Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 11–15, 2025

🔮 Weekly SPY / SPX Scenarios for August 11–15, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

🇺🇸 Inflation Double-Header: CPI Tue + PPI Thu set the tone for SPY / SPX, rates, DXY, $TLT.
🏦 Fed Speaker Blitz: Barkin, Schmid, Goolsbee, Bostic—watch headlines for rate-path hints.
🛍️ Consumer Pulse Friday: Retail Sales + Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization = read on demand & output.
🧭 Keep it tight: Focus on CPI, PPI, Claims, Retail Sales, IP/CapU. Everything else is background noise.

📊 Key Data Releases (most impactful only) 📊

📅 Tue, Aug 12
• CPI (July) — Headline & Core (8:30 AM ET)
• Fed: Barkin & Schmid speak (10:00 AM ET)

📅 Thu, Aug 14
• Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET)
• PPI (July) — Headline & Core (8:30 AM ET)
• Fed: Barkin (2:00 PM ET)

📅 Fri, Aug 15
• Retail Sales (July) — Headline & Ex-Autos (8:30 AM ET)
• Industrial Production (July) (9:15 AM ET)
• Capacity Utilization (July) (9:15 AM ET)
• Consumer Sentiment (Prelim, Aug) (10:00 AM ET)

⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational/informational only — not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before investing.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #PPI #retailsales #Fed #SPY #SPX