Elite_Forex

Dollar at Support Euro at Resistance

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The DXY index is at a strong Fib Level correlating with Euro at 4H Resistance level is a perfect technical set-up which is also overlaying with the current fundamental picture.
EURUSD currently has a score of -5, or a Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theEUR has a long percentage of 76.48%, and we see that the USD has a long percentage of 67.14%. This category receives a 0, as institutional traders have no strongly favored asset.
Taking a look at EURUSD, we see that retail traders are 28.% long, and 72% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theEURUSD gets a reading of +1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa.
Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month.
Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -1.
Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the USD, inflation favors the USD, unemployment favors the USD and interest rates favor the USD
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