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Raven Panel V5.0 Ultra

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Raven Panel V5.0 Ultra is a multi-dimensional trend confirmation indicator designed for short-cycle cryptocurrency trading. This indicator integrates multiple trend indicators including SuperTrend, EMA, MACD, VWAP, and ADX, combined with momentum indicators such as RSI, Stochastic, and Williams %R, to achieve multi-indicator resonance confirmation, helping traders identify high win-rate entry opportunities in volatile markets.

Raven Panel V5.0 Ultra 是一款专为加密货币短周期交易设计的多维度趋势确认指标。本指标整合了 SuperTrend、EMA、MACD、VWAP、ADX 等多个趋势指标,结合 RSI、Stochastic、Williams %R 等动量指标,实现多指标共振确认,帮助交易者在高波动市场中识别高胜率的入场机会。

Best suited for | 最佳适用场景:


15s/30s ultra-short timeframe charts | 15秒/30秒超短周期图表


Polymarket UP/DOWN prediction markets | Polymarket UP/DOWN 预测市场


Cryptocurrency scalping | 加密货币短线交易


High-frequency trading scenarios | 高频交易场景




✨ Key Features | 核心功能

💎 Diamond Signal System | 钻石信号系统

A unique three-tier signal rating system based on 10+ dimensional scoring:

独创的三级信号评级系统,基于10+维度综合评分:

Grade
Score
Description
💎 Single
60-74
Basic signal, core conditions met / 基础信号,满足核心条件
💎💎 Double
75-89
High-quality signal, multiple bonus conditions met / 高质量信号,多项加分条件满足
💎💎💎 Triple
90-100
Highest quality signal, strongly recommended entry / 最高质量信号,强烈建议入场




📊 Multi-Dimensional Trend Confirmation | 多维度趋势确认

5 Trend Indicators Resonance | 5大趋势指标共振:

1.
SuperTrend Direction | SuperTrend 趋势方向

2.
EMA Multi-Period Alignment (8/21/55) | EMA 多周期排列

3.
MACD Histogram Direction | MACD 柱状图方向

4.
VWAP Price Position | VWAP 价格位置

5.
ADX Trend Strength Direction | ADX 趋势强度方向

4 Momentum Indicators Confirmation | 4大动量指标确认:

1.
RSI Overbought/Oversold | RSI 超买超卖

2.
Short/Mid-term Momentum | 短中期动量

3.
Stochastic %K

4.
Williams %R

🛡️ Black Swan Risk Model | 黑天鹅风险模型

Intelligent risk assessment system calculating 8 risk factors:

智能风险评估系统,综合计算8项风险因子:


Time Risk | 时间风险


Volatility Risk | 波动率风险


Distance Risk | 距离风险


RSI Extreme Risk | RSI极端风险


Trend Reversal Risk | 趋势反转风险


Momentum Reversal Risk | 动量反转风险


Price Velocity Risk | 价格速度风险


MACD Divergence Risk | MACD背离风险

📺 Three-Panel Display | 三面板信息展示


Main Signal Panel | 主信号面板: Core signal, direction, score, remaining time


Trend Confirmation Panel | 趋势确认面板: Real-time status of 5 trend indicators


Status Monitor Panel | 状态监控面板: Historical win rate, volatility, volume




⚙️ Parameters Guide | 参数说明

📋 Preset Modes | 预设模式

Parameter
Options
Description
Strategy Mode
Conservative / Standard / Aggressive / Custom
One-click strategy switching / 一键切换策略风格
Round Duration
5min / 15min / 1hour / Custom
Settlement cycle setting / 结算周期设置




Mode Characteristics | 模式特点:

Mode
Win Rate
Signal Frequency
Best For
Conservative / 保守
Highest / 最高
Low / 低
Risk-averse traders / 稳健型交易者
Standard / 标准
Balanced / 平衡
Medium / 中
Most scenarios / 大多数场景
Aggressive / 激进
High / 较高
High / 高
Experienced traders / 有经验的交易者




💎 Diamond Signal Parameters | 钻石信号参数

Parameter
Default
Range
Description
ADX Minimum Threshold
20.0
10-40
Core trend strength indicator, recommended 20-25 / 趋势强度核心指标,建议20-25
Trend Agreement Count
3
1-5
How many of 5 trend indicators must align / 5个趋势指标中需要多少个一致
Momentum Agreement Count
3
1-4
How many of 4 momentum indicators must align / 4个动量指标中需要多少个一致
Max Reversal Risk %
45
20-70
Black swan probability cap / 黑天鹅概率上限
Min Price Distance (ATR)
0.25
0.1-2.0
Minimum ATR multiple from open price / 价格偏离开盘价的最小ATR倍数
Signal Cooldown Bars
4
1-60
Minimum bars between signals / 两次信号之间的最小间隔K线数




⏰ Time Window | 时间窗口

Option
Description
1s-3min
Signals only in last 3 minutes (most conservative) / 仅在剩余3分钟内出信号(最保守)
1s-5min
Signals in last 5 minutes (recommended) / 剩余5分钟内出信号(推荐)
1s-10min
Signals in last 10 minutes / 剩余10分钟内出信号
1s-15min
Full period signals (most aggressive) / 全时段出信号(最激进)




🔇 Noise Filter Parameters | 噪音过滤参数

Parameter
Default
Description
Max Volatility Multiple
3.0
Filter abnormal volatility, recommended 2.5-3.5 / 过滤异常高波动,建议2.5-3.5
Max Price Velocity
4.0
Filter rapid price movements / 过滤急涨急跌
RSI Extreme Zone
10
Filter when RSI < 10 or > 90 / RSI极端区域过滤
Trend Continuation Bars
3
Minimum trend duration / 趋势需要持续的最小K线数
Min Volume Multiple
0.8
Relative to average volume / 相对平均成交量的最小倍数




📺 Display Settings | 显示设置

Parameter
Description
Show Main Signal Panel
Toggle main panel / 开关主面板显示
Show Trend Confirmation Panel
Toggle trend panel / 开关趋势面板显示
Show Status Panel
Toggle status panel / 开关状态面板显示
Show Open Price Line
Toggle round open price line / 开关局开盘价水平线




📍 Panel Positions | 面板位置

9 positions available: Top-Left, Top-Center, Top-Right, Middle-Left, Middle-Center, Middle-Right, Bottom-Left, Bottom-Center, Bottom-Right

支持9个位置自由配置:左上、中上、右上、左中、正中、右中、左下、中下、右下




📖 User Guide | 使用指南

Quick Start | 快速上手

1.
Add indicator to 15s or 30s chart / 将指标添加到15秒或30秒图表

2.
Select appropriate preset mode (Standard recommended for beginners) / 选择适合的预设模式(建议新手使用"标准模式")

3.
Set corresponding round duration (e.g., 15min for Polymarket) / 设置对应的局时长

4.
Wait for 💎 Diamond signal / 等待💎钻石信号出现

5.
Enter position in indicated direction / 信号出现后按指示方向入场

Signal Interpretation | 信号解读

Signal
Action
💎💎💎 Triple Diamond
Highest quality - Lock position immediately / 最高质量,建议立即锁仓
💎💎 Double Diamond
High quality - Recommended entry / 高质量信号,可以入场
💎 Single Diamond
Basic signal - Consider with other factors / 基础信号,可结合其他判断入场
No Signal
Conditions not met - Wait / 条件不满足,建议观望




Panel Information | 面板信息说明

Main Panel Key Metrics | 主面板关键指标:

Metric
Description
Remaining Time / 剩余时间
Countdown to round end / 距离本局结束的倒计时
Deviation / 偏离
Price difference from open / 当前价格与开盘价的差值
ATR Distance / ATR距
ATR multiple of deviation, higher = safer / 价格偏离的ATR倍数,越大越安全
ADX
Trend strength, >25 = strong trend / 趋势强度,>25为强趋势
Trend / 趋势
Count of aligned trend indicators (out of 5) / 趋势指标一致数量
Momentum / 动量
Count of aligned momentum indicators (out of 4) / 动量指标一致数量
Risk / 风险
Black swan reversal probability, lower = safer / 黑天鹅反转概率,越低越安全
Conditions / 条件
Satisfied conditions count (out of 12) / 已满足条件数量




Parameter Tuning | 参数调优建议

To Increase Win Rate (fewer signals) | 提高胜率(信号减少):


Increase ADX threshold to 25 / 提高ADX阈值至25


Set Trend Agreement to 4 / 趋势一致数设为4


Set Momentum Agreement to 4 / 动量一致数设为4


Lower Max Risk to 35% / 降低最大风险至35%


Use 1s-3min time window / 使用1秒-3分钟时间窗口

To Increase Signals (win rate may decrease) | 增加信号(胜率可能下降):


Lower ADX threshold to 15 / 降低ADX阈值至15


Set Trend Agreement to 2 / 趋势一致数设为2


Set Momentum Agreement to 2 / 动量一致数设为2


Raise Max Risk to 55% / 提高最大风险至55%


Use 1s-10min time window / 使用1秒-10分钟时间窗口




📊 Backtest Performance | 回测表现

Based on 48-hour BTC/USDT historical data (for reference only):

基于48小时BTC/USDT历史数据的回测结果(仅供参考):

Mode
15s Timeframe
30s Timeframe
Conservative / 保守
100% (15 signals)
100% (4 signals)
Standard / 标准
98.2% (57 signals)
86.4% (22 signals)
Aggressive / 激进
87.4% (278 signals)
86.9% (153 signals)




Note: Historical performance does not guarantee future results / 历史表现不代表未来收益




⚠️ Disclaimer | 免责声明

IMPORTANT - PLEASE READ CAREFULLY | 重要提示 - 请仔细阅读

1.
Risk Warning | 风险警示: Cryptocurrency trading carries high risk and may result in total loss of capital. This indicator is only a technical analysis tool and does not constitute investment advice or trading guidance. / 加密货币交易具有高风险性,可能导致全部本金损失。本指标仅作为技术分析辅助工具,不构成任何投资建议或交易指导。

2.
No Guarantee of Profit | 不保证收益: Historical backtest data and signals from this indicator are for reference only. Past performance does not represent future returns. Market conditions may change at any time, and no technical indicator can guarantee trading profits. / 本指标的历史回测数据和信号仅供参考,过去的表现不代表未来的收益。市场条件随时可能发生变化,任何技术指标都无法保证交易盈利。

3.
Independent Decision | 自主决策: Any trading decisions made using this indicator are the sole responsibility of the user. The author is not liable for any direct or indirect losses resulting from the use of this indicator. / 使用本指标进行的任何交易决策均由用户自行负责。作者不对因使用本指标而产生的任何直接或间接损失承担责任。

4.
Compliance Requirements | 合规要求: Users should ensure their trading activities comply with local laws and regulations. In some regions, cryptocurrency trading or prediction markets may be restricted or prohibited. / 用户应确保其交易行为符合所在地区的法律法规要求。在某些地区,加密货币交易或预测市场可能受到限制或禁止。

5.
Technical Limitations | 技术局限:


This indicator is calculated based on historical price data and has inherent lag / 本指标基于历史价格数据计算,存在滞后性


Signals may fail under extreme market conditions (flash crashes, liquidity crises) / 在极端市场条件下信号可能失效


Data from different exchanges may vary, affecting indicator performance / 不同交易所的数据可能存在差异



6.
Money Management | 资金管理: Users are strongly advised to / 强烈建议用户:


Only trade with funds you can afford to lose / 仅使用可承受损失的资金进行交易


Set reasonable position sizing and stop-loss strategies / 设置合理的仓位管理和止损策略


Do not rely solely on a single indicator for decisions / 不要过度依赖单一指标进行决策



7.
No Warranty | 无担保声明: This indicator is provided "AS IS" without any express or implied warranties, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement. / 本指标按"现状"提供,不提供任何明示或暗示的担保。

By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agreed to the above disclaimer. / 使用本指标即表示您已阅读、理解并同意上述免责条款。




📝 Changelog | 更新日志

V5.0 Ultra


Added three-tier diamond signal rating system / 新增三级钻石信号评级系统


Optimized black swan risk calculation model / 优化黑天鹅风险计算模型


Added 5-trend + 4-momentum multi-dimensional confirmation / 新增5趋势+4动量多维度确认


Redesigned three-panel information layout / 重新设计三面板信息布局


Added preset mode one-click switching / 新增预设模式一键切换


Optimized time window tier settings / 优化时间窗口档位设置


Added backtest self-check win rate statistics / 新增回测自检胜率统计




💬 Feedback & Support | 反馈与支持

If you have any questions or suggestions, please leave a comment below.

如有问题或建议,欢迎在评论区留言交流。

Happy Trading! 🦅 祝交易顺利!




Tags: #crypto #bitcoin #ethereum #polymarket #updown #trend #momentum #adx #supertrend #macd #vwap #rsi #stochastic #scalping #highfrequency #tradingview

Phát hành các Ghi chú
[CHINESE]

Raven Panel V5.1 - Polymarket 优化版 (87%胜率)

专为 Polymarket 15分钟 Up/Down 市场深度优化的钻石信号系统。

本脚本基于 Raven Panel V5.0,通过对24小时BTC/USDT真实高频数据(15秒、30秒、60秒周期)的全面回测,进行了关键参数优化,旨在解决原版在短周期市场信号频率过低的问题,并大幅提升胜率。




核心特性


🎯 Polymarket 专用模式: 新增“Polymarket优化”预设模式,一键加载最佳参数。


📈 经验证的高胜率: 在15秒图表上,回测胜率高达 87.0%。


⚡ 高信号频率: 信号频率提升至 95.8%,几乎每个15分钟市场都能捕捉到交易机会。


💎 十二重过滤系统: 结合趋势、动量、波动率、成交量等12个维度,确保信号高质量。


🦢 黑天鹅风险模型: 独创8维度风险计算模型,量化潜在反转概率,有效规避风险。


📊 多功能面板: 集成主信号、趋势确认、实时状态三大面板,市场状态一目了然。


🔔 全方位警报: 支持三钻、双钻、单钻分级警报,以及结算前提醒。




策略逻辑

本策略的核心是在强趋势背景下,寻找高概率的持续运动。

1.
定义“局”: 脚本首先根据 Polymarket 的市场周期(如15分钟)定义一个“局”,并获取该局的开盘价。

2.
方向判断: 以当前价格与开盘价的偏离方向作为基准方向(UP 或 DOWN)。

3.
十二重过滤: 信号必须通过以下12个条件的严格审查:


核心条件 (6个): 时间窗口、ADX趋势强度、价格偏离距离(ATR)、趋势指标共振、动量指标共振、黑天鹅风险。


噪音过滤 (6个): 波动率、价格速度、RSI极端区、趋势持续性、信号冷却、成交量。



4.
信号评级: 通过所有条件的信号被评为“钻石信号”,并根据质量分(0-100)分为三个等级:


💎💎💎 三钻 (≥90分): 最高质量,所有指标完美共振。


💎💎 双钻 (≥75分): 高质量,核心指标共振。


💎 单钻 (≥60分): 标准质量,满足基本条件。






回测表现 (24小时 BTC/USDT)

周期
胜率
信号频率
胜/负
🥇 15秒
87.0%
95.8%
20胜/3负
🥈 30秒
81.4%
89.6%
35胜/8负
🥉 60秒
75.6%
85.4%
62胜/20负




结论: 15秒周期表现最佳。周期越短,对短期趋势的反应越灵敏,胜率和信号频率越高。




如何使用

1.
加载指标: 将脚本添加到您的 TradingView 图表。

2.
选择交易对: 选择您在 Polymarket 上交易的标的(如 BTC/USDT)。

3.
设置周期: 强烈推荐使用 15秒 (15s) 图表,以获得最佳性能。

4.
选择预设模式: 在脚本设置中,将“策略模式”选为 “Polymarket优化”。

5.
设置局时长: 确保“局时长”与您交易的市场一致(如“15分钟局”)。

6.
等待信号: 等待面板出现 💎💎💎 三钻信号。

7.
执行交易: 根据信号方向在 Polymarket 上进行交易。

8.
设置警报: 在 TradingView 的警报管理器中,为该脚本创建警报,条件选择“💎💎💎 三钻 UP”或“💎💎💎 三钻 DOWN”。




参数设置 (Polymarket优化模式)


ADX最低阈值: 15.0


最大反转风险%: 35.0


信号窗口档位: 1秒-10分钟


最大价格速度: 10.0 (关键优化)


最小成交量倍数: 0.3 (关键优化)


信号冷却K线数: 60




免责声明


本脚本仅为技术分析工具,不构成任何投资建议。


历史回测表现不代表未来收益。


加密货币及预测市场交易存在高风险,可能导致本金全部损失。


请在充分了解风险的情况下谨慎使用,并做好自己的研究(DYOR)。

[ENGLISH]

Raven Panel V5.1 - Polymarket Optimized (87% Win Rate)

A diamond signal system deeply optimized for Polymarket's 15-minute Up/Down markets.

This script is an evolution of Raven Panel V5.0, enhanced through extensive backtesting on 24 hours of real high-frequency BTC/USDT data (15s, 30s, 60s timeframes). It specifically addresses the low signal frequency of the original version in short-term markets and significantly improves the win rate.




Key Features


🎯 Polymarket-Specific Preset: Includes a new "Polymarket Optimized" preset to instantly load the best-performing parameters.


📈 Proven High Win Rate: Achieved an impressive 87.0% win rate on the 15-second timeframe in backtests.


⚡ High Signal Frequency: Boosted signal frequency to 95.8%, capturing trading opportunities in almost every 15-minute market.


💎 12-Layer Filtering System: Ensures high-quality signals by combining 12 dimensions, including trend, momentum, volatility, and volume.


🦢 Black Swan Risk Model: A unique 8-dimensional risk calculation model quantifies the probability of a potential reversal, effectively mitigating risk.


📊 Multi-Functional Panels: Integrates three panels (Main Signal, Trend Confirmation, Live Status) for a comprehensive market overview.


🔔 Comprehensive Alerts: Supports tiered alerts for 3-Diamond, 2-Diamond, and 1-Diamond signals, plus a pre-settlement reminder.




Strategy Logic

The core of this strategy is to identify high-probability continuation moves within a strong trend.

1.
Define the "Round": The script first defines a "round" based on the Polymarket's duration (e.g., 15 minutes) and establishes the opening price for that round.

2.
Determine Direction: The baseline direction (UP or DOWN) is determined by the current price's deviation from the opening price.

3.
12-Layer Filtering: A signal must pass a rigorous 12-point inspection:


Core Conditions (6): Time Window, ADX Strength, Price Distance (ATR), Trend Agreement, Momentum Agreement, Black Swan Risk.


Noise Filters (6): Volatility, Price Velocity, RSI Extreme Zone, Trend Duration, Signal Cooldown, Volume.



4.
Signal Grading: Signals that pass all conditions are rated as "Diamond Signals" and graded based on a quality score (0-100):


💎💎💎 3-Diamond (≥90): Highest quality, perfect confluence of all indicators.


💎💎 2-Diamond (≥75): High quality, confluence of core indicators.


💎 1-Diamond (≥60): Standard quality, meets basic criteria.






Backtesting Performance (24H BTC/USDT)

Timeframe
Win Rate
Signal Freq.
Win/Loss
🥇 15-Second
87.0%
95.8%
20W / 3L
🥈 30-Second
81.4%
89.6%
35W / 8L
🥉 60-Second
75.6%
85.4%
62W / 20L




Conclusion: The 15-second timeframe performs best. Shorter timeframes are more responsive to short-term trends, resulting in higher win rates and signal frequencies.




How to Use

1.
Load Indicator: Add the script to your TradingView chart.

2.
Select Asset: Choose the asset you are trading on Polymarket (e.g., BTC/USDT).

3.
Set Timeframe: It is highly recommended to use the 15-second (15s) chart for optimal performance.

4.
Select Preset: In the script settings, change the "Strategy Mode" to "Polymarket Optimized".

5.
Set Round Duration: Ensure the "Round Duration" matches the market you are trading (e.g., "15 Minute Round").

6.
Wait for Signal: Wait for a 💎💎💎 3-Diamond Signal to appear on the panel.

7.
Execute Trade: Place your trade on Polymarket according to the signal's direction.

8.
Set Alerts: In TradingView's alert manager, create a new alert for this script, selecting "💎💎💎 3-Diamond UP" or "💎💎💎 3-Diamond DOWN" as the condition.




Parameter Settings (Polymarket Optimized Mode)


Min ADX Threshold: 15.0


Max Reversal Risk %: 35.0


Signal Window Slot: 1sec-10min


Max Price Velocity: 10.0 (Key Optimization)


Min Volume Multiplier: 0.3 (Key Optimization)


Signal Cooldown Bars: 60




Disclaimer


This script is a technical analysis tool and does not constitute investment advice.


Historical backtest performance is not indicative of future results.


Trading cryptocurrencies and prediction markets involves high risk and may result in the complete loss of principal.


Use this script cautiously and at your own risk. Always do your own research (DYOR).

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