SPY: Update and long term forecast

19 thg 5, 2017

We're long SPY, from yesterday's lows, aiming to ride the long term uptrend for as long as possible from here onwards. The signal we had was one of a major market bottom, so there is a significant chance that we don't see drawdown going forward, and just a steady trend. The weekly trends show very interesting signals, with confluence of a downtrend's time running out, while a new weekly uptrend signal can confirm next week, and while longer term trends are at play, implying upside can be quite steady and significant for a long time.

Best of luck,

Ivan Labrie.

21 thg 7, 2017

Ghi chú

One more week left for the rally in SPY, then it could correct for 10 weeks We will hedge our portfolio next week.

27 thg 7, 2017

Ghi chú

And hedged, closed longs. Shorted ES futures.



There's a distinct chance we see a significant correction now.

10 thg 8, 2017

Ghi chú

SPY can drop 5.08% from the top during the next 7 weeks We will monitor the action to enter longs at the bottom.

25 thg 8, 2017

Ghi chú

I think the correction might have bottomed. Let's wait and see...since sentiment recovered, I started buying back into hedges, after going long quality names at the bottom.

6 thg 10, 2017

Ghi chú

Read my updates here:

22 thg 10, 2017

Ghi chú

This is a great forecast for now, looks viable.

10 thg 2, 2018

Ghi chú

See the 2 month timeframe post for updates.