TradeMaster ProTrading effectively requires a range of techniques, experience, and expertise. From technical analysis to market fundamentals, traders must navigate multiple factors, including market sentiment and economic conditions. However, traders often find themselves overwhelmed by market noise, making it challenging to filter out distractions and make informed decisions. To address this, we present a powerful indicator package designed to assist traders on their journey to success.
The TradeMaster indicator package encompasses a variety of trading strategies, including the SMC (Supply, Demand, and Price Action) approach, along with many other techniques. By leveraging concepts such as price action trading, support and resistance analysis, supply and demand dynamics, these indicators can empower traders to analyze entry and exit positions with precision. Unlike other forms of technical analysis that produce values or plots based on historical price data, Price Action brings you the facts straight from the source - the current price movements.
The indicator package consists of three powerful indicators that can be used individually or together to maximize trading effectiveness.
⭐ About the Pro Indicator
The Pro indicator is the cornerstone of the package, offering a comprehensive range of functions. It's strength lies in our unique structure calculation, which is based on real price action data, capturing every ticks from small intraday fluctuations to the significant high timeframe movements. The Pro Indicator reflects our personal use and deep comprehension of Smart Money Concepts. It provides streamlined tools for tracking algorithmic trends with modern visualizations, without unnecessary clutter.
In the ever-evolving trading landscape, mainstream methods and strategies can quickly become outdated as they are widely adopted. Liquidity is constantly sought after, and the best source for this is exploring and exploiting trading strategies that are widely accepted and applied. Currently, one of these strategies is the SMC (Supply, Demand, and Price Action).
It's no coincidence that our educational materials incorporate concepts such as liquidity grabs (LG) and Smart Money Traps (SMT). As the application of SMC gains popularity among retail traders, trading with this approach becomes more challenging. Therefore, the recent focus has been on reforming the SMC methodology, as it is the only method that relies on real price movements and will always work when applied correctly.
▸ What does proper application of SMC entail?
Many SMC traders associate their key areas of interest with the market structure, which is generally considered acceptable. However, depending solely on a single foundation can lead to significant deviations, which may cause notable impacts on trading results. Moreover, if the basis for the market structure calculation is inaccurate, the consequences can be even more severe. It's akin to risking money on a lottery ticket, believing it will be a winner.
Our methodology is different, and it may ensure longevity in the financial markets. The structure remains crucial, but it is not the sole foundation of everything; instead, it serves as a validation tool. Each calculation, such as order blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), liquidity grabs (LG), range analysis, and more, is independent and unique, separate from the structure. However, validation must ultimately come from the structure itself.
We employ individual and high-quality filters: before a function calculation is validated by the structure, it must undergo rigorous testing based on its own set of validation conditions. This approach aims to enhance robustness and accuracy, providing traders with a reliable framework for making informed trading decisions.
▸ An example for structure validation: Order Block with "Swing Sensitivity"
These order blocks will only be displayed and utilized by the script if there is a swing structure validation with a valid break. In other words, the presence of a confirmed swing Change of Character (ChoCh) or Break of Structure (BoS) is essential for the Order Block to be considered valid and relevant.
This approach ensures that the order blocks are aligned with the overall market structure and are not based on isolated or unreliable price movements. Whether it's Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Liquidity Grabs (LG), Range calculations, or other functionalities, the same underlying principle holds true. The background structure calculation serves as a validation mechanism for the data and insights generated by these functions, ensuring they adhere to the specific criteria and rules established within our methodology. By incorporating this robust validation process, traders can have confidence in the reliability and accuracy of the information provided by the indicator, allowing them to make informed trading decisions based on validated data and analysis.
👉 Usage - the general approach:
Determine your trading style using the Pro Indicator and build your basic strategy. This indicator helps you understand your trading style, whether it's swing trading, scalping or another approach. By analyzing the Pro Indicator, you gain valuable information about potential market trends, entry and exit points, and overall market sentiment.
👉 Example of usage:
In the following chart, you'll notice how we've utilized the indicator to formulate a strategic trading approach. We've employed Order Blocks equipped with volume parameters to identify crucial market zones. Simultaneously, we've leveraged swing/internal market structures to gain insights into potential long and short-term market turnarounds. Lastly, we've examined trend line liquidity zones to pinpoint probable impulses and breakouts within ongoing trends.
Now we can see how the price descended to the order block with the highest volume, which we had previously marked as our point of interest for an entry. As the price closed below the median Order Block, we noted its mitigation. After an internal CHoCH, it's directing us towards the main Order Block as a target.
👉 Smart Money Concepts Functions
Market Structure: identifies and marks key structural changes in the market, in order to visually highlight shifts in market trends and patterns. This feature is designed to alert you of significant changes in the market's behavior, signaling a potential shift from accumulation to distribution phase, or vice versa. It helps traders adapt their strategies based on evolving market dynamics.
Order Blocks: pinpoints crucial zones where large institutional investors ("smart money") have shown strong buying or selling interest recently. Order blocks can serve as a tool for identifying key levels for potential trade entries or exits.
FVGs (Fair Value Gaps): detects discrepancies between the perceived market value and actual market price, revealing potential areas for price correction. With its mitigation settings, you can fine-tune the FVG detection according to the magnitude of value misalignment you consider significant.
Liquidity Grabs: helps track "smart money" footprints by identifying levels where large institutional traders may have induced liquidity traps. Understanding these traps can aid in avoiding false market moves and optimizing trade entries.
Automatic Fibonacci Tool: Simplifying the task of identifying key Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, this tool ties Fibonacci levels to the structure for you. It aids in recognizing significant support and resistance levels, providing a clearer understanding of potential price movements.
The Smart Money Concepts trading strategy - combined with these dynamic features - becomes a powerful analytical asset for any trader, providing in-depth insights into market dynamics, trends, and potential opportunities.
👉 Algorithmic trend and dynamic support and resistance
Trend Rainbow: This proprietary feature uses our unique TRMA** method to define short-term, medium-term, and long-term market trends. It incorporates state-of-the-art visualization techniques to render the trend information in an intuitive, easily interpretable manner. It's a 21st-century tool designed for the modern trader who values both precision and simplicity.
Multi-Timeframe Moving Averages: This feature allows traders to simultaneously monitor moving averages across multiple timeframes, providing a comprehensive perspective on market trends. It helps identify dynamic support and resistance zones, key levels where price movements are likely to slow down or reverse. This function not only aids in planning potential trade entries and exits, but also calculates the precise percentage distance to these levels. Can be as well crucial for risk management, enabling traders to set stop losses and profit targets based on solid, data-driven analysis. The Multi-Timeframe Moving Averages function is a versatile tool that combines strategic planning and risk control into a single, easy-to-use feature.
👉 Unlock the Hidden Market Dynamics
Market Sessions: This feature - by default - provides a clear representation of the four major global trading sessions. Each session is distinctly marked on your trading chart, helping you visualize the specific time periods when these markets are most active. Recognizing these sessions is critical for understanding market dynamics, as the opening and closing of major markets can lead to significant price movements. Whether you're a day trader looking to exploit intra-day volatility or a long-term investor wanting to understand broader market trends, the Market Sessions feature can be a useful tool in your trading toolkit.
Divergence Functions: allow the use of unique indicators along with our proprietary ones to detect potential price reversals. As each asset has a different market maker, divergences can vary greatly across different charts and timeframes. With our Divergence Ranking Table, you can quickly determine which divergences have the highest success rates and which are the least successful on a given chart. This feature allows you to adapt your strategies to the most effective signals, enhancing your trading decisions and boosting your potential profits.
Volume Profile with delta: This feature may give traders an edge by providing an in-depth view of market activity. It illustrates the amount of trading volume at different price levels, combined with the 'delta', which is the difference between buying and selling volume. This information allows you to see areas of high trading activity and understand whether the volume is pushing the price up or down. This real-time insight into the market's supply and demand can be instrumental in identifying key support and resistance levels, predicting potential reversals, and recognizing where the market is likely to move. Similarly to Fibonacci tool, Volume Profile can be tied to the current market structure.
👉 Improve Trading Decisions
Range: This innovative feature assists traders in determining discount, premium, and equilibrium zones. It provides a unique way of visualizing price areas where a security could be overbought or oversold (premium or discount zones), and where the price is expected to be fair and balanced (equilibrium zone). Distance from current price is displayed in percentage terms, which can assist traders with crucial data for risk management and strategic planning. The Range function helps you identify the most favorable price zones for entries and set your stop-loss and take-profit levels more accurately.
Previous OHLC: This functionality offers the capability to display the previous Open, High, Low, Close values. It is primarily set on the daily timeframe and serves as an important reference for traders. Having an overview of these key levels from the previous day gives you a solid foundation on which to base today's trading decisions. Recognizing these levels can help you predict potential turning points in the market, providing an advantage in your trading strategy.
Smart Money Zones: our secret weapon for swing traders. Similarly to order blocks, these zones can accurately identify crucial areas of strong buying or selling interest by large institutional investors. However while Order Blocks focus on recent price action, Smart Money Zones take the whole chart into consideration, resulting in more established support and demand zones.
The summary graph combines six unique indicators (Momentum, Trend Strength, Volume, Volatility, Asset Strength, and Sentiment) along with Structure and Sessions. These indicators use our TRMA** method to provide a comprehensive overview of market dynamics. By consolidating these indicators into a single graph, traders can gain valuable insights into the overall market landscape.
** TRMA (Trend Rainbow Moving Averages) is a complex but customizable moving average matrix calculation that is designed to measure market trend direction, strength and shifting.
⭐ Conclusion
We hold the view that the true path to success is the synergy between the trader and the tool, contrary to the common belief that the tool itself is the sole determinant of profitability. The actual scenario is more nuanced than such an oversimplification. Our aim is to offer useful features that meet the needs of the 21st century and that we actually use.
🛑 Risk Notice:
Everything provided by trademasterindicator – from scripts, tools, and articles to educational materials – is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. Past performance does not assure future returns.
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Stocashi + CaffeineCrush Momentum Indicator by CoffeeShopCryptoThis is just a fun script to give a different representation to the ever popular Stochastic RSI
Even for me over the years the stochastic has been a difficult one to use in trading merely because of its choppy look.
Since Heikin-Ashi Candles do such a powerful job in smoothing out the look of choppy markets,
I decided to test it out on the look of the Stochastic RSI.
From an initial visual standpoint it worked out WAY better than I thought but it seemed to need something more.
I decided to use the PineScript "Color.From_Gradient" feature to give the Stochastic a more 3 dimensional look, which really brought the "old-school" indicator to life.
Description:
The CaffeineCrush Momentum Indicator is your ultimate trading companion, blending the invigorating world of coffee with the excitement of market momentum. Just like a finely brewed cup of joe,
This indicator provides you with a powerful insight into market dynamics, helping you stay in the trading groove.
As you sip on this caffeinated delight, CaffeineCrush monitors the velocity and strength of price movements,
measuring the momentum of the market. But here's where it gets even more enticing – it goes a step further by incorporating a pressure indication, adding a stimulating twist to your trading experience.
Imagine yourself in a bustling coffee shop, surrounded by the aroma of freshly roasted beans and the energetic buzz of conversations.
CaffeineCrush mimics that atmosphere, keeping you on your toes, always aware of market forces at play.
With CaffeineCrush, you'll never miss a beat. It identifies and highlights moments of heightened momentum and increased pressure,
giving you an edge in capturing profitable opportunities. Just like a perfectly extracted espresso shot, this indicator helps you maintain your trading momentum and navigate the market with confidence.
So, grab your favorite cup of joe, fire up your trading charts, and let CaffeineCrush awaken your trading prowess.
Stay in the groove, embrace the buzz, and master the momentum with this flavorful indicator by your side.
Divergence -
Regular Divergence shows when there is a conflict between the strength of the trend and the swing of the price movement.
Hidden Divergence -
Are to be traded using the same methods as hidden divergences of the MACD or the RSI. A hidden divergence is commonly a trend CONTINUATION move.
Pink Pause -
This shows a ranging area where price is taking a pause. It can be a single candle or a string of candles. But histogram with continue with its RED / GREEN colors once the pause is over.
Stocashi + CaffeineCrush is not an entry / exit indicator. It's designed to help you understand:
1. Weather your trend is continuing
2. When it pauses
3. Has your pullback started / ended
Its best used near area of conflict. For example:
1. If you have a breakout to the low side of support zone, and you get a BULLISH divergence, this can be viewed as a false breakout.
2. If you trading towards the opposite area of a range or key level and you get conflicting movement in the Stocashi + CaffeineCrush, then you should take ur profits and wait for the next move.
3. If you are following through with example 2 above, but get NO conflicts, you can immediately look for a secondary take profit area and split / hedge your take profits.
Bullish and Bearish Candlestick Patterns StrategyThe strategy is a combination of candlestick pattern analysis and Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential buy and sell signals in the market. Here's how the strategy works and how you can trade accordingly:
Candlestick Pattern Analysis:
The strategy looks for specific bullish and bearish candlestick patterns to identify potential trend reversals or continuations. The bullish patterns include:
Bullish Engulfing: This pattern occurs when a bullish candle fully engulfs the previous bearish candle.
Hammer: It is a single candlestick pattern with a small body and a long lower wick, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Morning Star: This pattern consists of three candles, with the middle one being a small-bodied candle that gaps down and the other two being bullish candles.
The bearish patterns include:
Bearish Engulfing: Similar to the bullish engulfing, but this time, a bearish candle fully engulfs the previous bullish candle.
Shooting Star: A single candlestick pattern with a small body and a long upper wick, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.
Evening Star: This pattern is the opposite of the morning star, with a small-bodied candle that gaps up between two bearish candles.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The strategy uses Fibonacci retracement levels to determine potential support and resistance levels in the market. The main level considered in this strategy is the Fibonacci 0.5 level, which is the midpoint of the previous swing move.
Trading Accordingly:
To trade using this strategy, follow these steps:
a. Observe the Chart: Apply the indicator to your preferred chart, and observe the candlestick patterns and the plotted support, resistance, and Fibonacci 0.5 levels.
b. Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when any of the bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star) occur, and the low price of the current candle is above or equal to the Fibonacci 0.5 level. This suggests a potential bullish reversal or continuation of an existing uptrend.
c. Sell Signal: A sell signal is generated when any of the bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star) occur, and the high price of the current candle is below or equal to the Fibonacci 0.5 level. This indicates a potential bearish reversal or continuation of an existing downtrend.
d. Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders to protect your position in case the market moves against your trade. Consider setting the stop-loss below the recent swing low for buy trades and above the recent swing high for sell trades.
e. Take Profit: Set a target for taking profits based on your risk-reward ratio. You can use the recent swing high for buy trades as a potential target and the recent swing low for sell trades.
f. Filter Signals: Keep in mind that not all signals will result in profitable trades. It's essential to filter signals with other technical analysis tools and consider the overall market context.
Remember that no trading strategy guarantees profits, and trading always carries inherent risks. It's crucial to practice proper risk management, use appropriate position sizing, and test the strategy thoroughly in a demo environment before applying it to live trading. Additionally, consider combining this strategy with other indicators or analysis methods to make more informed .
ProfitAlgoOverview
ProfitAlgo is a powerful and intuitive trading tool specifically developed to cater to the requirements of both beginners and experienced traders. It is designed to function in every timeframe and on all cryptocurrencies, stocks, indices, forex, futures, currencies, ETF's, energy and commodities. This innovative tool provides real-time signals, comprehensive trend analysis, and advanced risk management features, making it an indispensable asset for traders of all levels. This cutting-edge tool generates 'BUY' and 'SELL' signals, complemented by an array of robust analytical tools. Empower your trading analysis with this all-in-one solution and add to your arsenal of indicators to make well-informed decisions.
This algorithm incorporates a sophisticated Fourier smoothing technique to effectively filter price data, reduce noise and reveal underlying patterns and trends. By utilizing multiple price series data and incorporating Price Volume Trend, it leverages volume analysis and price movement patterns. Furthermore, the algorithm employs relative and simple moving average calculations to enhance signal clarity and filter out outliers, resulting in a more refined and robust indicator.
Features
Buy/Sell signals: Visually illustrated by 'BUY' and 'SELL' labels, these signals provide indications to traders about optimal times to enter or exit positions in the market based on the particular asset they are trading. Traders may want to enter long positions when buy signals appear, and enter short positions when 'SELL' signals appear.
Stop Loss/Take Profit Levels: Stop loss and take profit levels are predefined price thresholds that allow traders to automatically exit trades to limit losses or secure profits, respectively. Stop loss and take profit levels are visually depicted through three dotted lines on the trading chart, including the entry price, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL). Additionally, a table displays the corresponding price entries for all three levels, providing a comprehensive overview of the trade. Traders can effectively manage their risk and optimize their trading by implementing predefined threshold settings and establishing take profit levels, thus safeguarding their profits using a strategic approach.
Support and Resistance Levels: Support and resistance levels are key price levels in the market that act as barriers or turning points for the price movement of an asset. Traders utilize these levels to identify potential areas of buying and selling opportunities. These can be depicted as red (resistance) and green (support) horizontal lines. These levels can serve as valuable complements to stop/loss and take profit levels, providing confirmation for profit-taking opportunities and facilitating effective risk management. Moreover, they can synergistically work alongside the price lines to identify potential reversal zones by visualizing market highs/lows in conjunction with areas of supply & demand.
Moving Average Bands: Moving average bands, plotted alongside the price data, dynamically change color based on the prevailing trend, with red indicating a downtrend and green representing an uptrend. This visual tool provides valuable insights to users, allowing them to quickly identify and interpret market trends. Integrating Moving Average bands with our buy/sell signals offers added confidence in identifying market trends, enabling traders to seek validation and enhance their decision-making process.
Trend Table: The trend table provides real-time information on the current trend of an asset, displaying three distinct outputs: "Uptrend," "Downtrend," and "Ranging Trend." This valuable tool enables users to assess the live trend of an asset, which may differ from the buy/sell signals. The primary objective of this feature is to analyze real-time trends in both ranging and trending market conditions. While the current signal may indicate a 'BUY' signal, the table can present an alternative output, providing valuable insights for traders and investors.
Price Lines: Price lines are depicted as two parallel grey lines running alongside the price data, representing the highs and lows of the market. This visual tool is utilized to identify patterns of higher highs and lower lows, enabling traders to gain insights into the overall trend and potential reversals in the market. When used in conjunction with our signals, MA bands and trend table, it may reinforce your interpretation of the underlying trend as well as provide insights into the trend strength.
*Note: These features are customizable via the settings menu in TradingView.
Calculations
How are buy/sell signals calculated?
The buy and sell signals are generated through a comprehensive calculation process that encompasses various types of analysis techniques. With permission from the author, wbburgin's Fourier transform is utilized to filter and extract relevant information from the price data, removing noise from the signals (filter is only applied in this feature). The buy and sell conditions are calculated based on a combination of volume-based analysis, and price movement patterns, employed to assess the direction and strength of market trends. The combination aims to produce a comprehensive view of both volume-based and price-based market dynamics. By integrating these analysis techniques, traders can gain insights into the relationship between volume, price, and market trends. This combined approach, as well as Fourier smoothing, can help identify potential market reversals, confirm trend strength, produce less noisy data and provide additional confirmation signals for trading decisions. By considering the insights provided by this analysis, the algorithm determines the appropriate actions, signaling the opportunities to enter or exit positions in the market. In summary, these calculations aim to identify favorable trading opportunities by considering factors such as trend strength, volume dynamics, and price patterns, ultimately assisting traders in making well-informed decisions in the market.
How are stop/loss and take/profit levels calculated?
The stop loss and take profit levels are calculated using a combination of technical factors, including the Average True Range (ATR) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The rationale for this combination is to enable dynamic risk management and align profit targets with the prevailing market conditions; ATR provides a measure of volatility and risk, while EMA helps identify the underlying trend, allowing for effective stop-loss and take-profit placement. These indicators are utilized to gauge market volatility and determine suitable levels for managing risk and securing potential profits. By incorporating ATR and EMA calculations, the algorithm generates dynamic stop loss and take profit levels that adapt to market conditions.
Calculating support and resistance levels
These levels help identify areas where the price tends to find support (support levels) or encounter resistance (resistance levels). This script utilizes pivot point calculations to determine these significant price levels, which can assist traders in trading decisions regarding potential price reversals, trend continuations, and entry/exit points in their strategies.
What are the moving average bands based on?
The moving average bands, based on VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average) calculations using OHLC4 price data, are visualized as unique bands on the chart. VWMA bands are chosen to find trends because they effectively combine volume-weighted calculations with moving averages, providing valuable insights into the strength and direction of price movements. These bands dynamically change color to reflect the prevailing trend. In an uptrend, the bands are represented by a green color, while in a downtrend, they appear in red. The VWMA bands utilize a unique counting method to capture trend movements and potential reversals.
How is the Trend Table calculated?
The underlying trends in the trend table are calculated based on counting methods applied to the VWMA bands. It utilizes specific thresholds to determine different trends, such as "Up Trend," "Down Trend," and "Ranging Trend." These thresholds are used to assess the current trend of the asset and provide valuable insights for traders.
Price Lines Calculation
The price lines are calculated based on the price data. They represent the range of prices, with one line plotted above the closing price and another line plotted below it. The space between these lines is filled to visualize the price volatility. Traders can utilize these lines to identify significant price levels and observe the overall price movement.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in my indicators/strategies/systems is not intended as financial advice. I assume no responsibility for any losses or damages, including loss of profits, resulting from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments carry risks, and past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors bear full responsibility for their investment decisions, which should be based on their own evaluation of financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity requirements.
Please note that my indicators/strategies/systems are solely for educational purposes! DO NOT request access in the comment's section.
Standard Deviation Buy Sell Signals [UOI]The "Standard Deviation Buy Sell Signals" which is a Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack that includes many additional features is an advanced technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in making well-informed decisions in the financial markets. It incorporates various functions and calculations to provide a comprehensive analysis of price movements, trends, and potential trading opportunities in different timeframes. The Super Pack combines elements of volume-weighted average price (VWAP), mean calculation on multiple time frames, standard deviation signals and bands, overbought and oversold signals, measures of central tendency, and multiple time frame calculations of mean reversion. A truly unique indicator.
Here is the details of the supper pack and what is included:
1. VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): The Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack includes VWAP, which calculates the average price of a security weighted by its trading volume. This helps traders identify the average price at which a significant amount of trading activity has occurred and can serve as a reference point for determining whether the current price is overvalued or undervalued.
2. Standard Deviation Signals and Bands: The Super Pack incorporates standard deviation signals and bands to measure the volatility of price movements. By calculating the standard deviation of price data, it identifies price levels that deviate significantly from the average, indicating potential overbought or oversold conditions. The standard deviation bands provide visual boundaries that help traders assess the likelihood of a price reversal or continuation. The bands are hidden to avoid too many lines but you can enable them in the setting. See image below:
3. Overbought and Oversold Signals: Using the standard deviation calculations, the Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack generates overbought and oversold signals. These signals indicate when a security's price has moved to an extreme level, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in the near future. Traders can use these signals to time their entries or exits in the market. You can change the RSI number in the setting to get more or less signals.
4. Measures of Central Tendency: The Super Pack incorporates measures of central tendency, such as the mean, median, or mode, to provide a sense of the average or typical price behavior. These measures help traders identify the prevailing trend or price direction and assess the likelihood of a trend continuation or reversal. This provide reassurance of whether price is too far from center in multiple time frames.
5. Multiple Time Frame Calculation of Mean Reversion: The Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack employs multiple time frame calculations to identify mean reversion opportunities. It compares the current price with the historical average price over different time periods, allowing traders to identify situations where the price has deviated significantly from its mean and is likely to revert back to its average value. This can be useful for swing trading or short-term trading strategies.
By combining these various functions, the Mean and VWAP Deviation Super Pack provides traders with a comprehensive analysis of price dynamics, trend strength, potential reversals, and mean reversion opportunities. It aids in making more informed trading decisions and improving overall trading performance.
Why is this super pack indicator an essential trading strategy for every trader:
Standard deviation and mean reversion are valuable tools for traders, especially when the market is in a ranging phase. A ranging market is characterized by price movements that oscillate between defined support and resistance levels, with no clear trend in either direction. In such market conditions, standard deviation and mean reversion strategies can be particularly effective. Here's why:
1. Standard Deviation: Standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the volatility or dispersion of price data around its average. In a ranging market, where prices tend to fluctuate within a certain range, standard deviation can help identify overbought and oversold levels. When the price reaches the upper end of the range, the standard deviation bands widen, indicating higher volatility and a potential selling opportunity. Conversely, when the price reaches the lower end of the range, the bands narrow, suggesting lower volatility and a potential buying opportunity. Traders can use these signals to anticipate price reversals and take advantage of the predictable nature of ranging markets.
2. Mean Reversion: Mean reversion is a concept that suggests prices tend to move back toward their average or mean over time. In a ranging market, where prices repeatedly move between support and resistance levels, mean reversion strategies can be highly effective. By identifying when the price has deviated significantly from its mean, traders can anticipate a potential reversal back toward the average. When the price reaches extreme levels, indicating overbought or oversold conditions, traders can enter positions in the opposite direction, expecting the price to revert to its mean. Mean reversion strategies can be implemented using various indicators, including Bollinger Bands, moving averages, or standard deviation bands.
3. Range Boundaries: In a ranging market, the upper and lower boundaries of the price range serve as reliable reference points for traders. Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies capitalize on the repetitive nature of price movements within these boundaries. Traders can set their entry and exit points based on the standard deviation bands or mean reversion signals to take advantage of price reversals near the range boundaries. By properly identifying and reacting to these levels, traders can profit from the price oscillations within the range.
4. Risk Management: Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies provide traders with clear entry and exit points, allowing for effective risk management. By placing stop-loss orders beyond the range boundaries or the standard deviation bands, traders can limit their potential losses if the price continues to move against their positions. Additionally, by taking profits near the opposite range boundary or when the price reverts back to the mean, traders can secure their gains and maintain a disciplined approach to trading.
Standard deviation and mean reversion strategies offer traders a systematic approach to capitalize on ranging markets. But the cherry on top is the overbought and oversold signals:
The concept of overbought and oversold levels is widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversals in price trends. Typically, indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are employed to determine when an asset may be overbought or oversold. However, you have developed a unique approach by incorporating an interactive variable with RSI and Average True Range (ATR) to create a distinct overbought and oversold signal. Here's why this approach stands out:
1. Divergence: Your approach introduces a divergence concept by combining RSI and ATR. Traditionally, overbought and oversold signals rely solely on RSI readings. However, by considering the interaction between RSI and ATR, you bring a new dimension to these signals. The divergence occurs when the RSI indicates overbought conditions while simultaneously ATR crosses over into bearish territory, or when the RSI signals oversold conditions along with ATR crossing over into bullish territory. This divergence adds an extra layer of confirmation to the overbought and oversold signals.
2. Reduced False Signals: The incorporation of ATR in conjunction with RSI helps filter out false signals that may occur during trending market conditions or short squeezes. Trend days or periods of increased volatility can cause RSI to remain in overbought or oversold territory for an extended period, generating numerous signals that may not be reliable. By considering the crossing of ATR into bearish or bullish territory, your approach adds a dynamic element to the signal generation process. This interactive variable helps ensure that the overbought and oversold signals are not solely based on RSI getting hot, reducing the likelihood of false signals during trending or volatile periods.
3. Improved Timing: The interaction between RSI and ATR provides a more nuanced approach to timing overbought and oversold signals. By waiting for the ATR to confirm the RSI signal, you introduce an additional condition that enhances the precision of the timing. The bearish or bullish crossover of ATR serves as a confirmation that market conditions align with the overbought or oversold signal indicated by RSI. This combined approach allows for more accurate entry or exit points, increasing the potential profitability of trades.
4. Customization and Adaptability: By creating this interactive variable with RSI and ATR, you have developed a customizable approach that can be adapted to different trading styles and preferences. Traders can adjust the sensitivity of the signals by modifying the parameters of the RSI and ATR. This flexibility allows for a personalized trading experience and enables traders to align the signals with their specific risk tolerance and market conditions.
This approach to overbought and oversold signals utilizing RSI and ATR introduces a unique perspective to technical analysis. By incorporating divergence and interactive variables, you enhance the reliability of these signals while reducing false readings. This approach provides improved timing and adaptability, making it a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential reversals in price trends with greater accuracy and confidence.
HOW to avoid fake signals?
When it comes to trading with standard deviation as a strategy, it's important to note that on extreme trend days, this indicator may generate false signals. This occurs because standard deviation is primarily designed to measure volatility and deviations from the mean in a range-bound market. During strong trending periods, the price tends to move in one direction with minimal deviations, rendering the standard deviation less effective.
To avoid trading based solely on standard deviation during extreme trend days, it is advisable to incorporate additional indicators that can provide insights into the stock's trend or squeeze conditions. These indicators can help determine whether the market is experiencing a strong trend or a squeeze, allowing you to avoid false signals generated by standard deviation.
By utilizing complementary indicators such as trend-following indicators (e.g., moving averages, trendlines) or volatility indicators (e.g., Bollinger Bands), you can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market environment. These indicators can help confirm whether the stock is in a trending phase or experiencing a squeeze, helping you avoid entering trades solely based on standard deviation during these extreme trend days.
In summary, while standard deviation is a valuable tool in range-bound markets, it may produce unreliable signals on extreme trend days. By incorporating other indicators that provide insights into the stock's trend or squeeze conditions, traders can better assess the market environment and avoid false signals generated by standard deviation during these periods. This approach enhances the overall effectiveness and accuracy of trading strategies, leading to more informed and profitable decision-making.
Rainbow IndicatorName of the indicator: Rainbow indicator
A brief description of the indicator:
Using this indicator, you can see the "margin of safety" for opening a position in shares of fundamentally strong companies with an acceptable P/E level, as well as the price range for closing a position.
The background to the creation of the indicator:
I got the idea to create this indicator thanks to the concept of the "margin of safety", which was invented by the father of value investing - Benjamin Graham. According to his idea, it is reasonable to buy shares of a company only when the price offered by the market is lower than the "intrinsic value" calculated on the basis of financial statements. The value of this difference is the "margin of safety”. At the same time, the indicator does not copy Graham's idea but develops it relying on my own methodology.
So, according to Graham, the "margin of safety" is a good discount to the intrinsic value of the company. That is, if a company's stock is trading at prices that are well below the company's intrinsic value (on a per-share basis), it's a good opportunity to consider buying it. In this case, you will have a certain margin of safety in case the company is in financial distress and its stock price goes down. Accordingly, the greater the discount, the better.
When it comes to the intrinsic value of a company, there are many approaches to determining it - from calculating the Price-to-book value financial ratio to the discounted cash flow method. As for my approach, I am not trying to find the cherished intrinsic value, but I am trying to understand how fundamentally strong the company is in front of me, and in how many years the investment in it will pay off. To determine fundamental strength, I use the appropriate Fundamental Strength Indicator . To estimate the payback period, I use the P/E ratio (*). If I am satisfied with both of these indicators, I move on to the Rainbow Indicator.
(*) If you want to learn more about the P/E ratio, I suggest reading my two articles on TradingView:
Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2
Indicator calculation methodology:
The Rainbow indicator starts with a simple moving average of one year (this is the thick red line in the center). Hereinafter a year will mean the last 252 trading days.
Applying a moving average of this length - is a good way to smooth out sharp price fluctuations which can happen during a year as much as possible, keeping the trend direction as much as possible. Thus, the moving average becomes for me the center of fluctuations of the imaginary pendulum of the market price.
Then the deviations are calculated from the center of fluctuations. To do this, a certain amount of earnings per share is subtracted from and added to the moving average. This is the diluted EPS of the last year.
Deviations with a "-" sign form the Lower Rainbow of four colors:
- The blue spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -4 EPS and ends with a deflection of -8 EPS.
- Green spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -8 EPS and ends with a deflection of -16 EPS.
- The orange spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -16 EPS and ends with a deflection of -32 EPS.
- Red spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -32 EPS and goes to infinity.
The Lower Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for buying stocks. It is in the spectra of the Lower Rainbow that the very "margin of safety" according to my methodology is located. The Lower Rainbow has the boundaries between the spectra as a solid line . And only the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow has only one boundary.
Deviations with a "+" sign form the Upper Rainbow of four similar colors:
- The red spectrum of the upper rainbow begins with a deflection of 0 EPS and ends with a deflection of +4 EPS.
- The orange spectrum of the upper rainbow begins with a deflection of +4 EPS and ends with a deflection of +8 EPS.
- Green spectrum top rainbow begins with a deflection of +8 EPS and ends with a deflection of +16 EPS.
- The blue spectrum of the upper rainbow begins with a deflection of +16 EPS and goes to infinity.
The Upper Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for selling stocks already purchased. The top rainbow has boundaries between the spectra in the form of crosses . And only the blue spectrum of the upper rainbow has only one boundary.
The presence of the Empty Area (the size of 4 EPS) above the Lower Rainbow creates some asymmetry between the two rainbows - the Lower Rainbow looks wider than the Upper Rainbow. This asymmetry is deliberate because the market tends to fall much faster and deeper than it grows . Therefore, a wider Lower Rainbow is conducive to buying stocks at a good discount during a period of massive "sell-offs.
The situation, when the Lower Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations (the thick red line) and the Upper Rainbow, is above the center of fluctuations is called an Obverse . It is only possible to buy a stock in an Obverse situation .
The situation when the Lower Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations and the Upper Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations is called Reverse . In this situation, the stock cannot be considered for purchase , according to my approach.
Selling a previously purchased stock is possible in both situations: Reverse and Obverse. After loading the indicator, you can see a hint next to the closing price - Reverse or Obverse now.
Due to the fact that the size of the deviation from the center of fluctuation depends on the size of the diluted EPS, several important conclusions can be made:
- The Obverse situation is characteristic of companies that show a profit over the last year.
- The Reverse situation is typical for companies that show a loss over the last year.
- An increase in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells us about an increase in profits for the company.
- A decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells us about a decrease in the company's profits.
- An increase in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells us about an increase in the company's losses.
- A decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells us about a decrease in the company's losses.
- The higher the profit level of the company, the greater your "margin of safety" should be. This will provide the necessary margin of safety in case you go into a cycle of declining financial results. The appropriate width of the Lower Rainbow will just create this "margin".
- Increased profits in the company (after buying its stock) will allow you to stay in position longer by widening the Upper Rainbow.
- A decrease in profits in the company (after buying its stock) will allow you to close your position more quickly by narrowing the Upper Rainbow.
Conditions for opening and closing positions:
So, the Lower Rainbow has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each one highlights the desired range of prices acceptable for buying in an Obverse situation. The blue spectrum is upper with respect to the green spectrum, and the green spectrum is lower with respect to the blue spectrum, etc.
- If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, that is a reason to consider that company for buying the first portion (*) of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider this company to buy a second portion of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), it is a reason to consider this company to buy a third portion of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider that company to buy a fourth portion of the stock.
(*) The logic of the Rainbow Indicator implies that no more than 4 portions of one company's stock can be purchased. One portion refers to the number of shares you can consider buying at the current price (depending on your account size and personal diversification ratio - see information below).
The Upper Rainbow also has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each of them highlights the appropriate range of prices acceptable for closing an open position.
- If the current price is in the red spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the orange spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the orange spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the green spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the green spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the blue spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
This position-closing logic applies to both the Obverse and Reverse situations. In both cases, the position is closed in portions in four steps. However, there are 3 exceptions to this rule when it is possible to close an entire position in whole rather than in parts:
- If there is a Reverse situation and the current price is above the thick red line.
- If I decide to invest in another company and I do not have enough available cash to purchase the necessary number of portions.
- If I find out about events that pose a real threat to the further existence of the company (for example, a bankruptcy filing), I can close the position earlier, without waiting for the price to hit the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectrum.
So, the basic scenario of opening and closing a position assumes the gradual purchase of shares in 4 stages and their gradual sale in 4 stages. However, there is a situation where one of the stages is skipped in the case of buying shares and in the case of selling them. For example, because the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio became acceptable for me only at a certain stage (spectrum) or the moment was missed for a transaction due to technical reasons. In such cases, I buy or sell more than one portion of a stock in the spectrum I am in. The number of additional portions will depend on the number of missed spectra. For example, if I have no position in the stock of the company in question, all conditions for buying the stock have been met, and the current price is in the orange spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, I can buy three portions of the stock at once (for the blue, green, and orange spectrum). I will sell these three portions in the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectra (orange, green, and blue). However, if for some reason the orange spectrum of the Upper Rainbow was missed, and the current price is in the green spectrum - I will sell two portions of the three (in the green spectrum). I will sell the last, third portion only when the price reaches the blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow.
The Rainbow Indicator also helps calculate the number of shares that can be considered for purchase at the current price position in the Lower Rainbow spectra. To do this, you need to go to the indicator settings.
+ Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed profit/loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes
Here I indicate the amount of funds deposited to my account, withdrawn from it, profit/loss on closed positions, dividends credited to the account, and taxes deducted from the account.
Diversification coefficient
The diversification coefficient determines how diversified I want my portfolio to be. For example, a diversification coefficient of 20 means that I plan to buy 20 share portions of different companies, but no more than 4 portions per company (based on the number of Lower Rainbow spectra).
The cost of purchased shares of this company (fees excluded)
Here I specify the amount of already purchased shares of the company in question in the currency of my portfolio. For example, if at this point in time, I have purchased 1000 shares at $300 per share, and my portfolio is expressed in $, I enter - $300,000.
The cost of all purchased shares in the portfolio (fees excluded)
Here I enter the amount of all purchased shares for all companies in the currency of my portfolio (without commissions spent on the purchase). This is necessary to determine the amount of available funds available to purchase shares.
After entering all the necessary data, I go to the checkbox, by checking it I confirm that the company in question has been studied with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio, and their values are satisfactory to me. No calculation is performed without the checkbox checked. This is done intentionally because the application of the Rainbow Indicator for stock acquisition purposes is possible only after studying the Fundamental Strength of the company and an acceptable P/E value.
Next, I click "Ok" and get the calculation in the form of a table on the left.
Free cash in the portfolio
This is the amount of free cash available to purchase stocks. Please note that the price of the stock and the funds in your portfolio must be denominated in the same currency. On TradingView, you can choose which currency to display the stock price in.
Cash amount for one portion
The amount of cash needed to buy one portion of a stock. Depends on the diversification ratio entered.
Potential portions amount
Number of portions, available for purchase at the current price. Can be a fractional number.
Cash amount to buy
The amount of cash needed to buy portions available for purchase at the current price.
Shares amount to buy
Number of shares in portions available for purchase at the current price.
The table also contains additional information in the form of the current value of the company's market capitalization and P/E ratio.
Mandatory requirements for using the indicator:
- works only on a daily timeframe;
- the indicator is only applicable to shares of public companies;
- quarterly income statements for the last year are required;
- an acceptable for you P/E ratio is required to consider the company's stock for purchase;
- the Rainbow Indicator only applies in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator. To consider a company's stock for purchase, you need confirmation that the company is fundamentally strong.
What is the value of the Rainbow Indicator?
- clearly demonstrates a company's profit and loss dynamics;
- shows the price ranges that can be used to open and close a position;
- takes into account the principle of gradual increase and decrease of a position;
- allows calculating the number of shares to be purchased;
- shows the current value of the P/E ratio;
- shows the current capitalization of the company.
Example:
As an example, consider the situation with NVIDIA Corporation stock (ticker - NVDA).
September 02, 2022:
Fundamental Strength Indicator - 11.46 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E - 39.58 (acceptable to me).
Current Price - $136.47 (is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are filled out as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Orange Spectrum of Lower Rainbow at the current price = 10 shares. This corresponds to 2.73 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 10 shares of NVDA at $136.47 per share.
October 14, 2022:
NVDA's stock price has moved into the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
The Fundamental Strength Indicator is 10.81 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E is 35.80 (an acceptable level for me).
Current Price - $112.27 (is in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum at the current price (5 shares). This corresponds to 1.12 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 5 shares of NVDA at $112.27 per share. A total of 3.85 portions were purchased, which is the maximum possible number of portions at the current price level. The remainder in the form of 0.15 portions can be purchased only at a price level below $75 per share.
January 23, 2023:
The price of NVDA stock passes through the red spectrum of the Upper Rainbow and stops in the orange spectrum. As an example, I sell 5 shares bought in the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, for example at $180 per share (+60%). And also a third of the shares bought in the orange spectrum, 3 shares out of 10, for example at $190 a share (+39%). That leaves me with 7 shares.
January 27, 2023:
NVDA's stock price has continued to rise and has moved into the green spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This is a reason to close some of the remaining 7 shares. I divide the 7 shares by 2 and round up to a whole number - that's 4 shares. For my example, I sell 4 shares at $199 a share (+46%). Now I am left with 3 shares of stock.
February 02, 2023:
The price of NVDA stock moves into the blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, and I close the remaining 3 shares, for example, at $216 per share (+58%). The entire position in NVDA stock is closed.
As you can see, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio were not used in the process of closing the position. Decisions were made only on the basis of the Rainbow Indicator.
As another example, let's look at the situation with the shares of Papa Johns International, Inc. (ticker PZZA).
November 01, 2017:
Fundamental Strength Indicator - 13.22 points (fundamentally strong company).
P/E - 21.64 (acceptable to me).
Current Price - $62.26 (is in the blue spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are met. The settings of the Rainbow Indicator are filled as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Blue Spectrum at the current price - 8 shares. This corresponds to 1 portion.
To give you an example, I buy 8 shares of PZZA at a price of $62.26.
August 8, 2018:
PZZA's share price has moved into the green spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
The Fundamental Strength Indicator is a 9.83 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E is 16.07 (an acceptable level for me).
Current Price - $38.94 (is in the green spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Green Spectrum at the current price - 12 shares. This corresponds to 0.93 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 12 shares of PZZA at a price of $38.94. A total of 1.93 portions were purchased.
October 31, 2018:
PZZA's stock price moves into the Upper Rainbow red spectrum and is $54.54 per share. Since I did not have any portions purchased in the Lower Rainbow red spectrum, there is no closing part of the position.
February 01, 2019:
After a significant decline, PZZA's stock price moves into the orange spectrum of the Lower Rainbow at $38.51 per share. However, I am not taking any action because the company's Fundamental Strength on this day is 5.02 (a fundamentally mediocre company).
March 27, 2019:
PZZA's stock price passes the green and blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This allowed to close the previously purchased 12 shares, for example, at $50 a share (+28%) and 8 shares at $50.38 a share (-19%).
Closing the entire position at once was facilitated by a significant narrowing in both rainbows. As we now know, this indicates a decline in earnings at the company.
Risk disclaimer:
When working with the Rainbow Indicator, keep in mind that the release of the Income statement (from which diluted EPS is derived) occurs some time after the end of the fiscal quarter. This means that the new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statement. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the Rainbow Indicator after the publication of the new statement. The magnitude of this change will depend on both the content of the new statement and the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statement. Prior to the publication date of the new statement, the latest actual data will be used for the calculations. Also, once again, please note that the Rainbow Indicator can only be used in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio. Without these additional filters, the Rainbow Indicator loses its intended meaning.
The Rainbow Indicator allows you to determine the price ranges for opening and closing a position gradually, based on available data and the methodology I created. You can also use it to calculate the number of shares you can consider buying taking into account the position you already have. However, this Indicator and/or its description and examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.
LuBotINTRODUCTION
This indicator was born from a personal need to have everything needed in one place and to allow any trader to see the market as I see it, so that everyone, even the novice trader, immediately feels at ease as I do me when I look at the graphs.
Over time I have also developed other indicators which I associate with the LuBot, however it is designed to be used as a standalone indicator which can suit any trading style.
Of course, no indicator or strategy can predict the future. Only a good mindset and good money management can lead you to be a consistently profitable trader in the long run. Which is why together with the indicator I will provide further examples of use with personal insights and thoughts about my way of seeing the market.
Below you will find everything you need to understand what you will get with this indicator and how to use it, but there are so many configurations that you can do that could make you find a better setup than mine as each of us has different needs and different timing.
Some of us don't mind keeping positions open overnight and others want to close everything by the end of the day. There are those who look at charts with very low timeframes and those like me who prefer to look at higher timeframes like the Daily for reasons of practicality and more "relaxed" timing.
Because of this I don't want to limit the use of the indicator to what is my way of using it. Each of us has different needs, and this indicator is used to show you the way forward and satisfy your needs.
WHAT IS LuBot?
LuBot is a multi-piece indicator that provides any trader with everything they need to trade in one place.
The idea is to make it easier to see the market and give everyone the opportunity to start trading with a simple method that is within everyone's reach.
The LuBot indicator works on any TradingView chart and timeframe and includes several basic components including:
- Long and Short signals: distinguishable in SwingSignals and MultiSignals.
SwingSignals have an alternating Long-Short sequence. The logic of these signals is to indicate the trend to follow which, if supported by the other components, allows inputs in favor of swings. MultiSignals signals add intermediate signals to favor entry even on a single signal and could be used both to add further confirmation to the trend-following trade and for scalping, thus exiting the trade as soon as possible.
- Reversal Bands : placed at the ends of the chart, they indicate an area of probable price reversal (overbought and oversold areas). They are divided into colored bands each of which increases its repelling force as the intensity of the color increases. If the price crosses an extreme we expect an even stronger reversal.
- Customizable Moving Averages : 3 in total which can be modified in length, source and type of moving average (ema, sma, wma, etc.). By default I have entered the settings that I use personally.
- Trend Cloud : colored band according to the trend. By default the colors are green for bullish trend, red for bearish trend and gray for sideways/neutral phase. Coupled with moving averages they are a perfect tool to better follow the trend.
- Swings : shows swings on the chart so you can better understand their structure and refine trend tracking. Excellent as reference points for new trades.
- Reversal Signals : small signals shown as arrows above and below the chart. Those above appear when the price is overbought, conversely those below appear when the price is oversold. They are not entry inputs but they help for both entry and exit of the trade.
- Trend Candles : the candles are colored according to the trend defined in the code. Additional support to avoid entering against the trend or to exit the market when the trend reverses.
- Supports and Resistances : supply and demand levels will appear automatically and will update over time. They take the pivot points as references and it is possible to modify their period. A higher value will show wider levels, a lower value will show levels based on the latest price movements.
- Trend Channel : Show an automatic trend channel based on the period entered in the settings. A value of 100 will show a channel based on the price average of the last 100 candles.
- Alerts : finally we find the alerts both for Long and Short signals and for the appearance of a new swing. Before activating alerts, make sure you have chosen the signal settings you prefer so that you only receive that type of alert. The alert will adapt to the parameters you have chosen and will notify you whenever a new signal or swing appears. The "Any function alert" will alert you whenever a Long or Short SwingSignals appear.
SIGNAL SETTINGS
These are the signal setting modes.
First we open the indicator settings by clicking on the gear in the upper left next to the indicator name, or by double clicking on one of the indicator components in the chart.
At this point a menu will open in which the various components appear in an orderly manner.
The first group concerns the signal settings.
The first item indicates the Signal Type in which we can choose whether to display the SwingSignals or MultiSignals signals.
The second item indicates the Signal Style in which we can choose a value from 0 to 3.
Value 0 will show all signals not filtered by the trend. The value 1 will add a first trend filter and increase the restriction on the trend by increasing the value.
Next we find 3 selectable boxes called Limit Signals.
Each of these boxes will add further filters to the signals in order to limit the signals in periods of laterality and to avoid an excess of signals shown on the chart.
By acting on these settings we could find the right setup that best suits our needs.
Finally, the last modifiable parameter concerns the display of the last signals which by default is set to 3000. This means that all the signals in the last 3000 candles will be displayed on the chart.
HOW I USE IT
As I wrote above my favorite timeframe is the Daily. This timeframe allows me to study the market very calmly and gives me all the time necessary to decide how to behave on the market. Furthermore, the Daily timeframe fits perfectly with my vision of trading, which is the one that allows you to have time for yourself instead of working all day and not being able to devote yourself to family or other businesses.
In this way I observe the market only in the morning or in the evening and thanks to this indicator I can make decisions very quickly unlike when I had to analyze chart by chart with other manual tools. Moreover, thanks to this configuration I can easily do everything from my smartphone. You don't know what satisfaction it feels like to sit comfortably on your sofa in the evening and observe the markets from your mobile phone and open and close trades thanks to this indicator.
Now let's move on to the practical part and see the main actions I take when I look at a graph from scratch. The examples will cover the Long position but the reverse applies for the Short position.
HOW TO ENTER THE MARKET
1- First I set the signals with the Limit Signals type 3 option and use the SwingSignals signals. In this way I avoid too much confusion in the graph and consider the last signal
that points me in the main direction to follow.
2- In the image above we see a Long signal as the last. So from then on I will only look for Long entries.
3- I wait for the TrendCloud to turn green and thus favor the direction bullish.
4- I wait for the price to rise above the ema21 (orange moving average set by default) and the TrendCloud.
5- If the TrendCloud is above the ema100 (blue moving average) and the ema200 (yellow moving average) this increases the idea of bullish strength.
6- I expect a retracement and then a return of prices towards the zone ema21 or TrendCloud.
7- At this point, as we can see from the image below, I start looking at the Swing.
Swings determine the structure and trend of the market.
Increasing highs and lows = Uptrend
Lower highs and lower lows = Bearish trend
If in this case the swing low is positive then HL (HigherLow) we are more likely to enter in favor of a positive trend and be able to bring home a profit.
8- The break of the high of the swing candle (the one where we find the label HL) is already an entry trigger in itself, but to improve the probability of success and avoid
entering false movements we add MultiSignals signals to have input patterns specific.
In this case we have a Long entry pattern so the entry on the break of the maximum is confirmed.
9- A further confirmation is given by the TrendCandles that we can activate from the settings. If the last candles are green and the candle of ours probable trade is also
green, we have a further confirmation of possible rise.
TRADE MANAGEMENT AND EXIT
1- The moment we decide to open the position we need to know in advance where you mainly enter the stop loss and then the take profit.
2- To enter the stop loss we can use the last swing low as reference, or the TrendCloud. Based on the risk you want to get on that trade.
If the conditions are particularly positive you can place the stop loss a few pips below the swing low. The take profit instead it depends on how long you want to hold the
trade. Personally I prefer to exit trades as soon as possible to avoid staying too long exposed to reversal risks. This is about a trading approach short term.
So it could be placed on the level of the previous high as in the following example.
In this case the trade lasts only 4 candles and the overnight costs and the risk of closing the trade with a loss are limited.
3- To view the exit levels for TP and SL you can also use the automatic Support and Resistance tool.
In this example we see that the closest support level coincided with the low of the swing so inserting the stop loss below the low of the swing would have had greater validity. The Take Profit, on the other hand, could be placed on the closest Resistance level.
4- A more conservative approach would lead us to place the stop loss below the TrendCloud or below the previous swing low (more recommended approach). In this way we
will avoid the risk of being stopped and subsequently seeing the market continue in our direction as often happens.
In this example we see a Long trade on a subsequent MultiSignals signal which is stopped when the price makes a retracement on the TrendCloud. In this case we see that if we had placed the stop below the previous swing low or below the TrendCloud we would still have remained in the market and would be positive.
5- In the example above, it must also be considered that the market had already made several positive swings without making a more important retracement on the
TrendCloud, so after making 1 or 2 trades I would avoid forcing too much by chasing all the signals because it is the most correct approach.
After 3-4 consecutive swings without retracements, I recommend waiting.
When the market has made a major retracement then the swing count can start over and we could enter on the next swing high mark or break.
CONCLUSIONS
As you will have understood, the main approach is Trend is Your Friend, the trend is our main friend in trading and insisting on counter-trend operations is not profitable and sustainable in the long run. Even with LuBot you can do countertrend trades but they are not the ones I recommend so I won't talk about them here.
Last but not least it must be said that the indicator does not repaint, this means that the signals will not disappear over time and the alerts are reliable.
Each of these components has been inserted on the basis of a personal need and on the basis of studies done directly by me in the field. This is the first official release after 3 years of developments.
This indicator is not a strategy, does not show backtest results and does not show Take Profit or Stop Loss levels. The purpose of this indicator is to give everyone an idea of price behavior and to implement a discretionary strategy. Signals are not always a reason to enter and TP and SL levels vary depending on the type of trade, which is why an automated backtest could show different results than you might have.
This indicator is intended to help the trader (beginner or not) to find the trades to make more easily and to allow anyone to follow a strategy. Since this is an indicator for discretionary trading, I don't invite you to follow all the signals, but to reason with all the tools available within it. When there are more elements that match, the chances of success are higher. You have to be patient and avoid getting caught up in haste and emotions. Considering that the market is unpredictable and there can be no certainties about its future movement, I take no responsibility for your use of this indicator.
Round Numbers Breakouts Smart Formula Signals and AlertsThis indicator uses Round Numbers breakouts and then uses smart formula with the near Round Numbers to determine best TP (take profit)/SL (stop loss) areas. Furthermore, it calculates win percentage, shows in-profit/in-loss peaks and the price amount result over a customizable date range, which when combined well with the smart formula provides decent profitable outcome. I have decided to write my own backtesting engine as the integrated TradingView strategy one has limitations and has shown inconsistencies when compared to manual backtesting…
There are many settings you can manually change to trade any instrument, any style, any approach and there are presets included for Bitcoin(BTCUSD), FOREX(EURUSD), SPY(S&P500), so you can start trading immediately! Alerts correspond to indicator settings and are turned on with a few clicks. There are 3 tables (each can be shown/hidden) showing everything you need to see/know to calibrate the indicator as you wish.
Labels, lines, tables explanations (everything can be hidden/shown):
- LONG Labels: medium-green: position open, dark-green: SL, bright-green: TP, blue: TP2
- SHORT Labels: medium-red: position open, dark-red: SL, bright-red: TP, purple: TP2
- Gray circles: position entry area | Yellow crosses: SL area
- Green line: Long TP1, Blue line: Long TP2 | Red Line: Short TP1, Purple line: Short TP2
- Grey lines: Round Numbers (customized via “Round Number up/down measure unit” input)
- Yellow labels at end of each week: end of week OVERALL total results
- Red colored background: power segment
- 3 tables: 1) INFO | STATS, 2) SPY Options Calculator, 3) Indicator Settings
If you decide to fully customize the indicator yourself, on the very top - under “PRESETS” select “MANUAL”! NOTE: If you select any of the pre-set presets, only GLOBAL settings can be changed, the rest of the settings will be “frozen” until you switch it to “MANUAL”!
- Global Settings are self-explanatory and mainly observational, show/hide, etc.
- Manual TP2 (Multi-Take-Profit) Settings:
>>>>> Include TP2 System? Turn on/off multi-profit system, with this unchecked, every trade will either end with SL or with TP1.
>>>>> TP2 System: NEAREST/FORMULA, NEAREST – after TP1 is taken > next TP2 will be a round number price target nearest to where TP1 was taken (sometimes it can be very near, sometimes further away…), FORMULA – 2nd round number price target will be optimally selected based on the distance behind and ahead of TP1 area. For TP2 – FORMULA would be the most logical choice as with multi-take-profit setting turned on – you’d want to ride it out as far as possible.
>>>>> TP1/TP2 division type: 1) Each price target (TP1, TP2) will be ½ of the position 2) TP1 will be 2/3 of the position and TP2 will be the remaining 1/3.
>>>>> TP2 hit type: “close” > candle has to close on top/crossing the price target line, “touch” > once candle touches the price target – you will be immediately alerted to take the partial profit (if you will use such setting – you will need to take the partial profits as soon as you receive the alert.
>>>>> TP1 > Back to Entry hit type: similar to TP2, “close” > candle close, “touch” > candle touch. Please note: this is a very tricky setting as if you use “close” option – your profitable trade may become a loss if a huge candle will close against your position eliminating your TP1 profit, however often the price will touch and cross the entry area to only bounce and continue with your position direction for even bigger profits… so experiment with the date range results to see what works best for your instrument/setting/strategy.
>>>>> TP2 count towards trades count: this can be a bit confusing, but it is simply how should TP2 be treated towards trades count. The indicator will show you Win Percentage and Win % is obtained from winning trades count divided by total trades count. While TP2 is not “a new trade”, it expands the profit of the trade. This is an experimental setting to count TP2 as the whole winning trade, ½ of a trade, or not count it at all.
- Manual Signals/TP1 Settings:
>>>>> TP1/TP2 offset: this one is really cool, with this feature you can hunt these conditions when the price comes very near the profit target area, but never touches it. With this setting turned on and with a good offset amount – you will be able to catch these for TP1 and TP2!
>>>>> TP1/TP2 offset amount: just what the title says, please be careful with this as this number varies significantly depending on the instrument you will be trading. Examples: 1) For SPY 0.1 would be $0.10 offset - if TP1 is $400 and price hits $399.90 > TP1 considered taken/signal shown/alert) | 2) For EURUSD, it is very different and if wrong will show TP1 immediately at position open, typical good offset for EURUSD is: 0.0005 | 3) For BTCUSD, 10 - $10 offset, if TP is $15,000 > $14,990, etc.
>>>>> Round Number up/down measure unit (in dollars $): this one is very important if you will be using “MANUAL” selection to build your own setup as it is very different for every instrument. For SPY, round numbers are single dollars or even half-dollar 50 cent numbers: 1 or 0.5 (350, 351, 352, etc. or 350.50, 351, 351.50, 352, etc.), while for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) a single unit ($1) is too small to be a round number as Bitoin moves much faster and wider every second and it would have to be at least 50 ($50) to make sense. Similar for FOREX (EUR/USD) a single 1 unit ($1) will be too big as EURUSD will never move a whole $1 in 15 minutes or even a day.. and would have to be something like 1.05500. You can easily determine if this number makes sense for your instrument by observing the grey Round Number lines which will correspond based on this setting. You can also visually observer if the price of the instrument appreciates these round numbers.
>>>>> Close Position Before Market Closes: just what the title says. Indicator will close the position 15 minutes before market closes (US session), update backtesting stats, alert you.
>>>>> Close Position Before Power Hour: 3PM – 4PM ET is the last hour of US trading session, where sudden move in any direction can happen with huge volatility, while sometimes nothing will happen at all… Many try to avoid it, so if you wish to avoid it as well - turn this on and it will alert you to close your positions 15 minutes before Power Hour starts, backtesting/stats will be adjusted accordingly.
>>>>> Skip OVERSIZED candles in signals: turn on this setting to skip signals, which happen to fall on big candles. This is basically a protection from huge volatility moves, which usually happen during financial news/events and if you are not a fan of these – you can set this option for indicator to not open anything based on the candle size.
>>>>> Color OVERSIZED candles: this will help you calibrate the size of the OVERSIZED candles if you decide to use this setting and overall visually see them.
>>>>> OVERSIZED candle size: OVERSIZED candle size must be input as it varies significantly. Please note: for each instrument – the size number is completely different, as for SPY: 2 would mean any candle bigger than $2 distance will be considered OVERSIZED, for Bitcoin it would have to be several hundred dollars, like 400-500. For FOREX, this would have to be a decimal, for EURUSD something like 0.0005. It’s best to experiment visually with this setting depending on the instrument you will be trading while setting up the size. To see a typical huge unusual candle – look up financial calendar for something like FOMC meeting, then measure the candle input it into this setting.
>>>>> OVERSIZED candle size calculation type: this is just more flexibility for your preference. If you wish to calculate the size of the candle based on the open/close – select “BODY”, if you wish to use high/low – select “STICKS (from tip to tip)”. Hard to say which one is better, so it is up to you to decide.
>>>>> Include EMA in signal formula: LONG signals will only be shown only if above EMA, SHORT if below EMA. EMA length is of course customizable in below.
>>>>> Skip opposite candle types in signals: signals where the candle color confirms the direction of the trade, but the candle type is opposite (like a green colored bearish hammer for example) will be avoided (such candles can be very uncertain/deceptive).
>>>>> Skip doji: signals where the signal candle is doji (uncertain) will be avoided.
>>>>> TP1 hit type/system: same thing as TP2 hit type/system.
>>>>> SL hit type/system: same as TP1 and TP2 types/systems.
>>>>> Intraday Session Signals Active Time in ET: time range during the day when indicator will show signals (open trades, alert you, etc.). This is specifically for intraday trading. You can turn it off completely by selecting a BLANK option.
>>>>> Intraday TP/SL Active Time in ET: same as above, but for taking profits/stop losses.
*** To add the alerts
-Right-click anywhere on the TradingView chart
-Click on Add alert
-Condition: Select this indicator by it’s name
-Alert name: Whatever you want
-Hit “Create”
-Note: If you change ANY Settings within the indicator – you must DELETE the current alert and create a new one per steps above, otherwise it will continue triggering alerts per old Settings!
If you wish to try this out for a week or so – please write me directly and I will give you access.
CFB-Adaptive Velocity Histogram [Loxx]CFB-Adaptive Velocity Histogram is a velocity indicator with One-More-Moving-Average Adaptive Smoothing of input source value and Jurik's Composite-Fractal-Behavior-Adaptive Price-Trend-Period input with Dynamic Zones. All Juirk smoothing allows for both single and double Jurik smoothing passes. Velocity is adjusted to pips but there is no input value for the user. This indicator is tuned for Forex but can be used on any time series data.
What is Composite Fractal Behavior ( CFB )?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
3 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]CFB-Adaptive, Williams %R w/ Dynamic Zones is a Jurik-Composite-Fractal-Behavior-Adaptive Williams % Range indicator with Dynamic Zones. These additions to the WPR calculation reduce noise and return a signal that is more viable than WPR alone.
What is Williams %R?
Williams %R , also known as the Williams Percent Range, is a type of momentum indicator that moves between 0 and -100 and measures overbought and oversold levels. The Williams %R may be used to find entry and exit points in the market. The indicator is very similar to the Stochastic oscillator and is used in the same way. It was developed by Larry Williams and it compares a stock’s closing price to the high-low range over a specific period, typically 14 days or periods.
What is Composite Fractal Behavior ( CFB )?
All around you mechanisms adjust themselves to their environment. From simple thermostats that react to air temperature to computer chips in modern cars that respond to changes in engine temperature, r.p.m.'s, torque, and throttle position. It was only a matter of time before fast desktop computers applied the mathematics of self-adjustment to systems that trade the financial markets.
Unlike basic systems with fixed formulas, an adaptive system adjusts its own equations. For example, start with a basic channel breakout system that uses the highest closing price of the last N bars as a threshold for detecting breakouts on the up side. An adaptive and improved version of this system would adjust N according to market conditions, such as momentum, price volatility or acceleration.
Since many systems are based directly or indirectly on cycles, another useful measure of market condition is the periodic length of a price chart's dominant cycle, (DC), that cycle with the greatest influence on price action.
The utility of this new DC measure was noted by author Murray Ruggiero in the January '96 issue of Futures Magazine. In it. Mr. Ruggiero used it to adaptive adjust the value of N in a channel breakout system. He then simulated trading 15 years of D-Mark futures in order to compare its performance to a similar system that had a fixed optimal value of N. The adaptive version produced 20% more profit!
This DC index utilized the popular MESA algorithm (a formulation by John Ehlers adapted from Burg's maximum entropy algorithm, MEM). Unfortunately, the DC approach is problematic when the market has no real dominant cycle momentum, because the mathematics will produce a value whether or not one actually exists! Therefore, we developed a proprietary indicator that does not presuppose the presence of market cycles. It's called CFB (Composite Fractal Behavior) and it works well whether or not the market is cyclic.
CFB examines price action for a particular fractal pattern, categorizes them by size, and then outputs a composite fractal size index. This index is smooth, timely and accurate
Essentially, CFB reveals the length of the market's trending action time frame. Long trending activity produces a large CFB index and short choppy action produces a small index value. Investors have found many applications for CFB which involve scaling other existing technical indicators adaptively, on a bar-to-bar basis.
What is Jurik Volty used in the Juirk Filter?
One of the lesser known qualities of Juirk smoothing is that the Jurik smoothing process is adaptive. "Jurik Volty" (a sort of market volatility ) is what makes Jurik smoothing adaptive. The Jurik Volty calculation can be used as both a standalone indicator and to smooth other indicators that you wish to make adaptive.
What is the Jurik Moving Average?
Have you noticed how moving averages add some lag (delay) to your signals? ... especially when price gaps up or down in a big move, and you are waiting for your moving average to catch up? Wait no more! JMA eliminates this problem forever and gives you the best of both worlds: low lag and smooth lines.
Ideally, you would like a filtered signal to be both smooth and lag-free. Lag causes delays in your trades, and increasing lag in your indicators typically result in lower profits. In other words, late comers get what's left on the table after the feast has already begun.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
3 signal variations w/ alerts
Divergences w/ alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Trade & Risk Management Tool (Expo)█ Trade & Risk Management Tool (Expo) is a sophisticated and complete trading tool that helps traders manage their position and risk. This tool makes risk and trade management simple and convenient; literally, anyone can use it. The key feature is its ability to set the stop-loss automatically.
█ The key feature of this tool is that it sets the stop loss automatically depending on the current market characteristics; in other words, it's a stop-loss that adapts dynamically and optimizes to suggest the best possible stop-loss at that time. In addition, the user can set the preferred risk-reward, and the tool will automatically calculate the RR and Take Profit Levels for you. There is also a possibility to add up to 4 take profit levels, all based on your set RR.
The Auto Stop-loss feature comes with even more customization, and the trader can enable a trailing stop and set a custom stop-loss instead of using the default one.
█ The Trade & Risk Management Tool also calculates the current position P&L in points/pips or %. Positions size is automatically calculated based on the account size and % of the capital you want to risk. In addition, we have added Expected Return in % for the active position. This is a feature that experienced traders commonly use. Set the Probability of Gain and the Probability of Loss, and the tool will calculate the expected return based on the SL and TP. The probability of gain/loss can be calculated using historical data or for experienced traders by making an educated guess.
█ Why is this tool needed?
Trade & Risk management is a key concept to grasp and use in your trading, and it's one of the most critical aspects that will determine your long-term success in this industry. The market is uncertain, and it's impossible to know what the future holds. The only way to take control of the unknown is to have a sound risk management system that ensures you don't blow your account in one trade. Therefore all traders need to understand the importance of using a risk- and money management tool that calculates and provides stop-loss and take-profit levels in real-time. This way, you will always know where to take your stop-loss and secure profit.
The position size calculator prevents you from taking too much risk and the predefined stop-loss and take-profit levels help you manage your position. The tool makes sure you maximize the profit potential while minimizing the losses. It also prevents you from taking too much risk.
It all comes down to managing the risk and managing profit. Make sure that you always know how much you can risk at each trade, where to put your stop-loss, and take profit. A general rule is to find a good balance between reward and risk (RR), preferably a risk-reward ratio of 2:1 or 3:1, where your targeted profits are always double that of your maximum losses.
█ This trading tool makes something so important so easy for you, and it's a must-have to succeed in trading for the long term.
█ HOW TO USE
Use the tool to manage your active position.
-----------------
Disclaimer
Copyright by Zeiierman.
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Easy Backtester PROWHAT IS EasyBacktester ?
EasyBacktester is a tool that helps you backtest trading strategies built by yourself with an included strategy builder and a multitude of options.
From within the parameters of the tool, you can specifically pick your entry settings across 12 most common indicators, such as "RSI", "MACD", "Moving Averages" etc... Then you can immediately visualise your setup's Stop-loss & Take Profit, your expected Profits & Loss and a lot of other statistics for your entry strategy. Once you are satisfied with your entry strategy, you are given a set of tools to optimize your setup using stop-loss rules, take profits rules, partial profits, trailing-stops, entry timing...
WHY IS THIS TOOL DIFFERENT ?
EasyBacktester is a backtesting engine with no coding skills required. TradingView allows for "Strategy Scripting" using PineScript, which is not an option for non-coder audience. EasyBacktester fills this gap and allow non-coders to get an idea of how their trading strategies may perform using mouse clicks only.
Some similar attempts have been made on TradingView, allowing some limited options, but none have the same capabilities EasyBacktester offers, for instance, as of April 2022 these features have not been seen in any other TradingView tools:
- partial take profits
- leverage simulation
- a multitude of trailing stop-loss possibilities including trail triggers and trail parameters
- visualisation of entries including stop-loss, take profits, partial take profits, and trailing stops. One can now visualize such complex setups.
- visualisation of Profits & Loss
- time in trade
- wait strategy after a signal: for example, when RSI is oversold, "WAIT until price retraces 100% of the original signal" amongst other possibilities
QUICK START GUIDE:
STEP 1: DEFINE YOUR SIGNAL STRATEGY
From the settings of the tool, find the "SIGNALS STRATEGY" section.
Select a type of entry you wish to simulate, for example "LONGs", and activate the checkbox right before "Simulate".
Right below, you will find 4 signal builder for you to play with and pick your strategy accordingly.
For example, to simulate a signal when RSI is oversold, follow these steps:
- On the 1st multiple choice box, select "RSI"
- On the 2nd multiple choice box, select "is below..."
- On the 3rd multiple choice box, select "OverSold level"
Don't forget to activate this rule by checking the checkbox in front of it.
After this first step, one should immediately see the chart affected with some plots. The dots represents the signal entry defined by the rule we just created, and the red/green boxes visually represent trades that could have been taken with this signal which, in this example, occurs "when RSI is below oversold level". Note that all specific parameters for RSI including its specific "oversold level" is customisable at the end of the tools settings along with all other indicators settings.
STEP 2: STATISTICS
By default, the "APPEARANCE" section only plots potential entry signals (materialized by dots) and actual entry boxes (materialized by red/green boxes).
But the user can easily add other precious statistics to the chart, and obviously the most important one for backtesting: Profits & Loss (P&L).
In the "STATISTICS" section please check the "P&L" box to see appear a chart of the simulated P&L for our example. You should immediately see a new graph below the chart representing the evolution of the P&L after each entry.
Other statistics are available to the user, including: Equity, Number of Trades, Time in Position, Number of trades Won, Number of trades Lost, Number of trades Stopped.
Play around with those to see them plotted on your chart.
STEP 3: OPTIMIZE YOUR ENTRY
Under the "ENTRY STRATEGY" section, one can pick how to enter AFTER the signal, which provides the user with an extensive flexibility to pick its timing.
Here there are a various set of choices offered, ranging from the default "Market Order at Next Candle Open", to "Limit Order: at signal's candle open" or even "Stop-Buy: at break of last candle high". As its name suggests, this option allows you to actually wait before randomly enter in trade.
It is important to also note that the user can totally prevent entry if the conditions are not filled after a customizable number of candles represented in "Max bars to wait for entry" (default being 1, meaning the engine will wait the condition to be filled during only 1 candle)
STEP 4: MANAGE YOUR RISK
Under the "RISK MANAGEMENT" section, the user is given a series of options to set the amount (s)he would like to risk.
This is extremely important to set, and is the result of a combination of customizable options including:
- the Initial Capital of the account
- the amount to risk per trade, and HOW to risk it: some fixed % the initial equity or adjust the stop-loss to the desired risk ?
- use of leverage or not
- initial stop-loss, as well as minimum and maximum
- trailing stop-loss: what should trigger the trailing ? and by how much should the engine trail ?
STEP 5: HAVE AN EXIT PLAN
Under the "EXIT STRATEGY", the user can define how to exit the trade.
For instance, here again a lot of options are given:
- Take Profit: exit at some level of profits defined by a multiple of the stop-loss, or a multiple of the ATR, or some % or points
- Partial Profit taking before exit
- Panic close position after some time spent on the trade
STEP 6: FURTHER OPTIMIZATIONS
Under the sections "Commissions" & "Calendar & Sessions", one can simulate real trading conditions by including commissions fees as well as filtering actual dates and trading sessions. These sections are straightforward for any user to use.
SETP 7: INDICATORS SETTINGS
Since EasyBacktester uses a predefined set of indicators to get started, those indicators are also customizable in the last section of the settings. Here, one can easily customize RSI periodicity, MACD lengths, Moving averages types & lengths, ATR, etc...
STEP 8: GOING FURTHER
This is only a start to give users an overview of how various options affect their trading performance. But of course, each trader has its special recipe and specific detailed setup that is not possible to embed in a single tool. For advanced simulation, EasyBacktester provides plug & play connectors for advanced users. Namely, there are 3 connectors:
- signal connector
- trail trigger connector
- exit connector
Each of these connectors are an opportunity to customize the engine signals, trail trigger and exit choices with the user's own options. This case does require a little bit of coding, but it can easily be implemented by copy-pasting existing resources or with a slight help of a professional. In fact, the only conditions to build a proper connector is to export a plot with the numbers 1 (for signals), 2 (for trigger trails) and 3 (for exits). Here is an example of custom SIGNAL connector compatible with EasyBacktester, to produce a signal when last RSI was below 30 and current RSI reads above 30:
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//@version=5
indicator("My custom RSI signal")
// when previous RSI 14 was below 30 and current RSI 14 is above 30, set "custom_signal" to 1, otherwise set "custom_signal" to 0
custom_signal = ta.rsi(close, 14) < 30 and ta.rsi(close, 14) > 30 ? 1 : 0
// Export a plot of "custom_signal", but do not display it
plot(custom_signal, title="my signal", display=display.none)
============================================================
Once this indicator has been built, the user only needs to connect it with EasyBacktester as follow:
1. Open a desired chart, and add both EasyBacktester indicator as well as the custom "My custom signal" we just created above.
2. Open EasyBacktester's settings, and in the first option, there is "Connect signals source" which by default is set to "close". In the multiple choices, find your custom signal which should be named something like "My custom RSI signal: my signal", generally speaking the name is built like this " : ".
3. Now the custom code is connected to EasyBacktester, but we need to indicate the engine we actually want to use it as custom signal.
4. Under the "SIGNALS STRATEGY" section, where we generally build signals rules, there is special rule for this specific connection named "Use external source as entry signal". Just check the checkbox to activate it and see how the chart took our custom signal into consideration.
That's it for the overview of EasyBacktester. Thank you for reading and happy trading :)
[blackcat] L3 Chip TrendsLevel 3 (Stock ONLY)
Background
Chip theory is an intersting TA for trading. The profit and loss (pnl) ratio represents the ratio of profit-making or loss-making orders in the current market. The larger the profit ratio, the more investors are in a profitable state. Stock chip analysis is a kind of stock technical analysis. Investors can analyze it in combination with other indicators and data.
Function
This is a chip distribution and trend indicator I developed that consists of three different colored histograms. Yellow represents the percentage of floating chips, green represents the percentage of hold-ups, and red represents the percentage of profit. Among them, the more red columns, the more profitable chips, the more green columns, the more trapped chips. At the same time, I used three colored moving averages to represent the trends of these three types of chips for reference. At the same time, a table will appear in the middle of the indicator, indicating the chip ratio value of the latest bar in the form of a percentage.
Key Signal
profit chip percentage and trend--> red color
floating chip percentage and trend --> yellow color
loss chip percentage and trend --> green color
Remarks
This is a Level 3 free and closed source indicator.
NOT applicable for instruments except stocks.
Feedbacks are appreciated.
TT Price/Trend IndicatorThe TT Price/Trend Indicator identifies potential trend changes and advises of safe places to set orders at retracements.
Main Signals:
When a "BUY" signal prints, it is suggested to set a buy order at the Blue trendline and wait until price retraces back.
When a "SELL" signal prints, it is suggested to set a short order at the Blue trendline and wait until price rises up.
Take Profit:
The Reactive Trendline (the thick line that switches from Green to Red, and Red to Green frequently) is good at finding local bottoms.
It is suggested to Take Profit on your Long once you see the first switch from Green to Red. If the Reactive Trendline is already Red when your LONG order is filled, wait until it goes from Red-Green-Red to Take Profit.
It is suggested to Take Profit on your Short once you see the first switch from Red to Green. If the Reactive Trendline is already Green when your SHORT order is filled, wait until it goes from Green-Red-Green to Take Profit.
Stop Loss Suggestions:
If you are LONG (BUY), set your Stop/Loss to slightly below the last Higher Low (HL)
If you are SHORT (SELL), set your Stop/Loss to slightly above the last Lower High (LH)
Alternatively, if you want to maximise your Risk:Reward ratio, you can CLOSE your order once a candle engulfs and closes over both the Blue Line AND the Grey Line. Once these levels are broken and you are underwater, the risk to hold that position is no longer worth it. However, this approach can shake you out of winning trades, so I advise you to use other strategies such as Volume, Fibonnaci and RSI etc to help you make a final decision.
Important: If you are taking this approach, don't panic sell - wait for the close of the current engulfing candle to make this decision, because quite often it will just be a wick up or down in your favour.
What are the best Strategies?
The best timeframes are as follows:
- 1 Hour
- 2 Hour
- 4 Hour
- 1 Day
- 1 Week
My Favourite is 1 Hour.
Scalping for advanced traders:
- 1 minute
- 5 minutes
If you are scalping, it is highly recommended to use the TT Volume Indicator as well, to confirm price with volume (see scripts under my profile). Price on its own will not be good enough.
I also recommend the RSI with a 14 SMA to identify Strength breakouts.
Other Features:
- VWAP (Dotted Red/Green line) - this is common liquidity and can be one of the most important Support/Resistance levels in Crypto, which is why it is included.
Can you FOMO order?
Unless you are using this with a combination of other indicators (such as the TT Volume Indicator), it is not recommended to FOMO orders at the "BUY" or "SELL" signal unless you have a clear volume breakout. Please see this explanation on FOMO ordering for further information:
TradeChartist Actuator™TradeChartist Actuator is an extremely functional indicator that converts the price action volatility and momentum into a meaningful trading system (based on user defined Standard Deviation Factor), that consists of expanding/contracting Volatility Range Bands, Dynamic Trend Support/Resistance Bands and 2 types of Breakout Signals in a visually stunning design. The script also neatly packs in ZigZag & manual/automatic Fibonacci Retracement tools, option to filter the signals using an external filter and other useful extras like ™TradeChartist Dollar Candles and much more.
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™TradeChartist Actuator User Manual
█ Actuator Range Bands
Actuator Range Bands consists of a Mean line, an Upper Band and a Lower Band which are based on user defined Standard Deviation Factor (Default - 1.618, Min - 0.5, Max - 2). The 1.618 factor works extremely well as the unnecessary volatility data of the bands are eliminated by Actuator's logic. In my personal tests, 1.618 works consistently better than any other value in visually showcasing the true volatility range. By eliminating the unnecessary volatility data from the original non-stabilized bands, Actuator helps detect price momentum by detecting two types of breakouts.
Bands Breakout - Filtered
When the price breaks out of the upper or lower band after a trend, there is a strong possibility of a reversal especially when the volatility expansion/contraction takes place. This is detected using a built in filter with the Filtered Bands Breakout and the user can choose to use the closing price or High/Low price as the trigger for breakouts. This trade setup is very useful especially at zones where the Actuator Range Bands contract or squeeze after an expansion as shown in the OANDA:XAUUSD 1hr chart below.
Also, after a consistent expansion of the bands with price trending in the upper channel or the lower channel, users can spot good profit taking or Short trade opportunities with confirmation of overbought price and if possible a strong bear divergence as show in the BINANCE:LUNAUSDTPERP 1hr chart below.
It can be seen from the chart above that even though Actuator is designed to detect Extreme Bands Breakout using High/Low price, it is done with a little bit of filtering by the script logic and hence didn't generate a Bear signal at the lower band support zone.
Mean Breakout - Filtered
In most Mean Reversion models, mostly oscillators, the mean plays an important role in helping traders predict the price dynamic, but it also presents a challenge whether that mean will act as support or resistance so the trader can take a position that will have a high probability of success. Filtered Mean Breakout helps exactly to identify the price dynamic at the mean zone and helps reduce the dilemma. Actuator uses Volatility Trend and Momentum of the price action at mean to determine Bull/Bear breakouts. Following NASDAQ:AAPL 1hr chart shows an example of 2 instances of Filtered Mean Breakout detection, one bull and one bear and further area where no Breakout was detected in spite of price crossing the mean.
This Breakout type is really helpful in spotting early moves and also reduces the high volatility risk of Extreme Bands Breakout in some cases.
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█ External Filter
Actuator breakout signals can be further filtered using the feature of connecting an external signal as a trade filter.
External filter like RSI , MACD etc. can be used to filter breakouts by connecting to ™TradeChartist Actuator under ╔═══ 𝗣𝗹𝘂𝗴 𝗙𝗶𝗹𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 ═══ 🔌 dropdown by enabling 𝐔𝐬𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐅𝐢𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐫.
To get the external filter to work, 𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐲𝐩𝐞 must be set right. For plots that are non oscillatory like Moving Averages, Super Trend etc., choose type as Non Oscillatory and for Oscillators like RSI , CCI , MACD etc., choose type as Oscillatory .
For Oscillators, levels must be specified for 𝐎𝐬𝐜𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥 𝐅𝐢𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 and 𝐎𝐬𝐜𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐅𝐢𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞, especially if the Oscillator doesnt have 0 as midline, like RSI . Even for 0 mid oscillators like CCI , filter levels like 100/-100 work effectively to filter noise.
Use 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥/𝐁𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐁𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐅𝐢𝐥𝐥 under Actuator Visuals section to paint the trade zones background. It helps visually see the effect of filters on the breakout entries and also the trade performance.
The following chart shows the Filter settings with ™TradeChartist Momentum Drift Oscillator connected to Actuator as Oscillatory signal with filter values 0.
The two example charts of 1hr BINANCE:BTCUSDT below shows the difference in Actuator signals based on Oscillatory signal from ™TradeChartist Momentum Drift Oscillator and the difference can be seen from the highlighted Bull/Bear Background Fill.
Without External Filter
With External Filter
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█ Dynamic Trend Support/Resistance Bands
In addition to Volatility Range Bands, Actuator also plots Dynamic Trend Support and Resistance bands that are more sensitive to price action and helps the user determine growing support/resistance which is indicated by coloured dots. These dots normally appear when the Support or Resistance stays at the same level for a few bars and change between Bull and Bear colours based on how the price interacts with them as shown below.
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█ Useful Trade Tools
™TradeChartist Dollar Candles
Dollar Candles help detect the volatility exhaustion prices and plots $ signs to help the trader take profits or move stop loss levels to secure gains. The $ signs do not appear for every trade zone, but whenever price hits a critical level, it shows up above price bar (for Bull trend) or below price bar (for Bear trend) in real time. Users can also set alerts for Dollar Candles with Once Per Bar setting. The Daily NASDAQ:TSLA chart below shows the Dollar Candles on both Bull and Bear trends.
It is important to note that taking pockets of profits on a leveraged trade position or moving up stop loss to maximize trend gains at $ candles will help increase Average Profitability Per Trade (APPT) .
Bull/Bear Background Fill
Bull/Bear Background Fill paints the trade zones in Bull and Bear colours. This helps visualize the difference in trade zones when testing various settings and also helps analyze past performance of Actuator Signals with or without the use of External Filter.
Entry Stop Loss Reference
Reference zone for stop loss has always been a tricky one for traders. Using a fixed percentage stop at entry may not be best during high volatility moves. Over the extensive period of Actuator testing, a simple solution to this problem was found. The previous trend's Range Bands Mean Line served as a perfect reference point for Entry Stop. Also while analysing this Mean line, it was found to be a perfect horizontal support/resistance line and also helped detect unproductive trades. The example 15m chart of NASDAQ:AMD shows how the Entry Stop Loss Reference performed.
Stop Line Touch Points plot orange touch points on the Stop Line whenever the price hits it during the trade.
Actuator Colour Bars
Actuator Colour Bars paints the Momentum Strength on the price bars. This helps visually see the price bars venturing into the Overbought or the Oversold zones. Also, this feature also helps spot divergences as higher highs or lower lows with less intense Bull/Bear colour than the previous high/low shows diminishing momentum as shown in the 1h chart of OANDA:GBPJPY below.
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█ ZigZag & Fibonacci Toolkit
Actuator plots developing and completed ZigZags based on Bull and Bear trend depending on the Breakout Type and Breakout Price from the settings.
Option to enable or disable 𝐙𝐢𝐠𝐙𝐚𝐠 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 which can be helpful for Harmonic traders.
Option to display 𝐙𝐢𝐠𝐙𝐚𝐠 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐬/𝐋𝐨𝐰𝐬 and 𝐑𝐒𝐈 𝐚𝐭 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐬/𝐋𝐨𝐰𝐬 in one of two styles.
Two types of Fibonacci to choose from - 𝐀𝐮𝐭𝐨-𝐅𝐢𝐛𝐬 and 𝐅𝐢𝐛𝐬 𝐛𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐨𝐧 𝐋𝐨𝐨𝐤𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤.
𝐀𝐮𝐭𝐨-𝐅𝐢𝐛𝐬 option plots Auto Fibonacci levels based on Bull/Bear trend depending on user specified Breakout Type and Breakout Price.
𝐅𝐢𝐛𝐬 𝐛𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐨𝐧 𝐋𝐨𝐨𝐤𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤 plots Fibonacci levels based on the highest high and lowest low of the lookback period (𝐃𝐚𝐲𝐬 or 𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐥𝐞𝐬).
Fibonacci levels can be reversed by enabling 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐞 from settings.
Enabling 𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐅𝐢𝐛 𝐋𝐚𝐛𝐞𝐥 displays the current Fib level of the developing price bar.
Option to customize Fib levels and colours.
4hr chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT showing Auto Fibonacci levels, Zig-Zag with Trend High/Lows, Zig-Zag connectors with Fib Ratios and RSI at Trend High/Low prices.
Note:
If momentum doesn't slow down, the fibs can extend beyond 1 and may continue way beyond 4.618 fib level. These are quite rare depending on how distant the near high/low is based.
ZigZag and Fibonacci are good reference indicators and should always be used as confirmations rather than standalone indicators.
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█ Actuator Colour Scheme
Actuator employs 3 built in colour schemes namely Chilli , Flame and Sublime Grayscale and a versatile colour scheme Custom which enables the user to customise the colour combinations of the components of the Actuator script.
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█ Alerts
Alerts can be created for the following.
Actuator Bull Breakout Signal - Once Per Bar Close
Actuator Bear Breakout Signal - Once Per Bar Close
Actuator Long Dollar - Take Profit - Once Per Bar
Actuator Short Dollar - Take Profit - Once Per Bar
Actuator Stop Line Hit - Once Per Bar
Note: The script doesn't repaint, so the alerts can be used with confidence. To check this, users can do bar replays to check if the plots and markers stay in the same place.
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Best Practice: Test with different settings first using Paper Trades before trading with real money
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Intraday FOREX london scalperThis forex System is only for ECN Broker Account.
Pairs: Major with spread < 0.0001 (EUR/USD).
Setup:
Wait for the market to make to 60 minute from the open.
If the market is near the intraday high be prepared to go short
If the market is near an intraday low for the same time period, then be prepared to go long.
Rules for entry
For sell setups: Enter on sell stop 1 pip from low of the last 15 min bar.
For buy setups: Enter in buy stop 1 pip from high of the last 15-minute bars.
Rules for exit
Take profit: Close out positions on 6 pips profit..
Stop Loss: Close out on 5 pips loss or if trade takes more than 1 minute.
Realtime Delta Volume Action [LucF]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays on-chart, realtime, delta volume and delta ticks information for each bar. It aims to provide traders who trade price action on small timeframes with volume and tick information gathered as updates come in the chart's feed. It builds its own candles, which are optimized to display volume delta information. It only works in realtime.
█ WARNING
This script is intended for traders who can already profitably trade discretionary on small timeframes. The high cost in fees and the excitement of trading at small timeframes have ruined many newcomers to trading. While trading at small timeframes can work magic for adrenaline junkies in search of thrills rather than profits, I DO NOT recommend it to most traders. Only seasoned discretionary traders able to factor in the relatively high cost of such a trading practice can ever hope to take money out of markets in that type of environment, and I would venture they account for an infinitesimal percentage of traders. If you are a newcomer to trading, AVOID THIS TOOL AT ALL COSTS — unless you are interested in experimenting with the interpretation of volume delta combined with price action. No tool currently available on TradingView provides this type of close monitoring of volume delta information, but if you are not already trading small timeframes profitably, please do not let yourself become convinced that it is the missing piece you needed. Avoid becoming a sucker who only contributes by providing liquidity to markets.
The information calculated by the indicator cannot be saved on charts, nor can it be recalculated from historical bars.
If you refresh the chart or restart the script, the accumulated information will be lost.
█ FEATURES
Key values
The script displays the following key values:
• Above the bar: ticks delta (DT), the total ticks for the bar, the percentage of total ticks that DT represents (DT%)
• Below the bar: volume delta (DV), the total volume for the bar, the percentage of total volume that DV represents (DV%).
Candles
Candles are composed of four components:
1. A top shaped like this: ┴, and a bottom shaped like this: ┬ (picture a normal Japanese candle without a body outline; the values used are the same).
2. The candle bodies are filled with the bull/bear color representing the polarity of DV. The intensity of the body's color is determined by the DV% value.
When DV% is 100, the intensity of the fill is brightest. This plays well in interpreting the body colors, as the smaller, less significant DV% values will produce less vivid colors.
3. The bright-colored borders of the candle bodies occur on "strong bars", i.e., bars meeting the criteria selected in the script's inputs, which you can configure.
4. The POC line is a small horizontal line that appears to the left of the candle. It is the volume-weighted average of all price updates during the bar.
Calculations
This script monitors each realtime update of the chart's feed. It first determines if price has moved up or down since the last update. The polarity of the price change, in turn, determines the polarity of the volume and tick for that specific update. If price does not move between consecutive updates, then the last known polarity is used. Using this method, we can calculate a running volume delta and ticks delta for the bar, which becomes the bar's final delta values when the bar closes (you can inspect values of elapsed realtime bars in the Data Window or the indicator's values). Note that these values will all reset if the script re-executes because of a change in inputs or a chart refresh.
While this method of calculating is not perfect, it is by far the most precise way of calculating volume delta available on TradingView at the moment. Calculating more precise results would require scripts to have access to tick data from any chart timeframe. Charts at seconds timeframes do use exchange/broker ticks when the feeds you are using allow for it, and this indicator will run on them, but tick data is not yet available from higher timeframes. Also, note that the method used in this script is far superior to the intrabar inspection technique used on historical bars in my other "Delta Volume" indicators. This is because volume and ticks delta here are calculated from many more realtime updates than the available intrabars in history. Unfortunately, the calculation method used here cannot be used on historical bars, where intrabar inspection remains, in my opinion, the optimal method.
Inputs
The script's inputs provide many ways to personalize all the components: what is displayed, the colors used to display the information, and the marker conditions. Tooltips provide details for many of the inputs; I leave their exploration to you.
Markers
Markers provide a way for you to identify the points of interest of your choice on the chart. You control the set of conditions that trigger each of the five available markers.
You select conditions by entering, in the field for each marker, the number of each condition you want to include, separated by a comma. The conditions are:
1 — The bar's polarity is up/dn.
2 — `close` rises/falls ("rises" means it is higher than its value on the previous bar).
3 — DV's polarity is +/–.
4 — DV% rises (↕).
5 — POC rises/falls.
6 — The quantity of realtime updates rises (↕).
7 — DV > limit (You specify the limit in the inputs. Since DV can be +/–, DV– must be less than `–limit` for a short marker).
8 — DV% > limit (↕).
9 — DV+ rises for a long marker, DV– falls for a short.
10 — Consecutive DV+/DV– on two bars.
11 — Total volume rises (↕).
12 — DT's polarity is +/–.
13 — DT% rises (↕).
14 — DT+ rises for a long marker, DT– falls for a short.
Conditions showing the (↕) symbol do not have symmetrical states; they act more like filters. If you only include condition 4 in a marker's setup, for example, both long and short markers will trigger on bars where DV% rises. To trigger only long or short markers, you must add a condition providing directional differentiation, such as conditions 1 or 2. Accordingly, you would enter "1,4" or "2,4".
For a marker to trigger, ALL the conditions you specified for it must be met. Long markers appear on the chart as "Mx▲" signs under the values displayed below candles. Short markers display "Mx▼" over the number of updates displayed above candles. The marker's number will replace the "x" in "Mx▲". The script loads with five markers that will not trigger because no conditions are associated with them. To activate markers, you will need to select and enter the set of conditions you require for each one.
Alerts
You can configure alerts on this script. They will trigger whenever one of the configured markers triggers. Alerts do not repaint, so they trigger at the bar's close—which is also when the markers will appear.
█ HOW TO USE IT
As a rule, I do not prescribe expected use of my indicators, as traders have proved to be much more creative than me in using them. Additionally, I tend to think that if you expect detailed recommendations from me to be able to use my indicators, it's a sign you are in a precarious situation and should go back to the drawing board and master the necessary basics that will allow you to explore and decide for yourself if my indicators can be useful to you, and how you will use them. I will make an exception for this thing, as it presents fairly novel information. I will use simple logic to surmise potential uses, as contrary to most of my other indicators, I have NOT used this one to actually trade. Markets have a way of throwing wrenches in our seemingly bullet-proof rationalizing, so drive cautiously and please forgive me if the pointers I share here don't pan out.
The first thing to do is to disable your normal bars. You can do this by clicking on the eye icon that appears when you hover over the symbol's name in the upper-left corner of your chart.
The absolute value and polarity of DV mean little without perspective; that's why I include both total volume for the bar and the percentage that DV represents of that total volume. I interpret a low DV% value as indecision. If you share that opinion, you could, let's say, configure one of the markers on "DV% > 80%", for example (to do so you would enter "8" in the condition field of any marker, and "80" in the limit field for condition 8, below the marker conditions).
I also like to analyze price action on the bar with DV%. Small DV% values should often produce small candle bodies. If a small DV% value occurs on a bar with much movement and high volume, I'm thinking "tough battle with potential explosive power when one side wins". Conversely, large bodies with high DV% mean that large volume is breaching through multiple levels, or that nobody is suddenly willing to take the other side of a normal volume of trades.
I find the POC lines really interesting. First, they tell us the price point where the most significant action (taking into account both price occurrences AND volume) during the bar occurred. Second, they can be useful when compared against past values. Third, their color helps us in figuring out which ones are the most significant. Unsurprisingly, bunches of orange POCs tend to appear in consolidation zones, in pauses, and before reversals. It may be useful to often focus more on POC progression than on `close` values. This is not to say that OHLC values are not useful; looking, as is customary, for higher highs or lower lows, or for repeated tests of precise levels can of course still be useful. I do like how POCs add another dimension to chart readings.
What should you do with the ticks delta above bars? Old-time ticker tape readers paid attention to the sounds coming from it (the "ticker" moniker actually comes from the sound they made). They knew activity was picking up when the frequency of the "ticks" increased. My thinking is that the total number of ticks will help you in the same way, since increasing updates usually mean growing interest—and thus perhaps price movement, as increasing volatility or volume would lead us to surmise. Ticks delta can help you figure out when proportionally large, random orders come in from traders with other perspectives than the short-term price action you are typically working with when you use this tool. Just as volume delta, ticks delta are one more informational component that can help you confirm convergence when building your opinions on price action.
What are strong bars? They are an attempt to identify significance. They are like a default marker, except that instead of displaying "Mx▲/▼" below/above the bar, the candle's body is outlined in bright bull/bear color when one is detected. Strong bars require a respectable amount of conditions to be met (you can see and re-configure them in the inputs). Think of them as pushes rather than indications of an upcoming, strong and multi-bar move. Pushes do, for sure, often occur at the beginning of strong trends. You will often see a few strong bars occur at 2-3 bar intervals at the beginning or middle of trends. But they also tend to occur at tops/bottoms, which makes their interpretation problematic. Another pattern that you will see quite frequently is a final strong bar in the direction of the trend, followed a few bars later by another strong bar in the reverse direction. My summary analyses seemed to indicate these were perhaps good points where one could make a bet on an early, risky reversal entry.
The last piece of information displayed by the indicator is the color of the candle bodies. Three possible colors are used. Bull/bear is determined by the polarity of DV, but only when the bar's polarity matches that of DV. When it doesn't, the color is the divergence color (orange, by default). Whichever color is used for the body, its intensity is determined by the DV% value. Maximum intensity occurs when DV%=100, so the more significant DV% values generate more noticeable colors. Body colors can be useful when looking to confirm the convergence of other components. The visual effect this creates hopefully makes it easier to detect patterns on the chart.
One obvious methodology that comes to mind to trade with this tool would be to use another indicator like Technical Ratings at a higher timeframe to identify the larger context's trend, and then use this tool to identify entries for short-term trades in that direction.
█ NOTES AND RAMBLINGS
Instant Calculations
This indicator uses instant values calculated on the bar only. No moving averages or calculations involving historical periods are used. The only exception to this rule is in some of the marker conditions like "Two consecutive DV+ values", where information from the previous bar is used.
Trading Small vs Long Timeframes
I never trade discretionary at the 5sec–5min timeframes this indicator was designed to be used with; I trade discretionary at 1D, 1W and 1M timeframes, and let systems trade at smaller timeframes. The higher the timeframe you trade at, the fewer fees you will pay because you trade less and are not churning trading volume, as is inevitable at smaller timeframes. Trading at higher timeframes is also a good way to gain an instant edge on most of the trading crowd that has its nose to the ground and often tends to forget the big picture. It also makes for a much less demanding trading practice, where you have lots of time to research and build your long-term opinions on potential future outcomes. While the future is always uncertain, I believe trades riding on long-term trends have stronger underlying support from the reality outside markets.
To traders who will ask why I publish an indicator designed for small timeframes, let me say that my main purpose here is to showcase what can be done with Pine. I often see comments by coders who are obviously not aware of what Pine is capable of in 2021. Since its humble beginnings seven years ago, Pine has grown and become a serious programming language. TradingView's growing popularity and its ongoing commitment to keep Pine accessible to newcomers to programming is gradually making Pine more and more of a standard in indicator and strategy programming. The technical barriers to entry for traders interested in owning their trading practice by developing their personal tools to trade have never been so low. I am also publishing this script because I value volume delta information, and I present here what I think is an original way of analyzing it.
Performance
The script puts a heavy load on the Pine runtime and the charting engine. After running the script for a while, you will often notice your chart becoming less responsive, and your chart tab can take longer to activate when you go back to it after using other tabs. That is the reason I encourage you to set the number of historical values displayed on bars to the minimum that meets your needs. When your chart becomes less responsive because the script has been running on it for many hours, refreshing the browser tab will restart everything and bring the chart's speed back up. You will then lose the information displayed on elapsed bars.
Neutral Volume
This script represents a departure from the way I have previously calculated volume delta in my scripts. I used the notion of "neutral volume" when inspecting intrabar timeframes, for bars where price did not move. No longer. While this had little impact when using intrabar inspection because the minimum usable timeframe was 1min (where bars with zero movement are relatively infrequent), a more precise way was required to handle realtime updates, where multiple consecutive prices often have the same value. This will usually happen whenever orders are unable to move across the bid/ask levels, either because of slow action or because a large-volume bid/ask level is taking time to breach. In either case, the proper way to calculate the polarity of volume delta for those updates is to use the last known polarity, which is how I calculate now.
The Order Book
Without access to the order book's levels (the depth of market), we are limited to analyzing transactions that come in the TradingView feed for the chart. That does not mean the volume delta information calculated this way is irrelevant; on the contrary, much of the information calculated here is not available in trading consoles supplied by exchanges/brokers. Yet it's important to realize that without access to the order book, you are forfeiting the valuable information that can be gleaned from it. The order book's levels are always in movement, of course, and some of the information they contain is mere posturing, i.e., attempts to influence the behavior of other players in the market by traders/systems who will often remove their orders when price comes near their order levels. Nonetheless, the order book is an essential tool for serious traders operating at intraday timeframes. It can be used to time entries/exits, to explain the causes of particular price movements, to determine optimal stop levels, to get to know the traders/systems you are betting against (they tend to exhibit behavioral patterns only recognizable through the order book), etc. This tool in no way makes the order book less useful; I encourage all intraday traders to become familiar with it and avoid trading without one.
BitcoinNinjas NINJASIGNALS V4 (Script)BitcoinNinjas NINJASIGNALS V4 (Script)
(for Cryptocurrencies, Forex, GunBot, ProfitTrailer, Autoview, CryptoHopper, manual or automated trading, and more)
This is version 4 of our Ninja Signals trading script, with accompanying backtesting strategy.
BitcoinNinjas NINJASIGNALS V4 (Strategy)
•Allows users to easily set automated buy/long and sell/short alerts on TradingView for use with automatic and manual trading of cryptocurrencies, Forex securities, and more (alerts are compatible with automatic trading software such as GunBot, ProfitTrailer, Autoview, CryptoHopper, and more).
•Synthesizes many powerful indicators [e.g., Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic RSI, Money Flow Index (MFI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), etc.) into one powerful script to generate very precise buy and sell signals in virtually all market conditions.
•Features user-defined adjustable calibration settings, allowing traders to customize the script to fit any currency / security on any exchange available through TradingView.com, simply by adjusting settings.
•Buy/Long arrows, Sell/Short arrows, & EMA trendline can be customized or hidden, if desired.
•Complete with backtesting strategy version of script which allows users to test various trading strategies based on the alerts the script generates (see information and screenshots below).
•Backtesting strategy features a user-defined adjustable date range, so traders can estimate performance of the script over specific periods of time, such as the last week, month, or year.
•Script and backtesting strategy feature many user-adjustable settings including stop loss and take profit alerts, an ‘only sell for profit’ option (Gunbot-specific), many different buy and sell filters, and more. Simply adjust the script settings and the backtesting results will automatically refresh.
•Backtesting strategy allows for pyramid buying to test various average down / dollar cost average trading strategies. Simply adjust the number of pyramid buys and the quantity of each buy.
•Fully compatible with margin and futures trading for any currency / security on TradingView.com.
DISCLAIMER: By using our BitcoinNinjas ‘Ninja Signals’ planning script, you agree to the BitcoinNinjas 'Terms of Use'. No sharing, copying, reselling, modifying, or any other forms of use are authorized for our documents, script / strategy, and the information published with them. This informational planning script / strategy is strictly for individual use and educational purposes only. This is not financial or investment advice. Investments are always made at your own risk and are based on your personal judgement. BitcoinNinjas is not responsible for any losses you may incur. Please invest wisely.
[astropark] Volume AnalyzerDear Followers,
today another awesome Analysis Tool, that you can use for day scalping: Volume Analyzer !
This indicator
works on every market, pair and timeframe
lets you see analysis of a different timeframes using the resolution parameter
has an optional trend colored background (I suggest to disable it if you use a different resolution)
integrates a tape profit strategy based on RSI (you can config it and enable/disable it)
lets you setup alarms on bull/bear signal as well as on TP RSI-based signals
I prefer to use this indicator in my day trading on low timeframes , like 5m - 15m - 1h, as you can have access to a more detailed volume information, but it works on high timeframes too as you can see in examples at the bottom of the description.
I truly think that Volume says a lot about future price action, as stated in my Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator, which you can find here below:
In this indicator, I'm much more interested in the bullish or bearish effect of volume generated by traders and following price action.
Be sure to understand that at current status this is not a complete automated strategy, but an analysis tool which aims to give you a positive bias, a profitable hedge in your trading journey.
As I always say, all tools are great if you use them correctly: this is not the "Holy Grail", so always use proper money and risk management strategies.
This indicator quite often calls bottoms and tops , most of the times it announces a coming reversals , sometimes it fails too of course.
Check this screenshot to have a clear idea of what I'm talking about:
You are supposed to discard signals of the same type that comes later and at a worse price (related to the trend) or you can use to re-fill your still-open position, using it as a re-entry.
You are supposed to act at first signals and average up/down if price goes against you when a new bear/bull signal appears at a better price.
Here it is another element you must consider: price action can deny a reversal stated by volume analysis .
In these cases, you must apply a stop loss in your trade and reverse your position. Don't average up/down your entry.
The reason in this screenshot below:
As you can see, the local downtrend was broken, as it was a simple pullback, previous bull trend was restored and price went up a lot!
The indicator here detected bears rejecting the run-up as much violently as they could, but that was a pullback, nothing more than that: main bull trend was still intact.
Another important advice: don't be greedy, always remember to take profits ! Avoid turning a winning trade into a losing one, which is a common mistake traders do.
That's why I decided to include an RSI based Take Profit algorithm inside:
when background is colored by green (and you can't see any bull signal), then you are in over bought region: start taking profits on you buy/long position or close it or set a trailing stop or a stop loss in profit!
when background is colored by red (and you can't see any bear signal), then you are in over sold region: start taking profits on you sell/short position or close it or set a trailing stop or a stop loss in profit!
when price is in a big overbought or oversold region, then you can see a "ob" label or a "os" label respectively
if you are in a bullish trend (you can see it from the trend colored green background as last signal was a "bull" one), "ob" becomes a clear "tp" - Take Profit advice
if you are in a bearish trend (you can see it from the trend colored red background as last signal was a "bear" one), "os" becomes a clear "tp" - Take Profit advice
Here some examples how you can use the signals produced by the indicator in order to be a successful trader.
I circled with pink signals you as supposed to take, then with a "$" pink backgrounded region where you are supposed to take profits, I finally put an X on failing signals, where you would theoretically have been stopped-out.
GBPUSD, 15m
ETHUSD, 1h
TSLA, 5m
BTCUSD, 15m
XAGUSD, 1h
EURUSD, 15m
SPX500, 1h
ETHUSD, 1D
ETHBTC, 6h
This is a premium indicator , so send me a private message in order to get access to this script.
Machine Learning / Longs [Experimental]Hello Traders/Programmers,
For long time I thought that if it's possible to make a script that has own memory and criterias in Pine. it would learn and find patterns as images according to given criterias. after we have arrays of strings, lines, labels I tried and made this experimental script. The script works only for Long positions.
Now lets look at how it works:
On each candle it creates an image of last 8 candles. before the image is created it finds highest/lowest levels of 8 candles, and creates a string with the lengths 64 (8 * 8). and for each square, it checks if it contains wick, green or red body, green or red body with wicks. see the following picture:
Each square gets the value:
0: nothing in it
1: only wick in it
2: only red body in it
3. only green body in it
4: red body and wick in it
5: green body and wick in it
And then it checks if price went up equal or higher than user-defined profit. if yes then it adds the image to the memory/array. and I call this part as Learning Part.
what I mean by image is:
if there is 1 or more element in the memory, it creates image for current 8 candles and checks the memory if there is a similar images. If the image has similarity higher than user-defined similarty level then if show the label "Matched" and similarity rate and the image in the memory. if it find any with the similarity rate is equal/greater than user-defined level then it stop searching more.
As an example matched image:
and then price increased and you got the profit :)
Options:
Period: if there is possible profit higher than user-defined minimum profit in that period, it checks the images from 2. to X. bars.
Min Profit: you need to set the minimum expected profit accordingly. for example in 1m chart don't enter %10 as min profit :)
Similarity Rate: as told above, you can set minimum similarity rate, higher similarity rate means better results but if you set higher rates, number of images will decrease. set it wisely :)
Max Memory Size: you can set number of images (that gives the profit equal/higher than you set) to be saved that in memory
Change Bar Color: optionally it can change bar colors if current image is found in the memory
Current version of the script doesn't check if the price reach the minimum profit target, so no statistics.
This is completely experimental work and I made it for fun. No one or no script can predict the future. and you should not try to predict the future.
P.S. it starts searching on last bar, it doesn't check historical bars. if you want you should check it in replay mode :)
if you get calculation time out error then hide/unhide the script. ;)
Enjoy!
Fibonacci-Trading-Indikator_3Daily (weekly, monthly) profits with the Fibonacci trading indicator_3
Quotes move in Fibonacci ratios in liquid markets. With this indicator you receive information for daily trades or for position trades based on a week or on a monthly basis, in which area you should ideally enter the market and where the minimum achievable price target is. This price target is 61.8% of yesterday's trading range, or the trading range of the previous week, or the trading range of the previous month, depending on the time frame for which the indicator should calculate the minimum achievable high / low. This is also where you realize your profit.
For this calculation, the following entries must be made in the properties window of the indicator:
• Preselection uptrend / downtrend.
• Time frame (day, week, ...) of the price bar for the possible high / low to be determined.
• Trading range of the previous day, or the previous week, or the previous month.
• Current lowest low of the selected time frame when trading has started and prices are rising.
• Current highest high of the selected time frame when trading has started and prices are falling.
Important areas for trading are:
• The entry range 0% - 23.6% for long or short.
• The target price level 61.8%.
Choose a suitable time frame to detect the direction of movement while the quotes are still moving in the entry area. The camelback indicator can be of great help. Also test the resolution setting of the camelback indicator. With a resolution of 1 hour in the 6 or 12 minute chart, you get a perspective for the broader direction. Movement patterns of corrections or consolidations, if they last more than a day or a week, also give clues to the coming direction of movement for the trade. So look back to see what happened yesterday, a week ago, or a month ago. Pay attention to the market anatomy, find out how the market works, count the price bars in consolidations and trends.
After entering the values the indicator will show the Fibonacci expansion price levels for the possible high or low for the selected time frame. Buy / sell within the entry range between 0% and 23.6% as the market moves towards the last long / or short entry point. This is the course range up to the 23.6% course level. The 61.8% price level is the minimum expected price target. We assume that the current bar will reach at least 61.8% of the trading range of the previous day, week or month. Depending on the set time frame. You should therefore realize the profits you have made with 50% of the position when the prices have reached the 61.8% level. With a suitable trailing stop you can be stopped with the rest of the position, but do not risk more than 50% of the profits.
With the quarter or year preselection and the corresponding entries, the minimum expected quarterly high / quarterly low or annual high / annual low can be determined.
The Fibonacci price levels can be shown and hidden. In the chart click on the gear wheel for “Chart Settings”. In the “Scaling” menu, the price levels can be displayed with the preselection “Label for indicator names” and “Label for last indicator value”. Slide the chart to the right to find possible support and resistance at the price levels that could provide confirmation of the target.
In the event of input errors or missing entries for a time frame, the indicator is hidden.
Pay attention to your trade management to avoid losses.
The new Fibonacci Trading Indicator_3 has the following additions and changes:
Area code for the quarter time frame has been added.
The entry area received a 23.6% and a 50% subdivision. Two envelope lines above the 23.6% entry level in the case of an upward trend and below the 23.6% entry level in the case of a downtrend, with a width of 23.6% and 14.6% of the entry level, are intended to indicate that the closing price is higher the quotations have broken out of the entry-level area.
A volatility stop for upward and downward trends can be activated.
A factor is added to the fluctuation range of each price bar for the stop. Then a moving average is calculated with an adjustable period. The period setting should be set between 5 and 10. The result can be smoothed adjustable.
Presetting:
Periods = 10
Factor = 1.4
Smoothing = 7
With the assumption that the market entry in an upward trend occurs when the prices break out above a bar high, the result of the stop calculation is subtracted from the bar high. In the case of a downward trend, the result of the stop calculation is added to the price bar low.
When entering the market, set the factor to 2.4. If inside bars follow a trend movement, the stop should be brought closer. Try the factor setting 0.4 or less. The smallest adjustable factor is 0.1.
For the entry into an established trend, as described in an idea contribution by me, there are two switchable moving averages. The application for the (MA_H) takes place on high and for the (MA_L) adjustable on high, low, shot, h + 1/2 etc. Period and offset (shift) are adjustable. With this idea, the entry into the market occurs between a 618% correction (the Fibonacci entry point) and the DEP (average entry point). The DEP in this case is the MA_H with period = 4 and an offset = 1 in the case of a downward trend, or the MA_L with the same setting and application to lows in an upward trend.
Also test the MA_L in trends with the settings (period, offset) 3.3 or 5, 3 or 7.5 and applying it to closing prices for a close encompassing of the highs / lows.
Tägliche (wöchentliche, monatliche) Gewinne mit dem Fibonacci-Trading Indikator_3
Kursnotierungen bewegen sich in liquiden Märkten in Fibonacci-Verhältnisse. Mit diesem Indikator erhalten Sie für Tagesgeschäfte, oder für Positionstrades auf Basis einer Woche, oder auf Basis eines Monats Informationen, in welchem Bereich Sie idealerweise in den Markt einsteigen sollten und wo das mindeste erreichbare Kursziel liegt. Dieses Kursziel liegt bei 61,8% der gestrigen Handelspanne, oder der Handelspanne der Vorwoche, oder der Handelspanne des Vormonats, also abhängig davon für welchen Zeitrahmen der Indikator das mindeste erreichbare Hoch/Tief berechnen soll. Dort realisieren Sie auch Ihren Gewinn.
Für diese Berechnung sind folgende Eingaben im Eigenschaftenfenster des Indikators einzustellen:
• Vorwahl Aufwärtstrend/ Abwärtstrend.
• Zeitrahmen (Tag, Woche, …) des Kursbalkens für das zu ermittelnde mögliche Hoch/ Tief.
• Handelspanne des vorherigen Tages, oder der vorherigen Woche, oder des vorherigen Monats.
• Aktuell tiefstes Tief des vorgewählten Zeitrahmens, wenn der Handel begonnen hat und die Notierungen steigen.
• Aktuell höchstes Hoch des vorgewählten Zeitrahmens, wenn der Handel begonnen hat und die Notierungen fallen.
Wichtige Bereiche für das Trading sind:
• Der Einstiegsbereich 0% - 23,6% für long oder short.
• Der Kursziellevel 61,8%.
Wählen Sie für die Erkennung der Bewegungsrichtung einen geeigneten Zeitrahmen, während sich die Notierungen noch im Einstiegsbereich bewegen. Der Camelback-Indikator kann eine gute Hilfe sein. Testen Sie auch die Auflösung-Einstellung des Camelback-Indikators. Mit der Auflösung 1 Stunde Im 6- oder 12 Minuten-Chart erhalten Sie einen Blickwinkel für die große Richtung. Auch Bewegungsmuster von Korrekturen oder Konsolidierungen, wenn sie mehr als einen Tag oder eine Woche andauern geben Hinweise auf die kommende Bewegungsrichtung für den Trade. Schauen Sie also zurück um zu prüfen, was sich gestern, vor einer Woche oder vor einem Monat abgespielt hat. Achten sie auf die Marktanatomie, finden Sie heraus wie der Markt funktioniert, zählen Sie Kursstäbe in Konsolidierungen und Trends.
Nach Eingabe der Werte zeigt der Indikator die Fibonacci-Ausweitungskurslevels für das mögliche Hoch oder Tief für den ausgewählten Zeitrahmen. Kaufen/ verkaufen Sie innerhalb des Einstiegsbereichs zwischen 0% und 23,6%, während sich der Markt in Richtung des letzten long-/ oder short-Einstiegspunktes bewegt. Das ist der Kursbereich bis zum 23,6%- Kurslevel. Der 61,8%-Kurslevel ist das mindeste erwartbare Kursziel. Wir gehen davon aus, dass der aktuelle Kursbalken mindestens 61,8% der Handelsspanne des vorherigen Tages, der vorherigen Woche oder des vorherigen Monats erreichen wird. Abhängig vom eingestellten Zeitrahmen. Realisieren Sie deshalb die angelaufenen Gewinne mit 50% der Position, wenn die Notierungen den 61,8% - Level erreicht haben. Mit einem geeigneten Trailing-Stopp lassen Sie sich mit der restlichen Position ausstoppen, riskieren Sie dafür aber nicht mehr als 50 % der angelaufenen Gewinne.
Mit der Vorwahl Quartal oder Jahr und den entsprechenden Eingaben kann auch das mindeste erwartbare Quartalshoch/ Quartalstief bzw. Jahreshoch/ Jahrestief ermittelt werden.
Die Fibonacci-Kurslevels lassen sich ein- und ausblenden. Klicken Sie im Chart auf das Zahnrad für „Chart Einstellungen“. Im Menü „Skalierungen“ kann mit der Vorwahl „Label für Indikatornahmen“ und „Label für letzten Indikatorwert“ die Kurslevels angezeigt werden. Schieben Sie den Chart nach rechts um mögliche Unterstützungen und Widerstände an den Kurslevels zu finden, die Bestätigung für das Ziel geben könnten.
Bei Eingabefehlern oder fehlenden Eingaben zu einem Zeitrahmen wird der Indikator ausgeblendet.
Achten Sie zur Vermeidung von Verlusten auf ihr Handelsmanagement.
Der neue Fibonacci-Trading-Indikator_3 besitz folgende Zusätze und Änderungen:
Vorwahl für den Zeitrahmen Quartal wurde hinzugefügt.
Der Einstiegsbereich erhielt eine 23,6% und eine 50% Unterteilung. Zwei Umschlagslinien über dem 23,6%-Einstiegslevel bei einem Aufwärtstrend, bzw. unter dem 23,6%-Einstiegslevel bei einem Abwärtstrend, mit der Breite 23,6% und 14,6% vom Einstiegsbereich, sollen bei höherem Schlusskurs signalisieren, dass die Notierungen aus dem Einstiegsbereich ausgebrochen sind.
Ein Volatilitätsstopp jeweils für Aufwärts- und Abwärtstrend kann zugeschaltet werden.
Für den Stopp wird die Schwankungsbreite jedes Kursbalkens wird mit einem Faktor beaufschlagt. Danach erfolgt die Berechnung eines gleitenden Durchschnitts mit einstellbarer Periode. Die Periodeneinstellung sollte zwischen 5 und 10 eingestellt werden. Das Ergebnis kann einstellbar geglättet werden.
Voreinstellung:
Perioden = 10
Faktor = 1,4
Glättung = 7
Mit der Annahme, dass der Markteinstieg in einem Aufwärtstrend bei Ausbruch der Notierungen über ein Kursbalkenhoch erfolgt, wird das Ergebnis der Stoppberechnung vom Kursbalkenhoch subtrahiert. Bei einem Abwärtstrend wird das Ergebnis der Stoppberechnung zum Kursbalkentief addiert.
Stellen Sie bei Markteintritt den Faktor auf 2,4. Folgen nach einer Trendbewegung Innenstäbe sollte der Stopp näher herangeführt werden. Probieren Sie die Faktoreinstellung 0,4 oder kleiner. Der kleinste einstellbare Faktor ist 0,1.
Für den Einstieg in einen etablierten Trend, wie in einem Ideenbeitrag von mir beschrieben, gibt es zwei zuschaltbare gleitende Durchschnitte. Die Anwendung für den (MA_H) erfolgt auf Hochs und für den (MA_L) einstellbar auf Hoch, Tief, Schuss, h+l/2 usw.. Periode und Offset (Verschiebung) sind einstellbar. Bei dieser Idee erfolgt der Einstieg in den Markt zwischen einer 618%-Korrektur (dem Fibonacci-Einstiegspunkt) und dem DEP (Durchschnittlicher Einstiegspunkt). Der DEP ist in diesem Fall der MA_H mit Periode = 4 und einem Offset = 1, bei einem Abwärtstrend, oder der MA_L mit identischer Einstellung und Anwendung auf Tiefs in einem Aufwärtstrend.
Testen Sie den MA_L auch in Trends mit den Einstellungen (Periode, Offset) 3,3 oder 5, 3 oder 7,5 und Anwendung auf Schlusskurse für eine enge Umfassung der Hochs/ Tiefs.
[NLX-L2] QQE++- NLX Modular Trading Framework -
I've written this QQE Indicator from scratch and the functionality is self-explaining.
The Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) indicator is computed based on a combination of smoothed RSI and the average true range.
- Getting Started -
1. Add this QQE Indicator to your Chart
2. Add the Backtest module to your Chart
3. Select the QQE Indicator in the Backtest Settings
- Alerts for Automated Trading -
This module is coming soon and you will be able to create alerts for the QQE Signals as part of my framework.
See my signature below for more information.
- Note -
The high win-rate in the backtest is the result of taking partial take-profits in between trade entry and exit.
Don't be fooled, it's impossible to achieve 80% profitable trades but due to take-profit orders 80% of the trades at least secure some profit.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
