, buy pullbacks when deviation dips negative but correlation remains healthy. In a downtrend, sell bounces when deviation spikes positive.
Read the table : Deviation shows how many sigmas you are from fair value. Status tells you overvalued or undervalued. Correlation color hints confidence. Method tells you the projection style used.
Reading the display
Fair value line on price chart: the model’s estimate of where price should trade given the reference, updated each bar.
Sigma bands around fair value: a quick sense of residual volatility. Reversions often target inner bands first.
Deviation oscillator : above zero means rich vs fair value, below zero means cheap. Color bins intensify with distance.
Correlation line (optional): scale is folded to match thresholds. Higher values increase trust in deviations.
Parameter tips
Start with Rolling Window 20 to 30, Normalization Period 100, Correlation Length 50.
Upper and Lower Threshold at ±2.0 are classic. Tighten to ±1.5 for more signals or widen to ±2.5 to focus on outliers.
When correlation drifts below about 0.3, treat deviations with caution. Consider switching method or reference.
If the fair value line whipsaws, increase Rolling Window or move to Beta-Adjusted which tends to be smoother.
Playbook examples
Pairs-style reversion : Asset is +2.3 sigma rich vs reference, correlation 0.65, trend flat. Short the deviation back toward fair value. Cover near the fair value line or +1 sigma.
Pro-trend pullback : Uptrend with correlation 0.7. Deviation dips to −1.2 sigma while price sits near the −1 sigma band. Buy the dip, target the fair value line, trail if the line is rising.
Lead-lag timing : Reference leads by +3 bars with improved correlation. Use reference swings as early cues to anticipate deviation turns on the target.
Caveats
The model assumes a stable relationship over the chosen windows. Structural breaks, policy shocks, and index rebalances can invalidate recent history.
Correlation is descriptive, not causal. A strong correlation does not guarantee future convergence.
Do not force trades when the reference has low liquidity or mismatched hours. Use a reference timeframe that captures real overlap.
Bottom line
This tool turns a loose cross-asset intuition into a quantified, visual fair value map. It gives you a consistent way to find rich or cheap conditions, time mean-reversion toward a statistically grounded target, and confirm or fade trends when the driver agrees.
Luxy Adaptive MA Cloud - Trend Strength & Signal Tracker V2Luxy Adaptive MA Cloud - Professional Trend Strength & Signal Tracker
Next-generation moving average cloud indicator combining ultra-smooth gradient visualization with intelligent momentum detection. Built for traders who demand clarity, precision, and actionable insights.
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WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR SPECIAL?
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Unlike traditional MA indicators that show static lines, Luxy Adaptive MA Cloud creates a living, breathing visualization of market momentum. Here's what sets it apart:
Exponential Gradient Technology
This isn't just a simple fill between two lines. It's a professionally engineered gradient system with 26 precision layers using exponential density distribution. The result? An organic, cloud-like appearance where the center is dramatically darker (15% transparency - where crossovers and price action occur), while edges fade gracefully (75% transparency). Think of it as a visual "heat map" of trend strength.
Dynamic Momentum Intelligence
Most MA clouds only show structure (which MA is on top). This indicator shows momentum strength in real-time through four intelligent states:
- 🟢 Bright Green = Explosive bullish momentum (both MAs rising strongly)
- 🔵 Blue = Weakening bullish (structure intact, but momentum fading)
- 🟠 Orange = Caution zone (bearish structure forming, weak momentum)
- 🔴 Deep Red = Strong bearish momentum (both MAs falling)
The cloud literally tells you when trends are accelerating or losing steam.
Conditional Performance Architecture
Every calculation is optimized for speed. Disable a feature? It stops calculating entirely—not just hidden, but not computed . The 26-layer gradient only renders when enabled. Toggle signals off? Those crossover checks don't run. This makes it one of the most efficient cloud indicators available, even with its advanced visual system.
Zero Repaint Guarantee
All signals and momentum states are based on confirmed bar data only . What you see in historical data is exactly what you would have seen trading live. No lookahead bias. No repainting tricks. No signals that "magically" appear perfect in hindsight. If a signal shows in history, it would have triggered in real-time at that exact moment.
Educational by Design
Every single input includes comprehensive tooltips with:
- Clear explanations of what each parameter does
- Practical examples of when to use different settings
- Recommended configurations for scalping, day trading, and swing trading
- Real-world trading impact ("This affects entry timing" vs "This is visual only")
You're not just getting an indicator—you're learning how to use it effectively .
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THE GRADIENT CLOUD - TECHNICAL DETAILS
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Architecture:
26 precision layers for silk-smooth transitions
Exponential density curve - layers packed tightly near center (where crossovers happen), spread wider at edges
75%-15% transparency range - center is highly opaque (15%), edges fade gracefully (75%)
V-Gradient design - emphasizes the action zone between Fast and Medium MAs
The Four Momentum States:
🟢 GREEN - Strong Bullish
Fast MA above Medium MA
Both MAs rising with momentum > 0.02%
Action: Enter/hold LONG positions, strong uptrend confirmed
🔵 BLUE - Weak Bullish
Fast MA above Medium MA
Weak or flat momentum
Action: Caution - bullish structure but losing strength, consider trailing stops
🟠 ORANGE - Weak Bearish
Medium MA above Fast MA
Weak or flat momentum
Action: Warning - bearish structure developing, consider exits
🔴 RED - Strong Bearish
Medium MA above Fast MA
Both MAs falling with momentum < -0.02%
Action: Enter/hold SHORT positions, strong downtrend confirmed
Smooth Transitions: The momentum score is smoothed using an 8-bar EMA to eliminate noise and prevent whipsaws. You see the true trend , not every minor fluctuation.
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FLEXIBLE MOVING AVERAGE SYSTEM
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Three Customizable MAs:
Fast MA (default: EMA 10) - Reacts quickly to price changes, defines short-term momentum
Medium MA (default: EMA 20) - Balances responsiveness with stability, core trend reference
Slow MA (default: SMA 200, optional) - Long-term trend filter, major support/resistance
Six MA Types Available:
EMA - Exponential; faster response, ideal for momentum and day trading
SMA - Simple; smooth and stable, best for swing trading and trend following
WMA - Weighted; middle ground between EMA and SMA
VWMA - Volume-weighted; reflects market participation, useful for liquid markets
RMA - Wilder's smoothing; used in RSI/ADX, excellent for trend filters
HMA - Hull; extremely responsive with minimal lag, aggressive option
Recommended Settings by Trading Style:
Scalping (1m-5m):
Fast: EMA(5-8)
Medium: EMA(10-15)
Slow: Not needed or EMA(50)
Day Trading (5m-1h):
Fast: EMA(10-12)
Medium: EMA(20-21)
Slow: SMA(200) for bias
Swing Trading (4h-1D):
Fast: EMA(10-20)
Medium: EMA(34-50)
Slow: SMA(200)
Pro Tip: Start with Fast < Medium < Slow lengths. The gradient works best when there's clear separation between Fast and Medium MAs.
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CROSSOVER SIGNALS - CLEAN & RELIABLE
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Golden Cross ⬆ LONG Signal
Fast MA crosses above Medium MA
Classic bullish reversal or trend continuation signal
Most reliable when accompanied by GREEN cloud (strong momentum)
Death Cross ⬇ SHORT Signal
Fast MA crosses below Medium MA
Classic bearish reversal or trend continuation signal
Most reliable when accompanied by RED cloud (strong momentum)
Signal Intelligence:
Anti-spam filter - Minimum 5 bars between signals prevents noise
Clean labels - Placed precisely at crossover points
Alert-ready - Built-in ALERTS for automated trading systems
No repainting - Signals based on confirmed bars only
Signal Quality Assessment:
High-Quality Entry:
Golden Cross + GREEN cloud + Price above both MAs
= Strong bullish setup ✓
Low-Quality Entry (skip or wait):
Golden Cross + ORANGE cloud + Choppy price action
= Weak bullish setup, likely whipsaw ✗
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REAL-TIME INFO PANEL
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An at-a-glance dashboard showing:
Trend Strength Indicator:
Visual display of current momentum state
Color-coded header matching cloud color
Instant recognition of market bias
MA Distance Table:
Shows percentage distance of price from each enabled MA:
Green rows : Price ABOVE MA (bullish)
Red rows : Price BELOW MA (bearish)
Gray rows : Price AT MA (rare, decision point)
Distance Interpretation:
+2% to +5%: Healthy uptrend
+5% to +10%: Getting extended, caution
+10%+: Overextended, expect pullback
-2% to -5%: Testing support
-5% to -10%: Oversold zone
-10%+: Deep correction or downtrend
Customization:
4 corner positions
5 font sizes (Tiny to Huge)
Toggle visibility on/off
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HOW TO USE - PRACTICAL TRADING GUIDE
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STRATEGY 1: Trend Following
Identify trend : Wait for GREEN (bullish) or RED (bearish) cloud
Enter on signal : Golden Cross in GREEN cloud = LONG, Death Cross in RED cloud = SHORT
Hold position : While cloud maintains color
Exit signals :
• Cloud turns ORANGE/BLUE = momentum weakening, tighten stops
• Opposite crossover = close position
• Cloud turns opposite color = full reversal
STRATEGY 2: Pullback Entries
Confirm trend : GREEN cloud established (bullish bias)
Wait for pullback : Price touches or crosses below Fast MA
Enter when : Price rebounds back above Fast MA with cloud still GREEN
Stop loss : Below Medium MA or recent swing low
Target : Previous high or when cloud weakens
STRATEGY 3: Momentum Confirmation
Your setup triggers : (e.g., chart pattern, support/resistance)
Check cloud color :
• GREEN = proceed with LONG
• RED = proceed with SHORT
• BLUE/ORANGE = skip or reduce size
Use gradient as confluence : Not as primary signal, but as momentum filter
Risk Management Tips:
Never enter against the cloud color (don't LONG in RED cloud)
Reduce position size during BLUE/ORANGE (transition periods)
Place stops beyond Medium MA for swing trades
Use Slow MA (200) as final trend filter - don't SHORT above it in uptrends
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PERFORMANCE & OPTIMIZATION
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Tested On:
Crypto: BTC, ETH, major altcoins
Stocks: SPY, AAPL, TSLA, QQQ
Forex: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
Indices: S&P 500, NASDAQ, DJI
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TRANSPARENCY & RELIABILITY
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Educational Focus:
Detailed tooltips on every input
Clear documentation of methodology
Practical examples in descriptions
Teaches you why , not just what
Open Logic:
Momentum calculation: (Fast slope + Medium slope) / 2
Smoothing: 8-bar EMA to reduce noise
Thresholds: ±0.02% for strong momentum classification
Everything is transparent and explainable
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COMPLETE FEATURE LIST
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Visual Components:
26-layer exponential gradient cloud
3 customizable moving average lines
Golden Cross / Death Cross labels
Real-time info panel with trend strength
MA distance table
Calculation Features:
6 MA types (EMA, SMA, WMA, VWMA, RMA, HMA)
Momentum-based cloud coloring
Smoothed trend strength scoring
Conditional performance optimization
Customization Options:
All MA lengths adjustable
All colors customizable (when gradient disabled)
Panel position (4 corners)
Font sizes (5 options)
Toggle any feature on/off
Signal Features:
Anti-spam filter (configurable gap)
Clean, non-overlapping labels
Built-in alert conditions
No repainting guarantee
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IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
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This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only
Not financial advice - always do your own research
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Use proper risk management - never risk more than you can afford to lose
Test on paper/demo accounts before using with real money
Combine with other analysis methods - no single indicator is perfect
Works best in trending markets; less effective in choppy/sideways conditions
Signals may perform differently in different timeframes and market conditions
The indicator uses historical data for MA calculations - allow sufficient lookback period
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CREDITS & TECHNICAL INFO
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Version: 2.0
Release: October 2025
Special Thanks:
TradingView community for feedback and testing
Pine Script documentation for technical reference
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SUPPORT & UPDATES
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Found a bug? Comment below with:
Ticker symbol
Timeframe
Screenshot if possible
Steps to reproduce
Feature requests? I'm always looking to improve! Share your ideas in the comments.
Questions? Check the tooltips first (hover over any input) - most answers are there. If still stuck, ask in comments.
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Happy Trading!
Remember: The best indicator is the one you understand and use consistently. Take time to learn how the cloud behaves in different market conditions. Practice on paper before going live. Trade smart, manage risk, and may the trends be with you! 🚀
Friday’s Close – Futures Weekend AnchorPurpose:
This indicator highlights the US futures weekend close price — the exact level where CME markets end trading on Friday at 4:00 PM CT / 5:00 PM ET.
It’s designed primarily for crypto traders who want to compare weekend market behavior to the traditional finance (TradFi) close.
Why it matters:
Crypto trades 24/7, but global liquidity and sentiment still pivot around the Friday futures close. During the weekend, crypto can “drift” relative to traditional markets — this line shows exactly where the week ended for Wall Street, giving you a clean reference point until futures reopen on Sunday evening.
Features
Precise Friday close capture (CME weekend close minute, not just daily bar)
Works on any ticker — especially useful for BTC, ETH, or other crypto assets
Adjustable for time zone (New York / Chicago / custom)
Option to select prior weeks with weekOffset
Draws a single clean line from Friday’s close forward — no clutter, no vertical stitches
Optional right-edge label with the close value and timestamp
Usage Tips
Keep the chart’s timezone in sync with your anchor (America/New_York = 5 PM ET, America/Chicago = 4 PM CT).
Use weekOffset = 1 to view last week’s Friday close.
Combine with volume, funding, or open interest indicators to see how weekend moves relate to the TradFi close.
Ideal for weekend analysis — shows whether crypto is trading rich or cheap vs. the Friday benchmark before futures reopen.
Recommended For
Crypto traders, analysts, and quant enthusiasts who monitor TradFi–crypto decoupling or weekend premium behavior.
Liquidity Index with Advanced Statistical NormalizationLiquidity Index with Advanced Statistical Normalization
An open-source TradingView indicator for analyzing global liquidity cycles using robust statistical methods
Overview
This Pine Script indicator combines multiple macroeconomic data sources to construct a composite liquidity index that tracks global financial conditions. It employs advanced statistical techniques typically found in quantitative finance research, adapted for real-time charting.
Key Features
📊 Multi-Source Data Integration
- Federal Reserve Components: Fed Funds Rate, Reverse Repo (RRP), Treasury General Account (TGA)
- PBOC Components: China M2 Money Stock adjusted by CNY/USD exchange rate
- Volatility Index: MOVE Index (bond market volatility)
🔬 Advanced Statistical Methods
1. Theil-Sen Estimator: Robust trend detection resistant to outliers
2. Triple Normalization:
- Z-score normalization
- MAD (Median Absolute Deviation) normalization
- Quantile normalization via inverse normal CDF
3. Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Short (8-bar) and long (34-bar) windows with blended composite
📈 Signal Processing
- Log-transformation for non-linear relationships
- Smoothing via customizable SMA
- Composite signal averaging across normalization methods
Why This Approach?
Traditional liquidity indicators often suffer from:
- Sensitivity to outliers in economic data
- Assumption of normal distributions
- Single-timeframe bias
This script addresses these issues by:
- Using median-based robust statistics (Theil-Sen, MAD)
- Applying multiple normalization techniques
- Blending short and long-term perspectives
Customization Options
short_length // Short window (default: 8)
long_length // Long window (default: 34)
show_short // Display short composite
show_long // Display long composite
show_blended // Display blended signal
smoothing_length // SMA smoothing period (default: 10)
How to Use
1. Liquidity Expansion (positive values): Risk-on environment, favorable for asset prices
2. Liquidity Contraction (negative values): Risk-off environment, potential market stress
3. Divergences: Compare indicator direction vs. price action for early warnings
Potential Improvements
Community members are encouraged to enhance:
- Additional data sources (ECB balance sheet, BOJ operations, etc.)
- Alternative normalization methods (robust scaling, rank transformation)
- Machine learning integration (LSTM forecasting, regime detection)
- Alert conditions for liquidity inflection points
- Volatility-adjusted weighting schemes
Technical Notes
- Uses request.security() for multi-symbol data fetching
- All calculations handle missing data via nz() functions
- Median-based statistics computed via array operations
- Custom inverse CDF approximation (no external libraries required)
Contributing
This is a foundation for liquidity analysis. Potential extensions:
- LLM Integration: Use language models to parse Fed/PBOC meeting minutes and adjust weights dynamically
- Sentiment Layer: Incorporate crypto funding rates or options skew
- Adaptive Parameters: Auto-tune window lengths based on market regime
- Cross-Asset Validation: Backtest signals against BTC, equities, bonds
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License: Open source - modify and redistribute freelyDisclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
High Volume Arrow Signals (Ajustável)The High Volume Arrow Signals (Adjustable) indicator is a professional technical analysis tool designed to clearly pinpoint moments when trading volume significantly exceeds its recent average, signaling potential institutional pressure, strong conviction, or market exhaustion.
Its primary function is to overlay confirmation signals directly onto the price bars without altering the original candle colors.
Strategic Application
This indicator is most effective when used as a confluence tool to confirm moves initiated by price action or other indicators:
Breakout Confirmation: An arrow plotted during a price range breakout suggests the move has genuine volume conviction.
Reversal Identification: A Buy arrow appearing at a key support level (or a Sell arrow at resistance) indicates strong volume rejection and a potential turning point.
The adjustable multiplier ensures users can fine-tune the indicator to the specific volatility and volume characteristics of assets like BTC and ETH across different timeframes.
Jensen Alpha RS🧠 Jensen Alpha RS (J-Alpha RS)
Jensen Alpha RS is a quantitative performance evaluation tool designed to compare multiple assets against a benchmark using Jensen’s Alpha — a classic risk-adjusted return metric from modern portfolio theory.
It helps identify which assets have outperformed their benchmark on a risk-adjusted basis and ranks them in real time, with optional gating and visual tools. 📊
✨ Key Features
• 🧩 Multi-Asset Comparison: Evaluate up to four assets simultaneously.
• 🔀 Adaptive Benchmarking: TOTALES mode uses CRYPTOCAP:TOTALES (total crypto market cap ex-stablecoins). Dynamic mode automatically selects the strongest benchmark among BTC, ETH, and TOTALES based on rolling momentum.
• 📐 Jensen’s Alpha Calculation: Uses rolling covariance, variance, and beta to estimate α, showing how much each asset outperformed its benchmark.
• 📈 Z-Score & Consistency Metrics: Z-Score highlights statistical deviations in alpha; Consistency % shows how often α has been positive over a chosen window.
• 🚦 Trend & Zero Gates: Optional filters that require assets to be above EMA (trend) and/or have α > 0 for confirmation.
• 🏆 Leaders Board Table: Displays α, Z, Rank, Consistency %, and Gate ✓/✗ for all assets in a clear visual layout.
• 🔔 Dynamic Alerts: Get notified whenever the top alpha leader changes on confirmed (non-repainting) data.
• 🎨 Visual Enhancements: Smooth α with an SMA or color bars by the current top-performing asset.
🧭 Typical Use Cases
• 🔄 Portfolio Rotation & Relative Strength: Identify which assets consistently outperform their benchmark to optimize capital allocation.
• 🧮 Alpha Persistence Analysis: Gauge whether a trend’s performance advantage is statistically sustainable.
• 🌐 Market Regime Insight: Observe how asset leadership rotates as benchmarks shift across market cycles.
⚙️ Inputs Overview
• 📝 Assets (1–4): Select up to four tickers for evaluation.
• 🧭 Benchmark Mode: Choose between static TOTALES or Dynamic auto-selection.
• 📏 Alpha Settings: Adjustable lookback, smoothing, and consistency windows.
• 🚦 Gates: Optional trend and alpha filters to refine results.
• 🖥️ Display: Enable/disable table and customize colors.
• 🔔 Alerts: Toggle notifications on leadership changes.
🔎 Formula Basis
Jensen’s Alpha (α) is estimated as:
α = E − β × E
where β = Cov(Ra, Rb) / Var(Rb), and Ra/Rb represent asset and benchmark returns, respectively.
A positive α indicates outperformance relative to the risk-adjusted benchmark expectation. ✅
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and analytical purposes only.
It is NOT a signal. 🚫📉
It does not constitute financial advice, trading signals, or investment recommendations. 💬
The author is not responsible for any financial losses or trading decisions made based on this indicator. 🙏
Always perform your own analysis and use proper risk management. 🛡️
QUANTUM MOMENTUMOverview
Quantum Momentum is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify relative strength between assets through advanced momentum comparison. This cyberpunk-themed indicator visualizes momentum dynamics between your current trading symbol and any comparison asset of your choice, making it ideal for pairs trading, crypto correlation analysis, and multi-asset portfolio management.
Key Features
📊 Multi-Asset Momentum Comparison
Dual Symbol Analysis: Compare momentum between your chart symbol and any other tradable asset
Real-Time Tracking: Monitor relative momentum strength as market conditions evolve
Difference Visualization: Clear histogram display showing which asset has stronger momentum
🎯 Multiple Momentum Calculation Methods
Choose from four different momentum calculation types:
ROC (Rate of Change): Traditional percentage-based momentum measurement
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Oscillator-based momentum from 0-100 range
Percent Change: Simple percentage change over the lookback period
Raw Change: Absolute price change in native currency units
📈 Advanced Trend Filtering System
Enable optional trend filters to align momentum signals with prevailing market direction:
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Classic trend identification
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Responsive trend detection
Price Action: Identifies trends through higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows patterns
ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures trend strength with customizable threshold
🎨 Futuristic Cyberpunk Design
Neon Color Scheme: Eye-catching cyan, magenta, and matrix green color palette
Glowing Visual Effects: Enhanced visibility with luminescent plot lines
Dynamic Background Shading: Subtle trend state visualization
Real-Time Data Table: Sleek information panel displaying current momentum values and trend status
How It Works
The indicator calculates momentum for both your current chart symbol and a comparison symbol (default: BTC/USDT) using your selected method and lookback period. The difference between these momentum values reveals which asset is exhibiting stronger momentum at any given time.
Positive Difference (Green): Your chart symbol has stronger momentum than the comparison asset
Negative Difference (Pink/Red): The comparison asset has stronger momentum than your chart symbol
When the trend filter is enabled, the indicator will only display signals that align with the detected market trend, helping filter out counter-trend noise.
Settings Guide
Symbol Settings
Compare Symbol: Choose any tradable asset to compare against (e.g., major indices, cryptocurrencies, forex pairs)
Momentum Settings
Momentum Length: Lookback period for momentum calculations (default: 14 bars)
Momentum Type: Select your preferred momentum calculation method
Display Options
Toggle visibility of current symbol momentum line
Toggle visibility of comparison symbol momentum line
Toggle visibility of momentum difference histogram
Optional zero line reference
Trend Filter Settings
Use Trend Filter: Enable/disable trend-based signal filtering
Trend Method: Choose from SMA, EMA, Price Action, or ADX
Trend Length: Period for trend calculations (default: 50)
ADX Threshold: Minimum ADX value to confirm trend strength (default: 25)
Best Use Cases
✅ Pairs Trading: Identify divergences in momentum between correlated assets
✅ Crypto Market Analysis: Compare altcoin momentum against Bitcoin or Ethereum
✅ Stock Market Rotation: Track sector or index relative strength
✅ Forex Strength Analysis: Monitor currency pair momentum relationships
✅ Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Use alongside other indicators for confluence
✅ Mean Reversion Strategies: Spot extreme momentum divergences for potential reversals
Visual Indicators
⚡ Cyan Line: Your chart symbol's momentum
⚡ Magenta Line: Comparison symbol's momentum
📊 Green/Pink Histogram: Momentum difference (positive = green, negative = pink)
▲ Green Triangle: Bullish trend detected (when filter enabled)
▼ Red Triangle: Bearish trend detected (when filter enabled)
◈ Yellow Diamond: Neutral/sideways trend (when filter enabled)
Pro Tips
💡 Look for crossovers between the momentum lines as potential trade signals
💡 Combine with volume analysis for stronger confirmation
💡 Use momentum divergence (price making new highs/lows while momentum doesn't) for reversal signals
💡 Enable trend filter during ranging markets to reduce false signals
💡 Experiment with different momentum types to find what works best for your trading style
Technical Requirements
TradingView Pine Script Version: v6
Chart Type: Works on all chart types
Indicator Placement: Separate pane (overlay=false)
Data Requirements: Needs access to comparison symbol data
Fury by Tetrad Fury by Tetrad
What it is:
A rules-based Bollinger+RSI strategy that fades extremes: it looks for price stretching beyond Bollinger Bands while RSI confirms exhaustion, enters countertrend, then exits at predefined profit multipliers or optional stoploss. “Ultra Glow” visuals are purely cosmetic.
How it works — logic at a glance
Framework: Classic Bollinger Bands (SMA basis; configurable length & multiplier) + RSI (configurable length).
Long entries:
Price closes below the lower band and RSI < Long RSI threshold (default 28.3) → open LONG (subject to your “Market Direction” setting).
Short entries:
Price closes above the upper band and RSI > Short RSI threshold (default 88.4) → open SHORT.
Profit exits (price targets):
Uses simple multipliers of the strategy’s average entry price:
Long exit = `entry × Long Exit Multiplier` (default 1.14).
Short exit = `entry × Short Exit Multiplier` (default 0.915).
Risk controls:
Optional pricebased stoploss (disabled by default) via:
Long stop = `entry × Long Stop Factor` (default 0.73).
Short stop = `entry × Short Stop Factor` (default 1.05).
Directional filter:
“Market Direction” input lets you constrain entries to Market Neutral, Long Only, or Short Only.
Visuals:
“Ultra Glow” draws thin layered bands around upper/basis/lower; these do not affect signals.
> Note: Inputs exist for a timebased stop tracker in code, but this version exits via targets and (optional) price stop only.
Why it’s different / original
Explicit extreme + momentum pairing: Entries require simultaneous band breach and RSI exhaustion, aiming to avoid entries on gardenvariety volatility pokes.
Deterministic exits: Multiplier-based targets keep results auditable and reproducible across datasets and assets.
Minimal, unobtrusive visuals: Thin, layered glow preserves chart readability while communicating regime around the Bollinger structure.
Inputs you can tune
Bollinger: Length (default 205), Multiplier (default 2.2).
RSI: Length (default 23), Long/Short thresholds (28.3 / 88.4).
Targets: Long Exit Mult (1.14), Short Exit Mult (0.915).
Stops (optional): Enable/disable; Long/Short Stop Factors (0.73 / 1.05).
Market Direction: Market Neutral / Long Only / Short Only.
Visuals: Ultra Glow on/off, light bar tint, trade labels on/off.
How to use it
1. Timeframe & assets: Works on any symbol/timeframe; start with liquid majors and 60m–1D to establish baseline behavior, then adapt.
2. Calibrate thresholds:
Narrow/meanreverting markets often tolerate tighter RSI thresholds.
Fast/volatile markets may need wider RSI thresholds and stronger stop factors.
3. Pick realistic targets: The default multipliers are illustrative; tune them to reflect typical mean reversion distance for your instrument/timeframe (e.g., ATRinformed profiling).
4. Risk: If enabling stops, size positions so risk per trade ≤ 1–2% of equity (max 5–10% is a commonly cited upper bound).
5. Mode: Use Long Only or Short Only when your discretionary bias or higher timeframe model favors one side; otherwise Market Neutral.
Recommended publication properties (for backtests that don’t mislead)
When you publish, set your strategy’s Properties to realistic values and keep them consistent with this description:
Initial capital: 10,000 (typical retail baseline).
Commission: ≥ 0.05% (adjust for your venue).
Slippage: ≥ 2–3 ticks (or a conservative pertrade value).
Position sizing: Avoid risking > 5–10% equity per trade; fixedfractional sizing ≤ 10% or fixedcash sizing is recommended.
Dataset / sample size: Prefer symbols/timeframes yielding 100+ trades over the tested period for statistical relevance. If you deviate, say why.
> If you choose different defaults (e.g., capital, commission, slippage, sizing), explain and justify them here, and use the same settings in your publication.
Interpreting results & limitations
This is a countertrend approach; it can struggle in strong trends where band breaches compound.
Parameter sensitivity is real: thresholds and multipliers materially change trade frequency and expectancy.
No predictive claims: Past performance is not indicative of future results. The future is unknowable; treat outputs as decision support, not guarantees.
Suggested validation workflow
Try different assets. (TSLA, AAPL, BTC, SOL, XRP)
Run a walkforward across multiple years and market regimes.
Test several timeframes and multiple instruments. (30m Suggested)
Compare different commission/slippage assumptions.
Inspect distribution of returns, max drawdown, win/loss expectancy, and exposure.
Confirm behavior during trend vs. range segments.
Alerts & automation
This release focuses on chart execution and visualization. If you plan to automate, create alerts at your entry/exit conditions and ensure your broker/venue fills reflect your slippage/fees assumptions.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and research purposes. It is not investment advice. Trading involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. © Tetrad Protocol.
Order Flow RSI - Price / CVD / OIOrder Flow RSI blends three powerful market perspectives — Price , Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) , and Open Interest (OI) — into one unified RSI-style oscillator.
It reveals momentum and imbalance across these data streams and highlights situations where participation, liquidity, and positioning disagree — moments that often precede reversals.
What it does
The indicator converts:
Price → RSI (classic momentum),
CVD → RSI (buy/sell pressure balance),
OI → RSI (position expansion/contraction)
…then plots all three RSIs together on the same 0–100 scale.
A fourth Consensus RSI (average of any two or all three) can optionally be shown to simplify the view.
Core logic
CVD engine – based on TradingView’s native volume-delta request.
Modes: Continuous (default, smooth line), Anchored (resets each session), Rolling window.
Open Interest – pulled automatically from the symbol’s “_OI” feed; aligns to chart timeframe for real-time flow.
RSI calculation – standard RSI applied to each data stream, optionally smoothed (SMA / EMA / RMA / WMA / VWMA).
Signals – optional background highlights when:
All three RSIs are overbought (red) or oversold (green), or
Any pair show opposite extremes (e.g., price overbought + OI oversold).
Consensus RSI – arithmetic mean of the selected RSIs, summarizing overall market tone.
Inputs overview
CVD settings: anchor period, lower-TF delta, mode, rolling length
RSI lengths: separate for price, CVD, OI
Smoothing: type + period applied to all RSIs at once
Consensus: choose which RSIs to average
Signals: enable/disable each combination; optional alerts
Levels: adjustable OB/MID/OS (default 70 / 50 / 30)
Visuals: fill between active RSIs, background highlights, level lines, colors in Style tab
How to read it
All 3 overbought (red): broad exhaustion → possible correction
All 3 oversold (green): broad depletion → possible bounce
Opposite pairs: divergence between price and participation
Price↑ but OI↓ (red) → weak rally, fading participation
Price↓ but CVD↑ (green) → hidden accumulation
Combine with structure and volume profile for confirmation.
Notes
Works best on assets with full CVD + OI data (futures, BTC, etc.).
Use Continuous CVD for smooth RSI, Anchored for session analysis.
Smoothing 2–5 EMA is a good starting point to reduce noise.
All styling (colors, line types, thickness) is adjustable in the Style tab.
Limitations & caveats
CVD requires accurate tick/volume/delta data from your data feed. Performance may differ across instruments.
OI availability varies by exchange / symbol. Where OI is absent, pairwise OI signals are not evaluated.
This indicator is a tool — it generates signals of interest, not guaranteed profitable trades. Backtest and combine with your risk rules.
Smoothing introduces lag; longer smoothing reduces noise but delays signals.
Order Flow RSI bridges traditional momentum analysis and order-flow context — giving a multi-dimensional view of when markets are truly stretched or quietly reloading.
Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.
ALMASTO – Pro Trend & Momentum (v1.1)ALMASTO — Pro Trend & Momentum Strategy
Description:
This strategy is designed for precision trading in both Forex (FX) and Crypto markets.
It combines multi-timeframe trend confirmation (EMA200), momentum filters (RSI, MACD, ADX), and ATR-based dynamic risk management.
ALMASTO — Pro Trend & Momentum Strategy automatically manages take-profit levels, stop-loss, and breakeven adjustments once TP1 is reached — providing a structured and emotion-free trading approach.
Optimal Use
Works best on lower timeframes (5m–15m) with strong liquidity sessions.
Optimized for pairs like EURUSD, XAUUSD, and BTCUSDT.
Built for trend-following setups and momentum reversals with high volatility confirmation.
Recommended Settings
🔹 Forex – 5m
EMA Fast = 34, EMA Slow = 200, HTF = 1H
RSI (14): Long ≥ 55 / Short ≤ 45
MACD (8 / 21 / 5), ADX Len 10 / Min 27
ATR Len 7, Stop Loss = ATR × 2.1
TP1 = 1.1 RR, TP2 = 2.3 RR
Session = 07:00–11:00 & 12:30–16:00 (Exchange Time)
Risk = 0.8% per trade
🔹 Forex – 15m
EMA Fast = 50, EMA Slow = 200, HTF = 4H
RSI (14): Long ≥ 53 / Short ≤ 47
MACD (12 / 26 / 9), ADX Min 24
ATR Len 10, SL = ATR × 1.9
TP1 = 1.2 RR, TP2 = 2.6 RR
Risk = 1.0% per trade
🔹 Crypto – 5m (BTC/USDT)
EMA Fast = 34, EMA Slow = 200, HTF = 4H
RSI (14): Long ≥ 56 / Short ≤ 44
MACD (8 / 21 / 5), ADX Min 30
ATR Len 7, SL = ATR × 2.2
TP1 = 1.0 RR, TP2 = 2.5 RR
Session = 00:00–06:00 & 12:00–22:00 (UTC)
Risk = 0.5% per trade
Core Features
✅ Auto breakeven after TP1
✅ Dual take-profit system (1:1 & 1:2 RR)
✅ ATR-based stop & trailing logic
✅ Filters for session time, volume, and volatility
✅ Candle-body vs ATR size filter to avoid noise
✅ Optional cooldown between trades
Important Notes
Use bar close confirmation only (barstate.isconfirmed) to avoid repainting on lower timeframes.
Adjust commission (0.01–0.03%) and slippage (1–2 ticks) in Strategy Tester for realistic results.
Avoid low-liquidity hours (after 21:00 UTC for FX / after midnight for crypto).
Backtest using realistic broker data (e.g., BlackBull Markets / Bybit / Binance Futures).
Best results occur during London & New York sessions with moderate volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and research purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice.
Use proper risk management and test thoroughly before using on live accounts.
Developed by KING FX Labs
Built and optimized by Yousef Almasto — combining advanced price-action logic, multi-timeframe EMA structure, and volatility-adaptive ATR management.
Tested across Forex, Gold, and Crypto markets to ensure consistent performance and minimal drawdown.
📈 “Precision Trading. Zero Emotion. Pure Momentum.”
Overleverage Short Screener Alert Overleverage Short Screener Alert Guide (inspired by a posting "an on-chain trader nicknamed "Calm Order King" has reportedly made over $10 million in porfit this month - mainly by shorting BTC and SOL at precise reversal points", this script tries to guess his work.
🎯 Purpose of the Script
The script aims to identify potential **shorting opportunities** in derivatives markets (Perpetual Futures).
It looks for a setup often associated with a "long squeeze" or "blow-off top" by checking three criteria simultaneously: **High Excitement**, **Liquidity Buildup**, and the start of a **Price Dip**.
***
### 🛠️ Customize Inputs (Settings)
Access the indicator's settings window to adjust the following values:
Funding Rate Threshold (%):** Controls the required bar momentum (proxy for excitement). *Adjust between 0.01 and 0.05.*
OI MA Period:** Sets the lookback period for the Open Interest/Volume trend. *Use 7 to 14.*
OI Spike % Above MA:** Defines how far above its trend the Volume/OI must be to signal high liquidity buildup. *Try 20.0 to 50.0.*
Price Drop % From X-Period High:** Sets the minimum percentage drop required from the recent high to confirm the setup. *Use 3.0 to 7.0.*
High Timeframe:** The period used to calculate the "recent high." *Use '7D' (7 Days) or '1D' (1 Day).*
***
🔔 Reading the Signal and Setting Alerts
Visual Signal (Short\_Alert):** A **red triangle down** will appear at the top of the indicator pane when all three conditions are met. The background will also turn light red.
Signal Confirmation:**
* The **FR Proxy % (Blue Line)** must be **above** its blue threshold line.
* The **OI Spike % (Orange Line)** must be **above** its orange threshold line.
* The **Price Drop % (Fuchsia Line)** must be **below** its fuchsia threshold line.
Setting Alerts:**
1. Click the **"Alert"** button (bell icon) on the chart.
2. Set the **Condition** to the indicator's name: **"Overleverage Short Screener Alert
3. Set the specific condition to: **"Overleverage Short Alert"**.
4. The default alert message includes the current percentage values for all three factors for quick review.
Rotation Flow Model v6 (BTC → ETH → ALTS) Ghost 2Confirm the flows after massive dip to confirm entry points
1m Scalping ATR (with SL & Zones)A universal ATR indicator that anchors volatility to your stop-loss.
Read any market (FX, JPY pairs, Gold/Silver, indices, crypto) consistently—regardless of pip/point conventions and timeframe.
Why this indicator?
Classic ATR is absolute (pips/points) and feels different across markets/TFs. ATR Takeoff normalizes ATR to your stop-loss in pips and highlights clear zones for “quiet / ideal / too volatile,” so you instantly know if a 10-pip SL fits current conditions.
Key features
Auto pip detection (FX, JPY, XAU/XAG, indices, BTC/ETH).
Selectable ATR source: chart timeframe or fixed ATR TF (e.g., “15”, “30”, “60”).
Display modes:
Percent of SL – ATR relative to SL in %, great for M1 (typical 10–30%).
Multiple of SL – ATR as a multiple of SL (e.g., 0.6× / 1.0× / 1.2×).
Panel zones:
Green = “Ready for takeoff” (≤ Low), Yellow = reference (Mid), Red = too volatile (≥ High).
Status badge (top-right): Quiet / ATR ok / Wild, current ATR/SL value, ATR TF used.
Direction-agnostic: Works the same for longs and shorts.
Inputs (at a glance)
Length / Smoothing (RMA/SMA/EMA/WMA): ATR base settings.
Your Stop-Loss (Pips): Reference SL (e.g., 10).
ATR Timeframe (empty = chart): Use chart TF or a fixed TF.
Display Mode: “Percent of SL” or “Multiple of SL.”
Low/Mid/High (Percent Mode): Zone thresholds in % of SL.
Low/Mid/High (Multiple Mode): Zone thresholds in ×SL.
Recommended defaults
Length 14, Smoothing RMA, SL 10 pips
Display Mode: Percent of SL
Low/Mid/High (%): 15 / 20 / 25
ATR Timeframe: empty (= chart) for reactive, or “30” for smoother M30 context with M1 entries.
How to use
Set SL (pips). 2) Choose display mode. 3) Optionally pick ATR TF.
Interpretation:
≤ Low (green): setups allowed.
≈ Mid (yellow): neutral reference.
≥ High (red): too volatile → adjust SL/size or wait.
Note: Auto-pip relies on common ticker naming; verify on exotic symbols.
Disclaimer: For research/education. Not financial advice.
Institutional Activity DetectorInstitutional Activity Detector - Complete Tutorial
Table of Contents
Installation
Understanding the Indicator
Signal Interpretation
Settings Configuration
Trading Strategies
Best Practices
Common Mistakes to Avoid
1. Installation {#installation}
Step-by-Step Setup:
Step 1: Access TradingView
Go to TradingView.com
Log in to your account (free account works fine)
Step 2: Open Pine Editor
Click on "Pine Editor" at the bottom of the chart
If you don't see it, go to the top menu and select "Pine Editor"
Step 3: Add the Script
Click "New" to create a new indicator
Delete any default code
Copy the entire Institutional Activity Detector code
Paste it into the editor
Step 4: Save and Apply
Click "Save" (give it a name like "Inst Detector")
Click "Add to Chart"
The indicator will now appear on your chart
2. Understanding the Indicator {#understanding}
What It Detects:
This indicator identifies institutional traders (banks, hedge funds, market makers) by analyzing:
Volume Analysis
Detects unusual volume spikes that indicate large players entering
Compares current volume to 20-period average
Institutional trades create volume 2-5x normal levels
Order Flow
Delta: Difference between buying and selling volume
Positive delta = More buying pressure
Negative delta = More selling pressure
Institutions leave "footprints" in order flow
Price Action Patterns
Bullish Rejection Wicks:
| <- Small upper wick
|
███ <- Small body
███
|
|
| <- Large lower wick (rejection)
Indicates institutions bought aggressively at lower prices
Bearish Rejection Wicks:
|
|
| <- Large upper wick (rejection)
|
███ <- Small body
███
| <- Small lower wick
Indicates institutions sold aggressively at higher prices
Liquidity Grabs
Institutions often:
Push price above resistance or below support
Trigger stop losses (grab liquidity)
Reverse direction and trade the other way
Dark Pool Activity
Large block trades executed off-exchange:
High volume with minimal price movement
Indicates institutional accumulation/distribution without moving price
3. Signal Interpretation {#signals}
Signal Types:
🟢 INSTITUTIONAL BUY Signal
Appears as green triangle below candle with strength number (2-5)
What it means:
Institutions are actively accumulating (buying)
Higher strength = More confirmation factors
Strength Levels:
2-3: Moderate confidence - Wait for confirmation
4: High confidence - Strong institutional interest
5: Maximum confidence - Multiple factors aligned
🔴 INSTITUTIONAL SELL Signal
Appears as red triangle above candle with strength number (2-5)
What it means:
Institutions are actively distributing (selling)
Higher strength = More confirmation factors
🟠 Dark Pool (DP) Marker
Small orange diamond
What it means:
Large block trade executed
Accumulation/distribution happening quietly
Often precedes significant moves
Liquidity Zones
Red boxes above price = Resistance/sell liquidity
Green boxes below price = Support/buy liquidity
Institutions target these zones to trigger stops
4. Settings Configuration {#settings}
Recommended Settings by Asset Type:
For Stocks (SPY, AAPL, TSLA):
Volume Spike Multiplier: 2.0
Volume Average Period: 20
Delta Threshold: 70%
Minimum Signal Strength: 3
Timeframe: 5m, 15m, 1H
For Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD):
Volume Spike Multiplier: 1.5
Volume Average Period: 30
Delta Threshold: 65%
Minimum Signal Strength: 3
Timeframe: 15m, 1H, 4H
For Crypto (BTC, ETH):
Volume Spike Multiplier: 2.5
Volume Average Period: 20
Delta Threshold: 70%
Minimum Signal Strength: 4
Timeframe: 15m, 1H, 4H
For Futures (ES, NQ):
Volume Spike Multiplier: 2.0
Volume Average Period: 20
Delta Threshold: 75%
Minimum Signal Strength: 3
Timeframe: 5m, 15m, 30m
Parameter Explanations:
Volume Spike Multiplier (1.0 - 10.0)
Lower = More sensitive (more signals, some false)
Higher = Less sensitive (fewer signals, more reliable)
Start with 2.0 and adjust based on your asset's volatility
Delta Threshold % (50 - 100)
Measures buying vs selling pressure
70% = Strong institutional bias required
Lower for ranging markets, higher for trending
Minimum Signal Strength (2 - 5)
Number of factors that must align for a signal
2 = Very sensitive (many signals)
5 = Very conservative (rare signals)
Recommended: 3-4 for balance
5. Trading Strategies {#strategies}
Strategy 1: Liquidity Grab Reversal
Setup:
Price approaches a liquidity zone (green/red box)
Price penetrates the zone briefly
Institutional BUY/SELL signal appears
Price reverses away from the zone
Entry:
Enter on the signal candle close
Or wait for next candle confirmation
Stop Loss:
Below the liquidity grab low (for buys)
Above the liquidity grab high (for sells)
Take Profit:
2:1 or 3:1 risk/reward ratio
Or next opposing liquidity zone
Example:
Price drops below support → Triggers stops →
Institutional BUY signal (4-5 strength) →
Enter LONG → Price rallies
Strategy 2: Trend Continuation
Setup:
Identify the trend (higher highs/higher lows for uptrend)
Wait for pullback to support in uptrend
Institutional BUY signal appears during pullback
Confirms institutions are adding to positions
Entry:
Enter on signal with strength ≥ 4
Or next candle after signal
Stop Loss:
Below the pullback low + small buffer
Take Profit:
Previous swing high
Or trailing stop using ATR
Strategy 3: Dark Pool Accumulation
Setup:
Dark Pool (DP) markers appear multiple times
Price consolidates in tight range
Institutional BUY signal with high strength appears
Breakout occurs
Entry:
Enter on breakout candle after signal
Or on retest of breakout level
Stop Loss:
Below consolidation range
Take Profit:
Measured move (height of consolidation projected)
Strategy 4: Divergence Play
Setup:
Price makes lower low
MFI/RSI makes higher low (bullish divergence)
Institutional BUY signal appears
Volume confirms with spike
Entry:
Enter on signal candle or next
Stop Loss:
Below the divergence low
Take Profit:
Previous swing high or resistance
6. Best Practices {#best-practices}
✅ DO's:
1. Use Multiple Timeframes
Check higher timeframe for trend direction
Trade signals that align with higher timeframe
Example: 15m signals in direction of 1H trend
2. Combine with Key Levels
Support/resistance
Supply/demand zones
Previous day high/low
Round numbers (psychological levels)
3. Wait for Confirmation
Don't rush into trades
Let the signal candle close
Watch next candle for follow-through
4. Check the Metrics Table
Look at Relative Volume (should be >2.0)
Check Delta % (should be strong positive/negative)
Verify Order Flow aligns with signal
5. Consider Market Context
News events can override signals
Low liquidity times (lunch, overnight) less reliable
Major economic releases need caution
6. Paper Trade First
Test the indicator for 2-4 weeks
Learn how it behaves on your chosen assets
Develop confidence before using real money
Best Times to Trade:
Stock Market Hours:
9:30-11:30 AM EST (high volume, strong moves)
2:00-4:00 PM EST (institutional positioning)
Avoid: 11:30 AM-2:00 PM (lunch, low volume)
Forex:
London Open: 3:00-6:00 AM EST
New York Open: 8:00-11:00 AM EST
London/NY Overlap: 8:00 AM-12:00 PM EST
Crypto:
24/7 market, but highest volume during US/European hours
Watch for weekend low liquidity
7. Common Mistakes to Avoid {#mistakes}
❌ DON'T:
1. Trade Every Signal
Not all signals are equal
Focus on strength 4-5 signals
Wait for optimal setups
2. Ignore Market Structure
Don't buy into strong downtrends (catch falling knife)
Don't sell into strong uptrends (fight the tape)
Respect major support/resistance
3. Use Too Small Timeframes
1m and 2m charts are too noisy
Minimum recommended: 5m for scalping
Better: 15m, 30m, 1H for reliability
4. Overtrade
Quality over quantity
2-5 good trades per day is excellent
Forcing trades leads to losses
5. Ignore Risk Management
Always use stop losses
Risk only 1-2% per trade
Don't revenge trade after losses
6. Trade During Low Volume
Signals less reliable with low volume
Check Relative Volume metric (should be >1.5)
Avoid pre-market/after-hours for stocks
7. Misread Liquidity Grabs
Not every wick is a liquidity grab
Need volume confirmation
Must have institutional signal
Advanced Tips:
Filtering False Signals:
Use Signal Strength Filter:
Minimum strength 3 = Balanced
Minimum strength 4 = Conservative (recommended)
Minimum strength 5 = Ultra conservative
Confluence Checklist:
Signal strength ≥ 4
Relative volume > 2.0
At key support/resistance
Aligns with higher timeframe trend
Delta % strongly positive/negative
Clean price action setup
If 4+ boxes checked = High probability trade
Setting Up Alerts:
Click the three dots on the indicator
Select "Create Alert"
Choose condition:
"Institutional Buy Signal"
"Institutional Sell Signal"
"Dark Pool Activity"
Set up notification (email, SMS, app)
Save alert
Alert Strategy:
Set minimum strength to 4 for fewer, better alerts
Use for assets you can't watch constantly
Don't rely solely on alerts - check chart context
Practice Exercise:
Week 1-2: Observation
Add indicator to your favorite assets
Watch how signals develop
Note which ones lead to profitable moves
Don't trade yet - just observe
Week 3-4: Paper Trading
Use TradingView's paper trading
Trade only strength 4-5 signals
Record results in a journal
Note: entry, exit, profit/loss, what worked/didn't
Week 5+: Small Live Positions
Start with smallest position size
Trade only your best setups
Gradually increase size as you gain confidence
Keep detailed journal
Quick Reference Card:
Signal Quality Ranking:
🔥 Best Setups (Take These):
Strength 5 + Liquidity grab + Key level
Strength 4-5 + Volume >3.0 + Trend alignment
Dark Pool markers + Strength 4+ signal
✅ Good Setups:
Strength 4 at support/resistance
Strength 3-4 with strong delta
Liquidity grab + Strength 3+
⚠️ Caution (Wait for More):
Strength 2-3 in middle of nowhere
Against higher timeframe trend
Low volume (Rel Vol <1.5)
❌ Avoid:
Strength 2 only
During major news
Low liquidity hours
Against strong trend
Troubleshooting:
"Too many signals"
→ Increase Minimum Signal Strength to 4
→ Increase Volume Spike Multiplier to 2.5-3.0
"Too few signals"
→ Decrease Minimum Signal Strength to 2-3
→ Decrease Volume Spike Multiplier to 1.5
"Signals not working"
→ Check if you're trading during low volume hours
→ Verify you're using recommended timeframes
→ Make sure signals align with market structure
"Can't see liquidity zones"
→ Enable "Show Liquidity Zones" in settings
→ Adjust Swing Detection Length (try 7-15)
Resources for Further Learning:
Concepts to Study:
Order Flow Trading
Market Profile / Volume Profile
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Liquidity Sweeps and Stop Hunts
Institutional Order Flow
Wyckoff Method
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)
Recommended Practice:
Study past signals on chart
Replay market using TradingView's bar replay feature
Join trading communities to share setups
Keep a detailed trading journal
Final Thoughts:
This indicator is a tool, not a crystal ball. It identifies high-probability setups where institutions are active, but still requires:
Proper risk management
Market context understanding
Patience and discipline
Continuous learning
Success Formula:
Right Tool + Proper Training + Risk Management + Discipline = Consistent Profits
Start slow, master the basics, and gradually increase complexity as you gain experience.
Good luck and trade smart! 📊📈
Supply In Profit Z-Score | Wave BackgroundSupply in Profit Z-Score
Modified by Quant_Hustler | Original by QuantChook
What it does
The Supply in Profit Z-Score measures how extreme the balance is between BTC addresses in profit versus those in loss compared to historical norms.
It highlights periods of excessive optimism or pessimism, helping traders identify market sentiment extremes that can signal potential turning points or confirm ongoing trends.
This version is designed for longer-term strategies, using smoothing and statistical normalization to focus on broader market sentiment cycles rather than short-term noise.
How it works
--Data Retrieval: Pulls on-chain data showing the percentage of Bitcoin addresses currently in profit and in loss.
--Spread Calculation: Finds the difference between the two to gauge overall sentiment balance.
--Alpha Decay Adjustment (optional): Normalizes extreme values to stabilize the signal over time.
--Smoothing: Applies a moving average to filter daily volatility and improve long-term clarity.
--Z-Score Conversion: Standardizes the data to show how far current sentiment deviates from historical averages.
--Visualization: Plots the result around a neutral midpoint (zero line) — positive values indicate profit dominance, negative values indicate loss dominance.
How to use it
--Above Zero: More addresses in profit → bullish sentiment and strong trend conditions.
--Below Zero: More addresses in loss → bearish sentiment or potential accumulation zones.
--Extreme Values: Mark overly optimistic or capitulated sentiment, often preceding major reversals.
Why use it in trend following
--This indicator serves as an on-chain sentiment confirmation layer for trend-following systems, especially on higher timeframes (daily or weekly).
--In uptrends, sustained positive readings confirm market strength and investor confidence.
--In downtrends, persistent negative readings confirm weakness and help avoid false reversal signals.
--Divergences between price and sentiment (e.g., rising price but weakening sentiment) often signal momentum loss or potential trend transitions.
Modifications from the original by QuantChook
Added EMA, adaptive Z-score smoothing and capping to reduce volatility and noise.
Introduced a wave-style visualization for intuitive sentiment shifts.
Improved calculation structure and upgraded for Pine Script v6 efficiency.
Tuned signal responsiveness and smoothing parameters for long-term trend accuracy.
Simplified user inputs and grouping for easier customization and integration.
In summary:
A refined, statistically grounded on-chain sentiment oscillator — originally developed by QuantChook and enhanced by Quant_Hustler — built to support long-term trend-following strategies by quantifying Bitcoin market sentiment through real-time profit and loss dynamics.
Bitcoin Cycle History Visualization [SwissAlgo]BTC 4-Year Cycle Tops & Bottoms
Historical visualization of Bitcoin's market cycles from 2010 to present, with projections based on weighted averages of past performance.
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CALCULATION METHODOLOGY
Why Bottom-to-Bottom Cycle Measurement?
This indicator defines cycles as bottom-to-bottom periods. This is one of several valid approaches to Bitcoin cycle analysis:
- Focuses on market behavior (price bottoms) rather than supply schedule events (halving-to-halving)
- Bottoms may offer good reference points for some analytical purposes
- Tops tend to be extended periods that are harder to define precisely
- Aligns with how some traditional asset cycles are measured and the timing observed in the broader "risk-on" assets category
- Halving events are shown separately (yellow backgrounds) for reference
- Neither halving-based nor bottom-based measurement is inherently superior
Different analysts prefer different cycle definitions based on their analytical goals. This approach prioritizes observable market turning points.
Cycle Date Definitions
- Approximate monthly ranges used for each event (e.g., Nov 2022 bottom = Nov 1-30, 2022)
- Cycle 1: Jul 2010 bottom → Jun 2011 top → Nov 2011 bottom
- Cycle 2: Nov 2011 bottom → Dec 2013 top → Jan 2015 bottom
- Cycle 3: Jan 2015 bottom → Dec 2017 top → Dec 2018 bottom
- Cycle 4: Dec 2018 bottom → Nov 2021 top → Nov 2022 bottom
- Future cycles will be added as new top/bottom dates become firm
Duration Calculations
- Days = timestamp difference converted to days (milliseconds ÷ 86,400,000)
- Bottom → Top: days from cycle bottom to peak
- Top → Bottom: days from peak to next cycle bottom
- Bottom → Bottom: full cycle duration (sum of above)
Price Change Calculations
- % Change = ((New Price - Old Price) / Old Price) × 100
- Example: $200 → $19,700 = ((19,700 - 200) / 200) × 100 = 9,750% gain
- Approximate historical prices used (rounded to significant figures)
Weighted Average Formula
Recent cycles weighted more heavily to reflect the evolved market structure:
- Cycle 1 (2010-2011): EXCLUDED (too early-stage, tiny market cap)
- Cycle 2 (2011-2015): Weight = 1x
- Cycle 3 (2015-2018): Weight = 3x
- Cycle 4 (2018-2022): Weight = 5x
Formula: Weighted Avg = (C2×1 + C3×3 + C4×5) / (1+3+5)
Example for Bottom→Top days: (761×1 + 1065×3 + 1066×5) / 9 = 1,032 days
Projection Method
- Projected Top Date = Nov 2022 bottom + weighted avg Bottom→Top days
- Projected Bottom Date = Nov 2022 bottom + weighted avg Bottom→Bottom days
- Current days elapsed compared to weighted averages
- Warning symbol (⚠) shown when the current cycle exceeds the historical average
Technical Implementation
- Historical cycle dates are hardcoded (not algorithmically detected)
- Dates represent approximate monthly ranges for each event
- The indicator will be updated as the Cycle 5 top and bottom dates become confirmed
- Updates require manual code maintenance - not automatic
- Users should verify they're using the latest version for current cycle data
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FEATURES
- Background highlights for historical tops (red), bottoms (green), and halving events (yellow)
- Data table showing cycle durations and price changes
- Visual cycle boundary boxes with subtle coloring
- Projected timeframes displayed as dashed vertical lines
- Toggle on/off for each visual element
- Customizable background colors
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DISPLAY SETTINGS
- Show/hide cycle tops, bottoms, halvings, data table, and cycle boxes
- Customizable background colors for each event type
- Clean, institutional-grade visual design suitable for analysis
UPDATES & MAINTENANCE
This indicator is maintained as new cycle events occur. When Cycle 5's top and bottom are confirmed with sufficient time elapsed, the code and projections will be updated accordingly. Check for the latest version periodically.
OPEN SOURCE
Code available for review, modification, and improvement. Educational transparency is prioritized.
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IMPORTANT LIMITATIONS
⚠ EXTREMELY SMALL SAMPLE SIZE
Based on only 4 complete cycles (2011-2022). In statistical analysis, this is insufficient for reliable predictions.
⚠ CHANGED MARKET STRUCTURE
Bitcoin's market has fundamentally evolved since early cycles:
- 2010-2015: Tiny market cap, retail-only, unregulated
- 2024-2025: Institutional adoption, spot ETFs, regulatory frameworks, macro correlation
The environment that created past patterns no longer exists in the same form.
⚠ NO PREDICTIVE GUARANTEE
Historical patterns can and do break. Market cycles are not laws of physics. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The next cycle may not follow historical averages.
⚠ LENGTHENING CYCLE THEORY
Some analysts believe cycles are extending over time (diminishing returns, maturing market). If true, simple averaging underestimates future cycle lengths.
⚠ SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY RISK
The halving narrative may be partially circular - it works because people believe it works. Sufficient changes in market structure or participant behavior can invalidate the pattern.
⚠ APPROXIMATE DATA
Historical prices rounded to significant figures. Exact bottom/top dates vary by exchange. Month-long ranges are used for simplicity.
EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY
This indicator is designed for historical analysis and understanding Bitcoin's past behavior. It is NOT:
- Trading advice or financial recommendations
- A guarantee or prediction of future price movements
- Suitable as a sole basis for investment decisions
- A replacement for fundamental or technical analysis
The projections show "what if the pattern continues exactly" - not "what will happen."
Always conduct independent research, understand the risks, and consult qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Bitcoin Buy HODL Sell Indicator - MonthlyWMA16 (monthly)
EMA200 (weekly)
These are the indicators you need for BTCs bull / bear market recognition.
Green candles = bull market
Red candles = beginning of bear market
Purple candles = End of bear market
by Stockmoney Lizards
my_strategy_2.0Overview:
This is a high-speed scalping strategy optimized for volatile crypto assets (BTC, ETH, etc.) on timeframes 1m–5m. It combines trend-following SuperTrend with confirmations from MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and volume spikes for precise entries. Focus on quick profits (1–3 ATR) with strict risk control: partial take-profits, stop-loss, and trailing breakeven after the first TP.
Key Signals:
Long: SuperTrend flip up + MACD crossover up + RSI >50 + BB Upper breakout + volume spike + volatility filter (ATR >0.5%).
Short: Similar but downward.
Exits and Risks:
TP: 33% at +1 ATR, 33% at +2 ATR, 34% at +3 ATR (customizable).
SL: Initial at -1 ATR, after TP1 — to breakeven with trailing on BB midline (optional).
Filters: Minimum ATR to avoid flat markets; realistic commissions in backtests.
Recommendations:
Test on 2020–2025 data (out-of-sample 2024+). Expected Win Rate ~55%, Profit Factor >1.8, Drawdown <10%. Ideal for 1–2% risk per trade. Not for beginners — use paper trading.
Disclaimer: Past results do not guarantee future performance. Trade at your own risk.
(Pine v6 code, ready for publication. Author: gopog777 with expert fixes.)
Trend Candle CounterComplete Tutorial: Trend Candle Counter Pine ScriptTable of Contents
Installation Guide
Understanding the Indicator
How It Works
Customization Options
Trading Strategies
Setting Up Alerts
Troubleshooting
1. Installation Guide {#installation}Step-by-Step Installation:Step 1: Open TradingView
Go to www.tradingview.com
Log in to your account
Step 2: Access Pine Editor
Click on "Pine Editor" tab at the bottom of the chart
Or press Alt + E (Windows) or Option + E (Mac)
Step 3: Create New Indicator
Click "Open" → "New blank indicator"
Delete any default code
Step 4: Paste the Script
Copy the entire Trend Candle Counter script
Paste it into the editor
Step 5: Save and Apply
Click "Save" (or Ctrl + S)
Give it a name: "Trend Candle Counter"
Click "Add to Chart"
✅ Done! The indicator should now appear on your chart.2. Understanding the Indicator {#understanding}What Does It Do?This indicator numbers each candle based on the current trend: {scrollbar-width:none;-ms-overflow-style:none;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;} ::-webkit-scrollbar{display:none}Trend TypeNumberingVisualUptrend+1, +2, +3, +4...🟢 Green labelsDowntrend-1, -2, -3, -4...🔴 Red labelsTrend ChangeResets to ±1Label color switchesVisual Components:
Candle Labels - Numbers above each candle
Trend Line (EMA) - Green (up) / Red (down)
Background Shading - Light green/red tint
Info Table - Top-right corner showing:
Current trend direction
Current candle number
Current price
3. How It Works {#how-it-works}Trend Detection Logic:IF Close > EMA → UPTREND (positive counting)
IF Close < EMA → DOWNTREND (negative counting)
Counting Mechanism:Example Uptrend:Candle 1: Close > EMA → Label: +1
Candle 2: Close > EMA → Label: +2
Candle 3: Close > EMA → Label: +3
Candle 4: Close < EMA → Label: -1 (trend changed!)
Example Downtrend:Candle 1: Close < EMA → Label: -1
Candle 2: Close < EMA → Label: -2
Candle 3: Close < EMA → Label: -3
Candle 4: Close > EMA → Label: +1 (trend changed!)
Key Insight:The higher the absolute number, the longer the trend has been running!4. Customization Options {#customization}Accessing Settings:
Click the gear icon ⚙️ next to the indicator name
Go to "Inputs" tab
Available Parameters: {scrollbar-width:none;-ms-overflow-style:none;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;} ::-webkit-scrollbar{display:none}ParameterDefaultDescriptionRecommendationTrend Detection Length14EMA period for trend5-10: Scalping14-20: Day trading50-200: Swing tradingShow Candle Numbers✅ YesDisplay labelsDisable for cleaner chartLabel SizeSmallSize of numbersTiny: Multi-timeframeLarge: Focus on one chartUptrend ColorGreenPositive number colorCustomize to preferenceDowntrend ColorRedNegative number colorCustomize to preferenceOptimization by Trading Style:For Scalpers (1m - 5m charts):Trend Detection Length: 5-10
Label Size: Tiny
Show Labels: Optional (can be cluttered)
For Day Traders (15m - 1h charts):Trend Detection Length: 14-20
Label Size: Small
Show Labels: Yes
For Swing Traders (4h - Daily charts):Trend Detection Length: 50-100
Label Size: Normal
Show Labels: Yes
5. Trading Strategies {#strategies}Strategy 1: Trend Reversal TradingEntry Signals:
Buy: When counter changes from negative to +1
Sell: When counter changes from positive to -1
Confirmation:
Wait for +2 or -2 to confirm trend strength
Use additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for validation
Example:Candle: -5, -6, -7, -8, +1, +2 ← BUY HERE
Stop Loss: Below the -8 candle low
Target: When counter reaches +8 to +10
Strategy 2: Trend Continuation TradingEntry Signals:
Buy: Enter on pullbacks during uptrend (e.g., at +3, +5, +7)
Sell: Enter on bounces during downtrend (e.g., at -3, -5, -7)
Risk Management:
Avoid entering at high numbers (+15, -15) - trend may be exhausted
Example:Candle: +1, +2, +3 ← Small pullback, BUY
Continue: +4, +5, +6, +7
Exit: When counter resets to -1
Strategy 3: Trend Exhaustion DetectionWarning Signs:
Counter reaches +10 or higher → Uptrend may be overextended
Counter reaches -10 or lower → Downtrend may be overextended
Action:
Tighten stop losses
Take partial profits
Watch for reversal patterns (doji, engulfing)
Strategy 4: Multi-Timeframe AnalysisSetup:
Add indicator to 3 timeframes (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h)
Look for alignment
Best Trades:15m: +1 (new uptrend)
1h: +5 (established uptrend)
4h: +3 (strong uptrend)
→ HIGH PROBABILITY BUY
6. Setting Up Alerts {#alerts}Built-in Alert Conditions:The script includes 2 automatic alerts:
"Uptrend Started" - Triggers when counter = +1
"Downtrend Started" - Triggers when counter = -1
How to Set Up Alerts:Step 1: Right-click on chart
Select "Add Alert"
Step 2: Configure Alert
Condition: Select "Trend Candle Counter"
Choose: "Uptrend Started" or "Downtrend Started"
Options:
Once per bar close (recommended)
Webhook URL (for automation)
Step 3: Notification Settings
✅ Popup
✅ Send email
✅ Push notification (mobile app)
✅ Play sound
Step 4: Create Alert
Click "Create"
Custom Alert Ideas:Alert for Specific Candle Numbers:
Notify when counter reaches +5 or -5
Notify when counter exceeds +10 or -10 (exhaustion)
7. Troubleshooting {#troubleshooting}Common Issues & Solutions:Issue 1: Labels are too cluttered
Solution:
Disable "Show Candle Numbers" in settings
Use larger timeframe
Reduce label size to "tiny"
Issue 2: Too many false signals
Solution:
Increase "Trend Detection Length" (e.g., 20, 50)
Wait for +2 or -2 confirmation
Combine with other indicators
Issue 3: Trend line doesn't match price action
Solution:
Adjust EMA length to match your trading style
Consider using different trend detection (SMA, HMA)
Issue 4: Indicator not showing on chart
Solution:
Check if it's in a separate pane - move to main chart
Refresh the page
Re-add the indicator
Issue 5: Counter seems delayed
Solution:
This is normal - indicator confirms on candle close
For faster signals, use lower timeframe
Reduce EMA length (but expect more noise)
8. Advanced Tips 💡Combining with Other Indicators:Best Combinations:
RSI + Trend Candle Counter
Buy at +1 when RSI > 50
Sell at -1 when RSI < 50
MACD + Trend Candle Counter
Confirm +1 with MACD bullish crossover
Confirm -1 with MACD bearish crossover
Volume + Trend Candle Counter
Strong trends (+1) should have increasing volume
Low volume at high numbers (+10) = exhaustion
Reading Market Psychology: {scrollbar-width:none;-ms-overflow-style:none;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;} ::-webkit-scrollbar{display:none}Counter ValueMarket Psychology+1 to +3Early adopters entering+4 to +7Momentum building+8 to +12FOMO phase+13+Extreme greed - caution!-1 to -3Early sellers-4 to -7Panic building-8 to -12Capitulation-13+Extreme fear - reversal likely9. Real Trading Example 📊Scenario: BTC/USD 1H ChartTime | Counter | Action
--------|---------|----------------------------------
10:00 | -8 | Downtrend established
11:00 | -9 | Still falling
12:00 | -10 | Exhaustion zone - watch closely
13:00 | +1 | ✅ BUY SIGNAL - Trend reversal!
14:00 | +2 | Confirmation - trend valid
15:00 | +3 | Hold position
16:00 | +4 | Add to position (optional)
17:00 | +5 | Move stop loss to breakeven
...
22:00 | +11 | Take partial profits
23:00 | +12 | Tighten stop loss
00:00 | -1 | ❌ EXIT - Trend reversed
Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator (EPZ) [BullByte]Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator(EPZ)
The Extreme Pressure Zones (EPZ) Indicator is a proprietary market analysis tool designed to highlight potential overbought and oversold "pressure zones" in any financial chart. It does this by combining several unique measurements of price action and volume into a single, bounded oscillator (0–100). Unlike simple momentum or volatility indicators, EPZ captures multiple facets of market pressure: price rejection, trend momentum, supply/demand imbalance, and institutional (smart money) flow. This is not a random mashup of generic indicators; each component was chosen and weighted to reveal extreme market conditions that often precede reversals or strong continuations.
What it is?
EPZ estimates buying/selling pressure and highlights potential extreme zones with a single, bounded 0–100 oscillator built from four normalized components. Context-aware weighting adapts to volatility, trendiness, and relative volume. Visual tools include adaptive thresholds, confirmed-on-close extremes, divergence, an MTF dashboard, and optional gradient candles.
Purpose and originality (not a mashup)
Purpose: Identify when pressure is building or reaching potential extremes while filtering noise across regimes and symbols.
Originality: EPZ integrates price rejection, momentum cascade, pressure distribution, and smart money flow into one bounded scale with context-aware weighting. It is not a cosmetic mashup of public indicators.
Why a trader might use EPZ
EPZ provides a multi-dimensional gauge of market extremes that standalone indicators may miss. Traders might use it to:
Spot Reversals: When EPZ enters an "Extreme High" zone (high red), it implies selling pressure might soon dominate. This can hint at a topside reversal or at least a pause in rallies. Conversely, "Extreme Low" (green) can highlight bottom-fish opportunities. The indicator's divergence module (optional) also finds hidden bullish/bearish divergences between price and EPZ, a clue that price momentum is weakening.
Measure Momentum Shifts: Because EPZ blends momentum and volume, it reacts faster than many single metrics. A rising MPO indicates building bullish pressure, while a falling MPO shows increasing bearish pressure. Traders can use this like a refined RSI: above 50 means bullish bias, below 50 means bearish bias, but with context provided by the thresholds.
Filter Trades: In trend-following systems, one could require EPZ to be in the bullish (green) zone before taking longs, or avoid new trades when EPZ is extreme. In mean-reversion systems, one might specifically look to fade extremes flagged by EPZ.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: The dashboard can fetch a higher timeframe EPZ value. For example, you might trade a 15-minute chart only when the 60-minute EPZ agrees on pressure direction.
Components and how they're combined
Rejection (PRV) – Captures price rejection based on candle wicks and volume (see Price Rejection Volume).
Momentum Cascade (MCD) – Blends multiple momentum periods (3,5,8,13) into a normalized momentum score.
Pressure Distribution (PDI) – Measures net buy/sell pressure by comparing volume on up vs down candles.
Smart Money Flow (SMF) – An adaptation of money flow index that emphasizes unusual volume spikes.
Each of these components produces a 0–100 value (higher means more bullish pressure). They are then weighted and averaged into the final Market Pressure Oscillator (MPO), which is smoothed and scaled. By combining these four views, EPZ stands out as a comprehensive pressure gauge – the whole is greater than the sum of parts
Context-aware weighting:
Higher volatility → more PRV weight
Trendiness up (RSI of ATR > 25) → more MCD weight
Relative volume > 1.2x → more PDI weight
SMF holds a stable weight
The weighted average is smoothed and scaled into MPO ∈ with 50 as the neutral midline.
What makes EPZ stand out
Four orthogonal inputs (price action, momentum, pressure, flow) unified in a single bounded oscillator with consistent thresholds.
Adaptive thresholds (optional) plus robust extreme detection that also triggers on crossovers, so static thresholds work reliably too.
Confirm Extremes on Bar Close (default ON): dots/arrows/labels/alerts print on closed bars to avoid repaint confusion.
Clean dashboard, divergence tools, pre-alerts, and optional on-price gradients. Visual 3D layering uses offsets for depth only,no lookahead.
Recommended markets and timeframes
Best: liquid symbols (index futures, large-cap equities, major FX, BTC/ETH).
Timeframes: 5–15m (more signals; consider higher thresholds), 1H–4H (balanced), 1D (clear regimes).
Use caution on illiquid or very low TFs where wick/volume geometry is erratic.
Logic and thresholds
MPO ∈ ; 50 = neutral. Above 50 = bullish pressure; below 50 = bearish.
Static thresholds (defaults): thrHigh = 70, thrLow = 30; warning bands 5 pts inside extremes (65/35).
Adaptive thresholds (optional):
thrHigh = min(BaseHigh + 5, mean(MPO,100) + stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
thrLow = max(BaseLow − 5, mean(MPO,100) − stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
Extreme detection
High: MPO ≥ thrHigh with peak/slope or crossover filter.
Low: MPO ≤ thrLow with trough/slope or crossover filter.
Cooldown: 5 bars (default). A new extreme will not print until the cooldown elapses, even if MPO re-enters the zone.
Confirmation
"Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" (default ON) gates extreme markers, pre-alerts, and alerts to closed bars (non-repainting).
Divergences
Pivot-based bullish/bearish divergence; tags appear only after left/right bars elapse (lookbackPivot).
MTF
HTF MPO retrieved with lookahead_off; values can update intrabar and finalize at HTF close. This is disclosed and expected.
Inputs and defaults (key ones)
Core: Sensitivity=1.0; Analysis Period=14; Smoothing=3; Adaptive Thresholds=OFF.
Extremes: Base High=70, Base Low=30; Extreme Sensitivity=1.5; Confirm Extremes on Bar Close=ON; Cooldown=5; Dot size Small/Tiny.
Visuals: Heatmap ON; 3D depth optional; Strength bars ON; Pre-alerts OFF; Divergences ON with tags ON; Gradient candles OFF; Glow ON.
Dashboard: ON; Position=Top Right; Size=Normal; MTF ON; HTF=60m; compact overlay table on price chart.
Advanced caps: Max Oscillator Labels=80; Max Extreme Guide Lines=80; Divergence objects=60.
Dashboard: what each element means
Header: EPZ ANALYSIS.
Large readout: Current MPO; color reflects state (extreme, approaching, or neutral).
Status badge: "Extreme High/Low", "Approaching High/Low", "Bullish/Neutral/Bearish".
HTF cell (when MTF ON): Higher-timeframe MPO, color-coded vs extremes; updates intrabar, settles at HTF close.
Predicted (when MTF OFF): Simple MPO extrapolation using momentum/acceleration—illustrative only.
Thresholds: Current thrHigh/thrLow (static or adaptive).
Components: ASCII bars + values for PRV, MCD, PDI, SMF.
Market metrics: Volume Ratio (x) and ATR% of price.
Strength: Bar indicator of |MPO − 50| × 2.
Confidence: Heuristic gauge (100 in extremes, 70 in warnings, 50 with divergence, else |MPO − 50|). Convenience only, not probability.
How to read the oscillator
MPO Value (0–100): A reading of 50 is neutral. Values above ~55 are increasingly bullish (green), while below ~45 are increasingly bearish (red). Think of these as "market pressure".
Extreme Zones: When MPO climbs into the bright orange/red area (above the base-high line, default 70), the chart will display a dot and downward arrow marking that extreme. Traders often treat this as a sign to tighten stops or look for shorts. Similarly, a bright green dot/up-arrow appears when MPO falls below the base-low (30), hinting at a bullish setup.
Heatmap/Candles: If "Pressure Heatmap" is enabled, the background of the oscillator pane will fade green or red depending on MPO. Users can optionally color the price candles by MPO value (gradient candles) to see these extremes on the main chart.
Prediction Zone(optional): A dashed projection line extends the MPO forward by a small number of bars (prediction_bars) using current MPO momentum and acceleration. This is a heuristic extrapolation best used for short horizons (1–5 bars) to anticipate whether MPO may touch a warning or extreme zone. It is provisional and becomes less reliable with longer projection lengths — always confirm predicted moves with bar-close MPO and HTF context before acting.
Divergences: When price makes a higher high but EPZ makes a lower high (bearish divergence), the indicator can draw dotted lines and a "Bear Div" tag. The opposite (lower low price, higher EPZ) gives "Bull Div". These signals confirm waning momentum at extremes.
Zones: Warning bands near extremes; Extreme zones beyond thresholds.
Crossovers: MPO rising through 35 suggests easing downside pressure; falling through 65 suggests waning upside pressure.
Dots/arrows: Extreme markers appear on closed bars when confirmation is ON and respect the 5-bar cooldown.
Pre-alert dots (optional): Proximity cues in warning zones; also gated to bar close when confirmation is ON.
Histogram: Distance from neutral (50); highlights strengthening or weakening pressure.
Divergence tags: "Bear Div" = higher price high with lower MPO high; "Bull Div" = lower price low with higher MPO low.
Pressure Heatmap : Layered gradient background that visually highlights pressure strength across the MPO scale; adjustable intensity and optional zone overlays (warning / extreme) for quick visual scanning.
A typical reading: If the oscillator is rising from neutral towards the high zone (green→orange→red), the chart may see strong buying culminating in a stall. If it then turns down from the extreme, that peak EPZ dot signals sell pressure.
Alerts
EPZ: Extreme Context — fires on confirmed extremes (respects cooldown).
EPZ: Approaching Threshold — fires in warning zones if no extreme.
EPZ: Divergence — fires on confirmed pivot divergences.
Tip: Set alerts to "Once per bar close" to align with confirmation and avoid intrabar repaint.
Practical usage ideas
Trend continuation: In positive regimes (MPO > 50 and rising), pullbacks holding above 50 often precede continuation; mirror for bearish regimes.
Exhaustion caution: E High/E Low can mark exhaustion risk; many wait for MPO rollover or divergence to time fades or partial exits.
Adaptive thresholds: Useful on assets with shifting volatility regimes to maintain meaningful "extreme" levels.
MTF alignment: Prefer setups that agree with the HTF MPO to reduce countertrend noise.
Examples
Screenshots captured in TradingView Replay to freeze the bar at close so values don't fluctuate intrabar. These examples use default settings and are reproducible on the same bars; they are for illustration, not cherry-picking or performance claims.
Example 1 — BTCUSDT, 1h — E Low
MPO closed at 26.6 (below the 30 extreme), printing a confirmed E Low. HTF MPO is 26.6, so higher-timeframe pressure remains bearish. Components are subdued (Momentum/Pressure/Smart$ ≈ 29–37), with Vol Ratio ≈ 1.19x and ATR% ≈ 0.37%. A prior Bear Div flagged weakening impulse into the drop. With cooldown set to 5 bars, new extremes are rate-limited. Many traders wait for MPO to curl up and reclaim 35 or for a fresh Bull Div before considering countertrend ideas; if MPO cannot reclaim 35 and HTF stays weak, treat bounces cautiously. Educational illustration only.
Example 2 — ETHUSD, 30m — E High
A strong impulse pushed MPO into the extreme zone (≥ 70), printing a confirmed E High on close. Shortly after, MPO cooled to ~61.5 while a Bear Div appeared, showing momentum lag as price pushed a higher high. Volume and volatility were elevated (≈ 1.79x / 1.25%). With a 5-bar cooldown, additional extremes won't print immediately. Some treat E High as exhaustion risk—either waiting for MPO rollover under 65/50 to fade, or for a pullback that holds above 50 to re-join the trend if higher-timeframe pressure remains constructive. Educational illustration only.
Known limitations and caveats
The MPO line itself can change intrabar; extreme markers/alerts do not repaint when "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" is ON.
HTF values settle at the close of the HTF bar.
Illiquid symbols or very low TFs can be noisy; consider higher thresholds or longer smoothing.
Prediction line (when enabled) is a visual extrapolation only.
For coders
Pine v6. MTF via request.security with lookahead_off.
Extremes include crossover triggers so static thresholds also yield E High/E Low.
Extreme markers and pre-alerts are gated by barstate.isconfirmed when confirmation is ON.
Arrays prune oldest objects to respect resource limits; defaults (80/80/60) are conservative for low TFs.
3D layering uses negative offsets purely for drawing depth (no lookahead).
Screenshot methodology:
To make labels legible and to demonstrate non-repainting behavior, the examples were captured in TradingView Replay with "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" enabled. Replay is used only to freeze the bar at close so plots don't change intrabar. The examples use default settings, include both Extreme Low and Extreme High cases, and can be reproduced by scrolling to the same bars outside Replay. This is an educational illustration, not a performance claim.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets involve risk; past behavior does not guarantee future results. You are responsible for your own testing, risk management, and decisions.
Synthetic Implied APROverview
The Synthetic Implied APR is an artificial implied APR, designed to imitate the implied APR seen when trading cryptocurrency funding rates. It combines real-time funding rates with premium data to calculate an artificial market expectation of the annualized funding rate.
The (actual) implied APR is the market's expectation of the annualized funding rate. This is dependent on bid/ask impacts of the implied APR, something which is currently unavailable to fetch with TradingView. In essence, an implied APR of X% means traders believe that asset's funding fees to average X% when annualized.
What's important to understand, is that the actual value of the synthetic implied APR is not relevant. We only simply use its relative changes when we trade (i.e if it crosses above/below its MA for a given weight). Even for the same asset, the implied APRs will change depending on days to maturity.
How it calculates
The synthetic implied APR is calculated with these steps:
Collects premium data from perpetual futures markets using optimized lower timeframe requests (check my 'Predicted Funding Rates' indicator)
Calculates the funding rate by adding the premium to an interest rate component (clamped within exchange limits)
Derives the underlying APR from the 8-hour funding rate (funding rate × 3 × 365)
Apply a weighed formula that imitates both the direction (underlying APR) with the volatility of prices (from the premium index and funding)
premium_component = (prem_avg / 50 ) * 365
weighedprem = (weight * fr) + ((1 - weight) * apr) + (premium_component * 0.3)
impliedAPR = math.avg(weighedprem, ta.sma(apr, maLength))
How to use it: Generally
Preface: Funding rates are an indication of market sentiment
If funding is positive, generally the market is bullish as longs are willing to pay shorts funding
If funding is negative, generally the market is bearish as shorts are willing to pay longs funding
So, this script can be used like a typical oscillator:
Bullish: If implied APR > MA OR if implied APR MA is green
Bearish: If implied APR < MA OR if implied APR MA is red
The components:
Synthetic Implied APR: The main metric. At current setting of 0.7, it imitates volatility
Weight: The higher the value, the smoother the synthetic implied APR is (and MA too). This value is very important to the imitation. At 0.7, it imitates the actual volatility of the implied APR. At weight = 1, it becomes very smooth. Perfect for trading
Synthetic Implied APR Moving Average: A moving average of the Synthetic implied APR. Can choose from multiple selections, (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, VWMA, RMA)
How to use it: Trading Funding
When trading funding there're multiple ways to use it with different settings
Trade funding rates with trend changes
Settings: Weight = 1
Method 1: When the implied APR MA turns green, long funding rates (or short if red)
Method 2: When the implied APR crosses above the MA, long funding rates (or short when crosses below)
Trade funding rates with MA pullbacks
Settings: Weight = 0.7, timeframe 15m
In an uptrend: When implied APR crosses below then above the script, long funding opportunity
In an downtrend: When implied APR crosses above then below the script, shortfunding opportunity
You can determine the trend with the method before, using a weight of 1
To trade funding rates, it's best to have these 3 scripts at these settings:
Predicted Funding Rates: This allows you to see the predicted funding rates and see if they've maxxed out for added confluence too (+/-0.01% usually for Binance BTC futures)
Synthetic implied APR: At weight 1, the MA provides a good trend (whether close above/below or colour change)
Synthetic implied APR: At weight 0.7, it provides a good imitation of volatility
How to use it: Trading Futures
When trading futures:
You can determine roughly what the trend is, if the assumption is made that funding rates can help identify trends if used as a sentiment indicator. It should be supplemented with traditional trend trading methods
To prevent whipsaws, weight should remain high
Long trend: When the implied APR MA turns green OR when it crosses above its MA
Short trend: When the implied APR MA turns red OR when it below above its MA
Why it's original
This indicator introduces a unique synthetic weighting system that combines funding rates, underlying APR, and premium components in a way not found in existing TradingView scripts. Trading funding rates is a niche area, there aren't that many scripts currently available. And to my knowledge, there's no synthetic implied APR scripts available on TradingView either. So I believe this script to be original in that sense.
Notes
Because it depends on my triangular weighting algos, optimal accuracy is found on timeframes that are 4H or less. On higher timeframes, the accuracy drops off. Best timeframes for intraday trading using this are 15m or 1 hour
The higher the timeframe, the lower the MA one should use. At 1 hour, 200 or higher is best. At say, 4h, length of 50 is best
Only works for coins that have a Binance premium index
Inputs
Funding Period - Select between "1 Hour" or "8 Hour" funding cycles. 8 hours is standard for Binance
Table - Toggle the information dashboard on/off to show or hide real-time metrics including funding rate, premium, and APR value
Weight - Controls the balance between funding rate (higher values = smoother) and APR (lower values = more responsive) in the calculation, ranging from 0.0 to 1.0. Default is 0.7, this imitates the volatility
Auto Timeframe Implied Length - Automatically calculates optimal smoothing length based on your chart timeframe for consistent behavior across different time periods
Manual Implied Length - Sets a fixed smoothing length (in bars) when auto mode is disabled, with lower values being more responsive and higher values being smoother
Show Implied APR MA - Displays an additional moving average line of the Synthetic Implied APR to help identify trend direction and crossover signals
MA Type for Implied APR - Selects the calculation method (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, VWMA, or RMA) for the moving average, each offering different responsiveness and lag characteristics
MA Length for Implied APR - Sets the lookback period (1-500 bars) for the moving average, with shorter lengths providing more signals and longer lengths filtering noise
Show Underlying APR - Displays the raw APR calculation (without synthetic weighting) as a reference line to compare against the main indicator
Bullish Color - Sets the color for positive values in the table and rising MA line
Bearish Color - Sets the color for negative values in the table and falling MA line
Table Background - Customizes the background color and transparency of the information dashboard
Table Text Color - Sets the color for label text in the left column of the information table
Table Text Size - Controls the font size of table text with options from Tiny to Huge
