MCD - Meme Coin Dominance [Da_Prof]I took the meme coins in the top 100 according to CoinMarketCap and added their market caps together and divided by TOTAL. Ultimately, I see Tradingview doing a much better job once they create a dedicated symbol for this, but in the interim, I thought this might help all you degens.
Enjoy.
Da_Prof
Sentiment
Volume StatsDescription:
Volume Stats displays volume data and statistics for every day of the year, and is designed to work on "1D" timeframe. The data is displayed in a table with columns being months of the year, and rows being days of each month. By default, latest data is displayed, but you have an option to switch to data of the previous year as well.
The statistics displayed for each day is:
- volume
- % of total yearly volume
- % of total monthly volume
The statistics displayed for each column (month) is:
- monthly volume
- % of total yearly volume
- sentiment (was there more bullish or bearish volume?)
- min volume (on which day of the month was the min volume)
- max volume (on which day of the month was the max volume)
The cells change their colors depending on whether the volume is bullish or bearish, and what % of total volume the current cell has (either yearly or monthly). The header cells also change their color (based either on sentiment or what % of yearly volume the current month has).
This is the first (and free) version of the indicator, and I'm planning to create a "PRO" version of this indicator in future.
Parameters:
- Timezone
- Cell data -> which data to display in the cells (no data, volume or percentage)
- Highlight min and max volume -> if checked, cells with min and max volume (either monthly or yearly) will be highlighted with a dot or letter (depending on the "Cell data" input)
- Cell stats mode -> which data to use for color and % calculation (All data = yearly, Column = monthly)
- Display data from previous year -> if checked, the data from previous year will be used
- Header color is calculated from -> either sentiment or % of the yearly volume
- Reverse theme -> the table colors are automatically changed based on the "Dark mode" of Tradingview, this checkbox reverses the logic (so that darker colors will be used when "Dark mode" is off, and lighter colors when it's on)
- Hide logo -> hides the cat logo (PLEASE DO NOT HIDE THE CAT)
Conclusion:
Let me know what you think of the indicator. As I said, I'm planning to make a PRO version with more features, for which I already have some ideas, but if you have any suggestions, please let me know.
Multi-Currency Economic IndicatorCreating a Multi-Currency Economic Indicator that incorporates data for USD, JPY, AUD, GBP, CHF, NZD, and CAD will provide valuable insights into the economic health of these currencies. By plotting key economic indicators such as interest rates and allowing for customization, users can effectively analyze and make informed decisions.
If you have any further modifications or specific features you would like to add, feel free to let me know!
Trend Levels [ChartPrime]The Trend Levels indicator is designed to identify key trend levels (High, Mid, and Low) during market trends, based on real-time calculations of highest, lowest, and mid-level values over a customizable length. Additionally, the indicator calculates trend strength by measuring the ratio of candles closing above or below the midline, providing a clear view of the ongoing trend dynamics and strength.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Trend Shift Signals :
Trend shifts, based on highest and lowest values during input length. When high is == to highest it will change trend to up when low == lowest value it will be shift to down trend.
// Calculate highest and lowest over the specified length
h = ta.highest(length)
l = ta.lowest(length)
// Determine trend direction: if the current high is the highest value, set trend to true
if h == high
trend := true
// If the current low is the lowest value, set trend to false
if l == low
trend := false
Whenever the trend changes direction (from uptrend to downtrend or vice versa), the indicator provides visual cues in the form of arrows. This gives traders clear signals to identify potential trend reversals, enabling them to adjust their strategies accordingly.
⯌ Trend Level Calculation :
As soon as a trend is detected (uptrend or downtrend), the indicator starts calculating the highest, lowest, and mid-level values over the defined period. These levels are plotted on the chart as color-coded lines for easy visualization, allowing traders to quickly spot the key levels within a trend.
⯌ Midline Retests :
Throughout the trend, the mid-level line is often retested, acting as a potential zone for pullbacks or rejections. Traders can use these retests as opportunities for entering positions or confirming trend continuation. The chart shows how price frequently interacts with the midline, helping to identify important reaction levels.
⯌ Trend Strength Calculation :
The indicator measures the trend strength by calculating the delta between the number of candles closing above and below the midline. This percentage-based delta is displayed in real-time, providing a clear indication of whether the trend is gaining or losing momentum.
⯁ USER INPUTS
Length : Specifies the lookback period for calculating the highest and lowest values, which determines the key trend levels.
Candle Counting : Measures the number of candles closing above and below the midline to calculate the trend strength delta.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Trend Levels indicator provides traders with a powerful tool for visualizing trend dynamics, key levels of support and resistance, and real-time trend strength. By identifying midline retests, tracking candle counts, and providing trend shift signals, this indicator can help traders make well-informed decisions during market trends.
Black Tie FibonacciThis indicator plots Yesterday’s, Last Week’s, or Last Month’s Open/Close/High/Low levels, plus Fibonacci retracements and the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone. It includes alerts for each key level, making it perfect for trading reactions on lower timeframes (15m-5m).
The goal of all my indicators is to save you time on manual charting—because making money shouldn’t mean being glued to a screen.
Hope you enjoy it,
VOLUME DIRECTION INDICATORDesigned for the 1-hour chart, this indicator shows:
Green Line: Volume when price rises, suggesting buying.
Red Line: Volume when price falls, indicating selling.
How to Use:
Watch for Crossover: When the Green Line moves above the Red, it might signal a budding uptrend.
Check Retracement: If the Green Line pulls back but stays above the Red, the uptrend could be strengthening.
Price Check: Look for a small price drop but not a reversal.
Trade Entry:
Enter at the high of the retracement candle.
Or wait for the Green Line to rise again.
For Precision: Draw a line at the retracement peak and switch to a shorter timeframe to find entry patterns above this line.
Remember: Use this with other tools for better trading decisions.
The Volume Direction Indicator provides a visual representation of market activity by assuming volume can be attributed to buying or selling based on price action within each bar. When the price closes higher than it opened, the volume for that period is considered as 'Bought Shares', plotted in green. Conversely, if the price closes lower, the volume is treated as 'Sold Shares', shown in red. This indicator resets daily to give a fresh perspective on trading activity each day.
Key Features:
Buying Pressure: Green line represents the cumulative volume during periods where the price increased.
Selling Pressure: Red line indicates the cumulative volume during price decreases.
Daily Reset: Accumulated values reset at the start of each new trading day, focusing on daily market sentiment.
Note: This indicator simplifies market dynamics by linking volume directly to price changes. It does not account for complex trading scenarios like short selling or market manipulations. Use this indicator as a tool to gauge general market direction and activity, not for precise transaction data.
Trend indicatorThe Trend Indicator script is a custom oscillator-based tool designed for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market. Using a combination of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Relative Moving Average (RMA) calculations, it captures the trend direction and signals market momentum shifts. The indicator visually presents buy and sell signals and color-codes background conditions based on potential trend reversals, offering a clear and structured approach for trend-based trading strategies.
Key Components
1. User Inputs
Smoothing Length (smoothLength): The script allows the trader to input a smoothing length for adjusting the EMA and RMA calculations. This parameter fine-tunes the indicator's sensitivity to price movements, where lower values result in a more responsive oscillator, while higher values make it smoother and less reactive to minor fluctuations.
Source (source): This is the price data input for the script, defaulting to the close price but customizable to other price points (e.g., open, high, or low) based on user preference.
2. Smoothed Price Calculation
Using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the script smooths the selected source price to reduce noise and make trends clearer. The EMA’s calculation length is determined by the smoothLength input, and this moving average forms the baseline from which other components derive.
3. Oscillator Calculation
The oscillator value represents the relative strength or weakness of price momentum. Here, the oscillator is computed using Relative Moving Average (RMA), applied to the difference between the smoothed price and the SMA of the source price. The RMA further filters short-term fluctuations to identify the core trend direction.
This oscillator measures the divergence between the smoothed price and the SMA, providing insight into whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish pressure.
4. Signal Line
The Signal Line is a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the oscillator, using the same smoothLength parameter. The SMA smooths the oscillator’s values, offering a secondary reference that traders can use to identify changes in momentum when it crosses the oscillator line.
5. Buy and Sell Signals
Buy Signal (bullSignal): The script triggers a buy signal when the oscillator crosses above zero. This indicates that momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers, potentially signaling an uptrend.
Sell Signal (bearSignal): The script triggers a sell signal when the oscillator crosses below zero, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside, potentially initiating a downtrend.
Visualization
1. Plotting the Oscillator and Signal Line
The oscillator line is plotted in blue, representing the current momentum of the price. The signal line, plotted in red, serves as a smoother baseline.
When the oscillator crosses the signal line, it hints at a potential trend shift, which can be a signal for cautious traders to pay attention to trend reversals.
2. Buy/Sell Signal Markers
Buy Signal Marker: A green label appears below the bar whenever the oscillator crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Sell Signal Marker: A red label appears above the bar whenever the oscillator crosses below zero, marking a potential selling opportunity.
These visual cues make it easy for traders to spot signals directly on the chart without needing to watch the oscillator values closely.
3. Background Coloring for Trend Direction
To further aid in trend identification, the background color changes to green when a bullish signal is active and red during bearish signals. This coloring helps visually reinforce the current trend direction, allowing traders to spot prolonged uptrends or downtrends easily.
Trading Strategy Suggestions
This indicator can be adapted to various trading strategies. Here are a few practical suggestions:
Trend-Following Strategy:
When the oscillator crosses above zero (green background), it could indicate the start of a potential uptrend. Consider entering a long position on this signal and holding it until the oscillator crosses back below zero.
Conversely, a cross below zero (red background) may signal a downtrend, making it suitable for short positions or exiting long trades.
Cross-Confirmation with Signal Line:
Use the crossover of the oscillator and signal line to confirm trends. For example, when the oscillator is above zero and crosses above the signal line, it could reinforce a strong buy signal. Similarly, a cross below the signal line when the oscillator is below zero could strengthen a sell signal.
Combining with Other Indicators:
For added accuracy, combine this indicator with other trend-confirming tools like Moving Averages or Bollinger Bands to confirm the validity of buy/sell signals.
Risk Management:
Always set stop-losses below recent lows in uptrends or above recent highs in downtrends. This indicator is useful for entry and exit points but should always be paired with solid risk management practices.
The Trend Indicator is a comprehensive tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversal points. By smoothing out price data and using an oscillator to track momentum shifts, it offers traders a structured approach to trading trends. Its built-in buy/sell markers and background coloring make it visually accessible and easy to interpret at a glance. However, as with any indicator, it's most effective when combined with other strategies and a disciplined approach to risk management.
Machine Learning RSI Bands"Machine Learning RSI Bands" Indicator
The "Machine Learning RSI Bands" (MLRSIB) indicator leverages advanced algorithmic analysis to enhance traditional RSI strategies:
RSI Customization: Users can customize the RSI settings including source, length, and thresholds for overbought/oversold conditions.
Innovative Machine Learning Application: The script uses a proprietary function FOUNDATION_400x10x2 from the 'FOUNDATION' library, which analyzes the last 400 occurrences of data points, considering various market dynamics like volume changes or RSI movements based on the selected sampling method. Outputs four optimal outcomes for both upper and lower band conditions, representing the most statistically significant patterns or predictions.
Dynamic Band Visualization: Plots the average of these four outcomes as colored lines (red for the upper band, green for the lower band) on the chart, serving as dynamic support and resistance or overbought/oversold levels.
Signal Plotting: Displays triangles above or below the bars to signal potential short or long entries when the RSI crosses these machine learning-adjusted bands under certain confidence conditions.
Market Volatility Indicator: Adjusts the chart's background color based on volatility, using an average deviation analysis to gauge market calmness or agitation.
Alert System: Provides alert conditions for when these sophisticated signals are triggered, allowing for timely trading actions.
This indicator is designed for traders interested in combining traditional technical analysis with machine learning to refine their market entry and exit strategies, focusing on patterns identified from recent market behavior.
Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion by Kevin Davey Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy Description
The Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy is a popular trading approach based on the concept of volatility and market overreaction. The strategy leverages Bollinger Bands, which consist of an upper and lower band plotted around a central moving average, typically using standard deviations to measure volatility. When the price moves beyond these bands, it signals potential overbought or oversold conditions, and the strategy seeks to exploit a reversion back to the mean (the central band).
Strategy Components:
1. Bollinger Bands:
The bands are calculated using a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a multiple (usually 2.0) of the standard deviation of the asset’s price over the same period. The upper band represents the SMA plus two standard deviations, while the lower band is the SMA minus two standard deviations. The distance between the bands increases with higher volatility and decreases with lower volatility.
2. Mean Reversion:
Mean reversion theory suggests that, over time, prices tend to move back toward their historical average. In this strategy, a buy signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Conversely, the position is closed when the price rises back above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
Entry and Exit Logic:
Buy Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, anticipating a mean reversion to the central band (SMA).
Sell Condition: The long position is exited when the price closes above the upper Bollinger Band, implying that the market is likely overbought and a reversal could occur.
This approach uses mean reversion principles, aiming to capitalize on short-term price extremes and volatility compression, often seen in sideways or non-trending markets. Scientific studies have shown that mean reversion strategies, particularly those based on volatility indicators like Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing small but frequent price reversals  .
Scientific Basis for Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger, are widely regarded in both academic literature and practical trading as an essential tool for volatility analysis and mean reversion strategies. Research has shown that Bollinger Bands effectively identify relative price highs and lows, and can be used to forecast price volatility and detect potential breakouts . Studies in financial markets, such as those by Fernández-Rodríguez et al. (2003), highlight the efficacy of Bollinger Bands in detecting overbought or oversold conditions in various assets .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is an award-winning algorithmic trader and highly regarded expert in developing and optimizing systematic trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience, Davey gained significant recognition after winning the prestigious World Cup Trading Championships multiple times, where he achieved triple-digit returns with minimal drawdown. His success has made him a key figure in algorithmic trading education, with a focus on disciplined and rule-based trading systems.
Bharat Jhunjhunwala v2- Volume Color CodingPurpose of the Script
This script is designed for traders in India to visualize and analyze trading volume in the stock market. It colors the volume bars based on how the current trading volume compares to its average over the past 20 periods. This helps traders quickly identify unusual trading activity.
How It Works Step by Step
Setting Up the Indicator
Name & Display: The script is named "Bharat Jhunjhunwala- Volume Color Coding" and it displays below the main stock chart (overlay=false).
Volume Format: It formats the data specifically for volume (format=format.volume).
User Input
Volume Moving Average Period: Users can set how many periods (e.g., days) to consider for calculating the average volume. By default, it's set to 20 periods, and users can adjust this if needed.
Predefined Volume Ratios
The script uses fixed ratios to categorize the current volume:
Ultra High Volume: 3.0 times the average volume.
High Volume: 1.8 times the average volume.
Ultra Low Volume: Between 0.4 and 0.7 times the average volume.
Note: These ratios are hardcoded, meaning users cannot change them.
Calculating the Average Volume
The script calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the volume over the specified number of periods (default is 20). This average helps determine what "normal" volume looks like.
Determining Volume Levels
Ultra High Volume: If the current volume is 3 times or more the average, it's flagged as ultra high.
High Volume: If the current volume is 1.8 times or more but less than ultra high, it's flagged as high.
Ultra Low Volume: If the current volume is between 0.4 and 0.7 times the average, it's flagged as ultra low.
Normal Volume: Any volume that doesn't fit the above categories is considered normal.
Color Coding the Volume Bars
Based on the volume level determined:
Red: Ultra High Volume
Orange: High Volume
Blue: Ultra Low Volume
Green: Normal Volume
This color coding makes it easy to spot unusual trading activity at a glance.
Plotting on the Chart
Volume Bars: The script plots the actual trading volume as colored bars according to the categories above.
Volume Moving Average Line: It also plots the 20-period moving average of the volume as a green line. This line serves as a reference to compare current volumes against the average.
Why This is Useful
Quick Identification: Traders can instantly see when there's unusually high or low trading activity, which might indicate significant market moves or investor interest.
Trend Analysis: By comparing current volume to the moving average, traders can assess whether the current market behavior is stronger or weaker than usual.
Decision Making: Colored volume bars can help in making informed trading decisions, such as entering or exiting positions based on volume spikes or drops.
Customization
Adjusting the Moving Average: While the volume ratios are fixed, traders can change the number of periods used to calculate the moving average to better fit different trading strategies or time frames.
Summary
This script enhances the standard volume indicator by adding color-coded signals based on predefined volume thresholds relative to a moving average. It's a helpful tool for Indian stock traders to monitor and react to changes in trading volume effectively.
Market Bias IndicatorOverview
This Pine Script™ code generates a "Market Sentiment Dashboard" on TradingView, providing a visual summary of market sentiment across multiple timeframes. This tool aids traders in making informed decisions by displaying real-time sentiment analysis based on Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).
Key Features
Panel Positioning:
Custom Placement: Traders can position the dashboard at the top, middle, or bottom of the chart and align it to the left, centre, or right, ensuring optimal integration with other chart elements.
Customizable Colours:
Sentiment Colours: Users can define colours for bullish, bearish, and neutral market conditions, enhancing the dashboard's readability.
Text Colour: Customizable text colour ensures clarity against various background colours.
Label Size:
Scalable Labels: Adjustable label sizes (from very small to very large) ensure readability across different screen sizes and resolutions.
Market Sentiment Calculation:
EMA-Based Sentiment: The dashboard calculates sentiment using a 9-period EMA. If the EMA is higher than two bars ago, the sentiment is bullish; if lower, it's bearish; otherwise, it's neutral.
Multiple Timeframes: Sentiment is calculated for several timeframes: 30 minute, 1 hour, 4 hour, 6 hour, 8 hour, 12 hour, 1 day, and 1 week. This broad analysis provides a comprehensive view of market conditions.
Dynamic Table:
Structured Display: The dashboard uses a table to organize and display sentiment data clearly.
Real-Time Updates: The table updates in real-time, providing traders with up-to-date market information.
How It Works
EMA Calculation: The script requests EMA(9) values for each specified timeframe and compares the current EMA with the EMA from two bars ago to determine market sentiment.
Colour Coding: Depending on the sentiment (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral), the corresponding cell in the table is color-coded using predefined colours.
Table Display: The table displays the timeframe and corresponding sentiment, allowing traders to quickly assess market trends.
Benefits to Traders
Quick Assessment: Traders can quickly evaluate market sentiment across multiple timeframes without switching charts or manually calculating indicators.
Enhanced Visualization: The color-coded sentiment display makes it easy to identify trends at a glance.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Provides a broad view of short-term and long-term market trends, helping traders confirm trends and avoid false signals.
This dashboard enhances the overall trading experience by providing a comprehensive, customizable, and easy-to-read summary of market sentiment.
Usage Instructions
Add the Script to Your Chart: Apply the "Market Sentiment Dashboard" indicator to your TradingView chart.
Customize Settings: Adjust the panel position, colours, and label sizes to fit your preferences.
Interpret Sentiment: Use the color-coded table to quickly understand the market sentiment across different timeframes and make informed trading decisions.
Value at Risk [OmegaTools]The "Value at Risk" (VaR) indicator is a powerful financial risk management tool that helps traders estimate the potential losses in a portfolio over a specified period of time, given a certain level of confidence. VaR is widely used by financial institutions, traders, and risk managers to assess the probability of portfolio losses in both normal and volatile market conditions. This TradingView script implements a comprehensive VaR calculation using several models, allowing users to visualize different risk scenarios and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Concept of Value at Risk
Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistical technique used to measure the likelihood of losses in a portfolio or financial asset due to market risks. In essence, it answers the question: "What is the maximum potential loss that could occur in a given portfolio over a specific time horizon, with a certain confidence level?" For instance, if a portfolio has a one-day 95% VaR of $10,000, it means that there is a 95% chance the portfolio will not lose more than $10,000 in a single day. Conversely, there is a 5% chance of losing more than $10,000. VaR is a key risk management tool for portfolio managers and traders because it quantifies potential losses in monetary terms, allowing for better-informed decision-making.
There are several ways to calculate VaR, and this indicator script incorporates three of the most commonly used models:
Historical VaR: This approach uses historical returns to estimate potential losses. It is based purely on past price data, assuming that the past distribution of returns is indicative of future risks.
Variance-Covariance VaR: This model assumes that asset returns follow a normal distribution and that the risk can be summarized using the mean and standard deviation of past returns. It is a parametric method that is widely used in financial risk management.
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) VaR: In this model, recent data points are given more weight than older data. This dynamic approach allows the VaR estimation to react more quickly to changes in market volatility, which is particularly useful during periods of market stress. This model uses the Exponential Weighted Moving Average Volatility Model.
How the Script Works
The script starts by offering users a set of customizable input settings. The first input allows the user to choose between two main calculation modes: "All" or "OCT" (Only Current Timeframe). In the "All" mode, the script calculates VaR using all available methodologies—Historical, Variance-Covariance, and EWMA—providing a comprehensive risk overview. The "OCT" mode narrows the calculation to the current timeframe, which can be particularly useful for intraday traders who need a more focused view of risk.
The next input is the lookback window, which defines the number of historical periods used to calculate VaR. Commonly used lookback periods include 21 days (approximately one month), 63 days (about three months), and 252 days (roughly one year), with the script supporting up to 504 days for more extended historical analysis. A longer lookback period provides a more comprehensive picture of risk but may be less responsive to recent market conditions.
The confidence level is another important setting in the script. This represents the probability that the loss will not exceed the VaR estimate. Standard confidence levels are 90%, 95%, and 99%. A higher confidence level results in a more conservative risk estimate, meaning that the calculated VaR will reflect a more extreme loss scenario.
In addition to these core settings, the script allows users to customize the visual appearance of the indicator. For example, traders can choose different colors for "Bullish" (Risk On), "Bearish" (Risk Off), and "Neutral" phases, as well as colors for highlighting "Breaks" in the data, where returns exceed the calculated VaR. These visual cues make it easy to identify periods of heightened risk at a glance.
The actual VaR calculation is broken down into several models, starting with the Historical VaR calculation. This is done by computing the logarithmic returns of the asset's closing prices and then using linear interpolation to determine the percentile corresponding to the desired confidence level. This percentile represents the potential loss in the asset over the lookback period.
Next, the script calculates Variance-Covariance VaR using the mean and standard deviation of the historical returns. The standard deviation is multiplied by a z-score corresponding to the chosen confidence level (e.g., 1.645 for 95% confidence), and the resulting value is subtracted from the mean return to arrive at the VaR estimate.
The EWMA VaR model uses the EWMA for the sigma parameter, the standard deviation, obtaining a specific dynamic in the volatility. It is particularly useful in volatile markets where recent price behavior is more indicative of future risk than older data.
For traders interested in intraday risk management, the script provides several methods to adjust VaR calculations for lower timeframes. By using intraday returns and scaling them according to the chosen timeframe, the script provides a dynamic view of risk throughout the trading day. This is especially important for short-term traders who need to manage their exposure during high-volatility periods within the same day. The script also incorporates an EWMA model for intraday data, which gives greater weight to the most recent intraday price movements.
In addition to calculating VaR, the script also attempts to detect periods where the asset's returns exceed the estimated VaR threshold, referred to as "Breaks." When the returns breach the VaR limit, the script highlights these instances on the chart, allowing traders to quickly identify periods of extreme risk. The script also calculates the average of these breaks and displays it for comparison, helping traders understand how frequently these high-risk periods occur.
The script further visualizes the risk scenario using a risk phase classification system. Depending on the level of risk, the script categorizes the market as either "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral." In "Risk On" mode, the market is considered bullish, and the indicator displays a green background. In "Risk Off" mode, the market is bearish, and the background turns red. If the market is neither strongly bullish nor bearish, the background turns neutral, signaling a balanced risk environment.
Traders can customize whether they want to see this risk phase background, along with toggling the display of the various VaR models, the intraday methods, and the break signals. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs, whether they are day traders looking for quick intraday insights or longer-term investors focused on historical risk analysis.
The "Risk On" and "Risk Off" phases calculated by this Value at Risk (VaR) script introduce a novel approach to market risk assessment, offering traders an advanced toolset to gauge market sentiment and potential risk levels dynamically. These risk phases are built on a combination of traditional VaR methodologies and proprietary logic to create a more responsive and intuitive way to manage exposure in both normal and volatile market conditions. This method of classifying market conditions into "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral" is not something that has been traditionally associated with VaR, making it a groundbreaking addition to this indicator.
How the "Risk On" and "Risk Off" Phases Are Calculated
In typical VaR implementations, the focus is on calculating the potential losses at a given confidence level without providing an overall market outlook. This script, however, introduces a unique risk classification system that takes the output of various VaR models and translates it into actionable signals for traders, marking whether the market is in a Risk On, Risk Off, or Risk Neutral phase.
The Risk On and Risk Off phases are primarily determined by comparing the current returns of the asset to the average VaR calculated across several different methods, including Historical VaR, Variance-Covariance VaR, and EWMA VaR. Here's how the process works:
1. Threshold Setting and Effect Calculation: The script first computes the average VaR using the selected models. It then checks whether the current returns (expressed as a negative value to signify loss) exceed the average VaR value. If the current returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold, this indicates that the actual market risk is higher than expected, signaling a potential shift in market conditions.
2. Break Analysis: In addition to monitoring whether returns exceed the average VaR, the script counts the number of instances within the lookback period where this breach occurs. This is referred to as the "break effect." For each period in the lookback window, the script checks whether the returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold and increments a counter. The percentage of periods where this breach occurs is then calculated as the "effect" or break percentage.
3. Dual Effect Check (if "Double" Risk Scenario is selected): When the user chooses the "Double" risk scenario mode, the script performs two layers of analysis. First, it calculates the effect of returns exceeding the VaR threshold for the current timeframe. Then, it calculates the effect for the lower intraday timeframe as well. Both effects are compared to the user-defined confidence level (e.g., 95%). If both effects exceed the confidence level, the market is deemed to be in a high-risk situation, thus triggering a Risk Off phase. If both effects fall below the confidence level, the market is classified as Risk On.
4. Risk Phases Determination: The final risk phase is determined by analyzing these effects in relation to the confidence level:
- Risk On: If the calculated effect of breaks is lower than the confidence level (e.g., fewer than 5% of periods show returns exceeding the VaR threshold for a 95% confidence level), the market is considered to be in a relatively safe state, and the script signals a "Risk On" phase. This is indicative of bullish conditions where the potential for extreme loss is minimal.
- Risk Off: If the break effect exceeds the confidence level (e.g., more than 5% of periods show returns breaching the VaR threshold), the market is deemed to be in a high-risk state, and the script signals a "Risk Off" phase. This indicates bearish market conditions where the likelihood of significant losses is higher.
- Risk Neutral: If the break effect hovers near the confidence level or if there is no clear trend indicating a shift toward either extreme, the market is classified as "Risk Neutral." In this phase, neither bulls nor bears are dominant, and traders should remain cautious.
The phase color that the script uses helps visualize these risk phases. The background will turn green in Risk On conditions, red in Risk Off conditions, and gray in Risk Neutral phases, providing immediate visual feedback on market risk. In addition to this, when the "Double" risk scenario is selected, the background will only turn green or red if both the current and intraday timeframes confirm the respective risk phase. This double-checking process ensures that traders are only given a strong signal when both longer-term and short-term risks align, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
A New Way of Using Value at Risk
This innovative Risk On/Risk Off classification, based on the interaction between VaR thresholds and market returns, represents a significant departure from the traditional use of Value at Risk as a pure risk measurement tool. Typically, VaR is employed as a backward-looking measure of risk, providing a static estimate of potential losses over a given timeframe with no immediate actionable feedback on current market conditions. This script, however, dynamically interprets VaR results to create a forward-looking, real-time signal that informs traders whether they are operating in a favorable (Risk On) or unfavorable (Risk Off) environment.
By incorporating the "break effect" analysis and allowing users to view the VaR breaches as a percentage of past occurrences, the script adds a predictive element that can be used to time market entries and exits more effectively. This **dual-layer risk analysis**, particularly when using the "Double" scenario mode, adds further granularity by considering both current timeframe and intraday risks. Traders can therefore make more informed decisions not just based on historical risk data, but on how the market is behaving in real-time relative to those risk benchmarks.
This approach transforms the VaR indicator from a risk monitoring tool into a decision-making system that helps identify favorable trading opportunities while alerting users to potential market downturns. It provides a more holistic view of market conditions by combining both statistical risk measurement and intuitive phase-based market analysis. This level of integration between VaR methodologies and real-time signal generation has not been widely seen in the world of trading indicators, marking this script as a cutting-edge tool for risk management and market sentiment analysis.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to @skewedzeta for his invaluable contribution to the final script. From generating fresh ideas to applying his expertise in reviewing the formula, his support has been instrumental in refining the outcome.
Sweep + MSS# Sweep + MSS Indicator
This indicator identifies market sweeps and Market Structure Shifts (MSS) to help traders recognize potential trend changes and market manipulations.
How it works:
1. Sweep Detection:
- Identifies when price briefly moves beyond a recent high/low (pivot point) and then reverses.
- Bullish sweep: Price drops below a recent low, then closes above it.
- Bearish sweep: Price rises above a recent high, then closes below it.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
- Occurs when price action invalidates a previous sweep level.
- Bullish MSS: Price closes above a bearish sweep level.
- Bearish MSS: Price closes below a bullish sweep level.
Key Features:
- Customizable pivot lookback length for sweep detection
- Minimum bar requirement after a sweep before MSS can trigger
- One MSS per sweep level to avoid multiple signals
- Visual representation with lines connecting sweep points to MSS triggers
- Emoji labels for easy identification (🐂-MSS for bullish, 🐻-MSS for bearish)
Logic Behind MSS:
The MSS aims to identify potential trend changes by recognizing when the market invalidates a previous sweep level. This often indicates a shift in market structure, suggesting that the previous trend may be weakening or reversing.
- A bullish MSS occurs when the price closes above a bearish sweep level, potentially signaling a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
- A bearish MSS occurs when the price closes below a bullish sweep level, potentially signaling a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
By requiring a minimum number of bars between the sweep and the MSS, the indicator helps filter out noise and focuses on more significant structural changes in the market.
This indicator can be a valuable tool for traders looking to identify potential trend changes and entry/exit points based on market structure analysis.
Sector Trend MapThe Sector Trend Map is a powerful tool designed to provide a sentiment heatmap for major market sectors. This indicator tracks the average trend direction across 11 key sectors, including Technology, Financials, Healthcare, Energy, and more. By monitoring each sector's sentiment, the Sector Trend Map helps traders quickly assess whether sectors are bullish or bearish, allowing for better-informed trading decisions.
This indicator plots a visual heatmap showing the sentiment strength for each sector on a scale from 0 to 100. The colors range from green for bullish sentiment to red for bearish sentiment. Additionally, it displays a real-time percentage of sectors that are bullish and bearish in a dynamic table located in the bottom right corner of the chart.
This indicator simplifies sector sentiment analysis by providing clear visual cues, making it easy to stay on top of market dynamics and make data-driven trading decisions.
Key Features:
Sentiment Heatmap: Displays a heatmap of sector sentiment ranging from bullish (green) to bearish (red).
Bullish/Bearish Percentages: A dynamic table showing the percentage of sectors that are bullish or bearish.
Tracks 11 Key Sectors: Monitors sectors such as Technology, Financials, Energy, Healthcare, and more.
Simple and Clear Visuals: Provides easy-to-read color coding for quick decision-making.
Customizable Moving Averages: Select between SMA, EMA, WMA, or DEMA for the trend calculation.
Market Hours Sensitivity: Indicator operates during regular market hours, ensuring relevance for day traders and active traders.
Overlay Sentiment Colors on Candles:
This feature allows you to overlay the sentiment (green for bullish, red for bearish) directly onto the price chart candles. You can enable or disable this option based on your preference.
How to Use the Sector Trend Map:
The heatmap is divided into different sectors. Each sector is colored based on its current sentiment:
🟢 Green (Bullish sentiment)
🔴 Red (Bearish sentiment)
Sentiment is calculated on a scale from 0 to 100, with 50 being the neutral point. Sectors above 50 are bullish, while sectors below 50 are bearish.
Bullish/Bearish Percentage Table:
A table is displayed in the bottom right corner of the screen, showing the percentage of sectors that are currently bullish and bearish.
Bullish %: The percentage of sectors above 50 on the sentiment scale.
Bearish %: The percentage of sectors below 50 on the sentiment scale.
Market Hours Activity:
The indicator only calculates and displays data during market hours (09:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST), ensuring it stays relevant to intraday trading. Outside of market hours, the indicator remains inactive.
Best Used For:
Intraday Traders: Get real-time sector sentiment during market hours and make better trading decisions based on sector strength or weakness.
Swing Traders: Monitor sector trends to spot shifts in market sentiment over time.
Sector Rotation Strategies: Use the indicator to identify which sectors are gaining or losing strength, aiding in sector rotation strategies.
Practical Example:
If 7 out of the 11 sectors display a bullish sentiment, the table will show 63.64% as bullish and 36.36% as bearish. The heatmap will show green sectors for those above the 50 sentiment threshold, allowing you to visually spot the sectors leading the market.
Macros ICT KillZones [TradingFinder] Times & Price Trading Setup🔵 Introduction
ICT Macros, developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as ICT (Inner Circle Trader), is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders identify the best trading opportunities during key time intervals like the London and New York trading sessions.
For traders aiming to capitalize on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG), understanding and using these critical time zones can significantly improve trading outcomes.
In today’s highly competitive financial markets, identifying the moments when the market is seeking buy-side or sell-side liquidity, or filling price imbalances, is essential for maximizing profitability.
The ICT Macros indicator is built on the renowned ICT time and price theory, which enables traders to track and leverage key market dynamics such as breaks of highs and lows, imbalances, and liquidity hunts.
This indicator automatically detects crucial market times and optimizes strategies for traders by highlighting the specific moments when price movements are most likely to occur. A standout feature of ICT Macros is its automatic adjustment for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring that traders remain synced with the correct session times.
This means you can rely on accurate market timing without the need for manual updates, allowing you to focus on capturing profitable trades during critical timeframes.
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Macros indicator helps you capitalize on trading opportunities during key market moments, particularly when the market is breaking highs or lows, filling Fair Value Gaps (FVG), or addressing imbalances. This indicator is particularly beneficial for traders who seek to identify liquidity, market volatility, and price imbalances.
🟣 Sessions
London Sessions
London Macro 1 :
UTC Time : 06:33 to 07:00
New York Time : 02:33 to 03:00
London Macro 2 :
UTC Time : 08:03 to 08:30
New York Time : 04:03 to 04:30
New York Sessions
New York Macro AM 1 :
UTC Time : 12:50 to 13:10
New York Time : 08:50 to 09:10
New York Macro AM 2 :
UTC Time : 13:50 to 14:10
New York Time : 09:50 to 10:10
New York Macro AM 3 :
UTC Time : 14:50 to 15:10
New York Time : 10:50 to 11:10
New York Lunch Macro :
UTC Time : 15:50 to 16:10
New York Time : 11:50 to 12:10
New York PM Macro :
UTC Time : 17:10 to 17:40
New York Time : 13:10 to 13:40
New York Last Hour Macro :
UTC Time : 19:15 to 19:45
New York Time : 15:15 to 15:45
These time intervals adjust automatically based on Daylight Saving Time (DST), helping traders to enter or exit trades during key market moments when price volatility is high.
Below are the main applications of this tool and how to incorporate it into your trading strategies :
🟣 Combining ICT Macros with Trading Strategies
The ICT Macros indicator can easily be used in conjunction with various trading strategies. Two well-known strategies that can be combined with this indicator include:
ICT 2022 Trading Model : This model is designed based on identifying market liquidity, structural price changes, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). By using ICT Macros, you can identify the key time intervals when the market is seeking liquidity, filling imbalances, or breaking through important highs and lows, allowing you to enter or exit trades at the right moment.
Silver Bullet Strategy : This strategy, which is built around liquidity hunting and rapid price movements, can work more accurately with the help of ICT Macros. The indicator pinpoints precise liquidity times, helping traders take advantage of market shifts caused by filling Fair Value Gaps or correcting imbalances.
🟣 Capitalizing on Price Volatility During Key Times
Large market algorithms often seek liquidity or fill Fair Value Gaps (FVG) during the intervals marked by ICT Macros. These periods are when price volatility increases, and traders can use these moments to enter or exit trades.
For example, if sell-side liquidity is drained and the market fills an imbalance, the price might move toward buy-side liquidity. By identifying these moments, which may also involve breaking a previous high or low, you can leverage rapid market fluctuations to your advantage.
🟣 Identifying Liquidity and Price Imbalances
One of the important uses of ICT Macros is identifying points where the market is seeking liquidity and correcting imbalances. You can determine high or low liquidity levels in the market before each ICT Macro, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and price imbalances that need to be filled, using them to adjust your trading strategy. This capability allows you to manage trades based on liquidity shifts or imbalance corrections without needing a bias toward a specific direction.
🔵 Settings
The ICT Macros indicator offers various customization options, allowing users to tailor it to their specific needs. Below are the main settings:
Time Zone Mode : You can select one of the following options to define how time is displayed:
UTC : For traders who need to work with Universal Time.
Session Local Time : The local time corresponding to the London or New York markets.
Your Time Zone : You can specify your own time zone (e.g., "UTC-4:00").
Your Time Zone : If you choose "Your Time Zone," you can set your specific time zone. By default, this is set to UTC-4:00.
Show Range Time : This option allows you to display the time range of each session on the chart. If enabled, the exact start and end times of each interval are shown.
Show or Hide Time Ranges : Toggle on/off for visual clarity depending on user preference.
Custom Colors : Set distinct colors for each session, allowing users to personalize their chart based on their trading style.These settings allow you to adjust the key time intervals of each trading session to your preference and customize the time format according to your own needs.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Macros indicator is a powerful tool for traders, helping them to identify key time intervals where the market seeks liquidity or fills Fair Value Gaps (FVG), corrects imbalances, and breaks highs or lows. This tool is especially valuable for traders using liquidity-based strategies such as ICT 2022 or Silver Bullet.
One of the key features of this indicator is its support for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring you are always in sync with the correct trading session timings without manual adjustments. This is particularly beneficial for traders operating across different time zones.
With ICT Macros, you can capitalize on crucial market opportunities during sensitive times, take advantage of imbalances, and enhance your trading strategies based on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps.
ATR Trailing Stop by tactical trade 22 Oct 2024Description:
The ATR Dual Trailing Stop indicator is a versatile and powerful tool designed to help traders visualize dynamic support and resistance levels based on the Average True Range (ATR). This indicator plots two separate ATR-based trailing stops with customizable settings, providing a comprehensive view of potential market reversals and trend strength.
Key features:
Two ATR Trailing Stops: The first stop uses customizable ATR settings (default: 10-period ATR with a 3x multiplier), while the second stop uses an alternate configuration (default: 21-period ATR with a 7x multiplier).
Multi-Timeframe ATR Calculation: Regardless of the chart's time frame, the ATR is calculated based on a user-selected time frame (e.g., daily), allowing for consistent stop-loss levels even in lower time frames like 5-minute or 15-minute charts.
Visual Cues: The indicator clearly plots two trailing stop lines in different colors, making it easy to track the market’s volatility-based support and resistance areas.
No Buy/Sell Signals: This is purely a trailing stop indicator with no embedded buy/sell signals, giving traders the flexibility to use it with their preferred entry/exit strategies.
This indicator is especially useful in highly volatile markets where precise trailing stop levels are essential for managing risk and maximizing profit potential. The dual ATR configuration helps traders adapt to changing market conditions by providing two levels of stop placement: a shorter-term and a longer-term trailing stop.
