SMC Academy [PhenLabs]📊 SMC Academy
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
The SMC Academy indicator is a comprehensive educational tool designed to demystify Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for traders of all levels. Unlike standard indicators that simply print signals, this script uses a “Learning Phase” system that allows users to toggle between individual concepts—such as Market Structure, Liquidity, Imbalances, and Order Blocks—or view them all simultaneously. It lets you focus on one piece of the puzzle at a time.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Progressive Learning Modes: Toggle between 5 distinct phases to master concepts individually before using the Full Strategy Mode.
Educational Tooltips: Hover over labels to read detailed explanations of why a BOS, MSS, or Liquidity zone was identified.
Smart Filtering: Uses ATR and Volume integration to filter out low-quality Fair Value Gaps and weak Order Blocks.
HTF Dashboard: A built-in panel analyzes Higher Timeframe (4H) data to ensure you are trading in alignment with the broader trend.
🔧 Core Components
Market Structure Engine: Automatically detects Swing Highs and Lows to map out market direction using configurable swing lengths.
Liquidity Manager: Identifies unmitigated swing points that serve as Buy-Side (BSL) and Sell-Side (SSL) liquidity magnets.
Imbalance Detector: Highlights Fair Value Gaps (FVG) where price inefficiencies exist, using ATR thresholds to ignore noise.
Order Block Identifier: Locates the specific candles responsible for structure breaks, validated by volume analysis.
🔥 Key Features
Break of Structure (BOS): Automatically marks trend continuation signals with solid lines and color-coded labels.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Identifies potential trend reversals when significant swing points are breached.
Dashboard Context: Displays the current trend direction and the 4H context directly on your chart.
Custom Alerts: Built-in alert conditions for structure breaks and new Order Blocks allow for automated tracking.
🎨 Visualization
Structure Lines: Solid lines indicate confirmed breaks (Green for Bullish, Red for Bearish).
Liquidity Zones: Dotted lines extending rightward indicate resting liquidity levels that price may target.
FVG Boxes: Shaded boxes highlight imbalance zones, automatically extending for a user-defined number of bars.
Dashboard: A clean, non-intrusive table in the top-right corner displays trend status and active mode.
📖 Usage Guidelines
Setting Categories
Learning Mode: Select from ‘1. Market Structure’ through ‘5. Full Strategy Mode’ to filter what appears on the chart.
Swing Detection Length: Default (5). Determines the sensitivity of the swing high/low detection.
Structure Break Type: Options (Close/Wick). Choose whether a candle close or just a wick is required to confirm a break.
Min FVG Size: Default (0.5 ATR). Filters out gaps smaller than this multiplier to reduce noise.
Filter Weak OBs by Volume: Default (True). Only highlights Order Blocks where volume exceeds the 20-period average.
✅ Best Use Cases
Educational Study: Isolate “Phase 1: Market Structure” to practice identifying trend changes without distraction.
Trend Following: Use “Phase 3: Imbalances” to find entry points within an established trend.
Reversal Trading: Combine “Phase 2: Liquidity” and “Phase 4: Order Blocks” to catch reversals at key levels.
⚠️ Limitations
Subjectivity: Market structure can be interpreted differently depending on the swing length settings used.
Ranging Markets: Like all trend-following concepts, false BOS/MSS signals may generate during choppy, sideways price action.
Repainting: While the signals are non-repainting once confirmed, the live candle may flash a signal before the close if “Close” mode is selected.
💡 What Makes This Unique
Interactive Learning: The inclusion of tooltip explanations transforms this from a simple tool into an active mentor.
Phase-Based Workflow: The ability to strip the chart back to basics at the click of a button is unique to the PhenLabs ecosystem.
🔬 How It Works
Swing Analysis: The script calculates pivot highs and lows based on your length input to define the structural landscape.
Break Validation: It checks if price crosses these pivot points to trigger BOS (Continuation) or MSS (Reversal) logic.
Volume Confirmation: For Order Blocks, it looks back inside the swing leg to find the specific candle responsible for the move, verifying it has significant volume.
💡 Note:
For the best experience, start in Phase 1 to calibrate your Swing Detection Length to the specific volatility of the asset you are trading before enabling Full Strategy Mode.
Statistics
SCOTTGO - Buy Sell Volume📊 SCOTTGO - Buy Sell Volume Bars - Delta - Up Down Volume Bars
This indicator disaggregates the total volume traded on each bar into estimated Buying Volume and Selling Volume to visualize market pressure and dominance directly in a dedicated sub-pane.
Key Features:
Volume Disaggregation: Uses a standard formula to estimate how much of a bar's total volume was associated with upward (buying) pressure and how much was associated with downward (selling) pressure.
Visual Clarity: Plots the Buy Volume (teal, upward) and Sell Volume (red, downward) as separate columns against a transparent total volume background, allowing for quick assessment of pressure balance.
Real-Time Badge: A dynamic badge is fixed to the corner of the chart (default: Top Right) providing a numeric summary of the latest bar:
Buy %: Percentage of the bar's total volume estimated as Buying Volume.
Sell %: Percentage of the bar's total volume estimated as Selling Volume.
Delta %: The magnitude of the volume difference (Delta) as a percentage of total volume, indicating the strength of the dominant side.
Dominance Indicator: The background color of the badge changes dynamically to immediately signal whether Buying (customizable color, default: Teal) or Selling (customizable color, default: Red) pressure was dominant on the current bar.
Usage:
Traders can use this tool to identify periods of heavy accumulation (high Buy Volume) or distribution (high Sell Volume), providing insight into the conviction behind price movements.
SCOTTGO - RSI Divergence IndicatorRSI Divergence Indicator
This indicator combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with an automatic divergence detection system.
It is designed to help traders spot potential trend changes by:
Color-Coded RSI: The main RSI line dynamically changes color (e.g., green/red) above and below a user-defined threshold (default 50) to highlight strong or weak momentum instantly.
Divergence Signals: It automatically identifies and plots four types of RSI divergences (Regular Bullish, Hidden Bullish, Regular Bearish, and Hidden Bearish) between the price and the oscillator.
Custom Alerts: Includes alerts for all divergence types so you can be notified when a new signal is found.
This tool helps visualize momentum shifts and potential reversals in the market.
RSI For Loop | PWRSI For Loop – True Dominance Oscillator
RSI For Loop – True Momentum Dominance Through Historical Comparison
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is excellent at measuring recent price change intensity, but a reading of 70 or 30 has completely different implications depending on the market regime. RSI For Loop removes this ambiguity by transforming RSI into a clean, zero-centered dominance / percentile-rank oscillator that always tells you exactly how strong or weak the current momentum is compared to recent history.
How it works
- Standard RSI is calculated normally (default length 46).
- A simple for-loop compares the current RSI value against the actual RSI value of every previous bar inside the user-defined lookback window (default 1 to 99 bars ≈ one full quarter on daily charts).
- Current RSI higher → +1 point
- Current RSI lower → –1 point
The resulting score ranges from –99 to +99 and is naturally centered around zero:
1. +40 = current momentum beats ~70 % of the last 99 bars (approximation)
2. –60 = current momentum is weaker than ~80 % of the last 99 bars (approximation)
3. Near zero = balanced or ranging market
Additional statistical layers
- A very long rolling median of the score (default 240 periods) serves as a slow, robust dynamic centerline
- Upper and lower 3σ bands are calculated from the standard deviation of the underlying RSI median (default length 60) to highlight truly rare extreme-dominance phases
- Asymmetric trend thresholds (default Long +15 / Short –28) reflect the empirical observation that downside momentum is usually sharper and faster
Origin and development
The core idea of using a for-loop on RSI was originally introduced by @viResearch in his invite-only “RSI For Loop” script.
While studying that concept I realised I needed an even more regime-robust strength gauge that looks back far enough to capture full market cycles (2–4 months). Therefore I completely rewrote the loop to compare against actual historical RSI values instead of fixed levels, added a 240-period median centerline, 3σ extreme bands, asymmetric thresholds, and visual signals. All parameters were extensively tested across dozens of major assets (BTC, ETH, SOL, SUI, BNB, XRP, TRX, DOGE, LINK, PAXG, CVX, HYPE, VIRTUAL + 20+ more cryptos; Magnificent 7 stocks, QQQ, SPX, XAUUSD) with the goal of achieving consistent profitability, high Sortino ratio and low drawdown in simple trend-following setups.
The final defaults represent the most robust compromise found — they keep you in real trends for dozens or hundreds of bars while staying almost silent in choppy, ranging markets.
Important Note
The optimization process is tailored to MY needs and have to be adjusted to you prefered timeframe!
I was mainly looking for an indicator that shows the underlying strength of an asset, the trend componant was only a bonus in my eyes.
How to use it
1. Green triangle below bar → score crosses above +15 → new bullish regime confirmed → enter or add to longs
2. Magenta triangle above bar → score crosses below –28 → exit longs or go cash/short
While score stays clearly positive → bullish bias hold
3. Score touching or breaking the 3σ bands → extreme conviction zone (add to winners or prepare for exhaustion)
Strength
Recommended defaults (My preference)
RSI length 46
Loop range 1–99
Long threshold +15
Short threshold –28
Median length 240
SD length 60
Recommended Universal Settings (Tested for low Max-Drawdown, high Sortino)
RSI length 44
Loop range 1–60
Long threshold +14
Short threshold –10
Median length 180
SD length 28
Works on every asset class, but the current settings are tuned for major liquid markets.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Session ATR Progression Tracker📊 Session ATR Progression Tracker - SIYL Regression Trading Tool
Track how much of your instrument's 7-day Average True Range (ATR) has been covered during the current trading session. This indicator is specifically designed for regression traders who follow the "Stay In Your Lane" (SIYL) methodology, helping you identify when the probability of mean reversion significantly increases. If you are interested in more on that check out Rod Casselli and tradersdevgroup.com.
🎯 Key Features:
• Real-time ATR Coverage Percentage - See at a glance what percentage of the 7-day ATR has been covered in the current session
• SIYL-Optimized Thresholds - See at a glance when the instrument has achieved 80% and 100% ATR coverage, the proven thresholds where mean reversion probability increases (customizable)
• Flexible Session Modes:
- Daily: Resets at calendar day change
- Session: Uses exchange-defined trading sessions
- Custom Session: Set your exact session start/end times (perfect for futures traders and international markets)
• Visual Alerts - Color-coded display (gray → orange → red) and optional background highlighting
• Repositionable Display - Choose from 9 screen positions to avoid chart clutter
• Session Markers - Green triangles mark the start of each new session
• Detailed Stats - View current range, ATR value, session high/low, and session status
💡 Why Use This Indicator?
This tool is built around a proven concept: regression trading becomes significantly more effective once a session has achieved at least 80% of its 7-day ATR. At this threshold, the probability of price reverting to mean increases substantially, creating higher-probability trade setups for SIYL practitioners.
Benefits for regression traders:
- Identify optimal entry points when mean reversion probability is highest (≥80% ATR coverage)
- Avoid premature regression entries before adequate range has been established
- Recognize when daily moves have "earned their range" and are ripe for reversal
- Time fade-the-move and counter-trend strategies with statistical backing
- Improve win rates by trading only after proven probability thresholds are met
⚙️ Setup Instructions:
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. Select your preferred "Reset Mode" (recommend "Custom Session" for futures/international markets)
3. If using Custom Session, enter your session times in 24-hour format (e.g., 0930-1600 for US stocks, 1700-1600 for CME futures)
4. Adjust alert thresholds if desired (default: 80% and 100% - proven SIYL thresholds)
5. Position the display where it's most visible on your chart
📈 Works Across All Markets:
Stocks • Futures • Forex • Indices • Crypto • Commodities
Perfect for regression traders, mean reversion specialists, and SIYL practitioners who want to trade with probability on their side by entering only after the session has "earned its range."
---
Tip: For futures contracts with overnight sessions that span calendar days (like MES, MNQ, MYM), use "Custom Session" mode with your exchange's official session times for accurate tracking.
Custom ORBIT GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA🚀 Custom ORBIT — Opening Range Breakout & Reversal Indicator
This indicator automatically calculates and plots the Opening Range (OR) high and low levels for a user-defined session and duration. It is designed to assist intraday traders by providing immediate visual signals for both price breakouts and subsequent reversals from these key levels.
The indicator is particularly suitable for markets with defined trading hours, such as the Indian indices (Nifty, Bank Nifty), given its default time settings are based on GMT+5:30.
⚙️ How It Works (Indicator Logic)
The indicator operates based on three main logical components: time definition, level calculation, and signal generation.
1. Time Session and Range Definition: All time calculations are based on GMT+5:30 (Indian Standard Time/IST). The script defines a specific trading session from a customizable start time (default 9:15 AM) to a session end time (default 3:30 PM). The Opening Range (OR) is established during the initial duration, which is set by the rangeMinutes input (default 15 minutes, meaning the OR is calculated from 9:15 AM to 9:30 AM).
2. Level Calculation and Plotting: During the initial range duration, the script captures the absolute highest price (OR High) and the absolute lowest price (OR Low). Once this period ends, two horizontal lines—a green line for the OR High and a red line for the OR Low—are drawn and automatically extended across the chart for the remainder of the active trading session. The visual style of these lines can be customized to Dotted, Dashed, or Solid.
3. Breakout and Reversal Logic: The indicator actively tracks the market's state relative to the OR levels to generate four distinct signals:
Break Up: A signal is generated when the closing price crosses over the OR High, indicating potential upward momentum.
Break Down: A signal is generated when the closing price crosses under the OR Low, indicating potential downward momentum.
Reversal Down: This yellow signal occurs only after a price has already broken above the OR High (Break Up state), and then the price moves back into the range (closing below the ORH), suggesting a failed breakout.
Reversal Up: This yellow signal occurs only after a price has already broken below the OR Low (Break Down state), and then the price moves back into the range (closing above the ORL), suggesting a failed breakdown.
💡 Suggested Use Cases
The signals generated by this indicator can be used in two primary ways:
Breakout Trading: A trader may enter a long position on a "Break Up" signal or a short position on a "Break Down" signal. A common risk management practice is to use the opposite OR level (ORL for long trades, ORH for short trades) as a stop-loss reference.
Faded Breakout / Reversal Trading: Look for the yellow "Reversal Up" or "Reversal Down" signals. These signals indicate a rejection of the OR level, and a trader may take a counter-trend position with the expectation that the price will return to the consolidation range or move toward the opposite OR level.
⚠️ Educational Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and illustrative purposes only. It provides technical signals based on mathematical calculation of price action and should not be construed as financial advice, trading advice, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading carries a high level of risk, and you may lose more than your initial deposit. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Probability-Based Adaptive Detection🙏🏻 PBAD (Probability-Based Adaptive Detection) : adaptive control tool for outliers || novelty detection, made for worst case data & processes, for the highest time complexity O(n^2) compared with the alternatives (would be explained in a sec). Thresholds are completely data driven and axiomatic, no need in provided hyperparameters, are not learned or optimized. The method accepts multiple weights, e.g. both temporal and volatility weights.
Method briefly explained (I can go deeper if any1 asks explicitly):
Performs weighted KDE on initial input data, finds KDE global maximum (mode), creates new “residuals” dataset by centering initial data around this value;
Performs weighted KDE on residuals, uses sigmoid based probability mass targets with increasing probability coverage to construct a set of non-disjoint High Density Intervals (also called HDR, HPD in Bayesian terms);
Uses these intervals to calculate analogs of centralized & standardized moments;
Uses these ^^ moments to construct a set of control thresholds. The scheme used in PBAD is not only based on a central threshold, or on neighboring ones, it utilizes all previous thresholds, gaining more information.
...
The most important part is to understand whether you really need PBAD. Because even tho it seems to be the best one given highest algocomplexity, irl it would work worse in cases when it’s not required by your data.
Here’s the menu (aka taxonomy omg) of methods you can use that would let you make the right choice:
Moment-Based Adaptive Detection (MBAD) :
Norm: L2
Time complexity: original O(n), successfully reduced to O(1) in online version
Use case: default, general purpose
Based on: method of moments (powers of residuals from mean)
Thresholds architecture: centralized
Quantile-Based Adaptive Detection (QBAD):
Norm: L1
Time complexity: O(nlogn)
Use case: either bad data Or process instability
Based on: quantile moments (dyadic percentiles of residuals from median)
Thresholds architecture: chained/recursive/sequential
Probability-Based Adaptive Detection (PBAD):
Norm: L0
Time complexity: O(n^2)
Use case: both bad data And process instability
Based on: probability moments (target probability masses of residuals from KDE mode)
Thresholds architecture: decentralized (for lack of a better name xd, the idea is that these thresholds gain information from the all other threshold and are Not exclusively based on the central or neighboring thresholds)
...
Examples of true use cases:
^^ an appropriate financial instrument to use PBAD
^^ and another one
...
Additional details about how to use it:
Keep the student5 kernel, it’s the best you can do. I added others mostly for comparisons and if you want to use the tool Not for its primary purpose (on a fine data)
“Calculate for N bars” and “Starting at bar N” options allow to reduce calculation period only on the N number of last bars or next bars from a chosen one. It's vital, because calculations here are heavy
Keep plotting offset at 1 (allows to visually compare current bar with the previous threshold values). This is the way it should be done on price data.
HLC3 is the optimal source input, unless you want to use your own better one point estimate of each datapoint (in the best case done by using PBAD itself on OHLC+ values).
In essence it should be used just like MBAD or QBAD, fade/push extensions and limit, fade/push/skip deviations & basis, or other strategies of your. Again, the only reason for 3 methods to exist is to be chosen for according data characteristics.
Btw:
This is the initial version, I don’t consider it perfected tbh, even tho it works as expected, however this method is very situational anyways.
In this script KDE function is modified to ensure the outcoming probabilities Do sum up to 1. I didn’t do this normalization in Weighted KDE Mode script , but there it’s not required since we just need a KDE global max.
see ya
∞
EMA Slope Angle V2 Auto Threshold# EMA Slope Angle Indicator
## Overview
The EMA Slope Angle Indicator visualizes the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) slope as an angle in degrees, providing traders with a clear, quantitative measure of trend strength and direction. The indicator features **automatic threshold calculation based on Gaussian distribution**, making it adaptive to any market and timeframe.
## Key Features
### 🎯 **Automatic Threshold Calculation (NEW!)**
- **Gaussian Distribution-Based**: Automatically calculates optimal thresholds from the 50% interquartile range (IQR) of historical angle data
- **Asset-Adaptive**: Thresholds adjust to each instrument's unique volatility and price characteristics
- **No Manual Tuning Required**: Simply enable "Use Auto Thresholds" and let the indicator optimize itself
### 📊 **Dynamic EMA Coloring**
- **Color Intensity**: EMA line color intensity reflects slope strength
- **Visual Feedback**:
- Green shades for uptrends (darker = stronger)
- Red shades for downtrends (darker = stronger)
- Gray for flat/neutral conditions
### 📈 **Regime Detection**
- **Three Regimes**: RISING, FALLING, and FLAT
- **Smart Classification**: Based on statistical distribution of angles
- **Non-Repainting**: All calculations use confirmed bars only
### 🔔 **Trend-Shift Signals**
- **Visual Arrows**: Automatic signals when transitioning from FLAT to RISING/FALLING
- **Configurable**: Enable/disable signals as needed
- **Reliable**: Only triggers on significant regime changes
### 📋 **KPI Dashboard**
- **Real-Time Metrics**: Current angle, regime, and last signal
- **Auto-Threshold Display**: Shows calculated thresholds when auto-mode is active
- **Statistics**: Optional angle distribution statistics
- **Clean Layout**: Top-right corner, non-intrusive
### 📊 **Angle Statistics (Optional)**
- **Distribution Analysis**: Histogram of angle ranges
- **Dynamic Buckets**: Automatically adjusts to data distribution when auto-mode is enabled
- **Percentage Breakdown**: See how often each angle range occurs
## Settings
### Main Settings
- **EMA Length**: Period for the Exponential Moving Average (default: 50)
- **Slope Lookback Bars**: Number of bars to calculate slope over (default: 5)
### Angle Settings
- **Use Auto Thresholds**: Enable automatic threshold calculation (recommended!)
- **Analysis Period**: Number of bars to analyze for distribution (default: 500)
- **Manual Thresholds**: Flat, Rising, and Falling triggers (used when auto-mode is off)
- **Max Angle for Color Saturation**: Maximum angle for color intensity scaling
### Display Options
- **Colors**: Customize uptrend, downtrend, and flat colors
- **Show Signals**: Enable/disable trend-shift arrows
- **Show Statistics**: Display angle distribution table
- **Show Dashboard**: Toggle KPI dashboard visibility
## How It Works
### Angle Calculation
The indicator calculates the angle between the current EMA value and the EMA value N bars ago:
```
Angle = arctan((EMA_now - EMA_then) / lookback) × 180° / π
```
### Auto-Threshold Calculation
When enabled, the indicator:
1. Analyzes historical angle data over the specified period
2. Calculates mean and standard deviation
3. Determines thresholds based on the 50% interquartile range (IQR):
- **Flat Threshold**: ±0.674σ (middle 50% of data)
- **Rising Trigger**: 75th percentile (mean + 0.674σ)
- **Falling Trigger**: 25th percentile (mean - 0.674σ)
### Regime Classification
- **FLAT**: Angle within ±Flat Threshold
- **RISING**: Angle ≥ Rising Trigger
- **FALLING**: Angle ≤ Falling Trigger
## Use Cases
### Trend Following
- Identify strong trends (high angle values)
- Spot trend reversals (regime changes)
- Filter trades based on trend strength
### Range Trading
- Detect flat/consolidation periods
- Avoid trading during choppy markets
- Enter when regime shifts from FLAT to RISING/FALLING
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis
- Apply to different timeframes for confirmation
- Use higher timeframe for trend direction
- Use lower timeframe for entry timing
## Tips for Best Results
1. **Enable Auto-Thresholds**: Let the indicator adapt to your instrument
2. **Adjust Analysis Period**: Use more bars for stable markets, fewer for volatile ones
3. **Combine with Price Action**: Use regime changes as confirmation, not standalone signals
4. **Multi-Timeframe**: Check higher timeframes for trend context
5. **Backtest First**: Test settings on historical data before live trading
## Technical Details
- **Non-Repainting**: All calculations use `barstate.isconfirmed`
- **Pine Script v6**: Latest version for optimal performance
- **Efficient**: Minimal computational overhead
- **Customizable**: Extensive settings for fine-tuning
## Version History
**v2.0** (Current)
- Added automatic threshold calculation based on Gaussian distribution
- Dynamic bucket adjustment for statistics
- Enhanced dashboard with auto-threshold display
- Improved regime detection using IQR method
**v1.0**
- Initial release with manual thresholds
- Basic EMA coloring
- Trend-shift signals
- KPI dashboard
## Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please leave a comment or contact the author.
---
**Disclaimer**: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
**Keywords**: EMA, slope, angle, trend, automatic thresholds, Gaussian distribution, regime detection, non-repainting, adaptive
Intraday Volume Pulse GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA📊 Intraday Volume Pulse — by GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
Overview:
This indicator displays a simple and effective intraday volume summary in table format, starting from a user-defined session time. It provides an approximate breakdown of buy volume, sell volume, cumulative delta, and total volume — all updated in real-time.
🧠 Key Features
✅ Session Start Control
Choose the session start hour and minute (default is 09:15 for NSE).
🌐 Timezone Selector
View volume data in your preferred timezone: IST, GMT, EST, CST, etc.
📈 Buy/Sell Volume Estimation Logic
Buy Volume: When candle closes above open
Sell Volume: When candle closes below open
Equal: Volume split equally if Open == Close
🔄 Daily Auto-Reset
All volume metrics reset at the start of a new trading day.
🎨 Color-Coded Volume Insights
Buy Volume: Green shade if positive
Sell Volume: Red shade if positive
Cumulative Delta: Dynamic red/green based on net pressure
Total Volume: Neutral gray with emphasis text
🧾 Readable Number Formatting
Volumes are displayed in "K", "L", and "Cr" units for easier readability.
📌 Table Positioning
Choose from top/bottom corners to best fit your layout.
⚠️ Note
All data shown is approximate and based on candle structure — it does not reflect actual order book or tick-level data. This is a visual estimation tool to guide real-time intraday decisions.
✍️ Signature
GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
Creator of practical TradingView tools focused on volume dynamics and trader psychology.
HMA & RSI Delta Hybrid SignalsA lag-free trend follower combining Hull Moving Average (HMA) with RSI Momentum Delta to filter false signals and catch high-probability reversals.
# 🚀 HMA & RSI Delta Hybrid Signals
This indicator represents a hybrid approach to trend trading by combining the smoothness of the **Hull Moving Average (HMA)** with the explosive detection capabilities of **RSI Momentum Delta**.
Unlike standard indicators that rely solely on price crossovers, this tool confirms the trend direction with the *velocity* of the price change (Momentum Delta), reducing false signals in choppy markets.
### 🧠 How It Works?
**1. Trend Detection (HMA):**
The script uses the **Hull Moving Average**, known for being extremely fast and lag-free, to determine the overall market direction.
* **Orange Line:** Represents the HMA Trend. The slope determines if we are in an Uptrend or Downtrend.
**2. Momentum Confirmation (RSI Delta):**
Instead of looking at raw RSI levels (like 70 or 30), this algorithm calculates the **"Delta"** (Absolute change from the previous bar).
* It asks: *"Is the price moving in the trend direction with enough speed?"*
* If the RSI jumps significantly (determined by the `Delta Threshold`), it confirms a strong entry.
### 🎯 Signal Modes (Sensitivity)
You can choose between two modes depending on your trading style:
* **🛡️ Conservative Mode (Default):**
* Strict filtering.
* Requires the Trend to match the HMA direction AND the RSI Delta to exceed the specific threshold (e.g., 0.8).
* *Best for:* Avoiding false signals in sideways markets.
* **⚔️ Aggressive Mode:**
* Faster entries.
* Requires the Trend to match the HMA direction AND any positive momentum change in RSI.
* *Best for:* Scalping or catching the very beginning of a move.
### ✨ Key Features
* **Non-Repainting Signals:** Once a bar closes, the signal is fixed.
* **Non-Repeating:** It will not spam multiple "BUY" signals in a row; it waits for a trend change or reset.
* **Visual Trend:** Background color changes based on the HMA slope (Green for Bullish, Purple for Bearish).
* **Fully Customizable:** Adjust HMA length, RSI period, and Delta sensitivity.
---
**⚠️ DISCLAIMER:** This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Always manage your risk.
EM Levelsstdv levels for you using VIX and VXN for ES and NQ so hopefully it helps you try it out and have fun
SigmaFlowSigmaFlow is a professional signal management connector designed to work with the SigmaFlow app. This indicator allows traders to structure trade setups (Entry, Stop Loss, TP1, TP2) on TradingView and send them into the SigmaFlow platform, where signals are managed, tracked, and delivered to Telegram.
Professional signal management — from TradingView to Telegram.
How SigmaFlow Works:
Sends trade data from TradingView to Telegram via the SigmaFlow platform.
SigmaFlow handles signal management, organization, history tracking, performance metrics, and Telegram delivery.
What It Does NOT Do:
Does not generate trading signals
Does not provide investment advice
Does not execute trades
Requirements:
TradingView plan with webhook alerts*
Active SigmaFlow account*
Disclaimer
SigmaFlow is a signal management and delivery tool only. All trade ideas are created manually by users. Trading involves risk and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Session HeatmapIntraday Seasonality
Overview
Analyzes historical patterns by time of day. Identifies when volatility, volume, and open interest changes tend to be highest or lowest.
Features
Multiple Metrics: TR (volatility), Volume, and Open Interest changes
Flexible Grouping: View patterns by weekday or month to spot day-of-week or seasonal effects
Heatmap Visualization: Blue (low) to Red (high) color scale for quick pattern recognition
Percentile Mode: Reduces outlier impact by using 5th-95th percentile range
Timezone Support: Display in UTC alongside your local time
Metrics Explained
TR: Volatility - when markets move most
Volume: Liquidity - when participation is highest
OI Increase: When new positions are opened
OI Decrease: When positions are closed
OI Net: Net open interest change
Usage
Set your timezone and preferred slot size (30min/1H)
Choose a date range (relative or custom)
Select a metric to analyze
Use "Group By" to see weekday or monthly patterns
Switch to Percentile color scale if outliers dominate
Notes
Chart timeframe should be equal to or smaller than Slot Size
OI metrics require Binance Perpetual symbols
DST is not automatically adjusted; consider seasonal shifts for US/EU sessions
BTC - Bitcoin Strategic Dashboard by RM Title: BTC - Bitcoin Strategic Dashboard | RM
Overview & Philosophy
The Bitcoin Strategic Dashboard is a comprehensive analytics tool designed to provide deeper market context beyond simple price action.
While a standard chart displays price history, this dashboard focuses on the structural health of the market. It aims to answer clearer questions: Is the asset statistically overextended? Is the current volatility compressed or expanding? How is Bitcoin currently correlating with traditional equity markets?
This script aggregates key data points—Performance, Risk, Valuation, and Macro Correlations—into a single, organized table. It is designed to be a quiet, high-density reference tool that sits unobtrusively in the corner of your screen, helping to contextualize daily price movements without cluttering your workspace.
Methodology & Module Breakdown
The dashboard is divided into 5 strategic modules. Here is exactly how to read them, how they are calculated, and how to interpret the data.
1. PERFORMANCE
This section answers: "Is Bitcoin actually beating the traditional market, and by how much?"
BTC Return : The raw percentage growth of Bitcoin.
Timeframes: 1-Year (Tactical Trend) and 4-Year (The Halving Cycle).
Alpha (vs SPX / Gold):
Meaning : "Alpha" measures true outperformance. It tells you how much better your capital worked in Bitcoin compared to the S&P 500 (Stocks) or Gold.
Calculation : We use a Relative Growth Ratio. Instead of simple subtraction, we calculate the growth factor of BTC divided by the growth factor of the Benchmark.
Interpretation :
Green: Bitcoin is outperforming. It is the superior vehicle for capital.
Red: Bitcoin is underperforming traditional assets (Opportunity Cost is high).
2. RISK PROFILE
This section answers: "How dangerous is the market right now?"
Drawdown (DD):
Meaning : The percentage loss from the 1-Year High.
Interpretation : Deep Drawdowns (e.g., > -50%) historically signal generational buying opportunities (Deep Red). Small Drawdowns (< -5%) signal we are near "Discovery Mode" (Blue/Green).
Sharpe Ratio:
Meaning : The industry standard for "Risk-Adjusted Return." It asks: "Is the profit worth the stress?"
Timeframe : Annualized over 365 Days.
Interpretation :
> 1.0: Good. The return justifies the risk.
> 2.0: Excellent. (Dark Green).
< 0.0: Bad. You are taking risk for negative returns.
Sortino Ratio:
Meaning : Similar to Sharpe, but it only counts downside volatility as "risk." Bitcoin often rallies aggressively (Good Volatility); Sortino ignores the upside "risk" and focuses only on minimizing losses.
Volatility (Vol) & Rank:
Meaning : How violently the price is moving.
Calculation : We compare the current 30-Day Volatility against the last 4 Years of volatility history (Rank 0-100).
Interpretation (The Squeeze Strategy) :
BLUE (Cold / <25%): Volatility is historically low. The market is "compressed." Big moves often follow these periods.
RED (Hot / >75%): Volatility is extreme. High risk of mean reversion or panic.
3. VALUATION & MOMENTUM
This section answers: "Is Bitcoin cheap or expensive?"
Mayer Multiple (MM):
Meaning: A "Godfather" of Bitcoin ratios.
Calculation : Current Price divided by the 200-Day Moving Average.
Interpretation :
< 0.8 (Blue): Historically "Cheap."
1.0: Fair Value (Price = Trend).
> 2.4 (Red): Speculative Bubble territory.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Timeframe : 14 Days.
Interpretation : >70 suggests the market is overheated (Red). <30 suggests oversold conditions (Blue).
Trend (ADX) :
Meaning : The Average Directional Index measures the strength of a trend, not the direction.
Interpretation : Values >25 (Green) indicate a strong trend is present. Values <20 (Gray) indicate a choppy/sideways market (no trend).
vs 200W (Macro):
Meaning : The distance to the 200-Week Moving Average.
Interpretation : This line is historically the "Cycle Bottom" or "Absolute Support" for Bitcoin. Being close to it (or below it) is rare and often marks cycle lows.
4. MACRO CORRELATIONS
This section answers: "Is Bitcoin moving on its own, or just following the Stock Market?"
vs TradFi (SPX):
Timeframe : 90-Day Correlation Coefficient.
Interpretation :
High Positive (Red): BTC is just acting like a tech stock. No "Safe Haven" status.
Negative/Zero (Green): BTC is "decoupled." It is moving independently of Wall Street.
vs DXY (US Dollar):
Interpretation : Bitcoin usually moves inverse to the Dollar.
Negative (Green): Normal healthy behavior.
Positive (Red): Warning signal. If both DXY and BTC rise, something is breaking in the system.
5. HISTORICAL LEDGER
A Year-by-Year breakdown of returns.
Feature : You can toggle the comparison column in the settings to compare Bitcoin against either S&P 500 or Gold.
Usage : Helps visualize the cyclical nature of returns (e.g., the 4-year cycle pattern of Green-Green-Green-Red).
How to Read the Visuals (Heatmap)
The dashboard uses a standardized Bloomberg-style heatmap to let you assess the market state in milliseconds:
🟢 Green: Profit / Good Performance / Positive Alpha.
🔴 Red: Loss / Overheating / High Risk.
🔵 Blue: "Cold" / Cheap / Low Volatility (Potential Buy Zones).
🟠 Orange: Warning / High Drawdown.
⚫ Gray/Black: Neutral or Fair Value.
Settings & Customization
Visuals: Change the text size (Tiny, Small, Normal) to fit your screen resolution.
Modules: You can toggle individual sections on/off to save screen space.
Calculation: Switch the Historical Benchmark between "S&P 500" and "Gold" depending on your thesis.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. The metrics provided (Sharpe, Sortino, Mayer Multiple) are derived from historical data and do not guarantee future performance. "Cheap" (Low Mayer Multiple) does not mean the price cannot go lower. Always manage your own risk.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, bloomberg, terminal, dashboard, onchain, mayer multiple, sharpe ratio, volatility, alpha, risk management, Rob Maths
Expectativa de Juros (Fed)An indicator that measures future expectations for US interest rates, measured by the difference between the Fed's interest rate and pricing on the CME.
ORB Fusion🎯 CORE INNOVATION: INSTITUTIONAL ORB FRAMEWORK WITH FAILED BREAKOUT INTELLIGENCE
ORB Fusion represents a complete institutional-grade Opening Range Breakout system combining classic Market Profile concepts (Initial Balance, day type classification) with modern algorithmic breakout detection, failed breakout reversal logic, and comprehensive statistical tracking. Rather than simply drawing lines at opening range extremes, this system implements the full trading methodology used by professional floor traders and market makers—including the critical concept that failed breakouts are often higher-probability setups than successful breakouts .
The Opening Range Hypothesis:
The first 30-60 minutes of trading establishes the day's value area —the price range where the majority of participants agree on fair value. This range is formed during peak information flow (overnight news digestion, gap reactions, early institutional positioning). Breakouts from this range signal directional conviction; failures to hold breakouts signal trapped participants and create exploitable reversals.
Why Opening Range Matters:
1. Information Aggregation : Opening range reflects overnight news, pre-market sentiment, and early institutional orders. It's the market's initial "consensus" on value.
2. Liquidity Concentration : Stop losses cluster just outside opening range. Breakouts trigger these stops, creating momentum. Failed breakouts trap traders, forcing reversals.
3. Statistical Persistence : Markets exhibit range expansion tendency —when price accepts above/below opening range with volume, it often extends 1.0-2.0x the opening range size before mean reversion.
4. Institutional Behavior : Large players (market makers, institutions) use opening range as reference for the day's trading plan. They fade extremes in rotation days and follow breakouts in trend days.
Historical Context:
Opening Range Breakout methodology originated in commodity futures pits (1970s-80s) where floor traders noticed consistent patterns: the first 30-60 minutes established a "fair value zone," and directional moves occurred when this zone was violated with conviction. J. Peter Steidlmayer formalized this observation in Market Profile theory, introducing the "Initial Balance" concept—the first hour (two 30-minute periods) defining market structure.
📊 OPENING RANGE CONSTRUCTION
Four ORB Timeframe Options:
1. 5-Minute ORB (0930-0935 ET):
Captures immediate market direction during "opening drive"—the explosive first few minutes when overnight orders hit the tape.
Use Case:
• Scalping strategies
• High-frequency breakout trading
• Extremely liquid instruments (ES, NQ, SPY)
Characteristics:
• Very tight range (often 0.2-0.5% of price)
• Early breakouts common (7 of 10 days break within first hour)
• Higher false breakout rate (50-60%)
• Requires sub-minute chart monitoring
Psychology: Captures panic buyers/sellers reacting to overnight news. Range is small because sample size is minimal—only 5 minutes of price discovery. Early breakouts often fail because they're driven by retail FOMO rather than institutional conviction.
2. 15-Minute ORB (0930-0945 ET):
Balances responsiveness with statistical validity. Captures opening drive plus initial reaction to that drive.
Use Case:
• Day trading strategies
• Balanced scalping/swing hybrid
• Most liquid instruments
Characteristics:
• Moderate range (0.4-0.8% of price typically)
• Breakout rate ~60% of days
• False breakout rate ~40-45%
• Good balance of opportunity and reliability
Psychology: Includes opening panic AND the first retest/consolidation. Sophisticated traders (institutions, algos) start expressing directional bias. This is the "Goldilocks" timeframe—not too reactive, not too slow.
3. 30-Minute ORB (0930-1000 ET):
Classic ORB timeframe. Default for most professional implementations.
Use Case:
• Standard intraday trading
• Position sizing for full-day trades
• All liquid instruments (equities, indices, futures)
Characteristics:
• Substantial range (0.6-1.2% of price)
• Breakout rate ~55% of days
• False breakout rate ~35-40%
• Statistical sweet spot for extensions
Psychology: Full opening auction + first institutional repositioning complete. By 10:00 AM ET, headlines are digested, early stops are hit, and "real" directional players reveal themselves. This is when institutional programs typically finish their opening positioning.
Statistical Advantage: 30-minute ORB shows highest correlation with daily range. When price breaks and holds outside 30m ORB, probability of reaching 1.0x extension (doubling the opening range) exceeds 60% historically.
4. 60-Minute ORB (0930-1030 ET) - Initial Balance:
Steidlmayer's "Initial Balance"—the foundation of Market Profile theory.
Use Case:
• Swing trading entries
• Day type classification
• Low-frequency institutional setups
Characteristics:
• Wide range (0.8-1.5% of price)
• Breakout rate ~45% of days
• False breakout rate ~25-30% (lowest)
• Best for trend day identification
Psychology: Full first hour captures A-period (0930-1000) and B-period (1000-1030). By 10:30 AM ET, all early positioning is complete. Market has "voted" on value. Subsequent price action confirms (trend day) or rejects (rotation day) this value assessment.
Initial Balance Theory:
IB represents the market's accepted value area . When price extends significantly beyond IB (>1.5x IB range), it signals a Trend Day —strong directional conviction. When price remains within 1.0x IB, it signals a Rotation Day —mean reversion environment. This classification completely changes trading strategy.
🔬 LTF PRECISION TECHNOLOGY
The Chart Timeframe Problem:
Traditional ORB indicators calculate range using the chart's current timeframe. This creates critical inaccuracies:
Example:
• You're on a 5-minute chart
• ORB period is 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET)
• Indicator sees only 6 bars (30min ÷ 5min/bar = 6 bars)
• If any 5-minute bar has extreme wick, entire ORB is distorted
The Problem Amplifies:
• On 15-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 2 bars sampled
• On 30-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 1 bar sampled
• Opening spike or single large wick defines entire range (invalid)
Solution: Lower Timeframe (LTF) Precision:
ORB Fusion uses `request.security_lower_tf()` to sample 1-minute bars regardless of chart timeframe:
```
For 30-minute ORB on 15-minute chart:
- Traditional method: Uses 2 bars (15min × 2 = 30min)
- LTF Precision: Requests thirty 1-minute bars, calculates true high/low
```
Why This Matters:
Scenario: ES futures, 15-minute chart, 30-minute ORB
• Traditional ORB: High = 5850.00, Low = 5842.00 (range = 8 points)
• LTF Precision ORB: High = 5848.50, Low = 5843.25 (range = 5.25 points)
Difference: 2.75 points distortion from single 15-minute wick hitting 5850.00 at 9:31 AM then immediately reversing. LTF precision filters this out by seeing it was a fleeting wick, not a sustained high.
Impact on Extensions:
With inflated range (8 points vs 5.25 points):
• 1.5x extension projects +12 points instead of +7.875 points
• Difference: 4.125 points (nearly $200 per ES contract)
• Breakout signals trigger late; extension targets unreachable
Implementation:
```pinescript
getLtfHighLow() =>
float ha = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", high)
float la = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", low)
```
Function returns arrays of 1-minute high/low values, then finds true maximum and minimum across all samples.
When LTF Precision Activates:
Only when chart timeframe exceeds ORB session window:
• 5-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF used (chart TF > session bars needed)
• 1-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF not needed (direct sampling sufficient)
Recommendation: Always enable LTF Precision unless you're on 1-minute charts. The computational overhead is negligible, and accuracy improvement is substantial.
⚖️ INITIAL BALANCE (IB) FRAMEWORK
Steidlmayer's Market Profile Innovation:
J. Peter Steidlmayer developed Market Profile in the 1980s for the Chicago Board of Trade. His key insight: market structure is best understood through time-at-price (value area) rather than just price-over-time (traditional charts).
Initial Balance Definition:
IB is the price range established during the first hour of trading, subdivided into:
• A-Period : First 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET for US equities)
• B-Period : Second 30 minutes (1000-1030 ET)
A-Period vs B-Period Comparison:
The relationship between A and B periods forecasts the day:
B-Period Expansion (Bullish):
• B-period high > A-period high
• B-period low ≥ A-period low
• Interpretation: Buyers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bullish continuation likely
• Strategy: Buy pullbacks to A-period high (now support)
B-Period Expansion (Bearish):
• B-period low < A-period low
• B-period high ≤ A-period high
• Interpretation: Sellers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bearish continuation likely
• Strategy: Sell rallies to A-period low (now resistance)
B-Period Contraction:
• B-period stays within A-period range
• Interpretation: Market indecisive, digesting A-period information
• Implication: Rotation day likely, stay range-bound
• Strategy: Fade extremes, sell high/buy low within IB
IB Extensions:
Professional traders use IB as a ruler to project price targets:
Extension Levels:
• 0.5x IB : Initial probe outside value (minor target)
• 1.0x IB : Full extension (major target for normal days)
• 1.5x IB : Trend day threshold (classifies as trending)
• 2.0x IB : Strong trend day (rare, ~10-15% of days)
Calculation:
```
IB Range = IB High - IB Low
Bull Extension 1.0x = IB High + (IB Range × 1.0)
Bear Extension 1.0x = IB Low - (IB Range × 1.0)
```
Example:
ES futures:
• IB High: 5850.00
• IB Low: 5842.00
• IB Range: 8.00 points
Extensions:
• 1.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 8 = 5858.00
• 1.5x Bull Target: 5850 + 12 = 5862.00
• 2.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 16 = 5866.00
If price reaches 5862.00 (1.5x), day is classified as Trend Day —strategy shifts from mean reversion to trend following.
📈 DAY TYPE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Four Day Types (Market Profile Framework):
1. TREND DAY:
Definition: Price extends ≥1.5x IB range in one direction and stays there.
Characteristics:
• Opens and never returns to IB
• Persistent directional movement
• Volume increases as day progresses (conviction building)
• News-driven or strong institutional flow
Frequency: ~20-25% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Follow the trend, trail stops, let winners run
• DON'T: Fade extremes, take early profits
• Key: Add to position on pullbacks to previous extension level
• Risk: Getting chopped in false trend (see Failed Breakout section)
Example: FOMC decision, payroll report, earnings surprise—anything creating one-sided conviction.
2. NORMAL DAY:
Definition: Price extends 0.5-1.5x IB, tests both sides, returns to IB.
Characteristics:
• Two-sided trading
• Extensions occur but don't persist
• Volume balanced throughout day
• Most common day type
Frequency: ~45-50% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Take profits at extension levels, expect reversals
• DON'T: Hold for massive moves
• Key: Treat each extension as a profit-taking opportunity
• Risk: Holding too long when momentum shifts
Example: Typical day with no major catalysts—market balancing supply and demand.
3. ROTATION DAY:
Definition: Price stays within IB all day, rotating between high and low.
Characteristics:
• Never accepts outside IB
• Multiple tests of IB high/low
• Decreasing volume (no conviction)
• Classic range-bound action
Frequency: ~25-30% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Fade extremes (sell IB high, buy IB low)
• DON'T: Chase breakouts
• Key: Enter at extremes with tight stops just outside IB
• Risk: Breakout finally occurs after multiple failures
Example: [/b> Pre-holiday trading, summer doldrums, consolidation after big move.
4. DEVELOPING:
Definition: Day type not yet determined (early in session).
Usage: Classification before 12:00 PM ET when IB extension pattern unclear.
ORB Fusion's Classification Algorithm:
```pinescript
if close > ibHigh:
ibExtension = (close - ibHigh) / ibRange
direction = "BULLISH"
else if close < ibLow:
ibExtension = (ibLow - close) / ibRange
direction = "BEARISH"
if ibExtension >= 1.5:
dayType = "TREND DAY"
else if ibExtension >= 0.5:
dayType = "NORMAL DAY"
else if close within IB:
dayType = "ROTATION DAY"
```
Why Classification Matters:
Same setup (bullish ORB breakout) has opposite implications:
• Trend Day : Hold for 2.0x extension, trail stops aggressively
• Normal Day : Take profits at 1.0x extension, watch for reversal
• Rotation Day : Fade the breakout immediately (likely false)
Knowing day type prevents catastrophic errors like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
🚀 BREAKOUT DETECTION & CONFIRMATION
Three Confirmation Methods:
1. Close Beyond Level (Recommended):
Logic: Candle must close above ORB high (bull) or below ORB low (bear).
Why:
• Filters out wicks (temporary liquidity grabs)
• Ensures sustained acceptance above/below range
• Reduces false breakout rate by ~20-30%
Example:
• ORB High: 5850.00
• Bar high touches 5850.50 (wick above)
• Bar closes at 5848.00 (inside range)
• Result: NO breakout signal
vs.
• Bar high touches 5850.50
• Bar closes at 5851.00 (outside range)
• Result: BREAKOUT signal confirmed
Trade-off: Slightly delayed entry (wait for close) but much higher reliability.
2. Wick Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Any touch of ORB high/low triggers breakout.
Why:
• Earliest possible entry
• Captures aggressive momentum moves
Risk:
• High false breakout rate (60-70%)
• Stop runs trigger signals
• Requires very tight stops (difficult to manage)
Use Case: Scalping with 1-2 point profit targets where any penetration = trade.
3. Body Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Candle body (close vs open) must be entirely outside range.
Why:
• Strictest confirmation
• Ensures directional conviction (not just momentum)
• Lowest false breakout rate
Example: Trade-off: [/b> Very conservative—misses some valid breakouts but rarely triggers on false ones.
Volume Confirmation Layer:
All confirmation methods can require volume validation:
Volume Multiplier Logic: Rationale: [/b> True breakouts are driven by institutional activity (large size). Volume spike confirms real conviction vs. stop-run manipulation.
Statistical Impact: [/b>
• Breakouts with volume confirmation: ~65% success rate
• Breakouts without volume: ~45% success rate
• Difference: 20 percentage points edge
Implementation Note: [/b>
Volume confirmation adds complexity—you'll miss breakouts that work but lack volume. However, when targeting 1.5x+ extensions (ambitious goals), volume confirmation becomes critical because those moves require sustained institutional participation.
Recommended Settings by Strategy: [/b>
Scalping (1-2 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: OFF
• Rationale: Quick in/out doesn't need perfection
Intraday Swing (5-10 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x multiplier)
• Rationale: Balance reliability and opportunity
Position Trading (full-day holds): [/b>
• Method: Body
• Volume: ON (2.0x multiplier)
• Rationale: Must be certain—large stops require high win rate
🔥 FAILED BREAKOUT SYSTEM
The Core Insight: [/b>
Failed breakouts are often more profitable [/b> than successful breakouts because they create trapped traders with predictable behavior.
Failed Breakout Definition: [/b>
A breakout that:
1. Initially penetrates ORB level with confirmation
2. Attracts participants (volume spike, momentum)
3. Fails to extend (stalls or immediately reverses)
4. Returns inside ORB range within N bars
Psychology of Failure: [/b>
When breakout fails:
• Breakout buyers are trapped [/b>: Bought at ORB high, now underwater
• Early longs reduce: Take profit, fearful of reversal
• Shorts smell blood: See failed breakout as reversal signal
• Result: Cascade of selling as trapped bulls exit + new shorts enter
Mirror image for failed bearish breakouts (trapped shorts cover + new longs enter).
Failure Detection Parameters: [/b>
1. Failure Confirmation Bars (default: 3): [/b>
How many bars after breakout to confirm failure?
Logic: Settings: [/b>
• 2 bars: Aggressive failure detection (more signals, more false failures)
• 3 bars Balanced (default)
• 5-10 bars: Conservative (wait for clear reversal)
Why This Matters:
Too few bars: You call "failed breakout" when price is just consolidating before next leg.
Too many bars: You miss the reversal entry (price already back in range).
2. Failure Buffer (default: 0.1 ATR): [/b>
How far inside ORB must price return to confirm failure?
Formula: Why Buffer Matters: clear rejection [/b> (not just hovering at level).
Settings: [/b>
• 0.0 ATR: No buffer, immediate failure signal
• 0.1 ATR: Small buffer (default) - filters noise
• [b>0.2-0.3 ATR: Large buffer - only dramatic failures count
Example: Reversal Entry System: [/b>
When failure confirmed, system generates complete reversal trade:
For Failed Bull Breakout (Short Reversal): [/b>
Entry: [/b> Current close when failure confirmed
Stop Loss: [/b> Extreme high since breakout + 0.10 ATR padding
Target 1: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 0.5)
Target 2: Target 3: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 1.5)
Example:
• ORB High: 5850, ORB Low: 5842, Range: 8 points
• Breakout to 5853, fails, reverses to 5848 (entry)
• Stop: 5853 + 1 = 5854 (6 point risk)
• T1: 5850 - 4 = 5846 (-2 points, 1:3 R:R)
• T2: 5850 - 8 = 5842 (-6 points, 1:1 R:R)
• T3: 5850 - 12 = 5838 (-10 points, 1.67:1 R:R)
[b>Why These Targets? [/b>
• T1 (0.5x ORB below high): Trapped bulls start panic
• T2 (1.0x ORB = ORB Mid): Major retracement, momentum fully reversed
• T3 (1.5x ORB): Reversal extended, now targeting opposite side
Historical Performance: [/b>
Failed breakout reversals in ORB Fusion's tracking system show:
• Win Rate: 65-75% (significantly higher than initial breakouts)
• Average Winner: 1.2x ORB range
• Average Loser: 0.5x ORB range (protected by stop at extreme)
• Expectancy: Strongly positive even with <70% win rate
Why Failed Breakouts Outperform: [/b>
1. Information Advantage: You now know what price did (failed to extend). Initial breakout trades are speculative; reversal trades are reactive to confirmed failure.
2. Trapped Participant Pressure: Every trapped bull becomes a seller. This creates sustained pressure.
3. Stop Loss Clarity: Extreme high is obvious stop (just beyond recent high). Breakout trades have ambiguous stops (ORB mid? Recent low? Too wide or too tight).
4. Mean Reversion Edge: Failed breakouts return to value (ORB mid). Initial breakouts try to escape value (harder to sustain).
Critical Insight: [/b>
"The best trade is often the one that trapped everyone else."
Failed breakouts create asymmetric opportunity because you're trading against [/b> trapped participants rather than with [/b> them. When you see a failed breakout signal, you're seeing real-time evidence that the market rejected directional conviction—that's exploitable.
📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSION SYSTEM
Six Extension Levels: [/b>
Extensions project how far price will travel after ORB breakout. Based on Fibonacci ratios + empirical market behavior.
1. 1.272x (27.2% Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.272)
Psychology: [/b> Initial probe beyond ORB. Early momentum + trapped shorts (on bull side) covering.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~75-80% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• First resistance/support after breakout
• Partial profit target (take 30-50% off)
• Watch for rejection here (could signal failure in progress)
Why 1.272? [/b> Related to harmonic patterns (1.272 is √1.618). Empirically, markets often stall at 25-30% extension before deciding whether to continue or fail.
2. 1.5x (50% Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.5)
Psychology: [/b> Breakout gaining conviction. Requires sustained buying/selling (not just momentum spike).
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~60-65% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Major partial profit (take 50-70% off)
• Move stops to breakeven
• Trail remaining position
Why 1.5x? [/b> Classic halfway point to 2.0x. Markets often consolidate here before final push. If day type is "Normal," this is likely the high/low for the day.
3. 1.618x (Golden Ratio Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.618)
Psychology: [/b> Strong directional day. Institutional conviction + retail FOMO.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~45-50% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Final partial profit (close 80-90%)
• Trail remainder with wide stop (allow breathing room)
Why 1.618? [/b> Fibonacci golden ratio. Appears consistently in market geometry. When price reaches 1.618x extension, move is "mature" and reversal risk increases.
4. 2.0x (100% Extension): [/b>
Formula: ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.0)
Psychology: [/b> Trend day confirmed. Opening range completely duplicated.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~30-35% after confirmed breakout
Trading: Why 2.0x? [/b> Psychological level—range doubled. Also corresponds to typical daily ATR in many instruments (opening range ~ 0.5 ATR, daily range ~ 1.0 ATR).
5. 2.618x (Super Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.618)
Psychology: [/b> Parabolic move. News-driven or squeeze.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~10-15% after confirmed breakout
[b>Trading: Why 2.618? [/b> Fibonacci ratio (1.618²). Rare to reach—when it does, move is extreme. Often precedes multi-day consolidation or reversal.
6. 3.0x (Extreme Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 2.0)
Psychology: [/b> Market melt-up/crash. Only in extreme events.
[b>Probability of Reach: [/b> <5% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Close immediately if reached
• These are outlier events (black swans, flash crashes, squeeze-outs)
• Holding for more is greed—take windfall profit
Why 3.0x? [/b> Triple opening range. So rare it's statistical noise. When it happens, it's headline news.
Visual Example:
ES futures, ORB 5842-5850 (8 point range), Bullish breakout:
• ORB High : 5850.00 (entry zone)
• 1.272x : 5850 + 2.18 = 5852.18 (first resistance)
• 1.5x : 5850 + 4.00 = 5854.00 (major target)
• 1.618x : 5850 + 4.94 = 5854.94 (strong target)
• 2.0x : 5850 + 8.00 = 5858.00 (trend day)
• 2.618x : 5850 + 12.94 = 5862.94 (extreme)
• 3.0x : 5850 + 16.00 = 5866.00 (parabolic)
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Optimal scaling out at extensions:
• Breakout entry at 5850.50
• 30% off at 1.272x (5852.18) → +1.68 points
• 40% off at 1.5x (5854.00) → +3.50 points
• 20% off at 1.618x (5854.94) → +4.44 points
• 10% off at 2.0x (5858.00) → +7.50 points
[b>Average Exit: Conclusion: [/b> Scaling out at extensions produces 40% higher expectancy than holding for home runs.
📊 GAP ANALYSIS & FILL PSYCHOLOGY
[b>Gap Definition: [/b>
Price discontinuity between previous close and current open:
• Gap Up : Open > Previous Close + noise threshold (0.1 ATR)
• Gap Down : Open < Previous Close - noise threshold
Why Gaps Matter: [/b>
Gaps represent unfilled orders [/b>. When market gaps up, all limit buy orders between yesterday's close and today's open are never filled. Those buyers are "left behind." Psychology: they wait for price to return ("fill the gap") so they can enter. This creates magnetic pull [/b> toward gap level.
Gap Fill Statistics (Empirical): [/b>
• Gaps <0.5% [/b>: 85-90% fill within same day
• Gaps 0.5-1.0% [/b>: 70-75% fill within same day, 90%+ within week
• Gaps >1.0% [/b>: 50-60% fill within same day (major news often prevents fill)
Gap Fill Strategy: [/b>
Setup 1: Gap-and-Go
Gap opens, extends away from gap (doesn't fill).
• ORB confirms direction away from gap
• Trade WITH ORB breakout direction
• Expectation: Gap won't fill today (momentum too strong)
Setup 2: Gap-Fill Fade
Gap opens, but fails to extend. Price drifts back toward gap.
• ORB breakout TOWARD gap (not away)
• Trade toward gap fill level
• Target: Previous close (gap fill complete)
Setup 3: Gap-Fill Rejection
Gap fills (touches previous close) then rejects.
• ORB breakout AWAY from gap after fill
• Trade away from gap direction
• Thesis: Gap filled (orders executed), now resume original direction
[b>Example: Scenario A (Gap-and-Go):
• ORB breaks upward to $454 (away from gap)
• Trade: LONG breakout, expect continued rally
• Gap becomes support ($452)
Scenario B (Gap-Fill):
• ORB breaks downward through $452.50 (toward gap)
• Trade: SHORT toward gap fill at $450.00
• Target: $450.00 (gap filled), close position
Scenario C (Gap-Fill Rejection):
• Price drifts to $450.00 (gap filled) early in session
• ORB establishes $450-$451 after gap fill
• ORB breaks upward to $451.50
• Trade: LONG breakout (gap is filled, now resume rally)
ORB Fusion Integration: [/b>
Dashboard shows:
• Gap type (Up/Down/None)
• Gap size (percentage)
• Gap fill status (Filled ✓ / Open)
This informs setup confidence:
• ORB breakout AWAY from unfilled gap: +10% confidence (gap becomes support/resistance)
• ORB breakout TOWARD unfilled gap: -10% confidence (gap fill may override ORB)
[b>📈 VWAP & INSTITUTIONAL BIAS [/b>
[b>Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): [/b>
Average price weighted by volume at each price level. Represents true "average" cost for the day.
[b>Calculation: Institutional Benchmark [/b>: Institutions (mutual funds, pension funds) use VWAP as performance benchmark. If they buy above VWAP, they underperformed; below VWAP, they outperformed.
2. [b>Algorithmic Target [/b>: Many algos are programmed to buy below VWAP and sell above VWAP to achieve "fair" execution.
3. [b>Support/Resistance [/b>: VWAP acts as dynamic support (price above) or resistance (price below).
[b>VWAP Bands (Standard Deviations): [/b>
• [b>1σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 1 standard deviation
- Contains ~68% of volume
- Normal trading range
- Bounces common
• [b>2σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 2 standard deviations
- Contains ~95% of volume
- Extreme extension
- Mean reversion likely
ORB + VWAP Confluence: [/b>
Highest-probability setups occur when ORB and VWAP align:
Bullish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout upward (bullish signal)
• Price above VWAP (institutional buying)
• Confidence boost: +15%
Bearish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout downward (bearish signal)
• Price below VWAP (institutional selling)
• Confidence boost: +15%
[b>Divergence Warning:
• ORB breakout upward BUT price below VWAP
• Conflict: Breakout says "buy," VWAP says "sell"
• Confidence penalty: -10%
• Interpretation: Retail buying but institutions not participating (lower quality breakout)
📊 MOMENTUM CONTEXT SYSTEM
[b>Innovation: Candle Coloring by Position
Rather than fixed support/resistance lines, ORB Fusion colors candles based on their [b>relationship to ORB :
[b>Three Zones: [/b>
1. Inside ORB (Blue Boxes): [/b>
[b>Calculation:
• Darker blue: Near extremes of ORB (potential breakout imminent)
• Lighter blue: Near ORB mid (consolidation)
[b>Trading: [/b> Coiled spring—await breakout.
[b>2. Above ORB (Green Boxes):
[b>Calculation: 3. Below ORB (Red Boxes):
Mirror of above ORB logic.
[b>Special Contexts: [/b>
[b>Breakout Bar (Darkest Green/Red): [/b>
The specific bar where breakout occurs gets maximum color intensity regardless of distance. This highlights the pivotal moment.
[b>Failed Breakout Bar (Orange/Warning): [/b>
When failed breakout is confirmed, that bar gets orange/warning color. Visual alert: "reversal opportunity here."
[b>Near Extension (Cyan/Magenta Tint): [/b>
When price is within 0.5 ATR of an extension level, candle gets tinted cyan (bull) or magenta (bear). Indicates "target approaching—prepare to take profit."
[b>Why Visual Context? [/b>
Traditional indicators show lines. ORB Fusion shows [b>context-aware momentum [/b>. Glance at chart:
• Lots of blue? Consolidation day (fade extremes).
• Progressive green? Trend day (follow).
• Green then orange? Failed breakout (reversal setup).
This visual language communicates market state instantly—no interpretation needed.
🎯 TRADE SETUP GENERATION & GRADING [/b>
[b>Algorithmic Setup Detection: [/b>
ORB Fusion continuously evaluates market state and generates current best trade setup with:
• Action (LONG / SHORT / FADE HIGH / FADE LOW / WAIT)
• Entry price
• Stop loss
• Three targets
• Risk:Reward ratio
• Confidence score (0-100)
• Grade (A+ to D)
[b>Setup Types: [/b>
[b>1. ORB LONG (Bullish Breakout): [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bullish ORB breakout confirmed
• Not failed
[b>Parameters:
• Entry: Current close
• Stop: ORB mid (protects against failure)
• T1: ORB High + 0.5x range (1.5x extension)
• T2: ORB High + 1.0x range (2.0x extension)
• T3: ORB High + 1.618x range (2.618x extension)
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bearish breakout occurred
• Failed (returned inside ORB)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: Close when failure confirmed
• Stop: Extreme low since breakout + 0.10 ATR
• T1: ORB Low + 0.5x range
• T2: ORB Low + 1.0x range (ORB mid)
• T3: ORB Low + 1.5x range
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger:
• Inside ORB
• Close > ORB mid (near high)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: ORB High (limit order)
• Stop: ORB High + 0.2x range
• T1: ORB Mid
• T2: ORB Low
[b>Confidence Scoring: [/b>
Base: 40 points (lower base—range fading is lower probability than breakout/reversal)
[b>Use Case: [/b> Rotation days. Not recommended on normal/trend days.
[b>6. FADE LOW (Range Trade):
Mirror of FADE HIGH.
[b>7. WAIT:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• ORB not complete yet OR
• No clear setup (price in no-man's-land)
[b>Action: [/b> Observe, don't trade.
[b>Confidence: [/b> 0 points
[b>Grading System:
```
Confidence → Grade
85-100 → A+
75-84 → A
65-74 → B+
55-64 → B
45-54 → C
0-44 → D
```
[b>Grade Interpretation: [/b>
• [b>A+ / A: High probability setup. Take these trades.
• [b>B+ / B [/b>: Decent setup. Trade if fits system rules.
• [b>C [/b>: Marginal setup. Only if very experienced.
• [b>D [/b>: Poor setup or no setup. Don't trade.
[b>Example Scenario: [/b>
ES futures:
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 point range)
• Bullish breakout to 5851 confirmed
• Volume: 2.0x average (confirmed)
• VWAP: 5845 (price above VWAP ✓)
• Day type: Developing (too early, no bonus)
• Gap: None
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Action: LONG
• Entry: 5851
• Stop: 5846 (ORB mid, -5 point risk)
• T1: 5854 (+3 points, 1:0.6 R:R)
• T2: 5858 (+7 points, 1:1.4 R:R)
• T3: 5862.94 (+11.94 points, 1:2.4 R:R)
[b>Confidence: LONG with 55% confidence.
Interpretation: Solid setup, not perfect. Trade it if your system allows B-grade signals.
[b>📊 STATISTICS TRACKING & PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS [/b>
[b>Real-Time Performance Metrics: [/b>
ORB Fusion tracks comprehensive statistics over user-defined lookback (default 50 days):
[b>Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Bull Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
• [b>Bear Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
[b>Win Definition: [/b> Breakout reaches ≥1.0x extension (doubles the opening range) before end of day.
[b>Example: [/b>
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 points)
• Bull breakout at 5851
• Reaches 5858 (1.0x extension) by close
• Result: WIN
[b>Failed Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Total Failed Breakouts [/b>: Count of breakouts that failed
• [b>Reversal Wins [/b>: Count where reversal trade reached target
• [b>Failed Reversal Win Rate [/b>: Wins / Total Failed
[b>Win Definition for Reversals: [/b>
• Failed bull → reversal short reaches ORB mid
• Failed bear → reversal long reaches ORB mid
[b>Extension Tracking: [/b>
• [b>Average Extension Reached [/b>: Mean of maximum extension achieved across all breakout days
• [b>Max Extension Overall [/b>: Largest extension ever achieved in lookback period
[b>Example: 🎨 THREE DISPLAY MODES
[b>Design Philosophy: [/b>
Not all traders need all features. Beginners want simplicity. Professionals want everything. ORB Fusion adapts.
[b>SIMPLE MODE: [/b>
[b>Shows: [/b>
• Primary ORB levels (High, Mid, Low)
• ORB box
• Breakout signals (triangles)
• Failed breakout signals (crosses)
• Basic dashboard (ORB status, breakout status, setup)
• VWAP
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• ORB extensions beyond basic levels
• Gap analysis visuals
• Statistics dashboard
• Momentum candle coloring
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Traders who want clean chart
• Focus on core ORB concept only
• Mobile trading (less screen space)
[b>STANDARD MODE:
[b>Shows Everything in Simple Plus: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels (high, low, mid)
• IB extensions
• ORB extensions (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x)
• Gap analysis and fill targets
• VWAP bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Momentum candle coloring
• Context section in dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Advanced extensions (2.618x, 3.0x)
• Detailed statistics dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Most traders
• Balance between information and clarity
• Covers 90% of use cases
[b>ADVANCED MODE:
[b>Shows Everything:
• All session ORBs
• All IB levels and extensions
• All ORB extensions (including 2.618x and 3.0x)
• Full gap analysis
• VWAP with both 1σ and 2σ bands
• Momentum candle coloring
• Complete statistics dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
• All context metrics
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Professional traders
• System developers
• Those who want maximum information density
[b>Switching Modes: [/b>
Single dropdown input: "Display Mode" → Simple / Standard / Advanced
Entire indicator adapts instantly. No need to toggle 20 individual settings.
📖 NARRATIVE DASHBOARD
[b>Innovation: Plain-English Market State [/b>
Most indicators show data. ORB Fusion explains what the data [b>means [/b>.
[b>Narrative Components: [/b>
[b>1. Phase: [/b>
• "📍 Building ORB..." (during ORB session)
• "📊 Trading Phase" (after ORB complete)
• "⏳ Pre-Market" (before ORB session)
[b>2. Status (Current Observation): [/b>
• "⚠️ Failed breakout - reversal likely"
• "🚀 Bullish momentum in play"
• "📉 Bearish momentum in play"
• "⚖️ Consolidating in range"
• "👀 Monitoring for setup"
[b>3. Next Level:
Tells you what to watch for:
• "🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00" (next extension target)
• "Watch ORB levels" (inside range, await breakout)
[b>4. Setup: [/b>
Current trade setup + grade:
• "LONG " (bullish breakout, A-grade)
• "🔥 SHORT REVERSAL " (failed bull breakout, A+-grade)
• "WAIT " (no setup)
[b>5. Reason: [/b>
Why this setup exists:
• "ORB Bullish Breakout"
• "Failed Bear Breakout - High Probability Reversal"
• "Range Fade - Near High"
[b>6. Tip (Market Insight):
Contextual advice:
• "🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops" (day type is trending)
• "🔄 ROTATION - Fade extremes" (day type is rotating)
• "📊 Gap unfilled - magnet level" (gap creates target)
• "📈 Normal conditions" (no special context)
[b>Example Narrative:
```
📖 ORB Narrative
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Phase | 📊 Trading Phase
Status | 🚀 Bullish momentum in play
Next | 🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00
📈 Setup | LONG
Reason | ORB Bullish Breakout
💡 Tip | 🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops
```
[b>Glance Interpretation: [/b>
"We're in trading phase. Bullish breakout happened (momentum in play). Next target is 1.5x extension at 5854. Current setup is LONG with A-grade. It's a trend day, so trail stops (don't take early profits)."
Complete market state communicated in 6 lines. No interpretation needed.
[b>Why This Matters:
Beginner traders struggle with "So what?" question. Indicators show lines and signals, but what does it mean [/b>? Narrative dashboard bridges this gap.
Professional traders benefit too—rapid context assessment during fast-moving markets. No time to analyze; glance at narrative, get action plan.
🔔 INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
[b>Four Alert Types: [/b>
[b>1. Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> ORB breakout confirmed (bull or bear)
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🚀 ORB BULLISH BREAKOUT
Price: 5851.00
Volume Confirmed
Grade: A
```
[b>Frequency: [/b> Once per bar (prevents spam)
[b>2. Failed Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Breakout fails, reversal setup generated
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🔥 FAILED BULLISH BREAKOUT!
HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT REVERSAL
Entry: 5848.00
Stop: 5854.00
T1: 5846.00
T2: 5842.00
Historical Win Rate: 73%
```
[b>Why Comprehensive? [/b> Failed breakout alerts include complete trade plan. You can execute immediately from alert—no need to check chart.
[b>3. Extension Alert:
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price reaches extension level for first time
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🎯 Bull Extension 1.5x reached @ 5854.00
```
[b>Use: [/b> Profit-taking reminder. When extension hit, consider scaling out.
[b>4. IB Break Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price breaks above IB high or below IB low
[b>Message: [/b>
```
📊 IB HIGH BROKEN - Potential Trend Day
```
[b>Use: [/b> Day type classification. IB break suggests trend day developing—adjust strategy to trend-following mode.
[b>Alert Management: [/b>
Each alert type can be enabled/disabled independently. Prevents notification overload.
[b>Cooldown Logic: [/b>
Alerts won't fire if same alert type triggered within last bar. Prevents:
• "Breakout" alert every tick during choppy breakout
• Multiple "extension" alerts if price oscillates at level
Ensures: One clean alert per event.
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
[b>Opening Range Settings: [/b>
• [b>ORB Timeframe [/b> (5/15/30/60 min): Duration of opening range window
- 30 min recommended for most traders
• [b>Use RTH Only [/b> (ON/OFF): Only trade during regular trading hours
- ON recommended (avoids thin overnight markets)
• [b>Use LTF Precision [/b> (ON/OFF): Sample 1-minute bars for accuracy
- ON recommended (critical for charts >1 minute)
• [b>Precision TF [/b> (1/5 min): Timeframe for LTF sampling
- 1 min recommended (most accurate)
[b>Session ORBs: [/b>
• [b>Show Asian/London/NY ORB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display multi-session ranges
- OFF in Simple mode
- ON in Standard/Advanced if trading 24hr markets
• [b>Session Windows [/b>: Time ranges for each session ORB
- Defaults align with major session opens
[b>Initial Balance: [/b>
• [b>Show IB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display Initial Balance levels
- ON recommended for day type classification
• [b>IB Session Window [/b> (0930-1030): First hour of trading
- Default is standard for US equities
• [b>Show IB Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project IB extension targets
- ON recommended (identifies trend days)
• [b>IB Extensions 1-4 [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x): Extension multipliers
- Defaults are Market Profile standard
[b>ORB Extensions: [/b>
• [b>Show Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project ORB extension targets
- ON recommended (defines profit targets)
• [b>Enable Individual Extensions [/b> (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x)
- Enable 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x minimum
- Disable 2.618x and 3.0x unless trading very volatile instruments
[b>Breakout Detection:
• [b>Confirmation Method [/b> (Close/Wick/Body):
- Close recommended (best balance)
- Wick for scalping
- Body for conservative
• [b>Require Volume Confirmation [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (increases reliability)
• [b>Volume Multiplier [/b> (1.0-3.0):
- 1.5x recommended
- Lower for thin instruments
- Higher for heavy volume instruments
[b>Failed Breakout System: [/b>
• [b>Enable Failed Breakouts [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON strongly recommended (highest edge)
• [b>Bars to Confirm Failure [/b> (2-10):
- 3 bars recommended
- 2 for aggressive (more signals, more false failures)
- 5+ for conservative (fewer signals, higher quality)
• [b>Failure Buffer [/b> (0.0-0.5 ATR):
- 0.1 ATR recommended
- Filters noise during consolidation near ORB level
• [b>Show Reversal Targets [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (visualizes trade plan)
• [b>Reversal Target Mults [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x):
- Defaults are tested values
- Adjust based on average daily range
[b>Gap Analysis:
• [b>Show Gap Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON if trading instruments that gap frequently
- OFF for 24hr markets (forex, crypto—no gaps)
• [b>Gap Fill Target [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON to visualize previous close (gap fill level)
[b>VWAP:
• [b>Show VWAP [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (key institutional level)
• [b>Show VWAP Bands [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON in Standard/Advanced
- OFF in Simple
• [b>Band Multipliers (1.0σ, 2.0σ):
- Defaults are standard
- 1σ = normal range, 2σ = extreme
[b>Day Type: [/b>
• [b>Show Day Type Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (critical for strategy adaptation)
• [b>Trend Day Threshold [/b> (1.0-2.5 IB mult):
- 1.5x recommended
- When price extends >1.5x IB, classifies as Trend Day
[b>Enhanced Visuals:
• [b>Show Momentum Candles [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for visual context
- OFF if chart gets too colorful
• [b>Show Gradient Zone Fills [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for professional look
- OFF for minimalist chart
• [b>Label Display Mode [/b> (All/Adaptive/Minimal):
- Adaptive recommended (shows nearby labels only)
- All for information density
- Minimal for clean chart
• [b>Label Proximity [/b> (1.0-5.0 ATR):
- 3.0 ATR recommended
- Labels beyond this distance are hidden (Adaptive mode)
[b>🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL [/b>
[b>Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Understand ORB concepts and dashboard interpretation
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Display Mode: STANDARD
• ORB Timeframe: 30 minutes
• Enable ALL features (IB, extensions, failed breakouts, VWAP, gap analysis)
• Enable statistics tracking
[b>Actions: [/b>
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe ORB formation every day (9:30-10:00 AM ET for US markets)
• Note when ORB breakouts occur and if they extend
• Note when breakouts fail and reversals happen
• Watch day type classification evolve during session
• Track statistics—which setups are working?
[b>Key Learning: [/b>
• How often do breakouts reach 1.5x extension? (typically 50-60% of confirmed breakouts)
• How often do breakouts fail? (typically 30-40%)
• Which setup grade (A/B/C) actually performs best? (should see A-grade outperforming)
• What day type produces best results? (trend days favor breakouts, rotation days favor fades)
[b>Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
[b>ORB Timeframe Selection:
• Run 5 days with 15-minute ORB
• Run 5 days with 30-minute ORB
• Compare: Which captures better breakouts on your instrument?
• Typically: 30-minute optimal for most, 15-minute for very liquid (ES, SPY)
[b>Volume Confirmation Testing:
• Run 5 days WITH volume confirmation
• Run 5 days WITHOUT volume confirmation
• Compare: Does volume confirmation increase win rate?
• If win rate improves by >5%: Keep volume confirmation ON
• If no improvement: Turn OFF (avoid missing valid breakouts)
[b>Failed Breakout Bars:
[b>Goal: [/b> Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
[b>Setup Selection Rules: [/b>
Define which setups you'll trade:
• [b>Conservative: [/b> Only A+ and A grades
• [b>Balanced: [/b> A+, A, B+ grades
• [b>Aggressive: [/b> All grades B and above
Test each approach for 5-10 trades, compare results.
[b>Position Sizing by Grade: [/b>
Consider risk-weighting by setup quality:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B+ grade: 50% position size
• B grade: 25% position size
Example: If max risk is $1000/trade:
• A+ setup: Risk $1000
• A setup: Risk $750
• B+ setup: Risk $500
This matches bet sizing to edge.
[b>Day Type Adaptation: [/b>
Create rules for different day types:
Trend Days:
• Take ALL breakout signals (A/B/C grades)
• Hold for 2.0x extension minimum
• Trail stops aggressively (1.0 ATR trail)
• DON'T fade—reversals unlikely
Rotation Days:
• ONLY take failed breakout reversals
• Ignore initial breakout signals (likely to fail)
• Take profits quickly (0.5x extension)
• Focus on fade setups (Fade High/Fade Low)
Normal Days:
• Take A/A+ breakout signals only
• Take ALL failed breakout reversals (high probability)
• Target 1.0-1.5x extensions
• Partial profit-taking at extensions
Time-of-Day Rules: [/b>
Breakouts at different times have different probabilities:
10:00-10:30 AM (Early Breakout):
• ORB just completed
• Fresh breakout
• Probability: Moderate (50-55% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Conservative position sizing
10:30-12:00 PM (Mid-Morning):
• Momentum established
• Volume still healthy
• Probability: High (60-65% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Standard position sizing
12:00-2:00 PM (Lunch Doldrums):
• Volume dries up
• Whipsaw risk increases
• Probability: Low (40-45% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Avoid new entries OR reduce size 50%
2:00-4:00 PM (Afternoon Session):
• Late-day positioning
• EOD squeezes possible
• Probability: Moderate-High (55-60%)
• Strategy: Watch for IB break—if trending all day, follow
[b>Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
[b>Setup: [/b>
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ and A grade setups
• Follow stop loss and targets religiously
[b>Execution: [/b>
• Execute from alerts OR from dashboard setup box
• Entry: Close of signal bar OR next bar market order
• Stop: Use exact stop from setup (don't widen)
• Targets: Scale out at T1/T2/T3 as indicated
[b>Tracking: [/b>
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, Outcome, Day Type
• Calculate: Win rate, Average R-multiple, Max consecutive losses
• Compare to paper trading results (should be within 15%)
[b>Red Flags: [/b>
• Win rate <45%: System not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
• Major divergence from paper trading: Execution issues (slippage, late entries, emotional exits)
• Max consecutive losses >8: Hitting rough patch OR market regime changed
[b>Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
[b>Goal: [/b> Gradually increase to full position size
[b>Progression: [/b>
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
[b>Milestones Required to Scale Up: [/b>
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥48%
• Profit factor ≥1.2
• Max drawdown <20%
• Emotional control (no revenge trading, no FOMO)
[b>Advanced Techniques:
[b>Multi-Timeframe ORB: Assumes first 30-60 minutes establish value. Violation: Market opens after major news, price discovery continues for hours (opening range meaningless).
2. [b>Volume Indicates Conviction: ES, NQ, RTY, SPY, QQQ—high liquidity, clean ORB formation, reliable extensions
• [b>Large-Cap Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap, >5M daily volume)
• [b>Liquid Futures: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), 6E (EUR/USD), ZB (bonds)—24hr markets benefit from session ORBs
• [b>Major Forex Pairs: [/b> EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY—London/NY session ORBs work well
[b>Performs Poorly On: [/b>
• [b>Illiquid Stocks: <$1M daily volume, wide spreads, gappy price action
• [b>Penny Stocks: [/b> Manipulated, pump-and-dump, no real price discovery
• [b>Low-Volume ETFs: Exotic sector ETFs, leveraged products with thin volume
• [b>Crypto on Sketchy Exchanges: Wash trading, spoofing invalidates volume analysis
• [b>Earnings Days: [/b> ORB completes before earnings release, then completely resets (useless)
• Binary Event Days: FDA approvals, court rulings—discontinuous price action
[b>Known Weaknesses: [/b>
• [b>Slow Starts: ORB doesn't complete until 10:00 AM (30-min ORB). Early morning traders have no signals for 30 minutes. Consider using 15-minute ORB if this is problematic.
• [b>Failure Detection Lag: [/b> Failed breakout requires 3+ bars to confirm. By the time system signals reversal, price may have already moved significantly back inside range. Manual traders watching in real-time can enter earlier.
• [b>Extension Overshoot: [/b> System projects extensions mathematically (1.5x, 2.0x, etc.). Actual moves may stop short (1.3x) or overshoot (2.2x). Extensions are targets, not magnets.
• [b>Day Type Misclassification: [/b> Early in session, day type is "Developing." By the time it's classified definitively (often 11:00 AM+), half the day is over. Strategy adjustments happen late.
• [b>Gap Assumptions: [/b> System assumes gaps want to fill. Strong trend days never fill gaps (gap becomes support/resistance forever). Blindly trading toward gaps can backfire on trend days.
• [b>Volume Data Quality: Forex doesn't have centralized volume (uses tick volume as proxy—less reliable). Crypto volume is often fake (wash trading). Volume confirmation less effective on these instruments.
• [b>Multi-Session Complexity: [/b> When using Asian/London/NY ORBs simultaneously, chart becomes cluttered. Requires discipline to focus on relevant session for current time.
[b>Risk Factors: [/b>
• [b>Opening Gaps: Large gaps (>2%) can create distorted ORBs. Opening range might be unusually wide or narrow, making extensions unreliable.
• [b>Low Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX <12, opening ranges can be tiny (0.2-0.3%). Extensions are equally tiny. Profit targets don't justify commission/slippage.
• [b>High Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX >30, opening ranges are huge (2-3%+). Extensions project unrealistic targets. Failed breakouts happen faster (volatility whipsaw).
• [b>Algorithm Dominance:[/b> In heavily algorithmic markets (ES during overnight session), ORB levels can be manipulated—algos pin price to ORB high/low intentionally. Breakouts become stop-runs rather than genuine directional moves.
[b>⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE[/b>
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Opening Range Breakout strategies, while based on sound market structure principles, do not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
The ORB Fusion indicator implements professional trading concepts including Opening Range theory, Market Profile Initial Balance analysis, Fibonacci extensions, and failed breakout reversal logic. These methodologies have theoretical foundations but past performance—whether backtested or live—is not indicative of future results.
Opening Range theory assumes the first 30-60 minutes of trading establish a meaningful value area and that breakouts from this range signal directional conviction. This assumption may not hold during:
• Major news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings surprises)
• Market structure changes (circuit breakers, trading halts)
• Low liquidity periods (holidays, early closures)
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Failed breakout detection relies on patterns of trapped participant behavior. While historically these patterns have shown statistical edges, market conditions change. Institutional algorithms, changing market structure, or regime shifts can reduce or eliminate edges that existed historically.
Initial Balance classification (trend day vs rotation day vs normal day) is a heuristic framework, not a deterministic prediction. Day type can change mid-session. Early classification may prove incorrect as the day develops.
Extension projections (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, etc.) are probabilistic targets derived from Fibonacci ratios and empirical market behavior. They are not "support and resistance levels" that price must reach or respect. Markets can stop short of extensions, overshoot them, or ignore them entirely.
Volume confirmation assumes high volume indicates institutional participation and conviction. In algorithmic markets, volume can be artificially high (HFT activity) or artificially low (dark pools, internalization). Volume is a proxy, not a guarantee of conviction.
LTF precision sampling improves ORB accuracy by using 1-minute bars but introduces additional data dependencies. If 1-minute data is unavailable, inaccurate, or delayed, ORB calculations will be incorrect.
The grading system (A+/A/B+/B/C/D) and confidence scores aggregate multiple factors (volume, VWAP, day type, IB expansion, gap context) into a single assessment. This is a mechanical calculation, not artificial intelligence. The system cannot adapt to unprecedented market conditions or events outside its programmed logic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, and rejected orders not present in indicator calculations. ORB Fusion generates signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay. Opening range forms during highest volatility (first 30 minutes)—spreads widen, slippage increases. Execution quality significantly impacts realized results.
Statistics tracking (win rates, extension levels reached, day type distribution) is based on historical bars in your lookback window. If lookback is small (<50 bars) or market regime changed, statistics may not represent future probabilities.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively (100+ trades minimum) before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing (5-10% of intended size) for 50+ trades to validate execution quality matches expectations.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every single trade without exception. Understand that most retail traders lose money—sophisticated indicators do not change this fundamental reality. They systematize analysis but cannot eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or fitness for any purpose. Users assume full responsibility for all trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
[b>CLOSING STATEMENT[/b>
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
Opening Range Breakout is not a trick. It's a framework. The first 30-60 minutes reveal where participants believe value lies. Breakouts signal directional conviction. Failures signal trapped participants. Extensions define profit targets. Day types dictate strategy. Failed breakouts create the highest-probability reversals.
ORB Fusion doesn't predict the future—it identifies [b>structure[/b>, detects [b>breakouts[/b>, recognizes [b>failures[/b>, and generates [b>probabilistic trade plans[/b> with defined risk and reward.
The edge is not in the opening range itself. The edge is in recognizing when the market respects structure (follow breakouts) versus when it violates structure (fade breakouts). The edge is in detecting failures faster than discretionary traders. The edge is in systematic classification that prevents catastrophic errors—like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
Most indicators draw lines. ORB Fusion implements a complete institutional trading methodology: Opening Range theory, Market Profile classification, failed breakout intelligence, Fibonacci projections, volume confirmation, gap psychology, and real-time performance tracking.
Whether you're a beginner learning market structure or a professional seeking systematic ORB implementation, this system provides the framework.
"The market's first word is its opening range. Everything after is commentary." — ORB Fusion
Day of WeekDay of Week is an indicator that runs in a separate panel and colors the panel background according to the day of the week.
Main Features
Colors the background of the lower panel based on the day of the week
Includes all days, from Monday to Sunday
Customizable colors
Time Offset Correction
TradingView calculates the day of the week using the exchange’s timezone, which can cause visual inconsistencies on certain symbols.
To address this, the indicator includes a configurable time offset that allows the user to synchronize the calculated day with the day displayed on the chart.
By simply adjusting the Time Offset (hours) parameter, the background will align correctly with the visible chart calendar.
Index Construction Tool🙏🏻 The most natural mathematical way to construct an index || portfolio, based on contraharmonic mean || contraharmonic weighting. If you currently traded assets do not satisfy you, why not make your own ones?
Contraharmonic mean is literally a weighted mean where each value is weighted by itself.
...
Now let me explain to you why contraharmonic weighting is really so fundamental in two ways: observation how the industry (prolly unknowably) converged to this method, and the real mathematical explanation why things are this way.
How it works in the industry.
In indexes like TVC:SPX or TVC:DJI the individual components (stocks) are weighted by market capitalization. This market cap is made of two components: number of shares outstanding and the actual price of the stock. While the number of shares holds the same over really long periods of time and changes rarely by corporate actions , the prices change all the time, so market cap is in fact almost purely based on prices itself. So when they weight index legs by market cap, it really means they weight it by stock prices. That’s the observation: even tho I never dem saying they do contraharmonic weighting, that’s what happens in reality.
Natural explanation
Now the main part: how the universe works. If you build a logical sequence of how information ‘gradually’ combines, you have this:
Suppose you have the one last datapoint of each of 4 different assets;
The next logical step is to combine these datapoints somehow in pairs. Pairs are created only as ratios , this reveals relationships between components, this is the only step where these fundamental operations are meaningful, they lose meaning with 3+ components. This way we will have 16 pairs: 4 of them would be 1s, 6 real ratios, and 6 more inverted ratios of these;
Then the next logical step is to combine all the pairs (not the initial single assets) all together. Naturally this is done via matrices, by constructing a 4x4 design matrix where each cell will be one of these 16 pairs. That matrix will have ones in the main diagonal (because these would be smth like ES/ES, NQ/NQ etc). Other cells will be actual ratios, like ES/NQ, RTY/YM etc;
Then the native way to compress and summarize all this structure is to do eigendecomposition . The only eigenvector that would be meaningful in this case is the principal eigenvector, and its loadings would be what we were hunting for. We can multiply each asset datapoint by corresponding loading, sum them up and have one single index value, what we were aiming for;
Now the main catch: turns out using these principal eigenvector loadings mathematically is Exactly the same as simply calculating contraharmonic weights of those 4 initial assets. We’re done here.
For the sceptics, no other way of constructing the design matrix other than with ratios would result in another type of a defined mean. Filling that design matrix with ratios Is the only way to obtain a meaningful defined mean, that would also work with negative numbers. I’m skipping a couple of details there tbh, but they don’t really matter (we don’t need log-space, and anyways the idea holds even then). But the core idea is this: only contraharmonic mean emerges there, no other mean ever does.
Finally, how to use the thing:
Good news we don't use contraharmonic mean itself because we need an internals of it: actual weights of components that make this contraharmonic mean, (so we can follow it with our position sizes). This actually allows us to also use these weights but not for addition, but for subtraction. So, the script has 2 modes (examples would follow):
Addition: the main one, allows you to make indexes, portfolios, baskets, groups, whatever you call it. The script will simply sum the weighted legs;
Subtraction: allows you to make spreads, residual spreads etc. Important: the script will subtract all the symbols From the first one. So if the first we have 3 symbols: YM, ES, RTY, the script will do YM - ES - RTY, weights would be applied to each.
At the top tight corner of the script you will see a lil table with symbols and corresponding weights you wanna trade: these are ‘already’ adjusted for point value of each leg, you don’t need to do anything, only scale them all together to meet your risk profile.
Symbols have to be added the way the default ones are added, one line : one symbol.
Pls explore the script’s Style setting:
You can pick a visualization method you like ! including overlays on the main chart pane !
Script also outputs inferred volume delta, inferred volume and inferred tick count calculated with the same method. You can use them in further calculations.
...
Examples of how you can use it
^^ Purple dotted line: overlay from ICT script, turned on in Style settings, the contraharmonic mean itself calculated from the same assets that are on the chart: CME_MINI:RTY1! , CME_MINI:ES1! , CME_MINI:NQ1! , CBOT_MINI:YM1!
^^ precious metals residual spread ( COMEX:GC1! COMEX:SI1! NYMEX:PL1! )
^^ CBOT:ZC1! vs CBOT:ZW1! grain spread
^^ BDI (Bid Dope Index), constructed from: NYSE:MO , NYSE:TPB , NYSE:DGX , NASDAQ:JAZZ , NYSE:IIPR , NASDAQ:CRON , OTC:CURLF , OTC:TCNNF
^^ NYMEX:CL1! & ICEEUR:BRN1! basket
^^ resulting index price, inferred volume delta, inferred volume and inferred tick count of CME_MINI:NQ1! vs CME_MINI:ES1! spread
...
Synthetic assets is the whole new Universe you can jump into and never look back, if this is your way
...
∞
Vertical Time LinesVertical Time Lines is an indicator that draws vertical lines at specific times of each day on the price chart.
⚙️ Main Features
Up to 5 independent time lines
Precise hour and minute editing (HH:MM)
Individual enable/disable option per line
Customizable line color and style
Works on any asset and any timeframe
📝 Note
Due to Pine Script limitations, the lines are drawn using UTC time, not the time zone configured on the chart.
Lines are generated only when a candle exists exactly at the configured minute. If candles for the specified hours and minutes are not visible on the chart, the lines will not be displayed.
Z-Score & StatsThis is an advanced indicator that measures price deviation from its mean using statistical z-scores, combined with multiple analytical features for trading signals.
Core Functionality-
Z-Score Calculation Engine:
The indicator uses a custom standardization function that calculates how many standard deviations the current price is from its rolling mean. Unlike simple moving averages, this provides a normalized view of price extremes. The calculation maintains a sliding window of data points, efficiently updating mean and variance values as new data arrives while removing old data points. This approach handles missing values gracefully and uses sample variance (rather than population variance) for more accurate statistical measurements.
Statistical Zones & Visual Framework:
The indicator creates a visual representation of statistical probability zones:
±1 Standard Deviation: Encompasses about 68% of normal price behavior (green zone)
±2 Standard Deviations: Covers approximately 95% of price movements (orange zone)
±3 Standard Deviations: Represents 99.7% probability range (red zone)
±3.5 and ±4 Thresholds: Extreme outlier levels that trigger special alerts
The z-score line changes color dynamically based on which zone it occupies, making it easy to identify the current market extremity at a glance.
Advanced Features:
Volume Contraction Analysis
The script monitors volume patterns to identify periods of reduced trading activity. It compares current volume against a moving average and flags when volume drops below a specified threshold (default 70%). Volume contraction often precedes significant price moves and is factored into the optimal entry detection system.
Momentum-Based Direction Model:
Rather than just showing current z-score levels, the indicator projects where the z-score is likely to move based on recent momentum. It calculates the rate of change in the z-score and extrapolates forward for a specified number of bars. This creates a directional arrow that indicates whether conditions are bullish (negative z-score with upward momentum) or bearish (positive z-score with downward momentum).
Divergence Detection System:
The script automatically identifies four types of divergences between price action and z-score behavior :-
Regular Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows while z-score makes higher lows, suggesting weakening downward pressure
Regular Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs while z-score makes lower highs, indicating exhaustion in the uptrend
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price makes higher lows while z-score makes lower lows, confirming trend continuation in an uptrend
Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price makes lower highs while z-score makes higher highs, confirming downtrend continuation
The system uses pivot detection with configurable lookback periods and distance requirements, then draws connecting lines and labels directly on the chart when divergences occur.
Yearly Statistics Tracking:
The indicator maintains historical records of maximum z-score deviations over yearly periods (configurable bar count). This provides context by showing whether current extremes are unusual compared to typical annual ranges. The average yearly maximum helps traders understand if the current market is exhibiting normal volatility or exceptional conditions.
Mean Reversion Probability:
Based on the current z-score magnitude, the indicator calculates and displays the statistical probability that price will revert toward the mean. Higher absolute z-scores indicate stronger mean reversion probabilities, ranging from 38% at ±0.5 standard deviations to 99.7% at ±3 standard deviations.
Comprehensive Statistics Table:
A customizable on-chart table displays real-time statistics including:
Current z-score value with directional indicator
Predicted z-score based on momentum
Current year's maximum absolute z-score
Historical average yearly maximum
Mean reversion probability percentage
Zone status classification (Normal, Moderate, High, Extreme)
Directional bias (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral)
Active divergence status
Volume contraction status with ratio
Optimal setup detection (combining extreme z-scores with volume contraction)
Optimal Entry Setup Detection:
The most sophisticated feature identifies high-probability trading setups by combining multiple factors. An "Optimal Long" signal triggers when z-score reaches -3.5 or below AND volume is contracted. An "Optimal Short" signal appears when z-score exceeds +3.5 AND volume is contracted. This combination suggests extreme price deviation occurring on low volume, often preceding strong reversals.
Alert System:
The script includes a unified alert mechanism that triggers when z-score crosses specific thresholds:
Crossing above/below ±3.5 standard deviations (extreme levels)
Crossing above/below ±4 standard deviations (critical levels)
Alerts fire once per bar with confirmation (previous bar must be on opposite side of threshold) to avoid false signals.
Practical Application:
This indicator is designed for mean reversion traders who seek statistically significant price extremes. The combination of z-score measurement, volume analysis, momentum projection, and divergence detection creates a multi-layered confirmation system. Traders can use extreme z-scores as potential reversal zones, while the direction model and divergence signals help time entries more precisely. The volume contraction filter adds an additional layer of confluence, identifying moments when reduced participation may precede explosive moves back toward the mean.
Chart Attached: NSE GMR Airports, EoD 12/12/25
DISCLAIMER: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice.Happy Trading
RO H1 Signal CandleMarks specific H1 signal candles based on Bucharest (RO) time.
Designed for clean backtesting and time-based analysis.
Displays a small marker on selected hourly candles only.
USDT Market Cap Change [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated stablecoin market analysis tool that tracks USDT market capitalization changes across daily and 60-day periods with statistical normalization and gradient intensity visualization. Utilizing z-score methodology for overbought/oversold detection and dynamic color gradients reflecting change magnitude, this indicator delivers institutional-grade market liquidity assessment through stablecoin flow analysis. The system's dual-timeframe approach combined with statistical normalization provides comprehensive market sentiment measurement based on capital inflows and outflows from the dominant stablecoin.
🔶 Advanced Market Cap Tracking Framework
Implements daily USDT market capitalization monitoring with dual-period change calculations measuring both 1-day and 60-day net capital flows. The system retrieves real-time CRYPTOCAP:USDT data on daily timeframe resolution, calculating absolute dollar changes to quantify stablecoin supply expansion or contraction as primary market liquidity indicator.
// Core Market Cap Analysis
USDT = request.security("CRYPTOCAP:USDT", "D", close)
USDT_60D_Change = USDT - USDT
USDT_1D_Change = USDT - USDT
🔶 Dynamic Gradient Intensity System
Features sophisticated color gradient engine that intensifies visual representation based on change magnitude relative to recent extremes. The system normalizes current 60-day change against configurable lookback period maximum, applying gradient strength calculation to transition colors from neutral tones through progressively intense blues (negative) or reds (positive) based on flow direction and magnitude.
🔶 Statistical Z-Score Normalization Engine
Implements comprehensive z-score calculation framework that normalizes 60-day market cap changes using rolling mean and standard deviation for objective overbought/oversold determination. The system applies statistical normalization over configurable periods, enabling cross-temporal comparison and threshold-based regime identification independent of absolute market cap levels.
// Z-Score Normalization
Change_Mean = ta.sma(USDT_60D_Change, Normalization_Length)
Change_StdDev = ta.stdev(USDT_60D_Change, Normalization_Length)
Z_Score = Change_StdDev > 0 ? (USDT_60D_Change - Change_Mean) / Change_StdDev : 0.0
🔶 Multi-Tier Threshold Detection System
Provides four-level regime classification including standard overbought (+1.5σ), standard oversold (-1.5σ), extreme overbought (+2.5σ), and extreme oversold (-2.5σ) thresholds with configurable adjustment. The system identifies market liquidity extremes when stablecoin inflows or outflows reach statistically significant levels, indicating potential market turning points or trend exhaustion.
🔶 Dual-Timeframe Flow Visualization
Features layered area plots displaying both 60-day strategic flows and 1-day tactical movements with distinct color coding for instant flow direction assessment. The system overlays short-term daily changes on longer-term 60-day trends, enabling traders to identify divergences between tactical and strategic capital flows into or out of stablecoin reserves.
🔶 Gradient Color Psychology Framework
Implements intuitive color scheme where red gradients indicate capital inflow (bullish for crypto as USDT supply expands for buying) and blue gradients show capital outflow (bearish as USDT is redeemed). The intensity progression from pale to vivid colors communicates flow magnitude, with extreme colors signaling statistically significant liquidity events requiring attention.
🔶 Background Zone Highlighting System
Provides subtle background coloring when z-score breaches overbought or oversold thresholds, creating visual alerts without obscuring primary data. The system applies translucent red backgrounds during overbought conditions and blue during oversold states, enabling instant regime recognition across chart timeframes.
🔶 Configurable Normalization Architecture
Features adjustable gradient lookback and statistical normalization periods enabling optimization across different market cycles and trading timeframes. The system allows traders to calibrate sensitivity by modifying the window used for maximum change detection (gradient) and mean/standard deviation calculation (z-score), adapting to volatile or stable market regimes.
🔶 Market Liquidity Interpretation Framework
Tracks USDT supply changes as proxy for overall cryptocurrency market liquidity conditions, where expanding market cap indicates fresh capital entering crypto markets and contracting cap suggests capital flight. The system provides leading indicator properties as large stablecoin inflows often precede major market rallies while outflows may signal distribution phases.
🔶 Why Choose USDT Market Cap Change ?
This indicator delivers sophisticated stablecoin flow analysis through statistical normalization and gradient visualization of USDT market capitalization changes. Unlike traditional market sentiment indicators that rely on price action alone, this tool measures actual capital flows through the dominant stablecoin, providing objective assessment of market liquidity conditions. The combination of dual-timeframe tracking, z-score normalization for overbought/oversold detection, and intensity-based gradient coloring makes it essential for traders seeking macro-level market assessment and regime change detection across cryptocurrency markets. The indicator excels at identifying liquidity extremes that often precede major market reversals or trend accelerations.
Magical Thirteen Turns - The Greedy SnakeThe number 9 appears:
Meaning: Warning signal. The rise may encounter resistance and a cautious pullback is about to begin.
Operation: Consider reducing your holdings (selling a portion) to lock in profits and avoid experiencing wild fluctuations.
The number 13 appears:
Meaning: Strong sell signal. The upward momentum is likely to be exhausted, which is also known as "bull exhaustion".
Operation: It is recommended to liquidate your positions or significantly reduce them. Short sell (if you are trading contracts).
