Broad Market for Crypto + index# Broad Market Indicator for Crypto
## Overview
The Broad Market Indicator for Crypto helps traders assess the strength and divergence of individual cryptocurrency assets relative to the overall market. By comparing price deviations across multiple assets, this indicator reveals whether a specific coin is moving in sync with or diverging from the broader crypto market trend.
## How It Works
This indicator calculates percentage deviations from simple moving averages (SMA) for both individual assets and an equal-weighted market index. The core methodology:
1. **Deviation Calculation**: For each asset, the indicator measures how far the current price has moved from its SMA over a specified lookback period (default: 24 hours). The deviation is expressed as a percentage: `(Current Price - SMA) / SMA × 100`
2. **Market Index Construction**: An equal-weighted index is built from selected cryptocurrencies (up to 15 assets). The default composition includes major crypto assets: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, ADA, AVAX, LINK, DOGE, and TRX.
3. **Comparative Analysis**: The indicator displays both the current instrument's deviation and the market index deviation on the same panel, making it easy to spot relative strength or weakness.
## Key Features
- **Customizable Asset Selection**: Choose up to 15 different cryptocurrencies to include in your market index
- **Flexible Configuration**: Toggle individual assets on/off for display and index calculation
- **Current Instrument Tracking**: Automatically plots the deviation of whatever chart you're viewing
- **Visual Clarity**: Color-coded lines for easy differentiation between assets, with the market index shown as a filled area
- **Adjustable Lookback Period**: Modify the SMA period to match your trading timeframe
## How to Use
### Identifying Market Divergences
- When the current instrument deviates significantly above the index, it shows relative strength
- When it deviates below, it indicates relative weakness
- Assets clustering around zero suggest neutral market conditions
### Trend Confirmation
- If both the index and your asset are rising together (positive deviation), it confirms a broad market uptrend
- Divergence between asset and index can signal unique fundamental factors or early trend changes
### Entry/Exit Signals
- Extreme deviations from the index may indicate overbought/oversold conditions relative to the market
- Convergence back toward the index line can signal mean reversion opportunities
## Settings
- **Lookback Period**: Adjust the SMA calculation period (default: 24 hours)
- **Asset Configuration**: Select which cryptocurrencies to monitor and include in the index
- **Display Options**: Show/hide individual assets, current instrument, and market index
- **Color Customization**: Personalize colors for better visual analysis
## Best Practices
- Use on higher timeframes (4H, Daily) for more reliable signals
- Combine with volume analysis for confirmation
- Consider fundamental news when assets show extreme divergence
- Adjust the asset basket to match your trading focus (DeFi, L1s, memecoins, etc.)
## Technical Notes
- The indicator uses `request.security()` to fetch data from multiple symbols
- Deviations are calculated independently for each asset
- The zero line represents perfect alignment with the moving average
- Index calculation automatically adjusts based on active assets
## Default Assets
1. BTC (Bitcoin) - BINANCE:BTCUSDT
2. ETH (Ethereum) - BINANCE:ETHUSDT
3. BNB (Binance Coin) - BINANCE:BNBUSDT
4. SOL (Solana) - BINANCE:SOLUSDT
5. XRP (Ripple) - BINANCE:XRPUSDT
6. ADA (Cardano) - BINANCE:ADAUSDT
7. AVAX (Avalanche) - BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
8. LINK (Chainlink) - BINANCE:LINKUSDT
9. DOGE (Dogecoin) - BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
10. TRX (Tron) - BINANCE:TRXUSDT
Additional slots (11-15) are available for custom asset selection.
---
This indicator is particularly useful for cryptocurrency traders seeking to understand market breadth and identify opportunities where specific assets are diverging from overall market sentiment.
Statistics
VOLUME PROFILE WITH FOOTPRINT AND IMBALANCEVOLUME PROFILE WITH FOOTPRINT AND IMBALANCE
A professional-grade market structure analysis tool that combines three powerful trading concepts into one comprehensive indicator: Volume Profile, Footprint Charts, and Imbalance detection. This script provides optimum-level market analysis for trading.
KEY FEATURES
1. Multi-Day Volume Profile
Customizable Row Density: Adjust price level granularity for precise volume distribution analysis
Point of Control (POC): Automatically identifies the price level with highest traded volume
Value Area Calculation: Highlights the price range containing 70% of the day's volume (customizable percentage)
Value Area High (VAH) & Low (VAL): Clear demarcation of institutional acceptance zones
Horizontal Volume Bars: Visual representation of buying vs. selling pressure at each price level
Color-Coded Volume: Distinguishes between value area volume and outlier volume for better visual clarity
2. Previous Day Reference Levels
Previous Day High/Low (PDH/PDL): Critical support/resistance levels from prior session
Previous Day POC: Yesterday's highest volume node - often acts as magnetic price level
Previous Day VAH/VAL: Prior session's value boundaries for gap analysis and mean reversion setups
All previous day levels extend into current session with customizable colors and line styles
3. Virgin Point of Control (VPOC)
Untouched POC Identification: Automatically tracks POC levels that haven't been revisited by price
Real-time Validation: Monitors whether subsequent price action has tested each historical POC
Multi-Day Tracking: Maintains VPOC levels across multiple sessions until filled
High-Probability Targets: Virgin POCs often act as magnets for future price action
4. Footprint Zone Analysis
Footprint Zone Detection: Identifies price levels touched only once during the session
Automated Ribbon Consolidation: Groups consecutive Footprint Zone into visual zones
Price Range Sensitivity: Automatically adjusts granularity based on instrument price
Historical Persistence: Consolidates previous day's footprint zones for multi-day context
Auction Failure Zones: Footprint Zone often indicate areas of poor liquidity and potential reversal points
5. Three-Candle Imbalance Detection
Bullish Imbalance
Bearish Imbalance
Visual Markers: Clear circular indicators on all three candles forming the imbalance
Customizable Colors: Separate colors for bullish and bearish imbalances
Gap Validation: Ensures meaningful price displacement before flagging imbalance
Kernel Market Dynamics🔍 Kernel Market Dynamics Pro - Advanced Distribution Divergence Detection System
OVERVIEW
Kernel Market Dynamics Pro (KMD Pro) is a revolutionary market regime detection system that employs Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) - a cutting-edge statistical technique from machine learning - to identify when market behavior diverges from its recent historical distribution patterns. The system transforms complex statistical divergence analysis into actionable trading signals through kernel density estimation, regime classification algorithms, and multi-dimensional visualization frameworks that reveal hidden market transitions before traditional indicators can detect them.
WHAT MAKES IT ORIGINAL
While conventional indicators measure price or momentum divergence, KMD Pro analyzes distribution divergence - detecting when the statistical properties of market returns fundamentally shift from their baseline state. This approach, borrowed from high-frequency trading and quantitative finance, uses kernel methods to map market data into high-dimensional feature spaces where regime changes become mathematically detectable. The system is the first TradingView implementation to combine MMD with real-time regime visualization, making institutional-grade statistical arbitrage techniques accessible to retail traders.
HOW IT WORKS (Technical Methodology)
1. KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION ENGINE
Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) Calculation:
The core innovation - measures distance between probability distributions:
• Maps return distributions to Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS)
• Computes empirical mean embeddings for reference and test windows
• Calculates supremum of mean differences across all RKHS functions
• MMD = ||μ_P - μ_Q||_H where H is the RKHS induced by kernel k
Three Kernel Functions Available:
RBF (Radial Basis Function) Kernel:
• k(x,y) = exp(-||x-y||²/2σ²)
• Gaussian kernel with smooth, infinite-dimensional feature mapping
• Bandwidth σ controls sensitivity (0.5-10.0 user configurable)
• Optimal for normally distributed returns
• Default choice providing balanced sensitivity
Laplacian Kernel:
• k(x,y) = exp(-|x-y|/σ)
• Exponential decay with heavier tails than RBF
• More sensitive to outliers and sudden moves
• Ideal for volatile, news-driven markets
• Faster regime shift detection at cost of more false positives
Cauchy Kernel:
• k(x,y) = 1/(1 + ||x-y||²/σ²)
• Heavy-tailed distribution from statistical physics
• Robust to extreme values and fat-tail events
• Best for cryptocurrency and emerging markets
• Most stable signals with fewer whipsaws
Implementation Details:
• Reference window: 30-300 bars of baseline distribution
• Test window: 10-100 bars of recent distribution
• Double-sum kernel matrix computation with O(m*n) complexity
• EMA smoothing (period 3) reduces noise in raw MMD
• Real-time updates every bar with incremental calculation
2. REGIME DETECTION FRAMEWORK
Three-State Regime Classification:
STABLE Regime (MMD < threshold):
• Market follows historical distribution patterns
• Mean-reverting behavior dominates
• Low probability of breakouts
• Reduced position sizing recommended
• Visual: Subtle background coloring
SHIFTING Regime (threshold < MMD < 2×threshold):
• Distribution divergence detected
• Transition period with directional bias emerging
• Optimal entry zone for trend-following
• Increased volatility expected
• Visual: Yellow/orange zone highlighting
EXTREME Regime (MMD > 2×threshold):
• Severe distribution anomaly
• Black swan or structural break potential
• Maximum caution required
• Consider hedging or exit
• Visual: Red/magenta warning zones
Adaptive Threshold System:
• Base threshold: 0.05-1.0 (default 0.15)
• Volatility adjustment: ±30% based on ATR ratio
• Regime persistence: 20-bar minimum for stability
• Cooldown periods prevent signal clustering
3. DIRECTIONAL BIAS DETERMINATION
Multi-Factor Direction Analysis:
Distribution Mean Comparison:
• Recent mean = SMA(normalized_returns, test_window)
• Reference mean = SMA(normalized_returns, reference_window)
• Direction = sign(recent_mean - reference_mean)
Momentum Confluence:
• Price momentum = close - close
• Volume momentum = volume/SMA(volume, reference_window)
• Weighted composite direction score
Trend Alignment:
• Fast EMA vs Slow EMA positioning
• Slope analysis of regression line
• Multi-timeframe bias confirmation (optional)
4. SIGNAL GENERATION ARCHITECTURE
Entry Signal Logic:
Stage 1 - Regime Shift Detection:
• MMD crosses above threshold
• Sustained for minimum 2 bars
• No signals within cooldown period
Stage 2 - Direction Confirmation:
• Distribution mean aligns with momentum
• Volume ratio > 1.0 (optional)
• Price above/below VWAP (optional)
Stage 3 - Risk Assessment:
• Calculate ATR-based stop distance
• Verify risk/reward ratio > 1.5
• Check for nearby support/resistance
Stage 4 - Signal Generation:
• Long: Regime shift + bullish direction
• Short: Regime shift + bearish direction
• Extreme: MMD > 2×threshold warning
5. PROBABILITY CLOUD VISUALIZATION
Adaptive Confidence Intervals:
• Standard deviation multiplier = 1 + MMD × 3
• Inner band: ±0.5 ATR × multiplier (68% probability)
• Outer band: ±1.0 ATR × multiplier (95% probability)
• Width expands with divergence magnitude
• Real-time adjustment every bar
Interpretation:
• Narrow cloud: Low uncertainty, stable regime
• Wide cloud: High uncertainty, shifting regime
• Asymmetric cloud: Directional bias present
6. MOMENTUM FLOW VECTORS
Three-Style Momentum Visualization:
Flow Arrows:
• Length proportional to momentum strength
• Width indicates confidence (1-3 pixels)
• Angle shows rate of change
• Frequency: Every 5 bars or on events
Gradient Bars:
• Vertical lines from price
• Height = momentum/ATR ratio
• Opacity based on strength
• Continuous flow indication
Momentum Ribbon:
• Envelope around price action
• Expands in momentum direction
• Color intensity shows strength
7. SIGNAL CONNECTION SYSTEM
Relationship Mapping:
• Links consecutive signals with lines
• Solid lines: Same direction (continuation)
• Dotted lines: Opposite direction (reversal)
• Maximum 10 connections maintained
• Distance limit: 100 bars
Purpose:
• Identifies signal clusters
• Shows trend development
• Reveals regime persistence
• Confirms directional bias
8. REGIME ZONE MAPPING
Unified Zone Visualization:
• Main zones: Full regime periods (entry to exit)
• Emphasis zones: Specific trigger points
• Historical memory: Last 20 regime shifts
• Color gradient based on intensity
• Border style indicates zone type
Zone Analytics:
• Duration tracking
• Maximum excursion
• Retest probability
• Support/resistance conversion
9. DYNAMIC RISK MANAGEMENT
ATR-Based Position Sizing:
• Stop loss: 1.0 × ATR from entry
• Target 1: 2.0 × ATR (2R)
• Target 2: 4.0 × ATR (4R)
• Volatility-adjusted scaling
Visual Target System:
• Entry pointer lines
• Target boxes with prices
• Stop boxes with invalidation
• Real-time P&L tracking
10. PROFESSIONAL DASHBOARD
Real-Time Metrics Display:
Primary Metrics:
• Current MMD value and threshold
• Risk level (MMD/threshold ratio)
• Velocity (rate of change)
• Acceleration (second derivative)
Signal Information:
• Active signal type and entry
• Stop loss and targets
• Current P&L percentage
• Bars since signal
Market Metrics:
• Directional bias (BULL/BEAR)
• Confidence percentage
• Win rate statistics
• Signal count tracking
Visual Design:
• Four position options
• Three size modes
• Five color themes
• Gauge visualizations
• Status banners
11. MMD INFO PANEL
Floating Statistics:
• Compact 3×4 table
• MMD vs threshold comparison
• Velocity with direction arrows
• Current bias indication
• Always-visible reference
FIVE COLOR THEMES
Quantum: Cyan/Magenta/Yellow - Modern, high contrast, optimal visibility
Matrix: Green/Red - Classic terminal aesthetic, traditional
Fire: Orange/Gold/Red - Warm spectrum, energetic feel
Aurora: Northern lights palette - Unique, beautiful gradients
Nebula: Deep space colors - Purple/Blue, futuristic
HOW TO USE
Step 1: Select Your Kernel
• RBF for normal markets (stocks, forex majors)
• Laplacian for volatile markets (small-caps, news-driven)
• Cauchy for fat-tail markets (crypto, emerging markets)
Step 2: Configure Bandwidth
• 0.5-2.0: Scalping (high sensitivity)
• 2.0-5.0: Day trading (balanced)
• 5.0-10.0: Swing trading (smooth signals)
Step 3: Set Analysis Windows
• Reference: 3-5× your holding period
• Test: Reference ÷ 3 approximately
• Adjust based on timeframe
Step 4: Calibrate Threshold
• Start with 0.15 default
• Increase if too many signals
• Decrease for earlier detection
Step 5: Enable Visuals
• Probability Cloud for volatility assessment
• Momentum Flow for direction confirmation
• Regime Zones for historical context
• Signal Connections for trend visualization
Step 6: Monitor Dashboard
• Check MMD vs threshold
• Verify regime state
• Confirm directional bias
• Review confidence metrics
Step 7: Execute Signals
• Wait for triangle markers
• Verify regime shift confirmed
• Check risk/reward setup
• Enter at close or next open
Step 8: Manage Position
• Place stop at calculated level
• Scale out at Target 1 (2R)
• Trail remainder to Target 2 (4R)
• Exit if regime reverses
OPTIMIZATION GUIDE
By Market Type:
Forex Majors:
• Kernel: RBF
• Bandwidth: 2.0-3.0
• Windows: 100/30
• Threshold: 0.15
Stock Indices:
• Kernel: RBF
• Bandwidth: 3.0-4.0
• Windows: 150/50
• Threshold: 0.20
Cryptocurrencies:
• Kernel: Cauchy
• Bandwidth: 2.5-3.5
• Windows: 100/30
• Threshold: 0.10-0.15
Commodities:
• Kernel: Laplacian
• Bandwidth: 2.0-3.0
• Windows: 200/60
• Threshold: 0.15-0.25
By Timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m):
• Test Window: 10-20
• Reference: 50-100
• Bandwidth: 1.0-2.0
• Cooldown: 5-10 bars
Day Trading (15m-1H):
• Test Window: 30-50
• Reference: 100-150
• Bandwidth: 2.0-3.0
• Cooldown: 10-20 bars
Swing Trading (4H-Daily):
• Test Window: 50-100
• Reference: 200-300
• Bandwidth: 3.0-5.0
• Cooldown: 20-50 bars
ADVANCED FEATURES
Multi-Timeframe Capability:
• HTF MMD calculation via security()
• Regime alignment across timeframes
• Fractal analysis support
Statistical Arbitrage Mode:
• Pair trading applications
• Spread divergence detection
• Cointegration breaks
Machine Learning Integration:
• Export signals for ML training
• Regime labels for classification
• Feature extraction support
PERFORMANCE METRICS
Computational Complexity:
• MMD calculation: O(m×n) where m,n are window sizes
• Memory usage: O(m+n) for kernel matrices
• Update frequency: Every bar (real-time)
• Optimization: Incremental updates where possible
Typical Signal Frequency:
• Conservative settings: 2-5 signals/week
• Balanced settings: 5-10 signals/week
• Aggressive settings: 10-20 signals/week
Win Rate Expectations:
• Trend following mode: 40-50% wins, 2:1 reward/risk
• Mean reversion mode: 60-70% wins, 1:1 reward/risk
• Depends heavily on market conditions
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
• This indicator detects statistical divergence, not future price direction
• MMD measures distribution distance, not predictive probability
• Past regime shifts do not guarantee future performance
• Kernel methods are descriptive statistics, not AI predictions
• Requires minimum 100 bars historical data for stability
• Performance varies significantly across market conditions
• Not suitable for illiquid or heavily manipulated markets
• Always use proper risk management and position sizing
• Backtest thoroughly on your specific instruments
• This is an analysis tool, not a complete trading system
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Maximum Mean Discrepancy was introduced by Gretton et al. (2012) as a kernel-based statistical test for comparing distributions. In financial markets, we adapt this technique to detect when return distributions shift, indicating potential regime changes. The mathematical rigor of MMD provides a robust, non-parametric approach to identifying market transitions without assuming specific distribution shapes.
SUPPORT & UPDATES
• Questions or configuration help via TradingView messaging
• Bug reports addressed within 48 hours
• Feature requests considered for monthly updates
• Video tutorials available on request
• Join our community for strategy discussions
FINAL NOTES
KMD Pro represents a paradigm shift in technical analysis - moving from price-based indicators to distribution-based detection. By measuring statistical divergence rather than price divergence, the system identifies regime changes that precede traditional breakouts. This anticipatory capability, combined with comprehensive visualization and risk management, provides traders with an institutional-grade toolkit for navigating modern market dynamics.
Remember: The edge comes not from the indicator alone, but from understanding when market distributions diverge from their normal state and positioning accordingly. Use KMD Pro as part of a complete trading strategy that includes fundamental analysis, risk management, and market context.
天干地支标注（当前视窗范围 + 居中标签）🇨🇳 中文说明
天干地支标注（自动匹配周期）
本指标会根据图表的时间周期（年、月、日、小时、分钟）自动计算并在每根 K 线上方显示对应的天干地支。
• 自动识别图表周期（年/月/日/时/分）
• 仅显示当前视窗内的柱子，性能高、不卡顿
• 可自定义每隔 N 根显示一次（默认每根）
• 支持居中矩形标签（label.style_label_center），清晰易读
• 无需区分暗黑/亮色主题，自动兼容所有图表样式
可作为金融时间序列与中国传统历法（干支纪时）结合的参考工具，
在时间周期研究、风水、气运周期、江恩时间分析等领域有辅助价值。
⸻
🇬🇧 English Description (for international visibility)
Heavenly Stems & Earthly Branches Marker (Auto-Adaptive Version)
This indicator automatically calculates and displays the corresponding Chinese Heavenly Stems and Earthly Branches (Ganzhi) for each candlestick, based on the chart’s timeframe (Year, Month, Day, Hour, or Minute).
• Auto-detects chart timeframe
• Draws only within the current visible window (optimized performance)
• Adjustable display interval (e.g., show every N bars)
• Uses centered label style for clarity
• Compatible with both dark and light themes
Useful for combining Chinese calendar cycles with financial time analysis, time-cycle studies, or Gann-style timing models.
ICOptimizerLibrary "ICOptimizer"
Library for IC-based parameter optimization
findOptimalParam(testParams, icValues, currentParam, smoothing)
Find optimal parameter from array of IC values
Parameters:
testParams (array) : Array of parameter values being tested
icValues (array) : Array of IC values for each parameter (same size as testParams)
currentParam (float) : Current parameter value (for smoothing)
smoothing (simple float) : Smoothing factor (0-1, e.g., 0.2 means 20% new, 80% old)
Returns: New parameter value, its IC, and array index
adaptiveParamWithStarvation(opt, testParams, icValues, smoothing, starvationThreshold, starvationJumpSize)
Adaptive parameter selection with starvation handling
Parameters:
opt (ICOptimizer) : ICOptimizer object
testParams (array) : Array of parameter values
icValues (array) : Array of IC values for each parameter
smoothing (simple float) : Normal smoothing factor
starvationThreshold (simple int) : Number of updates before triggering starvation mode
starvationJumpSize (simple float) : Jump size when in starvation (as fraction of range)
Returns: Updated parameter and IC
detectAndAdjustDomination(longCount, shortCount, currentLongLevel, currentShortLevel, dominationRatio, jumpSize, minLevel, maxLevel)
Detect signal imbalance and adjust parameters
Parameters:
longCount (int) : Number of long signals in period
shortCount (int) : Number of short signals in period
currentLongLevel (float) : Current long threshold
currentShortLevel (float) : Current short threshold
dominationRatio (simple int) : Ratio threshold (e.g., 4 = 4:1 imbalance)
jumpSize (simple float) : Size of adjustment
minLevel (simple float) : Minimum allowed level
maxLevel (simple float) : Maximum allowed level
Returns:
calcIC(signals, returns, lookback)
Parameters:
signals (float)
returns (float)
lookback (simple int)
classifyIC(currentIC, icWindow, goodPercentile, badPercentile)
Parameters:
currentIC (float)
icWindow (simple int)
goodPercentile (simple int)
badPercentile (simple int)
evaluateSignal(signal, forwardReturn)
Parameters:
signal (float)
forwardReturn (float)
updateOptimizerState(opt, signal, forwardReturn, currentIC, metaICPeriod)
Parameters:
opt (ICOptimizer)
signal (float)
forwardReturn (float)
currentIC (float)
metaICPeriod (simple int)
calcSuccessRate(successful, total)
Parameters:
successful (int)
total (int)
createICStatsTable(opt, paramName, normalSuccess, normalTotal)
Parameters:
opt (ICOptimizer)
paramName (string)
normalSuccess (int)
normalTotal (int)
initOptimizer(initialParam)
Parameters:
initialParam (float)
ICOptimizer
Fields:
currentParam (series float)
currentIC (series float)
metaIC (series float)
totalSignals (series int)
successfulSignals (series int)
goodICSignals (series int)
goodICSuccess (series int)
nonBadICSignals (series int)
nonBadICSuccess (series int)
goodICThreshold (series float)
badICThreshold (series float)
updateCounter (series int)
IC optimiser libLibrary "IC optimiser lib"
Library for IC-based parameter optimization
findOptimalParam(testParams, icValues, currentParam, smoothing)
Find optimal parameter from array of IC values
Parameters:
testParams (array) : Array of parameter values being tested
icValues (array) : Array of IC values for each parameter (same size as testParams)
currentParam (float) : Current parameter value (for smoothing)
smoothing (simple float) : Smoothing factor (0-1, e.g., 0.2 means 20% new, 80% old)
Returns: New parameter value, its IC, and array index
adaptiveParamWithStarvation(opt, testParams, icValues, smoothing, starvationThreshold, starvationJumpSize)
Adaptive parameter selection with starvation handling
Parameters:
opt (ICOptimizer) : ICOptimizer object
testParams (array) : Array of parameter values
icValues (array) : Array of IC values for each parameter
smoothing (simple float) : Normal smoothing factor
starvationThreshold (simple int) : Number of updates before triggering starvation mode
starvationJumpSize (simple float) : Jump size when in starvation (as fraction of range)
Returns: Updated parameter and IC
detectAndAdjustDomination(longCount, shortCount, currentLongLevel, currentShortLevel, dominationRatio, jumpSize, minLevel, maxLevel)
Detect signal imbalance and adjust parameters
Parameters:
longCount (int) : Number of long signals in period
shortCount (int) : Number of short signals in period
currentLongLevel (float) : Current long threshold
currentShortLevel (float) : Current short threshold
dominationRatio (simple int) : Ratio threshold (e.g., 4 = 4:1 imbalance)
jumpSize (simple float) : Size of adjustment
minLevel (simple float) : Minimum allowed level
maxLevel (simple float) : Maximum allowed level
Returns:
calcIC(signals, returns, lookback)
Parameters:
signals (float)
returns (float)
lookback (simple int)
classifyIC(currentIC, icWindow, goodPercentile, badPercentile)
Parameters:
currentIC (float)
icWindow (simple int)
goodPercentile (simple int)
badPercentile (simple int)
evaluateSignal(signal, forwardReturn)
Parameters:
signal (float)
forwardReturn (float)
updateOptimizerState(opt, signal, forwardReturn, currentIC, metaICPeriod)
Parameters:
opt (ICOptimizer)
signal (float)
forwardReturn (float)
currentIC (float)
metaICPeriod (simple int)
calcSuccessRate(successful, total)
Parameters:
successful (int)
total (int)
createICStatsTable(opt, paramName, normalSuccess, normalTotal)
Parameters:
opt (ICOptimizer)
paramName (string)
normalSuccess (int)
normalTotal (int)
initOptimizer(initialParam)
Parameters:
initialParam (float)
ICOptimizer
Fields:
currentParam (series float)
currentIC (series float)
metaIC (series float)
totalSignals (series int)
successfulSignals (series int)
goodICSignals (series int)
goodICSuccess (series int)
nonBadICSignals (series int)
nonBadICSuccess (series int)
goodICThreshold (series float)
badICThreshold (series float)
updateCounter (series int)
ATR %ATR % Oscillator
A simple and effective Average True Range (ATR) indicator displayed as a percentage of the current price in a separate panel.
FEATURES:
• ATR displayed as percentage of current price for easy cross-asset comparison
• EMA smoothing line using the same period as ATR
• Configurable ATR period (default: 20)
• Clean visualization with zero reference line
HOW IT WORKS:
The indicator calculates ATR and converts it to a percentage: (ATR / Close) × 100
This normalization allows you to:
- Compare volatility across different instruments regardless of price
- Identify high and low volatility periods
- Use the EMA line to spot volatility trends
PARAMETERS:
ATR Period - The lookback period for ATR calculation (default: 20)
Timeframe - Choose any timeframe for ATR calculation independently from the chart timeframe (default: chart timeframe)
IPDA Ranges – ProIPDA Ranges – Pro
This indicator plots Institutional Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) ranges based on lookback periods of 20, 40, and 60 days, as taught by ICT (Inner Circle Trader). It visualizes premium and discount zones, equilibrium levels, quadrants, and sub-quadrants to help traders identify key price areas and potential market biases.
Key Features:
- Displays IPDA ranges as boxes or lines, with customizable colors for discount, equilibrium, and premium zones.
- Optionally shades the 25%-75% mid-zone for each range.
- Supports quadrants (25% steps) and sub-quadrants with lines and labels for detailed price segmentation.
- Includes a table displaying either discount/premium status or percentage from equilibrium for each range.
- Configurable alerts for entry/exit into the mid-zone.
- Visual options include line styles, label sizes, price display on labels, and buffers for zone extension.
Settings Overview:
- IPDA Intervals: Enable/disable IPDA20, IPDA40, IPDA60; toggle quadrants, sub-quadrants, mid-zone shading, and drawing with lines vs. boxes.
- Colors and Styles: Customize colors for zones, lines, labels; select solid/dotted/dashed styles for borders and lines.
- Appearance: Adjust label and table sizes, table position, and background opacity.
- Labels: Show/hide per-range labels and include prices.
- Alerts: Enable mid-zone entry/exit alerts.
Usage:
Add the indicator to your chart and select the desired IPDA intervals. The ranges update dynamically based on daily highs and lows. Use the table for quick reference to current positioning (discount/premium or percentage). The mid-zone shading helps identify consolidation areas, while quadrants and sub-quadrants assist in pinpointing potential support/resistance levels.
© MadMonkTrading
Kelly Wave Position Matrix 20251024 V1 ZENYOUNGA simple table is designed for use when opening a position. It applies the Kelly formula to calculate a more scientific position size based on win rate and risk–reward ratio. At the same time, it displays 1.65× ATR stop-loss levels for both long and short positions to serve as a reference for comparing with existing stop-loss placements.
Additionally, the table back-calculates the corresponding position size based on a 2% total capital loss limit, using the actual loss ratio. It also shows the current wave trend status as a pre-filtering condition.
Overall, this table integrates the core elements of trading — trend (wave confirmation), win rate, risk–reward ratio, and position sizing — making it an effective checklist before entering a trade. Its purpose is to help achieve a probabilistic edge and ensure positive expected value in trading decisions.
CNN Fear and Greed Index📊 CNN Fear & Greed Index — by @victhoreb
Tap into the emotional heartbeat of the U.S. stock market with this powerful CNN-inspired Fear & Greed Index! 🧠📉📈 Designed to mirror the sentiment framework popularized by CNN Business, this indicator blends 7 key market signals into a single score from 0 (😱 Extreme Fear) to 100 (🚀 Extreme Greed), helping you navigate volatility with confidence.
🧩 What’s Inside?
Each component captures a unique behavioral or macroeconomic force:
- ⚡ Market Momentum: Tracks how far the S&P 500 is from its 125-day average — a pulse check on trend strength.
- 🏛️ Stock Price Strength: Measures the NYSE Highs vs. Lows — are more stocks breaking out or breaking down?
- 🌊 Stock Price Breadth: Uses the McClellan Volume Summation Index to assess market-wide participation.
- ☎️ Put/Call Ratio: A 5-day average of the equity options market — are traders hedging or chasing?
- 🌪️ Volatility (VIX): Compares the VIX to its 50-day average — rising fear or calming nerves?
- 🛡️ Safe Haven Demand: Contrasts stock returns with bond returns — are investors seeking shelter or risk?
- 💣 Junk Bond Demand: Inverted high-yield spread — tighter spreads = more risk-on appetite.
🎯 Why Use It?
This index gives you a quantified view of Wall Street’s mood, helping you:
- Spot emotional extremes that often precede reversals
- Confirm or challenge your directional bias
- Stay grounded when the market gets irrational
🧭 Visual Sentiment Meter
A custom offset sentiment meter shows current positioning with intuitive labels:
- 😱 Extreme Fear
- 😨 Fear
- 😐 Neutral
- 😄 Greed
- 🚀 Extreme Greed
Color gradients and dynamic labels make it easy to interpret at a glance.
Ready to trade with the crowd—or against it? Add this indicator to your chart and let sentiment guide your strategy! 📈🧠
Crypto Fear and Greed Index📊 Crypto Fear & Greed Index — by @victhoreb
Decode the emotional pulse of the crypto market with this all-in-one Fear & Greed Index! 🧠💰 This custom-built indicator blends 7 powerful market signals into a single sentiment score ranging from 0 (😱 Extreme Fear) to 100 (🚀 Extreme Greed), helping you spot potential tops, bottoms, and trend shifts with clarity.
🔍 What’s under the hood?
Each component reflects a unique psychological or macroeconomic force:
- ⚡ Market Momentum: Measures how far BTC is from its 125-day average — are we overextended or undervalued?
- 📈 Crypto Price Strength: Tracks the dominance of altcoins (OTHERS.D) — rising dominance = growing risk appetite.
- 💵 Digital Dollar Dominance (USDT.D): A proxy for stablecoin demand — more USDT dominance = risk-off behavior.
- 🐦 Twitter Sentiment (LunarCrush): Captures real-time posts on TWITTER about Bitcoin — are the crowds euphoric or panicking?
- 🌪️ Volatility (VIX): Inverted VIX deviation — higher fear in traditional markets often spills into crypto.
- 🛡️ Safe Haven Demand: Compares BTC returns vs. US10Y bonds — are investors fleeing to safety or embracing risk?
- 🧨 Junk Bond Demand (BAMLH0A0HYM2): Inverted high-yield spread — tighter spreads = more greed in credit markets.
🎯 Why use it?
This index gives you a quantified view of market sentiment, helping you:
- Anticipate reversals during emotional extremes
- Confirm trend strength or weakness
- Stay objective when the market gets irrational
🧭 Visual Dashboard
A custom offset sentiment meter shows current positioning with intuitive labels:
- 😱 Extreme Fear
- 😨 Fear
- 😐 Neutral
- 😄 Greed
- 🚀 Extreme Greed
Color gradients and dynamic labels make it easy to interpret at a glance.
Ready to trade with the crowd—or against it? Add this indicator to your chart and let sentiment guide your strategy! 📈🧠
Statistical Price Deviation Index (MAD/VWMA)SPDI is a statistical oscillator designed to detect potential price reversal zones by measuring how far price deviates from its typical behavior within a defined rolling window.
Instead of using momentum or moving averages like traditional indicators, SPDI applies robust statistics - a rolling median and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) - to calculate a normalized measure of price displacement. This normalization keeps the output bounded (from −1 to +1 by default), producing a stable and consistent oscillator that adapts to changing volatility conditions.
The second line in SPDI uses a Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) instead of a simple price median. This creates a complementary oscillator showing statistically weighted deviations based on traded volume. When both oscillators align in their extremes, strong confluence reversal signals are generated.
How It Works
For each bar, SPDI calculates the median price of the last N bars (default 100).
It then measures how far the current bar’s midpoint deviates from that rolling median.
The Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) of those distances defines a “normal” range of fluctuation.
The deviation is normalized and compressed via a tanh mapping, keeping the oscillator in fixed boundaries (−1 to +1).
The same logic is applied to the VWMA line to gauge volume-weighted deviations.
How to Use
The blue line (Price MAD) represents pure price deviation.
The green line (VWMA Disp) shows the volume-weighted deviation.
Overbought (red) zones indicate statistically extreme upward deviation -> potential short-term overextension.
Oversold (green) zones indicate statistically extreme downward deviation -> potential rebound area.
Confluence signals (both lines hitting the same extreme) often mark strong reversal points.
Settings Tips
Lookback length controls how much historical data defines “normal” behavior. Larger = smoother, smaller = more sensitive.
Smoothing (RMA length) can reduce noise without changing the overall statistical logic.
Output scale can be set to either −1..+1 or 0..100, depending on your visual preference.
Alerts and color fills are fully customizable in the Style tab.
Summary:
SPDI transforms raw price and volume data into a statistically bounded deviation index. When both Price MAD and VWMA Disp reach joint extremes, it highlights probable market turning points - offering traders a clean, data-driven way to spot potential reversals ahead of time.
EURUSD vs GBPUSD — Alexio Script que muestra que par es más fuerte entre GBP y EUR vs USD en un rango determinado.
OBTrendDelta Volume Delta & Order Block SuiteOB Trend Delta V1 - Order Block & Volume Delta Indicator
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📊 OVERVIEW
OB Trend Delta V1 is a technical indicator that combines Order Blocks analysis (institutional support/resistance zones) with Volume Delta (buying vs selling pressure) to provide insights on setup quality and market dynamics.
The indicator visually displays zones of interest, volume pressure, and a quality scoring system to assist in technical analysis of any market.
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🎯 CORE CONCEPT
▸ ORDER BLOCKS
Order Blocks are price zones where large institutions executed significant operations. These areas tend to act as support (Bull OB) or resistance (Bear OB) when price returns to them.
How to interpret:
🟢 Bull Order Block: Green zone where institutional buyers entered strongly → Potential support
🔴 Bear Order Block: Red zone where institutional sellers entered strongly → Potential resistance
▸ VOLUME DELTA
Volume Delta measures the difference between buying and selling volume in each candle, revealing which side of the market is dominating.
How to interpret:
✅ Positive Delta (green histogram): Buyers dominating → Bullish pressure
❌ Negative Delta (red histogram): Sellers dominating → Bearish pressure
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📈 WHAT THE INDICATOR SHOWS
1️⃣ TREND DETECTION
The indicator identifies the main market direction using moving averages and trend strength analysis (ADX), visually highlighting when the market is in:
Uptrend (Bullish Trend)
Downtrend (Bearish Trend)
Ranging (Sideways market/no clear trend)
2️⃣ SETUP QUALITY SYSTEM
Each trading opportunity is evaluated on 6 independent criteria:
✅ Price inside a valid Order Block
✅ Volume Delta confirming the direction
✅ Order Block is recent and "fresh"
✅ Few previous retests (OB still strong)
✅ Volume confirmation above average
✅ Favorable market regime
Setup Quality Score: 0 to 6 points
Score 6: Perfect setup (all criteria met)
Score 5: Excellent setup (5 of 6 criteria)
Score 4: Good setup (4 of 6 criteria)
Score 0-3: Weak setup or forming
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🔧 VISUAL COMPONENTS IN THE INDICATOR
▸ VOLUME DELTA HISTOGRAM
🟢 Green Bars: Buying volume > selling volume (bullish pressure)
🔴 Red Bars: Selling volume > buying volume (bearish pressure)
📊 Intensity: The larger the bar, the greater the pressure
▸ ORDER BLOCK ZONES
🟢 Green Boxes (Bull OB): Institutional support zones
🔴 Red Boxes (Bear OB): Institutional resistance zones
🔄 Projection: OBs are extended to the right until invalidated
▸ SETUP QUALITY SIGNALS
📊 Score Labels: Show setup quality (Q4, Q5, Q6)
• Q6: Perfect setup (all 6 criteria met)
• Q5: Excellent setup (5 of 6 criteria)
• Q4: Good setup (4 of 6 criteria)
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💡 HOW TO INTERPRET THE INFORMATION
Observe trend direction (EMAs and ADX)
Identify active Order Blocks:
• Bull OBs (green): Potential support zones
• Bear OBs (red): Potential resistance zones
Analyze Volume Delta:
• Green bars: Dominant buying pressure
• Red bars: Dominant selling pressure
Check Setup Quality Score:
• Q5-Q6: Setups with multiple confirmations
• Q4: Setup with moderate confirmations
• Q0-Q3: Few criteria met
⚠️ NOTE: The indicator provides technical information. Trading decisions are exclusively yours.
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📊 TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS
▸ RECOMMENDED TIMEFRAMES
5 minutes: Scalping / Fast day trading
15 minutes: Day trading
1 hour: Swing trading
4 hours: Medium-term positions
Daily: Long-term analysis
▸ COMPATIBLE MARKETS
✅ Forex (all pairs)
✅ Cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, altcoins)
✅ Indices (S&P500, Nasdaq, etc)
✅ Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc)
✅ Stocks and CFDs
⚠️ Requirement: Volume data is necessary for Volume Delta calculation
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⚠️ IMPORTANT WARNINGS
▸ EDUCATIONAL USE
📊 This indicator is an educational technical analysis tool
⚠️ The indicator does NOT provide buy or sell signals
⚠️ The indicator does NOT guarantee results
⚠️ All trading decisions are your responsibility
▸ RISK MANAGEMENT
⚠️ Always use proper risk management
⚠️ Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose
⚠️ Test the indicator on a demo account before using real money
⚠️ Combine with your own analysis and strategy
▸ LIMITATIONS
❌ No indicator is 100% accurate
❌ Markets can behave unpredictably
❌ Requires confirmation with other analyses
❌ Volume Delta requires reliable volume data
▸ DISCLAIMER
📢 This indicator is educational and does not constitute investment advice.
The indicator shows technical information, not trading signals
Past results do not guarantee future results
Trading involves risk of total capital loss
You are 100% responsible for your trading decisions
Consult a financial professional before investing
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📚 ADVANCED CONCEPTS
▸ WHAT ARE ORDER BLOCKS?
Order Blocks represent zones where "smart money" (institutions, whales) accumulated or distributed positions. When price returns to these zones, there is high probability of reaction due to:
Pending limit orders
Psychological levels
Institutional value zones
▸ VOLUME DELTA VS NORMAL VOLUME
Normal volume shows only QUANTITY of trades.
Volume Delta shows DIRECTION (who is winning the battle):
High volume + Positive delta = Strong accumulation 🚀
High volume + Negative delta = Strong distribution 📉
▸ MARKET REGIME (ADX)
ADX measures TREND STRENGTH:
ADX > 25: Strong trend (best time to trade)
ADX < 20: Sideways/ranging market (avoid trades)
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✅ BEFORE USING THIS INDICATOR
Make sure you:
☑ Understand the Order Blocks concept
☑ Know how to interpret Volume Delta
☑ Understand trend analysis
☑ Have your own trading strategy
☑ Know risk management
☑ Understand the indicator does NOT provide buy/sell signals
☑ Are aware of trading risks
☑ Test on demo account before using real money
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📊 USE AS AN ANALYSIS TOOL, NOT AS AN AUTOMATIC DECISION SYSTEM!
The indicator provides information. You make the decisions.
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Version: 1.0 | Type: Order Block + Volume Delta + Trend Analysis | Update: October 2024
WorldCup Dashboard + Institutional Sessions© 2025 NewMeta™ — Educational use only.
# Full, Premium Description
## WorldCup Dashboard + Institutional Sessions
**A trade-ready, intraday framework that combines market structure, real flow, and institutional timing.**
This toolkit fuses **Institutional Sessions** with a **price–volume decision engine** so you can see *who is active*, *where value sits*, and *whether the drive is real*. You get: **CVD/Delta**, volume-weighted **Momentum**, **Aggression** spikes, **FVG (MTF)** with nearest side, **Daily Volume Profile (VAH/POC/VAL)**, **ATR regime**, a **24h position gauge**, classic **candle patterns**, IBH/IBL + **first-hour “true close”** lines, and a **10-vote confluence scoreboard**—all in one view.
---
## What’s inside (and how to trade it)
### 🌍 Institutional Sessions (Sydney • Tokyo • London • New York)
* Session boxes + a highlighted **first hour**.
* Plots the **true close** (first-hour close) as a running line with a label.
**Use:** Many desks anchor risk to this print. Above = bullish bias; below = bearish. **IBH/IBL** breaks during London/NY carry the most signal.
### 📊 CVD / Delta (Flow)
* Net buyer vs seller pressure with smooth trend state.
**Use:** **Rising CVD + acceptance above mid/POC** confirms continuation. Bearish price + rising CVD = caution (possible absorption).
### ⚡ Volume-Weighted Momentum
* Momentum adjusted by participation quality (volume).
**Use:** Momentum>MA and >0 → trend drive is “real”; <0 and falling → distribution risk.
### 🔥 Aggression Detector
* ROC × normalized volume × wick factor to flag **forceful** candles.
**Use:** On spikes, avoid fading blindly—wait for pullbacks into **aligned FVG** or for aggression to cool.
### 🟦🟪 Fair Value Gaps (with MTF)
* Detects up to 3 recent FVGs and marks the **nearest** side to price.
**Use:** Trend pullbacks into **bullish FVG** for longs; bounces into **bearish FVG** for shorts. Optional threshold to filter weak gaps.
### 🧭 24h Gauge (positioning)
* Shows current price across the 24h low⇢high with a mid reference.
**Use:** Above mid and pushing upper third = momentum continuation setups; below mid = sell the rips bias.
### 🧱 Daily Volume Profile (manual per day)
* **VAH / POC / VAL** derived from discretized rows.
**Use:** **POC below** supports longs; **POC above** caps rallies. Fade VAH/VAL in ranges; treat them as break/hold levels in trends.
### 📈 ATR Regime
* **ATR vs ATR-avg** with direction and regime flag (**HIGH / NORMAL / LOW**).
**Use:** HIGH ⇒ give trades room & favor trend following. LOW ⇒ fade edges, scale targets.
### 🕯️ Candle Patterns (contextual, not standalone)
* Engulfings, Morning/Evening Star, 3 Soldiers/Crows, Harami, Hammer/Shooting Star, Double Top/Bottom.
**Use:** Only with session + flow + momentum alignment.
### 🤝 Price–Volume Classification
* Labels each bar as **continuation**, **exhaustion**, **distribution**, or **healthy pullback**.
**Use:** Align continuation reads with trend; treat “Price↑ + Vol↓” as a caution flag.
### 🧪 Confluence Scoreboard & B/S Meter
* Ten elements vote: 🔵 bull, ⚪ neutral, 🟣 bear.
**Use:** Execution filter—take setups when the board’s skew matches your trade direction.
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## Playbooks (actionable)
**Trend Pullback (Long)**
1. London/NY active, Momentum↑, CVD↑, price above 24h mid & POC.
2. Pullback into **nearest bullish FVG**.
3. Invalidate under FVG low or **true-close** line.
4. Targets: IBH → VAH → 24h high.
**Range Fade (Short)**
1. Asia/quiet regime, **Price↑ + Vol↓** into **VAH**, ATR low.
2. Nearest FVG bearish or scoreboard skew bearish.
3. Invalidate above VAH/IBH.
4. Targets: POC → VAL.
**News/Impulse**
Aggression spike? Don’t chase. Let it pull back into the aligned FVG; require CVD/Momentum agreement before entry.
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## Alerts (included)
* **Bull/Bear Confluence ≥ 7/10**
* **Intraday Target Achieved** / **Daily Target Achieved**
* **Session True-Close Retests** (Sydney/Tokyo/London/NY)
*(Keep alerts “Once per bar” unless you specifically want intrabar triggers.)*
---
## Setup Tips
* **UTC**: Choose the reference that matches how you track sessions (default UTC+2).
* **Volume threshold**: 2.0× is a strong baseline; raise for noisy alts, lower for majors.
* **CVD smoothing**: 14–24 for scalps; 24–34 for slower markets.
* **ATR lengths**: Keep defaults unless your asset has a persistent regime shift.
---
## Why this framework?
Because **timing (sessions)**, **truth (flow)**, and **location (value/FVG)** together beat any single signal. You get *who is trading*, *how strong the push is*, and *where risk lives*—on one screen—so execution is faster and cleaner.
---
**Disclaimer**: Educational use only. Not financial advice. Markets are risky—backtest and size responsibly.
IIR One-Pole Price Filter [BackQuant]IIR One-Pole Price Filter
A lightweight, mathematically grounded smoothing filter derived from signal processing theory, designed to denoise price data while maintaining minimal lag. It provides a refined alternative to the classic Exponential Moving Average (EMA) by directly controlling the filter’s responsiveness through three interchangeable alpha modes: EMA-Length , Half-Life , and Cutoff-Period .
Concept overview
An IIR (Infinite Impulse Response) filter is a type of recursive filter that blends current and past input values to produce a smooth, continuous output. The "one-pole" version is its simplest form, consisting of a single recursive feedback loop that exponentially decays older price information. This makes it both memory-efficient and responsive , ideal for traders seeking a precise balance between noise reduction and reaction speed.
Unlike standard moving averages, the IIR filter can be tuned in physically meaningful terms (such as half-life or cutoff frequency) rather than just arbitrary periods. This allows the trader to think about responsiveness in the same way an engineer or physicist would interpret signal smoothing.
Why use it
Filters out market noise without introducing heavy lag like higher-order smoothers.
Adapts to various trading speeds and time horizons by changing how alpha (responsiveness) is parameterized.
Provides consistent and mathematically interpretable control of smoothing, suitable for both discretionary and algorithmic systems.
Can serve as the core component in adaptive strategies, volatility normalization, or trend extraction pipelines.
Alpha Modes Explained
EMA-Length : Classic exponential decay with alpha = 2 / (L + 1). Equivalent to a standard EMA but exposed directly for fine control.
Half-Life : Defines the number of bars it takes for the influence of a price input to decay by half. More intuitive for time-domain analysis.
Cutoff-Period : Inspired by analog filter theory, defines the cutoff frequency (in bars) beyond which price oscillations are heavily attenuated. Lower periods = faster response.
Formula in plain terms
Each bar updates as:
yₜ = yₜ₋₁ + alpha × (priceₜ − yₜ₋₁)
Where alpha is the smoothing coefficient derived from your chosen mode.
Smaller alpha → smoother but slower response.
Larger alpha → faster but noisier response.
Practical application
Trend detection : When the filter line rises, momentum is positive; when it falls, momentum is negative.
Signal timing : Use the crossover of the filter vs its previous value (or price) as an entry/exit condition.
Noise suppression : Apply on volatile assets or lower timeframes to remove flicker from raw price data.
Foundation for advanced filters : The one-pole IIR serves as a building block for multi-pole cascades, adaptive smoothers, and spectral filters.
Customization options
Alpha Scale : Multiplies the final alpha to fine-tune aggressiveness without changing the mode’s core math.
Color Painting : Candles can be painted green/red by trend direction for visual clarity.
Line Width & Transparency : Adjust the visual intensity to integrate cleanly with your charting style.
Interpretation tips
A smooth yet reactive line implies optimal tuning — minimal delay with reduced false flips.
A sluggish line suggests alpha is too small (increase responsiveness).
A noisy, twitchy line means alpha is too large (increase smoothing).
Half-life tuning often feels more natural for aligning filter speed with price cycles or bar duration.
Summary
The IIR One-Pole Price Filter is a signal smoother that merges simplicity with mathematical rigor. Whether you’re filtering for entry signals, generating trend overlays, or constructing larger multi-stage systems, this filter delivers stability, clarity, and precision control over noise versus lag, an essential tool for any quantitative or systematic trading approach.
Liquidity Stress Index SOFR - IORBLiquidity Stress Index (SOFR - IORB)
This indicator tracks the spread between the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) and the Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB) set by the Federal Reserve.
A persistently positive spread may indicate funding stress or liquidity shortages in the repo market, as it suggests overnight lending rates exceed the risk-free rate banks earn at the Fed.
Useful for monitoring monetary policy transmission or market/liquidity stress.
Advanced HMM - 3 States CompleteHidden Markov Model
Aconsistent challenge for quantitative traders is the frequent behaviour modification of financial
markets, often abruptly, due to changing periods of government policy, regulatory environment
and other macroeconomic effects. Such periods are known as market regimes. Detecting such
changes is a common, albeit difficult, process undertaken by quantitative market participants.
These various regimes lead to adjustments of asset returns via shifts in their means, variances,
autocorrelation and covariances. This impacts the effectiveness of time series methods that rely
on stationarity. In particular it can lead to dynamically-varying correlation, excess kurtosis ("fat
tails"), heteroskedasticity (volatility clustering) and skewed returns.
There is a clear need to effectively detect these regimes. This aids optimal deployment of
quantitative trading strategies and tuning the parameters within them. The modeling task then
becomes an attempt to identify when a new regime has occurred adjusting strategy deployment,
risk management and position sizing criteria accordingly.
A principal method for carrying out regime detection is to use a statistical time series tech
nique known as a Hidden Markov Model . These models are well-suited to the task since they
involve inference on "hidden" generative processes via "noisy" indirect observations correlated
to these processes. In this instance the hidden, or latent, process is the underlying regime state,
while the asset returns are the indirect noisy observations that are influenced by these states.
MAIN FEATURES OF THE INDICATOR
The "Advanced HMM - 3 States Complete" indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool that uses Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to identify three main market regimes: BULL, BEAR, and SIDEWAYS.
🎯 KEY FEATURES:
1. HMM-based Trend Detection
3 market states: Bull (0), Bear (1), Sideways (2)
Dynamic probabilities: Calculates probability for each state based on price data
Transition matrix: Models state transitions between regimes
2. Analytical Features
Price volatility: Log returns and standard deviation
Momentum: Rate of Change (ROC)
Volume: Volume ratio vs moving average
Data normalization: Standardizes features to common scale
3. Visual Trading Signals
text
📍 BUY Signals:
- Green upward triangle below bars
- "LONG" label in green
📍 SELL Signals:
- Red downward triangle above bars
- "SHORT" label in red
📍 EXIT Signals:
- Orange X marks when transitioning to sideways
4. Information Display
Probability table (top-right): Shows percentage for each state
State label: Current regime with probability percentages
Chart background color: Reflects dominant market state
5. Automated Alerts
Alerts when new Bull/Bear market detected
Alerts when market transitions to sideways
Configurable TradingView notifications
6. Customizable Parameters
pinescript
length: 100 // Lookback period
smoothing_period: 20 // Probability smoothing
volatility_threshold: 0.5 // Volatility threshold
💡 PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS:
Identify primary trends with quantified probabilities
Entry/exit signals based on state transitions
Risk management during sideways markets
Trend confirmation when combined with other indicators
This indicator is particularly useful for market regime analysis and identifying trend transition points using advanced statistical probability methods.
🔧 TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION:
Composite observation: Weighted combination of returns (40%), momentum (30%), and volatility (30%)
Gaussian emission probabilities: Different distributions for each state
Manual HMM updates: Avoids matrix computation limitations in Pine Script
Real-time smoothing: EMA applied to state probabilities
The indicator provides institutional-grade regime detection in a visually intuitive package suitable for both discretionary and systematic traders.
ATR Gauge - Audiophile StyleThe ATR Gauge - Audiophile Style indicator is a custom visualization tool. It's designed to give you a quick, retro-inspired snapshot of market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) metric. Think of it as a dashboard widget styled like the VU meters on old-school audiophile equipment (e.g., vintage stereo amps from brands like McIntosh or Marantz)—simple, elegant, and functional. It sits in one of the corners of your chart and helps you gauge how "hot" or "cool" the current price action is compared to recent levels.
Why This Gauge?: Standard ATR plots as a line on your chart, but this turns it into a visual "meter" focused on the last 24 hours. It's like a speedometer for volatility—quick to read at a glance. Useful for day traders, scalpers, or anyone monitoring intraday risk without cluttering the main chart.
CCT Gold Synthetic Market Cap🌎 Gold Synthetic Market Cap
Overview
The Gold Synthetic Market Cap indicator transforms the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) into a synthetic market capitalization chart, allowing traders and analysts to visualize gold’s total estimated valuation as a global asset — similar to how cryptocurrencies are evaluated by total market cap.
This tool uses the current XAU/USD price multiplied by the total amount of gold ever mined (~210,000 metric tons), automatically converting the result into trillions of US dollars (USD T).
The outcome is a precise and dynamic representation of gold’s real-time market value — displayed as full OHLC candles in a separate chart panel.
🧠 Core Concept
Gold’s price per ounce doesn’t tell the full story of its global valuation.
By converting it to market capitalization, we can compare it to other asset classes such as:
Bitcoin’s total market cap (CRYPTOCAP:BTC)
Global equities and ETFs
Precious metals or commodities benchmarks
This indicator bridges the gap between price analysis and macro asset valuation, offering a quantitative visualization of gold’s total monetary footprint.
⚙️ Technical Mechanics
Base Symbol: OANDA:XAUUSD (or any gold pair available on your chart)
Conversion Constant:
210,000 tons × 32,150.7 oz/ton = 6.76 × 10⁹ ounces
Calculation:
MarketCap = (XAUUSD × total_ounces) / 1e12
Displayed Units: Trillions of USD (USD T)
Chart Type: Full OHLC candles (plotcandle)
Each candle represents the daily/weekly/monthly change in gold’s total market value.
🎛️ User Controls (Inputs)
Toggle Function
Show Average Line? Displays a 21-period SMA (in trillions) for trend-following analysis.
Show Info Table? Adds a small info table at the bottom-right corner showing the current market cap value.
Show Market Cap Label? Displays a live label above the last candle showing the latest market cap value.
Normalize Scale? Adjusts scaling for better visual fit. Leave enabled to avoid flat or off-screen candles.
📈 How to Use
1 - Add the indicator to your Gold Spot chart (XAUUSD).
2 - When added, TradingView automatically creates a separate panel below the main price chart.
3 - You can hide the original XAUUSD chart to focus solely on the synthetic market cap.
4 - Maximize the indicator panel (double-click or use the arrow icon) to view the synthetic market cap in full-screen mode.
Apply any drawing tools, trendlines, or visual overlays directly on this panel (they won’t affect the base chart).
Optionally, compare it side by side with Bitcoin Market Cap (CRYPTOCAP:BTC) for macro-level correlation studies.
🪙 Practical Applications
Compare Gold’s global valuation to Bitcoin, equities, or global M2 supply.
Analyze macro rotation trends between risk-off and risk-on assets.
Estimate how much capital is stored in physical gold versus digital assets.
Integrate into broader multi-asset dashboards for portfolio allocation analysis.
💡 Suggested Workflow
Keep the normalize toggle enabled (default).
Maximize the lower panel for a full synthetic chart view.
Combine this tool with the F!72 SuperTrade or MarketMonitor indicators for contextual macro insight.
Use a weekly or monthly timeframe for clearer long-term structure visualization.
📊 Notes
This indicator uses public XAU/USD pricing and does not require any external API.
Works seamlessly with any TradingView theme (light or dark).
Best viewed with logarithmic scale off, as values are already represented in trillions.
Compatible with all resolutions and broker feeds that support XAUUSD.
🔬 Example Interpretation
If Gold trades around $4,000/oz,
the total market cap is approximately:
4,000 × 32,150.7 × 210,000 ≈ 27 Trillion USD
If Gold rises to $5,000/oz,
the global valuation crosses 33.9 Trillion USD —
a move equivalent to adding the entire market cap of all major tech stocks combined.
🧭 Final Recommendation
This script is designed as an analytical overlay, not a trading signal tool.
It complements technical analysis by providing macro context — showing where gold stands as a global store of value in relation to other capital markets.
For best experience:
Use higher timeframes (1W or 1M)
Maximize the indicator panel
Keep Normalize Scale = ON
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is a visualization and educational tool.
It does not provide financial advice or investment recommendations.
Always perform your own research before making financial decisions.
Author: Central Crypto Traders
Version: 1.0 (October 2025)
Type: Informational Overlay
License: Open for personal and educational use
Match on Selectable Percentage Change + RangeIndicator Overview:
Match on Selectable Percentage Change + Range is a powerful analytical tool designed for traders and analysts who want to identify historical price bars that match a specific percentage variation, and then evaluate how price evolved in the following days. It combines precision filtering with visual tabular feedback, making it ideal for pattern recognition, backtesting, and scenario analysis.
What It Does
This indicator scans historical bars to find instances where the percentage change between two consecutive closes matches a user-defined target (± a customizable tolerance). Once matches are found, it displays:
The date of each match (most recent first)
The actual variation searched
The percentage change after 2, 10, 20, and 30 bars
The min-max range (in %) over those same periods
All results are shown in a dynamic table directly on the chart.
Inputs & Controls
Input Description
Which variation do you want to analyze? (%)
Set the target percentage change to look for (e.g. 2.5%)
% deviation from the variation to be considered (%) Define the tolerance range around the target (e.g. ±0.5%)
Bars to analyze (max 9999) Set how many past bars to scan
Show match table Toggle to enable/disable the entire table
Show percentage variations (2d, 10d, 20d, 30d) Toggle to show/hide post-match percentage changes
Show min-max ranges (2d, 10d, 20d, 30d) Toggle to show/hide post-match high/low ranges
Table Structure
Each row in the table represents a historical match. Columns include:
Date: When the match occurred
Variation in: The actual % change that triggered the match
2d / 10d / 20d / 30d: % change after those days
Min-Max 2d / 10d / 20d / 30d: Range of price movement after those days
Color coding helps quickly identify bullish (green) vs bearish (red) outcomes.
Use Cases
Backtesting: See how similar past moves evolved over time
Scenario modeling: Estimate potential outcomes after a known variation
Pattern recognition: Spot recurring setups or volatility clusters
Risk analysis: Understand post-variation drawdowns and upside potential
Tips for Use
Use tighter deviation (e.g. 0.3%) for precision, or wider (e.g. 1%) for broader pattern capture.
Combine with other indicators to validate setups (e.g. volume, RSI, trend filters).
Toggle off variation or range columns to focus only on the metrics you need.
Gold–Bitcoin Correlation (Offset Model) by KManus88This indicator analyzes the correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using a time-offset model adjustable by the user.
The goal is to detect cyclical leads or lags between both assets, highlighting how capital flows into Gold may precede or follow movements in the crypto market.
Key Features:
Dynamic correlation calculation between Gold and Bitcoin.
Adjustable offset in days (default: 107) to fine-tune the temporal shift.
Automatic labels and on-chart visualization.
Compatible with multiple timeframes and logarithmic scales.
Interpretation:
Positive correlation suggests synchronized trends between both assets.
Negative correlation signals divergence or rotation of liquidity.
The time-offset parameter helps estimate when a shift in Gold could later reflect in Bitcoin.
Recommended use:
For macro-financial and global liquidity cycle analysis.
As a complementary tool in cross-asset momentum strategies.
© 2025 – Developed by KManus88 | Inspired by monetary correlation studies and global liquidity cycles.
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Smooth Theil-SenI wanted to build a Theil-Sen estimator that could run on more than one bar and produce smoother output than the standard implementation. Theil-Sen regression is a non-parametric method that calculates the median slope between all pairs of points in your dataset, which makes it extremely robust to outliers. The problem is that median operations produce discrete jumps, especially when you're working with limited sample sizes. Every time the median shifts from one value to another, you get a step change in your regression line, which creates visual choppiness that can be distracting even though the underlying calculations are sound.
The solution I ended up going with was convolving a Gaussian kernel around the center of the sorted lists to get a more continuous median estimate. Instead of just picking the middle value or averaging the two middle values when you have an even sample size, the Gaussian kernel weights the values near the center more heavily and smoothly tapers off as you move away from the median position. This creates a weighted average that behaves like a median in terms of robustness but produces much smoother transitions as new data points arrive and the sorted list shifts.
There are variance tradeoffs with this approach since you're no longer using the pure median, but they're minimal in practice. The kernel weighting stays concentrated enough around the center that you retain most of the outlier resistance that makes Theil-Sen useful in the first place. What you gain is a regression line that updates smoothly instead of jumping discretely, which makes it easier to spot genuine trend changes versus just the statistical noise of median recalculation. The smoothness is particularly noticeable when you're running the estimator over longer lookback periods where the sorted list is large enough that small kernel adjustments have less impact on the overall center of mass.
The Gaussian kernel itself is a bell curve centered on the median position, with a standard deviation you can tune to control how much smoothing you want. Tighter kernels stay closer to the pure median behavior and give you more discrete steps. Wider kernels spread the weighting further from the center and produce smoother output at the cost of slightly reduced outlier resistance. The default settings strike a balance that keeps the estimator robust while removing most of the visual jitter.
Running Theil-Sen on multiple bars means calculating slopes between all pairs of points across your lookback window, sorting those slopes, and then applying the Gaussian kernel to find the weighted center of that sorted distribution. This is computationally more expensive than simple moving averages or even standard linear regression, but Pine Script handles it well enough for reasonable lookback lengths. The benefit is that you get a trend estimate that doesn't get thrown off by individual spikes or anomalies in your price data, which is valuable when working with noisy instruments or during volatile periods where traditional regression lines can swing wildly.
The implementation maintains sorted arrays for both the slope calculations and the final kernel weighting, which keeps everything organized and makes the Gaussian convolution straightforward. The kernel weights are precalculated based on the distance from the center position, then applied as multipliers to the sorted slope values before summing to get the final smoothed median slope. That slope gets combined with an intercept calculation to produce the regression line values you see plotted on the chart.
What this really demonstrates is that you can take classical statistical methods like Theil-Sen and adapt them with signal processing techniques like kernel convolution to get behavior that's more suited to real-time visualization. The pure mathematical definition of a median is discrete by nature, but financial charts benefit from smooth, continuous lines that make it easier to track changes over time. By introducing the Gaussian kernel weighting, you preserve the core robustness of the median-based approach while gaining the visual smoothness of methods that use weighted averages. Whether that smoothness is worth the minor variance tradeoff depends on your use case, but for most charting applications, the improved readability makes it a good compromise.
